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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 730

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Now that we have a new thread, in order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a complete and thorough read before posting!

NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

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If you have any questions, comments, concern, or feedback regarding the USPMT, then please use this thread: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/website-feedback/510156-us-politics-thread
FueledUpAndReadyToGo
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
Netherlands30548 Posts
September 25 2018 18:15 GMT
#14581
How did Avenatti gain so much influence? Everyone is flocking towards him it seems.
Neosteel Enthusiast
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18869 Posts
September 25 2018 18:19 GMT
#14582
Avenatti may be a blustery slimebag of a fellow, but he's quite savvy and adept at navigating today's shitshow of a mediascape. Whether he actually delivers on his many promises remains to be seen lol, but the man is a better salesman than most talking heads and public figures out there.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
ticklishmusic
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States15977 Posts
September 25 2018 18:20 GMT
#14583
Part of it is he's able to operate with far fewer restraints since he's basically solo.
(╯°□°)╯︵ ┻━┻
pmh
Profile Joined March 2016
1416 Posts
September 25 2018 19:03 GMT
#14584
They had a short piece on kavanaugh today on national tv here. A statement he has made together with his wife about the allegations. First time I saw him on tv,i have not seen the accuser yet but kavanaugh came across as trustworthy and telling the truth. It was a bit of a surprise for me as I more or less expected some sleazy slick politician.
If it ends up being his word against the accusers then I think he will get through.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
September 25 2018 19:20 GMT
#14585
He is an reasonably skilled attorney and federal judge, so it is pretty much a give in that he wouldn’t give up the “Yo, I be a sexual predator” vibe during an interview. But you are right that he is banking on appearing trustworthy, rather than having some sort of investigation to determine some basic facts.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
dragoon
Profile Joined December 2010
United States695 Posts
September 25 2018 19:55 GMT
#14586
Unless someone shows irrefutable evidence (which won't happen) it will be his word against her's.
i love you
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18869 Posts
September 25 2018 19:58 GMT
#14587
There are plenty of peripheral characters involved at this point, including additional accusers and classmates of Kavanaugh from both GP and Yale, so that's not really accurate.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15743 Posts
September 25 2018 20:01 GMT
#14588
What is interesting to me is that you can tell some people see "well we should just investigate it at least" as an indirect way of just voting no. I think most people are pretty confident if an investigation occurs, he either bails or is canned by someone else. If the investigation happens, he is likely toast. But we are seeing Murkowski push for an investigation. An investigation occurring is the best case scenario for Colins/Murkowski. Once the investigation starts, they are wayyyy safer to just bail on Kavanaugh. But they don't have the freedom to do that quite yet. And yet, if they vote for Kavanaugh, they are likely losing their next election. Very difficult situation for both of them. What THEY want, selfishly speaking, is for Kavanaugh to end up so toxic that everyone bails on him. That is the only way come out of this unscathed.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
September 25 2018 21:02 GMT
#14589
The senators asking for an investigation just want a set of basic fact that everyone can agree on, rather than getting all their information from news reports and a "he said, she said" hearing.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
On_Slaught
Profile Joined August 2008
United States12190 Posts
September 25 2018 21:06 GMT
#14590
On September 26 2018 06:02 Plansix wrote:
The senators asking for an investigation just want a set of basic fact that everyone can agree on, rather than getting all their information from news reports and a "he said, she said" hearing.


Dont worry. I'm sure this calendar I keep hearing hyped up will be all the evidence Kavanaugh needs.
Logo
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States7542 Posts
September 25 2018 21:14 GMT
#14591
On September 26 2018 04:20 Plansix wrote:
He is an reasonably skilled attorney and federal judge, so it is pretty much a give in that he wouldn’t give up the “Yo, I be a sexual predator” vibe during an interview. But you are right that he is banking on appearing trustworthy, rather than having some sort of investigation to determine some basic facts.


