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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 5048

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Now that we have a new thread, in order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a complete and thorough read before posting!

NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source.


If you have any questions, comments, concern, or feedback regarding the USPMT, then please use this thread: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/website-feedback/510156-us-politics-thread
LightSpectra
Profile Blog Joined October 2011
United States2531 Posts
June 22 2025 01:42 GMT
#100941
Is that you John Bolton? Rarely see people with such a hardon for war.
2006 Shinhan Bank OSL Season 3 was the greatest tournament of all time
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States14110 Posts
June 22 2025 01:54 GMT
#100942
I for one can't remember a time bombing the middle east hasn't been successful. I'm sure the power vacuum will be picked up by the people we want and no american lives will be lost in the coming days and months.
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
Billyboy
Profile Joined September 2024
1680 Posts
June 22 2025 02:00 GMT
#100943
I find all the Trumpers reactions funny, because they want to celebrate Don's big attack but they have been claiming that him getting out of all wars and being the most "peaceful president" was what made up for a whole bunch of stupid shit. But now they are coming to realization that he is also into bombing shit, but just way worse at everything else.
DarkPlasmaBall
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States45713 Posts
June 22 2025 02:55 GMT
#100944
Trump once tweeted that Obama was so unskilled that Obama would need to resort to bombing Iran instead of negotiating with them.

Trump once claimed that Biden would start WW3.

There really is a tweet, an irony, and a hypocrisy to everything Trump says and does.
"There is nothing more satisfying than looking at a crowd of people and helping them get what I love." ~Day[9] Daily #100
Falling
Profile Blog Joined June 2009
Canada11504 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-06-22 03:40:23
June 22 2025 03:24 GMT
#100945
I'm very glad for the no new wars president- nobody would start a war if I was president and I could solve the war against Ukraine before I was even sworn in. Glad he got in. Prices are lower. Big peace. Much wow.

Sure puts to lie on why they've been dragging their heels on Ukraine though. Will no-one think about all the people dying?

Trump (peace be upon him) sure isn't concerned. But, hey. Let's go for full regime change in Iran as the next step. That's what everyone was voting for, right? 5D Chess. Trust the plan. Have faith and believe.
Moderator"In Trump We Trust," says the Golden Goat of Mar a Lago. Have faith and believe! Trump moves in mysterious ways. Like the wind he blows where he pleases...
DarkPlasmaBall
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States45713 Posts
June 22 2025 03:37 GMT
#100946
In the same single tweet, Trump both bragged about dropping "a full payload of BOMBS" and shouted "NOW IS THE TIME FOR PEACE".

https://x.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1936573183634645387
"There is nothing more satisfying than looking at a crowd of people and helping them get what I love." ~Day[9] Daily #100
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15743 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-06-22 03:59:27
June 22 2025 03:52 GMT
#100947
On June 22 2025 10:42 LightSpectra wrote:
Is that you John Bolton? Rarely see people with such a hardon for war.

I don’t see this turning into a war. I view the IRGC’s public execution as a net positive for peace. I think our disagreement here ultimately stems from what we expect to follow.

I think this is a rare moment where Trump and his team giving absolutely zero shits about international optics or standard procedure is a very good thing. I know the whole “you break it, you buy it” thing is supposed to describe a morally responsible thing to do after creating a massive power void in a country. History has shown us many nations are truly better off without their former adversary. Iran is better off trying to find its own way through this giant shift. The US saying “look, I only gave a shit about you because the whole nuke thing. If you don’t have nukes, I’m better off dealing with whatever bullshit you try to pull without me around rather than with me around. See ya later!” is better for everyone involved.
Billyboy
Profile Joined September 2024
1680 Posts
June 22 2025 04:14 GMT
#100948
The big question now is will Iran retaliate on the US bases and ships or not. And if so how much?
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15743 Posts
June 22 2025 04:20 GMT
#100949
I don’t think Iran will do anything they know will lead to additional strikes by the US. I think Iran was justified in playing the game of chicken and not blinking. But once Khameini lost it all, it won’t surprise me if the military coup’s him. They may be less jihad than Khameini.
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States14110 Posts
June 22 2025 04:44 GMT
#100950
By your logic Khameini has nothing left to lose. They have many proxies throughout the middle east, if they're going down they might as well go down swinging. The people aren't just going to forget grand humiliations and the violations of their sovereignty like this. There are going to be consequences for this and there is no reason to believe that we're going to get the egypt outcome from this, where at least the people are ruled like medieval peasants once again.

The lesson learned from this is to never cooperate with an international agency ever again, all you will gain is giving the great enemy coordinates to take out your program whenever they feel like it.
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15743 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-06-22 05:38:34
June 22 2025 05:01 GMT
#100951
On June 22 2025 13:44 Sermokala wrote:
By your logic Khameini has nothing left to lose. They have many proxies throughout the middle east, if they're going down they might as well go down swinging. The people aren't just going to forget grand humiliations and the violations of their sovereignty like this. There are going to be consequences for this and there is no reason to believe that we're going to get the egypt outcome from this, where at least the people are ruled like medieval peasants once again.

