Iraq & Syrian Civil Wars - Page 201
Forum Index > General Forum |
Please guys, stay on topic. This thread is about the situation in Iraq and Syria. | ||
{CC}StealthBlue
United States41117 Posts
| ||
Deleted User 183001
2939 Posts
President Obama said tonight he has authorized air strikes if necessary to protect American interests in Iraq. If the terrorist group ISIS, which is taking over parts of Iraq reaches Erbil, the president said he will call in US air strikes to protect American interests. The US has an embassy and other staffers in the city. Obama says will not allow US to be dragged into fighting another war in Iraq and combat troops will not return. The US sent cargo planes to drop pallets of humanitarian aid and supplies to stranded Iraqi citizens threatened by the militant Islamic group ISIS, U.S. officials said today. The airdrop mission has been completed, the president said in a statement from the White House. http://abcnews.go.com/International/obama-authorizes-air-strikes-iraq/story?id=24884633 On August 08 2014 09:29 Sermokala wrote: The peshmerga welcomed the us invasion of the country and have been nothing but apreciative to the help we gave them. They're loseing faith in the combined iraqi state for good reason. They've been treating the minorities a hell of a lot better then ISIS has done and better then the iraqi government can do for them. Their bad side comes out in force when it comes to syrian and turkish affiars with their kurdish minorities in those areas. Hmm... I wonder why they welcomed the US invasion to wreck things more. They were hoping the US would bring them an independent state, and IIRC that was on the table at one point heh. Peshmerga and other Kurdish militant/radical groups are ideologically-motivated and certainly not chill people. The "treatment" of minority religions isn't necessarily out of goodwill as it is that 1) most of them have no interest in killing persecuted civilians for shits and giggles and I think that says enough, 2) the Kurds are already very famous for past genocides against Christians and would never want to be implicated in that again, 3) they'd lose the little legitimacy/respect they're given prompting a very nasty response that the Turks and other would love to jump on, 4) they're protecting their own areas, it's just that it's mostly mountainous which is often a safer place to run to for refugees, 5) you can't stop the movement of 10,000s of people within their own country (let's not forget, they're still in Iraq), 6) the Kurds are under the dominion of Iraq and any such atrocity will be wholly repaid once the government gets back on its feet, and the Kurdish radicals learned that attacking other Iraqi citizens for "Kurdistan's" sake is a very stupid idea. Yes, there are many reasons why Kurdish radicals are not as bad towards religious minorities like genocidal mongrels like ISIS are. More than the Iraqi govt. is able to? You're very much correct. The power in current regime (Islamic Dawa) is a [former] Islamic terror group. You think they care about minorities? They're also incredibly weak, corrupt, and incompetent. Minority religious ethnic groups were better protected than anywhere else in the Mideast before the whole embargo and Iraq War. In fact, this was one of the more important policies of the previous governments. Also, why do you compare Peshmerga to ISIS in treatment of Christians/Yazidis? Of course it's better. Anyone is better. The whole existence of ISIS is focused on wiping out non-Muslims, specifically non-Sunnis. Peshmerga is almost entirely politically motivated, not religiously, and has no interest in committing large-scale massacres and genocide. Yes they're aggressive and have strong ideological beliefs, but they're not so monstrous. Their bad side comes out in force when it comes to syrian and turkish affiars with their kurdish minorities in those areas. Or you mean whenever it behooves them for their badside to come out. No, PKK (a dedicated radical nationalistic group) and Peshmerga in Turkey are even more radical than in today's Iraq. They are nationalistic radicals. To them, it is already a grave atrocity that where they live is Turkish territory. It's hardly "Turkey bothering them", because if it was, the US would be condemning Turkey for it. We gotta keep our 'allies' in line, ya know. In Iraq, while their country was fighting against the greatest known jihad in history and Kurds were exempted from any sort of conscription and war support, Peshmerga sided with Iran and Khomeini, not only siding with the craziest Islamic fanatic in modern history, but against their own country. I don't know about in Iraq, but in the US, we call that treason, and you will be indefinitely incarcerated and if you are an armed combatant you will be killed. In the north, Peshmerga, like Shiite radicals/adherents