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European Politico-economics QA Mega-thread - Page 1327

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Although this thread does not function under the same strict guidelines as the USPMT, it is still a general practice on TL to provide a source with an explanation on why it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion. Failure to do so will result in a mod action.
Dangermousecatdog
Profile Joined December 2010
United Kingdom7084 Posts
February 25 2022 15:16 GMT
#26521
The Russian prerequisite demand for negotiation is the capitulation of the Ukrainian military. That is not a negotiation of a ceasefire, that is the negotiation of surrender. If Russia wants to cease the invasion of Ukraine, Russia can enact that any time it wants. In effect, the demand for negotiation with the terms it wants, is a demand for complete surrender and occupation by Russia.
ggrrg
Profile Blog Joined September 2009
Bulgaria2716 Posts
February 25 2022 15:21 GMT
#26522
On February 25 2022 23:49 LegalLord wrote:
There's been quite a lot of noise about potential negotiations for a ceasefire in Russian news for about the last 10 hours. The concrete proposal seems to be "let's sit down in Minsk" which I suspect is meant to be symbolic.


Sounds like propaganda talk to reduce internal unhappiness with the war: "Look we are trying to find a peaceful solution, but those Ukrainians simply don't want to talk to us!"
The suggestion itself seems quite absurd considering the circumstances. It's fairly unbelievable that you are considering a ceasefire while simultaneously sending in more and more troops. It's also outright ridiculous that you'd expect any Ukrainian leaders to go to Minsk, the capital of a co-belligerent, while announcing that your goal is to "decapitate" the Ukrainian government...

Who knows, maybe Putin will really make a suggestion for a ceasefire, but it honestly does not look convincing at all that he is having such an intention.
Oukka
Profile Blog Joined September 2012
Finland1683 Posts
February 25 2022 15:25 GMT
#26523
On February 25 2022 23:56 Dan HH wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 25 2022 21:49 Oukka wrote:
Finnish YLE (public broadcasting company) reports that a Romanian ship has been hit by fire from Russian warships. Second vessel from NATO countries to be fired upon after a Turkish ship was hit by a missile yesterday.

It was a Moldovan chemical tanker, not Romanian.


Yep, I think The Guardian is at least reporting that now. Also some reports suggest that crew members were Russian. So it's not just a third party vessel but also actually Russians shooting Russians.
I play children's card games and watch a lot of dota, CS and HS
PhoenixVoid
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
Canada32746 Posts
February 25 2022 15:31 GMT
#26524
There hasn't exactly been good faith negotiations with Russia so I fail to see what can be gained from this. Even if Russia's expectations for military dominance and a swift decapitation haven't been entirely achieved, they still hold the overwhelming upper hand in most aspects. Putin is speaking only to Russia right now with his leadership and words.

One journalist who is summarizing a Ukrainian intelligence source that caught on in Ukrainian media says, "The desired result is to seize the leadership of the Ukrainian state and force a peace agreement to be signed on Russian terms under conditions of blackmail." Then the finale is to bisect Ukraine into an east and west with Kyiv on the Russian side.

I'm afraid of demented knife-wielding escaped lunatic libertarian zombie mutants
Dav1oN
Profile Joined January 2012
Ukraine3164 Posts
February 25 2022 15:43 GMT
#26525
Blood donation center/hospital in Kharkiv was just bombarded by the artillery, 2 deaths at least 2 wounded, my wife was just 5-10 minutes late for this...Civilian buildings are also shelled
In memory of Geoff "iNcontroL" Robinson 11.09.1985 - 21.07.2019 A tribute to incredible man, embodiment of joy, esports titan, starcraft community pillar all in one. You will always be remembered!
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
February 25 2022 15:47 GMT
#26526
Cause this is a healthy and rational response.

WARSAW, Poland (AP) — It has been a long time since the threat of using nuclear weapons has been brandished so openly by a world leader, but Vladimir Putin has just done it, warning in a speech that he has the weapons available if anyone dares to use military means to try to stop Russia’s takeover of Ukraine.

The threat may have been empty, a mere baring of fangs by the Russian president, but it was noticed. It kindled visions of a nightmarish outcome in which Putin’s ambitions in Ukraine could lead to a nuclear war through accident or miscalculation.

