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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 1378

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Now that we have a new thread, in order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a complete and thorough read before posting!

NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source.


If you have any questions, comments, concern, or feedback regarding the USPMT, then please use this thread: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/website-feedback/510156-us-politics-thread
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
April 23 2019 17:19 GMT
#27541
The easiest way to mitigate the damage is to win in 2020 and seize the process.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18843 Posts
April 23 2019 17:22 GMT
#27542
Yeah, the census question will almost certainly stand.


So fucking dumb.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
On_Slaught
Profile Joined August 2008
United States12190 Posts
April 23 2019 17:31 GMT
#27543
On April 24 2019 02:22 farvacola wrote:
Yeah, the census question will almost certainly stand.


So fucking dumb.


Deeply ironic as well. They will base their decision on the VRA, which this very court gutted a few years ago. Also, it will most harm poor and minority communities that the VRA was supposed to help. Basically they will find a way to use the VRA to hurt minorities which is some impressive shit.

Oh and ofc the irony of originalists like Thomas/Gorsuch looking past the constitutional requirement of counting all people with no reference to citizenship to get a desired political outcome.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-04-23 17:36:44
April 23 2019 17:32 GMT
#27544
This was the whole point of the conservative court. We all know the reason why the citizenship question is being added. But because the policy doesn't overtly say "And brown people don't count as people", the court will allow it to happen. Just like citizens united lead to foreign money flowing into our elections. Just like gutting the voters rights act lead to a new wave of voter suppression.

At least this loss and the consequences has killed the myth that anyone but the conservatives have been in charge since the 2000s. They run the show and will until someone stops them.

On April 24 2019 02:31 On_Slaught wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 24 2019 02:22 farvacola wrote:
Yeah, the census question will almost certainly stand.


So fucking dumb.


Deeply ironic as well. They will base their decision on the VRA, which this very court gutted a few years ago. Also, it will most harm poor and minority communities that the VRA was supposed to help. Basically they will find a way to use the VRA to hurt minorities which is some impressive shit.

Oh and ofc the irony of originalists like Thomas/Gorsuch looking past the constitutional requirement of counting all people with no reference to citizenship to get a desired political outcome.


Origionalism is just a thin veil to hid the political underpinnings of a ruling behind the "intent of the founders". All legal arguments appeal to the intent of the originator of the any law. The originalists will ignore constitutional requirement as they see fit.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
April 23 2019 17:47 GMT
#27545
Any word on the arguments used, apart from not liking the result? You could always look for changing legislation if statute and the constitution is fairly interpreted to mean what some judges are saying it means.
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
April 23 2019 18:10 GMT
#27546
Pretty sure taking over the legislature and passing bills to undo the damage caused by the conservative court is the plan going forward. Among other things. No point is trying to pass laws with the current leadership in the senate right now. Let alone the White House.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
April 23 2019 18:19 GMT
#27547
I was just curious if there was legal reasoning to why the conservative justices were leaning towards the “wrong” decision. Law correctly interpreted is the function of judges. Changing the law because the outcomes are argued to be bad creates new statutes for judicial interpretation. Just because you don’t like the result of a Supreme Court case, doesn’t mean they did not respect the law as written. That’s why I asked for legal reasoning, instead of “damage caused” and “harm poor and minority communities” and “so fucking dumb” and “hurt red states” which are consequential arguments.
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
April 23 2019 18:32 GMT
#27548
This argument assumes that judges are unencumbered by political leanings or that the make up of the court has not been shaped to create this political outcome. Given the amount of political capital spent spent by senate Republicans to achieve the a firm conservative majority on the court and stack the federal bench, it is hard to take this rhetorical line of questioning seriously.

Or to put it bluntly, why do the legal arguments matter when the real world goals and impacts are clear?
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18173 Posts
April 23 2019 18:33 GMT
#27549
On April 24 2019 03:19 Danglars wrote:
I was just curious if there was legal reasoning to why the conservative justices were leaning towards the “wrong” decision. Law correctly interpreted is the function of judges. Changing the law because the outcomes are argued to be bad creates new statutes for judicial interpretation. Just because you don’t like the result of a Supreme Court case, doesn’t mean they did not respect the law as written. That’s why I asked for legal reasoning, instead of “damage caused” and “harm poor and minority communities” and “so fucking dumb” and “hurt red states” which are consequential arguments.

