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2020 US Election - Page 90

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Dante08
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
Singapore4201 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-11-04 13:26:38
November 04 2020 13:26 GMT
#1781
How is this election this close? The democrats definitely have to rethink their strategy after this election even if they win. All the media narratives like covid, blm, impeachment etc. and they barely take the election.

Will be interesting to see who's on the next republican ticket, probably won't be nearly as polarising as Trump.
KungKras
Profile Joined August 2008
Sweden484 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-11-04 13:29:35
November 04 2020 13:26 GMT
#1782
On November 04 2020 22:14 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 04 2020 22:08 sharkie wrote:
On November 04 2020 22:06 Biff The Understudy wrote:
On November 04 2020 22:03 sharkie wrote:
On November 04 2020 22:01 Biff The Understudy wrote:
It's also the packaging. Talking of democratic socialism, revolution, and so, is fucking stupid. You win some millenials in New York or Washington DC at the price of scaring the hell out of the dozens millions people that have grown up being told socialism was the devil.

Progressives should keep their agenda just as it is, not change a single idea, but start selling it without painting a giant target on their own back for absolutely no reason.

I think, honestly, that with his primaries rhetoric, Sanders would have been steamrolled, while his ideas are in themselves probably quite popular.


A bit of introspection and rethinking, and progressives can push their ideas forward and win. Unfortunately, most of what I have heard is about how the establishment is mean and so on. That doesn't win elections. They need to sell their policies and convince the country.


Actually exactly that wins you elections... Trump did it 4 years ago and almost did/does it again this year.

If it did, Sanders would have won. Twice.

The left is not the right. You can't go full populist and bullshit your way with inflammatory rhetoric. And that's a good thing. Trump is NOT a model to follow.


Sanders never had the chance to challenge a republican? He was always stopped by the elitist democrats
If Bernie can't convince the Democrats to vote for him, how on earth is going to win a general election?
Will all the people that don't vote in primaries suddenly come out of the woodwork and vote?


Sanders never had the chance to challenge a republican? He was always stopped by the elitist democrats


Bernie was winning the primary comfortably until Obama made all his phonecalls and made the corporatist democrats coalesce around biden. While Warren stayed in to siphon off votes.

Basically Sanders only lost because the other candidates made a titanic coordinated effort to take him down.
"When life gives me lemons, I go look for oranges"
pmh
Profile Joined March 2016
1416 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-11-04 13:35:50
November 04 2020 13:27 GMT
#1783
If the progressives want to have any succes,which is very difficult to begin with due to the negative stigma anything left has in general,then they could start with a mix between beeing progressive and conservative.
A completely new direction that goes away from some of the issues of the traditional progressive ideology,a bit of a 3rd way.

Progressive on healthcare,education,(racial and economic) equality,international cooperation.
Conservative on christian values,(not to the point of beeing pro life and against gay mariage but more conservative then they are now),law and order,civil rights (gun control,constitution),foreign policy (conservative mostly when it comes to the middle east but at the same time progressive when it comes to international cooperation),immigration,climate change.

The focus on climate change is one of the biggest things that is holding back the progressives from gaining widespread support,(another thing that is holding back the progressives is their stance on immigration in general,though that mostly goes for europe).
If they want to succeed on other progressive issues then they should drop the progressive issues that are the least popular and that dont have widespread support.
But doing so seems to be problematic for the progressives which is understandable to some degree as it is has become a big part of their identity.
Which is why would propose a whole new type of platform that maybe best could be described as beeing progressive conservative,or conservative progressive. Which would be something like i described above.

-Progressive on healthcare,education,(racial and economic) equality,international cooperation.
-Conservative on christian values,law and order,civil rights,foreign policy (china and the middle east),immigration,climate change.

In some ways this might look like a centric democratic platform but there are a few differences,slightly more progressive on healthcare education and equality then the centrist democratic platform and slightly more conservative on the other issues.
iamthedave
Profile Joined February 2011
England2814 Posts
November 04 2020 13:27 GMT
#1784
On November 04 2020 22:15 Biff The Understudy wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 04 2020 22:13 iamthedave wrote:
According to the odds makers Trump's a 2 to 1 favourite to win now.

That's weird. Isn't Biden quite a heavy favourite right now? Or have I missed something?