“As for military affairs, even after the dissolution of the USSR and losing a considerable part of its capabilities, today’s Russia remains one of the most powerful nuclear states,” Putin said, in his pre-invasion address early Thursday.

“Moreover, it has a certain advantage in several cutting-edge weapons. In this context, there should be no doubt for anyone that any potential aggressor will face defeat and ominous consequences should it directly attack our country.”

By merely suggesting a nuclear response, Putin put into play the disturbing possibility that the current fighting in Ukraine might eventually veer into an atomic confrontation between Russia and the United States.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15726 Posts
February 25 2022 15:48 GMT
#26527
On February 26 2022 00:43 Dav1oN wrote:
Blood donation center/hospital in Kharkiv was just bombarded by the artillery, 2 deaths at least 2 wounded, my wife was just 5-10 minutes late for this...Civilian buildings are also shelled

That is crazy to hear. I'm so sad for you man, I really hope you and your family are able to stay safe.
Oukka
Profile Blog Joined September 2012
Finland1683 Posts
February 25 2022 15:48 GMT
#26528
Keep your head down and your wits about. Hopefully your family gets to safety and the invasion stops as soon as possible.
I play children's card games and watch a lot of dota, CS and HS
Elroi
Profile Joined August 2009
Sweden5599 Posts
February 25 2022 15:54 GMT
#26529
On February 26 2022 00:43 Dav1oN wrote:
Blood donation center/hospital in Kharkiv was just bombarded by the artillery, 2 deaths at least 2 wounded, my wife was just 5-10 minutes late for this...Civilian buildings are also shelled

I can't imagine what that must be like. I really hope it turns out ok for you and your family.

I have been very impressed by the resilience of the Ukrainian people, taking part of all the news on line. The president has also shown some real signs of courage, imo, instead of just quitting on the people.
"To all eSports fans, I want to be remembered as a progamer who can make something out of nothing, and someone who always does his best. I think that is the right way of living, and I'm always doing my best to follow that." - Jaedong. /watch?v=jfghAzJqAp0
Simberto
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Germany11712 Posts
February 25 2022 16:00 GMT
#26530
On February 25 2022 23:56 Dan HH wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 25 2022 21:49 Oukka wrote:
Finnish YLE (public broadcasting company) reports that a Romanian ship has been hit by fire from Russian warships. Second vessel from NATO countries to be fired upon after a Turkish ship was hit by a missile yesterday.

It was a Moldovan chemical tanker, not Romanian.

Show nested quote +
On February 25 2022 19:33 Gorsameth wrote:
On February 25 2022 18:57 KlaCkoN wrote:Not to sound too melodramatic but if the cost of freedom is to live with sugar rations and no new electronics for a few years then it's worth it.
That is perhaps the most disappointing thing about this situation for me. Just how unwilling the West is to compromise on their own comforts to punish a naked aggressor on Europe's border and prevent further conflict. Because absolutely nothing done so far will deter Putin from continuing on this course.

Their probably laughing in the Kremlin about how cheap of an international price they are paying for Ukraine.

That's the frustrating part, if we cut off all financial ties Putin is likely to be ousted by his own people. And if he doesn't then fuck it, I'll pay 3x for gas or sleep with 3 coats on if I have to, knowing we at least did everything.


Agreed.

I would willingly double my heating costs. This shit needs to be hit hard. I think that we probably don't want to go to war over this, but we should do anything short of that.

Absolutely no more trade with Russia. No oil, no gas, no imports, no exports, no banking. Seize anything owned directly or indirectly by russian oligarchs abroad. Isolate Russia from everything. No more travel to or from russia (except for people who want to claim asylum).

Hit them hard and with everything we have got.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
February 25 2022 16:01 GMT
#26531
Poland to ban all Russian flights from it's airspace.

Poland will ban all Russian air operators from using its airspace, the Polish prime minister, Mateusz Morawiecki, has announced. The move will be the first of its kind in the European Union.

"I have ordered the Cabinet of Ministers to prepare a decree which will result in the closing of Polish airspace for all Russian airlines," he declared in a Facebook post.