Presumably Judge Furman isn't an idiot and he seemed to think there were legal reasons to disallow it. The law still needs to be interpreted and the current supreme court interpreting it as allowing the question doesn't mean there is not an alternative interpretation that disallows it. It's just that the current justices prefer the arguments in favour of allowing it.
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-04-23 18:55:47
April 23 2019 18:53 GMT
#27550
On April 24 2019 03:33 Acrofales wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 24 2019 03:19 Danglars wrote:
I was just curious if there was legal reasoning to why the conservative justices were leaning towards the “wrong” decision. Law correctly interpreted is the function of judges. Changing the law because the outcomes are argued to be bad creates new statutes for judicial interpretation. Just because you don’t like the result of a Supreme Court case, doesn’t mean they did not respect the law as written. That’s why I asked for legal reasoning, instead of “damage caused” and “harm poor and minority communities” and “so fucking dumb” and “hurt red states” which are consequential arguments.

Presumably Judge Furman isn't an idiot and he seemed to think there were legal reasons to disallow it. The law still needs to be interpreted and the current supreme court interpreting it as allowing the question doesn't mean there is not an alternative interpretation that disallows it. It's just that the current justices prefer the arguments in favour of allowing it.

Perhaps I just have to read the lower court ruling and assume everybody likes that one, there being something of a dearth of responses right now. I don’t really want to assume what people think, since so many are up in arms over just the leanings in judicial power questioning (the much dreaded assumption of “only two sides” in the matter). Just like presumably (to me) conservative justices have motives other than hatred of minorities, or using law as an excuse to make rulings that ignore their plight.
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
Ayaz2810
Profile Joined September 2011
United States2763 Posts
April 23 2019 18:55 GMT
#27551
On April 24 2019 03:32 Plansix wrote:
This argument assumes that judges are unencumbered by political leanings or that the make up of the court has not been shaped to create this political outcome. Given the amount of political capital spent spent by senate Republicans to achieve the a firm conservative majority on the court and stack the federal bench, it is hard to take this rhetorical line of questioning seriously.

Or to put it bluntly, why do the legal arguments matter when the real world goals and impacts are clear?


You said it better than I ever could have.
Vrtra Vanquisher/Tiamat Trouncer/World Serpent Slayer
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
April 23 2019 18:59 GMT
#27552
You don’t want to assume what people think, so you assume that people must think the conservative justices hate minorities. That is some galaxy brain concern trolling right there.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Ayaz2810
Profile Joined September 2011
United States2763 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-04-23 19:00:17
April 23 2019 19:00 GMT
#27553
I feel like if Trump is ordering everyone involved with his administration to boycott the correspondent's dinner, WH reporters should boycott any and all briefings/QA sessions with Sanders. You know, since she's an admitted liar. We know press secretaries' primary job is to spin, but to have one come out and openly admit to lying... yeah, stick a fork in her.

Also, what are thinking about the odds that Congress holds Kline in contempt and actually moves forward with locking him up? I'm going with 10 to 1 against based on their previous limp-noodle conduct, but maybe this is where things start to change.
Vrtra Vanquisher/Tiamat Trouncer/World Serpent Slayer
Ayaz2810
Profile Joined September 2011
United States2763 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-04-23 19:01:44
April 23 2019 19:01 GMT
#27554
On April 24 2019 03:59 Plansix wrote:
You don’t want to assume what people think, so you assume that people must think the conservative justices hate minorities. That is some galaxy brain concern trolling right there.


To be completely fair, I think that. Maybe not hate. At the very least though, the world revulsion springs to mind. But I don't represent everyone.
Vrtra Vanquisher/Tiamat Trouncer/World Serpent Slayer
Simberto
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Germany11706 Posts
April 23 2019 19:02 GMT
#27555
On April 24 2019 03:32 Plansix wrote:
This argument assumes that judges are unencumbered by political leanings or that the make up of the court has not been shaped to create this political outcome. Given the amount of political capital spent spent by senate Republicans to achieve the a firm conservative majority on the court and stack the federal bench, it is hard to take this rhetorical line of questioning seriously.

Or to put it bluntly, why do the legal arguments matter when the real world goals and impacts are clear?