Changed at about 9am this morning.
I'm not bad at Starcraft; I just think winning's rude.
Zambrah
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
United States7393 Posts
November 04 2020 13:27 GMT
#1785
On November 04 2020 22:26 Dante08 wrote:
How is this election this close? The democrats definitely have to rethink their strategy after this election even if they win. All the media narratives like covid, blm, impeachment etc. and they barely take the election.

Will be interesting to see who's on the next republican ticket, probably won't be nearly as polarising as Trump.


This.

Next time Democrats won’t have a Trump to face and The Next Biden will get fucking trounced if we go by the way this election turned out.
Incremental change is the Democrat version of Trickle Down economics.
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22668 Posts
November 04 2020 13:28 GMT
#1786
On November 04 2020 22:24 Zambrah wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 04 2020 22:21 Stratos_speAr wrote:
On November 04 2020 22:19 Zambrah wrote:
Republicans don’t vote Democrat and vice versa.

This idea that the primary winner is the best candidate for the general presupposes that Democrats will vote Republican for some reason. We’re seeing first hand that party allegiance in the US is infinitely stronger than labels like socialist or fucking fascist.


The logic you're trying to put forth necessarily concludes that the only difference in who wins is due to voter turnout.

At this point, this is verifiably false. It is objectively clear that many people voted differently than they did in 2016.

With this being the case, trying to persuade these flexible voters is obviously not a losing proposition, as Biden looks poised to win off the back of that very strategy.


Poised to win in a nailbiter against one of the most unbelievably terrible presidents in American history.

This isn’t a win, this is a loss, even if Biden is president that it’s this close is a SHAMEFUL example of what should have been a slam dunk election being made close by relying on “flexible voters” instead of an Obama style campaign of enthusiasm.
Does it say something about Biden (and Clinton) or does it say more about the American voter?

I'd wager you could run a chipmunk against Trump in many countries and the chipmunk would win in a landslide, especially after 4 years of Trump.
I think the issue is much more the American voter then the candidate.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
sharkie
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Austria18762 Posts
November 04 2020 13:28 GMT
#1787
I dont think anyone believes the democrats will change anything in the next 4 years? All they do is say how they are better than trump was
Zambrah
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
United States7393 Posts
November 04 2020 13:29 GMT
#1788
On November 04 2020 22:28 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 04 2020 22:24 Zambrah wrote:
On November 04 2020 22:21 Stratos_speAr wrote:
On November 04 2020 22:19 Zambrah wrote:
Republicans don’t vote Democrat and vice versa.

This idea that the primary winner is the best candidate for the general presupposes that Democrats will vote Republican for some reason. We’re seeing first hand that party allegiance in the US is infinitely stronger than labels like socialist or fucking fascist.


The logic you're trying to put forth necessarily concludes that the only difference in who wins is due to voter turnout.

At this point, this is verifiably false. It is objectively clear that many people voted differently than they did in 2016.

With this being the case, trying to persuade these flexible voters is obviously not a losing proposition, as Biden looks poised to win off the back of that very strategy.


Poised to win in a nailbiter against one of the most unbelievably terrible presidents in American history.

This isn’t a win, this is a loss, even if Biden is president that it’s this close is a SHAMEFUL example of what should have been a slam dunk election being made close by relying on “flexible voters” instead of an Obama style campaign of enthusiasm.
Does it say something about Biden (and Clinton) or does it say more about the American voter?

I'd wager you could run a chipmunk against Trump in many countries and the chipmunk would win in a landslide, especially after 4 years of Trump.
I think the issue is much more the American voter then the candidate.


Blaming the voter doesn’t solve problems, improve the candidate. You aren’t going to change the average American voter, you have to appeal to them, if you keep tossing them candidates they don’t find appealing and saying, “hey it’s their fault for not voting for our candidate” you’re going to keep fucking losing.

Stop. Blaming. Voters.

It’s this incredible lack of introspection that makes me believe Democrats are hopeless.
Incremental change is the Democrat version of Trickle Down economics.
Jockmcplop
Profile Blog Joined February 2012
United Kingdom10014 Posts
November 04 2020 13:30 GMT
#1789
On November 04 2020 22:28 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 04 2020 22:24 Zambrah wrote:
On November 04 2020 22:21 Stratos_speAr wrote:
On November 04 2020 22:19 Zambrah wrote:
Republicans don’t vote Democrat and vice versa.

This idea that the primary winner is the best candidate for the general presupposes that Democrats will vote Republican for some reason. We’re seeing first hand that party allegiance in the US is infinitely stronger than labels like socialist or fucking fascist.


