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Critical Thinking and Skepticism - Page 10

Forum Index > General Forum
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BruceLee6783
Profile Joined March 2007
United States196 Posts
May 03 2010 07:14 GMT
#181
Actually, the original distribution of odds is still in effect.


I disagree with this. The game show host has revealed what is behind only ONE of the doors. You may have chosen one door for yourself, but it's contents have not yet been revealed.

If he opened door number 3, you can now disregard door 3. The original distribution of odds no longer apply.
You have enemies? Good. It means you stood up for something.
ilovejonn
Profile Blog Joined August 2007
Canada2548 Posts
May 03 2010 07:15 GMT
#182
Ugh reminds me of Descartes and philosophy, which I just finished my finals for a few days ago.
Snowflakes in January, Heart warm like February, I wouldn't ordinarily..
XeliN
Profile Joined June 2009
United Kingdom1755 Posts
May 03 2010 07:16 GMT
#183
I do philosophy media, although "do" is slightly strong. I'm lazy as fuck and hardly go to lectures//read around the subject (although I've started reading Thus Said Zarathustra, I intend it to be the first philosophy book I will have read this year, if you don't count the God Delusion which you shouldn't ^^)
Adonai bless
Navi
Profile Joined November 2009
5286 Posts
May 03 2010 07:17 GMT
#184
the guy on the far right of the first youtube preview looks like Clark Kent lol

so-so imo, I've had enough of people preaching me their philosophy for this year though
Hey! Listen!
tinman
Profile Blog Joined May 2007
United States287 Posts
May 03 2010 07:18 GMT
#185
On May 03 2010 16:11 Lixler wrote:
I'm not demanding that anyone else's worldviews adhere to my logical system, only that my worldviews adhere to it. If anyone should want me to accept their worldview, then obviously they would have to demonstrate to me in some way that it is superior in some way to mine.


i wish that you had just said
Any faith-based worldview should be that in total if they want me to accept their worldview. If they want me to accept their worldview they shouldn't require evidence in certain conditions (e.g. evidence why God is fake) while not requiring evidence in other conditions (e.g. why God is real).


from the get-go. it would have saved me some time because i have absolutely no interest whatsoever in getting you to accept a worldview.
"Politics is an extravagance, an extravagance about grievances. And poetry is an extravagance about grief. And grievances are something that can be remedied, and griefs are irremediable."
XeliN
Profile Joined June 2009
United Kingdom1755 Posts
May 03 2010 07:20 GMT
#186
And you are right Lixlel, but tinman can still maintain or even argue more strongly that if belief with evidence at its roots rests and is inextricably linked to value judgements that are subjective then it is no better or worse than belief without evidence, or substitute "science" is no better than "faith" e.t.c
Adonai bless
tinman
Profile Blog Joined May 2007
United States287 Posts
May 03 2010 07:22 GMT
#187
On May 03 2010 15:54 XeliN wrote:
Tinman I'll give you an answer in the interest of debate, one should not belief without evidence as it is detrimental to the progression of mankind, also belief without evidence can be seen as having great influence in the violence, oppression and intolerance that we observe in the world on an every day basis.


sorry XeliN i missed that you had said this.

but you could probably guess what i have to say. i don't know why being detrimental to the progress of mankind (whatever that means) is a bad thing. i also kind of enjoy violence, oppression, and intolerance so i am willing to contribute to their continued flowering by whatever means is closest at hand.

the more fundamental problem though is providing evidence for the belief that one should not do something that hinders "the progression of mankind."
"Politics is an extravagance, an extravagance about grievances. And poetry is an extravagance about grief. And grievances are something that can be remedied, and griefs are irremediable."
XeliN
Profile Joined June 2009
United Kingdom1755 Posts
May 03 2010 07:22 GMT
#188
The trouble I find is that if you journey too far down this path you inevitably stumble into nothingness..
Adonai bless
tinman
Profile Blog Joined May 2007
United States287 Posts
May 03 2010 07:23 GMT
#189
so far i have been unable to gather evidence to the effect that stumbling into nothingness is an undesirable outcome.
"Politics is an extravagance, an extravagance about grievances. And poetry is an extravagance about grief. And grievances are something that can be remedied, and griefs are irremediable."
tinman
Profile Blog Joined May 2007
United States287 Posts
May 03 2010 07:24 GMT
#190
i'll let you know, though, if i come across anything.
"Politics is an extravagance, an extravagance about grievances. And poetry is an extravagance about grief. And grievances are something that can be remedied, and griefs are irremediable."
XeliN
Profile Joined June 2009
United Kingdom1755 Posts
May 03 2010 07:26 GMT
#191
Well then tinman the argument would run that there is no inherent value that makes belief with evidence superior to belief without evidence, however, if certain assumptions and understandings are granted such as "The search for truth is a valuable aim" "Evidence is a neccesary part of discerning truth" "the progression of manking, and minimising of suffering is a worthwhile pursuit" e.t.c then belief with evidence is very clearly greater.

