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[NA LCS] Spring 2015 Playoffs - Page 201

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MajorityofOne
Profile Joined December 2010
Canada2506 Posts
April 13 2015 17:28 GMT
#4001
On April 14 2015 02:05 LimpingGoat wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 14 2015 01:55 MajorityofOne wrote:
On April 14 2015 01:39 LimpingGoat wrote:
As far as rating TSM goes, they are easily a top 3 team in the World right now. Potentially the best.


Part of me wants TSM to keep succeeding just so your claims get more and more brazen.

Somehow EDG and SKT don't win their regions so TSM ducks them at MSI. TSM wins the tournament, "potentially the best" goes to "easily the best, worlds favorite".

They wreck NA next split as C9 completely falls apart. Nobody challenges them. Meanwhile nobody in Korea looks that great and LPL continues to be a clusterfuck. "Best in the world" becomes "One of the greatest teams ever" as worlds approaches.

Then worlds happens and they get fucking bodied.

I'm such a hater, I know, I know


I've been saying this shit since S4 Worlds where I thought they were going to lose in the finals, everyone thought that was a joke. I said SK was overhyped when everyone thought they were the best Western team going into IEM, guess what, they were overhyped. I said GE Tigers was going to get upset before IEM even started, they got upset.

Before this split started, people thought Santorin was going to be a downgrade from Amazing, I hyped him up, and so many thought teams like C9 and TL were going to be better, I'm not even that proud of this one because it was pretty ridiculous to predict any team besides TSM as number 1 in NA, but I called it.

Now, I'm not too confident that TSM is for sure the best team in the World, and going to win MSI, but I would only give EDG, SKT a chance at beating them in a Bo5, and even then, I'd still give TSM the edge.

Oh and remember those couple days when people actually thought TiP was going to beat TSM because Impact/Rush > Dyrus/Santorin? Good times.


Full credit, you called it on Santorin, and for wtv reason people still don't give him any props. Yeah he isn't asked to carry the same burden a Spirit is but he's definitely been a very good jungler.

That you're giving TSM the edge against EDG and SKT pleases me. I mean fuck it, if you thought they were gunna hang with SSW (or did you think theyd get to the finals by dodging SSW's side of the bracket?), then you cant think EDG or SKT will own them. This has to go full circle, with either TSM winning the greatest victory ever at worlds and you lording over the forum for all time, or them being smote by the mighty Asians and Montecristo and Thoorin once again feasting over their fallen corpse.

TSM better win against C9 now cuz if they don't this whole scenario becomes boring



wei2coolman
Profile Joined November 2010
United States60033 Posts
April 13 2015 17:36 GMT
#4002
Does anyone really expect TSM to lose to C9? bjergsen is just gunna fist the crap out of hai, while Sneaky is stuck in elo hell, and Dyrus is gunna be Dyrus.
liftlift > tsm
ticklishmusic
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States15977 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-04-13 17:44:38
April 13 2015 17:39 GMT
#4003
Actually, I'm going to make a crazy statement and say SEA is low key becoming a powerhouse region (or at least capable of hanging with Korea and China). We definitely see that the talent is there (plz ignore Worlds from last season). There's a pretty deep pool of good players, all the region needs is some roster stability to allow team members to make the transition from good to great. Not having much inter-regional import/ export probably helps as well.

Worst case I'm wrong, best case I'm a prophet and quote myself in a few weeks.
(╯°□°)╯︵ ┻━┻
Fusilero
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
United Kingdom50293 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-04-13 17:45:54
April 13 2015 17:43 GMT
#4004
Powerhouse might be a biiiit much but players like maple, karsa and westdoor are cool. Hell at least steak won't run a feed train like achie did whenever he went abroad. Taiwan's probably at the best they've been for a while with the new TPA roster, Moe flash wolves and apparently albis support AHQ.

