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Hey guys! We'll be closing this thread shortly, but we will make an American politics megathread where we can continue the discussions in here.

The new thread can be found here: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=383301
Jon Huntsman
Profile Joined May 2012
47 Posts
May 07 2012 00:53 GMT
#1601
I wish there was a stock market for Ron Paul wins the presidency bonds.

Basically it'd be made up of 90% idiots who invest in Paul winning the Presidency. I would buy and sell the shit out of those shares and exploit their retarded waste and loss of their own money. For people who believe in free markets, they obviously don't have any idea of how to predict anything in reality. There is a 0% chance of Paul winning - and if Ron Paul were a company, any intelligent right wing entrepreneur would be liquidating the shit out of it ASAP.
aksfjh
Profile Joined November 2010
United States4853 Posts
May 07 2012 01:03 GMT
#1602
On May 07 2012 09:53 Jon Huntsman wrote:
I wish there was a stock market for Ron Paul wins the presidency bonds.

Basically it'd be made up of 90% idiots who invest in Paul winning the Presidency. I would buy and sell the shit out of those shares and exploit their retarded waste and loss of their own money. For people who believe in free markets, they obviously don't have any idea of how to predict anything in reality. There is a 0% chance of Paul winning - and if Ron Paul were a company, any intelligent right wing entrepreneur would be liquidating the shit out of it ASAP.

http://www.intrade.com/v4/home/

Specifically:
http://www.intrade.com/v4/markets/contract/?contractId=669534

Intrade has never had him over $0.90, or basically 9% chance. While his followers are extremely loyal, the mainstream never had much faith in him.
liberal
Profile Joined November 2011
1116 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-05-07 02:04:04
May 07 2012 02:00 GMT
#1603
On May 07 2012 10:03 aksfjh wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 07 2012 09:53 Jon Huntsman wrote:
I wish there was a stock market for Ron Paul wins the presidency bonds.

Basically it'd be made up of 90% idiots who invest in Paul winning the Presidency. I would buy and sell the shit out of those shares and exploit their retarded waste and loss of their own money. For people who believe in free markets, they obviously don't have any idea of how to predict anything in reality. There is a 0% chance of Paul winning - and if Ron Paul were a company, any intelligent right wing entrepreneur would be liquidating the shit out of it ASAP.

http://www.intrade.com/v4/home/

Specifically:
http://www.intrade.com/v4/markets/contract/?contractId=669534

Intrade has never had him over $0.90, or basically 9% chance. While his followers are extremely loyal, the mainstream never had much faith in him.

So how does this work.... I sell the 100 shares of Ron Paul offered at 35 cents each, and then when he officially loses I get $35 for nothing? Sounds too easy...

And if he somehow won the price would jump to $10 and I lose $1000?
BluePanther
Profile Joined March 2011
United States2776 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-05-07 02:10:08
May 07 2012 02:05 GMT
#1604
On May 07 2012 11:00 liberal wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 07 2012 10:03 aksfjh wrote:
On May 07 2012 09:53 Jon Huntsman wrote:
I wish there was a stock market for Ron Paul wins the presidency bonds.

Basically it'd be made up of 90% idiots who invest in Paul winning the Presidency. I would buy and sell the shit out of those shares and exploit their retarded waste and loss of their own money. For people who believe in free markets, they obviously don't have any idea of how to predict anything in reality. There is a 0% chance of Paul winning - and if Ron Paul were a company, any intelligent right wing entrepreneur would be liquidating the shit out of it ASAP.

http://www.intrade.com/v4/home/

Specifically:
http://www.intrade.com/v4/markets/contract/?contractId=669534

Intrade has never had him over $0.90, or basically 9% chance. While his followers are extremely loyal, the mainstream never had much faith in him.

So how does this work.... I sell the 100 shares of Ron Paul offered at 35 cents each, and then when he officially loses I get $35 for nothing? Sounds too easy...

