I'm sure Varys would be very dutiful to his loyalties and do his best to keep the powers in KL so very well informed of a Dothraki threat if they did start to gather strength for an invasion. It's just too bad all those highest quality assassins he hired couldn't quite manage to kill the Targaryens and prevent it from getting that far. If only he still had powerful connections in Essos.
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Irrelevant Label
United States596 Posts
I'm sure Varys would be very dutiful to his loyalties and do his best to keep the powers in KL so very well informed of a Dothraki threat if they did start to gather strength for an invasion. It's just too bad all those highest quality assassins he hired couldn't quite manage to kill the Targaryens and prevent it from getting that far. If only he still had powerful connections in Essos. | ||
MajuGarzett
Canada635 Posts
On July 16 2012 03:33 ZasZ. wrote: I think you underestimate their chances. First of all, you assume that the seven kingdoms would somehow unite in order to fight them off. Knowing what we do about how "united" the seven kingdoms are, I think its far more likely that the realm the Dothraki decide to land at will be left to fend for themselves while everyone else tends to their own borders. Also, since the Dothraki are seen as mere "savages," there is also the chance that many lords won't take an invasion seriously. They call it the "narrow sea" for a reason, I doubt they would have much time to mobilize before the Dothraki manage to land. Second, they'd be dealing with 40,000 (less however many don't make the voyage) Dothraki screamers on horseback. I doubt even the seven kingdoms combined could field that many armored knights, the rest of their forces consist of militia men and peasants on foot. If anyone were stupid enough to engage them in the open field, they would be massacred. Hole up in their castles and the Dothraki rape and pillage the countryside. With winter coming, loss of any harvest is a rather huge blow. Last season we saw how scarce food was becoming in King's Landing, and that was even before they were attacked by Stannis. Imagine the conditions and heightened sense of fear if people knew Dothraki were prowling the countryside within leagues of the walls. True, they wouldn't be able to hold territories, but then again they wouldn't need to. Take what food and supplies they can find, burn and kill everything/everyone else, and move on to the next area, while the Westerosi starve to death in their castles. It wouldn't be long before some of the larger houses (probably Dorne or Highgarden) would be begging for an alliance, in which case the Dothraki are suddenly capable of sieging King's Landing. Not to mention there is the possibility that if he had lived Daenerys still would have managed to hatch her Dragons, which would definitely give them the ability to siege King's Landing after they grow to a large enough size. The Lannisters dodged a bigger bullet than they know when Khal Drogo died. If the Westerosi just burned all their crops before the Dothraki arrived the Dothraki would starve to death quite quickly. Also, I doubt that the Dothraki would be able to deal with the onset of winter. | ||
gurrpp
United States437 Posts
On July 16 2012 04:40 Irrelevant Label wrote: I agree that the Dothraki would not have won Westeros without extra alliances for various reasons but keep in mind when thinking in terms of numbers that the Dothraki 40k is worth a lot more than a Westerosi 40k. That is 40k professional warrior mounted archers vs. compositions that usually consist of somewhere in the vicinity of >90% unmounted militia. Peasants handed a spear. The knights beat Dothraki handily on a man per man basis and the better man-at-arms would at hold their own, but the rest would be very outmatched. I'm sure Varys would be very dutiful to his loyalties and do his best to keep the powers in KL so very well informed of a Dothraki threat if they did start to gather strength for an invasion. It's just too bad all those highest quality assassins he hired couldn't quite manage to kill the Targaryens and prevent it from getting that far. If only he still had powerful connections in Essos. It doesn't really take a spymaster to sniff out a gathering armada. I'm certain that the dothraki would be formidable as skirmishers, but there's only so much they can do against a more disciplined corps of foot archers/crossbowmen in an open battle. It will also be hard for the dothraki to fight anywhere except on open ground, if they want to make use of their light cavalry. The main problem they will face, though, is how the dothraki stay supplied, since their military force is mounted. If they raid lightly defended settlements or forage they get slowed down and lose cohesion. If they try to bring their baggage train with them they'll be slowed down immensely, since as far as I can tell only the warriors ride horses. | ||
Euronyme
Sweden3804 Posts
