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European Politico-economics QA Mega-thread - Page 1328

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Although this thread does not function under the same strict guidelines as the USPMT, it is still a general practice on TL to provide a source with an explanation on why it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion. Failure to do so will result in a mod action.
Biff The Understudy
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
France7883 Posts
February 25 2022 16:43 GMT
#26541
Now this would be gigantic. Diplomats exploring whether Russia’s seat to the Security Council of the UN could be taken away. After the dissolution of the Soviet Union, it was apparently never the subject of a resolution.

Hard to see China agreeing with that, but who knows.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/feb/25/putin-facing-efforts-isolate-diplomatically-ukraine
The fellow who is out to burn things up is the counterpart of the fool who thinks he can save the world. The world needs neither to be burned up nor to be saved. The world is, we are. Transients, if we buck it; here to stay if we accept it. ~H.Miller
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
February 25 2022 16:44 GMT
#26542
And now Russia is threatening Finland.

"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Biff The Understudy
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
France7883 Posts
February 25 2022 16:46 GMT
#26543
They are fucking crazy.
The fellow who is out to burn things up is the counterpart of the fool who thinks he can save the world. The world needs neither to be burned up nor to be saved. The world is, we are. Transients, if we buck it; here to stay if we accept it. ~H.Miller
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States42554 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-02-25 19:08:50
February 25 2022 16:47 GMT
#26544
On February 26 2022 01:43 Biff The Understudy wrote:
Now this would be gigantic. Diplomats exploring whether Russia’s seat to the Security Council of the UN could be taken away. After the dissolution of the Soviet Union, it was apparently never the subject of a resolution.

Hard to see China agreeing with that, but who knows.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/feb/25/putin-facing-efforts-isolate-diplomatically-ukraine

It’s not possible and it’s not desirable even if it were possible. The point of the UN is to ensure peace between the postwar great powers, not a general peace. To avoid WW3, not war in general. The UN wants Russia to be able to veto anything that crosses its red lines because the UN is built never to back Russia into a corner. This is seen as an absolute good.

The war in Ukraine is not the war the UN was built to prevent. For the UN to meet it’s core purpose Russia must have a permanent seat. Other permanent members are likely to oppose taking away permanent seats on principle too.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Biff The Understudy
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
France7883 Posts
February 25 2022 16:52 GMT
#26545
On February 26 2022 01:47 KwarK wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 26 2022 01:43 Biff The Understudy wrote:
Now this would be gigantic. Diplomats exploring whether Russia’s seat to the Security Council of the UN could be taken away. After the dissolution of the Soviet Union, it was apparently never the subject of a resolution.

Hard to see China agreeing with that, but who knows.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/feb/25/putin-facing-efforts-isolate-diplomatically-ukraine

It’s not possible and it’s not desirable even if it were possible. The point of the UN is to endure peace between the postwar great powers, not a general peace. To avoid WW3, not war in general. The UN wants Russia to be able to veto anything that crosses its red lines because the UN is built never to back Russia into a corner. This is seen as an absolute good.

The war in Ukraine is not the war the UN was built to prevent. For the UN to meet it’s core purpose Russia must have a permanent seat. Other permanent members are likely to oppose taking away permanent seats on principle too.

That makes sense. That being said, losing that veto power would immensely weaken Russia diplomatically.

But you are wrong on the fact that the UN was not meant to prevent a war like the war in Ukraine, it was founded exactly for that: so that conflicts be resolved diplomatically and to out general rules in the way nations behave with each other.
The fellow who is out to burn things up is the counterpart of the fool who thinks he can save the world. The world needs neither to be burned up nor to be saved. The world is, we are. Transients, if we buck it; here to stay if we accept it. ~H.Miller
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States13892 Posts
February 25 2022 16:57 GMT
#26546
I may not like china for a lot of things but they can be relied on for playing a longer game than anyone has in the world. They will veto any large changes but they will abstain from anything that Russia can't veto.

Russia can't have their Seat on the security council taken away with all the nukes they hold. Putin only care about respect and that would be making them a Chinese serf publically.
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
Sbrubbles
Profile Joined October 2010
Brazil5776 Posts
February 25 2022 17:01 GMT
#26547
On February 26 2022 01:44 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
And now Russia is threatening Finland.

https://twitter.com/mfa_russia/status/1497234734765780997


Ukraine is now the poster child of the risks of bordering Russia without belonging to NATO.
Bora Pain minha porra!
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
February 25 2022 17:02 GMT
#26548
On February 26 2022 01:57 Sermokala wrote:
I may not like china for a lot of things but they can be relied on for playing a longer game than anyone has in the world. They will veto any large changes but they will abstain from anything that Russia can't veto.

Russia can't have their Seat on the security council taken away with all the nukes they hold. Putin only care about respect and that would be making them a Chinese serf publically.