I think the support and mid talent pool is solid, jungle pool is marginally better as we've gone from winds and the shitters to winds/karsa and the shitters. ADC has been pretty lomo with the continued existence of NL but lupin is cool and AN had a really good playoffs run and top lane has been alarmingly serviceable recently which is a pleasant change from achie and prydz.
Glorious SEA doto
wei2coolman
Profile Joined November 2010
United States60033 Posts
April 13 2015 17:47 GMT
#4005
On April 14 2015 02:39 ticklishmusic wrote:
Actually, I'm going to make a crazy statement and say SEA is low key becoming a powerhouse region (or at least capable of hanging with Korea and China). We definitely see that the talent is there (plz ignore Worlds from last season). There's a pretty deep pool of good players, all the region needs is some roster stability to allow team members to make the transition from good to great. Not having much inter-regional import/ export probably helps as well.

Worst case I'm wrong, best case I'm a prophet and quote myself in a few weeks.

SEA's best team can maybe hang in midtier for korea, and china, but "powerhouse" it's not. Probably a step below NA, around EU level is more accurate/
liftlift > tsm
Azarkon
Profile Joined January 2010
United States21060 Posts
April 13 2015 17:57 GMT
#4006
On April 14 2015 02:16 MajorityofOne wrote:
GE vs TSM I disagree. Getting your top ahead isn't as bad a trade relative to getting your mid ahead nowadays, a top centric play style can work. Bjergson can play very well on non-assassins so I don't think Monte was right saying its a weak patch for him, yeah he's not gunna be able to spam Zed but we've seen him have great games on mages, but against GE its kind a situation where he needs to get really rolling ala Xiye to make up for GE's stronger teamfighting, and that at least IS harder for mids to do this patch. Also, if TSM is good at laneswaps, GE is at least equally good. Smeb is going to have more game impact than Dyrus if everything is even. I know in NA whenever teams try to camp top it always ends up with them killing Dyrus and bunch then losing because map pressure is being applied elsewhere by Santorin and Lustboy. But its because that map pressure always succeeds against NA teams, especially in laneswap scenarios, and there's no guarantee it does against GE. The end result could just be a dumpstered Dyrus without a tangible gain for TSM.


GE's mid is Kuro, not Xiye.

I take issue with Monte's argument about top centric styles because the amount of meta champs that's able to carry from top was and is limited. When Hecarim and Rumble were banned, Impact had to resort to smite Shyvana, which doesn't carry as hard. Further, lane swaps are a sure way to weaken a top centric play style though not vs. Rumble, which is why Rumble was banned every game. The bottom line is that while top centric styles are viable, they are not guaranteed. TSM crafted a strategy that is dedicated to shutting down top carries and I see no easy way around it.

Now, were the meta to develop further and the viable pool of top centric carries diversifies to the degree that bans and laneswaps are no longer sufficient to shut them out, THEN the argument changes and teams eg GET and TiP are going to be harder to beat.


TSM doesn't have to pressure mid all the time to win, but the fact that Bjergson never gets pushed in lets them focus WT bot if they want. Or they can have Lustboy Santorin cave mid in with Bjergson and that opens up the map. And if youre the enemy team and you just leave Bjergson alone, you might get owned because of it, so that restricts your choices. The options exist for TSM because of Bjergson's strength. So I'm inclined to agree on SKT and EDG, as TSM would be in the reverse situation that they normally are vs Faker or PawN.

LGD's jungle weakness is just enormous. I think any other top team should be able to beat them despite them having great laners just on how weak they are at that position. But they could also potentially upset people because of Imp or Weiless just going off. In theory this meta should play into Flame's strengths but they might not even use him.

I don't even want to try with Snake and OMG, those teams are still mindfucks to me. Maybe Krystal and Uzi just wreck everyone and one of them ends up world champion. I don't think either is obviously better or obviously worse than TSM and trying to sort out how their styles match up is difficult when 1) we have no clue if Snake can do anything except the 1 thing they always do and 2) we have no clue if OMG has just been lawling the entire split so far

EDIT: And yeah, theres no POINT to all this speculating, but it is fun to do.


