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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 5047

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Now that we have a new thread, in order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a complete and thorough read before posting!

NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source.


If you have any questions, comments, concern, or feedback regarding the USPMT, then please use this thread: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/website-feedback/510156-us-politics-thread
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23473 Posts
June 21 2025 17:38 GMT
#100921
On June 22 2025 02:31 Velr wrote:
Uhm, guys... Hate to tell you, but if a countries military is bombing another country thats called war.

Ackchyually, Congress has the sole power to declare war and they haven't done that since WWII, so it can't be war. That would be unconstitutional.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
Velr
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Switzerland10809 Posts
June 21 2025 17:41 GMT
#100922
I was waiting for oBlade to Ackchyually make this argument.


Maybe he still will.
oBlade
Profile Blog Joined December 2008
United States5765 Posts
June 21 2025 17:49 GMT
#100923
On June 22 2025 02:31 Velr wrote:
Uhm, guys... Hate to tell you, but if a countries military is bombing another country thats called war.

These are different things:
-A nuclear superpower invading 20% of its neighbor
-Going to a country on the other side of the world, destroying its military, toppling its government, occupying it and fighting an insurgency for 20 years
-Dropping bombs on someone who can't attack you back and you are in total control of when and where you fight them, if at all

People do not necessarily want the 3rd but they recognize that it's a harsh reality that could need to occur, and aren't dogmatically opposed to it just because the 2nd was universally panned and they think opposing the 3rd is an expression of their opposition of the 2nd.
"I read it. You know how to read, you ignorant fuck?" - Andy Dufresne
Yurie
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
11929 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-06-21 18:54:22
June 21 2025 18:52 GMT
#100924
Any long term plan against Iran either needs them to sign an agreement and you to trust them to hold to it (unlikely after the US broke the last one).

Or continuous spy work and bombing, costly.

Or multilateral agreements (which we had until the US broke them) that puts pressure from all sides to enforce it. So you need China and Russia, preferably more parties, to sign and mean it as well. This is possible but the geopolitical situation isn't exactly good for it right now.

Or break the nation so they cannot afford it and thus killing a few million people due civil war and no good places to evacuate to.

Or get lucky with a government transition, where there are no reliable candidates without massive external support. Even with external support they probably go the route of Afghanistan.
blomsterjohn
Profile Joined June 2008
Norway466 Posts
June 21 2025 18:53 GMT
#100925
On June 22 2025 02:16 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 22 2025 02:04 oBlade wrote:
On June 22 2025 01:39 Gorsameth wrote:
On June 22 2025 01:34 Mohdoo wrote:
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/americans-agree-trump-iran-poses-threat-united-states-poll

I remember like 48 hours ago when republicans were overwhelmingly against bombing Iran
Republicans have been conditioned to approve of whatever their leadership wants to do.

They were super anti Russia until the head of their party was a Russian assest, now they are pro Russia.
They are anti war until a Republican wants to go to war, then they are pro war.


Nobody wants war with Iran. Not Trump. Not even Lindsey Graham and Blumenthal want war.

Yeah I’m in the same boat. But after Iran even rejected an offer to be provided with the uranium they need for non-weapons purposes, I’m entirely on board with doing whatever is needed for their enrichment to be wiped out. I think Israel should deal with all the other stuff themselves. But I’m cool with the US stepping in to deal with deep underground facilities to prevent any chance of Iran getting nukes


What is the evidence that Iran presented an immediate (nuclear) threat that warrants a war?
What's changed from the past ~10 years?
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15725 Posts
June 21 2025 19:39 GMT
#100926
On June 22 2025 02:31 Velr wrote:
Uhm, guys... Hate to tell you, but if a countries military is bombing another country thats called war.

