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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 4913

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Now that we have a new thread, in order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a complete and thorough read before posting!

NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source.


If you have any questions, comments, concern, or feedback regarding the USPMT, then please use this thread: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/website-feedback/510156-us-politics-thread
Biff The Understudy
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
France7888 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-04-08 20:58:37
April 08 2025 20:38 GMT
#98241
Ok, so, 104% tarif on everything Chinese, that’s gonna be popular. I don’t see Xi blinking either.

I have to say, I’m kind of happy that China calls Trump’s bs but I just can’t fathom what the economic consequences are going to be. This lunatic is going to plunge us into a 1929 style crisis.


Btw I’m obviously also libertarian socialist:
https://8values.github.io/results.html?e=89.7&d=86.7&g=82.8&s=84.6
The fellow who is out to burn things up is the counterpart of the fool who thinks he can save the world. The world needs neither to be burned up nor to be saved. The world is, we are. Transients, if we buck it; here to stay if we accept it. ~H.Miller
Impervious
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
Canada4199 Posts
April 08 2025 21:02 GMT
#98242
On April 08 2025 19:54 Gahlo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 08 2025 16:56 WombaT wrote:
Now let’s see Paul Allen’s political compass…

Nah I know it’s pretty darn flawed, anyone encountered more robust ones of these?

I greatly prefer the 8 Values test if we're playing "online quiz, tell me what my politics are".

I'm not sure how accurate that political test really is. Normally on these types of tests I fall fairly even between left and right, but about halfway down the libertarian end. A lot of these questions that are definitely leaning towards a "progressive" answer seem to be leading to a misleading answer. I'm more or less what I'm answering in an agreeable way for a progressive because they are anti-authoritarian in nature by their wording.
~ \(ˌ)im-ˈpər-vē-əs\ : not capable of being damaged or harmed.
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23221 Posts
April 08 2025 21:08 GMT
#98243
On April 09 2025 04:39 KwarK wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 09 2025 03:39 GreenHorizons wrote:
On April 09 2025 03:15 Dan HH wrote:
On April 09 2025 02:28 Ciaus237 wrote:
Also to be on topic: WTF is happening with the deportation case? The door feels open for Trump to just start throwing anyone he doesn't like in prisons far from any country they are a citizen of.

I assume they don't want the people wrongly sent to the gulag to come back and do a media tour telling their stories. Hence the bullshit that they can't bring them back.

If I'm Trump my thought is "what are you going to do about it?"

If I'm not a revolutionary socialists, the answer seems to be "mock and gawk at it".

No one wants to advance LibHorizons plan, so I don't know what everyone expects (besides fleeing/joining the fascists) at this point

There’s one thing people can do about Trump but it’s a long shot.

Might be a new person that likes his odds with Trump talking about not removing tariffs on Israel.

"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
CuddlyCuteKitten
Profile Joined January 2004
Sweden2609 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-04-08 21:17:49
April 08 2025 21:17 GMT
#98244
On April 09 2025 05:38 Biff The Understudy wrote:
Ok, so, 104% tarif on everything Chinese, that’s gonna be popular. I don’t see Xi blinking either.

I have to say, I’m kind of happy that China calls Trump’s bs but I just can’t fathom what the economic consequences are going to be. This lunatic is going to plunge us into a 1929 style crisis.


Btw I’m obviously also libertarian socialist:
https://8values.github.io/results.html?e=89.7&d=86.7&g=82.8&s=84.6


I fail to see how 104 % tariff is that much worse than 54%.

It sounds a lot worse.

But in reality it's more like this.

You want to buy a gadget for your phone.

Chinese one and Vietnamese ones used to cost 20$.
Now Vietnam is 30$ , China is 40$
American widget used to cost 29$. You buy that instead.

Your heating system breaks. Chinese part used to cost 200$. There is no replacement. You buy Chinese part for 400$ because what else can you do?

50% is already an INSANE edge. If there is any domestic competition they were already within striking distance and 50% or 100% doesn't matter.
If there was foreign competition you can buy for 20-30% more.
If you have no choice you are just more fucked.