of Khomeini in the south, decided it was a good idea to fight as well. Kurds were happy they were exempted from the draft in a country of ~12 million at the time, but Kurdish radicals saw the Iran-Iraq War as a good opportunity to make things more chaotic. I hate to break it to you, but if your knowledge of Peshmerga, PKK, and other Kurdish radical groups is from 2014, then that's a terrible frame of reference. Just because they're fighting against a group so radical that they even creep out Al Qaeda and Saudi Arabia doesn't make them good guys all of a sudden. The Peshmerga serve their own interests, but thankfully, their interest to not be wiped out by ISIS has led them to fight against ISIS, who attacked them. But otherwise, if for example the fighting was going on in southern Iraq, you would not hear of a single Kurd joining in fighting except those who may be in the Iraqi army. Meanwhile, old Iraq was the most dedicated anti-Islamist state in the Mideast. We would never have heard of ISIS if Iraq wasn't absolutely devastated for a couple decades. | ||
tomatriedes
New Zealand5356 Posts
The foster parents of Isis and the other Sunni jihadi movements in Iraq and Syria are Saudi Arabia, the Gulf monarchies and Turkey. This doesn’t mean the jihadis didn’t have strong indigenous roots, but their rise was crucially supported by outside Sunni powers. The Saudi and Qatari aid was primarily financial, usually through private donations, which Richard Dearlove, the former head of MI6, says were central to the Isis takeover of Sunni provinces in northern Iraq: ‘Such things do not happen spontaneously.’ In a speech in London in July, he said the Saudi policy towards jihadis has two contradictory motives: fear of jihadis operating within Saudi Arabia, and a desire to use them against Shia powers abroad. He said the Saudis are ‘deeply attracted towards any militancy which can effectively challenge Shiadom’. It’s unlikely the Sunni community as a whole in Iraq would have lined up behind Isis without the support Saudi Arabia gave directly or indirectly to many Sunni movements. The same is true of Syria, where Prince Bandar bin Sultan, the former Saudi ambassador to Washington and head of Saudi intelligence from 2012 to February 2014, was doing everything he could to back the jihadi opposition until his dismissal. Fearful of what they’ve helped create, the Saudis are now veering in the other direction, arresting jihadi volunteers rather than turning a blind eye as they go to Syria and Iraq, but it may be too late. Saudi jihadis have little love for the House of Saud. On 23 July, Isis launched an attack on one of the last Syrian army strongholds in the northern province of Raqqa. It began with a suicide car-bomb attack; the vehicle was driven by a Saudi called Khatab al-Najdi who had put pictures on the car windows of three women held in Saudi prisons, one of whom was Hila al-Kasir, his niece. Turkey’s role has been different but no less significant than Saudi Arabia’s in aiding Isis and other jihadi groups. Its most important action has been to keep open its 510-mile border with Syria. This gave Isis, al-Nusra and other opposition groups a safe rear base from which to bring in men and weapons. The border crossing points have been the most contested places during the rebels’ ‘civil war within the civil war’. Most foreign jihadis have crossed Turkey on their way to Syria and Iraq. Precise figures are difficult to come by, but Morocco’s Interior Ministry said recently that 1122 Moroccan jihadists have entered Syria, including nine hundred who went in 2013, two hundred of whom were killed. Iraqi security suspects that Turkish military intelligence may have been heavily involved in aiding Isis when it was reconstituting itself in 2011. Reports from the Turkish border say Isis is no longer welcome, but with weapons taken from the Iraqi army and the seizure of Syrian oil and gasfields, it no longer needs so much outside help. http://zcomm.org/znetarticle/isis-consolidates/ | ||
ahswtini
Northern Ireland22208 Posts
| ||
ImFromPortugal
Portugal1368 Posts
On August 07 2014 23:47 JudicatorHammurabi wrote: Did the Iraqi army disband again or something? They've become quite a laughable and undisciplined force since they became "US-trained" (which says enough). They go from defeating Islamic history's greatest jihad and the scariest crisis to face the Arabs and Israelis, to being overrun by some primates. lol At least there was some good news from yesterday: http://www.presstv.ir/detail/2014/08/06/374310/240-isil-militants-killed-in-iraq/ Also, for the record since people are pretty new to things having to do with the Mideast, peshmerga are not exactly good guys. They're traditionally anti-Iraqi insurgents/terrorists. They're only fighting ISIS because ISIS is encroaching on them personally, not because they care about what's happening to Iraq. Anytime there's crisis they'll try to assert independence or w/e, fanatics attempting to represent otherwise normal Kurdish folks. Fortunately this time around, their hands are pretty tied down with these Islamic terrorists. But funny enough, desperate times make for unlikely allies, but I'm sure anyone who knows anything about history knows that. I for one hope they can get their independent state asap : D go Kurds! | ||