I sort of agree about LGD actually. I forgot how bad their jungler was. Yea, that's a big weakness for them and problematic when facing teams with competent junglers, which is basically everybody above them in LPL, as well as TSM, GET, and SKT.

As for Snake and OMG, these two teams are actually pretty different in how they win.

Snake wins by forcing chaotic team fights early on. They are superb at team fighting and their top laner is a playmaker. Their lanes aren't especially excellent but are solid enough to hold up. But they need team fights to snowball. A methodical team eg TSM and C9 have strategic options vs. Snake that Snake won't necessarily respond well to. Their mid lane match up vs. Bjergsen is also a huge problem as even Dade was schooling Baka in Snake's last games vs. M3. The one-dimensional quality of Snake is their biggest weakness and a top coaching staff ie TSM's is going to exploit it fully.

OMG wins by forcing 2v2 bots and out-laning the opponent, and then making aggressive moves that snowball their lane advantage into a win. They're able to do this because the Uzi+Cloud bot lane is actually the scariest bot lane in LPL, as seen by the constant lane swaps teams make vs. OMG. Over the course of the season, I only remember EDG's bot lane being able to stand up to it. Yet, the above is also OMG's weakness because it's a very one-dimensional strategy that hinges on being able to get a 2v2, which teams simply don't give OMG these days. Unless OMG is able to diversify their strategies, they're also too easily exploitable by a competent coaching staff.

While I don't think these teams are necessarily as weak as I'm painting them out to be, it is the case that in the past, top NA teams have had an easier time vs. Chinese teams than they have had vs. Korean teams. It's the opposite for EU. I imagine that's because top NA teams rely on C9 style rotations and vision/objective control to win while EU teams are still heavily reliant on their laning and team fighting. It's difficult to out-lane and out-team fight Chinese teams of the Snake/OMG style, but not as hard to out-rotate and out-vision/objective control them.
ticklishmusic
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States15977 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-04-13 18:04:37
April 13 2015 17:59 GMT
#4007
On April 14 2015 02:47 wei2coolman wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 14 2015 02:39 ticklishmusic wrote:
Actually, I'm going to make a crazy statement and say SEA is low key becoming a powerhouse region (or at least capable of hanging with Korea and China). We definitely see that the talent is there (plz ignore Worlds from last season). There's a pretty deep pool of good players, all the region needs is some roster stability to allow team members to make the transition from good to great. Not having much inter-regional import/ export probably helps as well.

Worst case I'm wrong, best case I'm a prophet and quote myself in a few weeks.

SEA's best team can maybe hang in midtier for korea, and china, but "powerhouse" it's not. Probably a step below NA, around EU level is more accurate/


TBH, I think there's much higher equity between regions now due to development of team infrastructure, just more experience and players moving from region to region. Powerhouse is probably a bad word yeah, but I'll leave it in.

On TSM:

I think the scariest thing about TSM is that they're so adaptable. Like, they began the split changing their playstyle and learning new ones, and even considering C9 was in a slump most of the year, they held first place in NA pretty convincingly with strategies and line ups that weren't fully polished.

C9 is strong, but I don't see them having the same ability to diversify playstyle as much. I'm worried they're turning into a perennial playoff team that will never win. They've got a good-is-the-enemy-of-great problem going on.
(╯°□°)╯︵ ┻━┻
oo_Wonderful_oo
Profile Blog Joined December 2013
The land of freedom23126 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-04-13 18:35:45
April 13 2015 18:35 GMT
#4008
On April 14 2015 02:47 wei2coolman wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 14 2015 02:39 ticklishmusic wrote:
Actually, I'm going to make a crazy statement and say SEA is low key becoming a powerhouse region (or at least capable of hanging with Korea and China). We definitely see that the talent is there (plz ignore Worlds from last season). There's a pretty deep pool of good players, all the region needs is some roster stability to allow team members to make the transition from good to great. Not having much inter-regional import/ export probably helps as well.

Worst case I'm wrong, best case I'm a prophet and quote myself in a few weeks.

