[NA LCS] Spring 2015 Playoffs - Page 200
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skykh
3006 Posts
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LimpingGoat
898 Posts
On April 14 2015 01:41 wei2coolman wrote: lmao, the only team in LPL that actually poses a threat to EDG, isn't better than TSM? lol. EDG might not even be better than TSM, why assume Snake is. | ||
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Kavas
Australia3421 Posts
With the exception of OMG crushing Najin 3-0 last season, I was never so excited to watch any match. Really hope he regains his S3 God form as well. The only sad part is he seems like he's following Flash's footsteps and may need an operation because CTS is a real thing. It'll be fun watching TSM at worlds too. I honestly wouldn't mind them getting a world championship. They were the first team who brought me into LoL. | ||
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Azarkon
United States21060 Posts
But TSM's biggest strengths is their early game lane swaps - which make up for their bot's laning weaknesses, mid-game rotations, and mid/late game team fights. In the games vs. CJ at IEM, TSM actually fell behind in both top and bot early on while only evening out in mid, but were able to salvage the situation with excellent rotations and mid-game engagements. Santorin's performance here is critical as he has been one of the biggest playmakers on TSM in team fights, along with Lustboy and Bjerg. The bottom line is that TSM isn't a one-dimensional team ie Bjergsen-has-to-win-mid and won't lose to one-dimensional teams that rely on single threats eg TiP with Impact, WE with Spirit, and Snake with Flandre. Montecristo was dead wrong about the tank meta being disadvantageous to TSM because for one, Santorin and Dyrus both play tanks well, and for two, a single threat ie a world class hyper-carry top is easily shut down in picks and bans, as was shown against TiP. The best way to beat TSM is actually to simply out-play them in bot/top, hold even/ahead in mid, and then match them in mid-game rotations and team fights. Very few mid laners are capable of bullying Bjergsen, but in case such players do exist, it has to be Pawn and Faker, whose teams also have great bot lanes, the former especially. Thus EDG and SKT matches up well vs. TSM because while Bjerg has his hands full with Pawn/Faker, TSM's bot lane gets rekt by Deft/Bang. TSM has to lane swap vs. such opponents and even then it's difficult to see Turtle out-performing Bang and especially Deft in team fights. LGD has a similar match up with We1less vs. Bjerg, Imp vs. Turtle, but their rotations leave a lot to be desired, which exposes a weakness that TSM is able to exploit. Nonetheless, were LGD to clean up their mid game rotations they'd have a solid advantage vs. TSM because their top, Acorn/Flame, is actually above TSM's, so in theory all three lanes are ahead/even. For top-heavy teams, being able to outplay TSM in mid/bot is critical for success, because otherwise all top advantages are nullified by laneswaps and Dyrus being a solid 1v2 player. For Snake, this is not going to happen because Baka < Bjergsen, so they won't do well vs. TSM. For iG, Zz1tai's ability to carry from the top is still a ?, but given their mediocre bot lane with Kid, they have to run it that way, as that's their main advantage vs. TSM unless Rookie flat out destroys Bjerg mid which I don't think is going to occur. VG, despite doing pretty well in LPL, is stylistically disadvantaged vs TSM. For VG, their mid-laner flat out gets abused by Bjerg and relying on Dandy to carry the team puts them in the same situation as WE even though they have tighter rotations and team fights. TSM knows how to handle teams that require their junglers to get them ahead. As to OMG, in theory their bot lane is their main advantage, and their top and mid ought to hold even vs. Bjerg and Dyrus, at the minimum, so they have a decent match up. However, their jungler needs to desperately learn how to play solid as otherwise TSM gets a free advantage with Santorin. I'd say OMG is even vs. TSM at the moment. As to GET, it was and remains my belief that TSM has a stylistic advantage vs. GET because GET revolves around Smeb and mid-game rotations & team fights. TSM's greatest strengths are in the latter two, while they've shown repeatedly that they know how to shut down top carries. Unless GET is able to present a threat in mid and bot that TSM is not capable of responding to except by banning it, Smeb won't ever get to play his top carries. GET, therefore, is at best even vs. TSM. In any case, all theories are up in the air till MSI and even Worlds because MSI only invites the best of each league. LoL is hampered by such poor international setup. | ||
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Mensol
14536 Posts
