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European Politico-economics QA Mega-thread - Page 1195

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Although this thread does not function under the same strict guidelines as the USPMT, it is still a general practice on TL to provide a source with an explanation on why it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion. Failure to do so will result in a mod action.
Big J
Profile Joined March 2011
Austria16289 Posts
October 22 2018 13:24 GMT
#23881
Maybe. But I think just blaming older generations won't be enough, you have to stay flexible yourself as well throughout all of your life.
Pretending that young generations are worthless idiots and forcing your traditions on them is as old as humanity itself.
Toadesstern
Profile Blog Joined October 2008
Germany16350 Posts
October 22 2018 13:28 GMT
#23882
On October 21 2018 00:31 Gorsameth wrote:
Brexit is happening. The question is what will be left after, if no deal is agreed upon then its a hard exit, not no exit.

Which is also why a referendum about the deal makes no sense. So many people will not understand it and vote against the agreement thinking it will mean no exit, rather then a worse exit.

If your looking for someone to blame for the mess don't so much look at the government. Look at the people who led the Brexit campaign and then ran away when they 'won'.
(tho there is plenty to blame on May for how the negotiations have gone and the completely unrealistic proposals)

idk, I could see European politicians being stupid enough to give the UK an extension and allowing the UK to undo Brexit resulting in UK staying in the EU.
However, I'd also say that if that happens people will be marching on the streets of the UK with pitchforks yelling about how UK&EU government are ignoring their vote (innitial Brexit that is) and it would probably be the worst of all ends. I don't see any possible ways in which a undo-Brexit move would work out reasonable. From people screaming vote manipulation to just keep voting until you get the result you wanted after a year or fearmongering.
Just to make it absolutely clear, that's not my stance on the issue at all but I do think that's what we'd hear.

And I think politicians (would?) underestimate that risk and let it happen if a 2nd referendum happens.
<Elem> >toad in charge of judging lewdness <Elem> how bad can it be <Elem> also wew, that is actually p lewd.
HolydaKing
Profile Joined February 2010
21254 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-10-22 14:04:40
October 22 2018 14:03 GMT
#23883
London voted for staying in the EU to begin with. I'm pretty interested to see how an actual UK wide vote would go now, and as that also includes lots of people not from London, I could see it still being very close.
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21966 Posts
October 22 2018 14:11 GMT
#23884
The margin was narrow to begin with and the clusterfuck will have made people less in favor. It would fail if held now.
But you can't keep holding referendums until you get the result you want.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Dangermousecatdog
Profile Joined December 2010
United Kingdom7084 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-10-22 14:37:44
October 22 2018 14:24 GMT
#23885
The Conservative Party are currently in charge of the government. They seem to be set on the course of a brexit and sees no reason to alter from it, being totally hijacked by brexiteers. There will be no 2nd referendum as those in power see no reason to change course. If there was a referendum now, assuming no opinions of the original voters have not changed, after 2 years of the elderly dying off, and 2 years of new voters over the age of 18 entering the electorate, the result will probaly be close but for remaining in the EU.
solidbebe
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
Netherlands4921 Posts
October 22 2018 14:45 GMT
#23886
Is there any way brexit doesn't end in a big crisis for the UK? The UK loses 760(!!!) international treaties by leaving the EU, it will take years or decades to re-establish those things. With no free movement and trade and all the uncertainty of britain's future many major companies are leaving the country as britain is no longer an easy entrance into the European market. For example Jaguar has announced that theyre leaving the UK as operating in the UK after brexit will cost them an extra 1.2 billion pounds anually. All this is going to destroy a huge amount of high-paying jobs.
That's the 2nd time in a week I've seen someone sig a quote from this GD and I have never witnessed a sig quote happen in my TL history ever before. -Najda
Godwrath
Profile Joined August 2012
Spain10132 Posts
October 22 2018 18:41 GMT
#23887
On October 22 2018 23:11 Gorsameth wrote:
The margin was narrow to begin with and the clusterfuck will have made people less in favor. It would fail if held now.
But you can't keep holding referendums until you get the result you want.

