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Coronavirus and You - Page 375

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Any and all updates regarding the COVID-19 will need a source provided. Please do your part in helping us to keep this thread maintainable and under control.

It is YOUR responsibility to fully read through the sources that you link, and you MUST provide a brief summary explaining what the source is about. Do not expect other people to do the work for you.

Conspiracy theories and fear mongering will absolutely not be tolerated in this thread. Expect harsh mod actions if you try to incite fear needlessly.

This is not a politics thread! You are allowed to post information regarding politics if it's related to the coronavirus, but do NOT discuss politics in here.

Added a disclaimer on page 662. Many need to post better.
fonger
Profile Blog Joined March 2006
United Kingdom1218 Posts
April 25 2021 00:27 GMT
#7481
Also gimme your links, I'm gonna sleep (UK time)...
Magic Powers
Profile Joined April 2012
Austria4478 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-04-25 00:45:05
April 25 2021 00:43 GMT
#7482
On April 25 2021 09:25 fonger wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 25 2021 09:10 Magic Powers wrote:
On April 25 2021 08:59 fonger wrote:
On April 25 2021 08:45 Magic Powers wrote:
On April 25 2021 08:39 fonger wrote:
On April 25 2021 08:32 Magic Powers wrote:
On April 25 2021 08:29 fonger wrote:
On April 25 2021 08:24 Magic Powers wrote:
Belisarius is not technically wrong in saying there's a sort of "selective pressure". I myself wouldn't use that term per se because the context matters very much, but the idea is correct in principle. For example, a more infectious variant is likely to outperform a less infectious variant (resulting in R going up). Or a more deadly variant could be outperformed by a less deadly variant (e.g. R may go down in a more deadly variant, allowing for R of a variant with lower mortality to go up). Then there's the incubation period and maybe various other factors that can also change R.

The pressure on any given variant exists in the form of such "new and improved" variants. Sometimes selective pressure can make a disease worse (for us humans), sometimes it can make it better. In some sense one could even say that our ability to survive this virus is one of the reasons why it can flourish in the first place. If we all just keeled over, the virus would probably just disappear. In that sense the human ability to survive from an evolutionary, societal, political, economical and other standpoint prolongs the survivability of the virus as well, which means some unusually severe variants can pop up and wreak havoc for the rest of humankind's existence (or even beyond), simply because we've made ourselves so durable (but without ever defeating the virus).

This is why the emphasis must be on eradicating this virus, and not just "surviving". Because - and this is something that many people haven't understood yet - sars-cov-2 is one of the most severe viruses (in almost every way) that humankind has had to deal with in recorded history. It's not like influenza, which was in some way considered "acceptable" to live with, because we had it under control despite not having eradicated it, and it wasn't killing people at a rate that could destroy all of civilization.
Sars-cov-2 is very different in that regard. It actually has such potential - that is if we don't act smartly, consistently and collectively. If we follow the science, we could eradicate the virus from the planet. I say "could" because, well... there's the theory, which says we can do it, and then there's the applied policy of each individual and every country.

...mods?


Ok, you're making me angry right now. What exactly is "fearmongering" about my comment or Belisarius' comment? All of this is easily available scientific information, and I can provide you with all the links you need to confirm everything I said. The reason why I didn't add any links is because over the past months I came to believe that much of this was commonly understood by many people in here.

Yep, making you angry bud. Because feelings are super important. Look at the rules as stated above about fear mongering and come to your own conclusions.

"Commonly understood by most people" used to be a rather dangerous extremist thing in itself. Fun that this is something you identify with now.


I have absolutely no idea what you're on about. If what Belisarius and I have said is fearmongering then please explain to us why most of our world leaders have decided to shut down huge sectors of their respective economies for more than a year? Please do us all the favor, because I'm certainly curious to hear what you have to say about that, that wouldn't be considered a "conspiracy theory". Please go ahead.

I'm saddened that you don't understand the dangers I've outlined I'm calling out hate, of which I see/hear a lot of coming out of you and your mates. You represent the "new normal" of terribly clever people telling the rest of us how we're wrong. Frankly that's nauseating.

