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On October 15 2012 22:39 Poltergeist- wrote:Show nested quote +On October 15 2012 22:26 turdburgler wrote:On October 15 2012 21:41 paralleluniverse wrote:On October 15 2012 06:12 kmillz wrote:On October 15 2012 06:00 xDaunt wrote:Oh, and before I forget and because this has come up so often in this thread, I saw this little gem today: The world stopped getting warmer almost 16 years ago, according to new data released last week.
The figures, which have triggered debate among climate scientists, reveal that from the beginning of 1997 until August 2012, there was no discernible rise in aggregate global temperatures.
This means that the ‘plateau’ or ‘pause’ in global warming has now lasted for about the same time as the previous period when temperatures rose, 1980 to 1996. Before that, temperatures had been stable or declining for about 40 years.
The regular data collected on global temperature is called Hadcrut 4, as it is jointly issued by the Met Office’s Hadley Centre and Prof Jones’s Climatic Research Unit. Source. Needless to say, there wasn't much fanfare with this release, which is really a shame. They should be popping champagne because the world isn't fucked like they have been predicting for years. For every study that shows that global warming exists there is another one that says it doesn't exist :\ I don't think it is worth wasting money to try and solve the theory of global warming (notice: not U.S. warming...GLOBAL warming) unless every country in the world agrees to foot something towards the bill. We are over 16 trillion in debt, let's worry about that first. WTF. You know like 95% or probably higher of climate scientist believe in global warming? It's not like 50%. try 99.9% On October 15 2012 22:24 Poltergeist- wrote:On October 15 2012 22:19 paralleluniverse wrote:On October 15 2012 22:11 Poltergeist- wrote:On October 15 2012 21:41 paralleluniverse wrote:On October 15 2012 06:12 kmillz wrote:On October 15 2012 06:00 xDaunt wrote:Oh, and before I forget and because this has come up so often in this thread, I saw this little gem today: The world stopped getting warmer almost 16 years ago, according to new data released last week.
The figures, which have triggered debate among climate scientists, reveal that from the beginning of 1997 until August 2012, there was no discernible rise in aggregate global temperatures.
This means that the ‘plateau’ or ‘pause’ in global warming has now lasted for about the same time as the previous period when temperatures rose, 1980 to 1996. Before that, temperatures had been stable or declining for about 40 years.
The regular data collected on global temperature is called Hadcrut 4, as it is jointly issued by the Met Office’s Hadley Centre and Prof Jones’s Climatic Research Unit. Source. Needless to say, there wasn't much fanfare with this release, which is really a shame. They should be popping champagne because the world isn't fucked like they have been predicting for years. For every study that shows that global warming exists there is another one that says it doesn't exist :\ I don't think it is worth wasting money to try and solve the theory of global warming (notice: not U.S. warming...GLOBAL warming) unless every country in the world agrees to foot something towards the bill. We are over 16 trillion in debt, let's worry about that first. WTF. You know like 95% or probably higher of climate scientist believe in global warming? It's not like 50%. Not trying to turn this into a global warming debate but it sounds pretty silly to say that 95% of scientists believe in global warming. Science should be about proof. 95% (or whatever the exact number is) of climate scientists, you know, the people who are most qualified and have the technical skills required to judge climate science, have looked at the evidence and determined that human made climate change is real. Back in the day 95% of smart people thought the earth was flat. Obviously I'm exaggerating a bit here but just saying that until it's proven, I will be skeptical. On the other hand, there isn't any reason why we as humans can't do our part and keep earth clean. urban legend. we've known the earth was round for over 2000 years. the people demanding the earth be at the centre were the religious leaders. On October 15 2012 22:11 Poltergeist- wrote:On October 15 2012 21:41 paralleluniverse wrote:On October 15 2012 06:12 kmillz wrote:On October 15 2012 06:00 xDaunt wrote:Oh, and before I forget and because this has come up so often in this thread, I saw this little gem today: The world stopped getting warmer almost 16 years ago, according to new data released last week.
The figures, which have triggered debate among climate scientists, reveal that from the beginning of 1997 until August 2012, there was no discernible rise in aggregate global temperatures.
This means that the ‘plateau’ or ‘pause’ in global warming has now lasted for about the same time as the previous period when temperatures rose, 1980 to 1996. Before that, temperatures had been stable or declining for about 40 years.
The regular data collected on global temperature is called Hadcrut 4, as it is jointly issued by the Met Office’s Hadley Centre and Prof Jones’s Climatic Research Unit. Source. Needless to say, there wasn't much fanfare with this release, which is really a shame. They should be popping champagne because the world isn't fucked like they have been predicting for years. For every study that shows that global warming exists there is another one that says it doesn't exist :\ I don't think it is worth wasting money to try and solve the theory of global warming (notice: not U.S. warming...GLOBAL warming) unless every country in the world agrees to foot something towards the bill. We are over 16 trillion in debt, let's worry about that first. WTF. You know like 95% or probably higher of climate scientist believe in global warming? It's not like 50%. Not trying to turn this into a global warming debate but it sounds pretty silly to say that 95% of scientists believe in global warming. Science should be about proof. everyone who has completed a study that has held up to peer review, and every peer who has done the reviewing agree that the probability of the climate not changing is very small, the probability of long term global increases in temperature is overwhelming. there, that better? Well, I dunno where you get that information from but that isn't really important in this case. I guess the issue I have is the scientists claiming that we as humans are causing this global warming. As far as I know, there isn't any solid evidence saying that we are causing it. The studies are there. One conducted by a skeptic who was forced to change his mind through his own analysis was posted a couple of weeks ago in this very thread. Man does contribute to (or rather, is mostly responsible for) global warming.
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On October 15 2012 22:47 DarK[A] wrote: Whatever you guys do, PLEASE watch the debates, and be sure to fact-check them.
I missed the first Presidential debate and just finished watching / reading the transcript from the VP debate last night.
From what I heard, Obama got demolished at the first Presidential debate. In my opinion, Biden started the VP debate very strong, but didn't keep pace and ended up falling behind after the first 30 minutes or so. Ryan won that debate, but by a closer margin than Romney allegedly won the first Presidential debate. While I believe he won through actual debate, others might say it was from Biden looking childish by laughing and cutting Ryan off with mockery literally somewhere between 80 and 90 times instead of offering an actual argument.
Fun Fact: Despite VP Biden painting the Romney/Ryan ticket in a negative light with regards to abortion (which is a non issue anyway, no politician will ever actually act on it - it's political suicide), Biden voted to overturn Roe v. Wade when he served as a Senator.
winning and losing a debate is a completely personal response. i find it repulsive some of the things that romney lies about but others dont. even if ryan was the nicest guy in the world i find him slimey and unlikeable, i guess lucky for you my opinion doesnt count but thats just how i see it, just dont take others words on who won and who lost.
its misleading to say biden wants to overturn roe v wade. its true but thats not because he is against abortion, he is against state intervention in abortion. he thinks its a personal issue for the mother to discuss with her doctor.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Political_positions_of_Joe_Biden#Abortion.2C_stem_cell_research.2C_cloning
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On October 15 2012 21:41 paralleluniverse wrote:Show nested quote +On October 15 2012 06:12 kmillz wrote:On October 15 2012 06:00 xDaunt wrote:Oh, and before I forget and because this has come up so often in this thread, I saw this little gem today: The world stopped getting warmer almost 16 years ago, according to new data released last week.
The figures, which have triggered debate among climate scientists, reveal that from the beginning of 1997 until August 2012, there was no discernible rise in aggregate global temperatures.
This means that the ‘plateau’ or ‘pause’ in global warming has now lasted for about the same time as the previous period when temperatures rose, 1980 to 1996. Before that, temperatures had been stable or declining for about 40 years.
The regular data collected on global temperature is called Hadcrut 4, as it is jointly issued by the Met Office’s Hadley Centre and Prof Jones’s Climatic Research Unit. Source. Needless to say, there wasn't much fanfare with this release, which is really a shame. They should be popping champagne because the world isn't fucked like they have been predicting for years. For every study that shows that global warming exists there is another one that says it doesn't exist :\ I don't think it is worth wasting money to try and solve the theory of global warming (notice: not U.S. warming...GLOBAL warming) unless every country in the world agrees to foot something towards the bill. We are over 16 trillion in debt, let's worry about that first. WTF. You know like 95% or probably higher of climate scientist believe in global warming? It's not like 50%.
it is 99%, climate change is accepted as a fact in the scientific community. Any serious effort to prepare for it severely hampered by political motivations, nothing else
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On October 15 2012 22:47 DarK[A] wrote: Whatever you guys do, PLEASE watch the debates, and be sure to fact-check them.
I missed the first Presidential debate and just finished watching / reading the transcript from the VP debate last night.