The lesson learned from this is to never cooperate with an international agency ever again, all you will gain is giving the great enemy coordinates to take out your program whenever they feel like it.

I don’t think Khameini has reason to keep fighting the US. It looks like they launched a giant retaliation targeted only as Israel so far.

And I think if Khameini tried to do something big against the US, his military wouldn’t obey

Edit: previously I said Khameini realized genuine sovereignty could only be achieved with nuclear weapons. Now that he took his shot, the possibility is literally 0% rather than a long shot. All the facilities will never be rebuilt.
tankgirl
Profile Blog Joined May 2016
Canada453 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-06-22 06:35:34
June 22 2025 06:08 GMT
#100952
I never post here or even read the newspapers anymore but I couldnt escape the headlines.

I am not informed enough to have an opinion on this complex issue. But after 20+ years of Iran's shenanigan, I am just grateful we finally have a strong Commander in Chief.

On June 22 2025 12:37 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
In the same single tweet, Trump both bragged about dropping "a full payload of BOMBS" and shouted "NOW IS THE TIME FOR PEACE".


Don't need Twitter to be reminded that's what our president is doing. Someone graciously printed it on the backs of our one-dollar bill, which we exchange with our hands daily:

+ Show Spoiler [imgur] +
[image loading]

https://tl.net/forum/brood-war/627255-progamer-settings
TL+ Member
Magic Powers
Profile Joined April 2012
Austria4478 Posts
June 22 2025 06:46 GMT
#100953
Lets try the thing one more time that has failed literally every single time. But this time it'll be different.

Trump supporters sound like problem gamblers.
If you want to do the right thing, 80% of your job is done if you don't do the wrong thing.
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43960 Posts
June 22 2025 07:55 GMT
#100954
“Bombing Iran? But your ad said no more wars”

“Oh, they got this all screwed up”

“So you won’t stay out of foreign wars?”

“No, more wars”
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22291 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-06-22 08:16:41
June 22 2025 08:14 GMT
#100955
On June 22 2025 13:14 Billyboy wrote:
The big question now is will Iran retaliate on the US bases and ships or not. And if so how much?

Nothing so direct or immediate.

But some planes might fly into some towers in a few years thanks to today.

I will say, from a US perspective this is the most measured response outside of doing nothing.
We will see if it stays with this and how long Israel is going to keep going. Netanyahus problem hasn't changed, when the wars end ao does he.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Doublemint
Profile Joined July 2011
Austria8744 Posts
June 22 2025 08:22 GMT
#100956
On June 22 2025 12:37 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
In the same single tweet, Trump both bragged about dropping "a full payload of BOMBS" and shouted "NOW IS THE TIME FOR PEACE".

https://x.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1936573183634645387


war is peace.

ignorance is strength.


get with the program people... conflicting messages are for the "other side". you have to trust in me.
Pride goeth before destruction, and an haughty spirit before the fall.
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23905 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-06-22 09:01:39
June 22 2025 08:23 GMT
#100957
On June 22 2025 07:51 WombaT wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 22 2025 07:16 GreenHorizons wrote:
On June 22 2025 06:56 Turbovolver wrote:
On June 22 2025 00:40 GreenHorizons wrote:
On June 22 2025 00:35 LightSpectra wrote:
On June 22 2025 00:29 GreenHorizons wrote:
On June 22 2025 00:18 LightSpectra wrote:
On June 22 2025 00:04 GreenHorizons wrote:
On June 21 2025 23:24 LightSpectra wrote:
On June 21 2025 17:51 Gorsameth wrote:
[quote]In cases like this I legit wonder how many of those supporting Cuomo are even aware of the extent of the allegations against him.

You would think it would be impossible not to be as a resident of NY but reality might surprise you. We here are all pretty active on politics but tons of people barely read the news and absolutely do not engage with politics, yet go out to vote on largely name recognition.


Ok, but my point was name recognition explains why Cuomo had a 80% lead months ago but how he's at about 50%. + Show Spoiler +
But that doesn't explain why certain demographics tend toward him over others, unless you're insinuating that those demographics vote based on nothing except name recognition, which is lazy and prejudiced. There actually is a reason and it behooves us to understand their thought process instead of dismissing them and then being bewildered when your preferred candidate loses the election.

This just isn't what happened.

On June 01 2025 05:03 LightSpectra wrote:
On June 01 2025 04:01 Legan wrote:
Seems really embarrassing for democrats to have Andrew Cuomo be the leading candidate for them in New York. Such a fresh face for them.


Wait for after the first debate (which is on June 4). Right now most people are just answering polls based on name recognition.


That's not months ago. That's a few weeks ago.

Cuomo was never at "80%", but ~20 days ago when you were making the argument that "most people are just answering polls based on name recognition" Cuomo's polling was basically the same as it is now.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/polls/nyc-mayoral-primary-election-polls-2025.html

I don't know how you're going to try to explain away your bullshit here, but it will be literally incredible.