It's not your job to figure out what fear mongering is so don't put too much effort into it. That's up to the mods.

In terms of why many people have had their businesses removed, hey who knows, just don't follow the money or you'll end up a conspiracy theorist...


If you read my comment history in this thread you'll notice that I've expressed my desire for freedom before restrictions numerous times. I'm not in favor of lockdowns unless absolutely necessary (which I think right now is the case in many countries), especially not strict ones. I'm not in favor of forced vaccinations, which I've also expressed numerous times. I'm not in favor of travel restrictions for unvaccinated people, I believe there are other ways. I believe many politicians got many things wrong with their policies (both strict and soft ones). I've expressed all those things and more in this thread. I'm not sure but I think I can even recall myself stating that I'm an anarchist at heart - which puts me in a position where I couldn't be more disinterested in wanting to tell people how to live their lives even if I tried. As it concerns me, you (or anyone else) should do anything you want as long as it doesn't infringe on my freedom and my rights.

Does any of that sound "hateful" to you?

I don't care if anyone here or elsewhere feels nauseated by scientific research. I can provide you with links to all the information you need, I've posted some of it in this thread. Science isn't hateful, it's the pursuit of knowledge. If me laying out scientific information in this thread puts you at odds with me, then I seriously hope the mods don't side with you on this issue.

You apparently support the very dangerous "zero virus" view that will lead to the future we'll end up in anyway. Your question on whether it sounds hateful, yes. You will hate the unvaccinated (for as long as they're around) because you think you're cleverer than them and that they're making your planet worse. What a shame, but thankfully the law will support and eventually enforce your opinion

Please try to think outside your box


You're assuming a lot of things about me, and none of them are true. I recommend that you don't play the lottery anytime soon.

On April 25 2021 09:27 fonger wrote:
Also gimme your links, I'm gonna sleep (UK time)...


You'll have to tell me what information exactly it is that you want, so I can provide it to you and not waste the time of either of us.
If you want to do the right thing, 80% of your job is done if you don't do the wrong thing.
xM(Z
Profile Joined November 2006
Romania5298 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-04-25 05:58:03
April 25 2021 05:30 GMT
#7483
for what is worth, i share his impression of you. you come off extremely scared/terrified, overcompensating with rules and deeds for every non-zero covid scenario.

edit:
why most of our world leaders have decided to shut down huge sectors of their respective economies for more than a year?
because even without covid, there is a major economic crisis(worse than the one in 2007/2008) going on.
the governments are using the 'shut downs' to control on what the people can spend their money: close off the entertainment <-> leave open food stores, etc..., with the result that (statistics show)some people have excess savings, savings to be spent to relaunch the economy(allegedly) on "covid end". consumerism ftw.
And my fury stands ready. I bring all your plans to nought. My bleak heart beats steady. 'Tis you whom I have sought.
iPlaY.NettleS
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
Australia4379 Posts
April 25 2021 10:06 GMT
#7484
Yeah you don’t want a zero covid strategy.Somehow here in Perth someone caught covid whilst in hotel quarantine, sealed in their room.No open windows etc.We’re back under lockdown for 3 days over two cases.

Considering the vaccine doesn’t stop people getting or spreading covid I can’t see how international travel can ever return to normal.Government here needs to clarify their long term position, Even the health minister recently stated international borders may not reopen even if everyone had the vaccine.

https://amp.smh.com.au/politics/federal/international-borders-might-not-open-even-if-whole-country-is-vaccinated-greg-hunt-20210413-p57ixi.html
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7PvoI6gvQs
Slydie
Profile Joined August 2013
1929 Posts
April 25 2021 10:23 GMT
#7485
On April 25 2021 19:06 iPlaY.NettleS wrote:
Yeah you don’t want a zero covid strategy.Somehow here in Perth someone caught covid whilst in hotel quarantine, sealed in their room.No open windows etc.We’re back under lockdown for 3 days over two cases.