From what I heard, Obama got demolished at the first Presidential debate. In my opinion, Biden started the VP debate very strong, but didn't keep pace and ended up falling behind after the first 30 minutes or so. Ryan won that debate, but by a closer margin than Romney allegedly won the first Presidential debate. While I believe he won through actual debate, others might say it was from Biden looking childish by laughing and cutting Ryan off with mockery literally somewhere between 80 and 90 times instead of offering an actual argument.
Fun Fact: Despite VP Biden painting the Romney/Ryan ticket in a negative light with regards to abortion (which is a non issue anyway, no politician will ever actually act on it - it's political suicide), Biden voted to overturn Roe v. Wade when he served as a Senator. http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=330491¤tpage=793#15849
Also, Ryan got absolutely demolished in that debate, he couldn't respond to any of the attacks made on him and Romney. The part on foreign policy, particularly on Iran and Afghanistan made Ryan look like he had no idea what's going on.
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On October 15 2012 22:56 turdburgler wrote:Show nested quote +On October 15 2012 22:47 DarK[A] wrote: Whatever you guys do, PLEASE watch the debates, and be sure to fact-check them.
I missed the first Presidential debate and just finished watching / reading the transcript from the VP debate last night.
From what I heard, Obama got demolished at the first Presidential debate. In my opinion, Biden started the VP debate very strong, but didn't keep pace and ended up falling behind after the first 30 minutes or so. Ryan won that debate, but by a closer margin than Romney allegedly won the first Presidential debate. While I believe he won through actual debate, others might say it was from Biden looking childish by laughing and cutting Ryan off with mockery literally somewhere between 80 and 90 times instead of offering an actual argument.
Fun Fact: Despite VP Biden painting the Romney/Ryan ticket in a negative light with regards to abortion (which is a non issue anyway, no politician will ever actually act on it - it's political suicide), Biden voted to overturn Roe v. Wade when he served as a Senator. winning and losing a debate is a completely personal response. i find it repulsive some of the things that romney lies about but others dont. even if ryan was the nicest guy in the world i find him slimey and unlikeable, i guess lucky for you my opinion doesnt count but thats just how i see it, just dont take others words on who won and who lost. its misleading to say biden wants to overturn roe v wade. its true but thats not because he is against abortion, he is against state intervention in abortion. he thinks its a personal issue for the mother to discuss with her doctor. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Political_positions_of_Joe_Biden#Abortion.2C_stem_cell_research.2C_cloning
Did you even read the law he voted for?
Direct quote from the text:
"A right to abortion is not secured by this Constitution. The Congress and the several States shall have concurrent power to restrict and prohibit abortion: Provided, That a provision of a law of a State which is more restrictive than a conflicting provision of a law of Congress shall govern."
And from one of the very first lines:
"To amend the Constitution to establish legislative authority in Congress and the States with respect to abortion"
Essentially overturning Roe v. Wade.
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I noticed some people here and there refer to Obama as a communist. Maybe it was a joke, maybe it wasn't but it is not even close to the truth.
Even if Obama managed to flawlessly accomplish what he wanted USA would still not be near a country like Sweden. And Sweden is as far away from communism as Iran is from personal freedoms and free speech.
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On October 15 2012 23:03 paralleluniverse wrote:Show nested quote +On October 15 2012 22:47 DarK[A] wrote: Whatever you guys do, PLEASE watch the debates, and be sure to fact-check them.
I missed the first Presidential debate and just finished watching / reading the transcript from the VP debate last night.
From what I heard, Obama got demolished at the first Presidential debate. In my opinion, Biden started the VP debate very strong, but didn't keep pace and ended up falling behind after the first 30 minutes or so. Ryan won that debate, but by a closer margin than Romney allegedly won the first Presidential debate. While I believe he won through actual debate, others might say it was from Biden looking childish by laughing and cutting Ryan off with mockery literally somewhere between 80 and 90 times instead of offering an actual argument.
Fun Fact: Despite VP Biden painting the Romney/Ryan ticket in a negative light with regards to abortion (which is a non issue anyway, no politician will ever actually act on it - it's political suicide), Biden voted to overturn Roe v. Wade when he served as a Senator. http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=330491¤tpage=793#15849Also, Ryan got absolutely demolished in that debate, he couldn't respond to any of the attacks made on him and Romney. The part on foreign policy, particularly on Iran and Afghanistan made Ryan look like he had no idea what's going on.
I guess that's your personal opinion and you're entitled to it.
Most of Biden's "attacks" on the Romney/Ryan ticket were gross misrepresentations of policies and quotes taken out of context. I would have liked to hear why after 4 years (2 of which with a Democratic majority so Obama could pass essentially anything he wanted to) we don't have the things we were promised, while we're spending trillions of dollars over our revenue. Taxing those 120,000 families making an average of $8 million annually at, say, a ridiculous 48% in this case would erase a mere 30% of our 2011 deficit ALONE. Or, in other terms, would run the federal government from 1/1/2011 to 2/15/2011.
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On October 15 2012 23:42 DarK[A] wrote:Show nested quote +On October 15 2012 23:03 paralleluniverse wrote:On October 15 2012 22:47 DarK[A] wrote: Whatever you guys do, PLEASE watch the debates, and be sure to fact-check them.
I missed the first Presidential debate and just finished watching / reading the transcript from the VP debate last night.
From what I heard, Obama got demolished at the first Presidential debate. In my opinion, Biden started the VP debate very strong, but didn't keep pace and ended up falling behind after the first 30 minutes or so. Ryan won that debate, but by a closer margin than Romney allegedly won the first Presidential debate. While I believe he won through actual debate, others might say it was from Biden looking childish by laughing and cutting Ryan off with mockery literally somewhere between 80 and 90 times instead of offering an actual argument.
Fun Fact: Despite VP Biden painting the Romney/Ryan ticket in a negative light with regards to abortion (which is a non issue anyway, no politician will ever actually act on it - it's political suicide), Biden voted to overturn Roe v. Wade when he served as a Senator. http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=330491¤tpage=793#15849Also, Ryan got absolutely demolished in that debate, he couldn't respond to any of the attacks made on him and Romney. The part on foreign policy, particularly on Iran and Afghanistan made Ryan look like he had no idea what's going on. I guess that's your personal opinion and you're entitled to it. Most of Biden's "attacks" on the Romney/Ryan ticket were gross misrepresentations of policies and quotes taken out of context. I would have liked to hear why after 4 years (2 of which with a Democratic majority so Obama could pass essentially anything he wanted to) we don't have the things we were promised, while we're spending trillions of dollars over our revenue. Taxing those 120,000 families making an average of $8 million annually at, say, a ridiculous 48% in this case would erase a mere 30% of our 2011 deficit ALONE. Or, in other terms, would run the federal government from 1/1/2011 to 2/15/2011.
If you don't think Ryan came off as incompetent regarding foreign policy when he was speaking nonsense about never using timelines because "they help our enemies" when they are an accepted fact of modern troop withdrawal in handover situations, being unable to present a single thing he and Romney would have done to stabilize the Middle East/Iran beyond "not what you guys did," not realizing virtually all our international allies including Afghans are on board with the withdrawal timetable, thinking it's bad to pull troops out of the most dangerous area in the world because it will put our troops in danger (this logic mandates total immediate withdrawal in reality), and not realizing that Iran is suffering under crippling sanctions, then you are in a strange place.
These weren't misrepresentations, these were things Ryan actually said live on national television during the debate.
Domestically everything is going to be pretty subjective because there are huge numbers of studies skewing things both ways (though I'd point out Ryan came off as a huge idiot for bashing the stimulus while requesting stimulus funds), but foreign policy? I'd have loved to see Huntsman in the chair instead, then we might have seen a competent discussion of foreign policy.
Edit: I mean, if you compare Ryan's thoughts on foreign policy to the foreign policy debate between Huntsman and Gingrich in the primaries, it's honestly depressing how little he knows and understands.
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On October 15 2012 23:59 TheTenthDoc wrote:Show nested quote +On October 15 2012 23:42 DarK[A] wrote:On October 15 2012 23:03 paralleluniverse wrote:On October 15 2012 22:47 DarK[A] wrote: Whatever you guys do, PLEASE watch the debates, and be sure to fact-check them.
I missed the first Presidential debate and just finished watching / reading the transcript from the VP debate last night.
From what I heard, Obama got demolished at the first Presidential debate. In my opinion, Biden started the VP debate very strong, but didn't keep pace and ended up falling behind after the first 30 minutes or so. Ryan won that debate, but by a closer margin than Romney allegedly won the first Presidential debate. While I believe he won through actual debate, others might say it was from Biden looking childish by laughing and cutting Ryan off with mockery literally somewhere between 80 and 90 times instead of offering an actual argument.