Trump went all in against China and now he is x2 all-in. Doesn't really change much.
waaaaaaaaaaaooooow - Felicia, SPF2:T
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21667 Posts
April 08 2025 21:19 GMT
#98245
If anyone needed yet another reason why there is no point in trying to stroke Trumps ego and give him a win, he goes and does that rofl.

I just hope Europe aren't a bunch of cowards and react harshly. Let Trump find out what happens in a world vs US trade war.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Fleetfeet
Profile Blog Joined May 2014
Canada2552 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-04-08 21:21:54
April 08 2025 21:20 GMT
#98246
On April 09 2025 05:17 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 09 2025 04:43 JimmyJRaynor wrote:
On April 08 2025 23:14 Slydie wrote:
On April 08 2025 23:02 JimmyJRaynor wrote:
On April 07 2025 08:51 micronesia wrote:
JimmyJRaynor, third attempt...

Please answer the original question... you said something pretty strange to me and I'm just asking you to clarify.

On April 06 2025 08:43 micronesia wrote:
On April 06 2025 08:17 JimmyJRaynor wrote:
On April 06 2025 08:14 micronesia wrote:
On April 06 2025 08:12 JimmyJRaynor wrote:
On April 06 2025 07:55 micronesia wrote:
[quote]
Why is that good and/or evidence that they should allow such shifts for minors?

define minor? Should a 17 year old be legally eligible to work the night shift at a gas station on Friday and/or Saturday nights? yep, they should be legally eligible to do so.

Should a 7 year old be legally permitted to do so. I say, NO.

I was speaking about young employees in the context of:
On April 06 2025 07:35 JimmyJRaynor wrote:
nah, the bill as doomed as long as it permits 15 to 17 year olds to work over night shifts when they must go to school the next day.


i don't think 15 to 17 year olds should work a night shift when they must go to school the next day. it appears many floridians share my common sense perspective. as a result, the bill will die if it includes the legalization of such a thing.
and by "night shift" i'm talking working past 11pm into the morning hours... perhaps "midnight shift" is a more precise description.

Okay. Now that we have aligned on what age group we are talking about, can we revisit my question?

On April 06 2025 07:55 micronesia wrote:
On April 06 2025 07:35 JimmyJRaynor wrote:
I think working a friday night shift and/or Saturday night shift is fine. Fucking around time on night shifts is sky high and even higher on weekends. it is a great way to do nothing and get paid.

Why is that good and/or evidence that they should allow such shifts for minors?



because it is good for 17 year olds to earn money in a low pressure environment. why is that? the best way to develop a child into a healthy adult is by incrementally increasing their level of responsibility throughout their teenage years. By 17, if a student wants to work weekend nights at some easy, BS job ... they should be permitted to do so. And by extension, an 18 year old high school grad should be permitted to work weekend nights as well.

Do I want 17 year olds to be flying 767's at 3am or operating heavy construction machinery in a high stress environment at 3am? No, I do not.

Should a 17 year old be legally permitted to work at an all night print shop or an all night gas station? yes.

As an interesting aside, I worked weekend nights "illegally" at a gas station//garage when I was 17. An 18 year old, Barbara Turnball, had been shot in the neck working the night shift at an all night convenience store in the city. The city passed 50 different bylaws to try to "prevent it from ever happening again" that included making the work I was doing at night "illegal" for someone age 17. It was still legal for 18 year olds and the woman shot was 18. So another 18 year old could still get shot in the neck at 3am.

Given the choice, I'd make the same decision and work the night shift illegally. It was not illegal in any of the cities around the city i was in. It was great work experience and more importantly great life experience. I spent all night fixing cars. The garage//gas station owner would give me hours to replace a carbeurator... change spark plugs.. .do tests. I was getting paid to pump gas at a gas station.


Teenagers need their sleep, and a lot of it. They are also extremely busy, spending a lot of energy on school, friends, sports and other activities. Screwing up their sleep schedule with night shifts can do a lot of harm, I would never allow that as a parent. Whatever some of them do partying and gaming is plenty.