The logic you're trying to put forth necessarily concludes that the only difference in who wins is due to voter turnout.

At this point, this is verifiably false. It is objectively clear that many people voted differently than they did in 2016.

With this being the case, trying to persuade these flexible voters is obviously not a losing proposition, as Biden looks poised to win off the back of that very strategy.


Poised to win in a nailbiter against one of the most unbelievably terrible presidents in American history.

This isn’t a win, this is a loss, even if Biden is president that it’s this close is a SHAMEFUL example of what should have been a slam dunk election being made close by relying on “flexible voters” instead of an Obama style campaign of enthusiasm.
Does it say something about Biden (and Clinton) or does it say more about the American voter?

I'd wager you could run a chipmunk against Trump in many countries and the chipmunk would win in a landslide, especially after 4 years of Trump.
I think the issue is much more the American voter then the candidate.

Should the democrats be trying to win over european voters instead?
Of course its about American voters. Its about American voters and how the democrats failed to win them from Trump.
RIP Meatloaf <3
iamthedave
Profile Joined February 2011
England2814 Posts
November 04 2020 13:30 GMT
#1790
On November 04 2020 22:26 KungKras wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 04 2020 22:14 Gorsameth wrote:
On November 04 2020 22:08 sharkie wrote:
On November 04 2020 22:06 Biff The Understudy wrote:
On November 04 2020 22:03 sharkie wrote:
On November 04 2020 22:01 Biff The Understudy wrote:
It's also the packaging. Talking of democratic socialism, revolution, and so, is fucking stupid. You win some millenials in New York or Washington DC at the price of scaring the hell out of the dozens millions people that have grown up being told socialism was the devil.

Progressives should keep their agenda just as it is, not change a single idea, but start selling it without painting a giant target on their own back for absolutely no reason.

I think, honestly, that with his primaries rhetoric, Sanders would have been steamrolled, while his ideas are in themselves probably quite popular.


A bit of introspection and rethinking, and progressives can push their ideas forward and win. Unfortunately, most of what I have heard is about how the establishment is mean and so on. That doesn't win elections. They need to sell their policies and convince the country.


Actually exactly that wins you elections... Trump did it 4 years ago and almost did/does it again this year.

If it did, Sanders would have won. Twice.

The left is not the right. You can't go full populist and bullshit your way with inflammatory rhetoric. And that's a good thing. Trump is NOT a model to follow.


Sanders never had the chance to challenge a republican? He was always stopped by the elitist democrats
If Bernie can't convince the Democrats to vote for him, how on earth is going to win a general election?
Will all the people that don't vote in primaries suddenly come out of the woodwork and vote?


Sanders never had the chance to challenge a republican? He was always stopped by the elitist democrats


Bernie was winning the primary comfortably until Obama made all his phonecalls and made the corporatist democrats coalesce around biden. While Warren stayed in to siphon off votes.

Basically Sanders only lost because the other candidates made a titanic coordinated effort to take him down.


Would that matter if people overwhelmingly voted for Sanders though?
I'm not bad at Starcraft; I just think winning's rude.
sharkie
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Austria18762 Posts
November 04 2020 13:30 GMT
#1791
On November 04 2020 22:28 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 04 2020 22:24 Zambrah wrote:
On November 04 2020 22:21 Stratos_speAr wrote:
On November 04 2020 22:19 Zambrah wrote:
Republicans don’t vote Democrat and vice versa.

This idea that the primary winner is the best candidate for the general presupposes that Democrats will vote Republican for some reason. We’re seeing first hand that party allegiance in the US is infinitely stronger than labels like socialist or fucking fascist.


The logic you're trying to put forth necessarily concludes that the only difference in who wins is due to voter turnout.

At this point, this is verifiably false. It is objectively clear that many people voted differently than they did in 2016.

With this being the case, trying to persuade these flexible voters is obviously not a losing proposition, as Biden looks poised to win off the back of that very strategy.


Poised to win in a nailbiter against one of the most unbelievably terrible presidents in American history.

This isn’t a win, this is a loss, even if Biden is president that it’s this close is a SHAMEFUL example of what should have been a slam dunk election being made close by relying on “flexible voters” instead of an Obama style campaign of enthusiasm.
Does it say something about Biden (and Clinton) or does it say more about the American voter?

