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On September 16 2017 02:54 The_Templar wrote:
I think sOs can win, but it's going to be very difficult. I certainly wouldn't count him out after that Ro4 series.
We don't know, this is LotV not HotS, so they didn't meet a lot like they did before, samples size is too small.
Maybe sOs can win 4 macro games against Bogus, who knows? Anyone expect Stork win a macro late PvT against Last? Same situation here I guess.
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On September 16 2017 02:54 The_Templar wrote:
I think sOs can win, but it's going to be very difficult. I certainly wouldn't count him out after that Ro4 series.
I said he was gonna win the ro4 series and then get trashed in the final though :D
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Really great game by sOs. I hope that he will qualify for Blizzcon rather than Byun or Maru.
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Very strong display of sOs, he always seemed on top of the game and right in INnoVation's mind - sad that INno's superior mechanics were superior in the end. 
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Thb in the end he didn't really win with mechanics but because sOs mindgamed himself....
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As long as he does well later in the season, I dot mind. The gsl dream can continue later
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On September 17 2017 03:56 swissman777 wrote:
As long as he does well later in the season, I dot mind. The gsl dream can continue later
But it was really close, he actually throw the GSL champion to Bogus. Hopefully there will be enough GSL/SSL for him next year to complete the circle.
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It seems, sOs is ALMOST qualified for BlizzCon. After today's qualifiers, ByuN is out of the race.
So the only contenders for the 8th place are:
sOs 5000
Maru 4650
aLive 4625
Classic 4425
Rogue 4325
sOs will be eliminated only if the other contenders earn by 350 points more than him (and it already counts the 225, they got for qualifying) in SuperTournament 2.
If sOs wins in round 1, he will be guaranteed 225+225 points, so they would need to earn by 350+225 points more than him (450), so at least 1025 points. The winner gets 1500 points, the second gets 1050 points. If sOs wins in round 2, they would need to get at least 1250 points.
So if sOs wins in round 1, but not in round 2 and
- Maru gets to the finals, Maru goes to BlizzCon, otherwise sOs.
- aLive loses in the finals, a tie break between aLive and sOs will be played.
- aLive wins the finals, aLive goes to BlizzCon, otherwise sOs.
- Classic wins the finals, Classic goes to BlizzCon, otherwise sOs.
- Rogue wins the finals, Rogue goes to BlizzCon, otherwise sOs.
If sOs wins in both rounds 1 and 2, but loses in the semifinals, Rogue is out and all Maru, aLive and Classic would need to win the finals to overtake sOs for BlizzCon.
If sOs loses in first round, Maru and aLive would need to get to the semifinals to overtake sOs, Classic and Rogue would need to get to the finals.
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Should Stats win against soO/Dark I wouldn't put it past sOs to make it to the finals
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He should beat Ryung realistically.
If Zest beats herO then he might lose in the ro8 as well.
But I don't think aLive, Classic, Rogue, or Maru are making the finals anwyay
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Does sOs win the 225 qualifying points even though he was invited?
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your Country52797 Posts
On September 17 2017 23:57 Nebuchad wrote:
Does sOs win the 225 qualifying points even though he was invited?
He has to advance a round.
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On September 17 2017 19:52 Diabolique wrote:
It seems, sOs is ALMOST qualified for BlizzCon. After today's qualifiers, ByuN is out of the race.
So the only contenders for the 8th place are:
sOs 5000
Classic 4425
Rogue 4325
So if sOs wins in round 1, but not in round 2 and
- Classic wins the finals, Classic goes to BlizzCon, otherwise sOs.
- Rogue wins the finals, Rogue goes to BlizzCon, otherwise sOs.
If sOs wins in both rounds 1 and 2, but loses in the semifinals, Rogue is out and Classic would need to win the finals to overtake sOs for BlizzCon.
Shorter version. So if sOs loses to herO, both Classic and Rogue would have to win the tournament. If sOs beats herO, Rogue is out.
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Classic sucks against zergs, so Rogue, Dark, or soO would probably trash him. There is no scenario where Classic can avoid zergs and still win, unless herO gets to the final.
I don't see a scenario where sOs doesn't finish on the 8th WCS spot, unless he loses to herO in the ro8
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I think tomorrow all will be settled
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Thanks to dia for his analysis the points! Really hope sOs makes it this time while going far in the super tournament.
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Seems like a Protoss with over 7000 MMR usually performs fine.
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Also herO has to play with sOs (again...) to reach final, I think whoever draw the group must hate herO so that they always put them in same half bracket.
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EPT
