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The 2014 NHL Season - Two Accounts, No Cups - Page 205

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LeeDawg
Profile Joined April 2012
United States1306 Posts
June 03 2014 06:20 GMT
#4081
everyone please pick the kings. If you're right, then you're right. If you're wrong, then your hate will propel one of my teams (I'm a die hard fan of the Jets, Rangers, and Pirates) to the first title since I was able to comprehend what the hell that means.

PLEASE GIVE ME YOUR HATE.
:-)
Mordanis
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States893 Posts
June 03 2014 07:41 GMT
#4082
On June 03 2014 15:20 LeeDawg wrote:
everyone please pick the kings. If you're right, then you're right. If you're wrong, then your hate will propel one of my teams (I'm a die hard fan of the Jets, Rangers, and Pirates) to the first title since I was able to comprehend what the hell that means.

PLEASE GIVE ME YOUR HATE.

No hate to give. Your team simply has no chance. Sorry, I was rooting against the Kings the whole way.
I love the smell of napalm in the morning... it smells like... victory. -_^ Favorite SC2 match ->Liquid`HerO vs. SlayerS CranK g.1 @MLG Summer Championship
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
June 03 2014 08:19 GMT
#4083
le kings went 7 games against everybody would be a huge surprise to see them take it in a short one
We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
L1ghtning
Profile Joined July 2013
Sweden353 Posts
June 03 2014 15:49 GMT
#4084
On June 03 2014 13:13 StarStruck wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 03 2014 06:43 GolemMadness wrote:
On June 03 2014 06:08 L1ghtning wrote:
On June 02 2014 05:26 Kevin_Sorbo wrote:
On June 02 2014 04:56 L1ghtning wrote:
On June 02 2014 00:46 QuanticHawk wrote:
[image loading]
[image loading]
hahahaha

On June 01 2014 23:16 L1ghtning wrote:
Although I see the Rangers as the underdogs no matter what, I think they would have a better shot against LA. LA could struggle defensively because of the Rangers speed, and the Rangers are better defensively than any of the teams that LA has faced in this playoffs, so they won't be able to rely on their offensive zone efficiency which along with their defense has carried them in all their series.

Although I think a LA - NYR series would be fairly evenly matched, I can't say the same thing for a CHI - NYR series. Chicago has skilled enough players to dismantle the Rangers, and if they can score 3-4 goals every game against LA's defense, they should accomplish the equivalent against the Rangers, and I can't see the Rangers doing the same in return.


La's dmen are all pretty mobile though. I think Chicago would have much more trouble with the Rangers offense.

also apparently DeBoer and the Devils were somewhat open to Brodeur returning. Jesus. If they don't lock up Schneider the second he is elligible this summer they are nuts.

LA struggled against SJ when they were keeping a fast pace in the regular season and at times in the playoffs. Speed seems to be the most effective way to deal with LA, not necessarily because they're slow, but fast paced games doesn't suit them because it gives them less time to organize themselves, and when they're not organized, they're not a strong team. I think the Rangers is a stronger team than LA on paper, if you look on individual players, so if they're unable to stick to their organized playstyle, they're in big trouble. The Rangers might not be as strong as the Sharks and the Ducks and the Hawks, but they might be better equiped at dealing with LA.


I cant see how the rangers are the better team on paper honestly. This is not 2004 anymore.

The rangers have more skilled players individually, better skating, playmaking, stickhandling and so on. Do you honestly expect LA to go out on the ice and dominate the puck possession, like they failed to do in all the 3 prior series?

The rangers is the team that most likely will lead the play. They may not get the most dangerous chances, and they may not win, but they will most likely get more puck possession than LA, because they have more skilled players. That's why LA will be in trouble if the rangers with their speed manages to disrupt LA's organized defense. It will be interesting to see whether this happens or not.


How does NYR have more skilled players than LA...?


Simple: he's talking out of his ass lol.