Meh, referendums should be a bo7 anyways.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
October 22 2018 19:40 GMT
#23888
Being able to end hundreds of treaties and international agreements with a single referendum might be a bit of a flaw in the UK system. Here in the US some states tried to let citizens write and vote for laws to be put on the books and it was a disaster. But even in the super dumb US, with our very weird government, we cannot put leaving NATO to the popular vote. It isn’t even an option.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Big J
Profile Joined March 2011
Austria16289 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-10-22 20:22:59
October 22 2018 20:20 GMT
#23889
On October 23 2018 04:40 Plansix wrote:
Being able to end hundreds of treaties and international agreements with a single referendum might be a bit of a flaw in the UK system. Here in the US some states tried to let citizens write and vote for laws to be put on the books and it was a disaster. But even in the super dumb US, with our very weird government, we cannot put leaving NATO to the popular vote. It isn’t even an option.


Having to obey hundreds and thousands of laws that no living person has ever voted on shouldn't be the case to begin with. It's what makes old jurisdicitve systems like the US and the UK such a clusterfuck that you are basically just paying lawyers to bullshit each other with laws and special cases that everyone has to read up on.
A system that isn't rational in the sense, that it provides the information about its laws by itself will necessarily end in oligarchy/dictatorship.
TheDwf
Profile Joined November 2011
France19747 Posts
October 22 2018 20:27 GMT
#23890
I don't see any problem with questioning NATO membership in a referendum.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
October 22 2018 20:41 GMT
#23891
Just elect candidates that will question an alliance or treaty. Referendums just seem like a way for politicians get elected proposing stupid things and then passing the responsibility for the outcome to the voters.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
TheDwf
Profile Joined November 2011
France19747 Posts
October 22 2018 21:00 GMT
#23892
On October 23 2018 05:41 Plansix wrote:
Just elect candidates that will question an alliance or treaty. Referendums just seem like a way for politicians get elected proposing stupid things and then passing the responsibility for the outcome to the voters.

The problem is that candidates come with all their program, while you might just want to solve a specific question. In 2005 the French people voted no to a referendum; yet two years later, in the presidential, the same people placed ahead 3 candidates (gathering 75% of the votes) who had supported the yes. The programs of the main parties and the popular will at a given time may mismatch for a few themes.

Now for the Brexit, the "amusing" part is that it was just an internal maneuver of the right who completely blew out of control; and obviously the crooks who led the Exit campaign had no real clue how to implement it afterwards. Most of them probably did not even expect to win in the first place.
Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
October 22 2018 21:43 GMT
#23893
there is no need for referendums in a parliamentary system. The reason Brexit got blown out of proportion is precisely because Cameron let a crazy, unmediated idea loose on the political system. Leaving NATO would be exactly the same and would be weaponised by extremists. This is the sort of thing that you should leave to people who understand the 30 year geopolitical consequences of such a decision, not anyone at the ballot box.
TheDwf
Profile Joined November 2011
France19747 Posts
October 22 2018 22:05 GMT
#23894
On October 23 2018 06:43 Nyxisto wrote:
there is no need for referendums in a parliamentary system. The reason Brexit got blown out of proportion is precisely because Cameron let a crazy, unmediated idea loose on the political system. Leaving NATO would be exactly the same and would be weaponised by extremists. This is the sort of thing that you should leave to people who understand the 30 year geopolitical consequences of such a decision, not anyone at the ballot box.

"I am Mr. Moderate, only people like me are worthy of deciding, you peasants have the right to vote only as long as you vote right, otherwise you're an extremist"
Big J
Profile Joined March 2011
Austria16289 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-10-22 22:24:46
October 22 2018 22:24 GMT
#23895
On October 23 2018 06:43 Nyxisto wrote:
there is no need for referendums in a parliamentary system. The reason Brexit got blown out of proportion is precisely because Cameron let a crazy, unmediated idea loose on the political system. Leaving NATO would be exactly the same and would be weaponised by extremists. This is the sort of thing that you should leave to people who understand the 30 year geopolitical consequences of such a decision, not anyone at the ballot box.