![]()
zatic
Zurich15342 Posts
| ||
ImFromPortugal
Portugal1368 Posts
On August 08 2014 19:08 zatic wrote: It's probably the first time the US is bombing the Middle East where practically no one will complain. ISIS will ![]() | ||
Derez
Netherlands6068 Posts
| ||
xM(Z
Romania5281 Posts
| ||
Roggay
Switzerland6320 Posts
On August 08 2014 19:20 Derez wrote: Even then its a half-a-loaf decision like Obama seems to continuously make them. From what's reported he only authorized air strikes to protect the cities where there are Americans, and to drop some food/water while claiming that 'America is coming to help'. Such a joke. Well, you can't blame them for not wanting to get too involved in this gigantic mess. And something is already better than nothing. These food/water drops are very important for these civilians. | ||
Derez
Netherlands6068 Posts
American inaction shows itself on a global scale as well, it's perceived as weak, unwilling to act and having lost all control over setting a global agenda. This while the US still is the only global superpower, and (following Kagan's piece) when a superpower retires the world starts slowly burning. I'm all for dropping food but its a failure of massive proportions that it even got to this point. | ||
Gorsameth
Netherlands21717 Posts
On August 08 2014 20:48 Derez wrote: It's complete incompetence and bad analysis. Obama's foreign policy doctrine at this point is mainly whining about how he can never catch a break. Bush handled the middle east very poorly but you can't say Obama is doing much better. Over the past few years there were a number of points where the US could have tried to make a difference in the Middle-East to contain IS (not letting Assad + Putin run circles around them, fund the FSA, leave a number of troops in Iraq somehow, start airstrikes earlier). American inaction shows itself on a global scale as well, it's perceived as weak, unwilling to act and having lost all control over setting a global agenda. This while the US still is the only global superpower, and (following Kagan's piece) when a superpower retires the world starts slowly burning. I'm all for dropping food but its a failure of massive proportions that it even got to this point. Oh come on. 1) the US is war weary. The people don't want another way so popular support is impossible to attain. Esp after the train wreck that was Iraq. 2) The only way to do more then some airstrikes is to put boots on the ground. At no point in history has invading the middle east ever worked out for anyone. You cant destroy something like ISIS with a war. Best cast scenario you beat their armies, kill a few important people and they flee back admits the civilian population and disappear for a couple of years before their right back at it. 3) Suppose you go and kick ISIS then what? Your going to occupy half of the middle east for a century while their culture sorts itself at gunpoint? Are you going to leave right away? cause that just means it all blows up again the moment your gone. You can stay a little while ofc but then what? constant guerrilla attacks, steadily growing resentment for the population until they force you to leave and then the next shit comes out of hiding and kicks up another storm? Oh wait we just had that in Iraq... Sad tho it may be there is no good answer to dealing with the conflict in the middle east. The entire region is held together only by the might of individual warlords and dictators to fuck up anyone who doesn't listen to them. You cant just impose glorious democracy on them. Shit don't work like that, we should know, we have been trying for a while now. | ||
Laserist
Turkey4269 Posts
| ||
Derez
Netherlands6068 Posts