Considering the vaccine doesn’t stop people getting or spreading covid I can’t see how international travel can ever return to normal.Government here needs to clarify their long term position, Even the health minister recently stated international borders may not reopen even if everyone had the vaccine.

https://amp.smh.com.au/politics/federal/international-borders-might-not-open-even-if-whole-country-is-vaccinated-greg-hunt-20210413-p57ixi.html


I am not worried. Our collective immune system (with the help of vaccines) will take care of this, as it has with every previous pandemic, given time.

People will die from Covid 30 years from now, but it will be brought in line with every other infectious illness we are facing. The fear is the most dangerous for returning to normal life.

I absolutely hate how a covid-19 death is somehow regarded worse than dying from anything else. People die, and there is nothing we can do about it, we should only really care about overloading the hospitals imo.
Buff the siegetank
Magic Powers
Profile Joined April 2012
Austria4478 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-04-25 11:20:31
April 25 2021 11:17 GMT
#7486
On April 25 2021 14:30 xM(Z wrote:
for what is worth, i share his impression of you. you come off extremely scared/terrified, overcompensating with rules and deeds for every non-zero covid scenario.

edit:
Show nested quote +
why most of our world leaders have decided to shut down huge sectors of their respective economies for more than a year?
because even without covid, there is a major economic crisis(worse than the one in 2007/2008) going on.
the governments are using the 'shut downs' to control on what the people can spend their money: close off the entertainment <-> leave open food stores, etc..., with the result that (statistics show)some people have excess savings, savings to be spent to relaunch the economy(allegedly) on "covid end". consumerism ftw.


Both our freedoms and the economy suffer the least in a zero covid scenario. That has nothing to do with me being scared or overcompensating. I want my freedom back and I want the economy to recover. Both of that can be done best with no sars-cov-2 being around.
To support my position I can point to at least three countries that are either fully or mostly open and citizens have kept or regained either all or most of their freedoms, by bringing cases down to zero or near zero and making sure they don't go back up: Taiwan, Australia, NZ.
I could also add Singapore but I'd argue that wasn't a free country to begin with. However, if you look at their GDP, it hasn't suffered one bit, so in that regard they're also a success story. In most ways Vietnam falls into quite a similar category as Singapore.

Taiwan (as well as Singapore and Vietnam) has a very healthy GDP. Australia and NZ have not seen their GDP growing, but also not hurting any more than was expected without this virus being around.
Meanwhile GDP in many other countries has suffered immensely, including the US which was expected to grow but was forced to go just break-even. I challenge you to find a country that had a looser approach to the pandemic and didn't perform poorly economically in 2020/2021.

A lot of freedom was also removed from people in many countries, including many of the ones that had among the highest freedom index prior to the pandemic. With a zero covid approach, the Taiwanese have maintained most of their freedoms, and Australians and New Zealanders have mostly regained it.

https://www.movehub.com/blog/best-and-worst-covid-responses/
If you want to do the right thing, 80% of your job is done if you don't do the wrong thing.
evilfatsh1t
Profile Joined October 2010
Australia8794 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-04-25 12:19:44
April 25 2021 12:18 GMT
#7487
On April 25 2021 19:23 Slydie wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 25 2021 19:06 iPlaY.NettleS wrote:
Yeah you don’t want a zero covid strategy.Somehow here in Perth someone caught covid whilst in hotel quarantine, sealed in their room.No open windows etc.We’re back under lockdown for 3 days over two cases.

Considering the vaccine doesn’t stop people getting or spreading covid I can’t see how international travel can ever return to normal.Government here needs to clarify their long term position, Even the health minister recently stated international borders may not reopen even if everyone had the vaccine.

https://amp.smh.com.au/politics/federal/international-borders-might-not-open-even-if-whole-country-is-vaccinated-greg-hunt-20210413-p57ixi.html


I am not worried. Our collective immune system (with the help of vaccines) will take care of this, as it has with every previous pandemic, given time.

People will die from Covid 30 years from now, but it will be brought in line with every other infectious illness we are facing. The fear is the most dangerous for returning to normal life.