On July 16 2012 05:29 MajuGarzett wrote: + Show Spoiler + On July 16 2012 03:33 ZasZ. wrote: I think you underestimate their chances. First of all, you assume that the seven kingdoms would somehow unite in order to fight them off. Knowing what we do about how "united" the seven kingdoms are, I think its far more likely that the realm the Dothraki decide to land at will be left to fend for themselves while everyone else tends to their own borders. Also, since the Dothraki are seen as mere "savages," there is also the chance that many lords won't take an invasion seriously. They call it the "narrow sea" for a reason, I doubt they would have much time to mobilize before the Dothraki manage to land. Second, they'd be dealing with 40,000 (less however many don't make the voyage) Dothraki screamers on horseback. I doubt even the seven kingdoms combined could field that many armored knights, the rest of their forces consist of militia men and peasants on foot. If anyone were stupid enough to engage them in the open field, they would be massacred. Hole up in their castles and the Dothraki rape and pillage the countryside. With winter coming, loss of any harvest is a rather huge blow. Last season we saw how scarce food was becoming in King's Landing, and that was even before they were attacked by Stannis. Imagine the conditions and heightened sense of fear if people knew Dothraki were prowling the countryside within leagues of the walls. True, they wouldn't be able to hold territories, but then again they wouldn't need to. Take what food and supplies they can find, burn and kill everything/everyone else, and move on to the next area, while the Westerosi starve to death in their castles. It wouldn't be long before some of the larger houses (probably Dorne or Highgarden) would be begging for an alliance, in which case the Dothraki are suddenly capable of sieging King's Landing. Not to mention there is the possibility that if he had lived Daenerys still would have managed to hatch her Dragons, which would definitely give them the ability to siege King's Landing after they grow to a large enough size. The Lannisters dodged a bigger bullet than they know when Khal Drogo died. If the Westerosi just burned all their crops before the Dothraki arrived the Dothraki would starve to death quite quickly. Also, I doubt that the Dothraki would be able to deal with the onset of winter. Sounds like a pretty bad idea to burn your food when there's like a 10 year winter coming :/ | ||
MajuGarzett
Canada635 Posts
On July 16 2012 05:48 Euronyme wrote: Sounds like a pretty bad idea to burn your food when there's like a 10 year winter coming :/ True, but I think losing one harvest worth of crops would be okay since they've probably been stockpiling for a while. In any case, it's better than dying to the Dothraki. I guess the kingdoms that weren't attacked immediately could just harvest their crops before the Dothraki got there. | ||
Zahir
United States947 Posts
Much like the people of westeros, Europeans were united culturally and religiously, if not always politically.. And given the crusades, it seems evident that they were quite apt to unite against foes large enough to pose a threat to all Europe. And like westeros, Europe of the 13th century was bristling with walled towns, forts and castles. Subduing all these would have required dedicated seiges with massive supply lines to feed the besiegers, which would in turn be vulnerable to counter raids. Both European and Arab forces of the time were beginning to use such raids, in addition to scorched earth policies and adoption of Mongolian like cavalry tactics to force heavy losses on the invaders. On the other hand, the mongols had a much larger and better army, were undivided, had the capability if not the knack for seige warfare, and had the resources of the worlds largest land empire behind them. Perhaps most important, they had all the best trained and experienced military leadership in the world. Their propensity for trickery, subterfuge and ability to sow dissension, chaos and fear within the ranks of their enemies cannot be overstated. Now compare this situation to the dothraki vs westeros.... Outnumbered, unlike the Mongols. Lessened ability to call upon resources of their empire due to the narrow sea. Still able to take out any single westerosi army, or even an alliance of maybe up to three great houses... Mongolians were capable of routing much, much larger forces using range and stutter step micro, but the unfamiliar and varied terrain of westeros and logistical difficulties should be taken into account here. Still, fairly strong in a head on fight so there's that much. I must admit though, at the end of the day it seems unlikely that a single khalasar could hold significant territory for any significant length of time. The defenders would eventually push out the invaders through attrition, if nothing else. And yet. One advantage the dothraki did have that the mongols wouldnt have: danaerys targaryen. They had the rightful heir to all of westeros, the equivalent of a pope, holy roman emperor and French monarch rolled into one. Their ability to acquire allies and sway the populace to their cause throws this whole analysis into disarray. As always, the game of thrones is impossible to truly predict, given the shifting loyalties of westeros and the latent will of the people and nobles to see a targaryen retake the throne. The mad king may have squandered much of that lines prestige, but Rome was not destroyed in a day... thousand year old habits die hard. And the current ruler of westeros is certainly no figure to rally behind. | ||