I'd wager you could run a chipmunk against Trump in many countries and the chipmunk would win in a landslide, especially after 4 years of Trump.
I think the issue is much more the American voter then the candidate.


You could also run the chipmunk against Hillary and Biden and the chipmunk would win in other countries. Maybe its the candidates after all?
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18869 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-11-04 13:32:46
November 04 2020 13:31 GMT
#1792
On November 04 2020 22:28 sharkie wrote:
I dont think anyone believes the democrats will change anything in the next 4 years? All they do is say how they are better than trump was

Policy agenda and all that aside, I can tell you as a federal government employee that Democrats winning the White House will have a significant effect on the actual functioning of government bodies.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
KungKras
Profile Joined August 2008
Sweden484 Posts
November 04 2020 13:31 GMT
#1793
On November 04 2020 22:28 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 04 2020 22:24 Zambrah wrote:
On November 04 2020 22:21 Stratos_speAr wrote:
On November 04 2020 22:19 Zambrah wrote:
Republicans don’t vote Democrat and vice versa.

This idea that the primary winner is the best candidate for the general presupposes that Democrats will vote Republican for some reason. We’re seeing first hand that party allegiance in the US is infinitely stronger than labels like socialist or fucking fascist.


The logic you're trying to put forth necessarily concludes that the only difference in who wins is due to voter turnout.

At this point, this is verifiably false. It is objectively clear that many people voted differently than they did in 2016.

With this being the case, trying to persuade these flexible voters is obviously not a losing proposition, as Biden looks poised to win off the back of that very strategy.


Poised to win in a nailbiter against one of the most unbelievably terrible presidents in American history.

This isn’t a win, this is a loss, even if Biden is president that it’s this close is a SHAMEFUL example of what should have been a slam dunk election being made close by relying on “flexible voters” instead of an Obama style campaign of enthusiasm.
Does it say something about Biden (and Clinton) or does it say more about the American voter?

I'd wager you could run a chipmunk against Trump in many countries and the chipmunk would win in a landslide, especially after 4 years of Trump.
I think the issue is much more the American voter then the candidate.


It's definitely a side-effect of having the world's best education system by far in the 50:ies and then defunding it to nothingness over the following decades. Democracies rely on populations trained in critical thinking.
"When life gives me lemons, I go look for oranges"
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
November 04 2020 13:31 GMT
#1794
On November 04 2020 22:28 sharkie wrote:
I dont think anyone believes the democrats will change anything in the next 4 years? All they do is say how they are better than trump was


That was Biden campaign message, literally. Nothing will fundamentally change.
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
DarkPlasmaBall
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States46554 Posts
November 04 2020 13:32 GMT
#1795
The fact that mostly (only?) mail-in votes remain is a slightly better sign for Biden than for Trump, since Democrats are more likely to cast mail-in votes than Republicans. Obviously, Trump will continue to have issues with this (he's already declared victory and he's already tried insisting that we should just stop counting votes now). It's impossible to call exactly who'll win, but I'd say there's a slightly better chance that Biden wins. I'm leaning towards Biden because I think my original predictions of him taking AZ, NV, MI, WI, and PA will still ultimately be correct, after all the mail-in votes are counted. As to whether Trump tries taking this to court or tries undermining the results, we'll have to wait and see.
"There is nothing more satisfying than looking at a crowd of people and helping them get what I love." ~Day[9] Daily #100
sharkie
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Austria18762 Posts
November 04 2020 13:33 GMT
#1796
On November 04 2020 22:31 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 04 2020 22:28 sharkie wrote:
I dont think anyone believes the democrats will change anything in the next 4 years? All they do is say how they are better than trump was


That was Biden campaign message, literally. Nothing will fundamentally change.


What a great candidate
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland27464 Posts
November 04 2020 13:34 GMT
#1797
On November 04 2020 22:19 Zambrah wrote:
Republicans don’t vote Democrat and vice versa.

This idea that the primary winner is the best candidate for the general presupposes that Democrats will vote Republican for some reason. We’re seeing first hand that party allegiance in the US is infinitely stronger than labels like socialist or fucking fascist.

Why can’t the primaries work like most other elections and be held on one day of voting?

Momentum feeding into talk of electability seems massively exacerbated by quirks of the order of states, and rather distorts things when we factor in that some states aren’t even in play for a blue vote.

A few statement victories benefitted Sanders in terms of that building of momentum as well.