And if he somehow won the price would jump to $10 and I lose $1000?


Well, for each share, I believe you need to secure it with $10, iirc. And there has to be 100 shares listed at that price (which I doubt, it only lists the highest outstanding offer). But yes.

So if you wanted to buy 100 shares, I think you need to deposit $1,000. Then, Sell 100 shares at .35. When it's done, you'll either have $1,035.00 or $35.00
BioNova
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
United States598 Posts
May 08 2012 14:05 GMT
#1605
I don't blame you guys and girls poking fun. This fox 'insider' claims, he wasn't even aware (on his radar, in his terms) of Paul's delegate gains. Seriously, he thanks the callers for doing his job. What a farce. I had a good chuckle. The gentlemen also mentions Romney's paper thin organization. All that money, and he cannot organize enough to finish off Paul, what chance would he really stand against President Obama?



So Fox Insiders are at least in the know, maybe some fine TL posters can get a job since most of the posters(sans trolls) have better awareness than these clowns. No seriously, this clip is a tribute to those of us that care to keep up.
Meanwhile over at MSNBC, awareness is much better(8 states), along with the prophetic ability. Why the report if it's over?



3 States vote today. I expect Romney to clean up, but can he dance? Anyone alive up in here?
Oh the Wikipedia page
2012 Republican National Convention

I've been double and triple checking, and as best as I can find, with prevailing opinion aside, there have been quite a few examples in history of delegate shenanigans(drink!) in the last 100 years, as well as candidates who reportedly considered using the tactic (Reagan vs Ford 76, Taft, Harding, McCain, and Hilary Clinton) and 14 delegates abstained in 2008 voting.

The act of abstention is when a participant in a vote is present for the roll call before the vote, but then purposefully casts either a blank vote or marking the ballot incorrectly. In many cases, the abstention of voting may be considered an act of protest. In fact, during the Republican National Convention in 2008, 14 delegates did not vote. These delegates were present during the roll call, but would not vote for any of the candidates at the time. Ron Paul supporters claim this would improve the ratio of votes in Ron Paul’s favor. An example of this is explained with no one abstaining (and a tiny voting pool) Mitt Romney would get ten votes while Ron Paul would get five votes. Mitt Romney would win, having obtained the 50% +1 needed to grasp the nomination. With delegates abstaining, this could change drastically. Mitt Romney could get five votes, Ron Paul would maintain his five votes, and five voters would abstain. As long as all the abstentions had participated in the roll call, no one would win the 50% +1 votes needed to become the nominee and on to the next round and a brokered convention.

This was a considered option for Hilary Clinton supporters in the 2008 election and was widely discussed. The question remains will delegates be kicked out of the convention if they abstain from voting.


Now the reason I chose the article to quote because the source has nicely embedded links to MSM articles(Politico and such) documenting his points, best read there to check the sources for yourself. The real question is can Romney afford to lose any more ground, and still be safe? Can he control anything under Roberts Rules without a clear delegate majority? How much tinkering can he do in the internet age, and not get burned? Good stuff!
Source

Comments, questions, observations? Have a good one.
I used to like trumpets, now I prefer pause. "Don't move a muscle JP!"
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
May 08 2012 15:19 GMT
#1606
EUCLID, Ohio (AP) — Campaigning in the backyard of America's auto industry, Mitt Romney re-ignited the bailout debate by suggesting he deserves "a lot of credit" for the recent successes of the nation's largest car companies.

That claims comes in spite of his stance that Detroit should have been allowed to go bankrupt.

The presumptive Republican presidential nominee told a Cleveland television station on Monday that President Barack Obama followed his lead when he ushered auto companies through a managed bankruptcy soon after taking office.

"I pushed the idea of a managed bankruptcy, and finally when that was done, and help was given, the companies got back on their feet," Romney said in an interview inside a Cleveland-area auto parts maker. "So, I'll take a lot of credit for the fact that this industry has come back."