I couldn't care less about you disagreeing, seeing as you haven't even backed up your opinion. Leave the personal insults out of here.
Jer99
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
Canada8159 Posts
June 03 2014 17:37 GMT
#4085
On June 03 2014 11:05 oneofthem wrote:
people have been underrating the rangers speed all post season and it's not going to stop until they win. in baseball you have something called Batting Average on Balls in Play, which is at least somewhat random. seems analogous to puck luck and whatnot factors affecting shot conversion % in hockey. rangers haven't been very good at converting scoring chances but that may change at any time.

regular season stats, which is largely what people are judging the odds on, is compiled under a different intensity of play and probably won't matter that much here. it will not be a short series and i don't really see how one can be confident in the kings to blow the rangers out of the water.


I feel as though the Kings have the best chances to conversion % out of all the teams, just watching them it feels like everytime they get the puck in front of the net is seems to go in. They really like to skate around the net and throw it in front, hoping someone is there to clap it in

On June 04 2014 00:49 L1ghtning wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 03 2014 13:13 StarStruck wrote:
On June 03 2014 06:43 GolemMadness wrote:
On June 03 2014 06:08 L1ghtning wrote:
On June 02 2014 05:26 Kevin_Sorbo wrote:
On June 02 2014 04:56 L1ghtning wrote:
On June 02 2014 00:46 QuanticHawk wrote:
[image loading]
[image loading]
hahahaha

On June 01 2014 23:16 L1ghtning wrote:
Although I see the Rangers as the underdogs no matter what, I think they would have a better shot against LA. LA could struggle defensively because of the Rangers speed, and the Rangers are better defensively than any of the teams that LA has faced in this playoffs, so they won't be able to rely on their offensive zone efficiency which along with their defense has carried them in all their series.

Although I think a LA - NYR series would be fairly evenly matched, I can't say the same thing for a CHI - NYR series. Chicago has skilled enough players to dismantle the Rangers, and if they can score 3-4 goals every game against LA's defense, they should accomplish the equivalent against the Rangers, and I can't see the Rangers doing the same in return.


La's dmen are all pretty mobile though. I think Chicago would have much more trouble with the Rangers offense.

also apparently DeBoer and the Devils were somewhat open to Brodeur returning. Jesus. If they don't lock up Schneider the second he is elligible this summer they are nuts.

LA struggled against SJ when they were keeping a fast pace in the regular season and at times in the playoffs. Speed seems to be the most effective way to deal with LA, not necessarily because they're slow, but fast paced games doesn't suit them because it gives them less time to organize themselves, and when they're not organized, they're not a strong team. I think the Rangers is a stronger team than LA on paper, if you look on individual players, so if they're unable to stick to their organized playstyle, they're in big trouble. The Rangers might not be as strong as the Sharks and the Ducks and the Hawks, but they might be better equiped at dealing with LA.


I cant see how the rangers are the better team on paper honestly. This is not 2004 anymore.

The rangers have more skilled players individually, better skating, playmaking, stickhandling and so on. Do you honestly expect LA to go out on the ice and dominate the puck possession, like they failed to do in all the 3 prior series?

The rangers is the team that most likely will lead the play. They may not get the most dangerous chances, and they may not win, but they will most likely get more puck possession than LA, because they have more skilled players. That's why LA will be in trouble if the rangers with their speed manages to disrupt LA's organized defense. It will be interesting to see whether this happens or not.


How does NYR have more skilled players than LA...?


Simple: he's talking out of his ass lol.

I couldn't care less about you disagreeing, seeing as you haven't even backed up your opinion. Leave the personal insults out of here.


And you backed up your opinion how?

The rangers have more skilled players individually, better skating, playmaking, stickhandling and so on.
this is your own opinion; it doesn't back anything up.

Here are some stats:

- L.A. has 5 of the top 10 players in points, even though they only played 1 more game than the rangers.
- L.A. has 6 players either equal to or above the highest point ranger player
- L.A. has been getting 3.48 GPG compared to the 2.70 of NYR
- PP for L.A. is 25.4%, and 13.6% for NYR. P.K. sits at 85.9% for NYR vs the 81.2% for L.A.
- Quick has a save% of .906 and a G.A.A. of 2.86 vs the Lundqvist save% of .928 and G.A.A. of 2.03

Seems to me like L.A. has many more advantages going into this series over the rangers. The only category that the rangers edge out L.A. is in the goaltending departement.