On August 08 2014 21:28 Gorsameth wrote: Oh come on. 1) the US is war weary. The people don't want another way so popular support is impossible to attain. Esp after the train wreck that was Iraq. 2) The only way to do more then some airstrikes is to put boots on the ground. At no point in history has invading the middle east ever worked out for anyone. You cant destroy something like ISIS with a war. Best cast scenario you beat their armies, kill a few important people and they flee back admits the civilian population and disappear for a couple of years before their right back at it. 3) Suppose you go and kick ISIS then what? Your going to occupy half of the middle east for a century while their culture sorts itself at gunpoint? Are you going to leave right away? cause that just means it all blows up again the moment your gone. You can stay a little while ofc but then what? constant guerrilla attacks, steadily growing resentment for the population until they force you to leave and then the next shit comes out of hiding and kicks up another storm? Oh wait we just had that in Iraq... Sad tho it may be there is no good answer to dealing with the conflict in the middle east. The entire region is held together only by the might of individual warlords and dictators to fuck up anyone who doesn't listen to them. You cant just impose glorious democracy on them. Shit don't work like that, we should know, we have been trying for a while now. 1) The US being war weary is not an argument for what optimal foreign policy would be. It's not even a real limitation on Obama's powers as commander in chief seeing how he's a second term president with terrible approval ratings anyway. Next to that, you elect a president to lead, not to slavishly follow public opinion. 2) There have been, and are right now, plenty of options. To start with missed opportunities: - funding the FSA back in 2012 instead of in 2014, when there still was a relevant FSA. If it's possible now it was possible back then too. - limited airstrikes on Assad after the gas attacks instead of letting Putin and Assad take the moral high ground combined with the above. - Not crowning Maliki as the heir apparent in Iraq with the terrible consequences it had. - Not making ISIS airstrikes conditional on Maliki resigning with the Iraqi army falling apart - Not disbanding the entire iraqi army and replacing it with a shia force Current options: - Supplying the peshmerga with basic things like bullets, radios and bullet proof vests. They're probably the best short term bet to contain ISIS at least a little, and they are ineffective because they lack basic equipment. Can't be that complicated to land a couple of transport planes a week in kurdish territory. - Not limiting airstrikes to just protect the couple of hundred of americans in Erbil and Baghdad, instead actively support iraqi/kurdish troops. - Finally crack down on Turkey to close its border to jihadi's and crack down on countries allowing citizens to fund ISIS. 3) I'm not advocating invasion or imposition of democratic values. What I'm saying is that you should actually pick a side and make more than a marginal effort to support them. It's the same shit in Ukraine, Russia is driving tanks/APC's/BUK's across the border and the west 'stands with' ukraine but all we actually supply them are some MRE's. | ||
ImFromPortugal
Portugal1368 Posts
On August 08 2014 21:44 Laserist wrote: I'd say a good majority of the people commenting here is analyzing the situation wrong or partially wrong due to looking the situation from another planet. As a very close resident to middle-east(Turkey), the political sides and their actions are very different, and the motives are not as many posters referred. I would like to hear your take on this usses, what are the motives and which actions you are referring to. | ||
Reaper9
United States1724 Posts
On topic. US interests vary as does public opinions about war. We can't even handle our own economy right, so the logic is why focus on other places when we have so many issues at home? Russia tried the whole Middle East thing, when was the last time they re-committed their forces? (Or as I wryly note, the politicians did their best to drain the money out of the American people, so why would they spend their vacation money on some war, when they could be enjoying a Martini instead of actually solving actual problems >.>). The US government is what the world interacts with mostly or hears on the news (besides bullshit celebrities). They aren't saints, and neither are the companies that back them. Their main interest is capital gain, and some countries happen to supply it. Of course, one can argue prestige can be gained by committing troops on the ground ( and then losing it when we inevitably fuck up). I approve of the Humanitarian aid, very much so. Weapons kill people (people die when they are killed >.> for you anime fans) ... of course I am aware if the Coalition of Kurdish forces fail, there will be slaughter. It's probably a question with no right answers. Morally right/socially/culturally acceptable, sure we should stop ISIS. And yes American weapons manufacturers probably had a field day arming the Middle East region, all for the sake of profit, disgusting. When the USA spent at least hundreds of millions a day bombing the crap out of the Middle East, it puts a strain on the economy in other sectors, while the arms dealers profit, lovely. Also, USA government interests place American lives first (aka our troops), and before that, themselves. Cold, but pretty sure that's how it goes. Well, we'll see what unfolds, and what Obama's advisers come up with. | ||