That's all nice on a theoretical level. And surely the people with the greater expertize are there. Now how do we TECHNICALLY find those people to give them the power to make such decisions?
By elections? That's how you got Cameron into power in the first place, whose decisions on that matter you don't find sufficiently good.

What is the mechanism you are proposing? Bolshevism? Feuderalism? Where in the world do you find those angels, who are going to build society for us?

There is technically no better mechanism to find a common ground on the topic of general laws than to make a collective decision. If you want to make those decisions better you have to enlighten everybody. You are running fullsteam in the bolshevist/conservative elite trap, where you stop questioning HOW you get to good decisions, and only want to jump to the finish line.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
October 22 2018 23:18 GMT
#23896
On October 23 2018 07:05 TheDwf wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 23 2018 06:43 Nyxisto wrote:
there is no need for referendums in a parliamentary system. The reason Brexit got blown out of proportion is precisely because Cameron let a crazy, unmediated idea loose on the political system. Leaving NATO would be exactly the same and would be weaponised by extremists. This is the sort of thing that you should leave to people who understand the 30 year geopolitical consequences of such a decision, not anyone at the ballot box.

"I am Mr. Moderate, only people like me are worthy of deciding, you peasants have the right to vote only as long as you vote right, otherwise you're an extremist"

Considering that referendums are not votes on the law itself, but a desired outcome that may or may not be clear, having the legislature voting means the people know what the outcome is. There is a requirement for and open discussion of the proposed legislation and its outcome. Referendum lack that requirement and don’t need the full legislation to be finalized before people vote on them. And of course, there is the tyranny of the majority.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Velr
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Switzerland10812 Posts
October 23 2018 03:40 GMT
#23897
Having a direct vote on something like Brexit with a populus that isn't used to direct democracy is stupid. Brits used this vote to say fuck you to their goverment for a wide variety of reasons, many had nothing to do with the EU
Neneu
Profile Joined September 2010
Norway492 Posts
October 23 2018 06:51 GMT
#23898
Whenever the parlament in Norway is changing, removing or adding stuff to the constitution, it needs to have a majority vote of at least 2/3 of the parliament, in two successive election periods. I dont understand why referendums like brexit, which brings extreme changes, are not held to the same standard
Big J
Profile Joined March 2011
Austria16289 Posts
October 23 2018 07:17 GMT
#23899
On October 23 2018 15:51 Neneu wrote:
Whenever the parlament in Norway is changing, removing or adding stuff to the constitution, it needs to have a majority vote of at least 2/3 of the parliament, in two successive election periods. I dont understand why referendums like brexit, which brings extreme changes, are not held to the same standard


In Austria there are different types of laws for that purpose:
Constitutional laws
Laws in the rank of constitutional laws
Simple laws

Simple laws can be changed by parliamentary majority or plebescite, laws in the rank of constitutional laws or small changes to constitutional laws by 2/3 of the parliament or plebescite.
If you want to make a greater change to constitutional laws, like joining or leaving the EU, you must hold a plebescite about it.

I guess in Britain they need to go through some referendum process as well for the courts to acknowledge such a grave decision. But you never know for sure with Britain's lack of constitution, unless you went through 25-years of Oxford.
It would probably be much harder to leave the EU for Austria, because we would have to vote on the actual changes to the constitution and not some populist bullshit claims, as I understand it.
TheDwf
Profile Joined November 2011
France19747 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-10-23 08:30:43
October 23 2018 08:29 GMT
#23900
On October 23 2018 12:40 Velr wrote:
Having a direct vote on something like Brexit with a populus that isn't used to direct democracy is stupid. Brits used this vote to say fuck you to their goverment for a wide variety of reasons, many had nothing to do with the EU

Says who, on what basis?

On October 23 2018 15:51 Neneu wrote:
Whenever the parlament in Norway is changing, removing or adding stuff to the constitution, it needs to have a majority vote of at least 2/3 of the parliament, in two successive election periods. I dont understand why referendums like brexit, which brings extreme changes, are not held to the same standard

Yeah, indeed there should be heavier majorities required for massive changes
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