Fun Fact: Despite VP Biden painting the Romney/Ryan ticket in a negative light with regards to abortion (which is a non issue anyway, no politician will ever actually act on it - it's political suicide), Biden voted to overturn Roe v. Wade when he served as a Senator. http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=330491¤tpage=793#15849Also, Ryan got absolutely demolished in that debate, he couldn't respond to any of the attacks made on him and Romney. The part on foreign policy, particularly on Iran and Afghanistan made Ryan look like he had no idea what's going on. I guess that's your personal opinion and you're entitled to it. Most of Biden's "attacks" on the Romney/Ryan ticket were gross misrepresentations of policies and quotes taken out of context. I would have liked to hear why after 4 years (2 of which with a Democratic majority so Obama could pass essentially anything he wanted to) we don't have the things we were promised, while we're spending trillions of dollars over our revenue. Taxing those 120,000 families making an average of $8 million annually at, say, a ridiculous 48% in this case would erase a mere 30% of our 2011 deficit ALONE. Or, in other terms, would run the federal government from 1/1/2011 to 2/15/2011. If you don't think Ryan came off as incompetent regarding foreign policy when he was speaking nonsense about never using timelines because "they help our enemies" when they are an accepted fact of modern troop withdrawal in handover situations, being unable to present a single thing he and Romney would have done to stabilize the Middle East/Iran beyond "not what you guys did," not realizing virtually all our international allies including Afghans are on board with the withdrawal timetable, thinking it's bad to pull troops out of the most dangerous area in the world because it will put our troops in danger (this logic mandates total immediate withdrawal in reality), and not realizing that Iran is suffering under crippling sanctions, then you are in a strange place. These weren't misrepresentations, these were things Ryan actually said live on national television during the debate. Domestically everything is going to be pretty subjective because there are huge numbers of studies skewing things both ways (though I'd point out Ryan came off as a huge idiot for bashing the stimulus while requesting stimulus funds), but foreign policy? I'd have loved to see Huntsman in the chair instead, then we might have seen a competent discussion of foreign policy. Edit: I mean, if you compare Ryan's thoughts on foreign policy to the foreign policy debate between Huntsman and Gingrich in the primaries, it's honestly depressing how little he knows and understands.
These Afghans on board with our withdrawal are the same ones turning rifles on foreign allies, right? Regardless of whether you think timelines help our enemies or not, do you think the Afghan forces are ready to completely take over security on their own? Ryan's point during that diatribe was to secure our gains. That is, NOT letting those thousands of military deaths be for absolutely nothing.
I admit that Ryan didn't put himself in a great place with the previous requests for aid and later bashing of the stimulus, but really if you knew the government was going ahead with $x of spending towards helping the economy, you wouldn't request any for your state? Not to mention Biden looking like an absolute fool for bashing Ryan voting to "put two wars on a credit card" when he himself voted for them as well.
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On October 15 2012 22:15 paralleluniverse wrote:Show nested quote +On October 15 2012 04:13 JonnyBNoHo wrote:On October 14 2012 16:28 paralleluniverse wrote:On October 14 2012 05:04 JonnyBNoHo wrote:On October 14 2012 02:55 kwizach wrote:On October 14 2012 02:40 JonnyBNoHo wrote:On October 14 2012 02:14 paralleluniverse wrote:On October 14 2012 02:05 JonnyBNoHo wrote:On October 14 2012 01:51 paralleluniverse wrote:On October 14 2012 00:46 coverpunch wrote: [quote] Wait a second. You need to clarify a couple points in this post.
For one, government employment has only decreased in two instances, but that's not by choice. Obama didn't say "I'm making sacrifices of public jobs for the greater good", just like Reagan didn't say that. Government employment decreased by necessity because tax revenues have dried up so much that the government has no choice but to trim jobs to salvage the budget. It's not a praiseworthy event, it's a measure of just how bad the recession was and how slow the recovery has been that tax revenue has not returned to pre-crisis levels.
And on that note, by what measure has the private sector recovered more strongly than Bush in the 2001 recession? Because the government should be measuring it by tax revenue, since the rest of the presidential discussion is moot unless it can get the taxes to pay for any of it. On the first point, yes. There wasn't enough stimulus money given to state and local governments to retain public sector workers. But look at the other recessions (grey shaded areas). Every other recession, except the 80's one, didn't see a fall in public sector employment. On the second point, the measure is employment. See previous post: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=330491¤tpage=781#15613 If I'm not mistaken the graph you previously posted shows employment since the start of presidential terms - not since the start of the recessions / recoveries. So it isn't apples to apples. There was a recession at the start of both the Bush and Obama term. Or should I just replace the word "recession" with "presidency" in my above post? No, the latest recession didn't start when Obama took office. According to the NBER the economy peaked in Dec. of '07 and if you look at BLS data employment started to tank in Feb. of '08. Conversely the NBER says that the economy peaked in Mar. of '01 for Bush and employment started to tank at that time too. So, there's about a 1 year timing issue just using presidential terms. He didn't say the recession started when Obama took office, he said there was a recession when he took office. Yes, but there wasn't a recession when Bush first took office. When Bush first took office the economy was at its peak. When Obama took office the economy was far closer to its bottom than its peak. So it isn't apples to apples. When you show a graph of employment by term you show the entire downturn in the '01 recession but you do not show the entire downturn of the latest recession. Can you stop nitpicking minor details that will change nothing? You can't change the fact that there is a upward trend under Bush and a downward trend under Obama for public sector employment to anything else by fudging with the dates. In fact, looking at the start of the recession isn't even useful, because the recession started before Obama, so you can't blame Obama for what happened then. But I've done it anyway, and as I've said above, it can't possibly change anything. The conclusion is the same, public sector employment fell under Obama and rose under Bush, whereas private sector employment recovered stronger under Obama. Data is from FRED as always. You can't blame either Bush or Obama for either recession occurring. Presidents simply do not control economies to that extent. What you can be critical of a president over is how well they get the economy back on its feet. Bush was criticized at the time for job growth being sluggish - it was called a "jobless recovery". Job growth under Obama is even worse - so he should be criticized as well. Does separating private from public employment change that fact? Nope. Except it's not worse if you look at the private sector. It's a lot better. ![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/x8qba.png) Yes, it's worthwhile separating private from public, because private is mostly entirely driven by the state of the economy. Public is determined by constraints such as state governments being required to run balanced budgets and not enough stimulus aid or revenue. So private employment is a reflection of the state of the economy, public employment is a reflection of government budget constraints. If you compare just private sector job growth Obama is pretty comparable with Bush - so pretty crummy, not "a lot better".
Public budgets depend on the economy. So public jobs depend on the economy - just like private jobs. Sure there are some differences but there are differences between any and all economic sectors.
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On October 15 2012 22:31 paralleluniverse wrote:Show nested quote +On October 15 2012 04:17 JonnyBNoHo wrote:On October 14 2012 17:00 paralleluniverse wrote:On October 14 2012 05:16 SnK-Arcbound wrote:On October 14 2012 05:06 sam!zdat wrote: Can we give up this idea that there is a meaningful correlation between who's president and the "state of the economy" (expressed, of course, as a one-dimensional value)? There have been 21 major recession in the US. The first 18 happened in the first 150 years, and all of them ended in under 4 years from their peaks without any government help. When the stock market crashed in the 20's, unemployment spiked to 9.8%, and then 6 months later, it was down to 6%. Then the government passed a 20% tariff on all imports, and unemployed shot up to double digits, and didn't leave for the next decade. Then we had the Reagan recession, in which unemployment went back to relatively normal levels 4 years after its peak. So we have 19 recessions that all had unemployment coming down from its peak in 4 or less years, often with double digit unemployment. We have a 20th where unemployment came down in 6 months, and then skyrocketed when the government decided to do something. And now we have today's unemployment. Given the history of recessions in this country, who do you think is to blame, and what "should" the unemployment rate be? The answer is Bush, and every single republican and democrat that voted with him, and Obama, and every republican and democrat that voted with him. Also note that presidents and other politicians aren't really empowered enough to create unemployment, but they can extended by about 15-20 years if you look at FDR. (not that any of this is directed at you, just yours seems to be the latest post on this subject). Recession caused by financial crisses are different: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=330491¤tpage=717#14332And the Great Depression was getting better until FDR pivoted to austerity in 1937, which turned a recovering economy into a double-dip recession. It was ended by the biggest fiscal stimulus ever -- WW2. Last I checked, that's exactly Romney wants going to do. If I'm not mistaken both Obama and Romney want to cut the deficit. WW2 is the best example of the folly of fiscal stimulus that I can think of. But Obama wants to increase spending in the short term. For example his Jobs Act will create 1.9 to 2.6 million jobs, reports linked here: http://thinkprogress.org/economy/2012/09/07/812251/republicans-blocked-jobs-act-one-year/And I take his talk about increasing investments in education, manufacturing, research, or whatever, as stimulus, without using that dirty word, of course. In contrast, Romney supports a balanced budget amendment. But, I wish him good luck balancing the budget with his massive increase to defense spending and a $5 tax cut.