I'm saying the Kings in 5
StrategyTaeJa #1 || @TL_Jer99 || "seeker seeked out his seeking"
sharkeyanti
Profile Blog Joined October 2009
United States1273 Posts
June 03 2014 18:58 GMT
#4086
In terms of the statistics and who is a better team, the Kings should win this series easily. But NYR has Lundqvist, and everyone has seen him steal plenty of games. NYR is also probably the best the East had to offer other than Boston, so it's not like they are terrible or anything. The momentum LAK has from their crazy 3 series so far might also help their cause.

While the speed of the Rangers is definitely a plus, the Kings have plenty of speed across all lines. It is interesting to see though that the two teams in the finals are

1. The best shot-differential team of the past few years, who has made three straight conference finals and could win 2 Cups in those years.
2. A coach in Vigneault who uses matchup and usage data as a main factor in his game plan.

People who still have not accepted that shot differential (Shots/Corse/Fenwick) and usage (where you start, who you play against/who you play with) are basic stats need to get on board.
Hi Mom
L1ghtning
Profile Joined July 2013
Sweden353 Posts
June 03 2014 20:12 GMT
#4087
On June 04 2014 02:37 Jer99 wrote:
I feel as though the Kings have the best chances to conversion % out of all the teams, just watching them it feels like everytime they get the puck in front of the net is seems to go in. They really like to skate around the net and throw it in front, hoping someone is there to clap it in

It doesn't take a genius to realize that LA have the best conversion % out of all teams, but they owe it a lot to their opponents being crappy defensively. LA have never been this efficient in the regular season or in the playoffs, and neither have any of the other teams in the modern era. The Rangers D is one of the best in the league, and they will not give them as much space as they've had against the western teams.

And you backed up your opinion how?

I have only said that the Rangers have more skilled players than LA. Someone disagreed. I responding by explaining how I think they're more skilled, things like skating. I can't prove that this is the case. It would be impossible to scientifically prove that a group of players is more skilled than another group of players, but if you look at things like puck possession, it says a lot about how skilled the players are, and puck possession has been a strength of the rangers in this playoffs, and a weakness for LA. LA have had tougher opponents, which without a doubt have contributed, but I would still give the Rangers the edge here.


Here are some stats:

- L.A. has 5 of the top 10 players in points, even though they only played 1 more game than the rangers.
- L.A. has 6 players either equal to or above the highest point ranger player
- L.A. has been getting 3.48 GPG compared to the 2.70 of NYR
- PP for L.A. is 25.4%, and 13.6% for NYR. P.K. sits at 85.9% for NYR vs the 81.2% for L.A.
- Quick has a save% of .906 and a G.A.A. of 2.86 vs the Lundqvist save% of .928 and G.A.A. of 2.03

Seems to me like L.A. has many more advantages going into this series over the rangers. The only category that the rangers edge out L.A. is in the goaltending departement.

I'm saying the Kings in 5

Why are you making this into a team production comparison? I never claimed that the Rangers were the better team or that they would win. In fact I have claimed the opposite. What I've said in favour of NYR is that they have more individual skill, and that they most likely will have the puck possession advantage. But this is just a part of it.

And looking at those figures, NYR have the advantage in terms of Goals - Goals Against, and they have one advantage each in PP/PK, so I can't see how you can make the claim that LA has more advantages, based on those stats.

Either way, it's silly to compare the teams based on these stats since they haven't been facing the same opposition. If you look at 82 games against more or less the same opponents then you could make somewhat valid analyzes.
QuanticHawk
Profile Blog Joined May 2007
United States32084 Posts
June 04 2014 17:13 GMT
#4088
SO EXCITED FOR TONIGHT
PROFESSIONAL GAMER - SEND ME OFFERS TO JOIN YOUR TEAM - USA USA USA
Flaccid
Profile Blog Joined August 2006
8848 Posts
June 04 2014 17:59 GMT
#4089
Fun analysis of how the two teams match-up / fancy-stats:

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/dont-give-the-stanley-cup-to-the-kings-just-yet/

Except it isn’t that simple, and not just because hockey is a sport disproportionately fueled by luck. The Rangers have a case to make — even on paper. The stats give them a real shot.
I'd rather have a bottle in front of me than a frontal lobotomy
QuanticHawk
Profile Blog Joined May 2007
United States32084 Posts
June 04 2014 20:35 GMT
#4090
On June 04 2014 03:58 sharkeyanti wrote:
1. The best shot-differential team of the past few years, who has made three straight conference finals and could win 2 Cups in those years.
2. A coach in Vigneault who uses matchup and usage data as a main factor in his game plan.