If they drop out of school and only work it might be different, but school+weird working hours is a terrible combo!

in your world of teenagers never doing all nighters during a school year ... how does anyone get through a computer science, electrical engineering, engineering science, software engineering, or a robotics program at a good university?

In my class of 90 people prolly 25% were 17. I had been 18 for one month. I prolly did 2.5 all nighters a month getting the super hard core abstract computer science theory assignment done. The average for my class was prolly 1.5 to 2 all nighters a month. Some guys did 1 a week. Most times, it was the computer science assignments that triggered an all nighter.

Lots of all nighters throughout my teen years of 17, 18, and 19. Same with all my classmates. Had some old person like you tried to lecture us about "work-life balance" the reply would be "great talk old man; guarantee me a job that pays $125K/year when I graduate and i'll go to bed before 10pm every night"

In Judaism a 13 year old boy is a Jewish adult. Perhaps this is why Jewish university professors are renowned for administering the toughest courses. At my university the Jewish profs were brutal. They feel like, by the time you are 17 or 18 you should be able to take the heat. The toughest Applied Math professor we had ... his last name was "Lastman". "He is the last man you want as your calculus prof".

All nighters are great preparation for crunch culture and hermit coding. Brood War would not exist without the hermit coding of Bob Fitch.


Everything you're describing can wait until kids are out of school. It is silly pretending there is some urgent need for kids to do any of this. We are much better off erring on the side of over concern and over accommodation of a kid's high school education.


Or not at all lmao

Crunch culture is not a necessary part of a healthy industry - it's a product of being behind or fucking other stuff up, if not just unrealistic expectations being dictated from 'above'.

I am glad Micro got an answer, and I'm curious where they go with it. The answer (as much as it was) isn't far from what I expected, straying towards "Child labour makes tough kids hurr hurr"
Impervious
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
Canada4199 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-04-08 21:30:48
April 08 2025 21:28 GMT
#98247
On April 09 2025 05:38 Biff The Understudy wrote:
Ok, so, 104% tarif on everything Chinese, that’s gonna be popular. I don’t see Xi blinking either.

I have to say, I’m kind of happy that China calls Trump’s bs but I just can’t fathom what the economic consequences are going to be. This lunatic is going to plunge us into a 1929 style crisis.


Btw I’m obviously also libertarian socialist:
https://8values.github.io/results.html?e=89.7&d=86.7&g=82.8&s=84.6

China is a net exporter in this situation, and large and diverse enough where they are overall self-sufficient, so they realistically don't need to trade with the USA like we do in Canada.

They can provide everything they need for their population through internal production or existing trade with other nations. Yea, it'd hurt their industries and growth in the short term, but I think they'll be absolutely fine standing up to the USA, even in a protracted trade war. They also have the authoritarian government needed to actually go through with it..... The USA is a net importer, so they would struggle in the short term if trade was cut off or significantly costlier in this trade war. The USA will have an extremely difficult time replacing their trade with China with trade from other countries, especially with these global tariffs being levied on every country, and it would take years to ramp up domestic production to replace this trade reduction.

I think this is definitely going to hurt the average American more than the average Chinese citizen. Prices at something like Dollar Tree or Walmart are going to go up, which is really going to hurt the Americans who are already worse off. And I can't see Trump or the republican Congress and Senate do anything to help these people. And even if they do something, it wouldn't be enough, nor would it be quick enough. It'd lead to civil unrest far faster in the USA than in China. There isn't really an opposite lever that the USA has on China. China has the cards here.

Some of the key industries in the USA can't survive with a significant import of certain raw goods that the USA doesn't have, or can't develop in a short period of time. A number of industries would run into issues if a trade war lasts more than a few months and current stockpiles of those materials is depleted. This will have an impact on their military, as their military relies on some key materials that China is threatening to cut off. If they do, that will really hurt the USA. While there is definitely some key goods that the USA exports to China that would be difficult to replace, there isn't really a reciprocal situation that I've heard about that is anywhere near as severe, so this is another area where China is holding the cards.