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AlterKot
Poland7525 Posts
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Fusilero
United Kingdom50293 Posts
On April 14 2015 01:54 AlterKot wrote: So this very ot discussion is allowed but we can't have pro evo thread huh :> It's about TSM, close enough ~_~ | ||
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MajorityofOne
Canada2506 Posts
On April 14 2015 01:39 LimpingGoat wrote: As far as rating TSM goes, they are easily a top 3 team in the World right now. Potentially the best. Part of me wants TSM to keep succeeding just so your claims get more and more brazen. Somehow EDG and SKT don't win their regions so TSM ducks them at MSI. TSM wins the tournament, "potentially the best" goes to "easily the best, worlds favorite". They wreck NA next split as C9 completely falls apart. Nobody challenges them. Meanwhile nobody in Korea looks that great and LPL continues to be a clusterfuck. "Best in the world" becomes "One of the greatest teams ever" as worlds approaches. Then worlds happens and they get fucking bodied. I'm such a hater, I know, I know ![]() | ||
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Kavas
Australia3421 Posts
On April 14 2015 01:53 Mensol wrote: Dyrus can play toe to toe against Gogoing only in parallel universe. Nah, Riot will just nerf every champ Gogoing plays so NA has a chance at world's. I'm still salty over the Ryze nerfs. | ||
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Fusilero
United Kingdom50293 Posts
On April 14 2015 01:55 Kavas wrote: Nah, Riot will just nerf every champ Gogoing plays so NA has a chance at world's. I'm still salty over the Ryze nerfs. Well they nerfed rek'sai so they've already nerfed all of gogoing's champs | ||
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Gahlo
United States35166 Posts
On April 14 2015 01:55 Kavas wrote: Nah, Riot will just nerf every champ Gogoing plays so NA has a chance at world's. I'm still salty over the Ryze nerfs. Pls. Riot's done the same thing with Dyrus' champ pool and left him with Maokai, Sion, and supports. | ||
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Lost My Will To Live
Botswana601 Posts
On April 14 2015 01:51 Azarkon wrote: Your block of text Why do you even bother comparing people across regions and saying shit like "Bjergsen would win against X, but not Y"? There's no point in speculating when let's be real who knows what's going to happen because they haven't played each other. I mean, we saw PowerofEvil take a fucking shit all over Bjergsen out of nowhere. Anything can happen. Dade shit the bed at worlds a couple years ago when he was the worlds second best mid player. | ||
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LimpingGoat
898 Posts
On April 14 2015 01:55 MajorityofOne wrote: Part of me wants TSM to keep succeeding just so your claims get more and more brazen. Somehow EDG and SKT don't win their regions so TSM ducks them at MSI. TSM wins the tournament, "potentially the best" goes to "easily the best, worlds favorite". They wreck NA next split as C9 completely falls apart. Nobody challenges them. Meanwhile nobody in Korea looks that great and LPL continues to be a clusterfuck. "Best in the world" becomes "One of the greatest teams ever" as worlds approaches. Then worlds happens and they get fucking bodied. I'm such a hater, I know, I know ![]() I've been saying this shit since S4 Worlds where I thought they were going to lose in the finals, everyone thought that was a joke. I said SK was overhyped when everyone thought they were the best Western team going into IEM, guess what, they were overhyped. I said GE Tigers was going to get upset before IEM even started, they got upset. Before this split started, people thought Santorin was going to be a downgrade from Amazing, I hyped him up, and so many thought teams like C9 and TL were going to be better, I'm not even that proud of this one because it was pretty ridiculous to predict any team besides TSM as number 1 in NA, but I called it. Now, I'm not too confident that TSM is for sure the best team in the World, and going to win MSI, but I would only give EDG, SKT a chance at beating them in a Bo5, and even then, I'd still give TSM the edge. Oh and remember those couple days when people actually thought TiP was going to beat TSM because Impact/Rush > Dyrus/Santorin? Good times. | ||
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Azarkon
United States21060 Posts
