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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 5049

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Now that we have a new thread, in order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a complete and thorough read before posting!

NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source.


If you have any questions, comments, concern, or feedback regarding the USPMT, then please use this thread: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/website-feedback/510156-us-politics-thread
oBlade
Profile Blog Joined December 2008
United States5505 Posts
4 hours ago
#100961
On June 22 2025 17:58 Magic Powers wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 22 2025 17:27 oBlade wrote:
On June 22 2025 15:46 Magic Powers wrote:
Lets try the thing one more time that has failed literally every single time. But this time it'll be different.

Trump supporters sound like problem gamblers.

There's no comparable examples of conventional strikes to enforce nonproliferation against a state you don't want to get nuclear weapons. Nobody did it with Pakistan. Bush drew a red line with North Korea and then ignored it and let them get nukes while he was distracted in the Middle East. This has "failed every single time" as much as it has "succeeded every single time" because there are 0 single times it has been tried before.


When was the last time NK launched a nuke of peace to another country?

North Korea has luckily never nuked anyone.

While someone doesn't have nuclear weapons, you know, no luck involved, the future time they nuke someone doesn't exist, and they won't share the technology with someone else, the way North Korea got the technology with help from Pakistan.
"I read it. You know how to read, you ignorant fuck?" - Andy Dufresne
Jankisa
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
Croatia510 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-06-22 10:16:35
3 hours ago
#100962
All I can say is that it's honestly disturbing watching the usual suspects here showing how much of a cult they are by towing the line perfectly.

The same "principled republicans" here who I'm sure were super duper against Iraq and are super anti war are here cheering this shit on.

The worse authoritarians in the west decided to escalate and start a war with a country of almost 100 million people and the bloodthirsty warmongers here are praising it and calling anyone who disagrees with their warmongering tankies.

This is Tel Aviv this morning:

[image loading]

I'm sure tomorrow Iranian government will step down peacefully, get replaced by peace loving hippies and welcome the liberators Bibi and Donald with a flower parade.
So, are you a pessimist? - On my better days. Are you a nihilist? - Not as much as I should be.
DarkPlasmaBall
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States44144 Posts
3 hours ago
#100963
On June 22 2025 15:08 tankgirl wrote:
I never post here or even read the newspapers anymore but I couldnt escape the headlines.

I am not informed enough to have an opinion on this complex issue. But after 20+ years of Iran's shenanigan, I am just grateful we finally have a strong Commander in Chief.

Show nested quote +
On June 22 2025 12:37 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
In the same single tweet, Trump both bragged about dropping "a full payload of BOMBS" and shouted "NOW IS THE TIME FOR PEACE".


Don't need Twitter to be reminded that's what our president is doing. Someone graciously printed it on the backs of our one-dollar bill, which we exchange with our hands daily:

+ Show Spoiler [imgur] +
[image loading]



First of all, “E pluribus unum” has nothing to do with hypocritically bombing Iran while asking for peace. Uniting the past colonies or present states or various communities of Americans into one country and one voice is literally the opposite of what Trump does, as he's the most divisive American president of our lives. Americans have been protesting him across all 50 states, and his rhetoric, actions, and favorability polls have *not* been encouraging.

Second, I'm not sure how you're defining "strong", but time and time again Trump's tough guy routine has backfired immensely on the American people.
"There is nothing more satisfying than looking at a crowd of people and helping them get what I love." ~Day[9] Daily #100
oBlade
Profile Blog Joined December 2008
United States5505 Posts
2 hours ago
#100964
On June 22 2025 19:15 Jankisa wrote:
All I can say is that it's honestly disturbing watching the usual suspects here showing how much of a cult they are by towing the line perfectly.

Someone needs to reign them in so they stop towing the line.
"I read it. You know how to read, you ignorant fuck?" - Andy Dufresne
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland24951 Posts
2 hours ago
#100965
On June 22 2025 13:44 Sermokala wrote:
By your logic Khameini has nothing left to lose. They have many proxies throughout the middle east, if they're going down they might as well go down swinging. The people aren't just going to forget grand humiliations and the violations of their sovereignty like this. There are going to be consequences for this and there is no reason to believe that we're going to get the egypt outcome from this, where at least the people are ruled like medieval peasants once again.