beetlelisk
Poland2276 Posts
I'm at season 1 ep 4 and I just have to post to say how much I like Khaleesi getting her own stance against her brother. The guy's naive idiot lol. | ||
aokces
United States309 Posts
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Irrelevant Label
United States596 Posts
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kafkaesque
Germany2006 Posts
Also keep in mind that in an army (not a Dothraki army) only 1 out of 5 men is a trained warrior with proper weaponry and maybe one out of five hundred is a knight. Drogo's Dothraky army had 40.000 warriors, which is quite formidable and would suffice to kill most hosts on an open field. If Drogo had lived and swept in after the battle at King's Landing, the Seven Kingdoms could have been his. | ||
1ntrigue
Australia948 Posts
On July 16 2012 08:39 aokces wrote: Keep in mind all the Westeros kingdoms' armies by x10 in the series. Originally Robb and Renly only had 2,000 and 10,000 respectively (which is more realistic anyway compared to feudal armies). Kal Drogo's 40,000 is quite scary in comparison. Nah, the numbers you listed were not changed for the series. Drogo's 40k was a huge "professional" light cavalry/mounted archer force, while Westeros' forces were 90%+ militia, some trained knights, some mercenaries and some trained footmen/archers. I think the general feeling in GoT/CoK was that if Westeros united against Drogo in one big battle, they'd surely win. Drogo, however, would've had Dany and possibly Varys/Illyrio to pull alliances. Also, Westeros would've been sluggish to respond, to say the least. | ||
Euronyme
Sweden3804 Posts
On July 16 2012 09:43 Irrelevant Label wrote: That is sort of book discussion, but numbers were not changed for the show. Renly had the same 100k, not 10. Yeah I had to look it up as well. It's kind of weird though, 'cause I heard that Westeros is medieval Great Britain basically, and the Stormlands (where Renly got his troops from) is like what.. Essex?.. In perspective the British population was about 2 million during the middle ages. Yes I realize it's a saga with dragons and shit, but for the most part GRRM is fairly true to the medieval British society afaik. | ||
Sub40APM
6336 Posts
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Whole
United States6046 Posts
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aokces
United States309 Posts
An interesting comparison here: http://gameofthrones.wikia.com/wiki/Forum:Army_size_and_numbers_discrepancies | ||
gurrpp
United States437 Posts
On July 16 2012 06:00 Zahir wrote: What a scintillating what if scenario. Reminds me of the alternate history discussions I sometimes read, particularly the one about what wouldve happened if the Mongols had gone through with their expansion into Europe after the death of ogedei. General consensus was that at their peak, the mongols would have been able to devastate europe due to their ability to take apart any european army in the field like jaedong's mutalisks taking apart a d rank iccup player. They would have been able to lay waste to everything in europe that was not a fort, walled town or castle, and many of those would have fallen too. However there is heated debate as to what, If any territories the mongols would been able to hold in Europe after claiming the countryside. Much like the people of westeros, Europeans were united culturally and religiously, if not always politically.. And given the crusades, it seems evident that they were quite apt to unite against foes large enough to pose a threat to all Europe. And like westeros, Europe of the 13th century was bristling with walled towns, forts and castles. Subduing all these would have required dedicated seiges with massive supply lines to feed the besiegers, which would in turn be vulnerable to counter raids. Both European and Arab forces of the time were beginning to use such raids, in addition to scorched earth policies and adoption of Mongolian like cavalry tactics to force heavy losses on the invaders. On the other hand, the mongols had a much larger and better army, were undivided, had the capability if not the knack for seige warfare, and had the resources of the worlds largest land empire behind them. Perhaps most important, they had all the best trained and experienced military leadership in the world. Their propensity for trickery, subterfuge and ability to sow dissension, chaos and fear within the ranks of their enemies cannot be overstated. Now compare this situation to the dothraki vs westeros.... Outnumbered, unlike the Mongols. Lessened ability to call upon resources of their empire due to the narrow sea. Still able to take out any single westerosi army, or even an alliance of maybe up to three great houses... Mongolians were capable of routing much, much larger forces using range and stutter step micro, but the unfamiliar and varied terrain of westeros and logistical difficulties should be taken into account here. Still, fairly strong in a head on fight so there's that much. I must admit though, at the end of the day it seems unlikely that a single khalasar could hold significant territory for any significant length of time. The defenders would eventually push