Obama also wants to engage in austerity by raising taxes. And if you want to float Romney's tax plan as a net tax cut then you need to count it as stimulus - something you clearly think we need more of.
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Cayman Islands24199 Posts
stimulus by tax cut is not as effective at least short term, and dubious long term since existing rich people are not usually the creators of new wealth. the economy isn't in trouble because the rich are facing higher taxes.
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On October 16 2012 00:45 DarK[A] wrote:Show nested quote +On October 15 2012 23:59 TheTenthDoc wrote:On October 15 2012 23:42 DarK[A] wrote:On October 15 2012 23:03 paralleluniverse wrote:On October 15 2012 22:47 DarK[A] wrote: Whatever you guys do, PLEASE watch the debates, and be sure to fact-check them.
I missed the first Presidential debate and just finished watching / reading the transcript from the VP debate last night.
From what I heard, Obama got demolished at the first Presidential debate. In my opinion, Biden started the VP debate very strong, but didn't keep pace and ended up falling behind after the first 30 minutes or so. Ryan won that debate, but by a closer margin than Romney allegedly won the first Presidential debate. While I believe he won through actual debate, others might say it was from Biden looking childish by laughing and cutting Ryan off with mockery literally somewhere between 80 and 90 times instead of offering an actual argument.
Fun Fact: Despite VP Biden painting the Romney/Ryan ticket in a negative light with regards to abortion (which is a non issue anyway, no politician will ever actually act on it - it's political suicide), Biden voted to overturn Roe v. Wade when he served as a Senator. http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=330491¤tpage=793#15849Also, Ryan got absolutely demolished in that debate, he couldn't respond to any of the attacks made on him and Romney. The part on foreign policy, particularly on Iran and Afghanistan made Ryan look like he had no idea what's going on. I guess that's your personal opinion and you're entitled to it. Most of Biden's "attacks" on the Romney/Ryan ticket were gross misrepresentations of policies and quotes taken out of context. I would have liked to hear why after 4 years (2 of which with a Democratic majority so Obama could pass essentially anything he wanted to) we don't have the things we were promised, while we're spending trillions of dollars over our revenue. Taxing those 120,000 families making an average of $8 million annually at, say, a ridiculous 48% in this case would erase a mere 30% of our 2011 deficit ALONE. Or, in other terms, would run the federal government from 1/1/2011 to 2/15/2011. If you don't think Ryan came off as incompetent regarding foreign policy when he was speaking nonsense about never using timelines because "they help our enemies" when they are an accepted fact of modern troop withdrawal in handover situations, being unable to present a single thing he and Romney would have done to stabilize the Middle East/Iran beyond "not what you guys did," not realizing virtually all our international allies including Afghans are on board with the withdrawal timetable, thinking it's bad to pull troops out of the most dangerous area in the world because it will put our troops in danger (this logic mandates total immediate withdrawal in reality), and not realizing that Iran is suffering under crippling sanctions, then you are in a strange place. These weren't misrepresentations, these were things Ryan actually said live on national television during the debate. Domestically everything is going to be pretty subjective because there are huge numbers of studies skewing things both ways (though I'd point out Ryan came off as a huge idiot for bashing the stimulus while requesting stimulus funds), but foreign policy? I'd have loved to see Huntsman in the chair instead, then we might have seen a competent discussion of foreign policy. Edit: I mean, if you compare Ryan's thoughts on foreign policy to the foreign policy debate between Huntsman and Gingrich in the primaries, it's honestly depressing how little he knows and understands. These Afghans on board with our withdrawal are the same ones turning rifles on foreign allies, right? Regardless of whether you think timelines help our enemies or not, do you think the Afghan forces are ready to completely take over security on their own? Ryan's point during that diatribe was to secure our gains. That is, NOT letting those thousands of military deaths be for absolutely nothing. I admit that Ryan didn't put himself in a great place with the previous requests for aid and later bashing of the stimulus, but really if you knew the government was going ahead with $x of spending towards helping the economy, you wouldn't request any for your state? Not to mention Biden looking like an absolute fool for bashing Ryan voting to "put two wars on a credit card" when he himself voted for them as well.
Disclaimer: I hate Ryan because he's a career politician that likes Ayn Rand (who loathed career politicians) and spent 12 years doing nothing out of the ordinary in the house then had the gall to let the media paint him as an ultra-intelligent policy wonk that could save the Republican party. I can respect Romney, but Ryan? No way.
Good thing we're talking in 2014 with the withdrawal. Two years to a year and a half before our Iraq draw-down things were worse there than they are now in Afghanistan in Iraq. Note that Ryan never once mentioned concerns about the region, and even tacitly admitted he'd withdraw by 2014, so obviously he thinks they will be by then. Just admit he's a foreign policy simpleton and looked like it in this debate.
And yes, that would have made Biden look like a fool if Ryan were intelligent enough to call him on it in the debate. Too bad he couldn't think on his feet and deviate from prepared stories and talking points.
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On October 16 2012 02:03 TheTenthDoc wrote:Show nested quote +On October 16 2012 00:45 DarK[A] wrote:On October 15 2012 23:59 TheTenthDoc wrote:On October 15 2012 23:42 DarK[A] wrote:On October 15 2012 23:03 paralleluniverse wrote:On October 15 2012 22:47 DarK[A] wrote: Whatever you guys do, PLEASE watch the debates, and be sure to fact-check them.
I missed the first Presidential debate and just finished watching / reading the transcript from the VP debate last night.
From what I heard, Obama got demolished at the first Presidential debate. In my opinion, Biden started the VP debate very strong, but didn't keep pace and ended up falling behind after the first 30 minutes or so. Ryan won that debate, but by a closer margin than Romney allegedly won the first Presidential debate. While I believe he won through actual debate, others might say it was from Biden looking childish by laughing and cutting Ryan off with mockery literally somewhere between 80 and 90 times instead of offering an actual argument.
Fun Fact: Despite VP Biden painting the Romney/Ryan ticket in a negative light with regards to abortion (which is a non issue anyway, no politician will ever actually act on it - it's political suicide), Biden voted to overturn Roe v. Wade when he served as a Senator. http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=330491¤tpage=793#15849Also, Ryan got absolutely demolished in that debate, he couldn't respond to any of the attacks made on him and Romney. The part on foreign policy, particularly on Iran and Afghanistan made Ryan look like he had no idea what's going on. I guess that's your personal opinion and you're entitled to it. Most of Biden's "attacks" on the Romney/Ryan ticket were gross misrepresentations of policies and quotes taken out of context. I would have liked to hear why after 4 years (2 of which with a Democratic majority so Obama could pass essentially anything he wanted to) we don't have the things we were promised, while we're spending trillions of dollars over our revenue. Taxing those 120,000 families making an average of $8 million annually at, say, a ridiculous 48% in this case would erase a mere 30% of our 2011 deficit ALONE. Or, in other terms, would run the federal government from 1/1/2011 to 2/15/2011. If you don't think Ryan came off as incompetent regarding foreign policy when he was speaking nonsense about never using timelines because "they help our enemies" when they are an accepted fact of modern troop withdrawal in handover situations, being unable to present a single thing he and Romney would have done to stabilize the Middle East/Iran beyond "not what you guys did," not realizing virtually all our international allies including Afghans are on board with the withdrawal timetable, thinking it's bad to pull troops out of the most dangerous area in the world because it will put our troops in danger (this logic mandates total immediate withdrawal in reality), and not realizing that Iran is suffering under crippling sanctions, then you are in a strange place. These weren't misrepresentations, these were things Ryan actually said live on national television during the debate. Domestically everything is going to be pretty subjective because there are huge numbers of studies skewing things both ways (though I'd point out Ryan came off as a huge idiot for bashing the stimulus while requesting stimulus funds), but foreign policy? I'd have loved to see Huntsman in the chair instead, then we might have seen a competent discussion of foreign policy. Edit: I mean, if you compare Ryan's thoughts on foreign policy to the foreign policy debate between Huntsman and Gingrich in the primaries, it's honestly depressing how little he knows and understands. These Afghans on board with our withdrawal are the same ones turning rifles on foreign allies, right? Regardless of whether you think timelines help our enemies or not, do you think the Afghan forces are ready to completely take over security on their own? Ryan's point during that diatribe was to secure our gains. That is, NOT letting those thousands of military deaths be for absolutely nothing. I admit that Ryan didn't put himself in a great place with the previous requests for aid and later bashing of the stimulus, but really if you knew the government was going ahead with $x of spending towards helping the economy, you wouldn't request any for your state? Not to mention Biden looking like an absolute fool for bashing Ryan voting to "put two wars on a credit card" when he himself voted for them as well. Disclaimer: I hate Ryan because he's a career politician that likes Ayn Rand (who loathed career politicians) and spent 12 years doing nothing out of the ordinary in the house then had the gall to let the media paint him as an ultra-intelligent policy wonk that could save the Republican party. I can respect Romney, but Ryan? No way. Good thing we're talking in 2014 with the withdrawal. Two years to a year and a half before our Iraq draw-down things were worse there than they are now in Afghanistan in Iraq. Note that Ryan never once mentioned concerns about the region, and even tacitly admitted he'd withdraw by 2014, so obviously he thinks they will be by then. Just admit he's a foreign policy simpleton and looked like it in this debate. And yes, that would have made Biden look like a fool if Ryan were intelligent enough to call him on it in the debate. Too bad he couldn't think on his feet and deviate from prepared stories and talking points.
