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Coronavirus and You - Page 192

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Any and all updates regarding the COVID-19 will need a source provided. Please do your part in helping us to keep this thread maintainable and under control.

It is YOUR responsibility to fully read through the sources that you link, and you MUST provide a brief summary explaining what the source is about. Do not expect other people to do the work for you.

Conspiracy theories and fear mongering will absolutely not be tolerated in this thread. Expect harsh mod actions if you try to incite fear needlessly.

This is not a politics thread! You are allowed to post information regarding politics if it's related to the coronavirus, but do NOT discuss politics in here.

Added a disclaimer on page 662. Many need to post better.
MarlieChurphy
Profile Blog Joined January 2013
United States2063 Posts
July 04 2020 09:01 GMT
#3821
On July 03 2020 06:56 Seeker wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 03 2020 05:33 Mohdoo wrote:
Do we have anyone from Florida around? What's it like over there? It seems like a complete disaster.

My girlfriend lives in Florida, so I've gone down to visit her a couple of times this year. Floridians are pretty much in denial. COVID-19 just doesn't exist for them...

Masks? Nope. No one wears masks. If I walk around with a mask on and they see me, they just roll their eyes and shake their heads. Either that, or they just avoid me entirely since I'm Asian.

Social Distancing? Nope. People are always getting together for barbecue parties and other social gatherings. I see people openly playing sports like basketball, frisbee golf, and other activities that require your bodies to be way too close to each other.

Working from home? Yes, but they hate it. One of my gf's friends actually worked in a place where the CEO refused to shut down and have their employees work from home until a positive COVID-19 case finally came out from one of their own. And after having everyone work from home, this company was one of the first ones to open up again and have everyone come into the office.

Gyms have reopened. Restaurants too. Dining in is heavily frowned upon, but some people don't care, and they just do it anyway. At least most people prefer outdoor seating if the option is available.

It's bad down there... They simply just don't care...



Doesnt florida have a high population of older people? You would then infer based on the fact that it kills mostly older people, that it would have a higher kill rate compared to a similar climate, city layouts, public transit and housing. Have you compared it with any other states or city vs city across the globe who is doing more?
RIP SPOR 11/24/11 NEVAR FORGET
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-07-04 16:05:12
July 04 2020 13:43 GMT
#3822
--- Nuked ---
Nevuk
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States16280 Posts
July 04 2020 17:24 GMT
#3823
On July 04 2020 18:01 MarlieChurphy wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 03 2020 06:56 Seeker wrote:
On July 03 2020 05:33 Mohdoo wrote:
Do we have anyone from Florida around? What's it like over there? It seems like a complete disaster.

My girlfriend lives in Florida, so I've gone down to visit her a couple of times this year. Floridians are pretty much in denial. COVID-19 just doesn't exist for them...

Masks? Nope. No one wears masks. If I walk around with a mask on and they see me, they just roll their eyes and shake their heads. Either that, or they just avoid me entirely since I'm Asian.

Social Distancing? Nope. People are always getting together for barbecue parties and other social gatherings. I see people openly playing sports like basketball, frisbee golf, and other activities that require your bodies to be way too close to each other.

Working from home? Yes, but they hate it. One of my gf's friends actually worked in a place where the CEO refused to shut down and have their employees work from home until a positive COVID-19 case finally came out from one of their own. And after having everyone work from home, this company was one of the first ones to open up again and have everyone come into the office.

Gyms have reopened. Restaurants too. Dining in is heavily frowned upon, but some people don't care, and they just do it anyway. At least most people prefer outdoor seating if the option is available.

It's bad down there... They simply just don't care...



Doesnt florida have a high population of older people? You would then infer based on the fact that it kills mostly older people, that it would have a higher kill rate compared to a similar climate, city layouts, public transit and housing. Have you compared it with any other states or city vs city across the globe who is doing more?

Currently it is mostly spiking among young people. However, young people can very easily spread it to the elderly, but we won't see if that's happened for another week or so. Florida has also rather infamously been accused of cooking its coronavirus stats by a former employee.
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-07-04 22:08:39
July 04 2020 22:04 GMT
#3824
--- Nuked ---
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21952 Posts
July 04 2020 23:25 GMT
#3825
On July 05 2020 07:04 JimmiC wrote:
Are these numbers frightening enough people to make a difference or are July 4 celebrations still going on? I'm hearing hospitals are al readying filling up and the number are growing not even stabilizing.

https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates/2020/07/04/887286322/states-shatter-coronavirus-records-as-officials-eye-holiday-weekend-with-alarm

https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2020/03/16/816707182/map-tracking-the-spread-of-the-coronavirus-in-the-u-s
Why would numbers be stabilising? it hasn't been 2 weeks yet since measures were taken (some places are still barely taking measures).
Expect at least another 2 weeks of increasing cases.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Simberto
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Germany11629 Posts
July 04 2020 23:29 GMT
#3826
Is the US finally starting to do something, or do they still have the Trumpian plan of simply ignoring the pandemic and hoping that it goes away if they don't accept its existance going on?

