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TL Mafia XXX

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
August 01 2010 01:59 GMT
#80
/in
Mafia sounds fun.
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
August 01 2010 22:10 GMT
#84
On August 02 2010 04:16 BrownBear wrote:
Yay newbie! Welcome!

:D

I'll try to make my first game memorable. However, people got this nasty habit of killing me either on the first day or the first night.
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
August 01 2010 22:33 GMT
#87
On August 02 2010 07:25 Divinek wrote:
hold onto that newbie card for your god damn life

How do you play mafia? I got this pm that says I am town. How do I tell if someone is mafia?
This game is so hard.

;P ofc I will
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
August 01 2010 22:56 GMT
#89
On August 02 2010 07:34 flamewheel wrote:
Regardless, no such thing as a "newbie" card.

Speaking of cards, I got this really pro card called Thorn Elemental.
+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]

It takes me only 7 turns to get it out, and it does 7 damage to my opponent every time I attack, so I can kill my opponent in 10 turns. It's so cheap. but with Untamed wilds, I can get it out faster. I can even get it out in 5 turns!
+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]


I went online and told everybody about this awesome combo. But for some reason, people called me Timmy. But my name is not Timmy! Why would they do that?




Back on topic: is there anyway for me to get an RSS feed of this topic? If there is, that would great. Thanks!
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
August 02 2010 00:37 GMT
#93
I am now convinced not to pretend to be a noob
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
August 02 2010 00:38 GMT
#94
EDIT: I am now convinced not to pretend to be a complete noob, and just be myself. Ie a noob
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
August 05 2010 23:34 GMT
#151
:DDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
August 06 2010 00:07 GMT
#159
After Reading (part of) XXVIII, it seemed like on the first day people just sat in a circle waiting for someone to say something stupid.

waits for a while

People in XXVIII remarked we have three choices on the first day:
1) Kill someone using a RNG (I'm against this, what if we kill a blue role? That would suck if we lose a DT)
2) Kill someone inactive/dumb (Benefits: Inactive people don't help us. Problem: It's seems more likely that an inactive person is town)
3) Kill someone who seems like Scum. (Problem: never works)
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
August 06 2010 00:09 GMT
#161
On August 06 2010 08:59 Pandain wrote:
Seriously though, is this the time when like all you pros be like "Hey, noobie noob noobs, some general advice." And then if someone gives bad advice, we can watch him.
Or advice fitting his needs.

Doesn't seem like a plan the mafia would fall for.
To me, it sounds like "Let kill the people who 'seem' skummy"
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
August 06 2010 00:28 GMT
#172
Puts a funny picture to increase my post count. I don't want to be a probe forever! And I don't want to die, I'm new and I don't know anyone :S

+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]


(Btw, when does this probe thingy go away, 1000?)
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
August 06 2010 00:29 GMT
#173
Darn can't edit. I'd like it to look like this

+ Show Spoiler +
Puts a funny picture to increase my post count. I don't want to be a probe forever! And I don't want to die, I'm new and I don't know anyone :S

+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]


(Btw, when does this probe thingy go away, 1000?)
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
August 06 2010 00:39 GMT
#175
On August 06 2010 09:32 chaoser wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 06 2010 09:28 LSB wrote:
Puts a funny picture to increase my post count. I don't want to be a probe forever! And I don't want to die, I'm new and I don't know anyone :S

+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]


(Btw, when does this probe thingy go away, 1000?)


Scum play, trying to distract us with a funny picture so that we get off the scent of RED scum =]

Here, let me correct your posts.

Chaoser says: "Let's go accuse people being scum on the first day so we can kill a poor random townie!"

Translation: Chaoser says: "Hi! I'm mafia, kill me!"
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
August 06 2010 01:52 GMT
#202
On August 06 2010 10:44 Divinek wrote:
my want for lynching pandain supersedes all wants to lynch inactives

Strange... Before the game started, I could have sworn you were going after kill Misder first

On August 02 2010 08:30 Divinek wrote:
##vote misder

Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
August 06 2010 01:59 GMT
#206
Jw, why are people voting on Bill Murray? Did I miss something?
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
August 06 2010 02:21 GMT
#222
On August 06 2010 11:13 VayeshMoru wrote:
My purpose is simple. I am the Scribe. For what has transpired, and what will continue to transpire, I exist to write these summations of our limited existences. Hopefully a story told is a story saved. Will this hold true I wonder? Sometimes even the immortally captured objects fade to dust.