People who still have not accepted that shot differential (Shots/Corse/Fenwick) and usage (where you start, who you play against/who you play with) are basic stats need to get on board.

GET OUT WITH YOUR SORCERY

but yeah, as flaccid pointed out, I think this series will be much closer than people are predicting. two really similar teams, both pretty darn good at puck possession
PROFESSIONAL GAMER - SEND ME OFFERS TO JOIN YOUR TEAM - USA USA USA
Kevin_Sorbo
Profile Joined November 2011
Canada3217 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-06-04 21:44:46
June 04 2014 21:31 GMT
#4091
On June 03 2014 17:19 oneofthem wrote:
le kings went 7 games against everybody would be a huge surprise to see them take it in a short one



sharks > Rangers

Ducks >>> Rangers

Hawks >>>>>>>>Rangers

But you are right, if NY has any chance it is because the Kings have played loooots of spring hockey recently ( 60 playoff games in the last 3 seasons )


To the guy who thinks NY has less skill than LA : LA's top 6 is much stronger, they have the best d-man in the series by miles and guys like Richards, St-Louis and Nash are either past their prime or will never get there ( Nash ). Add to that the fact that the Kings are MUCH faster and play MUCH tougher than any other team NY has faced this spring.

It would be cool if the Rangers could make it close because more/better hockey is always good. Just dont set your hopes to high. But if I was a Rangers fan I think I would be more obnoxious than something like 10 JJR accounts. You guys made it there, you might not lift the precious but you still have some bragging rights for about 10 days!!
The mind is like a parachute, it doesnt work unless its open. - Zappa
QuanticHawk
Profile Blog Joined May 2007
United States32084 Posts
June 04 2014 21:36 GMT
#4092
I think the Rangers having the longer break of the two is very important, esp considering how bogus their schedule was earlier in the playoffs. They really needed the rest.
PROFESSIONAL GAMER - SEND ME OFFERS TO JOIN YOUR TEAM - USA USA USA
Kevin_Sorbo
Profile Joined November 2011
Canada3217 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-06-04 22:09:56
June 04 2014 21:45 GMT
#4093
it will have a positive impact for sure.

On the other hand, the first 10 minutes of the game might be rough for them. Theyll probably be a bit rusty.

edit: I also loved Flower's comments today when he totally dickstomped Pacioretty and Vanek saying they were regular season guys and that you cant win with guys like that.


The legend himself shits on their best sniper I lllllove it!
The mind is like a parachute, it doesnt work unless its open. - Zappa
StarStruck
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
25339 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-06-04 23:14:45
June 04 2014 22:14 GMT
#4094
On June 04 2014 00:49 L1ghtning wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 03 2014 13:13 StarStruck wrote:
On June 03 2014 06:43 GolemMadness wrote:
On June 03 2014 06:08 L1ghtning wrote:
On June 02 2014 05:26 Kevin_Sorbo wrote:
On June 02 2014 04:56 L1ghtning wrote:
On June 02 2014 00:46 QuanticHawk wrote:
[image loading]
[image loading]
hahahaha

On June 01 2014 23:16 L1ghtning wrote:
Although I see the Rangers as the underdogs no matter what, I think they would have a better shot against LA. LA could struggle defensively because of the Rangers speed, and the Rangers are better defensively than any of the teams that LA has faced in this playoffs, so they won't be able to rely on their offensive zone efficiency which along with their defense has carried them in all their series.

Although I think a LA - NYR series would be fairly evenly matched, I can't say the same thing for a CHI - NYR series. Chicago has skilled enough players to dismantle the Rangers, and if they can score 3-4 goals every game against LA's defense, they should accomplish the equivalent against the Rangers, and I can't see the Rangers doing the same in return.