If Russia is exiled from the world economy they might have to. Thus allowing China to buy their bonds etc and become ensnared in a debt trap.
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
maybenexttime
Profile Blog Joined November 2006
Poland5540 Posts
February 25 2022 17:06 GMT
#26549
On February 26 2022 01:00 Simberto wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 25 2022 23:56 Dan HH wrote:
On February 25 2022 21:49 Oukka wrote:
Finnish YLE (public broadcasting company) reports that a Romanian ship has been hit by fire from Russian warships. Second vessel from NATO countries to be fired upon after a Turkish ship was hit by a missile yesterday.

It was a Moldovan chemical tanker, not Romanian.

On February 25 2022 19:33 Gorsameth wrote:
On February 25 2022 18:57 KlaCkoN wrote:Not to sound too melodramatic but if the cost of freedom is to live with sugar rations and no new electronics for a few years then it's worth it.
That is perhaps the most disappointing thing about this situation for me. Just how unwilling the West is to compromise on their own comforts to punish a naked aggressor on Europe's border and prevent further conflict. Because absolutely nothing done so far will deter Putin from continuing on this course.

Their probably laughing in the Kremlin about how cheap of an international price they are paying for Ukraine.

That's the frustrating part, if we cut off all financial ties Putin is likely to be ousted by his own people. And if he doesn't then fuck it, I'll pay 3x for gas or sleep with 3 coats on if I have to, knowing we at least did everything.


Agreed.

I would willingly double my heating costs. This shit needs to be hit hard. I think that we probably don't want to go to war over this, but we should do anything short of that.

Absolutely no more trade with Russia. No oil, no gas, no imports, no exports, no banking. Seize anything owned directly or indirectly by russian oligarchs abroad. Isolate Russia from everything. No more travel to or from russia (except for people who want to claim asylum).

Hit them hard and with everything we have got.

Completely agreed. Just run their economy into the ground FFS...
Erasme
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Bahamas15899 Posts
February 25 2022 17:08 GMT
#26550
On February 26 2022 00:43 Dav1oN wrote:
Blood donation center/hospital in Kharkiv was just bombarded by the artillery, 2 deaths at least 2 wounded, my wife was just 5-10 minutes late for this...Civilian buildings are also shelled

I can't fathom what you're going through. Ill join the protests in Paris but sadly it's all i can do. Stay strong and stay safe.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d7lxwFEB6FI “‘Drain the swamp’? Stupid saying, means nothing, but you guys loved it so I kept saying it.”
Dav1oN
Profile Joined January 2012
Ukraine3164 Posts
February 25 2022 17:12 GMT
#26551
On February 26 2022 01:11 JimmiC wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 26 2022 00:43 Dav1oN wrote:
Blood donation center/hospital in Kharkiv was just bombarded by the artillery, 2 deaths at least 2 wounded, my wife was just 5-10 minutes late for this...Civilian buildings are also shelled

Scary times all the best.

My wife's grandparents came over during ww2 from western Ukraine, her grandpa passed but her Grandma who is 91 is pretty broken up. It is strange that 75 years later it is happening again. There is a fairly large Ukrainian presence in western Canada, so lots of pressure on our government to support. I know there have been talks about accepting refugees and allowing more. Even a hotline. I know its not enough, hope more
comes.

https://www.cp24.com/news/canada-must-be-ready-to-welcome-ukrainians-to-safety-expert-1.5795620


Thank you for the tip! Ukrainian diaspora in Canada is one of the biggest afaik, and I guess - it could be a good solution for the future at least. The biggest problem is that it's not possible to leave our country in safety anymore

In last two days I have received many words of support and offers to help my family across the EU/US/Canada/even more from TL forum fellas, it matters so much for my family hope! Thank you everyone who got involved. The chances we'll have to accept some of your help is rising, although we still have to wait at this point till it's safe to leave

Please, continue spreading the word about this genocide
In memory of Geoff "iNcontroL" Robinson 11.09.1985 - 21.07.2019 A tribute to incredible man, embodiment of joy, esports titan, starcraft community pillar all in one. You will always be remembered!
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland25050 Posts
February 25 2022 17:14 GMT
#26552
On February 26 2022 01:00 Simberto wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 25 2022 23:56 Dan HH wrote:
On February 25 2022 21:49 Oukka wrote:
Finnish YLE (public broadcasting company) reports that a Romanian ship has been hit by fire from Russian warships. Second vessel from NATO countries to be fired upon after a Turkish ship was hit by a missile yesterday.

It was a Moldovan chemical tanker, not Romanian.

On February 25 2022 19:33 Gorsameth wrote:
On February 25 2022 18:57 KlaCkoN wrote:Not to sound too melodramatic but if the cost of freedom is to live with sugar rations and no new electronics for a few years then it's worth it.
That is perhaps the most disappointing thing about this situation for me. Just how unwilling the West is to compromise on their own comforts to punish a naked aggressor on Europe's border and prevent further conflict. Because absolutely nothing done so far will deter Putin from continuing on this course.