out the invaders through attrition, if nothing else. And yet. One advantage the dothraki did have that the mongols wouldnt have: danaerys targaryen. They had the rightful heir to all of westeros, the equivalent of a pope, holy roman emperor and French monarch rolled into one. Their ability to acquire allies and sway the populace to their cause throws this whole analysis into disarray. As always, the game of thrones is impossible to truly predict, given the shifting loyalties of westeros and the latent will of the people and nobles to see a targaryen retake the throne. The mad king may have squandered much of that lines prestige, but Rome was not destroyed in a day... thousand year old habits die hard. And the current ruler of westeros is certainly no figure to rally behind. I don't think its fair to compare the dothraki to the mongols. Dothraki, at best, are superstitious, stubborn nomads. The mongolian military was much more disciplined and better equipped, whereas even calling the dothraki horde a military seems a bit of a stretch to me. Even in the free cities, the dothraki seem more like a nuisance than a genuine threat, since the free cities elect to choose to pay a tribute to the dothraki, rather than the more expensive option of driving them away. | ||
SergioCQH
United States143 Posts
On July 16 2012 10:50 Euronyme wrote: Yeah I had to look it up as well. It's kind of weird though, 'cause I heard that Westeros is medieval Great Britain basically, and the Stormlands (where Renly got his troops from) is like what.. Essex?.. In perspective the British population was about 2 million during the middle ages. Yes I realize it's a saga with dragons and shit, but for the most part GRRM is fairly true to the medieval British society afaik. Actually, Westeros is about the size of South America, per GRRM. | ||
Euronyme
Sweden3804 Posts
On July 16 2012 12:47 gurrpp wrote: + Show Spoiler + On July 16 2012 06:00 Zahir wrote: What a scintillating what if scenario. Reminds me of the alternate history discussions I sometimes read, particularly the one about what wouldve happened if the Mongols had gone through with their expansion into Europe after the death of ogedei. General consensus was that at their peak, the mongols would have been able to devastate europe due to their ability to take apart any european army in the field like jaedong's mutalisks taking apart a d rank iccup player. They would have been able to lay waste to everything in europe that was not a fort, walled town or castle, and many of those would have fallen too. However there is heated debate as to what, If any territories the mongols would been able to hold in Europe after claiming the countryside. Much like the people of westeros, Europeans were united culturally and religiously, if not always politically.. And given the crusades, it seems evident that they were quite apt to unite against foes large enough to pose a threat to all Europe. And like westeros, Europe of the 13th century was bristling with walled towns, forts and castles. Subduing all these would have required dedicated seiges with massive supply lines to feed the besiegers, which would in turn be vulnerable to counter raids. Both European and Arab forces of the time were beginning to use such raids, in addition to scorched earth policies and adoption of Mongolian like cavalry tactics to force heavy losses on the invaders. On the other hand, the mongols had a much larger and better army, were undivided, had the capability if not the knack for seige warfare, and had the resources of the worlds largest land empire behind them. Perhaps most important, they had all the best trained and experienced military leadership in the world. Their propensity for trickery, subterfuge and ability to sow dissension, chaos and fear within the ranks of their enemies cannot be overstated. Now compare this situation to the dothraki vs westeros.... Outnumbered, unlike the Mongols. Lessened ability to call upon resources of their empire due to the narrow sea. Still able to take out any single westerosi army, or even an alliance of maybe up to three great houses... Mongolians were capable of routing much, much larger forces using range and stutter step micro, but the unfamiliar and varied terrain of westeros and logistical difficulties should be taken into account here. Still, fairly strong in a head on fight so there's that much. I must admit though, at the end of the day it seems unlikely that a single khalasar could hold significant territory for any significant length of time. The defenders would eventually push out the invaders through attrition, if nothing else. And yet. One advantage the dothraki did have that the mongols wouldnt have: danaerys targaryen. They had the rightful heir to all of westeros, the equivalent of a pope, holy roman emperor and French monarch rolled into one. Their ability to acquire allies and sway the populace to their cause throws this whole analysis into disarray. As always, the game of thrones is impossible to truly predict, given the shifting loyalties of westeros and the latent will of the people and nobles to see a targaryen retake the throne. The mad king may have squandered much of that lines prestige, but Rome was not destroyed in a day... thousand year old habits die hard. And the current ruler of westeros is certainly no figure to rally behind. I don't think its fair to compare the dothraki to the mongols. Dothraki, at best, are superstitious, stubborn nomads. The mongolian military was much more disciplined and better equipped, whereas even calling the dothraki horde a military seems a bit of a stretch to me. Even in the free cities, the dothraki seem more like a nuisance than a genuine threat, since the free cities elect to choose to pay a tribute to the dothraki, rather than the more expensive option of driving them away. Or maybe they simply cannot drive them away, as they're really OP. All they can do is to pay tribute and pray that the bronies will accept it. | ||