Oddly enough I think if he gave off more of the frat boy attitude that he appears to actually have had, or at least cop to it, then he'd be in a better position. The accusations seem more credible simply because he's trying to play off a squeaky clean image (virgin, always been upstanding, etc.) that's consistently undermined by things like his yearbook or former associates.

So no matter what he's been lying in his response to this accusation and if he's already lying you may as well assume his denial is a lie as well. If he painted a more accurate picture of his younger self you'd probably still believe the accusations if so inclined, but at least he'd seem truthful in his statements and you'd have a more of he said - she said situation.

At this point even if the accusations are proven false, he's still almost certainly lying through his teeth which should be enough to discredit him.
Logo
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
September 25 2018 21:40 GMT
#14592
It appears the Republicans of the Senate Judiciary committee hired a female attorney to question Ford and haven’t told the Democrats on the committee who they hired. For safety reasons. Schumer has said "No one can find that out. That is a mystery."

The Democrats should just ask questions anyways and ignore the existence of the attorney they had no hand in hiring.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
ticklishmusic
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States15977 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-09-25 22:38:28
September 25 2018 22:32 GMT
#14593
On September 26 2018 03:10 farvacola wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 26 2018 02:56 ticklishmusic wrote:
Even assuming Kavanaugh is innocent here, the way he and his supporters are going about refuting the allegations don't exactly convince me he's a top legal mind.

He's definitely not a distinguished legal writer and as we're beginning to see, he likely got where he did because his politics matched up with those who paved the path for him. Many FedSoc "wonks" are shown to be incredibly out of their depth when prompted to engage with anything beyond their canned speaking points. This is why judges like Posner or Karen Moore are so deserving of praise; political viewpoint notwithstanding, they plainly show why they are respected with their words, both spoken and written.

To further emphasize the point, look up pretty much any of recently appointed FedSoc darling Judge Ho's opinions out of the Fifth Circuit. Dude writes like a Fox and Friends stenographer.


I was referring more to his incredibly unconvincing defense of his character, ranging from "here are 65 women I did not sexually assault" to "I have a calendar that tracks everything I did but i don't recall going to a party" and "I didn't get laid till after college, oral and written boasts to the contrary".

But yes, the Federalist Society and other similar orgs do tend to push people who "look" the part or have the pedigree. Look at noted policy wonk Paul Ryan, who is so fiscally conservative he sleeps in his office while adding a trillion dollars to the deficit.

Also Gorsuch, while a rather less controversial nominee, did get ridiculed for his overly pedantic and rhetorically ponderous opinions. I got the feeling he was typing with one hand while jerking himself off with the other. Either that, or his secret wish is to be a Shakespearean actor.
(╯°□°)╯︵ ┻━┻
On_Slaught
Profile Joined August 2008
United States12190 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-09-25 22:54:20
September 25 2018 22:43 GMT
#14594
It looks like they are officially scheduling a vote on Kavanaugh for this Friday. Farcetastic. I hope they go to a vote and lose rather than just not holding it. Murkowski has said she specifically wants an FBI investigation. If she is on the record saying that it seems there is a high chance she is a no given there will not be one.

Edit: err let me be clear.. it is a vote in the committee. Flake's vote is the one that matters there not Murkowski's. They want to make it so they can confirm him next week.
IyMoon
Profile Joined April 2016
United States1249 Posts
September 25 2018 22:55 GMT
#14595
On September 26 2018 07:43 On_Slaught wrote:
It looks like they are officially scheduling a vote on Kavanaugh for this Friday. Farcetastic. I hope they go to a vote and lose rather than just not holding it. Murkowski has said she specifically wants an FBI investigation. If she is on the record saying that it seems there is a high chance she is a no given there will not be one.

Edit: err let me be clear.. it is a vote in the committee. Flake's vote is the one that matters there not Murkowski's. They want to make it so they can confirm him next week.


