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NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source.
streets-ahead
Profile Joined February 2022
21 Posts
March 04 2022 12:08 GMT
#541
Yeah, autocrats like Putin tend to surround themselves with cravens and lickspittles, there's no way anyone in his close circle is going to disobey an order, let alone go against him.

We should probably put to rest the foolish notion that he's going to be overthrown or assassinated.
The loathsome Dung Eater
deacon.frost
Profile Joined February 2013
Czech Republic12129 Posts
March 04 2022 12:15 GMT
#542
On March 04 2022 20:45 WombaT wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 04 2022 18:41 deacon.frost wrote:
On March 04 2022 12:12 Mohdoo wrote:
On March 04 2022 11:54 PhoenixVoid wrote:
U.S. Senator Lindsey Graham effectively calling for the assassination of Putin via palace coup. I don't know if it's because of the tension around this nuclear power plant (which looks to be secured and was at relatively low risk of meltdown or leakage anyways), but wow. A lot of alarm on social media I notice and Biden was on the call with Zelenskyy because of the attack on the plant. The IAEA says no increase in radiation levels yet.


I don’t see the issue. He’s just the only one saying it out loud. Everyone wants Putin dead

I don't. What Russia really doesn't need is an usntable situation in which you can "disappear" a nuclear weapon.

This isn’t currently an unstable situation?

Putin’s underlings half the times look like they’re shitting themselves in his presence, I’m not sure there’s a huge amount of buy in.

Certainly not to the extent that Putin being gone would lead to a complete societal collapse and nukes go walksies


It's magnitude more stable than a Russia after a coup, especially if the country is under so heavy sanctions. Military can go - fuck, let's nuke Ukraine, let's shoot protesters and let's keep everything under control with the army. And that's the more stable version of coup where army still has the control over the nuclear weapons.
I imagine France should be able to take this unless Lilbow is busy practicing for Starcraft III. | KadaverBB is my fairy ban mother.
TheTenthDoc
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States9561 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-03-04 15:37:57
March 04 2022 15:36 GMT
#543
Yeah, while I'm no historical expert on coups, my general understanding is that they tend to create less stability, not more. The disruption to power dynamics leads to chaotic jockeying for power by all the other players. Probably some exceptions out there, but it seems hard to avoid if the people perpetrating the coup are oligarchs or generals (as they almost certainly would be in Russia). Even uprisings purely "of the people" tend to lead to more chaos before they lead to less (if they ever do).
pmh
Profile Joined March 2016
1352 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-03-04 15:56:31
March 04 2022 15:45 GMT
#544
Might not like it and it does sound odd seeing the current situation but Putin is indeed the biggest stabelizing factor in Russia. He still has the support of the population.
There is no credible alternative for Putin in sight and without Putin the country would devolve into the chaos that was there in the years after the USSR did collapse.

Almost any alternative is preferable for the Russian population,the Russian oligarchs and maybe even the west.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/henry-kissinger-to-settle-the-ukraine-crisis-start-at-the-end/2014/03/05/46dad868-a496-11e3-8466-d34c451760b9_story.html

From march 2014. With kissingers vieuw i dont always agree but i do very often. Probably the greatest geo-political strategist of the past century. A pragmatist formost,which very much aligns with my own perspective.
A lot has happend since and i dont know kissingers opinion on the current situation. But this intervieuw does give a decent and pragmatic perspective on the crisis.

That is not to say this is (or even could have been if we had a different aproach in the past) a solution. Things are easier said then done and it probably is far to late for any reasonable compromise. As i do think that at this point Russia would never settle for a no Nato and neutral Ukraine. They want it all with a puppet regime. Either in one state or devided in several.

But this intervieuw does raise some important points and it is a bit more nuanced then the rather one sided and not very subtle perspective that we currently see in the media.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-03-04 15:47:59
March 04 2022 15:47 GMT
#545
Hm... keep in mind the stock market has been closed for a week.

Russian President Vladimir Putin has said that Russia has no "ill intentions" towards Ukraine, hours after Russian forces had seized Europe's biggest nuclear power plant.

Putin made the comment on the state-controlled Rossiya 24 news channel on Friday in which he called on neighboring countries "to think about how to normalize relations."

"I want to emphasize once again. We have no ill intentions towards our neighbors, and I would advise them not to escalate the situation, nor to introduce any restrictions," he said, according to news agencies.

"All our actions, if they arise, always arise exclusively in response to unfriendly actions against Russia," he added.