Indeed. Conservatives have made it quite clear that the US supreme court is not actually a court, but basically a weirdly randomly delayed version of congress and the presidency.

I will believe that they make independent decisions if one of the republican judges ever actually ever follows the law or the constitution over their party line.

This could have been avoided if there were rules to make sure that there is bipartisan agreement over judges. But there is not, and thus there are republican judges and democrat judges, and whoever has more at the current time wins.
On_Slaught
Profile Joined August 2008
United States12190 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-04-23 19:07:06
April 23 2019 19:06 GMT
#27556
On April 24 2019 03:19 Danglars wrote:
I was just curious if there was legal reasoning to why the conservative justices were leaning towards the “wrong” decision. Law correctly interpreted is the function of judges. Changing the law because the outcomes are argued to be bad creates new statutes for judicial interpretation. Just because you don’t like the result of a Supreme Court case, doesn’t mean they did not respect the law as written. That’s why I asked for legal reasoning, instead of “damage caused” and “harm poor and minority communities” and “so fucking dumb” and “hurt red states” which are consequential arguments.


The conservatives are arguing that a citizenship question will help with the enforceability of the Voting Rights Act. Also that historically it was asked until the 1950s and many countries ask the question in their census.

The liberals are arguing that the censuses own experts say this question will lead to depressed/inaccurate counts, thus making it at odds with the original purpose of the census. The result will disproportionally hurt minority communities' funding and representation in Congress.

The govt doesnt really deny that it will probably lead to less turnout, but that it is ok because 1. It helps them better enforce the VRA and 2. Making such a change is within the discretion of Commerce Secretary Ross.

Originalist like Thomas should hate an unnecessary census question which undermines a requirement laid out in the constitution, but that would require legal consistency which isnt conducive to getting the outcome you want personally. They are using the VRA to ironically justify a decision which they should be against.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
April 23 2019 19:08 GMT
#27557
On April 24 2019 04:02 Simberto wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 24 2019 03:32 Plansix wrote:
This argument assumes that judges are unencumbered by political leanings or that the make up of the court has not been shaped to create this political outcome. Given the amount of political capital spent spent by senate Republicans to achieve the a firm conservative majority on the court and stack the federal bench, it is hard to take this rhetorical line of questioning seriously.

Or to put it bluntly, why do the legal arguments matter when the real world goals and impacts are clear?


Indeed. Conservatives have made it quite clear that the US supreme court is not actually a court, but basically a weirdly randomly delayed version of congress and the presidency.

I will believe that they make independent decisions if one of the republican judges ever actually ever follows the law or the constitution over their party line.

This could have been avoided if there were rules to make sure that there is bipartisan agreement over judges. But there is not, and thus there are republican judges and democrat judges, and whoever has more at the current time wins.

To be fair, the naked efforts to stack the court at all costs is a relatively recent turn of events. It was not present in the Bush administration. This new, naked effort to fill the courts with as many conservative justices as possible began once McConnell took a leadership position in the Senate. From blocking lower court justices to stealing the seat on the Supreme Court. It is his number one political goal at all costs, banking on the belief that the Democrats will never be as shameless as him.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Ayaz2810
Profile Joined September 2011
United States2763 Posts
April 23 2019 19:17 GMT
#27558
On April 24 2019 04:06 On_Slaught wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 24 2019 03:19 Danglars wrote:
I was just curious if there was legal reasoning to why the conservative justices were leaning towards the “wrong” decision. Law correctly interpreted is the function of judges. Changing the law because the outcomes are argued to be bad creates new statutes for judicial interpretation. Just because you don’t like the result of a Supreme Court case, doesn’t mean they did not respect the law as written. That’s why I asked for legal reasoning, instead of “damage caused” and “harm poor and minority communities” and “so fucking dumb” and “hurt red states” which are consequential arguments.


The conservatives are arguing that a citizenship question will help with the enforceability of the Voting Rights Act. Also that historically it was asked until the 1950s and many countries ask the question in their census.

The liberals are arguing that the censuses own experts say this question will lead to depressed/inaccurate counts, thus making it at odds with the original purpose of the census. The result will disproportionally hurt minority communities' funding and representation in Congress.