The ban is poised to enter into force at 0001L (2301Z) on February 26.

Since 0001L (0001Z) on February 25, Russian-owned, -operated, -chartered, or -leased aircraft have already been banned from flying to or over the United Kingdom.

Poland is an important transit country for Russian airlines on most of their westbound flights. As they are not allowed to overfly Ukraine, Belarus, and south-western Russia due to the ongoing military activities accompanying Russia's invasion of Ukraine, they have been forced to take a detour via Poland.

The ch-aviation schedules module shows that direct services between Russia and Poland are operated by Aeroflot (from Moscow Sheremetyevo to Warsaw Chopin) and LOT Polish Airlines (from Warsaw to Sheremetyevo and St. Petersburg). The Polish flag carrier announced that it would suspend both routes effective immediately at 1500L (1400Z) on February 25. It also said that it would bypass Russia on all of its long-haul routes.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
justanothertownie
Profile Joined July 2013
16320 Posts
February 25 2022 16:03 GMT
#26532
On February 26 2022 01:00 Simberto wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 25 2022 23:56 Dan HH wrote:
On February 25 2022 21:49 Oukka wrote:
Finnish YLE (public broadcasting company) reports that a Romanian ship has been hit by fire from Russian warships. Second vessel from NATO countries to be fired upon after a Turkish ship was hit by a missile yesterday.

It was a Moldovan chemical tanker, not Romanian.

On February 25 2022 19:33 Gorsameth wrote:
On February 25 2022 18:57 KlaCkoN wrote:Not to sound too melodramatic but if the cost of freedom is to live with sugar rations and no new electronics for a few years then it's worth it.
That is perhaps the most disappointing thing about this situation for me. Just how unwilling the West is to compromise on their own comforts to punish a naked aggressor on Europe's border and prevent further conflict. Because absolutely nothing done so far will deter Putin from continuing on this course.

Their probably laughing in the Kremlin about how cheap of an international price they are paying for Ukraine.

That's the frustrating part, if we cut off all financial ties Putin is likely to be ousted by his own people. And if he doesn't then fuck it, I'll pay 3x for gas or sleep with 3 coats on if I have to, knowing we at least did everything.


Agreed.

I would willingly double my heating costs. This shit needs to be hit hard. I think that we probably don't want to go to war over this, but we should do anything short of that.

Absolutely no more trade with Russia. No oil, no gas, no imports, no exports, no banking. Seize anything owned directly or indirectly by russian oligarchs abroad. Isolate Russia from everything. No more travel to or from russia (except for people who want to claim asylum).

Hit them hard and with everything we have got.

Yeah, this.
Zambrah
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
United States7393 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-02-25 16:06:50
February 25 2022 16:05 GMT
#26533
Since they want to threaten nuclear war on intervention, fine, okay, totally and completely cut them off, if they want Ukraine they can lose every other connection with the western world for a long ass time.

EDIT: Kick them out of the Olympics too.
Incremental change is the Democrat version of Trickle Down economics.
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
February 25 2022 16:11 GMT
#26534
--- Nuked ---
Artisreal
Profile Joined June 2009
Germany9235 Posts
February 25 2022 16:12 GMT
#26535
On February 25 2022 23:49 LegalLord wrote:
There's been quite a lot of noise about potential negotiations for a ceasefire in Russian news for about the last 10 hours. The concrete proposal seems to be "let's sit down in Minsk" which I suspect is meant to be symbolic.

if we're going by the nazi playbook, it's to fool everyone and get the other side to be more relaxed.
the second option would be to make impossible demands and then blame the other party for the failure of negotiations and the subsequent drastic measures that "had to be taken to secure" xyz...
passive quaranstream fan
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States14070 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-02-25 16:43:39
February 25 2022 16:35 GMT
#26536
On February 26 2022 01:05 Zambrah wrote:
Since they want to threaten nuclear war on intervention, fine, okay, totally and completely cut them off, if they want Ukraine they can lose every other connection with the western world for a long ass time.

EDIT: Kick them out of the Olympics too.