Putin also said: "We do not see any need here to escalate the situation or worsen our relations."

Putin's comments come more than a week after he ordered an invasion that has caused numerous casualties and sparked a growing refugee crisis.

The international community reacted with alarm when the Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant was reportedly shelled by Russian forces, who captured the facility on Friday. The U.S. embassy in Ukraine tweeted that attacking a nuclear power plant constitutes a "war crime."

As he spoke to mark a new ferry that would travel between its exclave of Kaliningrad and the rest of Russia, Putin also appeared to brush off the impact of sanctions imposed on his country.

"We will just have to move some projects a little to the right, to acquire additional competencies," he said. "In the end, we will even benefit from this because we will acquire additional competencies."

President Joe Biden has imposed new sanctions on eight members of the Russian elite, while the U.S. joined forces with European allies in kicking certain Russian banks out of the international SWIFT payment system.

Foreign ministers gathered in Brussels on Friday to discuss what measures to take against Russia as it continues its aggression in Ukraine.

British Foreign Secretary Liz Truss said she wants agreement from the international community to restrict Russian oil and gas exports.

Meanwhile, the United Nations Human Rights Council said on Friday it had voted to set up an independent commission of inquiry into Russia's invasion.

There appeared to no breakthrough in talks between Russian and Ukrainian officials that might pave the way towards a ceasefire.

Moscow has agreed to the need for "humanitarian corridors" to evacuate civilians and allow passage of aid but Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov said on Friday there was "no talk" of Moscow and Kyiv signing any formal documents.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
AEsgaims
Profile Joined November 2010
United States237 Posts
March 04 2022 16:05 GMT
#546
The US and Europe's failure to fully sanction everything economic (including oil and gas) prior to the unfolding disaster is completely rooted in the continued dependence on fossil fuels throughout the world. We have to finally start seriously pushing EVs, solar, wind power, and other renewables so that we can stop depending on fossil fuels. That being said, there is no excuse for not delivering this punch now. I think its time to sanction all of the fossil fuels coming out of Russia and cut off the supply of oil money.
Biff The Understudy
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
France7890 Posts
March 04 2022 16:16 GMT
#547
Well part of the problem is germany abandonning nuclear energy, which in retrospect was even dumber than it looked.

Renewables are great but they only work as a complement to fossile and / or nuclear energy. You can’t depend on wind and solar energy to power a country; if it’s 7pm in winter and there is no wind, how are you supposed to deliver the power for your population all taking showers, making dinner, heating their houses and having all the lights on at the same time?

Macron recent 180 over nuclear power is probably partly due to geopolitical considerations. I am not a big fan of nuclear power, but if we want to stop being Russia’s bitches AND reduce our co2 emission, it’s absolutely necessary.
The fellow who is out to burn things up is the counterpart of the fool who thinks he can save the world. The world needs neither to be burned up nor to be saved. The world is, we are. Transients, if we buck it; here to stay if we accept it. ~H.Miller
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States42695 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-03-04 16:27:27
March 04 2022 16:24 GMT
#548
Natural gas for heating doesn’t really compete with nuclear. Shutting down nuclear in favour of renewables for electricity can be done in conjunction with increasing reliance on gas for heating, they have distinct delivery systems, infrastructure, and efficiencies. The conclusion that nuclear power would make Germany less reliant on natural gas heating isn’t really correct imo.

It would take the reversal of decades of social planning to reengineer Germany around electric heating. Homes have gas furnaces, they’re hooked up to the gas mains, gas for heating is as entrenched for heating as petrol for personal transport.

That’s not to say we shouldn’t make a concerted effort to move our society away from fossil fuels, we should. It’s just to say that we haven’t yet done so and at present electricity does not meaningfully compete in the heating market. Closing a power plant doesn’t have a material impact because that power plant wasn’t competing against gas.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
dbRic1203
Profile Joined July 2019
Germany2655 Posts
March 04 2022 16:32 GMT
#549
Nuclear Power solves one Problem and created 10 new ones.
Just look at the News from tonight.

You can go 100% green with sufficent storage capacities combined with geothermic energy, tide energy and hydrogen and so on
MaxPax
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States42695 Posts
March 04 2022 16:43 GMT
#550
On March 05 2022 01:32 dbRic1203 wrote:
Nuclear Power solves one Problem and created 10 new ones.
Just look at the News from tonight.