I really think that this is going to hurt both countries in the long run, but China is going to come out of this as the winner. And given how intertwined Canada is with the USA, this is also going to indirectly hurt us too. Given how stubborn Trump is, I don't see him caving quickly, and at this point, I think Xi is probably fed up with Trump enough that he'll keep this up just to spite Trump.
~ \(ˌ)im-ˈpər-vē-əs\ : not capable of being damaged or harmed.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21972 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-04-08 21:31:12
April 08 2025 21:29 GMT
#98248
On April 09 2025 06:19 Gorsameth wrote:
If anyone needed yet another reason why there is no point in trying to stroke Trumps ego and give him a win, he goes and does that rofl.

I just hope Europe aren't a bunch of cowards and react harshly. Let Trump find out what happens in a world vs US trade war.


Escalation doesn‘t help much.
Musk trying to mediate is a positive for a change.

Best case scenario is to stop Trump from engaging in provocative actionism and support of the Russian invasion further.

Dude needs to see a shrink.
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23221 Posts
April 08 2025 21:36 GMT
#98249
On April 09 2025 06:02 Impervious wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 08 2025 19:54 Gahlo wrote:
On April 08 2025 16:56 WombaT wrote:
Now let’s see Paul Allen’s political compass…

Nah I know it’s pretty darn flawed, anyone encountered more robust ones of these?

I greatly prefer the 8 Values test if we're playing "online quiz, tell me what my politics are".

I'm not sure how accurate that political test really is. Normally on these types of tests I fall fairly even between left and right, but about halfway down the libertarian end. A lot of these questions that are definitely leaning towards a "progressive" answer seem to be leading to a misleading answer. I'm more or less what I'm answering in an agreeable way for a progressive because they are anti-authoritarian in nature by their wording.


Yeah, clearly there's some contradictions at play if so many people are identifying as libertarian socialists.

Libertarian socialists tend to see the working class as agents of social revolution, reject representative democracy and electoralism, and advocate for self-organisation and direct action as means to engage in class conflict.


I did this in 2015 and basically explored every politic between third way Democrats and Anarchism before settling on revolutionary socialism as the best path forward, until/unless I'm shown otherwise.

Thus far, the most compelling path forward presented here besides revolutionary socialism, has also been presented by another iteration of myself, so I'm not optimistic there is a better path forward than revolutionary socialism. Consequently, I don't believe anyone else here plans on finding one.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21667 Posts
April 08 2025 21:44 GMT
#98250
On April 09 2025 06:29 Vivax wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 09 2025 06:19 Gorsameth wrote:
If anyone needed yet another reason why there is no point in trying to stroke Trumps ego and give him a win, he goes and does that rofl.

I just hope Europe aren't a bunch of cowards and react harshly. Let Trump find out what happens in a world vs US trade war.


Escalation doesn‘t help much.
Musk trying to mediate is a positive for a change.

Best case scenario is to stop Trump from engaging in provocative actionism and support of the Russian invasion further.

Dude needs to see a shrink.
You can't get Trump to stop, the best you can do is make other people stop Trump. Escalate and pressure Congress to take away the Executive's power over tariffs.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Impervious
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
Canada4199 Posts
April 08 2025 21:52 GMT
#98251
On April 09 2025 06:36 GreenHorizons wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 09 2025 06:02 Impervious wrote:
On April 08 2025 19:54 Gahlo wrote:
On April 08 2025 16:56 WombaT wrote:
Now let’s see Paul Allen’s political compass…

Nah I know it’s pretty darn flawed, anyone encountered more robust ones of these?

I greatly prefer the 8 Values test if we're playing "online quiz, tell me what my politics are".

I'm not sure how accurate that political test really is. Normally on these types of tests I fall fairly even between left and right, but about halfway down the libertarian end. A lot of these questions that are definitely leaning towards a "progressive" answer seem to be leading to a misleading answer. I'm more or less what I'm answering in an agreeable way for a progressive because they are anti-authoritarian in nature by their wording.


Yeah, clearly there's some contradictions at play if so many people are identifying as libertarian socialists.

Show nested quote +
Libertarian socialists tend to see the working class as agents of social revolution, reject representative democracy and electoralism, and advocate for self-organisation and direct action as means to engage in class conflict.