The label isn’t really important to me, but I do appreciate the correction. I honestly have no idea what is and isn’t considered a war. So I suppose I meant I’m ok with a war where our involvement ends after their entire nuclear program is wiped out. From there, Israel and Iran can do whatever.
Billyboy
Profile Joined September 2024
1266 Posts
June 21 2025 19:55 GMT
#100927
On June 22 2025 03:53 blomsterjohn wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 22 2025 02:16 Mohdoo wrote:
On June 22 2025 02:04 oBlade wrote:
On June 22 2025 01:39 Gorsameth wrote:
On June 22 2025 01:34 Mohdoo wrote:
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/americans-agree-trump-iran-poses-threat-united-states-poll

I remember like 48 hours ago when republicans were overwhelmingly against bombing Iran
Republicans have been conditioned to approve of whatever their leadership wants to do.

They were super anti Russia until the head of their party was a Russian assest, now they are pro Russia.
They are anti war until a Republican wants to go to war, then they are pro war.


Nobody wants war with Iran. Not Trump. Not even Lindsey Graham and Blumenthal want war.

Yeah I’m in the same boat. But after Iran even rejected an offer to be provided with the uranium they need for non-weapons purposes, I’m entirely on board with doing whatever is needed for their enrichment to be wiped out. I think Israel should deal with all the other stuff themselves. But I’m cool with the US stepping in to deal with deep underground facilities to prevent any chance of Iran getting nukes


What is the evidence that Iran presented an immediate (nuclear) threat that warrants a war?
What's changed from the past ~10 years?

They have made a whole bunch of enriched uranium (enough for 10 bombs) well beyond the need for non weapons grade. Also the reports keep coming out of them hiding and lying from the IAEA
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15725 Posts
June 21 2025 20:23 GMT
#100928
On June 22 2025 03:53 blomsterjohn wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 22 2025 02:16 Mohdoo wrote:
On June 22 2025 02:04 oBlade wrote:
On June 22 2025 01:39 Gorsameth wrote:
On June 22 2025 01:34 Mohdoo wrote:
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/americans-agree-trump-iran-poses-threat-united-states-poll

I remember like 48 hours ago when republicans were overwhelmingly against bombing Iran
Republicans have been conditioned to approve of whatever their leadership wants to do.

They were super anti Russia until the head of their party was a Russian assest, now they are pro Russia.
They are anti war until a Republican wants to go to war, then they are pro war.


Nobody wants war with Iran. Not Trump. Not even Lindsey Graham and Blumenthal want war.

Yeah I’m in the same boat. But after Iran even rejected an offer to be provided with the uranium they need for non-weapons purposes, I’m entirely on board with doing whatever is needed for their enrichment to be wiped out. I think Israel should deal with all the other stuff themselves. But I’m cool with the US stepping in to deal with deep underground facilities to prevent any chance of Iran getting nukes


What is the evidence that Iran presented an immediate (nuclear) threat that warrants a war?
What's changed from the past ~10 years?



Micronesia explains it well here:
On June 19 2025 09:37 micronesia wrote:
The 12 June IAEA Resolution makes it clear that IAEA has found evidence of non-compliant behavior, and Iran has not made a good-faith effort to rectify the situation despite being given every opportunity.

However, the 13 June IAEA Statement makes it clear that IAEA does not agree with current military strikes on relevant facilities as appropriate.


There’s nothing other than weapons they’d be using 60%+ for. The IAEA doesn’t recommend military action because blowing it up could cause radiation contamination and whatnot.

Additionally, the US already offered to handle all uranium stuff for them if they kill all the bomb stuff. Iran rejected that, so Iran is (understandably) committed to getting a nuke.