On April 14 2015 02:01 Lost My Will To Live wrote: Why do you even bother comparing people across regions and saying shit like "Bjergsen would win against X, but not Y"? There's no point in speculating when let's be real who knows what's going to happen because they haven't played each other. I mean, we saw PowerofEvil take a fucking shit all over Bjergsen out of nowhere. Anything can happen. Dade shit the bed at worlds a couple years ago when he was the worlds second best mid player. In that case, what basis is there for stating that TSM won't ever beat EDG and SKT, after all they haven't met each other, have they? Theorycrafting is theorycrafting regardless of whether it's team vs. team / player vs. player. Observers are bound to theorycraft because it's entertaining to do, not because it's objective fact. Having said that, such theorycrafting is not completely useless. 1v1 match ups are a lot easier to "eyeball test" than team vs. team just as mechanical differences were easy to spot in Starcraft. EU mids have shown parity with all but the very best Korean mids for years now; Bjergsen losing to PoE is surely an upset but also not completely out of the left field. Froggen and Xpeke both matched Korean mids at Worlds last year - Ggoong and Dade, respectively - and this year, Bjerg did the same at IEM vs. Coco, and I reckon so is Febiven when given the opportunity. | ||
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MajorityofOne
Canada2506 Posts
On April 14 2015 01:51 Azarkon wrote: What people fail to understand about TSM is that while the team still revolves around mid, Bjergsen no longer has to smash mid for the team to do well. Santorin has brought a new level of stability to the team. He easily out jungled Rush in LCS, and also managed to perform well vs. Spirit at IEM - even though Spirit destroyed GE's jungler. But TSM's biggest strengths is their early game lane swaps - which make up for their bot's laning weaknesses, mid-game rotations, and mid/late game team fights. In the games vs. CJ at IEM, TSM actually fell behind in both top and bot early on while only evening out in mid, but were able to salvage the situation with excellent rotations and mid-game engagements. Santorin's performance here is critical as he has been one of the biggest playmakers on TSM in team fights, along with Lustboy and Bjerg. The bottom line is that TSM isn't a one-dimensional team ie Bjergsen-has-to-win-mid and won't lose to one-dimensional teams that rely on single threats eg TiP with Impact, WE with Spirit, and Snake with Flandre. Montecristo was dead wrong about the tank meta being disadvantageous to TSM because for one, Santorin and Dyrus both play tanks well, and for two, a single threat ie a world class hyper-carry top is easily shut down in picks and bans, as was shown against TiP. The best way to beat TSM is actually to simply out-play them in bot/top, hold even/ahead in mid, and then match them in mid-game rotations and team fights. Very few mid laners are capable of bullying Bjergsen, but in case such players do exist, it has to be Pawn and Faker, whose teams also have great bot lanes, the former especially. Thus EDG and SKT matches up well vs. TSM because while Bjerg has his hands full with Pawn/Faker, TSM's bot lane gets rekt by Deft/Bang. TSM has to lane swap vs. such opponents and even then it's difficult to see Turtle out-performing Bang and especially Deft in team fights. LGD has a similar match up with We1less vs. Bjerg, Imp vs. Turtle, but their rotations leave a lot to be desired, which exposes a weakness that TSM is able to exploit. Nonetheless, were LGD to clean up their mid game rotations they'd have a solid advantage vs. TSM because their top, Acorn/Flame, is actually above TSM's, so in theory all three lanes are ahead/even. For top-heavy teams, being able to outplay TSM in mid/bot is critical for success, because otherwise all top advantages are nullified by laneswaps and Dyrus being a solid 1v2 player. For Snake, this is not going to happen because Baka < Bjergsen, so they won't do well vs. TSM. For iG, Zz1tai's ability to carry from the top is still a ?, but given their mediocre bot lane with Kid, they have to run it that way, as that's their main advantage vs. TSM unless Rookie flat out destroys Bjerg mid which I don't think is going to occur. VG, despite doing pretty well in LPL, is stylistically disadvantaged vs TSM. For VG, their mid-laner flat out gets abused by Bjerg and relying on Dandy to carry the team puts them in the same situation as WE even though they have tighter rotations and team fights. TSM knows how to handle teams that require their junglers to get them ahead. As to OMG, in theory their bot lane is their main advantage, and their top and mid ought to hold even vs. Bjerg and Dyrus, at the minimum, so they have a decent match up. However, their jungler needs to desperately learn how to play solid as otherwise TSM gets a free advantage with Santorin. I'd say OMG is even vs. TSM at the moment. As to GET, it was and remains my belief that TSM has a stylistic advantage vs. GET because GET revolves around Smeb and mid-game rotations & team fights. TSM's greatest strengths are in the latter two, while they've shown repeatedly