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NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source.
Liquid`Drone
Profile Joined September 2002
Norway28927 Posts
October 07 2022 13:02 GMT
#5341
Tbh, I considered editing my post because I'm less certain about Crimea being a necessity, although I would expect that Crimea staying part of Russia would require a lot more from other fronts. The west hardly responded to Crimea being acquisitioned in the first place so I could picture them accepting it staying under Russian control - but overall, the sentiment that 'Russia must pay for its actions' is felt very strongly, and a simple reversal to pre-february borders is not enough. For Crimea to stay Russian, something else would have to go (like much more severe reparations/disarmament/the rest of Ukraine joining NATO).
Moderator
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18490 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-10-07 13:29:47
October 07 2022 13:29 GMT
#5342
On October 07 2022 22:02 Liquid`Drone wrote:
Tbh, I considered editing my post because I'm less certain about Crimea being a necessity, although I would expect that Crimea staying part of Russia would require a lot more from other fronts. The west hardly responded to Crimea being acquisitioned in the first place so I could picture them accepting it staying under Russian control - but overall, the sentiment that 'Russia must pay for its actions' is felt very strongly, and a simple reversal to pre-february borders is not enough. For Crimea to stay Russian, something else would have to go (like much more severe reparations/disarmament/the rest of Ukraine joining NATO).

The problem with Crimea remaining Russian is that their entire water supply depends on Ukraine. It was one of the primary reasons for the invasion in the first place. So if we agree Russia gets Crimea we also need Ukraine to concede opening up the canal again and guaranteeing a stable water supply. And that looks like a difficult condition even if anyone can convince Ukraine to accept a peace deal in which Crimea goes to Russia.
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
October 07 2022 14:07 GMT
#5343
--- Nuked ---
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States44448 Posts
October 07 2022 14:25 GMT
#5344
Russia won’t nuke and Biden won’t let them.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
October 07 2022 15:21 GMT
#5345
The bigger question is how is China, and to a lesser extent India, reacting to Putin's waving the Nuke card.
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
0x64
Profile Blog Joined September 2002
Finland4659 Posts
October 07 2022 15:32 GMT
#5346
On October 08 2022 00:21 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
The bigger question is how is China, and to a lesser extent India, reacting to Putin's waving the Nuke card.


China is pro-chaos
India is random, they are a dictature waiting to happen.
Dump of assembler code from 0xffffffec to 0x64: End of assembler dump.
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22704 Posts
October 07 2022 15:48 GMT
#5347
On October 08 2022 00:21 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
The bigger question is how is China, and to a lesser extent India, reacting to Putin's waving the Nuke card.
Both exist on Earth, therefor a nuclear conflict is the last thing they want.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Fleetfeet
Profile Blog Joined May 2014
Canada2853 Posts
October 07 2022 16:27 GMT
#5348
In like a simple boardgame state it makes sense for countries to be 'pro chaos', where the chaos is on the opposite side of the planet and likely serves to strengthen their position by weakening all others. In reality I don't see how you could describe any country as "pro chaos" because a nuke getting launched anywhere on the planet has real implications for everyone on the planet, because it won't just be one.

I don't think anyone in China is hoping all of europe, russia and NA get glassed and would consider that a victory.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
October 07 2022 16:44 GMT
#5349
Exactly. So sooner or later, one would hope, that Xi basically says "enough" drop the rhetoric or else you lose your most staunch ally. Cause India doesn't have that presence on the world stage, not yet at least. Plus India needs the West a lot more than China. Nor would they want to find themselves isolated from them either.
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
0x64
Profile Blog Joined September 2002
Finland4659 Posts
October 07 2022 17:19 GMT
#5350
On October 08 2022 01:27 Fleetfeet wrote:
In like a simple boardgame state it makes sense for countries to be 'pro chaos', where the chaos is on the opposite side of the planet and likely serves to strengthen their position by weakening all others. In reality I don't see how you could describe any country as "pro chaos" because a nuke getting launched anywhere on the planet has real implications for everyone on the planet, because it won't just be one.

I don't think anyone in China is hoping all of europe, russia and NA get glassed and would consider that a victory.


Pro-chaos, counting on no-nuke outcome. US and Europe supporting heavily war and having strong negative effect on economy has allowed China to remove spotlight on their hacking activities, intellectual property theft etc... Also they are massive buyer of companies in Europe at cheap.