You can go 100% green with sufficent storage capacities combined with geothermic energy, tide energy and hydrogen and so on

But can you do it overnight? And if you can’t do it overnight what is the best thing to use in the interim. Nuclear advocates generally argue that nuclear causes far less harmful radioactive waste than coal (radioactive particles entering the air from burning coal) and has a lower environmental impact. Nuclear doesn’t have to be the final answer to be the answer right now.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
deacon.frost
Profile Joined February 2013
Czech Republic12129 Posts
March 04 2022 16:45 GMT
#551
Welp, this doesn't look good.
MOSCOW — Russia’s trade and industry ministry has recommended the country’s fertilizer producers temporarily halt exports, the ministry said on Friday, in a sign that sanctions imposed after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine could have a global impact.

Russia is a major producer of potash, phosphate and nitrogen containing fertilizers – major crop and soil nutrients. It produces more than 50 million tonnes a year of the fertilizers, 13% of the global total.


https://financialpost.com/pmn/business-pmn/russian-ministry-recommends-fertilizer-producers-halt-exports
I imagine France should be able to take this unless Lilbow is busy practicing for Starcraft III. | KadaverBB is my fairy ban mother.
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States13935 Posts
March 04 2022 16:57 GMT
#552
A lot of business's that are exporting from Russia are struggling a lot due to the swift ban. They can't close deals if the companies don't know if they can close deals without secure financial exchange and the possibility of further sanctions. Even if they could close deals they're struggling to find ships to take the product due to the lack of international insurance for ships that are traveling through either a warzone in the black sea or along the breath of EU and NATO nations that aren't friendly to them in the baltic. Sure china is a reliable trade option but there is the issue of half the globe between you and them.
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
Erasme
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Bahamas15899 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-03-04 17:06:25
March 04 2022 17:05 GMT
#553
On March 05 2022 01:32 dbRic1203 wrote:
Nuclear Power solves one Problem and created 10 new ones.
Just look at the News from tonight.

You can go 100% green with sufficent storage capacities combined with geothermic energy, tide energy and hydrogen and so on

Except nothing happened and the radioactivity levels are stable.
Just like fukushima it's a testament of the safety of nuclear energy.
But keep raising the price of energy across Europe to satisfy your delusions.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d7lxwFEB6FI “‘Drain the swamp’? Stupid saying, means nothing, but you guys loved it so I kept saying it.”
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
March 04 2022 17:09 GMT
#554
If this is true there is no way to hide such high losses.

"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
SC-Shield
Profile Joined December 2018
Bulgaria818 Posts
March 04 2022 17:18 GMT
#555
This is Valentina Matviyenko, she was born in Ukraine, Soviet Union. She is the chairwoman of Russian Upper house of Russian parliament. Why is this important? Well, she thinks war in Ukraine is good even though she is from there. She is part of Putin's Security council, and being an aide to Putin, you'd expect the usual anti-NATO rhetoric, right? Well, she appears to have a villa in Italy.. close to a NATO base. How weird that oligarchs send their children in the west to study or buy estate in the west, yet they complain about NATO at home. Nice theatre but at a high cost...

EN subtitles:
Artisreal
Profile Joined June 2009
Germany9235 Posts
March 04 2022 17:24 GMT
#556
On March 05 2022 01:45 deacon.frost wrote:
Welp, this doesn't look good.
Show nested quote +
MOSCOW — Russia’s trade and industry ministry has recommended the country’s fertilizer producers temporarily halt exports, the ministry said on Friday, in a sign that sanctions imposed after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine could have a global impact.

Russia is a major producer of potash, phosphate and nitrogen containing fertilizers – major crop and soil nutrients. It produces more than 50 million tonnes a year of the fertilizers, 13% of the global total.


https://financialpost.com/pmn/business-pmn/russian-ministry-recommends-fertilizer-producers-halt-exports

Wow.
It's hyper cynical but another long overdue development could arise from that. The relentless reliance on limited resources in agriculture. It's not that scientists aren't warning of that for decades either, urging for a development towards a circular economy.

Though with the vast majority of phosphorus reserves located elsewhere, at least this won't sting so much.
passive quaranstream fan
PhoenixVoid
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
Canada32740 Posts
March 04 2022 17:26 GMT
#557
It's always the great irony with Putin's loudest bulldogs who decry Western degeneracy with LGBT rights and loss of traditional cultural values while they send all their children to universities in London or the Ivy League. You know, the so-called factory of liberal indoctrination.
I'm afraid of demented knife-wielding escaped lunatic libertarian zombie mutants
RvB
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
Netherlands6212 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-03-04 17:31:48
March 04 2022 17:31 GMT
#558
On March 05 2022 01:24 KwarK wrote:
Natural gas for heating doesn’t really compete with nuclear. Shutting down nuclear in favour of renewables for electricity can be done in conjunction with increasing reliance on gas for heating, they have distinct delivery systems, infrastructure, and efficiencies. The conclusion that nuclear power would make Germany less reliant on natural gas heating isn’t really correct imo.

