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European Politico-economics QA Mega-thread - Page 159

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Although this thread does not function under the same strict guidelines as the USPMT, it is still a general practice on TL to provide a source with an explanation on why it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion. Failure to do so will result in a mod action.
Cam Connor
Profile Blog Joined September 2011
Canada786 Posts
July 06 2015 04:48 GMT
#3161
Wall Street journal
post to be
TL+ Member
Cam Connor
Profile Blog Joined September 2011
Canada786 Posts
July 06 2015 04:50 GMT
#3162
And again, I said it's useless, all its saying is that greece makes up only a small part of the eurozone economic output
post to be
TL+ Member
RenSC2
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States1072 Posts
July 06 2015 04:52 GMT
#3163
On July 06 2015 13:44 WhiteDog wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 06 2015 12:41 Cam Connor wrote:
Interesting stat: if greece wasn't in the eurozone, eurozone economic output would only decrease by 1.8% and gdp per capita would increase 1.5%
Largely useless statistic, but still food for thought

Where did you got that bullshit stat I wonder. More than 20% unemployment in Portugal, Spain, more than 10% in Italy and France, and there s people that actually believe Europz would be better without Greece... Hahahha.

Just checked unemployment rate on google and got a nice chart.
[image loading]
Looks like Greece is a little worse off than Spain and much worse than Portugal, Italy, and France.
Playing better than standard requires deviation. This divergence usually results in sub-standard play.
Cam Connor
Profile Blog Joined September 2011
Canada786 Posts
July 06 2015 04:54 GMT
#3164
Spain is interesting because despite ridiculously high unemployment, they've taken very real and disciplined steps to be fiscally responsible, and their recovery is very much a bright place as things stabilize
Unless greece fucks it up for them of course
post to be
TL+ Member
Toadesstern
Profile Blog Joined October 2008
Germany16350 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-07-06 05:53:45
July 06 2015 05:50 GMT
#3165
Yanis Varoufakis apparently resigned in an attempt to not get in the way due the other european FinMin not really liking him:

Minister No More!

The referendum of 5th July will stay in history as a unique moment when a small European nation rose up against debt-bondage.

Like all struggles for democratic rights, so too this historic rejection of the Eurogroup’s 25th June ultimatum comes with a large price tag attached. It is, therefore, essential that the great capital bestowed upon our government by the splendid NO vote be invested immediately into a YES to a proper resolution – to an agreement that involves debt restructuring, less austerity, redistribution in favour of the needy, and real reforms.

Soon after the announcement of the referendum results, I was made aware of a certain preference by some Eurogroup participants, and assorted ‘partners’, for my… ‘absence’ from its meetings; an idea that the Prime Minister judged to be potentially helpful to him in reaching an agreement. For this reason I am leaving the Ministry of Finance today.

I consider it my duty to help Alexis Tsipras exploit, as he sees fit, the capital that the Greek people granted us through yesterday’s referendum.

And I shall wear the creditors’ loathing with pride.

We of the Left know how to act collectively with no care for the privileges of office. I shall support fully Prime Minister Tsipras, the new Minister of Finance, and our government.

The superhuman effort to honour the brave people of Greece, and the famous OXI (NO) that they granted to democrats the world over, is just beginning.

source

Kind of surprised to see that move as he said he'd step back if the referendum had turned out the other way as well but that's probably a good thing for Greece the way people don't seem to like him.
<Elem> >toad in charge of judging lewdness <Elem> how bad can it be <Elem> also wew, that is actually p lewd.
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
July 06 2015 06:02 GMT
#3166
Hurray, a scumbag who lied and tried to ruin his country has left office. Pity there's nothing he can really be prosecuted for.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
Rassy
Profile Joined August 2010
Netherlands2308 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-07-06 06:40:03
July 06 2015 06:38 GMT
#3167
varouflakis resigning,weird story.
A month ago he also resigned as finance minister (or got sacked, not sure) but few days later he was back negotiating again. Now resign because some people don't like him?
Maybe there is a split in the greek government,farouflakis wants to accept the deal but tsipras doesn't.

Him resigning is not a good sign in my opinion and it lowers the change to get an agreement.
CuddlyCuteKitten
Profile Joined January 2004
Sweden2655 Posts
July 06 2015 06:40 GMT
#3168
On July 06 2015 09:51 c0ldfusion wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 05 2015 19:22 CuddlyCuteKitten wrote:
There was an interview with a retired boss of the Swedish tax collection agency (40 years of experience) who had been in Greece as an expert adviser together with an Irish expert. His opinion is that it basically doesn't matter what kind of tax changes are done because the Greek government lacks any ability to collect them.