SEA's best team can maybe hang in midtier for korea, and china, but "powerhouse" it's not. Probably a step below NA, around EU level is more accurate/


It's not like EU as region is step below NA, rofl.
NA/EU/SEA are on same level outside of TSM/yoe, who're stronger than other pack and could be top-6 in LPL probably/top-4 OGN.

If Fnatic can take down TSM at MSI it might be good sign though for EU.
LiquidLegends StaffFPL 25 #1 | tfw I cast games on-air | back-to-back Liquibet winner
orzeu
Profile Joined September 2013
Poland5205 Posts
April 13 2015 18:45 GMT
#4009
On April 14 2015 03:35 oo_Wonderful_oo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 14 2015 02:47 wei2coolman wrote:
On April 14 2015 02:39 ticklishmusic wrote:
Actually, I'm going to make a crazy statement and say SEA is low key becoming a powerhouse region (or at least capable of hanging with Korea and China). We definitely see that the talent is there (plz ignore Worlds from last season). There's a pretty deep pool of good players, all the region needs is some roster stability to allow team members to make the transition from good to great. Not having much inter-regional import/ export probably helps as well.

Worst case I'm wrong, best case I'm a prophet and quote myself in a few weeks.

SEA's best team can maybe hang in midtier for korea, and china, but "powerhouse" it's not. Probably a step below NA, around EU level is more accurate/


It's not like EU as region is step below NA, rofl.
NA/EU/SEA are on same level outside of TSM/yoe, who're stronger than other pack and could be top-6 in LPL probably/top-4 OGN.

If Fnatic can take down TSM at MSI it might be good sign though for EU.

Get hype for that bo1 between TSM and Fnatic. Thanks you Riot.
chosenkerrigan
Profile Joined May 2011
858 Posts
April 13 2015 19:06 GMT
#4010
On April 14 2015 01:49 LimpingGoat wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 14 2015 01:41 wei2coolman wrote:
On April 14 2015 00:52 oo_Wonderful_oo wrote:
On April 14 2015 00:45 AlterKot wrote:
I'm gonna agree that IEM Katowice is a massive wrench to historical expecations for regions' strength and current predictions should be based mostly on eye test and we know how well that works :p


Let white guys inferiority complex show up.
People just can't live in world where TSM is stronger than any Korean team but SKT and GE in good day, rofl.

CJ, KT and Jin Air > TSM, my sides, pls.
And Snake isn't better than TSM, thanks.

lmao, the only team in LPL that actually poses a threat to EDG, isn't better than TSM? lol.


EDG might not even be better than TSM, why assume Snake is.


Agreed. Considering TSM has beaten world class teams like Gambit, WE, CJ, and TiP, there is no doubt in my mind that they are absolutely the best team in the world and is the heavy favorite against EDG.
GhandiEAGLE
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States20754 Posts
April 13 2015 19:25 GMT
#4011
Educate me since I don't really know, how come everyone is putting Yoei so far above AHQ despite AHQ winning a lot in SEA? International experience?
Oh, my achin' hands, from rakin' in grands, and breakin' in mic stands
Gahlo
Profile Joined February 2010
United States35166 Posts
April 13 2015 19:29 GMT
#4012
On April 14 2015 04:25 GhandiEAGLE wrote:
Educate me since I don't really know, how come everyone is putting Yoei so far above AHQ despite AHQ winning a lot in SEA? International experience?

Because in the regular season AHQ beat everybody but FW and TPA. Meanwhile TPA beat everybody.
Ansibled
Profile Joined November 2014
United Kingdom9872 Posts
April 13 2015 19:35 GMT
#4013
I've lost the ability to know what is serious in this thread.

Are people seriously rating TSM above SKT/GE/EDG etc?
'StarCraft is just a fairy tale told to scare children actually.'
TL+ Member
Sleight
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
2471 Posts
April 13 2015 19:38 GMT
#4014
On April 14 2015 04:35 Ansibled wrote:
I've lost the ability to know what is serious in this thread.

Are people seriously rating TSM above SKT/GE/EDG etc?