Their probably laughing in the Kremlin about how cheap of an international price they are paying for Ukraine.

That's the frustrating part, if we cut off all financial ties Putin is likely to be ousted by his own people. And if he doesn't then fuck it, I'll pay 3x for gas or sleep with 3 coats on if I have to, knowing we at least did everything.


Agreed.

I would willingly double my heating costs. This shit needs to be hit hard. I think that we probably don't want to go to war over this, but we should do anything short of that.

Absolutely no more trade with Russia. No oil, no gas, no imports, no exports, no banking. Seize anything owned directly or indirectly by russian oligarchs abroad. Isolate Russia from everything. No more travel to or from russia (except for people who want to claim asylum).

Hit them hard and with everything we have got.

How much did Afghanistan and Iraq cost and how much day to day impact did it have on citizens of those who waged it? Nothing?

It seems to me that yes, widespread sanctions would have a huge knock-on effect, but surely something that citizens could be insulated from to some meaningful degree. If the will was there, which it Is not.

I do believe that be it a cost of living increase and tightening of belts to sanction Russia, or collective action in that regard to deal with climate, that when push comes to shove most won’t bite. But it’s not even being floated as a question for us to collectively answer
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
February 25 2022 17:38 GMT
#26553
So there was, for a brief time, German Special forces in Ukraine?

"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
[sc1f]eonzerg
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
Belgium6556 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-02-25 17:46:30
February 25 2022 17:42 GMT
#26554
Is it to crazy to think Putin just want Nato to do something so China does get involved too ?Findland and Sweden menaces. now.At this point maybe North Korea is getting ready to get the South aswell ?

I mean Nato inaction maybe open eyes of all this power houses. China could also make a move to Taiwan. shit is looking bad
Ikirouta
Profile Blog Joined November 2017
Finland727 Posts
February 25 2022 17:47 GMT
#26555
On February 26 2022 02:42 [sc1f]eonzerg wrote:
Is it to crazy to think Putin just want Nato to do something so China does get involved too ?Findland and Sweden menaces. now.At this point maybe North Korea is getting ready to get the South aswell ?

I mean Nato inaction maybe open eyes of all this power houses. China could also make a move to Taiwan. shit is looking bad


I don't think its crazy.
Pusan fan #1, bad sair/reaver enthuisiast. twitch.tv/ikirouta
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21641 Posts
February 25 2022 17:49 GMT
#26556
On February 26 2022 02:42 [sc1f]eonzerg wrote:
Is it to crazy to think Putin just want Nato to do something so China does get involved too ?Findland and Sweden menaces. now.At this point maybe North Korea is getting ready to get the South aswell ?
I don't know if China would actually get involved if Russia blatantly antagonizes NATO into responding. They tend to work more long term and getting into a war on the side of an unstable Russia is certainly not in their interest.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Erasme
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Bahamas15899 Posts
February 25 2022 17:50 GMT
#26557
On February 26 2022 02:42 [sc1f]eonzerg wrote:
Is it to crazy to think Putin just want Nato to do something so China does get involved too ?Findland and Sweden menaces. now.At this point maybe North Korea is getting ready to get the South aswell ?

I mean Nato inaction maybe open eyes of all this power houses. China could also make a move to Taiwan. shit is looking bad

I believe Putin was already a madman before, and now he somehow seems even more unhinged. Everything is possible.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d7lxwFEB6FI “‘Drain the swamp’? Stupid saying, means nothing, but you guys loved it so I kept saying it.”
Mafe
Profile Joined February 2011
Germany5966 Posts
February 25 2022 17:55 GMT
#26558
On February 26 2022 02:38 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
So there was, for a brief time, German Special forces in Ukraine?

https://twitter.com/MarQs__/status/1497225921128022019

It's confusing. One german website said "security circles" (i.e. they most likely talked to government officials who dont want to be quoted officially) explicitly denied the involvement of any special forces, while another says he was brought across the border by a "special unit of his agency" (BND = german CIA), which to me sounds more like saying "his bodyguards didnt abandon him".
PhoenixVoid
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
Canada32740 Posts
February 25 2022 17:58 GMT
#26559
Possibly major development on SWIFT sanctions. Italy apparently will support SWIFT sanctions, and Germany's foreign minister said it's a possibility. Those two along with Hungary and Cyprus have been reticent about SWIFT sanctions, and if one broke, then there's going to be pressure on all to follow.
I'm afraid of demented knife-wielding escaped lunatic libertarian zombie mutants
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
February 25 2022 17:59 GMT
#26560
So Russia has brought several thousand Chechen fighters from Grozny to fight in Ukraine. Urban fighting is going to get even more brutal.
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
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