The lesson learned from this is to never cooperate with an international agency ever again, all you will gain is giving the great enemy coordinates to take out your program whenever they feel like it.

Aye that’s a fair point for sure

On June 22 2025 16:55 KwarK wrote:
“Bombing Iran? But your ad said no more wars”

“Oh, they got this all screwed up”

“So you won’t stay out of foreign wars?”

“No, more wars”

Well-played.
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
Doublemint
Profile Joined July 2011
Austria8483 Posts
2 hours ago
#100966
+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]


as a nice little reminder - that was in may 2003 btw.

declaring victory prematurely should have been the lesson.

but the essential question back then as it is today - is there an exit strategy? or just a spiral we hope does not turn downward as grumpy orange golfer is indeed pissed he had to fly back to Washington interrupting his inimitable golfing prowess. and dispel the TACO accusations.

leaving the next move to the theocratic regime in Iran pushed into a corner. what could possibly go wrong?


maybenexttime
Profile Blog Joined November 2006
Poland5536 Posts
2 hours ago
#100967
On June 22 2025 20:01 oBlade wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 22 2025 19:15 Jankisa wrote:
All I can say is that it's honestly disturbing watching the usual suspects here showing how much of a cult they are by towing the line perfectly.

Someone needs to reign them in so they stop towing the line.

It's "rein them in", you grammar commie.
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland24951 Posts
2 hours ago
#100968
On June 22 2025 20:20 maybenexttime wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 22 2025 20:01 oBlade wrote:
On June 22 2025 19:15 Jankisa wrote:
All I can say is that it's honestly disturbing watching the usual suspects here showing how much of a cult they are by towing the line perfectly.

Someone needs to reign them in so they stop towing the line.

It's "rein them in", you grammar commie.

*rain
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
DarkPlasmaBall
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States44144 Posts
2 hours ago
#100969
On June 22 2025 20:35 WombaT wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 22 2025 20:20 maybenexttime wrote:
On June 22 2025 20:01 oBlade wrote:
On June 22 2025 19:15 Jankisa wrote:
All I can say is that it's honestly disturbing watching the usual suspects here showing how much of a cult they are by towing the line perfectly.

Someone needs to reign them in so they stop towing the line.

It's "rein them in", you grammar commie.

*rain


**rainvfefe
"There is nothing more satisfying than looking at a crowd of people and helping them get what I love." ~Day[9] Daily #100
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21619 Posts
2 hours ago
#100970
On June 22 2025 20:19 Doublemint wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]


as a nice little reminder - that was in may 2003 btw.

declaring victory prematurely should have been the lesson.

but the essential question back then as it is today - is there an exit strategy? or just a spiral we hope does not turn downward as grumpy orange golfer is indeed pissed he had to fly back to Washington interrupting his inimitable golfing prowess. and dispel the TACO accusations.

leaving the next move to the theocratic regime in Iran pushed into a corner. what could possibly go wrong?
I assume the exit strategy is "we destroyed their enrichment facility, the rest Israel can handle, job done".
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland24951 Posts
2 hours ago
#100971
On June 22 2025 17:23 GreenHorizons wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 22 2025 07:51 WombaT wrote:
On June 22 2025 07:16 GreenHorizons wrote:
On June 22 2025 06:56 Turbovolver wrote:
On June 22 2025 00:40 GreenHorizons wrote:
On June 22 2025 00:35 LightSpectra wrote:
On June 22 2025 00:29 GreenHorizons wrote:
On June 22 2025 00:18 LightSpectra wrote:
On June 22 2025 00:04 GreenHorizons wrote:
On June 21 2025 23:24 LightSpectra wrote:
[quote]

Ok, but my point was name recognition explains why Cuomo had a 80% lead months ago but how he's at about 50%. + Show Spoiler +
But that doesn't explain why certain demographics tend toward him over others, unless you're insinuating that those demographics vote based on nothing except name recognition, which is lazy and prejudiced. There actually is a reason and it behooves us to understand their thought process instead of dismissing them and then being bewildered when your preferred candidate loses the election.