Ryan's other point criticized the administration for withdrawing those troops this past summer leaving less of our forces there to deal with the same presence. So, as Ryan said, you're leaving them to do the same job with less people. It doesn't matter that much that those Americans were replaced with Afghan forces. Sure it helps a little bit but those remaining American forces are still in much greater danger than before.
It *did* make Biden look like a fool - Ryan called him out on it, but it didn't have as much of an impact as it could have because the moderator started to talk over him to change the subject. I definitely wasn't a big fan of that moderator.
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On October 16 2012 02:13 DarK[A] wrote:Show nested quote +On October 16 2012 02:03 TheTenthDoc wrote:On October 16 2012 00:45 DarK[A] wrote:On October 15 2012 23:59 TheTenthDoc wrote:On October 15 2012 23:42 DarK[A] wrote:On October 15 2012 23:03 paralleluniverse wrote:On October 15 2012 22:47 DarK[A] wrote: Whatever you guys do, PLEASE watch the debates, and be sure to fact-check them.
I missed the first Presidential debate and just finished watching / reading the transcript from the VP debate last night.
From what I heard, Obama got demolished at the first Presidential debate. In my opinion, Biden started the VP debate very strong, but didn't keep pace and ended up falling behind after the first 30 minutes or so. Ryan won that debate, but by a closer margin than Romney allegedly won the first Presidential debate. While I believe he won through actual debate, others might say it was from Biden looking childish by laughing and cutting Ryan off with mockery literally somewhere between 80 and 90 times instead of offering an actual argument.
Fun Fact: Despite VP Biden painting the Romney/Ryan ticket in a negative light with regards to abortion (which is a non issue anyway, no politician will ever actually act on it - it's political suicide), Biden voted to overturn Roe v. Wade when he served as a Senator. http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=330491¤tpage=793#15849Also, Ryan got absolutely demolished in that debate, he couldn't respond to any of the attacks made on him and Romney. The part on foreign policy, particularly on Iran and Afghanistan made Ryan look like he had no idea what's going on. I guess that's your personal opinion and you're entitled to it. Most of Biden's "attacks" on the Romney/Ryan ticket were gross misrepresentations of policies and quotes taken out of context. I would have liked to hear why after 4 years (2 of which with a Democratic majority so Obama could pass essentially anything he wanted to) we don't have the things we were promised, while we're spending trillions of dollars over our revenue. Taxing those 120,000 families making an average of $8 million annually at, say, a ridiculous 48% in this case would erase a mere 30% of our 2011 deficit ALONE. Or, in other terms, would run the federal government from 1/1/2011 to 2/15/2011. If you don't think Ryan came off as incompetent regarding foreign policy when he was speaking nonsense about never using timelines because "they help our enemies" when they are an accepted fact of modern troop withdrawal in handover situations, being unable to present a single thing he and Romney would have done to stabilize the Middle East/Iran beyond "not what you guys did," not realizing virtually all our international allies including Afghans are on board with the withdrawal timetable, thinking it's bad to pull troops out of the most dangerous area in the world because it will put our troops in danger (this logic mandates total immediate withdrawal in reality), and not realizing that Iran is suffering under crippling sanctions, then you are in a strange place. These weren't misrepresentations, these were things Ryan actually said live on national television during the debate. Domestically everything is going to be pretty subjective because there are huge numbers of studies skewing things both ways (though I'd point out Ryan came off as a huge idiot for bashing the stimulus while requesting stimulus funds), but foreign policy? I'd have loved to see Huntsman in the chair instead, then we might have seen a competent discussion of foreign policy. Edit: I mean, if you compare Ryan's thoughts on foreign policy to the foreign policy debate between Huntsman and Gingrich in the primaries, it's honestly depressing how little he knows and understands. These Afghans on board with our withdrawal are the same ones turning rifles on foreign allies, right? Regardless of whether you think timelines help our enemies or not, do you think the Afghan forces are ready to completely take over security on their own? Ryan's point during that diatribe was to secure our gains. That is, NOT letting those thousands of military deaths be for absolutely nothing. I admit that Ryan didn't put himself in a great place with the previous requests for aid and later bashing of the stimulus, but really if you knew the government was going ahead with $x of spending towards helping the economy, you wouldn't request any for your state? Not to mention Biden looking like an absolute fool for bashing Ryan voting to "put two wars on a credit card" when he himself voted for them as well. Disclaimer: I hate Ryan because he's a career politician that likes Ayn Rand (who loathed career politicians) and spent 12 years doing nothing out of the ordinary in the house then had the gall to let the media paint him as an ultra-intelligent policy wonk that could save the Republican party. I can respect Romney, but Ryan? No way. Good thing we're talking in 2014 with the withdrawal. Two years to a year and a half before our Iraq draw-down things were worse there than they are now in Afghanistan in Iraq. Note that Ryan never once mentioned concerns about the region, and even tacitly admitted he'd withdraw by 2014, so obviously he thinks they will be by then. Just admit he's a foreign policy simpleton and looked like it in this debate. And yes, that would have made Biden look like a fool if Ryan were intelligent enough to call him on it in the debate. Too bad he couldn't think on his feet and deviate from prepared stories and talking points. Ryan's other point criticized the administration for withdrawing those troops this past summer leaving less of our forces there to deal with the same presence. So, as Ryan said, you're leaving them to do the same job with less people. It doesn't matter that much that those Americans were replaced with Afghan forces. Sure it helps a little bit but those remaining American forces are still in much greater danger than before. It *did* make Biden look like a fool - Ryan called him out on it, but it didn't have as much of an impact as it could have because the moderator started to talk over him to change the subject. I definitely wasn't a big fan of that moderator.
Hey man, can I tell you abou this car guy I know that, like, totally cares about you?
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On October 16 2012 00:45 DarK[A] wrote:Show nested quote +On October 15 2012 23:59 TheTenthDoc wrote:On October 15 2012 23:42 DarK[A] wrote:On October 15 2012 23:03 paralleluniverse wrote:On October 15 2012 22:47 DarK[A] wrote: Whatever you guys do, PLEASE watch the debates, and be sure to fact-check them.
I missed the first Presidential debate and just finished watching / reading the transcript from the VP debate last night.
From what I heard, Obama got demolished at the first Presidential debate. In my opinion, Biden started the VP debate very strong, but didn't keep pace and ended up falling behind after the first 30 minutes or so. Ryan won that debate, but by a closer margin than Romney allegedly won the first Presidential debate. While I believe he won through actual debate, others might say it was from Biden looking childish by laughing and cutting Ryan off with mockery literally somewhere between 80 and 90 times instead of offering an actual argument.