It would take the reversal of decades of social planning to reengineer Germany around electric heating. Homes have gas furnaces, they’re hooked up to the gas mains, gas for heating is as entrenched for heating as petrol for personal transport.

That’s not to say we shouldn’t make a concerted effort to move our society away from fossil fuels, we should. It’s just to say that we haven’t yet done so and at present electricity does not meaningfully compete in the heating market. Closing a power plant doesn’t have a material impact because that power plant wasn’t competing against gas.

Same with gas which is used by industry. Nuclear doesn't help with that. In addition it does nothing to decrease our reliance on oil which is what really funds the Russian state. Nuclear and renewables are important to reduce our reliance on Russia but not nearly enough.
deacon.frost
Profile Joined February 2013
Czech Republic12129 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-03-04 17:34:31
March 04 2022 17:31 GMT
#559
On March 05 2022 02:24 Artisreal wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 05 2022 01:45 deacon.frost wrote:
Welp, this doesn't look good.
MOSCOW — Russia’s trade and industry ministry has recommended the country’s fertilizer producers temporarily halt exports, the ministry said on Friday, in a sign that sanctions imposed after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine could have a global impact.

Russia is a major producer of potash, phosphate and nitrogen containing fertilizers – major crop and soil nutrients. It produces more than 50 million tonnes a year of the fertilizers, 13% of the global total.


https://financialpost.com/pmn/business-pmn/russian-ministry-recommends-fertilizer-producers-halt-exports

Wow.
It's hyper cynical but another long overdue development could arise from that. The relentless reliance on limited resources in agriculture. It's not that scientists aren't warning of that for decades either, urging for a development towards a circular economy.

Though with the vast majority of phosphorus reserves located elsewhere, at least this won't sting so much.

Well, the Earth can support many more people WITH fertilizers. Without them it will be hard. Especially with this shock method, this will result in smaller crops, because recently the gas(which it is made of) was raising in price so everybody was waiting for the price to go down to start trading/manufacturing. This may have huge implications with food shortage.

Edit> also western countries waste shitload of food and they won't stop now for some magical reason, the habits will be hard to break. Which won't help. This can be deadlier than the war itself. (I hope it won't)
I imagine France should be able to take this unless Lilbow is busy practicing for Starcraft III. | KadaverBB is my fairy ban mother.
PhoenixVoid
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
Canada32740 Posts
March 04 2022 17:36 GMT
#560
On March 05 2022 02:31 deacon.frost wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 05 2022 02:24 Artisreal wrote:
On March 05 2022 01:45 deacon.frost wrote:
Welp, this doesn't look good.
MOSCOW — Russia’s trade and industry ministry has recommended the country’s fertilizer producers temporarily halt exports, the ministry said on Friday, in a sign that sanctions imposed after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine could have a global impact.

Russia is a major producer of potash, phosphate and nitrogen containing fertilizers – major crop and soil nutrients. It produces more than 50 million tonnes a year of the fertilizers, 13% of the global total.


https://financialpost.com/pmn/business-pmn/russian-ministry-recommends-fertilizer-producers-halt-exports

Wow.
It's hyper cynical but another long overdue development could arise from that. The relentless reliance on limited resources in agriculture. It's not that scientists aren't warning of that for decades either, urging for a development towards a circular economy.

Though with the vast majority of phosphorus reserves located elsewhere, at least this won't sting so much.

Well, the Earth can support many more people WITH fertilizers. Without them it will be hard. Especially with this shock method, this will result in smaller crops, because recently the gas(which it is made of) was raising in price so everybody was waiting for the price to go down to start trading/manufacturing. This may have huge implications with food shortage.

I've read to keep a close watch on impending food shortages and insecurities in the Middle East and Africa due to this war. That means a higher probability of conflicts, uprisings, and wars, which is tragic. We saw food shortages be a spark for the Syrian Civil War, as one example. This will resonate far beyond Europe at this rate.
I'm afraid of demented knife-wielding escaped lunatic libertarian zombie mutants
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