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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 973

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
JonnyBNoHo
Profile Joined July 2011
United States6277 Posts
April 03 2014 05:38 GMT
#19441
On April 03 2014 13:20 GreenHorizons wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 03 2014 10:45 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On April 03 2014 09:45 GreenHorizons wrote:
On April 03 2014 08:05 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On April 03 2014 06:58 GreenHorizons wrote:
On April 03 2014 05:21 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On April 02 2014 10:51 GreenHorizons wrote:
On April 02 2014 09:00 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On April 02 2014 01:16 GreenHorizons wrote:
On April 02 2014 00:43 aksfjh wrote:
[quote]
I doubt very much that he meant right this second those countries could consume like the West. If I'm not mistaken, he's been saying that developing countries have the potential to consume just as much as developed after decades of economic growth and increased gains in efficiency. He's talking about a gradual process and you guys are extrapolating the current baseline scenario 50-100 years into the future...


You just didn't follow the conversation at all, then chimed in with a snarky question and comment that doesn't really have any bearing on what was being discussed.

Johnny was saying that "I don't see why these countries can't develop to our level, particularly when the data suggest that's exactly what's happening." referring to China and Bangladesh. My point was that if developing countries 'advanced' to 'our level' it would be unsustainable.

You did exactly what I requested you not do, which was provide (a poor) attempt to undermine the information without providing any measures or reports of your own. Since you seem pretty confident that your assumptions are correct how about showing some of the research that refutes my assertions and supports yours, like I requested before your inane contribution?

This is why it won't be unsustainable.

US energy mix changing over time:
+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]


Price of solar falling over time:
+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]


So on the energy front the US and other countries can switch to solar as fossil fuels become more dear. And that's how other resource constraints have and will play out as well. As a resource becomes scarce we find ways to overcome the scarcity, find substitutes and economize with what we still have.

The 'we're running out of resources' crowd isn't new. They've been around for a long time, and they keep getting proven wrong. Soylent Green may have made a good movie, but reality turned out different.

I had no idea conservatives were so bullish on Solar energy? From what I'm gathering you are suggesting solar energy is going to increase it's market share in the US around 20x what it is now? I know plenty of left leaners who would be so optimistic but again I had no Idea conservatives expected this to happen.

I feel like this is news that conservatives support their 'unlimited pie' model with expectations that oil and natural gas will make up less than 20% of the US market share in how many years is it that you expect there Johnny? 25,50, 75, 100?

You might want to tell your fellow conservatives this news so they can help get the message out about how viable and necessary it is to their world view.

The history of resource scarcity is that as a particular resource becomes more dear, it gets economized, new sources of the resources are brought to market, and substitutes are employed.

I propose that that process can plausibly continue. I offer solar energy as an example - the price is falling quickly and so over time it will be easier and easier to substitute solar for conventional energy. Solar isn't the only example I can give either. There are many new promising energy technologies out there.

If you want to prove that resources are running out, you need to demonstrate that there is some barrier that prevents the usual process of economizing and substitution from taking place going forward. So far, you haven't done that.


Well for one, consumption isn't just about energy. But on energy, during many of those cycles large new caches of natural resources were brought to market. Those caches wont be there forever (think Easter Island on a global scale), it helps if you don't think oil is less than 10,000 years old and there is an everlasting fountain of it in the earth too (a genuine idea supported by millions of conservatives who believe in your magical pie[not saying you're one of them].)

Not to mention emissions and their consequences, think China on a sunny day in peak factory output. There are countless problems with what you are suggesting, and I'm pretty sure you're smart enough to see why.

I'm not going to change your mind so I'm not going to bother trying. I'm just happy to have a conservative being so bullish on alternative energy. I hope you're right and somehow the magical hands of capitalism wave their magic wand over the world and resolve issues that few reasonable scientists would say can happen the way you suggest, but I sincerely doubt it.

In either event I'm just glad to have you on the side of defending the viability of alternative green energy and believing that our consumption of oil and (I think natural gas) is unsustainable.

You are the first conservative I have heard openly say that our consumption of oil is unsustainable. And that we have to change our consumption patterns in order to become sustainable.

Kudos for your bold stance against your peers in recognizing that our dependence on oil is unsustainable and in 100 years must be a much smaller fraction of the energy we use.

I can't recall ever hearing someone claim that there's an infinite supply of oil in the world. I also don't know what magical pie you are referring to (I like apple pie, so hopefully it's something like that, but I digress...). These sound like something you're talking out of context and twisting into a talking point / political one-liner.

As for emissions, typically a country industrializes and emissions rise (extreme poverty sucks, pollution is a worthwhile trade-off). Then people try to clean it up (we're no longer poor, pollution is no longer a worthwhile trade-off). Just look at the US over the past century. I don't see why China wouldn't follow the same pattern, particularly since the R&D on pollution control has already been done for them.


First Oil....

The who... "PRINCETON, NJ -- Forty-six percent of Americans believe in the creationist view that God created humans in their present form at one time within the last 10,000 years."

"While 58% of Republicans believe that God created humans in their present form within the last 10,000 years, 39% of independents and 41% of Democrats agree."

Source

Now the what...

"In a young-earth framework, the oil reservoirs that we now find were either deposited during the Noachian Flood (Flood geology for short) or formed after the Flood (Recolonization geology). Either way, the oil that we now have access to was either:

*created after the Flood;

*or lain relatively undisturbed during the tectonic activity of the Flood (since then it has been released from wherever it was placed by God during the Creation Week and now entered the reservoirs that we now have);

*or was placed in deeper locations during Creation Week, and moved by standard hydraulic means into the target reservoirs during the Flood (Flood geology) whilst the “fountains of the great deep” were open."

Sorry a "boundless oil well" was a wild characterization... It was actually placed there by God 10,000 years ago in the perfect amount and accessibility to fit human demands...(potentially with a global flood to distribute it perfectly about 4,300 years ago)

Or.... all of the worlds petroleum formed in the last 4,300 years insinuating that there is a potential to replenish it in a similar time frame.

Source

Nothing here really supports your assertion that conservatives (let along the non-religious ones) think there's infinite oil. You seem to be relying on conjecture to get there and taking cheap shots at religious fundamentalists along the way.

Now the pie (Mmmm Pie, but not that nasty fruit ish ;p)...

The who....

"Most economic fallacies derive from the neglect of this simple insight, from the tendency to assume that there is a fixed pie, that one party can gain only at the expense of another" <--- A core conservative tenet -Milton Friedman

+ Show Spoiler +
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5YWrHjWvJw8


(Most conservatives currently/have espouse/d some rhetorical variation of this concept.)

Even if the ethereal pie is theoretically infinite or 'non-fixed', there are still very real world limits on how much of that pie is realistically accessible at any given time (or the foreseeable future).