Kick them out of everything. We've done it before and its worked. South Africa was banned for decades and was offered the world cup of rugby if they ended apartheid. I'll be happy to give them the 2026 world cup if they agree to leave their neighbors alone.

Poland, Czechia and sweden aren't even going to consider traveling for their world cup qualifier and I'm willing to bet anything that Poland and czechia will refuse to play them at all even if they move them out of russia.

There needs to be cultural sanctions on russia and not just economic sanctions. All of these directed to the Russian people as something Putin has caused.

And hockey We know putin cares about hockey a lot. Minnesota Has a superstar Russian player on its team and I know that Ovechkin is an all timer that plays for washinton. Send them back and deny any Russian players visas to playing the NHL from now on. I hate that my team will suffer in a season where its looked the best in years and years but it is not worth more than the Ukrainian people.

The Latvian and Finnish hockey teams that are in the KHL will never play another game. The people will protest and refuse them from happening.
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
Biff The Understudy
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
France7947 Posts
February 25 2022 16:37 GMT
#26537
On February 26 2022 01:00 Simberto wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 25 2022 23:56 Dan HH wrote:
On February 25 2022 21:49 Oukka wrote:
Finnish YLE (public broadcasting company) reports that a Romanian ship has been hit by fire from Russian warships. Second vessel from NATO countries to be fired upon after a Turkish ship was hit by a missile yesterday.

It was a Moldovan chemical tanker, not Romanian.

On February 25 2022 19:33 Gorsameth wrote:
On February 25 2022 18:57 KlaCkoN wrote:Not to sound too melodramatic but if the cost of freedom is to live with sugar rations and no new electronics for a few years then it's worth it.
That is perhaps the most disappointing thing about this situation for me. Just how unwilling the West is to compromise on their own comforts to punish a naked aggressor on Europe's border and prevent further conflict. Because absolutely nothing done so far will deter Putin from continuing on this course.

Their probably laughing in the Kremlin about how cheap of an international price they are paying for Ukraine.

That's the frustrating part, if we cut off all financial ties Putin is likely to be ousted by his own people. And if he doesn't then fuck it, I'll pay 3x for gas or sleep with 3 coats on if I have to, knowing we at least did everything.


Agreed.

I would willingly double my heating costs. This shit needs to be hit hard. I think that we probably don't want to go to war over this, but we should do anything short of that.

Absolutely no more trade with Russia. No oil, no gas, no imports, no exports, no banking. Seize anything owned directly or indirectly by russian oligarchs abroad. Isolate Russia from everything. No more travel to or from russia (except for people who want to claim asylum).

Hit them hard and with everything we have got.

The problem is not the doubling of price; the problem is pure and simple shortage. I’m also ready to double my heating costs, I’m not sure though how to pass the winter without electricity or heating.
The fellow who is out to burn things up is the counterpart of the fool who thinks he can save the world. The world needs neither to be burned up nor to be saved. The world is, we are. Transients, if we buck it; here to stay if we accept it. ~H.Miller
PhoenixVoid
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
Canada32746 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-02-25 16:39:25
February 25 2022 16:39 GMT
#26538
I've been reading trickles of information about European sports teams taking measures like removing Russian sponsors from jerseys or pulling out of tournaments held in Russia. Also, Eurovision announced that no Russian act will perform this year. It's a start of some kind of cultural embargo on Russia.

I'm afraid of demented knife-wielding escaped lunatic libertarian zombie mutants
Artisreal
Profile Joined June 2009
Germany9235 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-02-25 16:48:26
February 25 2022 16:41 GMT
#26539
On February 26 2022 01:35 Sermokala wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 26 2022 01:05 Zambrah wrote:
Since they want to threaten nuclear war on intervention, fine, okay, totally and completely cut them off, if they want Ukraine they can lose every other connection with the western world for a long ass time.

EDIT: Kick them out of the Olympics too.

Kick them out of everything. We've done it before and its worked. South Africa was banned for decades and was offered the world cup of rugby if they ended apartheid. I'll be happy to give them the 2026 world cup if they agree to leave their neighbors alone.

Poland, Czechia and sweden aren't even going to consider traveling for their world cup qualifier and I'm willing to bet anything that Poland and czechia will refuse to play them at all even if they move them out of russia.