I did this in 2015 and basically explored every politic between third way Democrats and Anarchism before settling on revolutionary socialism as the best path forward, until/unless I'm shown otherwise.

Thus far, the most compelling path forward presented here besides revolutionary socialism, has also been presented by another iteration of myself, so I'm not optimistic there is a better path forward than revolutionary socialism. Consequently, I don't believe anyone else here plans on finding one.

Yea. Something like:

"My religious values should be spread as much as possible."

or "Children should be educated in religious or traditional values."

or "Religion should play a role in government."

or "Churches should be taxed the same way other institutions are taxed."

as examples specifically asking about religion look like they lead towards a pro-or-anti-progressive answer in this quiz based on their wording, when in reality I'm more of a european-style libertarian than an american-style libertarian, and these questions don't do a good job of differentiating between the two different schools of libertarian thought.
~ \(ˌ)im-ˈpər-vē-əs\ : not capable of being damaged or harmed.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21972 Posts
April 08 2025 22:07 GMT
#98252
On April 09 2025 06:44 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 09 2025 06:29 Vivax wrote:
On April 09 2025 06:19 Gorsameth wrote:
If anyone needed yet another reason why there is no point in trying to stroke Trumps ego and give him a win, he goes and does that rofl.

I just hope Europe aren't a bunch of cowards and react harshly. Let Trump find out what happens in a world vs US trade war.


Escalation doesn‘t help much.
Musk trying to mediate is a positive for a change.

Best case scenario is to stop Trump from engaging in provocative actionism and support of the Russian invasion further.

Dude needs to see a shrink.
You can't get Trump to stop, the best you can do is make other people stop Trump. Escalate and pressure Congress to take away the Executive's power over tariffs.


Just wear a suit, say thank you, and throw him a bag
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain17983 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-04-08 22:23:10
April 08 2025 22:21 GMT
#98253
On April 09 2025 02:28 Ciaus237 wrote:
I will join the choir:
https://8values.github.io/results.html?e=71.8&d=61.1&g=63.3&s=75.4
(Social, peaceful, liberal, very progressive - while social I do like markets for some things and I think that reflects in the score).

Also to be on topic: WTF is happening with the deportation case? The door feels open for Trump to just start throwing anyone he doesn't like in prisons far from any country they are a citizen of.

On April 09 2025 02:52 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 09 2025 02:28 Ciaus237 wrote:

Also to be on topic: WTF is happening with the deportation case? The door feels open for Trump to just start throwing anyone he doesn't like in prisons far from any country they are a citizen of.


Its another frustrating example of laws only existing as-written without any consideration of intent.

As it currently stands, the US government can legally create a situation where someone is beyond their reach as a form of imprisonment. Somehow, delivering someone to a place where the person can't be tracked, against their will, is not the fault or responsibility of the government.


I think in this case there isn't much a court can or should do. The courts are there to uphold the law, and it's too late to do that. Expecting the courts to intervene in diplomacy with a foreign country is just not going to happen.

The gross miscarriage of justice happened before, when he was deported without due process. Heads should roll because of that. But that is not the court's place. That is congress' role, and they should probably be impeaching Kristi Noem (over this and about a billion other things, but definitely this). And congress is dropping the ball. They have been dropping the ball for ages, and they are definitely not changing that now. Your next option is to stand up for your rights and protest. But you forgot how to do that too. So... gg.
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21667 Posts
April 08 2025 22:31 GMT
#98254
On April 09 2025 07:07 Vivax wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 09 2025 06:44 Gorsameth wrote:
On April 09 2025 06:29 Vivax wrote:
On April 09 2025 06:19 Gorsameth wrote:
If anyone needed yet another reason why there is no point in trying to stroke Trumps ego and give him a win, he goes and does that rofl.

I just hope Europe aren't a bunch of cowards and react harshly. Let Trump find out what happens in a world vs US trade war.


Escalation doesn‘t help much.
Musk trying to mediate is a positive for a change.

Best case scenario is to stop Trump from engaging in provocative actionism and support of the Russian invasion further.