The argument is that the economy is not a permanently fixed thing, which is 100% correct. It does not imply infinite growth or anything of the sort. Nor is it opposed to your assertion (which is also correct!) that there are limits on how much of the pie you can realistically get at a given point in time. The point being made is that someone gaining more money doesn't necessarily mean someone else has less.

Now I'll touch on how what such a stellar example the US is on waste.

"The U.S. manages to produce a quarter of the world’s waste despite the fact that its population of 300 million is less than 5% of the world’s population, according to 2005 estimates."

Source

You could see how if another 50%+ of the world starts wasting like the model you were describing that the amount of waste would grow at an immense rate. (even adjusting for increases in efficiency and such).

I am not particularly tied to this last point as it was tangential to start so you don't have to nitpick on waste. If you want to refute my assertion about waste I'll concede it for now, so you can focus on the first two points. (I just didn't want it to go unanswered)

The US creates about 25% of the world's waste because we represent about that much global economic activity. Of course if the rest of the world catches up to us in terms of economic activity, there will be a lot of waste, but that just means we need to get better at recycling and whatnot.
There is just so many interesting tidbits wrapped up in your response I'm going to have to come back to them later.

However, I did want to say kudos again for realizing conservatives should of been embracing Green Energy alternatives and recycling way back to Carter, instead of dismissing them, or deriding them and/or Carter for embracing what you now see as a necessary inevitability even if it is generations later than it could of been.

""We will feel mounting pressure to plunder the environment. We will have a crash program to build more nuclear plants, strip-mine and burn more coal, and drill more offshore wells than we will need if we begin to conserve now." Carter -1977

"Drill baby drill' anyone?

We probably could of reduced our need to fund despots, dictators, and 'terrorists' in order to get their oil too.

I just had to take a moment to appreciate the new direction conservatives are planning to head in being bullish on Green Energy, getting serious about recycling, and identifying 46% of American Christians and nearly 60% of the Republican party as 'religious fundamentalists'

Thank you Jonny for leading the way

If you want to continue the discussion you need to drop the childish partisan crap. It's really disgusting and I'm not going to be a part of it.
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23259 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-04-03 06:25:19
April 03 2014 06:05 GMT
#19442
On April 03 2014 14:38 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 03 2014 13:20 GreenHorizons wrote:
On April 03 2014 10:45 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On April 03 2014 09:45 GreenHorizons wrote:
On April 03 2014 08:05 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On April 03 2014 06:58 GreenHorizons wrote:
On April 03 2014 05:21 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On April 02 2014 10:51 GreenHorizons wrote:
On April 02 2014 09:00 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On April 02 2014 01:16 GreenHorizons wrote:
[quote]

You just didn't follow the conversation at all, then chimed in with a snarky question and comment that doesn't really have any bearing on what was being discussed.

Johnny was saying that "I don't see why these countries can't develop to our level, particularly when the data suggest that's exactly what's happening." referring to China and Bangladesh. My point was that if developing countries 'advanced' to 'our level' it would be unsustainable.

You did exactly what I requested you not do, which was provide (a poor) attempt to undermine the information without providing any measures or reports of your own. Since you seem pretty confident that your assumptions are correct how about showing some of the research that refutes my assertions and supports yours, like I requested before your inane contribution?

This is why it won't be unsustainable.

US energy mix changing over time:
+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]


Price of solar falling over time:
+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]


So on the energy front the US and other countries can switch to solar as fossil fuels become more dear. And that's how other resource constraints have and will play out as well. As a resource becomes scarce we find ways to overcome the scarcity, find substitutes and economize with what we still have.

The 'we're running out of resources' crowd isn't new. They've been around for a long time, and they keep getting proven wrong. Soylent Green may have made a good movie, but reality turned out different.

I had no idea conservatives were so bullish on Solar energy? From what I'm gathering you are suggesting solar energy is going to increase it's market share in the US around 20x what it is now? I know plenty of left leaners who would be so optimistic but again I had no Idea conservatives expected this to happen.

I feel like this is news that conservatives support their 'unlimited pie' model with expectations that oil and natural gas will make up less than 20% of the US market share in how many years is it that you expect there Johnny? 25,50, 75, 100?

You might want to tell your fellow conservatives this news so they can help get the message out about how viable and necessary it is to their world view.

The history of resource scarcity is that as a particular resource becomes more dear, it gets economized, new sources of the resources are brought to market, and substitutes are employed.

I propose that that process can plausibly continue. I offer solar energy as an example - the price is falling quickly and so over time it will be easier and easier to substitute solar for conventional energy. Solar isn't the only example I can give either. There are many new promising energy technologies out there.

If you want to prove that resources are running out, you need to demonstrate that there is some barrier that prevents the usual process of economizing and substitution from taking place going forward. So far, you haven't done that.


Well for one, consumption isn't just about energy. But on energy, during many of those cycles large new caches of natural resources were brought to market. Those caches wont be there forever (think Easter Island on a global scale), it helps if you don't think oil is less than 10,000 years old and there is an everlasting fountain of it in the earth too (a genuine idea supported by millions of conservatives who believe in your magical pie[not saying you're one of them].)

Not to mention emissions and their consequences, think China on a sunny day in peak factory output. There are countless problems with what you are suggesting, and I'm pretty sure you're smart enough to see why.

I'm not going to change your mind so I'm not going to bother trying. I'm just happy to have a conservative being so bullish on alternative energy. I hope you're right and somehow the magical hands of capitalism wave their magic wand over the world and resolve issues that few reasonable scientists would say can happen the way you suggest, but I sincerely doubt it.

In either event I'm just glad to have you on the side of defending the viability of alternative green energy and believing that our consumption of oil and (I think natural gas) is unsustainable.

You are the first conservative I have heard openly say that our consumption of oil is unsustainable. And that we have to change our consumption patterns in order to become sustainable.

Kudos for your bold stance against your peers in recognizing that our dependence on oil is unsustainable and in 100 years must be a much smaller fraction of the energy we use.

I can't recall ever hearing someone claim that there's an infinite supply of oil in the world. I also don't know what magical pie you are referring to (I like apple pie, so hopefully it's something like that, but I digress...). These sound like something you're talking out of context and twisting into a talking point / political one-liner.

As for emissions, typically a country industrializes and emissions rise (extreme poverty sucks, pollution is a worthwhile trade-off). Then people try to clean it up (we're no longer poor, pollution is no longer a worthwhile trade-off). Just look at the US over the past century. I don't see why China wouldn't follow the same pattern, particularly since the R&D on pollution control has already been done for them.


First Oil....

The who... "PRINCETON, NJ -- Forty-six percent of Americans believe in the creationist view that God created humans in their present form at one time within the last 10,000 years."

"While 58% of Republicans believe that God created humans in their present form within the last 10,000 years, 39% of independents and 41% of Democrats agree."

Source

Now the what...