They won IEM. QED. TSM probably number 1 team in world at moment.
One Love
Numy
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
South Africa35471 Posts
April 13 2015 19:39 GMT
#4015
IEM didn't have any top Chinese team so it's hard to call them number 1.
Fusilero
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
United Kingdom50293 Posts
April 13 2015 19:39 GMT
#4016
Last season yoe couldn't play with maple due to age restrictions and yoe's attempt in the GPL without maple was kind of terrible. Then we had AHQ with a new roster and yoe with their best player in the LMS. AHQ was by far the worst of the top 4 LMS teams getting stomped by TPA/Yoe all day and night with IEM Taipei being a particularly brutal stomp when they ran into yoe. AHQ were dropping games to the bottom four whom are pretty much coast tier and overall AHQ looked like dead meat.

Then fucking playoffs happened, they went on their najin shield shit and went 9-1 to win it all. After being so consistently weak suddenly they benched greentea, moved albis to support and put mountain in the jungle. This should have been a bad move but somehow everything worked and now they're at msi. It's just so weird and completely out of any trend or precedent that in spite of how playoffs went I think yoe is still better unless this new AHQ is the real deal. That'll probably be determined by msi and summer.
Glorious SEA doto
Gahlo
Profile Joined February 2010
United States35166 Posts
April 13 2015 19:47 GMT
#4017
On April 14 2015 04:39 Numy wrote:
IEM didn't have any top Chinese team so it's hard to call them number 1.

Woosh.
Nemireck
Profile Joined October 2010
Canada1875 Posts
April 13 2015 19:59 GMT
#4018
On April 13 2015 13:53 Buonomo wrote:
Turtle's been trending upwards since Worlds.


Uh... No.

Turtle's been back in form since they dropped Gleeb from their team. That guy has no business being a professional player.
Teamwork is awesome... As long as your team is doing all the work!
KissBlade
Profile Blog Joined October 2004
United States5718 Posts
April 13 2015 20:13 GMT
#4019
On April 14 2015 02:13 Azarkon wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 14 2015 02:01 Lost My Will To Live wrote:
On April 14 2015 01:51 Azarkon wrote:
Your block of text

Why do you even bother comparing people across regions and saying shit like "Bjergsen would win against X, but not Y"?

There's no point in speculating when let's be real who knows what's going to happen because they haven't played each other. I mean, we saw PowerofEvil take a fucking shit all over Bjergsen out of nowhere. Anything can happen. Dade shit the bed at worlds a couple years ago when he was the worlds second best mid player.


In that case, what basis is there for stating that TSM won't ever beat EDG and SKT, after all they haven't met each other, have they? Theorycrafting is theorycrafting regardless of whether it's team vs. team / player vs. player. Observers are bound to theorycraft because it's entertaining to do, not because it's objective fact.

Having said that, such theorycrafting is not completely useless. 1v1 match ups are a lot easier to "eyeball test" than team vs. team just as mechanical differences were easy to spot in Starcraft. EU mids have shown parity with all but the very best Korean mids for years now; Bjergsen losing to PoE is surely an upset but also not completely out of the left field. Froggen and Xpeke both matched Korean mids at Worlds last year - Ggoong and Dade, respectively - and this year, Bjerg did the same at IEM vs. Coco, and I reckon so is Febiven when given the opportunity.


EU mids have been dumpstered in almost every single meetup against a CN team at internationals. Just going to leave that out there ...
Gahlo
Profile Joined February 2010
United States35166 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-04-13 20:19:31
April 13 2015 20:17 GMT
#4020
On April 14 2015 04:59 Nemireck wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 13 2015 13:53 Buonomo wrote:
Turtle's been trending upwards since Worlds.


Uh... No.

Turtle's been back in form since they dropped Gleeb from their team. That guy has no business being a professional player.

I think Gleeb is a decent support. When he was on TSM he was the focal point for all the teams failings and was dealing with mental issues he didn't even know about. I don't think it's any coincidence 6 of the 7 wins Winterfox had were with Gleeb.
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