I don’t blame them for trying. It’s basically essential for full, actual sovereignty. But I also don’t want a redneck like Khameini having control over nukes. He cranks the jihad yeehaw up a little too high for my taste
Turbovolver
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
Australia2394 Posts
June 21 2025 21:56 GMT
#100929
On June 22 2025 00:40 GreenHorizons wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 22 2025 00:35 LightSpectra wrote:
On June 22 2025 00:29 GreenHorizons wrote:
On June 22 2025 00:18 LightSpectra wrote:
On June 22 2025 00:04 GreenHorizons wrote:
On June 21 2025 23:24 LightSpectra wrote:
On June 21 2025 17:51 Gorsameth wrote:
On June 21 2025 07:52 LightSpectra wrote:
On June 21 2025 07:51 Zambrah wrote:
On June 21 2025 07:49 LightSpectra wrote:
So, since you seem to have given basically zero credence to everything I've pointed out, what's your explanation for why Cuomo is outperforming Mamdani by double digits among older BIPOC voters in NYC?


Because Mamdani came out of nowhere and Cuomo is extremely famous?


Do you have a better explanation than the condescending insinuation that BIPOC voters only care about name recognition?
In cases like this I legit wonder how many of those supporting Cuomo are even aware of the extent of the allegations against him.

You would think it would be impossible not to be as a resident of NY but reality might surprise you. We here are all pretty active on politics but tons of people barely read the news and absolutely do not engage with politics, yet go out to vote on largely name recognition.


Ok, but my point was name recognition explains why Cuomo had a 80% lead months ago but how he's at about 50%. + Show Spoiler +
But that doesn't explain why certain demographics tend toward him over others, unless you're insinuating that those demographics vote based on nothing except name recognition, which is lazy and prejudiced. There actually is a reason and it behooves us to understand their thought process instead of dismissing them and then being bewildered when your preferred candidate loses the election.

This just isn't what happened.

On June 01 2025 05:03 LightSpectra wrote:
On June 01 2025 04:01 Legan wrote:
Seems really embarrassing for democrats to have Andrew Cuomo be the leading candidate for them in New York. Such a fresh face for them.


Wait for after the first debate (which is on June 4). Right now most people are just answering polls based on name recognition.


That's not months ago. That's a few weeks ago.

Cuomo was never at "80%", but ~20 days ago when you were making the argument that "most people are just answering polls based on name recognition" Cuomo's polling was basically the same as it is now.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/polls/nyc-mayoral-primary-election-polls-2025.html

I don't know how you're going to try to explain away your bullshit here, but it will be literally incredible.


I clicked on your link, Cuomo went from about +30 before the debates to between +13 to -5 now. Which part is the bullshit?
What I said.

Cuomo was never at "80%", but ~20 days ago when you were making the argument that "most people are just answering polls based on name recognition" Cuomo's polling was basically the same ~55% as it is now.


I edited my comment before you replied, sorry about that, but yeah, Cuomo dropped about 20 points in the polls consistently in the past three weeks. Not sure what the issue is. When he was winning every demographic (conservative, liberal, and progressive) I think it was fair to say that early polls are not indicative of anything since nobody else had significant name recognition yet.

Now that we're closer to the actual primary election, the question is why people keep breaking toward Cuomo, and the thing I was talking about is that a significant portion of Democrats (over half nationwide it seems) actually do ideologically agree with centrist liberalism, they aren't just voting on name recognition alone, they genuinely think Cuomo would make the best governor.

I'm not going to play this game with you.

Anyone with any integrity can see what you did, are doing now, and understands why I find it disgusting. At least one of them should call it out. I'll leave it there.

And so the cat, who mewled at us so many times to discuss primarying better Democrats, turned and left with tail in the air once more when people actually tried to.
The original Bogus fan.
JimmyJRaynor
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Canada17008 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-06-21 22:03:29
June 21 2025 21:57 GMT
#100930
i like good news and i like to be optimistic ...
https://www.aol.com/news/blue-collar-wage-growth-under-141632384.html

however, stats like this can be doctored by including and excluding certain sectors based on changing definitions. The last measurement of the US economy is that it was contracting at 0.2%. WHen Trump took over 6 months ago it was expanding by 2.5%.