La's dmen are all pretty mobile though. I think Chicago would have much more trouble with the Rangers offense.

also apparently DeBoer and the Devils were somewhat open to Brodeur returning. Jesus. If they don't lock up Schneider the second he is elligible this summer they are nuts.

LA struggled against SJ when they were keeping a fast pace in the regular season and at times in the playoffs. Speed seems to be the most effective way to deal with LA, not necessarily because they're slow, but fast paced games doesn't suit them because it gives them less time to organize themselves, and when they're not organized, they're not a strong team. I think the Rangers is a stronger team than LA on paper, if you look on individual players, so if they're unable to stick to their organized playstyle, they're in big trouble. The Rangers might not be as strong as the Sharks and the Ducks and the Hawks, but they might be better equiped at dealing with LA.


I cant see how the rangers are the better team on paper honestly. This is not 2004 anymore.

The rangers have more skilled players individually, better skating, playmaking, stickhandling and so on. Do you honestly expect LA to go out on the ice and dominate the puck possession, like they failed to do in all the 3 prior series?

The rangers is the team that most likely will lead the play. They may not get the most dangerous chances, and they may not win, but they will most likely get more puck possession than LA, because they have more skilled players. That's why LA will be in trouble if the rangers with their speed manages to disrupt LA's organized defense. It will be interesting to see whether this happens or not.


How does NYR have more skilled players than LA...?


Simple: he's talking out of his ass lol.

I couldn't care less about you disagreeing, seeing as you haven't even backed up your opinion. Leave the personal insults out of here.


Are you trying to say you did? You generalized and you are entitled to having an opinion even if it's a ridiculous one. Here's the thing, many people wouldn't agree with what you said at all. The only argument one could possibly make is goaltending and please tell us in the blue hell you think the Rangers have more individual skill. I want a good laugh.
QuanticHawk
Profile Blog Joined May 2007
United States32084 Posts
June 04 2014 23:03 GMT
#4095
On June 05 2014 06:45 Kevin_Sorbo wrote:
it will have a positive impact for sure.

On the other hand, the first 10 minutes of the game might be rough for them. Theyll probably be a bit rusty.

edit: I also loved Flower's comments today when he totally dickstomped Pacioretty and Vanek saying they were regular season guys and that you cant win with guys like that.


The legend himself shits on their best sniper I lllllove it!

Yeah I read about that. That was silly to say the least. Pax is far and away their best forward, and he's not some floaty offense only dude. Vanek is a diff story perhaps, but i thought that was way off base with patches. he wasnt invisible.
PROFESSIONAL GAMER - SEND ME OFFERS TO JOIN YOUR TEAM - USA USA USA
Kevin_Sorbo
Profile Joined November 2011
Canada3217 Posts
June 04 2014 23:41 GMT
#4096
On June 05 2014 08:03 QuanticHawk wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 05 2014 06:45 Kevin_Sorbo wrote:
it will have a positive impact for sure.

On the other hand, the first 10 minutes of the game might be rough for them. Theyll probably be a bit rusty.

edit: I also loved Flower's comments today when he totally dickstomped Pacioretty and Vanek saying they were regular season guys and that you cant win with guys like that.


The legend himself shits on their best sniper I lllllove it!

Yeah I read about that. That was silly to say the least. Pax is far and away their best forward, and he's not some floaty offense only dude. Vanek is a diff story perhaps, but i thought that was way off base with patches. he wasnt invisible.

I know but Lafleur is still some kind of hockey god and he always has something juicy to say whenever they put a mike under his nose. So reporters do it.


But he is a really classy guy.
The mind is like a parachute, it doesnt work unless its open. - Zappa
L1ghtning
Profile Joined July 2013
Sweden353 Posts
June 04 2014 23:45 GMT
#4097
On June 05 2014 07:14 StarStruck wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 04 2014 00:49 L1ghtning wrote:
On June 03 2014 13:13 StarStruck wrote:
On June 03 2014 06:43 GolemMadness wrote:
On June 03 2014 06:08 L1ghtning wrote:
On June 02 2014 05:26 Kevin_Sorbo wrote:
On June 02 2014 04:56 L1ghtning wrote:
On June 02 2014 00:46 QuanticHawk wrote:
[image loading]
[image loading]
hahahaha

On June 01 2014 23:16 L1ghtning wrote:
Although I see the Rangers as the underdogs no matter what, I think they would have a better shot against LA. LA could struggle defensively because of the Rangers speed, and the Rangers are better defensively than any of the teams that LA has faced in this playoffs, so they won't be able to rely on their offensive zone efficiency which along with their defense has carried them in all their series.