"In a young-earth framework, the oil reservoirs that we now find were either deposited during the Noachian Flood (Flood geology for short) or formed after the Flood (Recolonization geology). Either way, the oil that we now have access to was either:

*created after the Flood;

*or lain relatively undisturbed during the tectonic activity of the Flood (since then it has been released from wherever it was placed by God during the Creation Week and now entered the reservoirs that we now have);

*or was placed in deeper locations during Creation Week, and moved by standard hydraulic means into the target reservoirs during the Flood (Flood geology) whilst the “fountains of the great deep” were open."

Sorry a "boundless oil well" was a wild characterization... It was actually placed there by God 10,000 years ago in the perfect amount and accessibility to fit human demands...(potentially with a global flood to distribute it perfectly about 4,300 years ago)

Or.... all of the worlds petroleum formed in the last 4,300 years insinuating that there is a potential to replenish it in a similar time frame.

Source

Nothing here really supports your assertion that conservatives (let along the non-religious ones) think there's infinite oil. You seem to be relying on conjecture to get there and taking cheap shots at religious fundamentalists along the way.

Now the pie (Mmmm Pie, but not that nasty fruit ish ;p)...

The who....

"Most economic fallacies derive from the neglect of this simple insight, from the tendency to assume that there is a fixed pie, that one party can gain only at the expense of another" <--- A core conservative tenet -Milton Friedman

+ Show Spoiler +
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5YWrHjWvJw8


(Most conservatives currently/have espouse/d some rhetorical variation of this concept.)

Even if the ethereal pie is theoretically infinite or 'non-fixed', there are still very real world limits on how much of that pie is realistically accessible at any given time (or the foreseeable future).

The argument is that the economy is not a permanently fixed thing, which is 100% correct. It does not imply infinite growth or anything of the sort. Nor is it opposed to your assertion (which is also correct!) that there are limits on how much of the pie you can realistically get at a given point in time. The point being made is that someone gaining more money doesn't necessarily mean someone else has less.

Now I'll touch on how what such a stellar example the US is on waste.

"The U.S. manages to produce a quarter of the world’s waste despite the fact that its population of 300 million is less than 5% of the world’s population, according to 2005 estimates."

Source

You could see how if another 50%+ of the world starts wasting like the model you were describing that the amount of waste would grow at an immense rate. (even adjusting for increases in efficiency and such).

I am not particularly tied to this last point as it was tangential to start so you don't have to nitpick on waste. If you want to refute my assertion about waste I'll concede it for now, so you can focus on the first two points. (I just didn't want it to go unanswered)

The US creates about 25% of the world's waste because we represent about that much global economic activity. Of course if the rest of the world catches up to us in terms of economic activity, there will be a lot of waste, but that just means we need to get better at recycling and whatnot.
There is just so many interesting tidbits wrapped up in your response I'm going to have to come back to them later.

However, I did want to say kudos again for realizing conservatives should of been embracing Green Energy alternatives and recycling way back to Carter, instead of dismissing them, or deriding them and/or Carter for embracing what you now see as a necessary inevitability even if it is generations later than it could of been.

""We will feel mounting pressure to plunder the environment. We will have a crash program to build more nuclear plants, strip-mine and burn more coal, and drill more offshore wells than we will need if we begin to conserve now." Carter -1977

"Drill baby drill' anyone?

We probably could of reduced our need to fund despots, dictators, and 'terrorists' in order to get their oil too.

I just had to take a moment to appreciate the new direction conservatives are planning to head in being bullish on Green Energy, getting serious about recycling, and identifying 46% of American Christians and nearly 60% of the Republican party as 'religious fundamentalists'

Thank you Jonny for leading the way

If you want to continue the discussion you need to drop the childish partisan crap. It's really disgusting and I'm not going to be a part of it.


I didn't see anything particularly partisan or childish, let alone disgusting? But if that's all you got for a response then I'm content with what has been established thus far.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
Wolfstan
Profile Joined March 2011
Canada605 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-04-03 07:38:52
April 03 2014 06:59 GMT
#19443
On April 03 2014 14:35 Danglars wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 03 2014 14:18 Wolfstan wrote:
On April 03 2014 03:39 Danglars wrote:
On April 02 2014 08:33 Wolfstan wrote:
Just socialize the fucking healthcare geez.
Medicare and Medicaid are eliminated and financing goes into general revenues.
Reform tort laws while you do it.
Cut out the middle man insurance companies and HMO's.
Politically declare 300 million now have healthcare.
Budgetize it at 15% GDP falling .5% each year for 10 years to bring it in line with other OECD countries at 10%.
?????
Profit.
A lot of things work and have my support if medicare and medicaid are eliminated. Tort reform has been on conservative platforms for a very long time, contrary to the relative inaction taken on it. With Medicare and Medicaid gone, a new welfare scheme can be developed involving money (call it vouchers if you want) to take to private companies to buy the plan you want. I still want those insurance companies, freed from cumbersome regulation and perverted minimum coverage requirements, competing for the business. The main change for them is not prejudicing employers with tax breaks and the rest, but allowing the same for individuals purchasing for themselves apart from employers. The second change is the choice for employees to take their same health plan between jobs and have the next employer may payments into it etc.


Absolutely private companies unencumbered by regulation would have a place beside socialized medicine. I disagree with you on the role though, private companies would serve where their biggest strength lies, which is why ACA(and Tesla vs. dealers) disgust me. Inefficient middle men should not be mandatory by law, middle man companies should get their cut by providing better service and solving inefficiencies inherent in big lumbering entities. The role of private companies alongside government services should not be to collect cheques from welfare schemes and providing services below the social minimum. In a free market, conservative world, they would provide better than social maximum services tailored to their clients needs(as opposed to one size fits all legislation.) Think private schools beside public schools, Fedex beside US post, private security beside police/military.

The growth of HSAs was the organic change to eliminating the middleman. You estimate your costs, you pay for catastrophic risk insurance, you're in control. Government plans, repeatedly underfunded and oversold on their supposed merits are the inefficient middlemen now. Their absurd changes to minimum requirements aren't responsive to the needs of the people, just the top-level planners. The VA hospital system here shows just how wasteful and poor government is managing health care. So firstly I wonder where the US government has ever shown itself capable of managing even on par with its private counterparts. Now when you talk 'social minimum,' that's been up for debate since Washington starting its weaving requirements on taxation and rules. Frankly, you could make the case that its the detached politicians influenced by special interests that act to their own political advantage (to be thought of as caring and sensitive) rather than for their constituents. I doubt very much if a good scrap and restart approach would have any success if it was Washington in its current state designing socialized medicine.


That's why you grab the low hanging fruit left in the wake of obamacare. I am a conservative living in a world of socialized medicine and the ideas can be congruent with each other.