" Reaganomics is working... " :D
Ray Kassar To David Crane : "you're no more important to Atari than the factory workers assembling the cartridges"
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23473 Posts
June 21 2025 22:16 GMT
#100931
On June 22 2025 06:56 Turbovolver wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 22 2025 00:40 GreenHorizons wrote:
On June 22 2025 00:35 LightSpectra wrote:
On June 22 2025 00:29 GreenHorizons wrote:
On June 22 2025 00:18 LightSpectra wrote:
On June 22 2025 00:04 GreenHorizons wrote:
On June 21 2025 23:24 LightSpectra wrote:
On June 21 2025 17:51 Gorsameth wrote:
On June 21 2025 07:52 LightSpectra wrote:
On June 21 2025 07:51 Zambrah wrote:
[quote]

Because Mamdani came out of nowhere and Cuomo is extremely famous?


Do you have a better explanation than the condescending insinuation that BIPOC voters only care about name recognition?
In cases like this I legit wonder how many of those supporting Cuomo are even aware of the extent of the allegations against him.

You would think it would be impossible not to be as a resident of NY but reality might surprise you. We here are all pretty active on politics but tons of people barely read the news and absolutely do not engage with politics, yet go out to vote on largely name recognition.


Ok, but my point was name recognition explains why Cuomo had a 80% lead months ago but how he's at about 50%. + Show Spoiler +
But that doesn't explain why certain demographics tend toward him over others, unless you're insinuating that those demographics vote based on nothing except name recognition, which is lazy and prejudiced. There actually is a reason and it behooves us to understand their thought process instead of dismissing them and then being bewildered when your preferred candidate loses the election.

This just isn't what happened.

On June 01 2025 05:03 LightSpectra wrote:
On June 01 2025 04:01 Legan wrote:
Seems really embarrassing for democrats to have Andrew Cuomo be the leading candidate for them in New York. Such a fresh face for them.


Wait for after the first debate (which is on June 4). Right now most people are just answering polls based on name recognition.


That's not months ago. That's a few weeks ago.

Cuomo was never at "80%", but ~20 days ago when you were making the argument that "most people are just answering polls based on name recognition" Cuomo's polling was basically the same as it is now.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/polls/nyc-mayoral-primary-election-polls-2025.html

I don't know how you're going to try to explain away your bullshit here, but it will be literally incredible.


I clicked on your link, Cuomo went from about +30 before the debates to between +13 to -5 now. Which part is the bullshit?
What I said.

Cuomo was never at "80%", but ~20 days ago when you were making the argument that "most people are just answering polls based on name recognition" Cuomo's polling was basically the same ~55% as it is now.


I edited my comment before you replied, sorry about that, but yeah, Cuomo dropped about 20 points in the polls consistently in the past three weeks. Not sure what the issue is. When he was winning every demographic (conservative, liberal, and progressive) I think it was fair to say that early polls are not indicative of anything since nobody else had significant name recognition yet.

Now that we're closer to the actual primary election, the question is why people keep breaking toward Cuomo, and the thing I was talking about is that a significant portion of Democrats (over half nationwide it seems) actually do ideologically agree with centrist liberalism, they aren't just voting on name recognition alone, they genuinely think Cuomo would make the best governor.

I'm not going to play this game with you.

Anyone with any integrity can see what you did, are doing now, and understands why I find it disgusting. At least one of them should call it out. I'll leave it there.

And so the cat, who mewled at us so many times to discuss primarying better Democrats, turned and left with tail in the air once more when people actually tried to.