In 10 years we will wake-up to it, I don't know if it will be a bad world but a different one for sure. To win, they need just not to do like Putin did :D and let Taiwan, Hong Kong, Singapore be etc.
Dump of assembler code from 0xffffffec to 0x64: End of assembler dump.
Magic Powers
Profile Joined April 2012
Austria4478 Posts
October 07 2022 17:32 GMT
#5351
So it looks like Russia has indeed made a serious advance over the last few days. Russia has been heavily attacking the Donetsk front for weeks, so this could be a sign of Ukraine's defenses breaking. We'll probably know soon enough.

Ukraine's own advance continues at a pace comparable to Russia's.

These are minor changes only when compared to the changes over the last month, otherwise this is very significant. My first thought is that Russia still cannot be underestimated. Even the smallest sign of weakness must be addressed.

[image loading]
If you want to do the right thing, 80% of your job is done if you don't do the wrong thing.
Manit0u
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
Poland17872 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-10-07 18:31:40
October 07 2022 18:28 GMT
#5352
Russia's Minister of Labor and Social Protection A. Kotyakov said that mobilized businessmen/entrepreneurs will not be exempt from taxation or financial reporting. In case of death 50% of their assets will be lawfully seized by the government.

I'm lost for words.

It's really hard for me to imagine being in such a situation (being self-employed I act as a 1-man business with all the taxes and reporting that go with it). Sitting in the freezing trench somewhere on the front lines with shells flying over my head trying to fill out all the required forms to file a monthly financial report to avoid fines for failing to do so or being late doing so...
Time is precious. Waste it wisely.
Simberto
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Germany12086 Posts
October 07 2022 18:31 GMT
#5353
On October 08 2022 03:28 Manit0u wrote:
Russia's Minister of Labor and Social Protection A. Kotyakov said that mobilized businessmen/entrepreneurs will not be exempt from taxation or financial reporting. In case of death 50% of their assets will be lawfully seized by the government.

I'm lost for words.


Is this a standard inheritance tax, or something special that applies here?
Manit0u
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
Poland17872 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-10-07 18:39:21
October 07 2022 18:35 GMT
#5354
On October 08 2022 03:31 Simberto wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 08 2022 03:28 Manit0u wrote:
Russia's Minister of Labor and Social Protection A. Kotyakov said that mobilized businessmen/entrepreneurs will not be exempt from taxation or financial reporting. In case of death 50% of their assets will be lawfully seized by the government.

I'm lost for words.


Is this a standard inheritance tax, or something special that applies here?


I would guess something special but I'm no expert on Russian financial laws pertaining to private business. I'm just quoting information I've found.

If I compare it to the laws in Poland in case of business owner's death nothing goes to the government. It's all part of his assets as a physical person and thus gets inherited in full by the family (all the licenses and agreements are cancelled with the death of the owner though and business effectively stops working but there are no more taxes to pay etc.).
Time is precious. Waste it wisely.
Simberto
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Germany12086 Posts
October 07 2022 18:38 GMT
#5355
If that were the case, that would be really, really weird, though. Kind of like an anti-recruitment tool. It also sets pretty strange incentives.

Is the next step to draft all rich businessmen, then call an artillery strike on their position?

I am not saying that that is not the case, lots of stuff in Russia and in this war is weird an strange. But it sounds like something that would be really indefensible in Russia itself?
Manit0u
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
Poland17872 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-10-07 18:44:04
October 07 2022 18:41 GMT
#5356
On October 08 2022 03:38 Simberto wrote:
Is the next step to draft all rich businessmen, then call an artillery strike on their position?


I think this would only really affect small businesses though, not the rich. Most rich people already have redundancies in place, turning their 1-man businesses into companies so that they have multiple co-owners and don't have to cease operation in case of death of a single person etc.

But it truly sucks for all the small store owners, mechanics, IT people, private medical practice etc.
Time is precious. Waste it wisely.
maybenexttime
Profile Blog Joined November 2006
Poland5913 Posts
October 07 2022 18:43 GMT
#5357
On October 08 2022 03:38 Simberto wrote:
If that were the case, that would be really, really weird, though. Kind of like an anti-recruitment tool. It also sets pretty strange incentives.

Is the next step to draft all rich businessmen, then call an artillery strike on their position?

I am not saying that that is not the case, lots of stuff in Russia and in this war is weird an strange. But it sounds like something that would be really indefensible in Russia itself?

Russians are "apolitical". ;-)
Simberto
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Germany12086 Posts
October 07 2022 18:45 GMT
#5358
Yeah, but people stop being apolitical once shit starts to affect themselves.
Manit0u
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
Poland17872 Posts
October 07 2022 18:55 GMT
#5359
To me it would indicate that Russia is really desperate or really crazy to go after their middle-class like that.
Time is precious. Waste it wisely.
Deleted User 173346
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
16169 Posts
October 07 2022 19:00 GMT
#5360
--- Nuked ---
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