Coronavirus and You - Page 193
| Forum Index > General Forum |
Any and all updates regarding the COVID-19 will need a source provided. Please do your part in helping us to keep this thread maintainable and under control. It is YOUR responsibility to fully read through the sources that you link, and you MUST provide a brief summary explaining what the source is about. Do not expect other people to do the work for you. Conspiracy theories and fear mongering will absolutely not be tolerated in this thread. Expect harsh mod actions if you try to incite fear needlessly. This is not a politics thread! You are allowed to post information regarding politics if it's related to the coronavirus, but do NOT discuss politics in here. Added a disclaimer on page 662. Many need to post better. | ||
|
JimmiC
Canada22817 Posts
| ||
|
Danglars
United States12133 Posts
On July 07 2020 16:44 Lmui wrote: The next major milestone for the US is 1% of total population officially infected by covid. This milestone should happen in the next week. It's staggering how badly handled it is on the whole. They were the last major country to get hit, and are handling it about as badly as possible. The canadian border is a bit leaky unfortunately with people who are "going to alaska". I live in a not touristy location, but Whistler, banff and other major destinations might get hammered by Americans. Last major country to get hit? Does South America not have any major countries, somehow? We should be seeing the start of increases in deaths, since states like Arizona had a surge starting in late May. That hasn't happened yet. Despite all the people telling me (at the time) just wait two weeks. Georgia weekly cases up 200% compared to last month, weekly deaths down 60%. Handling it better is part of the reason, along with younger people getting tested and testing positive, and availability of PPE and testing in general. The country has been reopening, as it should, and the only things that will show we're "handling it about as badly as possible" is if hospitalizations exceed capacity, or deaths start mimicking the earlier peaks. (In fact, it's hard to find places that are handling the recent surge badly ... like they had plans and implemented them) | ||
|
JimmiC
Canada22817 Posts
| ||
|
Mohdoo
United States15725 Posts
On July 08 2020 01:02 JimmiC wrote: Brazilian Prime minster just got diagnosed Covid, he has been against measures and even attempted to block measures in various states. Perhaps this experience will change his outlook. https://www.msn.com/en-ca/news/world/brazils-president-bolsonaro-tests-positive-for-covid-19/ar-BB16rxI0?li=AAggNb9 Just like Trump, he 100% will receive antibody plasma. He will not suffer. Antibody plasma treatment is totally nonviable for a whole country, but super easy when you just need to keep 1 dude alive. | ||
|
LegalLord
United States13779 Posts
| ||
|
Gorsameth
Netherlands21953 Posts
On July 08 2020 02:16 Mohdoo wrote: The effective of plasma treatment is in doubt. Just like Trump, he 100% will receive antibody plasma. He will not suffer. Antibody plasma treatment is totally nonviable for a whole country, but super easy when you just need to keep 1 dude alive. A major hospital in the Netherlands stopped the research this week because patients are apparently already producing their own antibodies, and administering more doesn't seem to have much effect. (source in dutch: www.ad.nl | ||
|
Mohdoo
United States15725 Posts
On July 08 2020 02:28 Gorsameth wrote: The effective of plasma treatment is in doubt. A major hospital in the Netherlands stopped the research this week because patients are apparently already producing their own antibodies, and administering more doesn't seem to have much effect. (source in dutch: www.ad.nl I'm not so sure I buy that, especially when effective plasma treatment for covid would basically create a humanitarian crisis. Since the best case scenario for antibody plasma treatment is shortly after a donor has recovered, with the correct donor blood type, I can't imagine a world where just getting blasted with a bunch of ripe plasma full of antibodies wouldn't help someone either prevent critical infection or prevent it all together. The fundamentals of antibody plasma treatment, as I understand it, are pretty irrefutible, its just that the "ideal" scenario is incredibly unreasonable and COMPLETELY impossible on a large scale. But if the US government was extremely methodical in securing plasma for Trump at the ideal times, from ideal donors, it would be negligent for him to not be receiving plasma treatment. | ||