Although I think a LA - NYR series would be fairly evenly matched, I can't say the same thing for a CHI - NYR series. Chicago has skilled enough players to dismantle the Rangers, and if they can score 3-4 goals every game against LA's defense, they should accomplish the equivalent against the Rangers, and I can't see the Rangers doing the same in return.


La's dmen are all pretty mobile though. I think Chicago would have much more trouble with the Rangers offense.

also apparently DeBoer and the Devils were somewhat open to Brodeur returning. Jesus. If they don't lock up Schneider the second he is elligible this summer they are nuts.

LA struggled against SJ when they were keeping a fast pace in the regular season and at times in the playoffs. Speed seems to be the most effective way to deal with LA, not necessarily because they're slow, but fast paced games doesn't suit them because it gives them less time to organize themselves, and when they're not organized, they're not a strong team. I think the Rangers is a stronger team than LA on paper, if you look on individual players, so if they're unable to stick to their organized playstyle, they're in big trouble. The Rangers might not be as strong as the Sharks and the Ducks and the Hawks, but they might be better equiped at dealing with LA.


I cant see how the rangers are the better team on paper honestly. This is not 2004 anymore.

The rangers have more skilled players individually, better skating, playmaking, stickhandling and so on. Do you honestly expect LA to go out on the ice and dominate the puck possession, like they failed to do in all the 3 prior series?

The rangers is the team that most likely will lead the play. They may not get the most dangerous chances, and they may not win, but they will most likely get more puck possession than LA, because they have more skilled players. That's why LA will be in trouble if the rangers with their speed manages to disrupt LA's organized defense. It will be interesting to see whether this happens or not.


How does NYR have more skilled players than LA...?


Simple: he's talking out of his ass lol.

I couldn't care less about you disagreeing, seeing as you haven't even backed up your opinion. Leave the personal insults out of here.


Are you trying to say you did? You generalized and you are entitled to having an opinion even if it's a ridiculous one. Here's the thing, many people wouldn't agree with what you said at all. The only argument one could possibly make is goaltending

What it all boils down to is that you didn't have anything to add to the discussion, and still found it justified to hand out insults. I can tolerate a fair amount of harsh language, but I don't tolerate personal attacks, especially not from someone who adds nothing to a discussion.
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States14044 Posts
June 04 2014 23:48 GMT
#4098
Who has the largest paper advantage coming into the finals the heat or kings?
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
Masamune
Profile Joined January 2007
Canada3401 Posts
June 05 2014 00:01 GMT
#4099
I'd say the Heat. And given that basketball is a bit more resistant to luck influencing the games, given the amount of scoring compared to games like hockey, it generally holds up.
Masamune
Profile Joined January 2007
Canada3401 Posts
June 05 2014 00:07 GMT
#4100
Not sure who I want to win this series between NY and LA. I have bandwaggoned on the Rangers since the start of the playoffs, so there's that. They're also an Eastern team, so there's that, too.

But LA is a really likable team and they've shown such adversity in all their games that it's hard not to root for them. I mean, they came back from 3-0 to beat the Sharks, down 3-2 to beat the Ducks and then beat the Blackhawks, former SC champions, only to lose to the NY Rangers? lol.

I wouldn't count NY out, though. Besides goaltending, I think they're definitely the more hungrier of the two teams for SC given that they haven't won one yet and they have players like Nash and Lundquist that are only missing that from their resumes. The only thing preventing me from fully rooting for NY over LA is the whole Martin St. Louis fiasco because I really don't like seeing whiny bitches get rewarded and I don't want it to set a precedence for other players in the future...

Hoping this series goes the whole way and is not as lopsided as predicted!
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