The numbers should be frightening. But they should have been frightening a month ago, too.
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
July 05 2020 00:38 GMT
#3827
--- Nuked ---
Starlightsun
Profile Blog Joined June 2016
United States1405 Posts
July 05 2020 08:40 GMT
#3828
On July 05 2020 08:29 Simberto wrote:
Is the US finally starting to do something, or do they still have the Trumpian plan of simply ignoring the pandemic and hoping that it goes away if they don't accept its existance going on?

The numbers should be frightening. But they should have been frightening a month ago, too.


Varies a lot by state I think. National leadership has been non-existent. The numbers should be frightening but seemingly a lot of people still take it lightly or even claim it is a hoax. Mind boggling how selfish and arrogant people are acting about simple precautions like mask wearing.
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21952 Posts
July 05 2020 10:20 GMT
#3829
On July 05 2020 09:38 JimmiC wrote:
That is my question I know some counties are putting in measures. But are people falling them.
you mean following?
Purely anecdotal evidence from the internet, which doesn't mean much, says that many aren't listening but I don't know if that is a small minority that stands out or if its bigger and more dangerous.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Elroi
Profile Joined August 2009
Sweden5599 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-07-05 12:19:25
July 05 2020 12:15 GMT
#3830
On July 05 2020 07:04 JimmiC wrote:
Are these numbers frightening enough people to make a difference or are July 4 celebrations still going on? I'm hearing hospitals are al readying filling up and the number are growing not even stabilizing.

https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates/2020/07/04/887286322/states-shatter-coronavirus-records-as-officials-eye-holiday-weekend-with-alarm

https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2020/03/16/816707182/map-tracking-the-spread-of-the-coronavirus-in-the-u-s

What strikes me as particularly tragic with the situation in the States is that, from what I have understood, quite tough measures were actually put in place, but not in a consistent way and not at the right time (mostly too late), so that everything that was possibly gained by locking down the country was immediately lost. But not before pushing 10s of millions of people into unemployment. And, quite honestly, after what has arguably been the largest protest movement in the history of the country, it seems almost pointless to me to even try to stop the spread of the disease at this point.

On July 05 2020 09:38 JimmiC wrote:
That is my question I know some counties are putting in measures. But are people falling them.

My experience from Stockholm, where the measures weren't mandatory, is that people generally followed the recommendations very well until Easter. After that things have slowly gone back to almost exactly as it was before.
"To all eSports fans, I want to be remembered as a progamer who can make something out of nothing, and someone who always does his best. I think that is the right way of living, and I'm always doing my best to follow that." - Jaedong. /watch?v=jfghAzJqAp0
Dangermousecatdog
Profile Joined December 2010
United Kingdom7084 Posts
July 05 2020 12:52 GMT
#3831
Social distancing rules have eased in UK since yesterday. They were announced last week, so people had time to prepare.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-51506729 gives a summary as well as the rules in the other countries.
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
July 05 2020 14:06 GMT
#3832
--- Nuked ---
ZeromuS
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
Canada13389 Posts
July 05 2020 16:58 GMT
#3833
On July 05 2020 23:06 JimmiC wrote:
@gorsameth auto correct for the loss!

@elroi I'm not sure that the protests have made that much of a difference in the spread. Not saying it is nothing but the areas that are exploding are not the areas with the biggest protests they are the ones where governor's ignored the numbers, down played the Pandemic, have lots of Trump supporters(which means no masks and no distancing) and reopened earlier. I think the protests are actually relatively low risk since they are outdoors and I see a lot of masks. The main spread seem to be inside whether that is work, clubs, and so on.

The protests, beaches and all that is not no risk, but just not compared to even regular home gatherings with group and so on.


Seems to me that the US is facing the following systemic errors:

- they did enable some closures and lockdowns in parts of the country where cases were beginning to climb

-- however --

- interstate travel wasn't restricted (meant reservoirs could spread the virus)
- numbers were never taken seriously at the federal level either


ALSO

- states that had zero cases closed too soon to "avoid coronavirus" - but they didnt have any curve to lower

- So they opened it up once their economies were too harmed and then they opened too fast once the virus actually got to them


The US is HUGE! Like, they did the backwards of what was necessary. If they wanted to lock every state down they should have done it in a coordinated manner with interstate travel restrictions. This would have limited hotspot spread and they should have opened more slowly.