There needs to be cultural sanctions on russia and not just economic sanctions. All of these directed to the Russian people as something Putin has caused.

lol keep politics out of football pls, they have nothing to do with each other.

maybe apart from russian money / oil money in the Premier league, UEFA, FIFA. ok, and the IOC fraternizing with despots.
but in principle sport is about building bridges. And we should keep it that way.

/s

On February 26 2022 01:37 Biff The Understudy wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 26 2022 01:00 Simberto wrote:
On February 25 2022 23:56 Dan HH wrote:
On February 25 2022 21:49 Oukka wrote:
Finnish YLE (public broadcasting company) reports that a Romanian ship has been hit by fire from Russian warships. Second vessel from NATO countries to be fired upon after a Turkish ship was hit by a missile yesterday.

It was a Moldovan chemical tanker, not Romanian.

On February 25 2022 19:33 Gorsameth wrote:
On February 25 2022 18:57 KlaCkoN wrote:Not to sound too melodramatic but if the cost of freedom is to live with sugar rations and no new electronics for a few years then it's worth it.
That is perhaps the most disappointing thing about this situation for me. Just how unwilling the West is to compromise on their own comforts to punish a naked aggressor on Europe's border and prevent further conflict. Because absolutely nothing done so far will deter Putin from continuing on this course.

Their probably laughing in the Kremlin about how cheap of an international price they are paying for Ukraine.

That's the frustrating part, if we cut off all financial ties Putin is likely to be ousted by his own people. And if he doesn't then fuck it, I'll pay 3x for gas or sleep with 3 coats on if I have to, knowing we at least did everything.


Agreed.

I would willingly double my heating costs. This shit needs to be hit hard. I think that we probably don't want to go to war over this, but we should do anything short of that.

Absolutely no more trade with Russia. No oil, no gas, no imports, no exports, no banking. Seize anything owned directly or indirectly by russian oligarchs abroad. Isolate Russia from everything. No more travel to or from russia (except for people who want to claim asylum).

Hit them hard and with everything we have got.

The problem is not the doubling of price; the problem is pure and simple shortage. I’m also ready to double my heating costs, I’m not sure though how to pass the winter without electricity or heating.

I would argue that household budget are not the real concern here.
It's the industry and enterprises simply ceasing to function without power / process heat.
Less business = less covid recovery money

I will blame the Merkel governments for a long time for this (ofc including SPD). Delaying the energy transition and grid improvements by so many years finally shows its problems in a situation of immense crisis.
We should have long since discussed how to improve Europe's energy situation but hindsight's 2020.
It's really about using all available sources and long term planning and infrastructure investment on a Europe-wide scale.
passive quaranstream fan
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
February 25 2022 16:42 GMT
#26540
And in the German corner.



Germany must boost its defense spending so that its armed forces can fulfill their role, German finance minister Christian Lindner said, citing concerns about his country’s strategy of operating the military on a bare minimum.

“I am concerned that we have neglected the armed forces so much in the past that it can’t fully fulfill its purpose, and that needs to change,” he said late Thursday on the German talk show Maischberger, adding that the government will discuss the idea with parliament. “Even before today it was clear to me that we need to strengthen means for the armed forces.”

Germany has for decades posed a weak link in attempts to bolster Europe’s defense and security, and has consistently undershot NATO’s agreed military spending target of 2% of gross domestic product. The weakness has become particularly apparent amid Russia’s invasion of Ukraine this week, with military experts in Germany publicly questioning the country’s ability to meaningfully contribute to defense efforts, should it need to.

“We need to come to terms with the fact that our armed forces have been worn down for many years,” Lindner said. “I think that our domestic politics need to learn that even defense within an alliance is a political priority.”

So far, efforts to respond to Russia’s actions have relied on harsh economic sanctions aimed at blocking the country’s access to the global financial system.

Lindner said ahead of a meeting of European finance ministers and central bank officials in Paris on Friday that “further steps are possible” on economic sanctions, but that consequences must be weighed carefully as the intention is to hurt Russia’s economy, not Europe’s.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
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