Put the healthcare file under state jurisdiction.
California wants to include transgender operations in state hospitals? South Carolina doesn't have to, problem solved. Let the states put "social minimum" to an election issue. Let private healthcare do the rest.
Virginia tax base can't afford to salary state doctors New York's cost of living rates? Doesn't have to, problem solved. That doctor can move to New York or go into private healthcare if he has greater salary expectations.

Take the healthcare spending at 15% of GDP and set to grow under Obamacare, plus underfunding of entitlements and shrink it to 10% of GDP, bringing it in line with the rest of the developed world.

Funding healthcare from taxes is a lot more palatable to me than the system currently set up in the US. Take money from my cheque in exchange for doctors, teachers, emergency services and infrastructure that I can use and I will vote for that person whether I feel I'm getting enough value for the transaction. I would not be cool with money being withheld from me for old, poor losers who are not me via Medicare and Medicaid. THEN force me to pay for private insurance I don't need as the healthy, wealthy male demographic so that old, poor, and sick losers can get cheaper insurance premiums. THEN budget out of pocket medical expenses and insurance deductibles from my remaining paycheque for healthcare I DO need.

It is too easy to pick apart Obamacare but conservatives won't be taken seriously if they are not willing to provide alternatives. Repealing it won't work if you are only going to go back to the broken mess before. State operated health care can be just as a conservative and prudent use of taxpayer dollars as infrastructure and investment in technology.
EG - ROOT - Gambit Gaming
IgnE
Profile Joined November 2010
United States7681 Posts
April 03 2014 07:12 GMT
#19444
Wolfstan taking a surprising position.
The unrealistic sound of these propositions is indicative, not of their utopian character, but of the strength of the forces which prevent their realization.
WhiteDog
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
France8650 Posts
April 03 2014 07:19 GMT
#19445
On April 03 2014 16:12 IgnE wrote:
Wolfstan taking a surprising position.

That's what I call taking matters seriously. Most of our politicians refuse to do so.
"every time WhiteDog overuses the word "seriously" in a comment I can make an observation on his fragile emotional state." MoltkeWarding
Wolfstan
Profile Joined March 2011
Canada605 Posts
April 03 2014 07:20 GMT
#19446
On April 03 2014 15:05 GreenHorizons wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 03 2014 14:38 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On April 03 2014 13:20 GreenHorizons wrote:
On April 03 2014 10:45 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On April 03 2014 09:45 GreenHorizons wrote:
On April 03 2014 08:05 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On April 03 2014 06:58 GreenHorizons wrote:
On April 03 2014 05:21 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On April 02 2014 10:51 GreenHorizons wrote:
On April 02 2014 09:00 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
[quote]
This is why it won't be unsustainable.

US energy mix changing over time:
+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]


Price of solar falling over time:
+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]


So on the energy front the US and other countries can switch to solar as fossil fuels become more dear. And that's how other resource constraints have and will play out as well. As a resource becomes scarce we find ways to overcome the scarcity, find substitutes and economize with what we still have.

The 'we're running out of resources' crowd isn't new. They've been around for a long time, and they keep getting proven wrong. Soylent Green may have made a good movie, but reality turned out different.

I had no idea conservatives were so bullish on Solar energy? From what I'm gathering you are suggesting solar energy is going to increase it's market share in the US around 20x what it is now? I know plenty of left leaners who would be so optimistic but again I had no Idea conservatives expected this to happen.

I feel like this is news that conservatives support their 'unlimited pie' model with expectations that oil and natural gas will make up less than 20% of the US market share in how many years is it that you expect there Johnny? 25,50, 75, 100?

You might want to tell your fellow conservatives this news so they can help get the message out about how viable and necessary it is to their world view.

The history of resource scarcity is that as a particular resource becomes more dear, it gets economized, new sources of the resources are brought to market, and substitutes are employed.

I propose that that process can plausibly continue. I offer solar energy as an example - the price is falling quickly and so over time it will be easier and easier to substitute solar for conventional energy. Solar isn't the only example I can give either. There are many new promising energy technologies out there.

If you want to prove that resources are running out, you need to demonstrate that there is some barrier that prevents the usual process of economizing and substitution from taking place going forward. So far, you haven't done that.


Well for one, consumption isn't just about energy. But on energy, during many of those cycles large new caches of natural resources were brought to market. Those caches wont be there forever (think Easter Island on a global scale), it helps if you don't think oil is less than 10,000 years old and there is an everlasting fountain of it in the earth too (a genuine idea supported by millions of conservatives who believe in your magical pie[not saying you're one of them].)

Not to mention emissions and their consequences, think China on a sunny day in peak factory output. There are countless problems with what you are suggesting, and I'm pretty sure you're smart enough to see why.

I'm not going to change your mind so I'm not going to bother trying. I'm just happy to have a conservative being so bullish on alternative energy. I hope you're right and somehow the magical hands of capitalism wave their magic wand over the world and resolve issues that few reasonable scientists would say can happen the way you suggest, but I sincerely doubt it.

In either event I'm just glad to have you on the side of defending the viability of alternative green energy and believing that our consumption of oil and (I think natural gas) is unsustainable.

You are the first conservative I have heard openly say that our consumption of oil is unsustainable. And that we have to change our consumption patterns in order to become sustainable.

Kudos for your bold stance against your peers in recognizing that our dependence on oil is unsustainable and in 100 years must be a much smaller fraction of the energy we use.

I can't recall ever hearing someone claim that there's an infinite supply of oil in the world. I also don't know what magical pie you are referring to (I like apple pie, so hopefully it's something like that, but I digress...). These sound like something you're talking out of context and twisting into a talking point / political one-liner.

As for emissions, typically a country industrializes and emissions rise (extreme poverty sucks, pollution is a worthwhile trade-off). Then people try to clean it up (we're no longer poor, pollution is no longer a worthwhile trade-off). Just look at the US over the past century. I don't see why China wouldn't follow the same pattern, particularly since the R&D on pollution control has already been done for them.


First Oil....

The who... "PRINCETON, NJ -- Forty-six percent of Americans believe in the creationist view that God created humans in their present form at one time within the last 10,000 years."

"While 58% of Republicans believe that God created humans in their present form within the last 10,000 years, 39% of independents and 41% of Democrats agree."

Source

Now the what...

"In a young-earth framework, the oil reservoirs that we now find were either deposited during the Noachian Flood (Flood geology for short) or formed after the Flood (Recolonization geology). Either way, the oil that we now have access to was either:

*created after the Flood;

*or lain relatively undisturbed during the tectonic activity of the Flood (since then it has been released from wherever it was placed by God during the Creation Week and now entered the reservoirs that we now have);

*or was placed in deeper locations during Creation Week, and moved by standard hydraulic means into the target reservoirs during the Flood (Flood geology) whilst the “fountains of the great deep” were open."