that they know how to shut down top carries. Unless GET is able to present a threat in mid and bot that TSM is not capable of responding to except by banning it, Smeb won't ever get to play his top carries. GET, therefore, is at best even vs. TSM. In any case, all theories are up in the air till MSI and even Worlds because MSI only invites the best of each league. LoL is hampered by such poor international setup. GE vs TSM I disagree. Getting your top ahead isn't as bad a trade relative to getting your mid ahead nowadays, a top centric play style can work. Bjergson can play very well on non-assassins so I don't think Monte was right saying its a weak patch for him, yeah he's not gunna be able to spam Zed but we've seen him have great games on mages, but against GE its kind a situation where he needs to get really rolling ala Xiye to make up for GE's stronger teamfighting, and that at least IS harder for mids to do this patch. Also, if TSM is good at laneswaps, GE is at least equally good. Smeb is going to have more game impact than Dyrus if everything is even. I know in NA whenever teams try to camp top it always ends up with them killing Dyrus and bunch then losing because map pressure is being applied elsewhere by Santorin and Lustboy. But its because that map pressure always succeeds against NA teams, especially in laneswap scenarios, and there's no guarantee it does against GE. The end result could just be a dumpstered Dyrus without a tangible gain for TSM. TSM doesn't have to pressure mid all the time to win, but the fact that Bjergson never gets pushed in lets them focus WT bot if they want. Or they can have Lustboy Santorin cave mid in with Bjergson and that opens up the map. And if youre the enemy team and you just leave Bjergson alone, you might get owned because of it, so that restricts your choices. The options exist for TSM because of Bjergson's strength. So I'm inclined to agree on SKT and EDG, as TSM would be in the reverse situation that they normally are vs Faker or PawN. LGD's jungle weakness is just enormous. I think any other top team should be able to beat them despite them having great laners just on how weak they are at that position. But they could also potentially upset people because of Imp or Weiless just going off. In theory this meta should play into Flame's strengths but they might not even use him. I don't even want to try with Snake and OMG, those teams are still mindfucks to me. Maybe Krystal and Uzi just wreck everyone and one of them ends up world champion. I don't think either is obviously better or obviously worse than TSM and trying to sort out how their styles match up is difficult when 1) we have no clue if Snake can do anything except the 1 thing they always do and 2) we have no clue if OMG has just been lawling the entire split so far EDIT: And yeah, theres no POINT to all this speculating, but it is fun to do. | ||
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wei2coolman
United States60033 Posts
On April 14 2015 01:49 LimpingGoat wrote: EDG might not even be better than TSM, why assume Snake is. my sides are somewhere in low earth orbit. tsm fans plz. | ||
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Ansibled
United Kingdom9872 Posts
On April 14 2015 01:40 AlterKot wrote: We need LL talk show, noone would listen to it but it doesn't stop paravine and couple others :> Streaming on Hitbox is the best way to get views. | ||
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Fusilero
United Kingdom50293 Posts
On April 14 2015 02:17 Ansibled wrote: Streaming on Hitbox is the best way to get views. While we're on hitbox might as well invite XJ9 | ||
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Sleight
2471 Posts
On April 14 2015 01:37 LimpingGoat wrote: There's no such thing as a fair eye test. If you just watch two teams you're going to tend to see flaws in the team you already believe or want to believe is worse and overestimate strengths in the team that you already believe or want to believe is better. That's why I always think it's so stupid when I hear someone like Thoorin or Montecristo say, "It doesn't matter if the teams don't play against eachother we can just watch the games with our eyes and see which is better". No! You cannot, you guys don't even play the fucking game, you're the last people who could watch the games and fairly evaluate how strong each team is. This is just wrong. Analysts in sports are almost never top tier athletes. Being able to execute and being able to understand are completely different things. That is why every major sport is basically dominated by coaches who lack mechanical ability. | ||
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skykh
3006 Posts
At least tsm fanboys are less annoying then clg/gambit/fnc fans. | ||
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