I absolutely hate how a covid-19 death is somehow regarded worse than dying from anything else. People die, and there is nothing we can do about it, we should only really care about overloading the hospitals imo.

yeah pretty much this. this has been my stance since pretty much the beginning of covid, but somehow now its apparently a crime to think that covid deaths are inevitable and we should think about returning to normal lives for everyone who isnt going to die. 3 day lockdowns because of 1 case in perth is fking pathetic. thank god i dont have a dumbass potato for a premier like that in nsw.
the thing that angers me the most is that australians are either too lazy to do or say anything or dont give a fuck enough to say anything when the government does stupid shit. saying there wont be international travel until 2024 even with a fully vaccinated population should absolutely see people raise pitchforks at parliament house. instead the majority of the voting population is just gonna be like "oh well. australias fine, why leave?".
if the vaccine isnt going to work perfectly, then treat it like the flu. people will get sick and some people will die. doesnt mean the rest of the world has to live in cages because of it
Seeker *
Profile Blog Joined April 2005
Where dat snitch at?37058 Posts
April 25 2021 13:02 GMT
#7488
Locking this thread for now while I deal with posters spreading misinformation and shitting up the thread.
ModeratorPeople ask me, "Seeker, what are you seeking?" My answer? "Sleep, damn it! Always sleep!"
TL+ Member
Seeker *
Profile Blog Joined April 2005
Where dat snitch at?37058 Posts
April 28 2021 12:56 GMT
#7489
Unlocking for now. Do NOT spread misinformation about this virus!
ModeratorPeople ask me, "Seeker, what are you seeking?" My answer? "Sleep, damn it! Always sleep!"
TL+ Member
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18203 Posts
April 28 2021 14:04 GMT
#7490
On April 25 2021 21:18 evilfatsh1t wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 25 2021 19:23 Slydie wrote:
On April 25 2021 19:06 iPlaY.NettleS wrote:
Yeah you don’t want a zero covid strategy.Somehow here in Perth someone caught covid whilst in hotel quarantine, sealed in their room.No open windows etc.We’re back under lockdown for 3 days over two cases.

Considering the vaccine doesn’t stop people getting or spreading covid I can’t see how international travel can ever return to normal.Government here needs to clarify their long term position, Even the health minister recently stated international borders may not reopen even if everyone had the vaccine.

https://amp.smh.com.au/politics/federal/international-borders-might-not-open-even-if-whole-country-is-vaccinated-greg-hunt-20210413-p57ixi.html


I am not worried. Our collective immune system (with the help of vaccines) will take care of this, as it has with every previous pandemic, given time.

People will die from Covid 30 years from now, but it will be brought in line with every other infectious illness we are facing. The fear is the most dangerous for returning to normal life.

I absolutely hate how a covid-19 death is somehow regarded worse than dying from anything else. People die, and there is nothing we can do about it, we should only really care about overloading the hospitals imo.

yeah pretty much this. this has been my stance since pretty much the beginning of covid, but somehow now its apparently a crime to think that covid deaths are inevitable and we should think about returning to normal lives for everyone who isnt going to die. 3 day lockdowns because of 1 case in perth is fking pathetic. thank god i dont have a dumbass potato for a premier like that in nsw.
the thing that angers me the most is that australians are either too lazy to do or say anything or dont give a fuck enough to say anything when the government does stupid shit. saying there wont be international travel until 2024 even with a fully vaccinated population should absolutely see people raise pitchforks at parliament house. instead the majority of the voting population is just gonna be like "oh well. australias fine, why leave?".
if the vaccine isnt going to work perfectly, then treat it like the flu. people will get sick and some people will die. doesnt mean the rest of the world has to live in cages because of it


As very much not a microbiologist, I am hesitant to say anything either way, but flu is not a disease we "just agree to live with". It's a disease we cannot eradicate, and are constantly monitoring worldwide to ensure no new zoonotic strain jumps to humans and creates a pandemic. Covid is worse than almost all flu strains we know of. Just because the last time a flu was particularly awful was 100 years ago doesn't mean we can just "live with it".