Sorry a "boundless oil well" was a wild characterization... It was actually placed there by God 10,000 years ago in the perfect amount and accessibility to fit human demands...(potentially with a global flood to distribute it perfectly about 4,300 years ago)

Or.... all of the worlds petroleum formed in the last 4,300 years insinuating that there is a potential to replenish it in a similar time frame.

Source

Nothing here really supports your assertion that conservatives (let along the non-religious ones) think there's infinite oil. You seem to be relying on conjecture to get there and taking cheap shots at religious fundamentalists along the way.

Now the pie (Mmmm Pie, but not that nasty fruit ish ;p)...

The who....

"Most economic fallacies derive from the neglect of this simple insight, from the tendency to assume that there is a fixed pie, that one party can gain only at the expense of another" <--- A core conservative tenet -Milton Friedman

+ Show Spoiler +
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5YWrHjWvJw8


(Most conservatives currently/have espouse/d some rhetorical variation of this concept.)

Even if the ethereal pie is theoretically infinite or 'non-fixed', there are still very real world limits on how much of that pie is realistically accessible at any given time (or the foreseeable future).

The argument is that the economy is not a permanently fixed thing, which is 100% correct. It does not imply infinite growth or anything of the sort. Nor is it opposed to your assertion (which is also correct!) that there are limits on how much of the pie you can realistically get at a given point in time. The point being made is that someone gaining more money doesn't necessarily mean someone else has less.

Now I'll touch on how what such a stellar example the US is on waste.

"The U.S. manages to produce a quarter of the world’s waste despite the fact that its population of 300 million is less than 5% of the world’s population, according to 2005 estimates."

Source

You could see how if another 50%+ of the world starts wasting like the model you were describing that the amount of waste would grow at an immense rate. (even adjusting for increases in efficiency and such).

I am not particularly tied to this last point as it was tangential to start so you don't have to nitpick on waste. If you want to refute my assertion about waste I'll concede it for now, so you can focus on the first two points. (I just didn't want it to go unanswered)

The US creates about 25% of the world's waste because we represent about that much global economic activity. Of course if the rest of the world catches up to us in terms of economic activity, there will be a lot of waste, but that just means we need to get better at recycling and whatnot.
There is just so many interesting tidbits wrapped up in your response I'm going to have to come back to them later.

However, I did want to say kudos again for realizing conservatives should of been embracing Green Energy alternatives and recycling way back to Carter, instead of dismissing them, or deriding them and/or Carter for embracing what you now see as a necessary inevitability even if it is generations later than it could of been.

""We will feel mounting pressure to plunder the environment. We will have a crash program to build more nuclear plants, strip-mine and burn more coal, and drill more offshore wells than we will need if we begin to conserve now." Carter -1977

"Drill baby drill' anyone?

We probably could of reduced our need to fund despots, dictators, and 'terrorists' in order to get their oil too.

I just had to take a moment to appreciate the new direction conservatives are planning to head in being bullish on Green Energy, getting serious about recycling, and identifying 46% of American Christians and nearly 60% of the Republican party as 'religious fundamentalists'

Thank you Jonny for leading the way

If you want to continue the discussion you need to drop the childish partisan crap. It's really disgusting and I'm not going to be a part of it.


I didn't see anything particularly partisan or childish, let alone disgusting? But if that's all you got for a response then I'm content with what has been established thus far.


He's basically saying that you should have a discussion with Jonny and not the conservative stereotype.

I don't particular care enough about the discussion regarding limited resources vs. consumption but I'd start by adding to the energy figures. I'm just too lazy to google crop yield per acre US 1900, US 2000 and Bangladesh 2000. Also birth rates US 1900, US 2000, Bangladesh 2000. Charts for Recycling, Conservation of land and crime per capita would be cool too. Even without those statistics I am fairly confident we are already making headway and whether or not the planet can take 7 billion people consuming at US 2000 is sustainable or not; blowing up the last 100 years of progress and increases in lifestyle is not an option.
EG - ROOT - Gambit Gaming
Wolfstan
Profile Joined March 2011
Canada605 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-04-03 07:33:13
April 03 2014 07:31 GMT
#19447
On April 03 2014 16:12 IgnE wrote:
Wolfstan taking a surprising position.


Don't worry, I'm still the poor-hating, oil shill you love to disagree with.
I typically stay out of healthcare, constitutional, social conservative and foreign policy discussions in this thread which is why my position surprises you.
EG - ROOT - Gambit Gaming
IgnE
Profile Joined November 2010
United States7681 Posts
April 03 2014 08:28 GMT
#19448
Our agricultural system is quite fragile and quite dependent on oil. When you factor in global climate change threatening crop yields in the coming years, declining liquid oil production, and political instabilities, disruptions in the food supply seem very likely.
The unrealistic sound of these propositions is indicative, not of their utopian character, but of the strength of the forces which prevent their realization.
Biff The Understudy
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
France7890 Posts
April 03 2014 13:16 GMT
#19449
On April 03 2014 16:20 Wolfstan wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 03 2014 15:05 GreenHorizons wrote:
On April 03 2014 14:38 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On April 03 2014 13:20 GreenHorizons wrote:
On April 03 2014 10:45 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On April 03 2014 09:45 GreenHorizons wrote:
On April 03 2014 08:05 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On April 03 2014 06:58 GreenHorizons wrote:
On April 03 2014 05:21 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On April 02 2014 10:51 GreenHorizons wrote:
[quote]
I had no idea conservatives were so bullish on Solar energy? From what I'm gathering you are suggesting solar energy is going to increase it's market share in the US around 20x what it is now? I know plenty of left leaners who would be so optimistic but again I had no Idea conservatives expected this to happen.

I feel like this is news that conservatives support their 'unlimited pie' model with expectations that oil and natural gas will make up less than 20% of the US market share in how many years is it that you expect there Johnny? 25,50, 75, 100?

You might want to tell your fellow conservatives this news so they can help get the message out about how viable and necessary it is to their world view.

The history of resource scarcity is that as a particular resource becomes more dear, it gets economized, new sources of the resources are brought to market, and substitutes are employed.

I propose that that process can plausibly continue. I offer solar energy as an example - the price is falling quickly and so over time it will be easier and easier to substitute solar for conventional energy. Solar isn't the only example I can give either. There are many new promising energy technologies out there.

If you want to prove that resources are running out, you need to demonstrate that there is some barrier that prevents the usual process of economizing and substitution from taking place going forward. So far, you haven't done that.


Well for one, consumption isn't just about energy. But on energy, during many of those cycles large new caches of natural resources were brought to market. Those caches wont be there forever (think Easter Island on a global scale), it helps if you don't think oil is less than 10,000 years old and there is an everlasting fountain of it in the earth too (a genuine idea supported by millions of conservatives who believe in your magical pie[not saying you're one of them].)

Not to mention emissions and their consequences, think China on a sunny day in peak factory output. There are countless problems with what you are suggesting, and I'm pretty sure you're smart enough to see why.