'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
TL+ Member
KungKras
Profile Joined August 2008
Sweden484 Posts
November 04 2020 13:34 GMT
#1798
On November 04 2020 21:50 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 04 2020 21:39 KungKras wrote:
On November 04 2020 21:29 Gorsameth wrote:
On November 04 2020 21:25 farvacola wrote:
For those interested in shifting the Democrats towards the left, these results are fairly good in the sense that there is clearly very little credence to the crossover appeal tack of folks like Biden. It's gonna take something else, like actually offering a compelling and contrasting vision of how government works.
I don't think Biden won the primary because of crossover appeal with Republicans. But because the Democratic party simply has less people further to the left (Bernie) then they have voters who are more centralist.

The mistake progressives seem to keep making is thinking they are a majority and its only through tricks and cheats that the centralist keep them out of power.



But if you do polls on policies that the progressives support like universal healthcare, ending student loan debt, not doing wars, etc, they are overwhelmingly popular, so there is some truth in them actually being a majority but hidden by the media.
Yes progress policies are very popular but progress candidates often lose and people still vote Republican in elections. Looks like those policies are not what people are basing their vote on.

There is a world of difference between what a person agrees with when he sits at home and what he cares about when he is standing in the voting booth as evident by people not voting based on these popular policies.

This is kind of what I mean when I say progressives mistakenly think they are a majority. Yes their beliefs often poll at a majority approval, but people aren't voting based on that, as evident by the fact they aren't the primary or general election. (I don't know enough about down ballot votes to comment if the same trend is active there).


I'd say that the two data points of people supporting the policies, but not voting for the candidates is pointing to the need to spread more information about who is for what policies.
A giant opputunity to get better att getting the message out basically.
"When life gives me lemons, I go look for oranges"
Stratos_speAr
Profile Joined May 2009
United States6959 Posts
November 04 2020 13:35 GMT
#1799
On November 04 2020 22:30 Jockmcplop wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 04 2020 22:28 Gorsameth wrote:
On November 04 2020 22:24 Zambrah wrote:
On November 04 2020 22:21 Stratos_speAr wrote:
On November 04 2020 22:19 Zambrah wrote:
Republicans don’t vote Democrat and vice versa.

This idea that the primary winner is the best candidate for the general presupposes that Democrats will vote Republican for some reason. We’re seeing first hand that party allegiance in the US is infinitely stronger than labels like socialist or fucking fascist.


The logic you're trying to put forth necessarily concludes that the only difference in who wins is due to voter turnout.

At this point, this is verifiably false. It is objectively clear that many people voted differently than they did in 2016.

With this being the case, trying to persuade these flexible voters is obviously not a losing proposition, as Biden looks poised to win off the back of that very strategy.


Poised to win in a nailbiter against one of the most unbelievably terrible presidents in American history.

This isn’t a win, this is a loss, even if Biden is president that it’s this close is a SHAMEFUL example of what should have been a slam dunk election being made close by relying on “flexible voters” instead of an Obama style campaign of enthusiasm.
Does it say something about Biden (and Clinton) or does it say more about the American voter?

I'd wager you could run a chipmunk against Trump in many countries and the chipmunk would win in a landslide, especially after 4 years of Trump.
I think the issue is much more the American voter then the candidate.

Should the democrats be trying to win over european voters instead?
Of course its about American voters. Its about American voters and how the democrats failed to win them from Trump.


But Trump is running on hardline conservative social positions (and a lot of conservative economic positions too), and he's winning a lot of support on this despite his complete incompetence and ethical shortcomings.

To justify the idea that a progressive would do better with the American electorate, you need to answer two things:

1) How would a hypothetical progressive candidate win some of these votes away from Trump?

2) If they didn't, are you only relying on increasing voter turnout to win? If so, how do you explain this election's record turnout still showing so much support for Trump? Do you think there's a realistic way to push turnout even higher than this to win with a progressive candidate?
A sound mind in a sound body, is a short, but full description of a happy state in this World: he that has these two, has little more to wish for; and he that wants either of them, will be little the better for anything else.
m4ini
Profile Joined February 2014
4215 Posts
November 04 2020 13:35 GMT
#1800
As to whether Trump tries taking this to court or tries undermining the results, we'll have to wait and see.


No, we really don't. It's not like he hasn't done one of those two things and announced the other even before counting started.
On track to MA1950A.
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