Romney has repeatedly argued that Obama ultimately took his advice on the auto industry's woes of 2008 and 2009. But he went further on Monday by saying he deserves credit for its ultimate turnaround.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Shield
Profile Blog Joined August 2009
Bulgaria4824 Posts
May 08 2012 15:28 GMT
#1607
I'm not American, but it seems to me republicans presented another candidate who is surely going to lose. I mean McCain and Romney.
ParkwayDrive
Profile Joined July 2011
United States328 Posts
May 08 2012 15:35 GMT
#1608
if you think there is any difference between the two at this point then there isnt much hope for this country. the problem is the two party system and voting for either party supports this system


i think roger daltrey said it best, "meet the new boss, same as the old boss"
s3rp
Profile Joined May 2011
Germany3192 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-05-08 15:55:06
May 08 2012 15:52 GMT
#1609
Why exactly is this two party only system in the US in the first place? I never understood this seems so limiting and i don't see how the whole spectrum of political believes can work in just two parties. Ok these days most politicians seem to be bought by big companies anyways and you don't really have what i would call a left. (Seriously what you guys call lefties are moderates or slightly slightly left in most other countries)
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22174 Posts
May 08 2012 17:01 GMT
#1610
On May 09 2012 00:52 s3rp wrote:
Why exactly is this two party only system in the US in the first place? I never understood this seems so limiting and i don't see how the whole spectrum of political believes can work in just two parties. Ok these days most politicians seem to be bought by big companies anyways and you don't really have what i would call a left. (Seriously what you guys call lefties are moderates or slightly slightly left in most other countries)


Winner takes all is the reason.

If you win a state you win all of that state, 51-49 is the same as 100-0 so smaller parties that would otherwise get some votes from everything are infact totaly useless forcing the political spectrum into 2 sides just to have a chance.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
BioNova
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
United States598 Posts
May 08 2012 17:20 GMT
#1611
On May 09 2012 00:28 darkness wrote:
I'm not American, but it seems to me republicans presented another candidate who is surely going to lose. I mean McCain and Romney.


I think Bob Dole is another prime example of your evaluation.
I used to like trumpets, now I prefer pause. "Don't move a muscle JP!"
gchan
Profile Joined October 2007
United States654 Posts
May 08 2012 17:41 GMT
#1612
On May 09 2012 02:01 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 09 2012 00:52 s3rp wrote:
Why exactly is this two party only system in the US in the first place? I never understood this seems so limiting and i don't see how the whole spectrum of political believes can work in just two parties. Ok these days most politicians seem to be bought by big companies anyways and you don't really have what i would call a left. (Seriously what you guys call lefties are moderates or slightly slightly left in most other countries)


Winner takes all is the reason.

If you win a state you win all of that state, 51-49 is the same as 100-0 so smaller parties that would otherwise get some votes from everything are infact totaly useless forcing the political spectrum into 2 sides just to have a chance.


I also want to point out that one of the reasons why the US is winner-takes-all is because the US has a Constitutional Republic system rather than a Parliamentary system. Our states have substantially more power than local regions in other countries (a byproduct of what the founding fathers wanted, for better or for worse). It's most evident in our electoral college voting system and the fact that our Senate is quite powerful.
kwizach
Profile Joined June 2011
3658 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-05-08 19:08:31
May 08 2012 19:05 GMT
#1613
On May 09 2012 02:41 gchan wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 09 2012 02:01 Gorsameth wrote:
On May 09 2012 00:52 s3rp wrote:
Why exactly is this two party only system in the US in the first place? I never understood this seems so limiting and i don't see how the whole spectrum of political believes can work in just two parties. Ok these days most politicians seem to be bought by big companies anyways and you don't really have what i would call a left. (Seriously what you guys call lefties are moderates or slightly slightly left in most other countries)


Winner takes all is the reason.