With dust in the air from our beginning turmoil, the records I keep will help us see with our clouded vision. It is time we begin writing the first chapter of our story. Let us begin.

Pah! An Intellectual! He must be a part of the Disillusioned Teachers' Brigade!

Down with the bourgeois! Arise We have nothing to loose but our chains!

...

Wait, aren't we some kindof sci-fi ninja theme? Come to think of it, I'd rather be cyberpunk than communist.
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
August 06 2010 02:56 GMT
#228
On August 06 2010 11:35 DarthThienAn wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 06 2010 11:20 Divinek wrote:
darth are you gonna play normal this game, or at least not like last game

pleeeeeeease


I don't know what you're talking about.

Just thinking about balance, I think it's likely that we have 1 of each blue role? And probably 3-4 ninjas in the game, I'd lean toward 3. Look here for a comparison. Ninjas = Assassins, essentially.

With a roleblocker + framer, something like 7 to 9 blue roles sounds right. Framer essentially replaces millers from previous games, except gives a little more power to the mafia. Roleblocker is standard. What makes things interesting is the ninjas. Not sure how that messes up balance.

Discussion, go!


And for the record: I am always for lynching inactives.

Here's what I'm thinking.

Okay, I'm still looking through that game, but it seems like the Assassin's War (dune ;P) ended too early for any real damage to be dealt.

Ninja's could be an extreamly powerful weapon if they decided to ally with a faction in exchange for protection.

Ninja Ally's with Mafia: We're screwed. The mafia gets a nice Vigilante/DT rolled into one, and the Ninja get's protection from Mafia night kills, and hopes the other Ninja's die before he does.

Ninja Ally's with Town: Town can arrange Medic Protection, and the Ninja can draw upon the DT. So basically invincible ninja. The town gets the Vigilante/DT.

Ninja gets caught by the DT: This would be the best case scenario. The DT could threaten to expose the Ninja, so the Ninja is forced to ally with the DT.

So basically we have to identify the Ninja's ASAP and get them under Town control
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
August 06 2010 13:28 GMT
#344
A bit of a late reply, but some of us sleep

My Big Ninja Post

Okay, I skimmed through XXII
In XXII there were 4 assassins
The first assassin got killed on the first day due to inactivity
The 2nd and Third assassins got killed by other assassins on night 2.

So from older games, the assassin's biggest danger are other assassins

On August 06 2010 12:08 DarthThienAn wrote:
Hmm. I agree that Ninjas can be very powerful. But I don't really like your breakdown.

Ally with mafia: This requires the Ninja to know who the mafia are. It also requires the Ninja to reveal who he is, which is retarded, because that makes him vulnerable, and his objective is to SURVIVE. So this is almost impossible, unless the Ninja takes a plunge based on his instincts... which is pretty silly.
Let's assume that he finds a mafia through rolecheck though (talking about later in the game now). The Ninja still has no protection. He has no way of guaranteeing that the mafia won't kill him during the night. And he can't post after death, so all the power to the mafia there. There's no collateral, no guarantee. And mafia will never know who a ninja is, except through a DT, which is also a ridiculous situation unless the DT claims to the GF after a check. So it only really makes sense for the Ninja to PM the mafia member. But why would he do that? The mafia use up his night hits, and then kill him, if they want to. Not to mention, the Ninja just wants to the kill the other ninjas. He doesn't care about town/mafia dying.

Ally with Town: this is a bit more likely, but still requires the ninja to know those people. But again, why would a ninja be interested in doing this? He just wants to kill the other ninjas. Unless he gets in contact with DT, there is no benefit for him.

Ninja caught by DT: Are you kidding me? lol. People reading, this is an example of a bad plan. The ninja is a VIGILANTE. He can easily kill the DT if the DT threatens to expose him.