Fun Fact: Despite VP Biden painting the Romney/Ryan ticket in a negative light with regards to abortion (which is a non issue anyway, no politician will ever actually act on it - it's political suicide), Biden voted to overturn Roe v. Wade when he served as a Senator. http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=330491¤tpage=793#15849Also, Ryan got absolutely demolished in that debate, he couldn't respond to any of the attacks made on him and Romney. The part on foreign policy, particularly on Iran and Afghanistan made Ryan look like he had no idea what's going on. I guess that's your personal opinion and you're entitled to it. Most of Biden's "attacks" on the Romney/Ryan ticket were gross misrepresentations of policies and quotes taken out of context. I would have liked to hear why after 4 years (2 of which with a Democratic majority so Obama could pass essentially anything he wanted to) we don't have the things we were promised, while we're spending trillions of dollars over our revenue. Taxing those 120,000 families making an average of $8 million annually at, say, a ridiculous 48% in this case would erase a mere 30% of our 2011 deficit ALONE. Or, in other terms, would run the federal government from 1/1/2011 to 2/15/2011. If you don't think Ryan came off as incompetent regarding foreign policy when he was speaking nonsense about never using timelines because "they help our enemies" when they are an accepted fact of modern troop withdrawal in handover situations, being unable to present a single thing he and Romney would have done to stabilize the Middle East/Iran beyond "not what you guys did," not realizing virtually all our international allies including Afghans are on board with the withdrawal timetable, thinking it's bad to pull troops out of the most dangerous area in the world because it will put our troops in danger (this logic mandates total immediate withdrawal in reality), and not realizing that Iran is suffering under crippling sanctions, then you are in a strange place. These weren't misrepresentations, these were things Ryan actually said live on national television during the debate. Domestically everything is going to be pretty subjective because there are huge numbers of studies skewing things both ways (though I'd point out Ryan came off as a huge idiot for bashing the stimulus while requesting stimulus funds), but foreign policy? I'd have loved to see Huntsman in the chair instead, then we might have seen a competent discussion of foreign policy. Edit: I mean, if you compare Ryan's thoughts on foreign policy to the foreign policy debate between Huntsman and Gingrich in the primaries, it's honestly depressing how little he knows and understands. These Afghans on board with our withdrawal are the same ones turning rifles on foreign allies, right? Regardless of whether you think timelines help our enemies or not, do you think the Afghan forces are ready to completely take over security on their own? Ryan's point during that diatribe was to secure our gains. That is, NOT letting those thousands of military deaths be for absolutely nothing.
No, I don't think they will be ready to enforce our policies on their land in the next 5 years, the next 10 years, or even the next 25 years. I don't give a shit. We invaded a sovereign nation, shot a bunch of terrorists/extremists (as well as a bunch of civilians) and we are now somehow confused as to why there are still more and more people fighting against us. PROTIP: When you invade someone's country and kill a bunch of people there will always be people who want to kill you in return. I'm not making an argument for whether or not we can 'better' the country in 25 or 50 years. I'm not making an argument over whether or not the afghan government will have Taliban influences in it when we leave (I actually assume these influences never left). I'm saying that we never had any logical reason to go in and fight a guerrilla war alongside a frail and corrupt government against an enemy that bears no flag. The point is that our service men and women haven't been tasked with doing anything of a significant enough value to the United States or Afghanistan to justify the death toll. We are responsible for (by the lowest casualty count) 6 Afghan civilian deaths for every single person who died on 9/11. Explain to me what throwing away the lives of our soldiers is going to accomplish for us as a nation. Explain to me what this war on foreign soil is about, because I apparently don't understand the modern definition of defense and how it is so deeply intertwined with nation-building.
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On October 16 2012 04:30 Jormundr wrote:Show nested quote +On October 16 2012 00:45 DarK[A] wrote:On October 15 2012 23:59 TheTenthDoc wrote:On October 15 2012 23:42 DarK[A] wrote:On October 15 2012 23:03 paralleluniverse wrote:On October 15 2012 22:47 DarK[A] wrote: Whatever you guys do, PLEASE watch the debates, and be sure to fact-check them.
I missed the first Presidential debate and just finished watching / reading the transcript from the VP debate last night.
From what I heard, Obama got demolished at the first Presidential debate. In my opinion, Biden started the VP debate very strong, but didn't keep pace and ended up falling behind after the first 30 minutes or so. Ryan won that debate, but by a closer margin than Romney allegedly won the first Presidential debate. While I believe he won through actual debate, others might say it was from Biden looking childish by laughing and cutting Ryan off with mockery literally somewhere between 80 and 90 times instead of offering an actual argument.
Fun Fact: Despite VP Biden painting the Romney/Ryan ticket in a negative light with regards to abortion (which is a non issue anyway, no politician will ever actually act on it - it's political suicide), Biden voted to overturn Roe v. Wade when he served as a Senator. http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=330491¤tpage=793#15849Also, Ryan got absolutely demolished in that debate, he couldn't respond to any of the attacks made on him and Romney. The part on foreign policy, particularly on Iran and Afghanistan made Ryan look like he had no idea what's going on. I guess that's your personal opinion and you're entitled to it. Most of Biden's "attacks" on the Romney/Ryan ticket were gross misrepresentations of policies and quotes taken out of context. I would have liked to hear why after 4 years (2 of which with a Democratic majority so Obama could pass essentially anything he wanted to) we don't have the things we were promised, while we're spending trillions of dollars over our revenue. Taxing those 120,000 families making an average of $8 million annually at, say, a ridiculous 48% in this case would erase a mere 30% of our 2011 deficit ALONE. Or, in other terms, would run the federal government from 1/1/2011 to 2/15/2011. If you don't think Ryan came off as incompetent regarding foreign policy when he was speaking nonsense about never using timelines because "they help our enemies" when they are an accepted fact of modern troop withdrawal in handover situations, being unable to present a single thing he and Romney would have done to stabilize the Middle East/Iran beyond "not what you guys did," not realizing virtually all our international allies including Afghans are on board with the withdrawal timetable, thinking it's bad to pull troops out of the most dangerous area in the world because it will put our troops in danger (this logic mandates total immediate withdrawal in reality), and not realizing that Iran is suffering under crippling sanctions, then you are in a strange place. These weren't misrepresentations, these were things Ryan actually said live on national television during the debate. Domestically everything is going to be pretty subjective because there are huge numbers of studies skewing things both ways (though I'd point out Ryan came off as a huge idiot for bashing the stimulus while requesting stimulus funds), but foreign policy? I'd have loved to see Huntsman in the chair instead, then we might have seen a competent discussion of foreign policy. Edit: I mean, if you compare Ryan's thoughts on foreign policy to the foreign policy debate between Huntsman and Gingrich in the primaries, it's honestly depressing how little he knows and understands. These Afghans on board with our withdrawal are the same ones turning rifles on foreign allies, right? Regardless of whether you think timelines help our enemies or not, do you think the Afghan forces are ready to completely take over security on their own? Ryan's point during that diatribe was to secure our gains. That is, NOT letting those thousands of military deaths be for absolutely nothing.
No, I don't think they will be ready to enforce our policies on their land in the next 5 years, the next 10 years, or even the next 25 years. I don't give a shit. We invaded a sovereign nation, shot a bunch of terrorists/extremists (as well as a bunch of civilians) and we are now somehow confused as to why there are still more and more people fighting against us. PROTIP: When you invade someone's country and kill a bunch of people there will always be people who want to kill you in return. I'm not making an argument for whether or not we can 'better' the country in 25 or 50 years. I'm not making an argument over whether or not the afghan government will have Taliban influences in it when we leave (I actually assume these influences never left). I'm saying that we never had any logical reason to go in and fight a guerrilla war alongside a frail and corrupt government against an enemy that bears no flag. The point is that our service men and women haven't been tasked with doing anything of a significant enough value to the United States or Afghanistan to justify the death toll. We are responsible for (by the lowest casualty count) 6 Afghan civilian deaths for every single person who died on 9/11. Explain to me what throwing away the lives of our soldiers is going to accomplish for us as a nation. Explain to me what this war on foreign soil is about, because I apparently don't understand the modern definition of defense and how it is so deeply intertwined with nation-building. Prior to 9/11 the US tried to stop Al Qaeda from killing US civilians (and other civilians around the world as well) largely by treating the terrorists as criminals and using police power to stop them. The US also tried using military resources to a limited degree (bombing training camps). None of these measures worked sufficiently well (hence 9/11).
So post 9/11 the idea was to completely remove Al Qaeda's HQ directly by military force. Since the group was being defended by the government of Afghanistan this necessitated going to war with that government. Most people didn't have a problem with this since the Taliban weren't nice people anyways.
After those goals were accomplished the nation-building began since just leaving would allow Al Qaeda groups in other nations and remnants of the Taliban to simply move back in. Nation-building was also seen as moral obligation since Afghanistan is a poor country to begin with and blowing their crap up didn't help matters.
Now, if you believe that the war in Afghanistan was a bad solution that's fine, but you need to provide a better alternative. Sometimes bad solutions are all you have and simply pointing out their flaws is not enough.
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On October 16 2012 04:30 Jormundr wrote:Show nested quote +On October 16 2012 00:45 DarK[A] wrote:On October 15 2012 23:59 TheTenthDoc wrote:On October 15 2012 23:42 DarK[A] wrote:On October 15 2012 23:03 paralleluniverse wrote:On October 15 2012 22:47 DarK[A] wrote: Whatever you guys do, PLEASE watch the debates, and be sure to fact-check them.
I missed the first Presidential debate and just finished watching / reading the transcript from the VP debate last night.
From what I heard, Obama got demolished at the first Presidential debate. In my opinion, Biden started the VP debate very strong, but didn't keep pace and ended up falling behind after the first 30 minutes or so. Ryan won that debate, but by a closer margin than Romney allegedly won the first Presidential debate. While I believe he won through actual debate, others might say it was from Biden looking childish by laughing and cutting Ryan off with mockery literally somewhere between 80 and 90 times instead of offering an actual argument.