There are overreactions, but there are also underreactions. I don't think we have figured out the ideal protocol here. But lockdowns (hopefully local) are going to be a part of dealing with new strains, probably forever. Just as they are a part of dealing with outbreaks of Ebola, MRSA and other particularly nasty diseases we have to deal with. Further research will tell us whether new Covid strains are hugely problematic and full lockdown of a whole area (building, neighbourhood, city, region...) is the advisable thing to do if a single case is detected (e.g. ebola)... or we can simply give a voluntary annual vaccine for everybody and be mostly safe treating people who *do* get sick as normal (e.g. flu). Even in the latter case, as with flu, if a new and unexpected strain pops up, more serious measures will need to be taken.
Doublemint
Profile Joined July 2011
Austria8703 Posts
April 28 2021 16:09 GMT
#7491
some interesting developments finally.

The European Union sues AstraZeneca over missing vaccine doses@NYTimes

The European Union has sued AstraZeneca over what the bloc has described as delays in shipping hundreds of millions of doses of coronavirus vaccines, a sharp escalation of a longstanding dispute between the bloc and the maker of one of the world’s most important vaccines.

AstraZeneca has said that it would be able to deliver only a third of the 300 million doses that European officials had been expecting by the end of June. As a result, European officials said on Monday that they believed AstraZeneca had broken its contract, and that they were seeking speedier deliveries than the company said it could muster.
Pride goeth before destruction, and an haughty spirit before the fall.
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22070 Posts
April 28 2021 16:19 GMT
#7492
On April 29 2021 01:09 Doublemint wrote:
some interesting developments finally.

The European Union sues AstraZeneca over missing vaccine doses@NYTimes

Show nested quote +
The European Union has sued AstraZeneca over what the bloc has described as delays in shipping hundreds of millions of doses of coronavirus vaccines, a sharp escalation of a longstanding dispute between the bloc and the maker of one of the world’s most important vaccines.

AstraZeneca has said that it would be able to deliver only a third of the 300 million doses that European officials had been expecting by the end of June. As a result, European officials said on Monday that they believed AstraZeneca had broken its contract, and that they were seeking speedier deliveries than the company said it could muster.
AZ seems to have sold more then they could produce/deliver because $$.

Only logical that it would result in consequences for them when they then feel to meet quota's.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
maybenexttime
Profile Blog Joined November 2006
Poland5747 Posts
April 28 2021 16:28 GMT
#7493
The weird thing is that they sold them at cost, so they weren't even seeking profits...
Silvanel
Profile Blog Joined March 2003
Poland4742 Posts
April 28 2021 16:31 GMT
#7494
I am sheduled to take pfizer vaccine on 14th of may.
Pathetic Greta hater.
Sbrubbles
Profile Joined October 2010
Brazil5776 Posts
April 28 2021 16:34 GMT
#7495
My parents got their first AZ vaccine today here is Brazil, I'm pretty happy about it.

Hopefully by the end of the year I can get mine
Bora Pain minha porra!
Lmui
Profile Joined November 2010
Canada6221 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-04-28 17:27:09
April 28 2021 17:26 GMT
#7496
Not sure what the USA is planning on doing with AZ. They're obviously not going to use it, so renegotiate the contracts so they can freely export it. Canada will obviously take any AZ that they're willing to give out despite the risks, and exporting all of it to Mexico would be fine as well. The USA is sitting on an inventory of 65m vaccine doses:
https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#vaccinations

I don't know how much longer they can stockpile without exporting - It's open in all states, and from what I've heard, most states have moved to a walk-in vaccination model. The vaccines are available to pretty much everyone at this point so I hope Biden's going to start sharing more than just AZ soon.

On a personal note, my parents are booked in for vaccination this weekend. 2.5 weeks until they're well protected, and I can breathe easy. Congrats to everyone who's already gotten vaccinated, it's the start of the end game for you.
andrewlt
Profile Joined August 2009
United States7702 Posts
April 28 2021 17:55 GMT
#7497
Yeah, I have no idea either. AZ vaccine is not yet approved here. The Pfizer/Moderna and maybe even the J&J ones look superior to it. I think we have enough of those to vaccinate everybody. There's also a Novavax one coming soon that looks like it will be closer to Pfizer/Moderna in efficacy. The Biden administration did negotiate a "loan" to Canada/Mexico that will likely not need to be repaid. Might as well just give it all away. Even the US business lobbying groups are pressuring the administration to donate them to other countries at this point.