Irrelevant Label
United States596 Posts
On July 16 2012 12:53 SergioCQH wrote: Actually, Westeros is about the size of South America, per GRRM. Yeah, the world is bigger than the easy "like western Europe" or worse, "like Britain" assumption leads one to think. It's about 1000 leagues, or 5500 km from KL to the Wall. Visual: + Show Spoiler + ![]() | ||
Maginor
Norway505 Posts
On July 16 2012 12:47 gurrpp wrote: + Show Spoiler + On July 16 2012 06:00 Zahir wrote: What a scintillating what if scenario. Reminds me of the alternate history discussions I sometimes read, particularly the one about what wouldve happened if the Mongols had gone through with their expansion into Europe after the death of ogedei. General consensus was that at their peak, the mongols would have been able to devastate europe due to their ability to take apart any european army in the field like jaedong's mutalisks taking apart a d rank iccup player. They would have been able to lay waste to everything in europe that was not a fort, walled town or castle, and many of those would have fallen too. However there is heated debate as to what, If any territories the mongols would been able to hold in Europe after claiming the countryside. Much like the people of westeros, Europeans were united culturally and religiously, if not always politically.. And given the crusades, it seems evident that they were quite apt to unite against foes large enough to pose a threat to all Europe. And like westeros, Europe of the 13th century was bristling with walled towns, forts and castles. Subduing all these would have required dedicated seiges with massive supply lines to feed the besiegers, which would in turn be vulnerable to counter raids. Both European and Arab forces of the time were beginning to use such raids, in addition to scorched earth policies and adoption of Mongolian like cavalry tactics to force heavy losses on the invaders. On the other hand, the mongols had a much larger and better army, were undivided, had the capability if not the knack for seige warfare, and had the resources of the worlds largest land empire behind them. Perhaps most important, they had all the best trained and experienced military leadership in the world. Their propensity for trickery, subterfuge and ability to sow dissension, chaos and fear within the ranks of their enemies cannot be overstated. Now compare this situation to the dothraki vs westeros.... Outnumbered, unlike the Mongols. Lessened ability to call upon resources of their empire due to the narrow sea. Still able to take out any single westerosi army, or even an alliance of maybe up to three great houses... Mongolians were capable of routing much, much larger forces using range and stutter step micro, but the unfamiliar and varied terrain of westeros and logistical difficulties should be taken into account here. Still, fairly strong in a head on fight so there's that much. I must admit though, at the end of the day it seems unlikely that a single khalasar could hold significant territory for any significant length of time. The defenders would eventually push out the invaders through attrition, if nothing else. And yet. One advantage the dothraki did have that the mongols wouldnt have: danaerys targaryen. They had the rightful heir to all of westeros, the equivalent of a pope, holy roman emperor and French monarch rolled into one. Their ability to acquire allies and sway the populace to their cause throws this whole analysis into disarray. As always, the game of thrones is impossible to truly predict, given the shifting loyalties of westeros and the latent will of the people and nobles to see a targaryen retake the throne. The mad king may have squandered much of that lines prestige, but Rome was not destroyed in a day... thousand year old habits die hard. And the current ruler of westeros is certainly no figure to rally behind. I don't think its fair to compare the dothraki to the mongols. Dothraki, at best, are superstitious, stubborn nomads. The mongolian military was much more disciplined and better equipped, whereas even calling the dothraki horde a military seems a bit of a stretch to me. Even in the free cities, the dothraki seem more like a nuisance than a genuine threat, since the free cities elect to choose to pay a tribute to the dothraki, rather than the more expensive option of driving them away. This seems to indicate that driving them away would be very hard, and thus they elect to pay them off instead hoping that that will work. | ||
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