Dude needs to see a shrink.
You can't get Trump to stop, the best you can do is make other people stop Trump. Escalate and pressure Congress to take away the Executive's power over tariffs.


Just wear a suit, say thank you, and throw him a bag

You mean like Netanyahu just did to no avail?
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21972 Posts
April 08 2025 22:35 GMT
#98255
On April 09 2025 07:31 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 09 2025 07:07 Vivax wrote:
On April 09 2025 06:44 Gorsameth wrote:
On April 09 2025 06:29 Vivax wrote:
On April 09 2025 06:19 Gorsameth wrote:
If anyone needed yet another reason why there is no point in trying to stroke Trumps ego and give him a win, he goes and does that rofl.

I just hope Europe aren't a bunch of cowards and react harshly. Let Trump find out what happens in a world vs US trade war.


Escalation doesn‘t help much.
Musk trying to mediate is a positive for a change.

Best case scenario is to stop Trump from engaging in provocative actionism and support of the Russian invasion further.

Dude needs to see a shrink.
You can't get Trump to stop, the best you can do is make other people stop Trump. Escalate and pressure Congress to take away the Executive's power over tariffs.


Just wear a suit, say thank you, and throw him a bag

You mean like Netanyahu just did to no avail?


Netanyahu primarily represented his country. What Trump said is true, actually. He‘s not in a position to lower tariffs on Israel alone without looking worse than he already does.

If I could assume that Ben N. tried to lower tariffs for all countries, of which I see no indication, I‘d agree with you.
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland25240 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-04-08 23:18:26
April 08 2025 23:17 GMT
#98256
On April 09 2025 06:36 GreenHorizons wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 09 2025 06:02 Impervious wrote:
On April 08 2025 19:54 Gahlo wrote:
On April 08 2025 16:56 WombaT wrote:
Now let’s see Paul Allen’s political compass…

Nah I know it’s pretty darn flawed, anyone encountered more robust ones of these?

I greatly prefer the 8 Values test if we're playing "online quiz, tell me what my politics are".

I'm not sure how accurate that political test really is. Normally on these types of tests I fall fairly even between left and right, but about halfway down the libertarian end. A lot of these questions that are definitely leaning towards a "progressive" answer seem to be leading to a misleading answer. I'm more or less what I'm answering in an agreeable way for a progressive because they are anti-authoritarian in nature by their wording.


Yeah, clearly there's some contradictions at play if so many people are identifying as libertarian socialists.

Show nested quote +
Libertarian socialists tend to see the working class as agents of social revolution, reject representative democracy and electoralism, and advocate for self-organisation and direct action as means to engage in class conflict.


I did this in 2015 and basically explored every politic between third way Democrats and Anarchism before settling on revolutionary socialism as the best path forward, until/unless I'm shown otherwise.

Thus far, the most compelling path forward presented here besides revolutionary socialism, has also been presented by another iteration of myself, so I'm not optimistic there is a better path forward than revolutionary socialism. Consequently, I don't believe anyone else here plans on finding one.

Can you get any more up your own arse?

Aight you’ve convinced me, I’ll stop engaging on topics outside of The RevolutionTM, I’ll just outright not bother to reply to anyone on the right because I don’t want to be part of the ‘mean girls’

I might even call everyone else genocide enablers while I’m at it.

Anyway, AFK a few months. Will check in and let the thread know how successful I’ve been.

I’m pretty hopefully it’s gonna work I have go say
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States13925 Posts
April 09 2025 00:34 GMT
#98257
On April 09 2025 06:17 CuddlyCuteKitten wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 09 2025 05:38 Biff The Understudy wrote:
Ok, so, 104% tarif on everything Chinese, that’s gonna be popular. I don’t see Xi blinking either.

I have to say, I’m kind of happy that China calls Trump’s bs but I just can’t fathom what the economic consequences are going to be. This lunatic is going to plunge us into a 1929 style crisis.


Btw I’m obviously also libertarian socialist:
https://8values.github.io/results.html?e=89.7&d=86.7&g=82.8&s=84.6


I fail to see how 104 % tariff is that much worse than 54%.

It sounds a lot worse.