... -_-


I agree with your Mafia Analysis, but not your Town analysis. The Ninja could get Medic protection, and DT help. Just remember, the Ninja obviously won't just say 'hullo' to a random townie. The Ninja would try to find a DT/Medic

As for your Ninja caught by DT analysis, you misunderstood what I was trying to say.
The Ninja caught by DT plan isn't one about working together, it's about the DT keeping the Ninja on a short least

Here's how it would work out
1) DT identifies Ninja
2) DT contacts Ninja through a mouth, threatens Ninja. Says "You better work with me or I'm exposing you the day after you don't"
Ninja could respond by
1) Killing the Mouth, but then he would get killed himself loosing the game
2) Feeding the DT incorrect information. But the DT could just ask for Night Kills
3) Following the DT and hope the other ninjas would die soon

On August 06 2010 12:01 Divinek wrote:
or they could just play normally and not listen to anyone and do as their role meant to do

it would be ridiculous for them to try and coordinate with town, obviously easy to do with mafia once they found them but...why would they do this?

it'd be a perfectly dick way to ruin a game

They could play normally, however, it's more of a game of how much risk is the ninja willing to take. A little risk could make the Ninja invincible with another pair of eyes.

As for ruining the game.
On July 29 2010 13:12 flamewheel wrote:
9. Play to win.


Here's my diagram
+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]



NOTES:

On August 06 2010 19:19 youngminii wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 29 2010 13:12 flamewheel wrote:
Ninja (Ninja)
You will know how many other Ninjas reside within the town, but the town will not.

Show nested quote +
On August 06 2010 19:07 Pyrrhuloxia wrote:
Also, 9 people will lie. You forgot ninjas, youngminii. So we will get at least 9 liars to pick through, 3 of which will be ninjas we don't need to kill. Actually, we will have at least 10 liars because I already sent the following PM to BM:

Uh oh, someone made a huge blunder.

Pyrr is very likely a ninja.


Assume that Pyrr is a Ninja, and there is only 3 in the town.
Pyrr will be killed night one, so there will be only 2 Ninjas.
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
August 06 2010 13:29 GMT
#345
And I am against Roleclaim.

Their's no way we can keep track of who would lie. And I would assume that Blue Roles would lie to. Cause a role claim is a great way to give a 'who to hit' list to the mafia.

So I would assume the final count of the role-claim would be 30 townies, not very helpful
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
August 07 2010 01:39 GMT
#482
A few questions


Q1Okay, firstly, half of the first day has past. Why are people accusing others of being inactive now? Shouldn't we be doing this a lot later?



Q2Rastaban's plan. Shouldn't rastaban see the obvious hole if the Godfather claims?
It involves 1 person role claiming TODAY. we then protect this person and use them as a confirmed townie. Now here is where the plan takes shape. Since mafia can stack our protection will fail and he will die, but wait we actually have something even better. a Bus Driver. The bus driver will now perpetually Bus our claimant.

Okay we Bus Driver the Godfather.

Say for a minute that we use the vigilante. Now we can be sure there is only one in this game since it is such a strong role. If a DT checks someone and he gets vigilante then he knows he hit the other end of the chain and will know to disregard that nights reading. We have just eliminated the early chaos that this role generates. The other thing is that the mafia now knows if they risk hitting vig there is a chance it will fire back on them.

How does the DT check the Godfather? The godfather is going to be Bus Drivered.
If we publicly reveal who is going to be busdriverd, the mafia can use a framer, plan is moot as soon as someone points this out. (Oh wait! I did!) (I guess you could stick a watcher on the Bus Drivered person, but then we'd have to lynch both the DT and the framer, assuming that either of them would follow through with the plan)
So either the DT or the Busdriver has to reveal himself… Hmm… 1 blue role gone immediately. Sounds fishy.

On August 06 2010 22:52 rastaban wrote:
Ok now I used vig in this example because he seems the best candidate but I could be wrong so town can advise. If we have the vig claim we know there will be only 1 (since otherwise town KP would be crazy) if we get 2 then we lynch both. This means we trade 1 vigilante for 1 Red with a 50% chance that the real vig stays alive.

I don’t get this. How can we assume 1 vig?

If there is 1 vig, and he claims. The Mafia has no reason to claim.

If there is 2+ vigs, and they both claim. The Mafia has no reason to claim, as we’d kill both of the vigs.