Him and his colleague were sent to assist the new boss of Greek tax collection. They expected corruption which they found but they also found out that the entire organization was inefficient to the point of uselessness. Tax collection was done by outdated and incompetent methods for example manually checking trucks cargo manifests in the field instead of seriously reviewing companies books, almost all methods were completely outdated for a modern society. Things like all the archives being in paper form and spread all over the country also made serious tax collection almost impossible.

The new boss also faced pressure from the employees and from the politicians to keep the current conditions. After a year he was fired for achieving nothing.
He describes the general attitude of politicians and employees to be "wait for this to blow over and continue business as usual". His opinion is that 1 person is not enough for reform, there needs to be a group of 5-6 preferably young, well trained ambitious, driven and above all extremely motivated to the cause of reforming Greek tax collection and they need to have the political backing do whatever it takes both in their own department and others (centralizing all records necessary for a start, rooting out corruption at all levels) in order for any tax reforms to be meaningful at all.

Edit: He was there earlier in the crisis, before Syriza. Just to clarify.


I thought tax enforcement was revamped in Greece in recent years. Or is it still a huge problem?


According to what I read they tried and failed more or less.

That's why the creditors wants cuts and VAT taxes because it's easier to implement. Greek government want to tax rich people 20 % more but 20 % more out of close to 0 % paying taxes is still zero.
waaaaaaaaaaaooooow - Felicia, SPF2:T
Taguchi
Profile Joined February 2003
Greece1575 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-07-06 09:11:56
July 06 2015 09:07 GMT
#3169
On July 06 2015 15:02 zlefin wrote:
Hurray, a scumbag who lied and tried to ruin his country has left office. Pity there's nothing he can really be prosecuted for.


No no no, we're not talking about Samaras, former leader of ND, here. That was Varoufakis resigning, the only guy in the Eurogroup room who had a grasp on what was needed to resolve stuff (or, more likely, the only guy with the balls to say so, I'm sure a few others were smart enough too), the only guy with whom the IMF agreed in the end, the guy who pushed for a stop to extend and pretend. Don't confuse these people. Even if Greece is left on its own, Varoufakis hugely contributed to it becoming a better country.

So a few days ago I wrote that Europe would have Tsipras's head on a silver platter, then pay up. After the referendum result it looks like they'll have to settle for Varoufakis. So much pettiness.

Also, what is the point of Sigmar Gabriel having his own party at this point? Just merge with Merkel and be done with it.

@c0ldfusion, under the troika the Greek tax collection agency was left with ~200 people who were supposed to check businesses across the entire country. Because the government was barred from hiring new personnel, as part of the cuts it had to go through to 'reform'. Yes, that kind of 'reform' again. Tax collection is in a much worse place today than it was 6 years ago. But you won't hear about that from the news, it doesn't really fit with the austerity success story, the amateur hour of Syriza or the image of generally inept and reckless Greeks.

Great minds might think alike, but fastest hands rule the day~
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21962 Posts
July 06 2015 09:19 GMT
#3170
Varoufakis resigning just shows the utter chaos of the Greek government.
Hours ago he was saying how a No would increase their bargaining position and now he is forced to resign? And yes there is no way i believe he actually stepped aside for the good of the negotiations.

Just another desperate flailing by an incompetent government. I just hope the Eurozone doesn't get a soft heart from this and stays firm.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Alcathous
Profile Joined December 2014
Netherlands219 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-07-06 09:35:58
July 06 2015 09:21 GMT
#3171
If they could have gotten Tsipras's head even after the referendum, they would have had it. Disgusting. Of course impossible for Greece to ask 6 MF's to resign instead.

I have much less trust in Syriza now with their economics brain gone. Left traditionally lacks knowledge of economics.

In the mean while the Dutch left is now calling for Dijsselbloem to resign.
Let's just write it down for the history books, Merkel, Juncker and Dijsselbloem destroyed the European dream. Let's have all kids read that when we have another war in Europe in 100 or a 1000 years.

On July 06 2015 15:38 Rassy wrote:
varouflakis resigning,weird story.
A month ago he also resigned as finance minister (or got sacked, not sure) but few days later he was back negotiating again. Now resign because some people don't like him?
Maybe there is a split in the greek government,farouflakis wants to accept the deal but tsipras doesn't.