Basically - what Canada and all other countries tried to do. They locked down inter-regional travel with the exception of supply chains. This limited the ability for one reservoir to spread the virus to another. Then the social distance and lockdown rules actually worked because each smaller region was able to independently slow the spread which meant that doing some reopening was safe.

When the numbers are small enough contact tracing and managing smaller outbreaks is possible. But in a lot of parts of the US its clear the numbers never got small enough before opening which just exacerbated all the issues in place.

At the very least the US is teaching other countries to be extra careful and slow in opening up.

Also they'll be barred from international travel for a very long time given how much worse they are then the rest of the developed western world. People will sooner travel to china and some of south america than america at this rate.
StrategyRTS forever | @ZeromuS_plays | www.twitch.tv/Zeromus_
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
July 05 2020 17:12 GMT
#3834
The last couple of weeks have been quite strange. Notionally, it seems like life is "back to normal with masks" - stores are open, going into the office at work is a regular occurrence, roads are filled up, crowds gather in popular locations, so on and so forth. Airports, the first to see trouble, look relatively busy and flights are starting to look full again. The stock market is seeing sunshine and rainbows anywhere and everywhere.

But on some level, it's pretty clear that this whole thing is an illusion. Case numbers are reaching new highs and it's not hard to see that this happened the moment the US started to open up again. Most aggressively in the states and localities that didn't take the virus seriously, but even in those that acted carefully the news is only so-so. Feels like it's only a matter of time before things go from bad to worse and we're right back to a replay of March's debacle.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15725 Posts
July 05 2020 20:09 GMT
#3835
On July 06 2020 02:12 LegalLord wrote:
The last couple of weeks have been quite strange. Notionally, it seems like life is "back to normal with masks" - stores are open, going into the office at work is a regular occurrence, roads are filled up, crowds gather in popular locations, so on and so forth. Airports, the first to see trouble, look relatively busy and flights are starting to look full again. The stock market is seeing sunshine and rainbows anywhere and everywhere.

But on some level, it's pretty clear that this whole thing is an illusion.
Case numbers are reaching new highs and it's not hard to see that this happened the moment the US started to open up again. Most aggressively in the states and localities that didn't take the virus seriously, but even in those that acted carefully the news is only so-so. Feels like it's only a matter of time before things go from bad to worse and we're right back to a replay of March's debacle.


Yeah I definitely agree. This has been a really great example of why federal governments exist. You can't have individual states floundering a pandemic response. The federal government needed to step up, take leadership, dictate methodology, provide support where needed and minimize the spread. States rights are a great thing in a lot of instances, but you can't let a pandemic be improperly/insufficiently suppressed. The whole point is that it gets worse with time. Countries that took appropriate action early on are reaping the benefits now. We are losing more money by trying to save money. It was illogical, short term thinking that was clearly wrong. A competent federal government would have saved 10s of thousands of lives. Very sad situation and it is clearly going to get much worse. I hope more states institute state quarantine procedures.
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
July 05 2020 20:32 GMT
#3836
--- Nuked ---
Lmui
Profile Joined November 2010
Canada6215 Posts
July 06 2020 22:31 GMT
#3837
Can't really argue with results. Apart from the pretty brutal lesson in LTC homes, Canada has done amazingly well. In terms of new cases, we're around current Italy level. As a country, we have far more faith in our healthcare system, public officials and it really helps when you have headlines like this which reinforce trust.

The Top Doctor Who Aced the Coronavirus Test

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/05/world/canada/bonnie-henry-british-columbia-coronavirus.html

If BC's stats were extrapolated to Canada, we'd have 22161 cases and 1331 deaths. Extrapolated to USA, that's the equivalent of 191k cases, 11.5k deaths, which is less than 1/10th of what the USA has, despite the outbreaks in LTC homes.
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
July 06 2020 22:49 GMT
#3838
--- Nuked ---
Lmui
Profile Joined November 2010
Canada6215 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-07-07 07:45:01
July 07 2020 07:44 GMT
#3839
The next major milestone for the US is 1% of total population officially infected by covid. This milestone should happen in the next week.

It's staggering how badly handled it is on the whole. They were the last major country to get hit, and are handling it about as badly as possible.

The canadian border is a bit leaky unfortunately with people who are "going to alaska". I live in a not touristy location, but Whistler, banff and other major destinations might get hammered by Americans.
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
July 07 2020 15:32 GMT
#3840
--- Nuked ---
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