To me, this plan sounds really really really bad to the town. I don’t get what’s good about this plan, can someone explain it to me? We get a confirmed townie. Aren’t their better ways of doing this?
To me it sounds like a plan meant to fail.

Q3 Newbie question: How does mass rolechecking work? (I assume we send someone a PM telling them our role)
Lets pretend we follow BM's plan. What would we do? Send him a PM with our role? What if BM is godfather?

Q4 Newbie question: If we don’t kill the inactives now, when do we kill them?

Q5: What do we do about Vayesh Moru? There’s no way to tell if he’s mafia/ninja/townie.
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
August 07 2010 01:42 GMT
#484
On August 07 2010 10:41 chaoser wrote:
Show nested quote +
Q2Rastaban's plan. Shouldn't rastaban see the obvious hole if the Godfather claims?
It involves 1 person role claiming TODAY. we then protect this person and use them as a confirmed townie. Now here is where the plan takes shape. Since mafia can stack our protection will fail and he will die, but wait we actually have something even better. a Bus Driver. The bus driver will now perpetually Bus our claimant.


The plan involves a vigi so even if GF claims, GF isn't going to be able to magically make a fourth KP come out of thin air at night

Vig can't kill night one
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
August 07 2010 01:47 GMT
#488
On August 07 2010 10:44 chaoser wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 07 2010 10:42 LSB wrote:
On August 07 2010 10:41 chaoser wrote:
Q2Rastaban's plan. Shouldn't rastaban see the obvious hole if the Godfather claims?
It involves 1 person role claiming TODAY. we then protect this person and use them as a confirmed townie. Now here is where the plan takes shape. Since mafia can stack our protection will fail and he will die, but wait we actually have something even better. a Bus Driver. The bus driver will now perpetually Bus our claimant.


The plan involves a vigi so even if GF claims, GF isn't going to be able to magically make a fourth KP come out of thin air at night

Vig can't kill night one


We're not saying claim today/tonight, we're saying claim day 2/day 3

Okay, what's stopping the Mafia from doublestacking someone they day a person claims Vig? So at night, their's only going to be 3 KP?

And if we're talking about a day2/day3 plan. What's wrong with using DT mouths?
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
August 07 2010 01:47 GMT
#489
Gahh.

My post above should have read

Okay, what's stopping the Mafia from doublestacking someone the* day a person claims Vig? So at night, there's* only going to be 3 dead*?
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
August 07 2010 01:50 GMT
#491
Ah I see, modkills. Thanks!
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
August 07 2010 01:58 GMT
#497
Okay I see.

My concern is, we cannot be 100% sure the vig is real. The mafia can always find a way to slip through and mess us up. For example, although you say that
at that point Mafia will be self restricting themselves, making their own KP 2

Following this plan
The plan involves a vigi so even if GF claims, GF isn't going to be able to magically make a fourth KP come out of thin air at night

We'd kill the Vigilante, WASTING a lynch. In actuality the Mafia KP goes up to 6
2 the first night + The Vigilante + 3 the second night.

Okay, put that on the backburner.


I like the idea of tracker/watcher. Of course, we couldn't never truly know, but we'd get Data. Main problem is that we can't let the data get to the mafia, or else the mafia gets a nice little hit list of Blue roles.
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
August 07 2010 02:15 GMT
#510
On August 07 2010 10:57 Pandain wrote:
Pandain's 1st Refinement of his plan:
So I was making this whole complicated thing about my plan, when I thought of something. Here's my thoughts.........


Watccher and tracker visit BM
Night hit will tell us whether they are mafia, since tracker will know about mafia.
If mafia: Tracker and watcher gather up, two medics protect both of them. We lynch a certain mafia.
Have town circle also. Possible mass roleclaim?
If blue: We have a circle of 3 blues, perfect eh?

Thoughts?


Okay here's how I see the plan. The Watcher is the 'medic' making sure that BM does not get hit. Also he's there to find who the tracker is.

The tracker is there to make sure BM is not mafia.
Main problem, what if BM is the Godfather? he can't be tracked. Probability low, but with people screaming "BM is Godfather!" I'd pick someone else.