Him resigning is not a good sign in my opinion and it lowers the change to get an agreement.


That was just wishful-thinking or misreporting in the Dutch media. He was never sacked. They just had to replace him as chief negotiator because the Eurogroup people hated him. Watch the video where he shakes hands with Dijsselbloem and watch Dijsselbloem's body language. It's just disgusting.



Give Varoufakis a Dutch (or European as within Europe it shouldn't matter) passport, and I'd vote for him.
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
July 06 2015 10:13 GMT
#3172
On July 06 2015 18:07 Taguchi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 06 2015 15:02 zlefin wrote:
Hurray, a scumbag who lied and tried to ruin his country has left office. Pity there's nothing he can really be prosecuted for.


No no no, we're not talking about Samaras, former leader of ND, here. That was Varoufakis resigning, the only guy in the Eurogroup room who had a grasp on what was needed to resolve stuff (or, more likely, the only guy with the balls to say so, I'm sure a few others were smart enough too), the only guy with whom the IMF agreed in the end, the guy who pushed for a stop to extend and pretend. Don't confuse these people. Even if Greece is left on its own, Varoufakis hugely contributed to it becoming a better country.

So a few days ago I wrote that Europe would have Tsipras's head on a silver platter, then pay up. After the referendum result it looks like they'll have to settle for Varoufakis. So much pettiness.

Also, what is the point of Sigmar Gabriel having his own party at this point? Just merge with Merkel and be done with it.

@c0ldfusion, under the troika the Greek tax collection agency was left with ~200 people who were supposed to check businesses across the entire country. Because the government was barred from hiring new personnel, as part of the cuts it had to go through to 'reform'. Yes, that kind of 'reform' again. Tax collection is in a much worse place today than it was 6 years ago. But you won't hear about that from the news, it doesn't really fit with the austerity success story, the amateur hour of Syriza or the image of generally inept and reckless Greeks.


I'm quite well aware of who he is and I stand by my statement, Varoufakis is scum. You evidently disagree. I don't know what evidence you're looking at that gives such a different view, most likely its a product of a very different experience. You should really consider the possibility that varou is bad.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
gsgfdf
Profile Joined March 2015
Greece2 Posts
July 06 2015 10:29 GMT
#3173
On July 06 2015 19:13 zlefin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 06 2015 18:07 Taguchi wrote:
On July 06 2015 15:02 zlefin wrote:
Hurray, a scumbag who lied and tried to ruin his country has left office. Pity there's nothing he can really be prosecuted for.


No no no, we're not talking about Samaras, former leader of ND, here. That was Varoufakis resigning, the only guy in the Eurogroup room who had a grasp on what was needed to resolve stuff (or, more likely, the only guy with the balls to say so, I'm sure a few others were smart enough too), the only guy with whom the IMF agreed in the end, the guy who pushed for a stop to extend and pretend. Don't confuse these people. Even if Greece is left on its own, Varoufakis hugely contributed to it becoming a better country.

So a few days ago I wrote that Europe would have Tsipras's head on a silver platter, then pay up. After the referendum result it looks like they'll have to settle for Varoufakis. So much pettiness.

Also, what is the point of Sigmar Gabriel having his own party at this point? Just merge with Merkel and be done with it.

@c0ldfusion, under the troika the Greek tax collection agency was left with ~200 people who were supposed to check businesses across the entire country. Because the government was barred from hiring new personnel, as part of the cuts it had to go through to 'reform'. Yes, that kind of 'reform' again. Tax collection is in a much worse place today than it was 6 years ago. But you won't hear about that from the news, it doesn't really fit with the austerity success story, the amateur hour of Syriza or the image of generally inept and reckless Greeks.


I'm quite well aware of who he is and I stand by my statement, Varoufakis is scum. You evidently disagree. I don't know what evidence you're looking at that gives such a different view, most likely its a product of a very different experience. You should really consider the possibility that varou is bad.


This is absurd. At worse he failed in the negotiations in the last 5 months. He has nothing to do with the debt inflation nor the Greek public sector mistakes.
You seriously must process what the media feeds you better. EU FinMins didn't like him and he is gone after a parade of defaming media coverage.
Taguchi
Profile Joined February 2003
Greece1575 Posts
July 06 2015 10:31 GMT
#3174
On July 06 2015 19:13 zlefin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 06 2015 18:07 Taguchi wrote:
On July 06 2015 15:02 zlefin wrote:
Hurray, a scumbag who lied and tried to ruin his country has left office. Pity there's nothing he can really be prosecuted for.