They care so much about what she has to say that they scheduled a vote right after so its clear in their heads when they are voting! That is some compassion !
Something witty
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
September 25 2018 23:37 GMT
#14596
McConnel just said the hired a female assistant to ask the questions in a respectful manner. Female assistant.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Doodsmack
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States7224 Posts
September 25 2018 23:58 GMT
#14597
Strange that they scheduled the vote for so soon after. Its not like they are fooling anybody into thinking they care whether the allegations are true. Might as well have some spine and not hold the hearing in that case.
GoTuNk!
Profile Blog Joined September 2006
Chile4591 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-09-26 00:35:19
September 26 2018 00:31 GMT
#14598
On September 26 2018 08:58 Doodsmack wrote:
Strange that they scheduled the vote for so soon after. Its not like they are fooling anybody into thinking they care whether the allegations are true. Might as well have some spine and not hold the hearing in that case.


Neither party cares. If democrats cared, they would have brought it 6 weeks ago before the infinite written and presencial hearings with him, instead of the last moment possible. All they care is about stalling and it's pretty fucking transparent.
Republicans have no other option than hear and hold the vote, it has to be done before the midterms for more than obvious reasons.

Also, honestly, if the worse this guy did was what that woman alleges 35 YEARS AGO AS A MINOR DRUNK, he is a saint compared to pretty much every senator in there.
I find it hard to believe that "virgin Bret" was assaulting woman many years before his first time, unless I can see some sort of actual evidence.
GoTuNk!
Profile Blog Joined September 2006
Chile4591 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-09-26 00:33:01
September 26 2018 00:32 GMT
#14599
On September 26 2018 03:19 farvacola wrote:
Avenatti may be a blustery slimebag of a fellow, but he's quite savvy and adept at navigating today's shitshow of a mediascape. Whether he actually delivers on his many promises remains to be seen lol, but the man is a better salesman than most talking heads and public figures out there.


If the democrats flop on mid terms, Avenatti is my presidential candidate.
Debates with Trump will be beyond hilarious.
micronesia
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States24799 Posts
September 26 2018 00:39 GMT
#14600
Let's break this down.

On September 26 2018 09:31 GoTuNk! wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 26 2018 08:58 Doodsmack wrote:
Strange that they scheduled the vote for so soon after. Its not like they are fooling anybody into thinking they care whether the allegations are true. Might as well have some spine and not hold the hearing in that case.


Neither party cares. If democrats cared, they would have brought it 6 weeks ago before the infinite written and presencial hearings with him, instead of the last moment possible.
How many democrats knew about the accusations 6 weeks ago? There are quite a lot of democrats who did not know then and do know know and care. There are also non-democrats who care.

All they care is about stalling and it's pretty fucking transparent.
Who is they? You seem to be assuming there is some coordinated effort on the part of the Democrats and while, there may be some level of coordination, I doubt it is anywhere near as much as you are implying.
Republicans have no other option than hear and hold the vote
The concern isn't that the Republican leadership plans to hold the vote at some point after the hearing, it's that they have already announced their intention to hold the vote one day after the hearing. If the vote can be scheduled for three days from now, it could also be entered on to the schedule immediately after the hearing (presuming the hearing turns up nothing) for three days later (such as Monday or Tuesday).
it has to be done before the midterms for more than obvious reasons.
It only has to be done before the midterms if you assume that Kavanaugh should be confirmed, without complete information on whether he should be or not. I'm also not convinced it has to be before the midterms.

Also, honestly, if the worse this guy did was what that woman alleges 35 YEARS AGO AS A MINOR DRUNK, he is a saint compared to pretty much every senator in there.

I know this has already been discussed in this thread, but sexual assault, even 35 years ago, should be disqualifying for SCOTUS. Maybe not for all government jobs, but certainly that one. I also have no idea what you mean by 'as a minor drunk.' Also, if most/all of the Senators really are as dirty as you claim, then it's all the more reason why we need an untainted SCOTUS to keep them in check, not more of the same.
ModeratorThere are animal crackers for people and there are people crackers for animals.
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