The govt doesnt really deny that it will probably lead to less turnout, but that it is ok because 1. It helps them better enforce the VRA and 2. Making such a change is within the discretion of Commerce Secretary Ross.

Originalist like Thomas should hate an unnecessary census question which undermines a requirement laid out in the constitution, but that would require legal consistency which isnt conducive to getting the outcome you want personally. They are using the VRA to ironically justify a decision which they should be against.


And in very measurable ways. Emergency medical services, infrastructure, education, and a whole host of other things. It has the potential to affect plenty of white folks too which is what makes this whole thing so stupid. When I lived in California, I lived in a city that had shitloads of immigrants (I can't speak to whether or not they were all legal, but I assume not) AND middle class American citizens. This whole thing is like cutting off your nose to spite your face.
Vrtra Vanquisher/Tiamat Trouncer/World Serpent Slayer
On_Slaught
Profile Joined August 2008
United States12190 Posts
April 23 2019 19:18 GMT
#27559
On April 24 2019 04:08 Plansix wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 24 2019 04:02 Simberto wrote:
On April 24 2019 03:32 Plansix wrote:
This argument assumes that judges are unencumbered by political leanings or that the make up of the court has not been shaped to create this political outcome. Given the amount of political capital spent spent by senate Republicans to achieve the a firm conservative majority on the court and stack the federal bench, it is hard to take this rhetorical line of questioning seriously.

Or to put it bluntly, why do the legal arguments matter when the real world goals and impacts are clear?


Indeed. Conservatives have made it quite clear that the US supreme court is not actually a court, but basically a weirdly randomly delayed version of congress and the presidency.

I will believe that they make independent decisions if one of the republican judges ever actually ever follows the law or the constitution over their party line.

This could have been avoided if there were rules to make sure that there is bipartisan agreement over judges. But there is not, and thus there are republican judges and democrat judges, and whoever has more at the current time wins.

To be fair, the naked efforts to stack the court at all costs is a relatively recent turn of events. It was not present in the Bush administration. This new, naked effort to fill the courts with as many conservative justices as possible began once McConnell took a leadership position in the Senate. From blocking lower court justices to stealing the seat on the Supreme Court. It is his number one political goal at all costs, banking on the belief that the Democrats will never be as shameless as him.


The silver lining is that maybe now Dems will take it as seriously as Republicans do. It is by far the biggest issue in 2020 imo. Nothing comes close, which is kinda sad when you think about it.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
April 23 2019 19:28 GMT
#27560
On April 24 2019 04:18 On_Slaught wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 24 2019 04:08 Plansix wrote:
On April 24 2019 04:02 Simberto wrote:
On April 24 2019 03:32 Plansix wrote:
This argument assumes that judges are unencumbered by political leanings or that the make up of the court has not been shaped to create this political outcome. Given the amount of political capital spent spent by senate Republicans to achieve the a firm conservative majority on the court and stack the federal bench, it is hard to take this rhetorical line of questioning seriously.

Or to put it bluntly, why do the legal arguments matter when the real world goals and impacts are clear?


Indeed. Conservatives have made it quite clear that the US supreme court is not actually a court, but basically a weirdly randomly delayed version of congress and the presidency.

I will believe that they make independent decisions if one of the republican judges ever actually ever follows the law or the constitution over their party line.

This could have been avoided if there were rules to make sure that there is bipartisan agreement over judges. But there is not, and thus there are republican judges and democrat judges, and whoever has more at the current time wins.

To be fair, the naked efforts to stack the court at all costs is a relatively recent turn of events. It was not present in the Bush administration. This new, naked effort to fill the courts with as many conservative justices as possible began once McConnell took a leadership position in the Senate. From blocking lower court justices to stealing the seat on the Supreme Court. It is his number one political goal at all costs, banking on the belief that the Democrats will never be as shameless as him.


The silver lining is that maybe now Dems will take it as seriously as Republicans do. It is by far the biggest issue in 2020 imo. Nothing comes close, which is kinda sad when you think about it.

When you change rule and norm to seeking a political outcome, there are consequences. Much like how the Democrats slammed through the ACA when Kennedy passed away and they lost their super majority. But escalation continues and won’t stop until both sides are can reestablish some level of trust. Until then, no peace until McConnell is out of the senate.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
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