Fun Fact: Despite VP Biden painting the Romney/Ryan ticket in a negative light with regards to abortion (which is a non issue anyway, no politician will ever actually act on it - it's political suicide), Biden voted to overturn Roe v. Wade when he served as a Senator. http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=330491¤tpage=793#15849Also, Ryan got absolutely demolished in that debate, he couldn't respond to any of the attacks made on him and Romney. The part on foreign policy, particularly on Iran and Afghanistan made Ryan look like he had no idea what's going on. I guess that's your personal opinion and you're entitled to it. Most of Biden's "attacks" on the Romney/Ryan ticket were gross misrepresentations of policies and quotes taken out of context. I would have liked to hear why after 4 years (2 of which with a Democratic majority so Obama could pass essentially anything he wanted to) we don't have the things we were promised, while we're spending trillions of dollars over our revenue. Taxing those 120,000 families making an average of $8 million annually at, say, a ridiculous 48% in this case would erase a mere 30% of our 2011 deficit ALONE. Or, in other terms, would run the federal government from 1/1/2011 to 2/15/2011. If you don't think Ryan came off as incompetent regarding foreign policy when he was speaking nonsense about never using timelines because "they help our enemies" when they are an accepted fact of modern troop withdrawal in handover situations, being unable to present a single thing he and Romney would have done to stabilize the Middle East/Iran beyond "not what you guys did," not realizing virtually all our international allies including Afghans are on board with the withdrawal timetable, thinking it's bad to pull troops out of the most dangerous area in the world because it will put our troops in danger (this logic mandates total immediate withdrawal in reality), and not realizing that Iran is suffering under crippling sanctions, then you are in a strange place. These weren't misrepresentations, these were things Ryan actually said live on national television during the debate. Domestically everything is going to be pretty subjective because there are huge numbers of studies skewing things both ways (though I'd point out Ryan came off as a huge idiot for bashing the stimulus while requesting stimulus funds), but foreign policy? I'd have loved to see Huntsman in the chair instead, then we might have seen a competent discussion of foreign policy. Edit: I mean, if you compare Ryan's thoughts on foreign policy to the foreign policy debate between Huntsman and Gingrich in the primaries, it's honestly depressing how little he knows and understands. These Afghans on board with our withdrawal are the same ones turning rifles on foreign allies, right? Regardless of whether you think timelines help our enemies or not, do you think the Afghan forces are ready to completely take over security on their own? Ryan's point during that diatribe was to secure our gains. That is, NOT letting those thousands of military deaths be for absolutely nothing.
No, I don't think they will be ready to enforce our policies on their land in the next 5 years, the next 10 years, or even the next 25 years. I don't give a shit. We invaded a sovereign nation, shot a bunch of terrorists/extremists (as well as a bunch of civilians) and we are now somehow confused as to why there are still more and more people fighting against us. PROTIP: When you invade someone's country and kill a bunch of people there will always be people who want to kill you in return. I'm not making an argument for whether or not we can 'better' the country in 25 or 50 years. I'm not making an argument over whether or not the afghan government will have Taliban influences in it when we leave (I actually assume these influences never left). I'm saying that we never had any logical reason to go in and fight a guerrilla war alongside a frail and corrupt government against an enemy that bears no flag. The point is that our service men and women haven't been tasked with doing anything of a significant enough value to the United States or Afghanistan to justify the death toll. We are responsible for (by the lowest casualty count) 6 Afghan civilian deaths for every single person who died on 9/11. Explain to me what throwing away the lives of our soldiers is going to accomplish for us as a nation. Explain to me what this war on foreign soil is about, because I apparently don't understand the modern definition of defense and how it is so deeply intertwined with nation-building. Let me take a swing at this. What you're missing is what 9/11 represented to US foreign policy. The attack was planned from the dark and neglected corners of the world, so that these obscure conflicts that you would say America should not care are precisely the areas where terrorism has fomented most actively. There is large agreement that the best way to stop terrorism is to have a prosperous, stable, strong government that encourages democratic and free market values. Hence the active nation-building started by Bush and continued and expanded by Obama.
You seem unaware that it was last Friday that the Obama administration announced it was expanding the War on Terror to Mali (hunting down the terrorists who attacked the embassy in Benghazi). The US isn't committing ground forces, but we will be arming and funding a militia of mixed African countries to occupy the country. Not that Romney would do anything very different, at least he isn't saying so.
What I'm trying to say is that the people who are really lost on foreign policy right now are liberal isolationists who think America should disengage from the world and only expand our influence if people want it. You don't have a leg to stand on in this election. Obama isn't that at all, he's been arguably more interventionist than Bush, it's just that people stopped bitching and moaning about it because he's a Democrat and they've been so traditionally reluctant that we broadly assume that if he says someone needs to be harshly interrogated or killed by a drone or invaded, then he probably means it.
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2nd Worst City in CA8938 Posts
On October 16 2012 05:22 coverpunch wrote:Show nested quote +On October 16 2012 04:30 Jormundr wrote:On October 16 2012 00:45 DarK[A] wrote:On October 15 2012 23:59 TheTenthDoc wrote:On October 15 2012 23:42 DarK[A] wrote:On October 15 2012 23:03 paralleluniverse wrote:On October 15 2012 22:47 DarK[A] wrote: Whatever you guys do, PLEASE watch the debates, and be sure to fact-check them.
I missed the first Presidential debate and just finished watching / reading the transcript from the VP debate last night.
From what I heard, Obama got demolished at the first Presidential debate. In my opinion, Biden started the VP debate very strong, but didn't keep pace and ended up falling behind after the first 30 minutes or so. Ryan won that debate, but by a closer margin than Romney allegedly won the first Presidential debate. While I believe he won through actual debate, others might say it was from Biden looking childish by laughing and cutting Ryan off with mockery literally somewhere between 80 and 90 times instead of offering an actual argument.
Fun Fact: Despite VP Biden painting the Romney/Ryan ticket in a negative light with regards to abortion (which is a non issue anyway, no politician will ever actually act on it - it's political suicide), Biden voted to overturn Roe v. Wade when he served as a Senator. http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=330491¤tpage=793#15849Also, Ryan got absolutely demolished in that debate, he couldn't respond to any of the attacks made on him and Romney. The part on foreign policy, particularly on Iran and Afghanistan made Ryan look like he had no idea what's going on. I guess that's your personal opinion and you're entitled to it. Most of Biden's "attacks" on the Romney/Ryan ticket were gross misrepresentations of policies and quotes taken out of context. I would have liked to hear why after 4 years (2 of which with a Democratic majority so Obama could pass essentially anything he wanted to) we don't have the things we were promised, while we're spending trillions of dollars over our revenue. Taxing those 120,000 families making an average of $8 million annually at, say, a ridiculous 48% in this case would erase a mere 30% of our 2011 deficit ALONE. Or, in other terms, would run the federal government from 1/1/2011 to 2/15/2011. If you don't think Ryan came off as incompetent regarding foreign policy when he was speaking nonsense about never using timelines because "they help our enemies" when they are an accepted fact of modern troop withdrawal in handover situations, being unable to present a single thing he and Romney would have done to stabilize the Middle East/Iran beyond "not what you guys did," not realizing virtually all our international allies including Afghans are on board with the withdrawal timetable, thinking it's bad to pull troops out of the most dangerous area in the world because it will put our troops in danger (this logic mandates total immediate withdrawal in reality), and not realizing that Iran is suffering under crippling sanctions, then you are in a strange place. These weren't misrepresentations, these were things Ryan actually said live on national television during the debate. Domestically everything is going to be pretty subjective because there are huge numbers of studies skewing things both ways (though I'd point out Ryan came off as a huge idiot for bashing the stimulus while requesting stimulus funds), but foreign policy? I'd have loved to see Huntsman in the chair instead, then we might have seen a competent discussion of foreign policy. Edit: I mean, if you compare Ryan's thoughts on foreign policy to the foreign policy debate between Huntsman and Gingrich in the primaries, it's honestly depressing how little he knows and understands. These Afghans on board with our withdrawal are the same ones turning rifles on foreign allies, right? Regardless of whether you think timelines help our enemies or not, do you think the Afghan forces are ready to completely take over security on their own? Ryan's point during that diatribe was to secure our gains. That is, NOT letting those thousands of military deaths be for absolutely nothing.