Second problem, what if the mafia sends a framer to BM? Well, we lynch both the tracker and the framer. VERY good for us. The framer could cause lots of problems

Offshoot of second problem. What if the Innocent Stalker visits BM? We lynch both, and we lose an Innocent stalker and the Tracker

Curve Balls: Ninja kills BM. We'd kill the tracker. NVM, ninja accomplishes nothing

I'll think more on this situation. But Pandain, it's better than anything I can think of myself. Assuming totally random odds, and also only 1 innocent stalker, there is a 93.44% chance of succeeding.
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
August 07 2010 02:20 GMT
#516
On August 07 2010 11:15 LSB wrote:

I'll think more on this situation. But Pandain, it's better than anything I can think of myself. Assuming totally random odds, and also only 1 innocent stalker, there is a 93.44% chance of succeeding.

Change this to 93.33% I can't do math x.x
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
August 07 2010 02:21 GMT
#519
On August 07 2010 11:18 SouthRawrea wrote:
Also would like to mention we have multiple, stackable medics.

Do we?
We have people who can be used as 'medics'
Watchers, Bus Drivers, Medics. But possibly only 1 medic
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
August 07 2010 02:39 GMT
#533
On August 07 2010 11:30 SouthRawrea wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 07 2010 11:29 Divinek wrote:
On August 07 2010 11:27 SouthRawrea wrote:
I would just like to say Pyrr is most likely not GF because if BM flips town-sided which he would if Pyrr was RED, then Pyrr would most likely assume he himself would become THIS GUY. It would eventually be outted that he was ninja/godfather. Ninjas double stack hits on him. Lights out for him. Town wouldn't be able to prove he was ninja instead of GF with a DT check or anything in fact as he has no need to be the one doing the killing. (He could just vote: No kill) The same would apply for any RED as he would get checked by DT almost immediately probably. Thus we can just fastforward this and lynch BM and make Pyrr THIS GUY.


your logical reasoning is astounding

there are no words for the stuff that comes out of your mouth really


Thank you very much. I lost track of what I was saying half way through and was hoping it would make sense. I've got the idea still in my head though. I'll try and clarify in just a moment after going through the idea itself again.

LMAO
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
August 07 2010 02:44 GMT
#538
Question: How is Godfather role assigned? Is it random, or voting?
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
August 07 2010 03:03 GMT
#561
On August 07 2010 11:52 Pandain wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 07 2010 11:48 chaoser wrote:
vets can't visit anyone else so i guess they can't be tracked?

agreed, then it reverts back to its "no mafia interference plan" where we have two confirmed blues. So perhaps we should have in that scenario the watcher and tracker come out in open. Than everyone RC(since they are clean.) Than we can hunt down the vets. Would be worth it if we get a GF. Very worth it.

In addition, in the HIGHLY unlikely scenario that he IS GF, than he will still get caught as stated above.

Okay I agree with Pandain now.

Here's the statistical breakdown.

Probability that BM is Godfather/Ninja.
I'm assuming 3 ninja's and Pyrr is a Ninja
27/30= 90%

So 90% is the initial success rate.

But what if more than one person visits BM? Let's say 2 people visits BM
It could be 2 Stalkers, 1 Stalker and 1 Innocent Stalker, 1 Stalker and a random Mafia person.
This could be trouble, the random Mafia person could attempt to vouch for BM. But the watcher can't just Post everyone who visited BM, because we could then just lose 2 stalker, the watchers, and BM. 4 people dead

The probability of an Innocent stalker visiting BM is 28/29=96.55%
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
August 07 2010 03:08 GMT
#567
Before I go to sleep.

What about this?

Watcher watches BM. Everyone else makes a beeline and random medics / Vigilanties / Stalkers go visit BM.

The Watcher then proceeds to PM everyone who visited BM and demands a Role Claim.
If someone pretends to be watcher, he'll probably make a mistake and won't send a PM to the right person, and then easy expose.

After a while, if the people who visited BM confirm that the Watcher is correct. The Watcher PMs everyone else who did not visit BM and demands a roleclaim

So we basically get 1 person who is confirmed.
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
August 07 2010 14:07 GMT
#732
On August 07 2010 22:26 SouthRawrea wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 07 2010 20:48 Bill Murray wrote:
On August 07 2010 20:39 youngminii wrote:
^ Nobody gives a fuck whether or not you came up with the plan originally. Stop spamming this god damn thread, are you doing this on purpose as scum or what?

i understand that mafia is an emotional game, and you're more than welcome to attack me as a person/player slot, but would you mind refraining from dropping the G. D.s? thanks.