But in reality it's more like this.

You want to buy a gadget for your phone.

Chinese one and Vietnamese ones used to cost 20$.
Now Vietnam is 30$ , China is 40$
American widget used to cost 29$. You buy that instead.

Your heating system breaks. Chinese part used to cost 200$. There is no replacement. You buy Chinese part for 400$ because what else can you do?

50% is already an INSANE edge. If there is any domestic competition they were already within striking distance and 50% or 100% doesn't matter.
If there was foreign competition you can buy for 20-30% more.
If you have no choice you are just more fucked.

Trump went all in against China and now he is x2 all-in. Doesn't really change much.

China was able to dodge most of Trumps bluster his first term by stabbing America with their tariffs on soy beans and offshoring assembly or the final manufacturing step to other nations near it like Vietnam. If the replacement part is going to develop from somewhere its going to develop using the existing Chinese supply chain, just replacing the final step with a nation that has lower tariffs on it. Africa maybe who knows but the idea that these tariffs are going to widely reshape economics or that they're effective leverage is insane.

There is almost nothing people agree with in economics other than stability is always better than chaos. Trump has decided to make the one economics mistake that everyone agrees with.
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States42654 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-04-09 00:40:22
April 09 2025 00:38 GMT
#98258
The soybeans fiasco is exactly why Trump is not good at this. You don’t have leverage after the crops have already been planted. The farmers planted them with a market already in mind, at that point you’re basically locked in. Both parties want to perform as agreed because the trade provides value for both parties. But you can’t simply call it off on a whim, the soybeans don’t care, they’re not going to stop and wait while you argue.

As you say, stability matters. If you don’t have a stable market for your crops you don’t plant. If you’ve planted then you’re betting on stability.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Billyboy
Profile Joined September 2024
1015 Posts
April 09 2025 01:54 GMT
#98259
On April 08 2025 13:34 oBlade wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 08 2025 08:51 Acrofales wrote:
On April 08 2025 01:33 oBlade wrote:
I remain not right wing. Slander at this point tbh.

Lol.

Here's a graph with a red dot in the bottom left and here's one in the top left

Look, I'm more anarchocommunist than Pyotr Kropotkin, but also more authoritarian than Stalin. Oh, and I'm also more fascist than Mussolini, and more Randian than Ayn Rand!

So... yeah. You look like a duck and you quack like a duck. So I think this is you. Essentially the same place Donald Trump is. If I was feeling charitable, I'd put you with Ludwig von Mises instead, but your incessant bad faith stumping for Trump has killed any goodwill I had, so up in the fascist corner your go. But don't worry, you're further to the left than Joe Biden or Keir Starmer according to that random website you used to generate your random graphs, so that's something!

Magic word "bad faith" aside: the graph is the result when you take the test, not where you "put yourself." I do welcome you to take the test yourself while playing the role of your caricaturized version of me, since you know me better than I do, it would be instructive and/or hilarious to see the results.

Show nested quote +
On April 08 2025 08:30 Billyboy wrote:
On April 08 2025 05:51 oBlade wrote:
In addition to the regulatory barriers that you extol because they promote valuable electronics safety like forcing everything to use USB-C, EU has until recently had higher tariffs on US than the reverse. EU are not the third world, tariffs should be 0 and trade deficits should be flat among the West.


It's a game theory thing because Asia is not monolithic. EU is, but that's a different factor. Trump likes the whole Americas. He'll be wanting to expand trade with Mexico, Argentina, Canada eventually (yes even more Canadian trade). Japan and Korea. India. Taiwan's PM JUST came out and said they're up for anything basically.

Can you explain to me how the ending the trade deficit with Canada helps the US? Only way this really happens is if we stop selling our oil to you at massive discounts. We're not a large enough economy to balance it any other realistic way (this is in progress as well because pipelines that were dead to the coasts are back on the table). I can not wrap my head around why buying our raw material at discounts so you can value add to them and sell them at a premium to other customers (including us) is bad for you?