No, I don't think they will be ready to enforce our policies on their land in the next 5 years, the next 10 years, or even the next 25 years. I don't give a shit. We invaded a sovereign nation, shot a bunch of terrorists/extremists (as well as a bunch of civilians) and we are now somehow confused as to why there are still more and more people fighting against us. PROTIP: When you invade someone's country and kill a bunch of people there will always be people who want to kill you in return. I'm not making an argument for whether or not we can 'better' the country in 25 or 50 years. I'm not making an argument over whether or not the afghan government will have Taliban influences in it when we leave (I actually assume these influences never left). I'm saying that we never had any logical reason to go in and fight a guerrilla war alongside a frail and corrupt government against an enemy that bears no flag. The point is that our service men and women haven't been tasked with doing anything of a significant enough value to the United States or Afghanistan to justify the death toll. We are responsible for (by the lowest casualty count) 6 Afghan civilian deaths for every single person who died on 9/11. Explain to me what throwing away the lives of our soldiers is going to accomplish for us as a nation. Explain to me what this war on foreign soil is about, because I apparently don't understand the modern definition of defense and how it is so deeply intertwined with nation-building. Let me take a swing at this. What you're missing is what 9/11 represented to US foreign policy. The attack was planned from the dark and neglected corners of the world, so that these obscure conflicts that you would say America should not care are precisely the areas where terrorism has fomented most actively. There is large agreement that the best way to stop terrorism is to have a prosperous, stable, strong government that encourages democratic and free market values. Hence the active nation-building started by Bush and continued and expanded by Obama. You seem unaware that it was last Friday that the Obama administration announced it was expanding the War on Terror to Mali (hunting down the terrorists who attacked the embassy in Benghazi). The US isn't committing ground forces, but we will be arming and funding a militia of mixed African countries to occupy the country. Not that Romney would do anything very different, at least he isn't saying so. What I'm trying to say is that the people who are really lost on foreign policy right now are liberal isolationists who think America should disengage from the world and only expand our influence if people want it. You don't have a leg to stand on in this election. Obama isn't that at all, he's been arguably more interventionist than Bush, it's just that people stopped bitching and moaning about it because he's a Democrat and they've been so traditionally reluctant that we broadly assume that if he says someone needs to be harshly interrogated or killed by a drone or invaded, then he probably means it.
You can't compare Obama to Bush in this regard. Obama does not step on nearly as many toes when he decides to take action and has been putting more responsibility on the rest of the world. Also, liberals are not generally isolationist in regards to foreign policy, that would be libertarians. Liberals just don't believe the U.S. should be propping up dictators, assassinating democratically-elected leaders, getting into wars under false pretenses, etc.
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On October 16 2012 05:22 coverpunch wrote:Show nested quote +On October 16 2012 04:30 Jormundr wrote:On October 16 2012 00:45 DarK[A] wrote:On October 15 2012 23:59 TheTenthDoc wrote:On October 15 2012 23:42 DarK[A] wrote:On October 15 2012 23:03 paralleluniverse wrote:On October 15 2012 22:47 DarK[A] wrote: Whatever you guys do, PLEASE watch the debates, and be sure to fact-check them.
I missed the first Presidential debate and just finished watching / reading the transcript from the VP debate last night.
From what I heard, Obama got demolished at the first Presidential debate. In my opinion, Biden started the VP debate very strong, but didn't keep pace and ended up falling behind after the first 30 minutes or so. Ryan won that debate, but by a closer margin than Romney allegedly won the first Presidential debate. While I believe he won through actual debate, others might say it was from Biden looking childish by laughing and cutting Ryan off with mockery literally somewhere between 80 and 90 times instead of offering an actual argument.
Fun Fact: Despite VP Biden painting the Romney/Ryan ticket in a negative light with regards to abortion (which is a non issue anyway, no politician will ever actually act on it - it's political suicide), Biden voted to overturn Roe v. Wade when he served as a Senator. http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=330491¤tpage=793#15849Also, Ryan got absolutely demolished in that debate, he couldn't respond to any of the attacks made on him and Romney. The part on foreign policy, particularly on Iran and Afghanistan made Ryan look like he had no idea what's going on. I guess that's your personal opinion and you're entitled to it. Most of Biden's "attacks" on the Romney/Ryan ticket were gross misrepresentations of policies and quotes taken out of context. I would have liked to hear why after 4 years (2 of which with a Democratic majority so Obama could pass essentially anything he wanted to) we don't have the things we were promised, while we're spending trillions of dollars over our revenue. Taxing those 120,000 families making an average of $8 million annually at, say, a ridiculous 48% in this case would erase a mere 30% of our 2011 deficit ALONE. Or, in other terms, would run the federal government from 1/1/2011 to 2/15/2011. If you don't think Ryan came off as incompetent regarding foreign policy when he was speaking nonsense about never using timelines because "they help our enemies" when they are an accepted fact of modern troop withdrawal in handover situations, being unable to present a single thing he and Romney would have done to stabilize the Middle East/Iran beyond "not what you guys did," not realizing virtually all our international allies including Afghans are on board with the withdrawal timetable, thinking it's bad to pull troops out of the most dangerous area in the world because it will put our troops in danger (this logic mandates total immediate withdrawal in reality), and not realizing that Iran is suffering under crippling sanctions, then you are in a strange place. These weren't misrepresentations, these were things Ryan actually said live on national television during the debate. Domestically everything is going to be pretty subjective because there are huge numbers of studies skewing things both ways (though I'd point out Ryan came off as a huge idiot for bashing the stimulus while requesting stimulus funds), but foreign policy? I'd have loved to see Huntsman in the chair instead, then we might have seen a competent discussion of foreign policy. Edit: I mean, if you compare Ryan's thoughts on foreign policy to the foreign policy debate between Huntsman and Gingrich in the primaries, it's honestly depressing how little he knows and understands. These Afghans on board with our withdrawal are the same ones turning rifles on foreign allies, right? Regardless of whether you think timelines help our enemies or not, do you think the Afghan forces are ready to completely take over security on their own? Ryan's point during that diatribe was to secure our gains. That is, NOT letting those thousands of military deaths be for absolutely nothing.
No, I don't think they will be ready to enforce our policies on their land in the next 5 years, the next 10 years, or even the next 25 years. I don't give a shit. We invaded a sovereign nation, shot a bunch of terrorists/extremists (as well as a bunch of civilians) and we are now somehow confused as to why there are still more and more people fighting against us. PROTIP: When you invade someone's country and kill a bunch of people there will always be people who want to kill you in return. I'm not making an argument for whether or not we can 'better' the country in 25 or 50 years. I'm not making an argument over whether or not the afghan government will have Taliban influences in it when we leave (I actually assume these influences never left). I'm saying that we never had any logical reason to go in and fight a guerrilla war alongside a frail and corrupt government against an enemy that bears no flag. The point is that our service men and women haven't been tasked with doing anything of a significant enough value to the United States or Afghanistan to justify the death toll. We are responsible for (by the lowest casualty count) 6 Afghan civilian deaths for every single person who died on 9/11. Explain to me what throwing away the lives of our soldiers is going to accomplish for us as a nation. Explain to me what this war on foreign soil is about, because I apparently don't understand the modern definition of defense and how it is so deeply intertwined with nation-building. Let me take a swing at this. What you're missing is what 9/11 represented to US foreign policy. The attack was planned from the dark and neglected corners of the world, so that these obscure conflicts that you would say America should not care are precisely the areas where terrorism has fomented most actively. There is large agreement that the best way to stop terrorism is to have a prosperous, stable, strong government that encourages democratic and free market values. Hence the active nation-building started by Bush and continued and expanded by Obama. You seem unaware that it was last Friday that the Obama administration announced it was expanding the War on Terror to Mali (hunting down the terrorists who attacked the embassy in Benghazi). The US isn't committing ground forces, but we will be arming and funding a militia of mixed African countries to occupy the country. Not that Romney would do anything very different, at least he isn't saying so. What I'm trying to say is that the people who are really lost on foreign policy right now are liberal isolationists who think America should disengage from the world and only expand our influence if people want it. You don't have a leg to stand on in this election. Obama isn't that at all, he's been arguably more interventionist than Bush, it's just that people stopped bitching and moaning about it because he's a Democrat and they've been so traditionally reluctant that we broadly assume that if he says someone needs to be harshly interrogated or killed by a drone or invaded, then he probably means it. I fully understand that terrorism thrives in an uneducated populace guided by powerful religious and political leaders. It also thrives off of nationalism and blind hatred, two things we were GUARANTEED to inspire when we occupied the country. There was no benefit in committing to a large scale occupation of the country. I would be fine with bombing them over and over for 10 years. I would be fine with surgical strikes to take out perceived Al Qaeda cells and training camps. What I'm not in favor of is making our troops sit on the ground for 10 years with a target on their head to bolster an imagined 'freedom' for the people of a country 7000 miles away. I'm fully aware that neither candidate is anti war, and that no career politician would ever say "yeah we're just going to withdraw the troops immediately" because that would be political suicide.
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