No no no, we're not talking about Samaras, former leader of ND, here. That was Varoufakis resigning, the only guy in the Eurogroup room who had a grasp on what was needed to resolve stuff (or, more likely, the only guy with the balls to say so, I'm sure a few others were smart enough too), the only guy with whom the IMF agreed in the end, the guy who pushed for a stop to extend and pretend. Don't confuse these people. Even if Greece is left on its own, Varoufakis hugely contributed to it becoming a better country.

So a few days ago I wrote that Europe would have Tsipras's head on a silver platter, then pay up. After the referendum result it looks like they'll have to settle for Varoufakis. So much pettiness.

Also, what is the point of Sigmar Gabriel having his own party at this point? Just merge with Merkel and be done with it.

@c0ldfusion, under the troika the Greek tax collection agency was left with ~200 people who were supposed to check businesses across the entire country. Because the government was barred from hiring new personnel, as part of the cuts it had to go through to 'reform'. Yes, that kind of 'reform' again. Tax collection is in a much worse place today than it was 6 years ago. But you won't hear about that from the news, it doesn't really fit with the austerity success story, the amateur hour of Syriza or the image of generally inept and reckless Greeks.


I'm quite well aware of who he is and I stand by my statement, Varoufakis is scum. You evidently disagree. I don't know what evidence you're looking at that gives such a different view, most likely its a product of a very different experience. You should really consider the possibility that varou is bad.


Start paying attention to substance. Stop paying attention to fluff. Anything that's come out from the German side related to economics has been complete, nonsensical bollocks, according to most acclaimed economists, including the IMF as of late. But not the media, never the media.

If you are wealthy, and owe your wealth to banking, disregard all this. Hold your ground. There's profit to be made.
Great minds might think alike, but fastest hands rule the day~
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
July 06 2015 10:33 GMT
#3175
I have been quite thoroughly paying attention to numerous sources from numerous countries, and to the substantive details. I believe it is you folk who need to reconsider your positions.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
Taguchi
Profile Joined February 2003
Greece1575 Posts
July 06 2015 10:44 GMT
#3176
On July 06 2015 19:33 zlefin wrote:
I have been quite thoroughly paying attention to numerous sources from numerous countries, and to the substantive details. I believe it is you folk who need to reconsider your positions.


Sure. Debt is sustainable then?
Great minds might think alike, but fastest hands rule the day~
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-07-06 10:50:39
July 06 2015 10:50 GMT
#3177
Of course it's not sustainable at present. Greece should just default.

it sounds like you've been listening to extremely biased sources.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
warding
Profile Joined August 2005
Portugal2394 Posts
July 06 2015 10:50 GMT
#3178
On July 06 2015 19:44 Taguchi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 06 2015 19:33 zlefin wrote:
I have been quite thoroughly paying attention to numerous sources from numerous countries, and to the substantive details. I believe it is you folk who need to reconsider your positions.


Sure. Debt is sustainable then?

As long as it's weight from interest payments is below 5% of GDP, yes it is.
Taguchi
Profile Joined February 2003
Greece1575 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-07-06 10:59:27
July 06 2015 10:57 GMT
#3179
On July 06 2015 19:50 warding wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 06 2015 19:44 Taguchi wrote:
On July 06 2015 19:33 zlefin wrote:
I have been quite thoroughly paying attention to numerous sources from numerous countries, and to the substantive details. I believe it is you folk who need to reconsider your positions.


Sure. Debt is sustainable then?

As long as it's weight from interest payments is below 5% of GDP, yes it is.


http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/scr/2015/cr15165.pdf

Read this.

On July 06 2015 19:50 zlefin wrote:
Of course it's not sustainable at present. Greece should just default.

it sounds like you've been listening to extremely biased sources.


Sounds like you should pay a lot more attention to who you're talking to. From your stance about Varoufakis, who's been championing debt relief above all else as a prerequisite for solving the Greek problem, I gathered you'd share the German point of view. Apparently not?

So what is it exactly about Varoufakis you dislike? Talking substance.
Great minds might think alike, but fastest hands rule the day~
lastpuritan
Profile Joined December 2014
United States540 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-07-06 11:19:35
July 06 2015 11:19 GMT
#3180
http://i.imgur.com/holpojr.jpg

i dont know how they'll survive.
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