I'm not going to change your mind so I'm not going to bother trying. I'm just happy to have a conservative being so bullish on alternative energy. I hope you're right and somehow the magical hands of capitalism wave their magic wand over the world and resolve issues that few reasonable scientists would say can happen the way you suggest, but I sincerely doubt it.

In either event I'm just glad to have you on the side of defending the viability of alternative green energy and believing that our consumption of oil and (I think natural gas) is unsustainable.

You are the first conservative I have heard openly say that our consumption of oil is unsustainable. And that we have to change our consumption patterns in order to become sustainable.

Kudos for your bold stance against your peers in recognizing that our dependence on oil is unsustainable and in 100 years must be a much smaller fraction of the energy we use.

I can't recall ever hearing someone claim that there's an infinite supply of oil in the world. I also don't know what magical pie you are referring to (I like apple pie, so hopefully it's something like that, but I digress...). These sound like something you're talking out of context and twisting into a talking point / political one-liner.

As for emissions, typically a country industrializes and emissions rise (extreme poverty sucks, pollution is a worthwhile trade-off). Then people try to clean it up (we're no longer poor, pollution is no longer a worthwhile trade-off). Just look at the US over the past century. I don't see why China wouldn't follow the same pattern, particularly since the R&D on pollution control has already been done for them.


First Oil....

The who... "PRINCETON, NJ -- Forty-six percent of Americans believe in the creationist view that God created humans in their present form at one time within the last 10,000 years."

"While 58% of Republicans believe that God created humans in their present form within the last 10,000 years, 39% of independents and 41% of Democrats agree."

Source

Now the what...

"In a young-earth framework, the oil reservoirs that we now find were either deposited during the Noachian Flood (Flood geology for short) or formed after the Flood (Recolonization geology). Either way, the oil that we now have access to was either:

*created after the Flood;

*or lain relatively undisturbed during the tectonic activity of the Flood (since then it has been released from wherever it was placed by God during the Creation Week and now entered the reservoirs that we now have);

*or was placed in deeper locations during Creation Week, and moved by standard hydraulic means into the target reservoirs during the Flood (Flood geology) whilst the “fountains of the great deep” were open."

Sorry a "boundless oil well" was a wild characterization... It was actually placed there by God 10,000 years ago in the perfect amount and accessibility to fit human demands...(potentially with a global flood to distribute it perfectly about 4,300 years ago)

Or.... all of the worlds petroleum formed in the last 4,300 years insinuating that there is a potential to replenish it in a similar time frame.

Source

Nothing here really supports your assertion that conservatives (let along the non-religious ones) think there's infinite oil. You seem to be relying on conjecture to get there and taking cheap shots at religious fundamentalists along the way.

Now the pie (Mmmm Pie, but not that nasty fruit ish ;p)...

The who....

"Most economic fallacies derive from the neglect of this simple insight, from the tendency to assume that there is a fixed pie, that one party can gain only at the expense of another" <--- A core conservative tenet -Milton Friedman

+ Show Spoiler +
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5YWrHjWvJw8


(Most conservatives currently/have espouse/d some rhetorical variation of this concept.)

Even if the ethereal pie is theoretically infinite or 'non-fixed', there are still very real world limits on how much of that pie is realistically accessible at any given time (or the foreseeable future).

The argument is that the economy is not a permanently fixed thing, which is 100% correct. It does not imply infinite growth or anything of the sort. Nor is it opposed to your assertion (which is also correct!) that there are limits on how much of the pie you can realistically get at a given point in time. The point being made is that someone gaining more money doesn't necessarily mean someone else has less.

Now I'll touch on how what such a stellar example the US is on waste.

"The U.S. manages to produce a quarter of the world’s waste despite the fact that its population of 300 million is less than 5% of the world’s population, according to 2005 estimates."

Source

You could see how if another 50%+ of the world starts wasting like the model you were describing that the amount of waste would grow at an immense rate. (even adjusting for increases in efficiency and such).

I am not particularly tied to this last point as it was tangential to start so you don't have to nitpick on waste. If you want to refute my assertion about waste I'll concede it for now, so you can focus on the first two points. (I just didn't want it to go unanswered)

The US creates about 25% of the world's waste because we represent about that much global economic activity. Of course if the rest of the world catches up to us in terms of economic activity, there will be a lot of waste, but that just means we need to get better at recycling and whatnot.
There is just so many interesting tidbits wrapped up in your response I'm going to have to come back to them later.

However, I did want to say kudos again for realizing conservatives should of been embracing Green Energy alternatives and recycling way back to Carter, instead of dismissing them, or deriding them and/or Carter for embracing what you now see as a necessary inevitability even if it is generations later than it could of been.

""We will feel mounting pressure to plunder the environment. We will have a crash program to build more nuclear plants, strip-mine and burn more coal, and drill more offshore wells than we will need if we begin to conserve now." Carter -1977

"Drill baby drill' anyone?

We probably could of reduced our need to fund despots, dictators, and 'terrorists' in order to get their oil too.

I just had to take a moment to appreciate the new direction conservatives are planning to head in being bullish on Green Energy, getting serious about recycling, and identifying 46% of American Christians and nearly 60% of the Republican party as 'religious fundamentalists'

Thank you Jonny for leading the way

If you want to continue the discussion you need to drop the childish partisan crap. It's really disgusting and I'm not going to be a part of it.


I didn't see anything particularly partisan or childish, let alone disgusting? But if that's all you got for a response then I'm content with what has been established thus far.


He's basically saying that you should have a discussion with Jonny and not the conservative stereotype.

I don't particular care enough about the discussion regarding limited resources vs. consumption but I'd start by adding to the energy figures. I'm just too lazy to google crop yield per acre US 1900, US 2000 and Bangladesh 2000. Also birth rates US 1900, US 2000, Bangladesh 2000. Charts for Recycling, Conservation of land and crime per capita would be cool too. Even without those statistics I am fairly confident we are already making headway and whether or not the planet can take 7 billion people consuming at US 2000 is sustainable or not; blowing up the last 100 years of progress and increases in lifestyle is not an option.

I do believe you make a mistake if you think that the way (and how much) American tend to consume is a progress and an increase in lifestyle. There has been progress, there has been increase in lifestyle, but over consumption à la US is certainly not part of either.
The fellow who is out to burn things up is the counterpart of the fool who thinks he can save the world. The world needs neither to be burned up nor to be saved. The world is, we are. Transients, if we buck it; here to stay if we accept it. ~H.Miller
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
April 03 2014 17:09 GMT
#19450
The soldier who opened fire Wednesday at Fort Hood, Texas was carrying a semiautomatic handgun that wasn't registered with the military base, according to an Army official.

Lt. Gen. Mark Milley, the senior officer at Fort Hood, said in a press conference that the suspect had a .45- caliber Smith and Wesson semiautomatic pistol. The weapon had been purchased recently and was not registered on base, he said.