I clicked on your link, Cuomo went from about +30 before the debates to between +13 to -5 now. Which part is the bullshit?
What I said.

Cuomo was never at "80%", but ~20 days ago when you were making the argument that "most people are just answering polls based on name recognition" Cuomo's polling was basically the same ~55% as it is now.


I edited my comment before you replied, sorry about that, but yeah, Cuomo dropped about 20 points in the polls consistently in the past three weeks. Not sure what the issue is. When he was winning every demographic (conservative, liberal, and progressive) I think it was fair to say that early polls are not indicative of anything since nobody else had significant name recognition yet.

Now that we're closer to the actual primary election, the question is why people keep breaking toward Cuomo, and the thing I was talking about is that a significant portion of Democrats (over half nationwide it seems) actually do ideologically agree with centrist liberalism, they aren't just voting on name recognition alone, they genuinely think Cuomo would make the best governor.

I'm not going to play this game with you.

Anyone with any integrity can see what you did, are doing now, and understands why I find it disgusting. At least one of them should call it out. I'll leave it there.

And so the cat, who mewled at us so many times to discuss primarying better Democrats, turned and left with tail in the air once more when people actually tried to.

I appreciated the discussion and welcome it to continue. As far as electoral politics and appealing to "blue no matter who" Dems/"swing voters" go, I pretty much just agree with what Zam has been saying

Setting any politics aside, there are too many math/data people here to not know exactly what I'm talking about with Light's bs.


I’m unsure what it is that Light’s been saying that you take such particular umbrage with?

The "80%" lie to start. Also, the fact that this month Light was also saying that the majority of Cuomo's support was from name recognition, while only a few weeks later saying people repeating his point were being condescending while implying they're being racist.*The rhetorical manipulation of switching "80%" to "+30" while measuring different rounds against each other and such to save face was what made me abandon any hope.

To be clear, that doesn't mean that Cuomo and moderate "thirdway" centrism or whatever doesn't have supporters. I just find this bullshit where centrists exploit (mostly) elder Black people's conservatism to make out anyone that opposes it to be condescending/racist some of the most despicable shit people ostensibly on the left habitually do nowadays.

It's no better than Republicans with Herman Cain, Justice Thomas, and Ben Carson types painting everyone that criticizes them as being racist.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
oBlade
Profile Blog Joined December 2008
United States6090 Posts
June 22 2025 08:27 GMT
#100958
On June 22 2025 15:46 Magic Powers wrote:
Lets try the thing one more time that has failed literally every single time. But this time it'll be different.

Trump supporters sound like problem gamblers.

There's no comparable examples of conventional strikes to enforce nonproliferation against a state you don't want to get nuclear weapons. Nobody did it with Pakistan. Bush drew a red line with North Korea and then ignored it and let them get nukes while he was distracted in the Middle East. This has "failed every single time" as much as it has "succeeded every single time" because there are 0 single times it has been tried before.
"I read it. You know how to read, you ignorant fuck?" - Andy Dufresne
Magic Powers
Profile Joined April 2012
Austria4478 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-06-22 08:59:35
June 22 2025 08:58 GMT
#100959
On June 22 2025 17:27 oBlade wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 22 2025 15:46 Magic Powers wrote:
Lets try the thing one more time that has failed literally every single time. But this time it'll be different.

Trump supporters sound like problem gamblers.

There's no comparable examples of conventional strikes to enforce nonproliferation against a state you don't want to get nuclear weapons. Nobody did it with Pakistan. Bush drew a red line with North Korea and then ignored it and let them get nukes while he was distracted in the Middle East. This has "failed every single time" as much as it has "succeeded every single time" because there are 0 single times it has been tried before.


When was the last time NK launched a nuke of peace to another country?
If you want to do the right thing, 80% of your job is done if you don't do the wrong thing.
CuddlyCuteKitten
Profile Joined January 2004
Sweden2768 Posts
June 22 2025 09:26 GMT
#100960
On June 22 2025 17:14 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 22 2025 13:14 Billyboy wrote:
The big question now is will Iran retaliate on the US bases and ships or not. And if so how much?

Nothing so direct or immediate.

But some planes might fly into some towers in a few years thanks to today.

I will say, from a US perspective this is the most measured response outside of doing nothing.
We will see if it stays with this and how long Israel is going to keep going. Netanyahus problem hasn't changed, when the wars end ao does he.


A fiber optic drone has 20-30 km range and can carry the equivalent of an RPG+ sized warhead. It can't be jammed and the point of launch can't be triangulated. The only was to stop it is some kind of hard kill system.
Except for the explosives most items to build it can just be bought in country.

The options for assassination is endless as long as your target is somewhere outside or in a vehicle. The options for terrorism is even worse. Russia is at war and is a complete police state and they couldn't stop Ukraine from hitting their nuclear bombers.
waaaaaaaaaaaooooow - Felicia, SPF2:T
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