I appreciated the discussion and welcome it to continue. As far as electoral politics and appealing to "blue no matter who" Dems/"swing voters" go, I pretty much just agree with what Zam has been saying

Setting any politics aside, there are too many math/data people here to not know exactly what I'm talking about with Light's bs.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland26047 Posts
June 21 2025 22:51 GMT
#100932
I’m unsure what it is that Light’s been saying that you take such particular umbrage with?
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States14047 Posts
June 22 2025 00:23 GMT
#100933
Well Boys Girls and non gender squirrels we are at war in the middle east again. Donald "no new wars" trump couldn't make it six months before destabilizing foreign regimes.
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
LightSpectra
Profile Blog Joined October 2011
United States1879 Posts
June 22 2025 00:51 GMT
#100934
Republican presidents and wars in the Middle East, they just can't help themselves.
2006 Shinhan Bank OSL Season 3 was the greatest tournament of all time
Billyboy
Profile Joined September 2024
1266 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-06-22 00:58:57
June 22 2025 00:58 GMT
#100935
I'm thinking the US is going to jump in with at least the bunker buster, unless Iran is saying something else in the private meetings (which is totally possible), I don't see what they are offering in the cease fire other than stopping to fire missiles and soon enough that will stop on its on.

I was thinking that maybe the "best" path is taking out all of the IRGC and QUDs leadership, end the nuclear program and then leave and hope the Iranians deal with Khamenei themselves. Mossad clearly has an oversized presence with Iran so they could support whatever local force appears to be strong enough and take over.

That the Iranians could have actual self determination, maybe Yemen and Lebanon as well could be great for the region. You are going to be left with UAE, SA, Turkey and Israel as the major powers in the region and well they do not get along they are not openly talking about destroying each other and killing the entire populous.

Then again TACO has sure turned out to be Trumps strategy so the more time that passes the more chance it is likely he does not do anything. How that works out seems just as chaotic.

Edit: LOL that timing of mine all time bad.
Introvert
Profile Joined April 2011
United States4862 Posts
June 22 2025 01:10 GMT
#100936
Very good decision from Trump and despite the constant bleating of some, consistent with years of Republican policy re:Iran. Meanwhile, others are surely watching. Trump's always been OK with using limited actions to achieve very specific goals (like taking out Soleimani, which also had some breathlessly predicting escalation). One of those times where, for all his faults, it's good to have a Republican in the White House rather than a Dem (or JD Vance possibly lol). Also not as talked about, but bad for Putin, as have been a number of Trump's other actions and statements in the past 2 months or so.
"But, as the conservative understands it, modification of the rules should always reflect, and never impose, a change in the activities and beliefs of those who are subject to them, and should never on any occasion be so great as to destroy the ensemble."
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15725 Posts
June 22 2025 01:14 GMT
#100937
Very very happy with the decision to wipe out fordow and the other sites. 6 bunker busters vs a mountain. It will be interesting to see how tankies continue with the “here’s how Khameini can still win” stuff
Billyboy
Profile Joined September 2024
1266 Posts
June 22 2025 01:20 GMT
#100938
On June 22 2025 10:10 Introvert wrote:
Very good decision from Trump and despite the constant bleating of some, consistent with years of Republican policy re:Iran. Meanwhile, others are surely watching. Trump's always been OK with using limited actions to achieve very specific goals (like taking out Soleimani, which also had some breathlessly predicting escalation). One of those times where, for all his faults, it's good to have a Republican in the White House rather than a Dem (or JD Vance possibly lol). Also not as talked about, but bad for Putin, as have been a number of Trump's other actions and statements in the past 2 months or so.

It does seem like the best of a bunch of bad options. Now the question is will he be able to resist going all into another long pointless war against insurgents when Iran attacks US bases with their proxies.
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15725 Posts
June 22 2025 01:23 GMT
#100939
And just like that, the west has finally cleaned up the board and the entire Middle East is under the western wing.

I recall more than a few tankies insisting Fordow is beyond what the US can hope to bust, even with bunker busters. Turns out it took about 14% of our B2 fleet a single trip to clean the whole place up. Delicious.

Israel normalizing with Saudi Arabia is gonna be a gigantic win for Trump. The hegemony is basically locked in after this.
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15725 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-06-22 01:31:32
June 22 2025 01:27 GMT
#100940
Certain subreddits are absolute salt mines right now for anyone looking for a treat
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