Milley also said concealed-carry of weapons was not allowed on base. House Homeland Security Chair Michael McCaul (R-TX) said hours after the shooting that had troops been allowed to concealed-carry on base, they would have been able to defend themselves.

The suspect killed three fellow service members and wounded 16 others before committing suicide. Milley said there was no indication that the mass shooting had ties to terrorism.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
April 03 2014 17:33 GMT
#19451
Views on drugs and drug policy in the United States have shifted significantly in the last few years, as Americans become more amicable to the idea of lenient punishment for drug users than ever before, according to a new survey.

The poll, Pew Research Center’s first comprehensive look at drug policy since 2001, suggests that Americans are not only supportive of less harsh laws for marijuana, but also for hard drugs like cocaine and heroin.

Drug reform advocates say the survey shows the public has had a harsh reaction to the expensive and largely ineffective policies of the “war on drugs.” But they also say the survey only tells half the story: while public perception may have shifted, many policies that people seem to disagree with remain in place, with few signs from politicians that they are willing to reverse course anytime soon.

“The public is definitely pretty far ahead of politicians,” said Jag Davies of the Drug Policy Alliance, an organization that promotes alternatives to current drug policy. “Elected officials have been so scared for so long, but they’re starting to realize it’s to their benefit to reevaluate (their policies).”

The survey, conducted in February and released on Wednesday, finds that 67 percent of Americans think the government should focus less on punishment and more on treatment for drug users, including users of heroin and cocaine.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Acertos
Profile Joined February 2012
France852 Posts
April 03 2014 18:37 GMT
#19452
To contribute to the debate about wealth and minimal wages, here is an article about a book regarding capital accumulation and its consequencies. Definitely worth the long read, interpretations should be taken with caution.
http://www.newyorker.com/arts/critics/books/2014/03/31/140331crbo_books_cassidy?currentPage=all
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
April 03 2014 20:02 GMT
#19453
the current marginalized population isn't the most politically reactive. when and if the ranks of the educated professional class is threatened by the next wave of automation or something you'll see some actual things done.
We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
IgnE
Profile Joined November 2010
United States7681 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-04-04 00:02:15
April 03 2014 23:58 GMT
#19454
On April 04 2014 03:37 Acertos wrote:
To contribute to the debate about wealth and minimal wages, here is an article about a book regarding capital accumulation and its consequencies. Definitely worth the long read, interpretations should be taken with caution.
http://www.newyorker.com/arts/critics/books/2014/03/31/140331crbo_books_cassidy?currentPage=all


Whitedog and others have already cited that book and posted related interviews.

As for the minimum wage gap:

The one thing that we can agree on is that the data doesn't show either way whether increasing the minimum wage will affect employment. Looking at all of the data, it's about a wash. Some show increases, some show decreases, and some show no effect.

Therefore we should make the decision based on some other criterion. Like public policy and fairness. If you ignore unemployment, the minimum wage should be raised because it benefits those most in need. There aren't any good arguments for not raising the minimum wage when you ignore the potential effect on unemployment, which is unknowable, and our best estimates indicate that it is as likely to have a positive as a negative effect.
The unrealistic sound of these propositions is indicative, not of their utopian character, but of the strength of the forces which prevent their realization.
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
April 04 2014 01:25 GMT
#19455
a pretty underdiscussed topic with respect to minimum wage is blackmarket wage. cash transaction, undocumneted workers with no forms to file that are paid below minimum.
We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
April 04 2014 01:56 GMT
#19456
On April 03 2014 15:59 Wolfstan wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 03 2014 14:35 Danglars wrote:
On April 03 2014 14:18 Wolfstan wrote:
On April 03 2014 03:39 Danglars wrote:
On April 02 2014 08:33 Wolfstan wrote:
Just socialize the fucking healthcare geez.
Medicare and Medicaid are eliminated and financing goes into general revenues.
Reform tort laws while you do it.
Cut out the middle man insurance companies and HMO's.
Politically declare 300 million now have healthcare.
Budgetize it at 15% GDP falling .5% each year for 10 years to bring it in line with other OECD countries at 10%.
?????
Profit.
A lot of things work and have my support if medicare and medicaid are eliminated. Tort reform has been on conservative platforms for a very long time, contrary to the relative inaction taken on it. With Medicare and Medicaid gone, a new welfare scheme can be developed involving money (call it vouchers if you want) to take to private companies to buy the plan you want. I still want those insurance companies, freed from cumbersome regulation and perverted minimum coverage requirements, competing for the business. The main change for them is not prejudicing employers with tax breaks and the rest, but allowing the same for individuals purchasing for themselves apart from employers. The second change is the choice for employees to take their same health plan between jobs and have the next employer may payments into it etc.


Absolutely private companies unencumbered by regulation would have a place beside socialized medicine. I disagree with you on the role though, private companies would serve where their biggest strength lies, which is why ACA(and Tesla vs. dealers) disgust me. Inefficient middle men should not be mandatory by law, middle man companies should get their cut by providing better service and solving inefficiencies inherent in big lumbering entities. The role of private companies alongside government services should not be to collect cheques from welfare schemes and providing services below the social minimum. In a free market, conservative world, they would provide better than social maximum services tailored to their clients needs(as opposed to one size fits all legislation.) Think private schools beside public schools, Fedex beside US post, private security beside police/military.

The growth of HSAs was the organic change to eliminating the middleman. You estimate your costs, you pay for catastrophic risk insurance, you're in control. Government plans, repeatedly underfunded and oversold on their supposed merits are the inefficient middlemen now. Their absurd changes to minimum requirements aren't responsive to the needs of the people, just the top-level planners. The VA hospital system here shows just how wasteful and poor government is managing health care. So firstly I wonder where the US government has ever shown itself capable of managing even on par with its private counterparts. Now when you talk 'social minimum,' that's been up for debate since Washington starting its weaving requirements on taxation and rules. Frankly, you could make the case that its the detached politicians influenced by special interests that act to their own political advantage (to be thought of as caring and sensitive) rather than for their constituents. I doubt very much if a good scrap and restart approach would have any success if it was Washington in its current state designing socialized medicine.


That's why you grab the low hanging fruit left in the wake of obamacare. I am a conservative living in a world of socialized medicine and the ideas can be congruent with each other.

Put the healthcare file under state jurisdiction.
California wants to include transgender operations in state hospitals? South Carolina doesn't have to, problem solved. Let the states put "social minimum" to an election issue. Let private healthcare do the rest.
Virginia tax base can't afford to salary state doctors New York's cost of living rates? Doesn't have to, problem solved. That doctor can move to New York or go into private healthcare if he has greater salary expectations.

Take the healthcare spending at 15% of GDP and set to grow under Obamacare, plus underfunding of entitlements and shrink it to 10% of GDP, bringing it in line with the rest of the developed world.