This just isn't what happened.

On June 01 2025 05:03 LightSpectra wrote:
[quote]

Wait for after the first debate (which is on June 4). Right now most people are just answering polls based on name recognition.


That's not months ago. That's a few weeks ago.

Cuomo was never at "80%", but ~20 days ago when you were making the argument that "most people are just answering polls based on name recognition" Cuomo's polling was basically the same as it is now.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/polls/nyc-mayoral-primary-election-polls-2025.html

I don't know how you're going to try to explain away your bullshit here, but it will be literally incredible.


I clicked on your link, Cuomo went from about +30 before the debates to between +13 to -5 now. Which part is the bullshit?
What I said.

Cuomo was never at "80%", but ~20 days ago when you were making the argument that "most people are just answering polls based on name recognition" Cuomo's polling was basically the same ~55% as it is now.


I edited my comment before you replied, sorry about that, but yeah, Cuomo dropped about 20 points in the polls consistently in the past three weeks. Not sure what the issue is. When he was winning every demographic (conservative, liberal, and progressive) I think it was fair to say that early polls are not indicative of anything since nobody else had significant name recognition yet.

Now that we're closer to the actual primary election, the question is why people keep breaking toward Cuomo, and the thing I was talking about is that a significant portion of Democrats (over half nationwide it seems) actually do ideologically agree with centrist liberalism, they aren't just voting on name recognition alone, they genuinely think Cuomo would make the best governor.

I'm not going to play this game with you.

Anyone with any integrity can see what you did, are doing now, and understands why I find it disgusting. At least one of them should call it out. I'll leave it there.

And so the cat, who mewled at us so many times to discuss primarying better Democrats, turned and left with tail in the air once more when people actually tried to.

I appreciated the discussion and welcome it to continue. As far as electoral politics and appealing to "blue no matter who" Dems/"swing voters" go, I pretty much just agree with what Zam has been saying

Setting any politics aside, there are too many math/data people here to not know exactly what I'm talking about with Light's bs.


I’m unsure what it is that Light’s been saying that you take such particular umbrage with?

The "80%" lie to start. Also, the fact that this month Light was also saying that the majority of Cuomo's support was from name recognition, while only a few weeks later saying people repeating his point were being condescending while implying they're being racist.*The rhetorical manipulation of switching "80%" to "+30" while measuring different rounds against each other and such to save face was what made me abandon any hope.

To be clear, that doesn't mean that Cuomo and moderate "thirdway" centrism or whatever doesn't have supporters. I just find this bullshit where centrists exploit (mostly) elder Black people's conservatism to make out anyone that opposes it to be condescending/racist some of the most despicable shit people ostensibly on the left habitually do nowadays.

It's no better than Republicans with Herman Cain, Justice Thomas, and Ben Carson types painting everyone that criticizes them as being racist.

Fair point on the 80%. Whether it was pulled out of their arse or whatever, it was corrected though.

I don’t think Light has expressed much of a different opinion as me when it comes to name recognition. It’s why I wasn’t paying much attention to polling months ago. The further you are out the more you’re just polling name recognition. When you start getting closer, other candidates get more of the spotlight, policies start getting sunlight, and records become more under the microscope. Just in general, people are paying more attention.

It’s not contradictory to think name recognition wins early polls, but is less of a factor in winning elections themselves.

On June 22 2025 00:35 LightSpectra wrote:
I edited my comment before you replied, sorry about that, but yeah, Cuomo dropped about 20 points in the polls consistently in the past three weeks. Not sure what the issue is. When he was winning every demographic (conservative, liberal, and progressive) I think it was fair to say that early polls are not indicative of anything since nobody else had significant name recognition yet.