As the vast majority of manking would agree to holding these assumptions or similar notions then it is very easy to argue why belief with evidence is better.

And you seem to be trying to force people into the position of arguing objectively whilst maintaining for yourself the luxury of subjectivity.
Adonai bless
tinman
Profile Blog Joined May 2007
United States287 Posts
May 03 2010 07:27 GMT
#192
i'm not the one who values objectivity.
"Politics is an extravagance, an extravagance about grievances. And poetry is an extravagance about grief. And grievances are something that can be remedied, and griefs are irremediable."
XeliN
Profile Joined June 2009
United Kingdom1755 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-05-03 07:33:09
May 03 2010 07:30 GMT
#193
Actually I'll edit, fine then if you do not value objectivity then why are you not willing to concede to an argument for the value of belief with evidence based on subjective values?
Adonai bless
tinman
Profile Blog Joined May 2007
United States287 Posts
May 03 2010 07:33 GMT
#194
i do value you, though, XeliN. you hold a special place in my cold black heart.
"Politics is an extravagance, an extravagance about grievances. And poetry is an extravagance about grief. And grievances are something that can be remedied, and griefs are irremediable."
XeliN
Profile Joined June 2009
United Kingdom1755 Posts
May 03 2010 07:33 GMT
#195
lol is it right above the tumour ?
Adonai bless
tinman
Profile Blog Joined May 2007
United States287 Posts
May 03 2010 07:34 GMT
#196
hahahahahaha... oh shit.

at any rate i am off to finish my paper. you know what they say about procrastination.
"Politics is an extravagance, an extravagance about grievances. And poetry is an extravagance about grief. And grievances are something that can be remedied, and griefs are irremediable."
XeliN
Profile Joined June 2009
United Kingdom1755 Posts
May 03 2010 07:35 GMT
#197
I used to but I stopped listening half way through....
Adonai bless
Severedevil
Profile Blog Joined April 2009
United States4839 Posts
May 03 2010 07:39 GMT
#198
On May 03 2010 16:14 BruceLee6783 wrote:
Show nested quote +
Actually, the original distribution of odds is still in effect.


I disagree with this. The game show host has revealed what is behind only ONE of the doors. You may have chosen one door for yourself, but it's contents have not yet been revealed.

If he opened door number 3, you can now disregard door 3. The original distribution of odds no longer apply.

There is a one-third chance that the prize is behind the door you picked (Door 1), and a 100% chance that one of Door 2 and Door 3 is empty.

You're suggesting that, if the host tells you which one of Door 2 and Door 3 is empty (or, if they're both empty, tells you one of them that's empty), the chance will somehow increase that Door 1 contains the prize. Nope. That could only be true if the chance that the prize is behind Door 1 depends on which of Door 2 and Door 3 the host opens.
My strategy is to fork people.
jalstar
Profile Blog Joined September 2009
United States8198 Posts
May 03 2010 07:47 GMT
#199
Case 1: (1/3 chance)

You pick the car. The host eliminates one of the two remaining doors (doesn't matter since they both have goats). If you stay, you win. If you switch, you lose.

Case 2: (2/3 chance)

You pick a goat. The host eliminates the other goat, leaving the car in the door you can switch to. If you stay, you lose. If you switch, you win.

Note that this depends on the host knowing where the car is and never eliminating it on accident or on purpose. If the host eliminates a door at random, you have a 1/3 chance of winning by staying, a 1/3 chance of winning by switching, and a 1/3 chance that you lose either way (proof left to interested reader)
phyren
Profile Blog Joined October 2009
United States1067 Posts
May 03 2010 07:50 GMT
#200

On May 03 2010 16:14 BruceLee6783 wrote:
Show nested quote +
Actually, the original distribution of odds is still in effect.


I disagree with this. The game show host has revealed what is behind only ONE of the doors. You may have chosen one door for yourself, but it's contents have not yet been revealed.

If he opened door number 3, you can now disregard door 3. The original distribution of odds no longer apply.


Severedevil pretty much addresses this, but I can see why it would seem strange. Honestly though, just try it. Take like 3 pieces of paper or some such and write prize on the back of one of them and do this with a friend. Switch is the correct choice twice as often as not.
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