A lot of US states have already waived residency requirements. I have relatives in Canada who said that their first and second doses were scheduled 4 months apart. I just told them to drive down here and get their second. Lots of Latin Americans are also coming here for their shots.

Personally, I'm scheduled to get my second dose in 2 weeks and will be fully vaccinated 2 weeks after that. I'm in the last cohort to be eligible here.
Dan HH
Profile Joined July 2012
Romania9165 Posts
April 28 2021 18:04 GMT
#7498
Got my 2nd dose last week even though I'm in the lowest priority tier. I was pleasantly surprised by how well everything was organized, from the online platform to the vaccination centre itself.

The only problem is demand. I don't think we'll even reach 30% fully vaccinated before the government has to start thinking of creative ways to coerce the rest into getting it.
Doublemint
Profile Joined July 2011
Austria8703 Posts
April 28 2021 18:31 GMT
#7499
... looks like my (personal) reservations were not unfounded regarding Sputnik V.

Brazil health regulator rejects Russia's Sputnik vaccine

Ana Carolina Moreira Marino Araujo, general manager for health monitoring, said that taking into account all the documentation presented, data acquired at in-person inspections and information from other regulators, "inherent risks" were too great.

A crucial issue was the presence in the vaccine of the adenovirus that could reproduce, a "serious" defect, according to Anvisa's medicines and biological products manager Gustavo Mendes.

The Sputnik V shot has been approved in several countries around the world. Russian scientists say it is 97.6% effective against COVID-19 in a "real-world" assessment based on data from 3.8 million people, Moscow's Gamaleya Institute and the Russian Direct Investment Fund said last week.

But, like Anvisa, the European Union has not yet approved the vaccine, saying it needs more information on the tests and manufacturing process.


I am starting to see a pattern. Slovakia came to the same conclusion as Brazil.@Reuters via yahoo finance

SUKL said the batches sent to Slovakia also showed different characteristics from those used in studies published in The Lancet peer-reviewed medical journal.

The Russian Direct Investment Fund, Russia's sovereign wealth fund responsible for marketing the vaccine abroad, vigorously denied these claims, describing them as "fake news".

It said the Slovak side had not tested the shot in a specially-certified laboratory, adding that this was in violation of contract obligations and "an act of sabotage".

RDIF said it had requested the Slovak government send some batches to a European Union certified laboratory for additional tests, as well as send the main shipment back to Russia.

"RDIF ... has sent a letter on April 6, 2021 asking to return the vaccine due to multiple contract violations so that it can be used in other countries," a statement, shared on the vaccine's official Twitter page, said.

"All Sputnik V batches are of the same quality and undergo rigorous quality control at the Gamaleya Institute," it said.

DATA GAP

Slovakia's drug agency also concluded that it could not determine the benefits and risks of Sputnik V, due to gaps in the data provided by Moscow about pre-clinical testing, production, and clinical tests.

"A substantial part of the data, approximately 80%, was not supplied even after repeated requests," it said.


RDIF did not respond to questions about gaps in the data identified by SUKL.

The wealth fund said its chief executive, Kirill Dmitriev, had held a meeting with Slovakia's Finance Minister Igor Matovič earlier in the day, adding that "RDIF remains committed to assisting the people of Slovakia with vaccination by Sputnik V."
Given serious delays in EU-wide orders of vaccines, Matovič planned to make Slovakia the second EU country after Hungary to start using the vaccine, despite a lack of clearance from the EU medicines agency EMA.


EMA approval process is still ongoing. fingers crossed! lol

Pride goeth before destruction, and an haughty spirit before the fall.
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18203 Posts
April 28 2021 19:21 GMT
#7500
However much I'd like to believe Anvisa to be an independent and trustworthy source, with Bolsonaro as president, I don't. Bolsonaro doesn't want vaccines (yes, he's that much of crazy), so a government agency denying approval is "convenient". The Slovak agency seems like a way better source.
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