Funding healthcare from taxes is a lot more palatable to me than the system currently set up in the US. Take money from my cheque in exchange for doctors, teachers, emergency services and infrastructure that I can use and I will vote for that person whether I feel I'm getting enough value for the transaction. I would not be cool with money being withheld from me for old, poor losers who are not me via Medicare and Medicaid. THEN force me to pay for private insurance I don't need as the healthy, wealthy male demographic so that old, poor, and sick losers can get cheaper insurance premiums. THEN budget out of pocket medical expenses and insurance deductibles from my remaining paycheque for healthcare I DO need.

It is too easy to pick apart Obamacare but conservatives won't be taken seriously if they are not willing to provide alternatives. Repealing it won't work if you are only going to go back to the broken mess before. State operated health care can be just as a conservative and prudent use of taxpayer dollars as infrastructure and investment in technology.

By now you know I take the opposite position: namely that the serious approach is private hospitals, insurance companies, and transparency in the costs of medicine and procedures. A dramatic rewriting of health insurance and health care law as previously discussed to facilitate much of this (involving the ability to take your plans from employer to employer, and not prejudicing tax policy against individual policies amongst others)

I will say that I have zero problems whatsoever if representatives from Massachusetts or Maine or New York vote to pass amendments and laws in place giving their residents state-financed health care and the corresponding tax burden to pay for it. It's consistent with the principles found in the Constitution and specifically the 10th amendment to it. Should that system be found a godsend and affordable in their budgets, then praise indeed. Should the reverse be true, repeal and lesson learned. Should the citizens find the result unpalatable, vote in new representatives, move from the state, or vote to change in other ways e.g. state initiative process.

As a reminder, the senate majority leader Harry Reid counted Obamacare as a stepping stone towards single payer. It's presumed that if he had caucus support for a bigger government reach into the health insurance industry, that would've been pushed. It's only the low hanging fruit of a Democrat-controlled house and senate with a Democrat in the White House that highlighted just how easy it is to "get it wrong." You gave it your best shot, in essence, now face the music.

I'll finally just add that it isn't the principle, per se, of the government taking money out of my paycheck to pay for my insurance. It's how demonstrably detached and unaccountable elected officials are if and when that insurance and care fails to deliver or breaks the system with failed budgeting. I'd rather have the option to terminate my policy and take my money to the competition if it's not up to scratch. Given how much care you give to comprehending posters here, I'm sure you understand my position even if you can't agree.
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
JonnyBNoHo
Profile Joined July 2011
United States6277 Posts
April 04 2014 04:07 GMT
#19457
On April 04 2014 08:58 IgnE wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 04 2014 03:37 Acertos wrote:
To contribute to the debate about wealth and minimal wages, here is an article about a book regarding capital accumulation and its consequencies. Definitely worth the long read, interpretations should be taken with caution.
http://www.newyorker.com/arts/critics/books/2014/03/31/140331crbo_books_cassidy?currentPage=all


Whitedog and others have already cited that book and posted related interviews.

As for the minimum wage gap:

The one thing that we can agree on is that the data doesn't show either way whether increasing the minimum wage will affect employment. Looking at all of the data, it's about a wash. Some show increases, some show decreases, and some show no effect.

Therefore we should make the decision based on some other criterion. Like public policy and fairness. If you ignore unemployment, the minimum wage should be raised because it benefits those most in need. There aren't any good arguments for not raising the minimum wage when you ignore the potential effect on unemployment, which is unknowable, and our best estimates indicate that it is as likely to have a positive as a negative effect.

I don't think you ignore the uncertainty over job losses, I think you manage it.

Ex. raise the min wage by less than you'd like, collect data, if job losses are hard to see, raise it some more. Wash, rinse, repeat.
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States13963 Posts
April 04 2014 04:27 GMT
#19458
A republican challenger to a tea party canidate was found out to be a secret larper.

Oh wait thats not the end of the story beacuse this is florida and I've now lost all faith in conservative ideals.

Hes a vampire rape fantasy larper.

I give up obama you win.
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
Yurie
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
11864 Posts
April 04 2014 05:46 GMT
#19459
On April 04 2014 13:07 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 04 2014 08:58 IgnE wrote:
On April 04 2014 03:37 Acertos wrote:
To contribute to the debate about wealth and minimal wages, here is an article about a book regarding capital accumulation and its consequencies. Definitely worth the long read, interpretations should be taken with caution.
http://www.newyorker.com/arts/critics/books/2014/03/31/140331crbo_books_cassidy?currentPage=all


Whitedog and others have already cited that book and posted related interviews.

As for the minimum wage gap:

The one thing that we can agree on is that the data doesn't show either way whether increasing the minimum wage will affect employment. Looking at all of the data, it's about a wash. Some show increases, some show decreases, and some show no effect.

Therefore we should make the decision based on some other criterion. Like public policy and fairness. If you ignore unemployment, the minimum wage should be raised because it benefits those most in need. There aren't any good arguments for not raising the minimum wage when you ignore the potential effect on unemployment, which is unknowable, and our best estimates indicate that it is as likely to have a positive as a negative effect.

I don't think you ignore the uncertainty over job losses, I think you manage it.

Ex. raise the min wage by less than you'd like, collect data, if job losses are hard to see, raise it some more. Wash, rinse, repeat.


You could also start empowering unions and ignore minimum wage. Worked in other countries.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
April 04 2014 05:56 GMT
#19460
The Senate Intelligence Committee voted Tuesday to declassify the executive summary of a report detailing the CIA's George W. Bush-era torture and interrogation program, a move that will push the White House into the center of a fierce debate over how much to reveal about the agency's contentious post-9/11 actions.

The committee's vote was 11-3, with Democrats joined by several Republicans.

"The report exposes brutality that stands in stark contrast to our values as a nation. It chronicles a stain on our history that must never again be allowed to happen," Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D-Calif.), the committee's chair, said in a statement.

"It is now abundantly clear that, in an effort to prevent further terrorist attacks after 9/11 and bring those responsible to justice, the CIA made serious mistakes that haunt us to this day," said Feinstein. "We are acknowledging those mistakes, and we have a continuing responsibility to make sure nothing like this ever occurs again."

The committee began work on its 6,200-page report in 2009 and finished it in December 2012. Since then, however, the report has been caught in the middle of back-and-forth accusations between Senate Democrats and the CIA. In the latest, most public and most contentious episode, Feinstein accused the CIA of spying on Senate staffers as they were producing the report, and both sides have sent criminal referrals on the matter to the Justice Department.

The committee voted to declassify a 480-page executive summary of the report, as well as 20 findings and conclusions. The process could take weeks or months. The White House said later Thursday that the CIA will take the lead role on declassifying the information, the Guardian reported -- leaving much of the fate of the highly critical report in the agency's own hands.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
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