Now that we're closer to the actual primary election, the question is why people keep breaking toward Cuomo, and the thing I was talking about is that a significant portion of Democrats (over half nationwide it seems) actually do ideologically agree with centrist liberalism, they aren't just voting on name recognition alone, they genuinely think Cuomo would make the best governor.

On the bolded, versus what’s actually said here there doesn’t seem much to link the two, at least from what LightSpectra has been saying. Certainly yes, a phenomenon one does see. I’m not sure I’m seeing it here.

How do you win elections as a progressive, if the populace at large isn’t that progressive? That seems to be the crux of what they’re saying.
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland24951 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-06-22 12:06:20
1 hour ago
#100972
On June 22 2025 20:39 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 22 2025 20:35 WombaT wrote:
On June 22 2025 20:20 maybenexttime wrote:
On June 22 2025 20:01 oBlade wrote:
On June 22 2025 19:15 Jankisa wrote:
All I can say is that it's honestly disturbing watching the usual suspects here showing how much of a cult they are by towing the line perfectly.

Someone needs to reign them in so they stop towing the line.

It's "rein them in", you grammar commie.

*rain


**rainvfefe

Haha, near spat out my covfefe there!
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
Broetchenholer
Profile Joined March 2011
Germany1894 Posts
58 minutes ago
#100973
Every time before I read a moohdoo post I close my eyes and imagine the reply from an ai that was only allowed to read Wikipedia history articles about conflict without the background and aftermath parts of the article. Usually pretty close. Not sure why I am firing shots specifically at him, must be becoming mad.
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15598 Posts
36 minutes ago
#100974
lol I didn’t even post recently. But good morning to you, too!

I had wondered how my “here’s how Khameini can still win” tankie friends would respond to this. They are saying the US strikes did zero harm to the nuclear facilities and Iran is giving the US an off ramp right now.
DarkPlasmaBall
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States44144 Posts
24 minutes ago
#100975
On June 22 2025 22:20 Mohdoo wrote:
lol I didn’t even post recently. But good morning to you, too!

I had wondered how my “here’s how Khameini can still win” tankie friends would respond to this. They are saying the US strikes did zero harm to the nuclear facilities and Iran is giving the US an off ramp right now.


If destroying Iran's nuclear facilities ends up being a successful deterrent, and Iran essentially gives up threatening and attacking other entities, would you support the United States doing the same thing against Israel and Russia - destroying their respective nuclear facilities as well?
"There is nothing more satisfying than looking at a crowd of people and helping them get what I love." ~Day[9] Daily #100
Magic Powers
Profile Joined April 2012
Austria3855 Posts
15 minutes ago
#100976
On June 22 2025 22:32 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 22 2025 22:20 Mohdoo wrote:
lol I didn’t even post recently. But good morning to you, too!

I had wondered how my “here’s how Khameini can still win” tankie friends would respond to this. They are saying the US strikes did zero harm to the nuclear facilities and Iran is giving the US an off ramp right now.


If destroying Iran's nuclear facilities ends up being a successful deterrent, and Iran essentially gives up threatening and attacking other entities, would you support the United States doing the same thing against Israel and Russia - destroying their respective nuclear facilities as well?


Of corse he would. It's the pragmaticoptionTM.
If you want to do the right thing, 80% of your job is done if you don't do the wrong thing.
Billyboy
Profile Joined September 2024
871 Posts
9 minutes ago
#100977
On June 22 2025 22:32 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 22 2025 22:20 Mohdoo wrote:
lol I didn’t even post recently. But good morning to you, too!

I had wondered how my “here’s how Khameini can still win” tankie friends would respond to this. They are saying the US strikes did zero harm to the nuclear facilities and Iran is giving the US an off ramp right now.


If destroying Iran's nuclear facilities ends up being a successful deterrent, and Iran essentially gives up threatening and attacking other entities, would you support the United States doing the same thing against Israel and Russia - destroying their respective nuclear facilities as well?

Those guys already have bombs, Mohdoo has been very consistent that it is ultimate defense to have one and once you do you can not be attacked.
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