|
Lmui
Canada6215 Posts
On July 08 2020 01:44 Danglars wrote: Last major country to get hit? Does South America not have any major countries, somehow? We should be seeing the start of increases in deaths, since states like Arizona had a surge starting in late May. That hasn't happened yet. Despite all the people telling me (at the time) just wait two weeks. Georgia weekly cases up 200% compared to last month, weekly deaths down 60%. Handling it better is part of the reason, along with younger people getting tested and testing positive, and availability of PPE and testing in general. The country has been reopening, as it should, and the only things that will show we're "handling it about as badly as possible" is if hospitalizations exceed capacity, or deaths start mimicking the earlier peaks. (In fact, it's hard to find places that are handling the recent surge badly ... like they had plans and implemented them) Compared to Italy, UK, France, Germany and a host of other countries, yeah USA was the last to get hit hard. They're also #1 in the world as far as cases and deaths go. Yeah, the states tests a lot, but when in excess of 15 of the tests turn out positive when you're doing that volume of testing, covid is spreading faster than you're testing. Florida performed 48.5k tests yesterday. Of those, 16.2% were positive. It was pretty clear months ago that to be able to control it, you need to test enough to get that under 5% in order to catch anyone who might have been exposed. At the individual/hospital level, they're doing the best they can with resources available, but younger people getting infected will almost inevitably result in older populations getting hammered as well as they interact. | ||
|
LegalLord
United States13779 Posts
On July 08 2020 08:21 Lmui wrote: Compared to Italy, UK, France, Germany and a host of other countries, yeah USA was the last to get hit hard. That doesn't really seem entirely accurate. Italy was definitely ahead of the US in getting hit, as was Germany, but Spain and France only very slightly ahead and the UK was either behind or on par in terms of when the infection started to get as bad as it did. Russia and Brazil definitely had later infections. The US was pretty cleanly in the middle on chronology of infection. That being said, some bad handling of the virus is quite valid to acknowledge. Perhaps as far as to note that for an allegedly "highest prepared for a pandemic" nation, it sure as hell should've noticed and responded to the disaster that was brewing in China, well before it reached Europe.That evidently was not a priority. | ||
|
JimmiC
Canada22817 Posts
| ||
|
JimmiC
Canada22817 Posts
| ||
|
Danglars
United States12133 Posts
On July 08 2020 08:21 Lmui wrote: Compared to Italy, UK, France, Germany and a host of other countries, yeah USA was the last to get hit hard. They're also #1 in the world as far as cases and deaths go. Yeah, the states tests a lot, but when in excess of 15 of the tests turn out positive when you're doing that volume of testing, covid is spreading faster than you're testing. Florida performed 48.5k tests yesterday. Of those, 16.2% were positive. It was pretty clear months ago that to be able to control it, you need to test enough to get that under 5% in order to catch anyone who might have been exposed. So it appears you mean “Western Europe democracies.” Your “major countries” threw me for a loop. At the individual/hospital level, they're doing the best they can with resources available, but younger people getting infected will almost inevitably result in older populations getting hammered as well as they interact. Everybody knows how dangerous it is to the elderly. So I think we’ll keep seeing huge case growth and decreases or tiny bumps to deaths. See: Georgia month to month 200% case increase, 60% death decrease. See also: New York nursing home deaths are higher than Florida’s total deaths ... and you probably know the demographics of Florida. | ||
|
Kipsate
Netherlands45349 Posts
CFR ahould still be a lot lower because more young people and you test more widespread on average wheras previously it was skewed to more vurnerable groups. That and hospitals have overall getting better at treating people. | ||
|
Danglars
United States12133 Posts
| ||
|
Wegandi
United States2455 Posts