Harsh.
The problem with your plan Bill Murray and Pandain's is what if there's more than 1 tracker OR watcher? We're fucked then if we continue along with either of your plans. The chances of this being the case are NOT negligible either.

Doesn't matter BM/Pandain's plan calls for the Tracker to claim.

Here's the Problem

Framer Claims that he's the tracker
So we follow this plan
On August 07 2010 19:15 Bill Murray wrote:
your plan isn't good.
let me explain this in language even a 14 year old would understand:

watcher watches player a
tracker tracks player a
framer frames player a
roleblocker blocks player a

watcher sees tracker, framer, roleblocker, but doesn't know who is who

This is my plan:
watcher watches the claimed tracker who says he's visiting player a
tracker visits player a = we trust him
tracker doesn't visit player a = we discuss lynching him

Framer frames player a
watcher watches player a

and
watcher watches the claimed tracker who says he's visiting player a
tracker visits player a = we trust him

oops
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
August 07 2010 14:17 GMT
#733
On August 07 2010 12:40 Divinek wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 07 2010 12:35 Pyrrhuloxia wrote:
Current Version of LSB Plan
We pick a THIS GUY.
All watchers watch him. All detectives check him. All medics prot him. All trackers track him.
Bus drivers and vigis stay away. Hatters probably stay away, too.
If a blue's action went through (no waxing) they will expect a PM from a watcher.
If no PMs are sent, there is no watcher or watcher was waxed.
If a blue gets one PM, then that is the real watcher unless the unlikely event of the watcher being waxed (mafia can possibly claim waxed watcher).
If a green gets a PM they can come forward - they are nosy neighbor or mafia is faking. If no greens come forward we are probably doing good.
If a blue that didn't act on THIS GUY gets a PM, we have a surefire mafia.
If no one steps forward seeing shenanigans for say, 24 hours. We can have watcher step forward - no one else comes forward we can protect them with bus. If more than one step forward, a blue can use pm evidence to out them if they are fake, maybe a DT can use a mouth they've confirmed (look for mafia to use an innocent as a mouth here, or maybe a mafia as a mouth like rastaban/sr last game).


but how do we set up a real circle when the role blocker gets in there

Okay, I will make an extreamly extended version of my plan

PROBLEMS: The watcher has to be smart. If the watcher is dumb/inactive, the plan fails
Day 1 We agree to this plan :D
Night one
On August 07 2010 12:35 Pyrrhuloxia wrote:
Current Version of LSB Plan
We pick a THIS GUY.
All watchers watch him. All detectives check him. All medics prot him. All trackers track him.
Bus drivers and vigis stay away. Hatters probably stay away, too.


Day 2:
On August 07 2010 12:35 Pyrrhuloxia wrote:
If a blue's action went through (no waxing) they will expect a PM from a watcher.
If no PMs are sent, there is no watcher or watcher was waxed.
If a blue gets one PM, then that is the real watcher unless the unlikely event of the watcher being waxed (mafia can possibly claim waxed watcher).
If a green gets a PM they can come forward - they are nosy neighbor or mafia is faking. If no greens come forward we are probably doing good.
If a blue that didn't act on THIS GUY gets a PM, we have a surefire mafia.
If no one steps forward seeing shenanigans for say, 24 hours. We can have watcher step forward - no one else comes forward we can protect them with bus. If more than one step forward, a blue can use pm evidence to out them if they are fake, maybe a DT can use a mouth they've confirmed (look for mafia to use an innocent as a mouth here, or maybe a mafia as a mouth like rastaban/sr last game).


So basically, Day2 is there to get the watcher confirmed. The watcher then STEPS FORWARD, we'll have to sort though everything.

Anyone messing with the plan, should be spotted and killed.