mahrgell
Germany3943 Posts
| ||
Derez
Netherlands6068 Posts
Roosevelt's view on WW2: Even if the United States faced no immediate danger of military attack, Roosevelt argued, if Hitler, Mussolini, and Imperial Japan were allowed to have their way, the world would be a “shabby and dangerous place to live in—yes, even for Americans to live in.” America would become a “lone island” in a world dominated by the “philosophy of force.” The “institutions of democracy” would be placed at risk even if America’s security was not, because America would have to become an armed camp to defend itself. Roosevelt urged Americans to look beyond their immediate physical security. “There comes a time in the affairs of men,” he said, “when they must prepare to defend, not their homes alone, but the tenets of faith and humanity on which their churches, their governments, and their very civilization are founded. The defense of religion, of democracy, and of good faith among nations is all the same fight. To save one we must now make up our minds to save all.” Bush sr. on Iraq: Other Bush advisers, however, led by Brent Scowcroft, saw things differently. Saddam’s invasion, they believed, was “the first test of the postwar system.” For half a century the United States had taken the lead role in deterring and punishing would-be aggressors. Although driving Iraqi forces out of Kuwait would be “costly and risky,” Scowcroft feared that failure to do so would set “a terrible precedent—one that would only accelerate violent centrifugal tendencies—in this emerging ‘post-Cold War’ era.” Appeasement of aggression in one region would breed aggression elsewhere. To President Bush, it was all reminiscent of the 1930s. This time, he recalled in his memoirs, “I wanted no appeasement.” Speaking to the American people on the eve of war, Bush described American objectives not in terms of national interests but in terms of a “new world order,” in which “the rule of law, not the law of the jungle, governs the conduct of nations.” Much like Roosevelt in 1939, he argued that “a world in which brutality and lawlessness are allowed to go unchecked isn’t the kind of world we’re going to want to live in.” Clinton: The United States, in short, was the “indispensable nation,” as Bill Clinton would proclaim—indispensable, that is, to the preservation of a liberal world order. Such was the thinking behind most of Clinton’s foreign policy initiatives: the enlargement of NATO, which included the extension of unprecedented military guarantees to such nations as Poland, the Czech Republic, and the Baltic states; the billions sent to try to save Boris Yeltsin’s faltering democratic experiment in Russia; and the intense focus on containing North Korea, Iraq, and Iran, designated as “rogue states” because they defied the principles of a liberal world order. Conflicts in remote and troubled parts of the world were not considered irrelevant to American interests but were viewed within this broader context. After the massacre at Srebrenica in 1995, Clinton officials argued, according to David Halberstam, that “Serb aggression” was intolerable— not because it threatened American interests directly, which obviously it did not, but because it tore at “the very fabric of the West.” http://www.newrepublic.com/article/117859/allure-normalcy-what-america-still-owes-world Full article if you're interested. Kagan is hawkish at times, but I find the argument he makes very persuasive. Constructing the US national interest as 'is X a direct threat to the US mainland' is narrow and hurts the national interest in the long term. | ||
Reaper9
United States1724 Posts
Let me reinforce my statement, I am a side observer of most social issues with borderline indifference, because I know as long as I act as a good person, I will do good, but many things are things I alone cannot move or change. Therefore, I am simply content to read up on differences, listen to differing opinions, and construct an overall image of the issue in my head. I admit I had stronger views when the USA first committed forces in this region, in 2001. But I was but a child at the time, so my world-view was skewed by others. So we commit troops on the ground, and rush ISIS. As an earlier poster commented on, ISIS will simply put on civilian clothing (not hard to do, what I'm wearing at the moment is civilian clothing), and fade into the populace. They are morally monsters in our eyes, but they are just as human as the rest of us. Then, after the USA leaves, I suppose they'll come right back out. Again, morally right to stop ISIS. Of course. Economically and practically sound, in the eyes of the United States? Maybe yes, maybe no. | ||
Reaper9
United States1724 Posts
| ||
| ||