On May 08 2017 03:42 Makro wrote:
round 2 incoming in 2022 with a higher score for the far right
round 2 incoming in 2022 with a higher score for the far right
There is no visibility beyond 2 months, you can leave 2022 in 2022
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Although this thread does not function under the same strict guidelines as the USPMT, it is still a general practice on TL to provide a source with an explanation on why it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion. Failure to do so will result in a mod action. | ||
TheDwf
France19747 Posts
May 07 2017 18:45 GMT
#16781
On May 08 2017 03:42 Makro wrote: round 2 incoming in 2022 with a higher score for the far right There is no visibility beyond 2 months, you can leave 2022 in 2022 | ||
LegalLord
United Kingdom13775 Posts
May 07 2017 18:45 GMT
#16782
If the projections are correct, though, Marine doubles her father in runoff percentage. A nice boost, perhaps someone less hated with a similar anti-EU sentiment will be able to take it all the way to a win. | ||
TheDwf
France19747 Posts
May 07 2017 18:48 GMT
#16783
On May 08 2017 03:45 LegalLord wrote: "The political renewal Macron represents" that's a funny joke. Yeah lol, he's literally surrounded by all the political wastes from the last 3 decades, and some of his ideas are simply a return to the social model of the XIXth century, but whatever, marketing and a fresh face take it all. | ||
LegalLord
United Kingdom13775 Posts
May 07 2017 18:49 GMT
#16784
On May 08 2017 03:42 Nyxisto wrote: Show nested quote + On May 08 2017 03:33 LegalLord wrote: On May 08 2017 01:50 Nyxisto wrote: Also buying property in Vienna is pretty high up the luxury list. Home ownership isn't that great of an asset any more anyway, renting and having the flexibility to move is preferable. Home ownership rate in Austria, Switzerland and Germany is very low but it has prevented quite a lot of trouble that countries like Italy and Spain have had. Dunno how much it differs in tiny countries considering that both countries I'm from are large with no particular scarcity of available land for housing outside of a couple of megacities. But I can't help but feel it would be a pretty shitty life to never be able to buy a house and live in one place for decades. Of course you can't always expect to keep the same job forever but a job lost being a cross-country (or cross-EU) job search is a particularly troubling development in terms of quality of life. Also makes it shitty to attempt to have a family which manifests itself in the rather dismal demographics that Europe in general has. Well what can you do, we've been steadily moving from autonomy and self-subsistence towards more closely knit, urban societies. In that context buying a house, especially in today's economic situation where whole regions can decay over a few years can mean that you're sitting on a huge amount of debt and dead weight. Especially when you're older being close to public services, living in some communal way or whatever might be better than sitting around alone in a giant house. Germany is kind of peculiar in a way because our vocational system and decentralisation has prevented this to a degree, but in countries like the UK or France and much of the US small towns and that kind of organisation doesn't really work any more. Having high population density is too important nowadays. The ultimate result is that despite nominal increases in wealth, quality of life takes a nice, solid drop. No wonder people are displeased as a rather small sliver of folk are saying "it's all good guys why are you complaining?" | ||
TheDwf
France19747 Posts
May 07 2017 18:51 GMT
#16785
![]() Do you want Macron to have an absolute majority in the next legislative elections? Yes, quite (15%) Yes, rather (24%) Rather not (31%) Not at all (30%) | ||
OtherWorld
France17333 Posts
May 07 2017 18:53 GMT
#16786
On May 08 2017 03:04 TheDwf wrote: Brillant display of power from the ruling class, they managed to sell a marketing product and materialize a pure bubble in a matter of months; from noname to youngest president of the fifth world power in less than 3 years, well done, well done Shall we talk about the way Mélenchon went from 8% to near-second round contender (and, possibly, President) in a matter of weeks, thanks to well-crafted marketing propagated through non-traditional medias ? | ||
Makro
France16890 Posts
May 07 2017 18:57 GMT
#16787
On May 08 2017 03:53 OtherWorld wrote: Show nested quote + On May 08 2017 03:04 TheDwf wrote: Brillant display of power from the ruling class, they managed to sell a marketing product and materialize a pure bubble in a matter of months; from noname to youngest president of the fifth world power in less than 3 years, well done, well done Shall we talk about the way Mélenchon went from 8% to near-second round contender (and, possibly, President) in a matter of weeks, thanks to well-crafted marketing propagated through non-traditional medias ? you mean, the memes ? i think the CM of mélenchon twitter will realize that spamming some naruto reference isn't really efficient :> | ||
TheDwf
France19747 Posts
May 07 2017 18:58 GMT
#16788
On May 08 2017 03:53 OtherWorld wrote: Show nested quote + On May 08 2017 03:04 TheDwf wrote: Brillant display of power from the ruling class, they managed to sell a marketing product and materialize a pure bubble in a matter of months; from noname to youngest president of the fifth world power in less than 3 years, well done, well done Shall we talk about the way Mélenchon went from 8% to near-second round contender (and, possibly, President) in a matter of weeks, thanks to well-crafted marketing propagated through non-traditional medias ? Please... Youtube is nothing next to traditional medias (proof being that it was the first TV debate that made him start his remontada), and he was bashed non-stop in those as soon as he threatened to reach the second round (before that they could be positive/laudatory because he was below 15%). You cannot possibly compare the media handling of Macron and Mélenchon. Edit: in fact he was forced to use those alternative medias precisely because mainstream ones are often hostile to radical left politicians, and ask you dumb questions, or compare him 24/7 to the Front National, etc. | ||