Night 2
Bus Driver protects Watcher.
If there is only one DT claim, Watcher orders Medics to protect DT. (iffy, but I don't think there is only going to be one DT claim)

The Watcher will now control detective/trackers action.
Watcher randomly assigns detectives to check up on people. Watcher has a list of what they should be, and the detective needs to match the list. Watcher does the same thing with trackers
A few notes.
*If a framer frames someone, they will show as regular red, not red special. So the Watcher should send the DT to people who claimed a blue role that can visit people

We work from here, but the circle could gradually confirm each other. Takes a bunch of logic though

Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
August 07 2010 23:44 GMT
#764
BTW guys, are we going to agree to a plan?

And I voted for love1another because as with my earlier post, I feel we should lynch an inactive/unhelpful person. Roffles... how in the world did a bandwagon magically appear?

I agree, BM is scummy, but let's wait until Day 2, when we can have more information
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
August 08 2010 02:10 GMT
#797
On August 08 2010 11:09 Divinek wrote:
realistically best case scenario they were green!

Expected, I don't see people wanting to be inactive if they were blue or red
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
August 08 2010 15:04 GMT
#837
On August 08 2010 15:40 bumatlarge wrote:
Chezinu is awesome.


but enough about that, how is this watcher plan going to go through, LSB's way?

I wouldn't recommend it. My plan relys on complete town cohesion. Every single blue role must participate, or else it fails.

The problem is, people have been accusing each other distracting from forming a plan. Certainly someone in there is doing this deliberatively, in order for us to win, we have to work together and random accusations distracts us.

Just proceed as normal. I'll try to push my plan tomorrow
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
August 08 2010 18:26 GMT
#845
As for a random number, I got 10, XeliN.

Here are the instructions for the plan
+ Show Spoiler +
On August 07 2010 23:17 LSB wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 07 2010 12:40 Divinek wrote:
On August 07 2010 12:35 Pyrrhuloxia wrote:
Current Version of LSB Plan
We pick a THIS GUY.
All watchers watch him. All detectives check him. All medics prot him. All trackers track him.
Bus drivers and vigis stay away. Hatters probably stay away, too.
If a blue's action went through (no waxing) they will expect a PM from a watcher.
If no PMs are sent, there is no watcher or watcher was waxed.
If a blue gets one PM, then that is the real watcher unless the unlikely event of the watcher being waxed (mafia can possibly claim waxed watcher).
If a green gets a PM they can come forward - they are nosy neighbor or mafia is faking. If no greens come forward we are probably doing good.
If a blue that didn't act on THIS GUY gets a PM, we have a surefire mafia.
If no one steps forward seeing shenanigans for say, 24 hours. We can have watcher step forward - no one else comes forward we can protect them with bus. If more than one step forward, a blue can use pm evidence to out them if they are fake, maybe a DT can use a mouth they've confirmed (look for mafia to use an innocent as a mouth here, or maybe a mafia as a mouth like rastaban/sr last game).


but how do we set up a real circle when the role blocker gets in there

Okay, I will make an extreamly extended version of my plan

PROBLEMS: The watcher has to be smart. If the watcher is dumb/inactive, the plan fails
Day 1 We agree to this plan :D
Night one
Show nested quote +
On August 07 2010 12:35 Pyrrhuloxia wrote:
Current Version of LSB Plan
We pick a THIS GUY.
All watchers watch him. All detectives check him. All medics prot him. All trackers track him.
Bus drivers and vigis stay away. Hatters probably stay away, too.


Day 2:
Show nested quote +
On August 07 2010 12:35 Pyrrhuloxia wrote:
If a blue's action went through (no waxing) they will expect a PM from a watcher.
If no PMs are sent, there is no watcher or watcher was waxed.
If a blue gets one PM, then that is the real watcher unless the unlikely event of the watcher being waxed (mafia can possibly claim waxed watcher).
If a green gets a PM they can come forward - they are nosy neighbor or mafia is faking. If no greens come forward we are probably doing good.
If a blue that didn't act on THIS GUY gets a PM, we have a surefire mafia.
If no one steps forward seeing shenanigans for say, 24 hours. We can have watcher step forward - no one else comes forward we can protect them with bus. If more than one step forward, a blue can use pm evidence to out them if they are fake, maybe a DT can use a mouth they've confirmed (look for mafia to use an innocent as a mouth here, or maybe a mafia as a mouth like rastaban/sr last game).