If you win a state you win all of that state, 51-49 is the same as 100-0 so smaller parties that would otherwise get some votes from everything are infact totaly useless forcing the political spectrum into 2 sides just to have a chance.


I also want to point out that one of the reasons why the US is winner-takes-all is because the US has a Constitutional Republic system rather than a Parliamentary system. Our states have substantially more power than local regions in other countries (a byproduct of what the founding fathers wanted, for better or for worse). It's most evident in our electoral college voting system and the fact that our Senate is quite powerful.

Just for the record, you can be a constitutional republic and have a parliamentary system - the two are in no way antithetical. What the US is is a constitutional republic with a presidential system. Also, the rest of your post is about the US being a federal state, and again some federal states have a parliamentary system, the two are not antithetical either.
"Oedipus ruined a great sex life by asking too many questions." -- Stephen Colbert
RichardNixon
Profile Joined April 2012
United States8 Posts
May 08 2012 19:35 GMT
#1614
Wow... wonder who the OP is voting for...

* Obama’s strategy is clear – he has no substantive successful record to run on so they are running with any distraction that the obliging media will broadcast such as spinning the fight with the Catholic church over mandated contraception as a GOP war on women a tactic that finally spectacularly backfired with Hilary Rosen’s comments about Ann Romney being a stay at home mum.

* The GOP prmary has significantly sharpened and toughened Romney and his campaign – they have fought the war on women meme hard and eventually won that round due to the Dems own goal with Rosen (a inner circle Obama campaign advisor).


This is garbage, the Rosen thing was completely out of context. Rosen didn't disparage Romney for being a stay-at-home mom, she disparaged Romney for being a luxuriously rich stay-at-home mom who thinks she (Romney) understands what it's like for a single-mother to raise kids while working two jobs.

He has no record? I don't like a lot of what he's done but he's been more of a foreign policy hawk than Reagan was and stabilized the economy out of the bottomless pit that W left it in.

And if you don't like the term "war on women," what would you call refusing to allow women to testify at a panel on their reproductive health?

All that said, I'm a socialist torn between my dislike of Obama's foreign policy/civil rights record and Gary Johnson's bad economic ideas (Johnson will be on the ballot by the way). Ironically I'll be less likely to vote for Obama if he can fix the economy because then Johnson won't need to mess with it so much and he can work on the things I appreciate about him.
"What reason is there to stop a man from sailing?"
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-05-08 20:50:31
May 08 2012 20:50 GMT
#1615
A Latino-vote outreach program on Tuesday plans to stress to voters that the president has failed on immigration reform and deported a record number of people, said the Republican National Committee's top Hispanic outreach coordinator.

But so far, it doesn't have a message on what Republicans would do on the issue themselves, and specifically the plans of presumptive Republican nominee Mitt Romney. In fact, coordinator Bettina Inclan told reporters, Romney didn't have his immigration policy mapped out and the RNC would not yet be able to talk about it to Latino voters.

The RNC quickly tried to take back the statement, telling reporters who tweeted it that Inclan's words were misunderstood -- or that she was misquoted. Kirsten Kukowski, a spokeswoman for the RNC, said message coordination between the RNC and the Romney campaign is still in its early stages because challenger Rick Santorum only dropped out of the race two weeks ago.

Still, the statement by Inclan seemed to indicate the RNC's lack of message on immigration, despite an increased effort to turn out Latino voters. Below is the full quote from Inclan, that Kukowski would later say was misconstrued:

I think that as a candidate, to my understanding that he's still deciding what his position on immigration is, so I can't talk about what his proposal is going to be because I don't know what Romney exactly -- he's talked about different issues, and what we saw in the Republican primary is that there's a diverse opinion on how to deal with immigration. I can't talk about something that I don't know what his position is.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
aksfjh
Profile Joined November 2010
United States4853 Posts
May 08 2012 22:44 GMT
#1616
On May 09 2012 05:50 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
Show nested quote +
A Latino-vote outreach program on Tuesday plans to stress to voters that the president has failed on immigration reform and deported a record number of people, said the Republican National Committee's top Hispanic outreach coordinator.