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Nakajin
Canada8989 Posts
May 07 2017 19:00 GMT
#16789
On May 08 2017 03:51 TheDwf wrote: ![]() Do you want Macron to have an absolute majority in the next legislative elections? Yes, quite (15%) Yes, rather (24%) Rather not (31%) Not at all (30%) Well lets see but 39% in a 1 vote majority system is a landslide victory (I don't really see it happening myself). | ||
Shield
Bulgaria4824 Posts
May 07 2017 19:03 GMT
#16790
![]() | ||
Incognoto
France10239 Posts
May 07 2017 19:05 GMT
#16791
On May 08 2017 03:48 TheDwf wrote: Show nested quote + On May 08 2017 03:45 LegalLord wrote: "The political renewal Macron represents" that's a funny joke. Yeah lol, he's literally surrounded by all the political wastes from the last 3 decades, and some of his ideas are simply a return to the social model of the XIXth century, but whatever, marketing and a fresh face take it all. better than having a fucking commie in power | ||
TheDwf
France19747 Posts
May 07 2017 19:05 GMT
#16792
On May 08 2017 04:00 Nakajin wrote: Show nested quote + On May 08 2017 03:51 TheDwf wrote: ![]() Do you want Macron to have an absolute majority in the next legislative elections? Yes, quite (15%) Yes, rather (24%) Rather not (31%) Not at all (30%) Well lets see but 39% in a 1 vote majority system is a landslide victory (I don't really see it happening myself). It's just a poll about a hypothetical will (not vote intentions), the campaign did not start yet, so we'll see indeed. | ||
SoSexy
Italy3725 Posts
May 07 2017 19:14 GMT
#16793
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TheDwf
France19747 Posts
May 07 2017 19:17 GMT
#16794
On May 08 2017 04:14 SoSexy wrote: TheDwf, can you stop insulting Le Pen? I know you don't like her but I have never seen so many insults go without a warning in this forum... do you need this? What insults? | ||
OtherWorld
France17333 Posts
May 07 2017 19:18 GMT
#16795
On May 08 2017 03:58 TheDwf wrote: Show nested quote + On May 08 2017 03:53 OtherWorld wrote: On May 08 2017 03:04 TheDwf wrote: Brillant display of power from the ruling class, they managed to sell a marketing product and materialize a pure bubble in a matter of months; from noname to youngest president of the fifth world power in less than 3 years, well done, well done Shall we talk about the way Mélenchon went from 8% to near-second round contender (and, possibly, President) in a matter of weeks, thanks to well-crafted marketing propagated through non-traditional medias ? Please... Youtube is nothing next to traditional medias (proof being that it was the first TV debate which made him start his remontada), and he was bashed non-stop in those as soon as he threatened to reach the second round (before that they could be positive/laudatory because he was below 15%). You cannot possibly compare the media handling of Macron and Mélenchon. Videos of his punchlines in the debates, circulating on social medias, are part of non-traditional medias, though. And even though some mainstream medias bashed him (mainly right-wing, though), they also gave him exposure, talked about his social media handling, about how thought-out his program was, etc. Macron got a lot of exposure from mainstream medias, more than Mélenchon, though overestimating the impact of a handful of Paris-Match or L'Obs covers is just like overestimating the impact of Mélenchon's YT channel or his FB militias. Of course Macron is mostly a well-crafted politician, though I have no doubt that future will show that he's a real master politician, in the best and worst meanings of the word. But acting like he's more of a marketing product than other candidates would have been anyway, or that other candidates would have had much more partisan support, or that Macron is a literal conspiracy from the Establishment (as if there was a single, unified establishment) is a bit too simplistic in my opinion. | ||
SoSexy
Italy3725 Posts
May 07 2017 19:31 GMT
#16796
On May 08 2017 04:17 TheDwf wrote: Show nested quote + On May 08 2017 04:14 SoSexy wrote: TheDwf, can you stop insulting Le Pen? I know you don't like her but I have never seen so many insults go without a warning in this forum... do you need this? What insults? just the latest example, on page 839: 'go back to your cave you useless vulture' | ||
TheDwf
France19747 Posts
May 07 2017 19:32 GMT
#16797
Also said that he will lead the legislative battle. | ||
Danglars
United States12133 Posts
May 07 2017 19:34 GMT
#16798
On May 08 2017 04:14 SoSexy wrote: TheDwf, can you stop insulting Le Pen? I know you don't like her but I have never seen so many insults go without a warning in this forum... do you need this? Reading your comments is like reading a mirrored version of the_donald Uhh we need people to sound like the_donald's twin brother to remind people the other side isn't any more sane than Le Pen ... just insane in different ways. If they hid their true colors and moderated now, the opposition wouldn't know how much they're hated. | ||
Shield
Bulgaria4824 Posts
May 07 2017 19:35 GMT
#16799
On May 08 2017 04:14 SoSexy wrote: TheDwf, can you stop insulting Le Pen? I know you don't like her but I have never seen so many insults go without a warning in this forum... do you need this? Reading your comments is like reading a mirrored version of the_donald I think it's perfectly okay to insult modern nationalists. If not fascist, they're too extreme. Moderate nationalist is another story, but I have yet to see this in the 21st century. | ||
Nebuchad
Switzerland12216 Posts
May 07 2017 19:35 GMT
#16800
On May 08 2017 04:34 Danglars wrote: Show nested quote + On May 08 2017 04:14 SoSexy wrote: TheDwf, can you stop insulting Le Pen? I know you don't like her but I have never seen so many insults go without a warning in this forum... do you need this? Reading your comments is like reading a mirrored version of the_donald Uhh we need people to sound like the_donald's twin brother to remind people the other side isn't any more sane than Le Pen ... just insane in different ways. If they hid their true colors and moderated now, the opposition wouldn't know how much they're hated. Also aren't you superoffended that SoSexy is asking TheDwf to police his speech? | ||
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