So basically, Day2 is there to get the watcher confirmed. The watcher then STEPS FORWARD, we'll have to sort though everything.

Anyone messing with the plan, should be spotted and killed.


Night 2
Bus Driver protects Watcher.
If there is only one DT claim, Watcher orders Medics to protect DT. (iffy, but I don't think there is only going to be one DT claim)

The Watcher will now control detective/trackers action.
Watcher randomly assigns detectives to check up on people. Watcher has a list of what they should be, and the detective needs to match the list. Watcher does the same thing with trackers
A few notes.
*If a framer frames someone, they will show as regular red, not red special. So the Watcher should send the DT to people who claimed a blue role that can visit people

We work from here, but the circle could gradually confirm each other. Takes a bunch of logic though




Here's a breakdown by individual roles
Conan the Not-So-Barbaric (Detective): Role check XeliN

Active Stalker (Tracker): Stalk XeliN

Lazy Stalker (Watcher): Watch XeliN

Boy Scout (Medic): Protect XeliN

Wannabe Batman (Vigilante): Do not target Xelin

Mad Nutter (Mad Hatter): Do not target Xelin

Bus Driver (Bus Driver): Do not target Xelin

Disillusioned Teachers' Brigade (Mafia): PM Me and I'll give you super secrete instructions ;P!

Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
August 08 2010 18:32 GMT
#846
Why you should follow the plan: In order to win, the we have to work together. We already are at an disadvantage, Iaaan got modkilled, and we lynched a townie.

What this will do is allow us to get a rolecall done, and allow us to start setting up a circle of confirmed blue roles protecting each other, letting us use our abilities the best way possible.

The mafia wants to cause disorder, and if we let them succeed, we won't get anything done.
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
August 08 2010 22:04 GMT
#871
On August 09 2010 06:23 Bill Murray wrote:
all i'm saying is that xelin might be innocent, even if he comes up red, depending on how many people the watcher saw visit him in the night.

@ LSB: also, assume we only have 1 watcher, what if they die? what if they are inactive, and haven't see the plan? what is the plan's take on the watcher claiming?

Okay, yeah, it hinges on the watcher. I've tried my best to get this flaw fixed as best I've can. I've layed out the plan, I've PMed everyone so the watcher should be alerted of the plan.

The purpose of the plan is to have the watcher claim, and therefore we have a confirmed townie
We're going to protect the watcher after he claiming by busdrivering the watcher with someone random. That way the watcher can't be targeted by the mafia.

Another glitch with the plan would be if XeliN is the only watcher. But looks like from his posts he is not


rastaban, I'm assuming your questions are answered? It sounds like you misunderstood the plan. The purpose would be that it would be impossible for the mafia to guess every person who visited XeliN.
And even if they did, we'll we'd be screwed anyways.
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
August 08 2010 23:18 GMT
#880
On August 09 2010 07:47 XeliN wrote:
Could someone PM my role or what I'm expected of in this plan? I'm slightly confused although only skim read posts in between HoN games so far.

Done
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
August 09 2010 03:07 GMT
#926
Found in LSB's front pocket

Born of a planet no one calls home,
Hope left outside our sheltered dome.
Dead of a planet no one calls sound,
I shed my blood and love unto this sacred ground.
Ashes to Ashes
Dust to Dust
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
August 18 2010 02:48 GMT
#2036
GG guys!
Sucks to see that my plan was doomed from the start, but I was impressed to see everyone at the end figure out who the Mafia was.

But I'm sad I didn't see iNfuNdiBuLuM killed
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
LSB
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States5171 Posts
August 18 2010 03:00 GMT
#2051
On August 18 2010 11:57 Amber[LighT] wrote:
Nice well played town! Credit is due for LSB's AWESOME PLAN!!! And Xelin for coming through with it after night 1. Opz for being a PIA lol (he knows what he did to me )

I definitely had a lot of fun this game.

Glad I got to save two people at least before I died... thanks BM... you're on notice from now on!

Haha, What happened to the plan anyways?
I got a hold of the Role list and I was :'(
Once is an accident. Twice is coincidence. Three times is an enemy action. Bus Driver can never target themselves I'm sorry
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