But so far, it doesn't have a message on what Republicans would do on the issue themselves, and specifically the plans of presumptive Republican nominee Mitt Romney. In fact, coordinator Bettina Inclan told reporters, Romney didn't have his immigration policy mapped out and the RNC would not yet be able to talk about it to Latino voters.

The RNC quickly tried to take back the statement, telling reporters who tweeted it that Inclan's words were misunderstood -- or that she was misquoted. Kirsten Kukowski, a spokeswoman for the RNC, said message coordination between the RNC and the Romney campaign is still in its early stages because challenger Rick Santorum only dropped out of the race two weeks ago.

Still, the statement by Inclan seemed to indicate the RNC's lack of message on immigration, despite an increased effort to turn out Latino voters. Below is the full quote from Inclan, that Kukowski would later say was misconstrued:

I think that as a candidate, to my understanding that he's still deciding what his position on immigration is, so I can't talk about what his proposal is going to be because I don't know what Romney exactly -- he's talked about different issues, and what we saw in the Republican primary is that there's a diverse opinion on how to deal with immigration. I can't talk about something that I don't know what his position is.


Source

I see this as a distinct possibility throughout the election in many areas. Like it or not, the GOP has gotten a LOT of what it asked for, especially if you go by the desires before the last election. I have a feeling Obama is going to backpedal on his actions and seem like the lesser of 2 evils. This will probably hurt voter turnout, but it will keep Romney from gaining much more than traditional Republican voters.
KillerSOS
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
United States4207 Posts
May 09 2012 00:03 GMT
#1617
So my home state of North Carolina is officially the most retarded state in the nation.

We are going to pass Amendment One... it makes me sick.
Signet
Profile Joined March 2007
United States1718 Posts
May 09 2012 00:22 GMT
#1618
One of my friends in NC posted this article:

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/05/08/north-carolina-amendment-one-election-fraud_n_1499992.html?ref=tw

Rumors that many ballots given to adults in Chapel Hill, Carrboro, and Raleigh did not have Amendment 1 on them? (17 year olds can vote for primary candidates but nothing else, so long as they turn 18 before the general election)

I'm skeptical, and I think Amendment 1 was going to pass regardless. On the other hand, this is exactly the sort of tactic I would expect from people who aren't satisfied that NC has already banned gay marriage, but want to make sure that homosexuals are treated as second class citizens with respect to legal rights as well.
1Eris1
Profile Joined September 2010
United States5797 Posts
May 09 2012 00:41 GMT
#1619
What does that have to do with Romney or Obama?
Known Aliases: Tyragon, Valeric ~MSL Forever, SKT is truly the Superior KT!
xXFireandIceXx
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
Canada4296 Posts
May 09 2012 00:47 GMT
#1620
On May 09 2012 02:41 gchan wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 09 2012 02:01 Gorsameth wrote:
On May 09 2012 00:52 s3rp wrote:
Why exactly is this two party only system in the US in the first place? I never understood this seems so limiting and i don't see how the whole spectrum of political believes can work in just two parties. Ok these days most politicians seem to be bought by big companies anyways and you don't really have what i would call a left. (Seriously what you guys call lefties are moderates or slightly slightly left in most other countries)


Winner takes all is the reason.

If you win a state you win all of that state, 51-49 is the same as 100-0 so smaller parties that would otherwise get some votes from everything are infact totaly useless forcing the political spectrum into 2 sides just to have a chance.


I also want to point out that one of the reasons why the US is winner-takes-all is because the US has a Constitutional Republic system rather than a Parliamentary system. Our states have substantially more power than local regions in other countries (a byproduct of what the founding fathers wanted, for better or for worse). It's most evident in our electoral college voting system and the fact that our Senate is quite powerful.

George Washington also despised political parties... He had hoped for all independent representatives.
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