On July 08 2020 15:29 Kipsate wrote: I think a larger problem is that ICUs are getting maxed out in some places, so eventually even though you can treat them normally you simply dont have the capacity to do so. Plus this might influence non-covid patients too. Back to the idea of healthcare systems getting overwhelmed. CFR ahould still be a lot lower because more young people and you test more widespread on average wheras previously it was skewed to more vurnerable groups. That and hospitals have overall getting better at treating people. The lockdown was way worse for non-covid patients seeing as elective surgeries were cancelled and the fear and hysteria made many people stay home even when hospital services were warranted. By the way, I'm curious why EU testing is so poopy? (I.e. low per capita testing rates) | ||
|
Geisterkarle
Germany3257 Posts
On July 08 2020 16:29 Wegandi wrote: By the way, I'm curious why EU testing is so poopy? (I.e. low per capita testing rates) I asked somewhere, how the US is testing. Can anyone get tested? Because at least here in Germany you basically can't! Or better: a week ago Bavaria started a program so that anybody can test themselves. But that is only one county, they get backlash from the others and ... well, it started a week ago... Before that Germany actually was hailed as a country to do a lot of testing! But I also heard those "funny" stories of people tested positive, and their closest connections were like "Oh, should I get a test too?" and the local health department answered: "Do you have any symptoms? No? Meh, just quarantine yourself for 2 weeks and call us if you get a cough" ... and a day later you could read in the news, that Germany has a much higher capacity of testing, but it isn't used... ohoho, how could that happen!?!?!? ... | ||
|
Elroi
Sweden5599 Posts
On July 08 2020 16:29 Wegandi wrote: The lockdown was way worse for non-covid patients seeing as elective surgeries were cancelled and the fear and hysteria made many people stay home even when hospital services were warranted. By the way, I'm curious why EU testing is so poopy? (I.e. low per capita testing rates) From what I understand testing capacity varies greatly from country to country due to the availability of laboratories. Here in Sweden the government gets a lot of flack for not being able to analyze more tests quicker, despite promising to do so. On the other hand I think it is impressive that countries like South Korea managed to ramp up the testing so quickly. But earlier on here, of course, the strategy wasn't to test as many people as possible and eliminate the disease, but rather to let it have its course in the safest way possible. So the number of tests were extremely low in the beginning compared to almost all other countries. | ||
|
JimmiC
Canada22817 Posts
| ||
|
Derity
Germany2952 Posts
On July 08 2020 17:49 Geisterkarle wrote: I asked somewhere, how the US is testing. Can anyone get tested? Because at least here in Germany you basically can't! Or better: a week ago Bavaria started a program so that anybody can test themselves. But that is only one county, they get backlash from the others and ... well, it started a week ago... Before that Germany actually was hailed as a country to do a lot of testing! But I also heard those "funny" stories of people tested positive, and their closest connections were like "Oh, should I get a test too?" and the local health department answered: "Do you have any symptoms? No? Meh, just quarantine yourself for 2 weeks and call us if you get a cough" ... and a day later you could read in the news, that Germany has a much higher capacity of testing, but it isn't used... ohoho, how could that happen!?!?!? ... You can find the Germany test numbers here, last week it was close to 500k. https://www.rki.de/DE/Content/InfAZ/N/Neuartiges_Coronavirus/Situationsberichte/Gesamt.html Overall capacity would be somewhat more than 1m per week. Edited for clarity. | ||
|
Gorsameth
Netherlands21953 Posts
On July 08 2020 15:44 Danglars wrote: Meanwhile Texas appears to have 56 hospitals at capacity and another 34 at 10% or less remaining.I've seen ICU capacity flex to higher numbers in the worst places. Whatever floor capacity isn't designated COVID-ICU is rotated into that use, and other area hospitals help out. It's still possible that current strains do overwhelm capacity in the future, but there's not enough data to show that now. Hospitals are getting better at treating people. Arizona, as an example, has been patient transferring to smoothe loads, and bringing in out of state workers. Healthcare in some parts of the US definitely appears to be reaching capacity, which is not going to be good for the fatality rate. https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/506344-56-florida-icus-at-capacity-as-virus-surges | ||
| ||