In the long term reducing the deficit by increasing exports is much preferable over reducing imports. Because the problem on balance is while Canadian oil and wood might add value, the US then loses more value by buying at a premium from countries like China with systems that are setup just to protect their industry. I don't personally think the US needs uniform trade - ex. near 0 deficits with every specific country. The US needs to pressure everyone to make up the deficits somewhere. Canada may or may not be the place to earn back a lot of that ground, but on Trump's side also NA was exempt from Liberation Day. Canada does block dairy and alcohol with huge tariffs as far as I know though.

Before this trade war us Canadians would actively seek out made in American products. Now every single commercial mentions how Canadian there products are, even companies like McDonalds are advertising their potatoes and eggs are 100% Canadian. People are canceling so many vacations that our airlines are cutting flights by a third to the US. There is no way this does anything other than drastically reduce American exports to Canada. It is safe to say there is a similar story everywhere. And we are actively working and spending capital to increase our ability to sell our products else where.

Your stated goal is not terrible, but there is no way this execution accomplishes any of it. You are pushing everyone away from yourselves. Zero nuance, zero thought, mistake filled, stupidity. Many Americans are starting to awaken that they elected a ignorant, arrogant, lazy man who they thought was oh so cool and edgy to the most important position in the world and there are in fact consequences to that.

You can just add the Dairy "block" as just another lie you believed.

https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/trump-canada-us-dairy-trade-cusma-1.7483049

https://www.farmprogress.com/farm-policy/the-real-story-behind-canada-s-250-dairy-tariffs

And yeah our retaliation was to tariff your alcohol, though many places just pulled it from the shelves.

Under the Canada-United States-Mexico Agreement (CUSMA), 98 per cent of goods entering Canada from the U.S. have no tariffs – or at least, they didn't before the trade war.


And the group that is maybe getting fucked the hardest is farmers, Trump is not helping them at all. They sell their products all over the world and they get their inputs from all over the world.

On April 09 2025 09:38 KwarK wrote:
The soybeans fiasco is exactly why Trump is not good at this. You don’t have leverage after the crops have already been planted. The farmers planted them with a market already in mind, at that point you’re basically locked in. Both parties want to perform as agreed because the trade provides value for both parties. But you can’t simply call it off on a whim, the soybeans don’t care, they’re not going to stop and wait while you argue.

As you say, stability matters. If you don’t have a stable market for your crops you don’t plant. If you’ve planted then you’re betting on stability.

You're even drastically underselling how bad this is. Most modern farming operations use crop rotations, which are incredibly important for the soil heath, different crops require different inputs (fertilizer and so on), these inputs do not work for all the crops in a rotation (most are 5 year), and the inputs often last more than a season (a guy was just talking the other day about he couldn't switch to lentils and had to go to a far less valuable crop for this reason).

Short version not only are they planting now not knowing wtf the market is going to be like in 6 months investing all their capital, but decisions they made last year and the year before are effecting their options now and the choices they make now will impact the future.

Even if all their costs were not wildly higher (which they are), they would be in a terrible situation not knowing.

Cattle is not a heck of a lot better. We have tons of feedlots here, so many that we must import the caves to fatten them up, we can't breed enough. Our feedlot owners are buying far fewer at 25% more money. Do you think American ranchers knew that? They have no space nor the facilities to raise them. So they get to sell them for less, which won't drop the food prices because the meat didn't get cheaper, its just that the suppliers of it are paying a big fat tax.

So all this means is food prices are going to go up, likely a lot, and the farmers won't be making more (likely less), so not like they will be able to invest in anything. And even if they had the cash, building a massive feedlot takes years, and we don't know tomorrow.

Isn't Trump for the free market? It is strange because people wanted rightwing financially but they got whatever the fuck this is. But I mean they don't have to read he/him in as many emails, so over all a big win...
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States42654 Posts
April 09 2025 03:01 GMT
#98260
Trump is very against the free market. Always has been. There was a traditional alliance within the Republican Party between social conservatives and economic Liberals. The social conservative wing fucked some white nationalists, started using meth, and has now stabbed the economic Liberals. It’s why the rule of law generally is dead too. The new Republican Party is strongly anti Reagan era Republican values at this point.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
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