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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 9402

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
Jockmcplop
Profile Blog Joined February 2012
United Kingdom9760 Posts
December 03 2017 19:15 GMT
#188021
On December 04 2017 04:14 hunts wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 04 2017 03:57 nojok wrote:
On December 04 2017 03:29 hunts wrote:
On December 04 2017 02:51 Danglars wrote:
On December 04 2017 02:15 Biff The Understudy wrote:
On December 04 2017 01:53 Gorsameth wrote:
Yeah, fake news was clear enough until the side spreading the fake news muddied the water to stop the impact of the accusation.

I have to say that Trump and his supporters dodging the fact that actual bogus news websites got him elected by deflecting it to use the term on CNN or the NYT is quite virtuosic. It was a new phenomenon that questioned demicracy at the age of mass media, it has become another stinky populistic slogan used by the clown in chief to attack people who hold him accountable.

I also wonder if when Danglar and co use the term, they are simply insulting our intelligence or if they are too deep into their own bs to see what has happened there (i didn’t say stoopid).

I use the term accurately, and Trump does not. Hold your journalists and opinion columnists accountable, boys. Don’t give in to thinking one blowhard invalidates every questions in integrity ... it’s pretty obvious the CNN vs Trump war has plenty to dislike on both sides.


So if you were to classify fox and breitbart as A) fake news or B)news which would you pick, and why?

False dichotomy.


How so? Or do you just want to say that with no reason and hope for it to be the end of that?


I'm guessing because there are many tv shows that present opinion without being either news or fake news.
RIP Meatloaf <3
Slaughter
Profile Blog Joined November 2003
United States20254 Posts
December 03 2017 19:21 GMT
#188022
On December 04 2017 04:15 Jockmcplop wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 04 2017 04:14 hunts wrote:
On December 04 2017 03:57 nojok wrote:
On December 04 2017 03:29 hunts wrote:
On December 04 2017 02:51 Danglars wrote:
On December 04 2017 02:15 Biff The Understudy wrote:
On December 04 2017 01:53 Gorsameth wrote:
Yeah, fake news was clear enough until the side spreading the fake news muddied the water to stop the impact of the accusation.

I have to say that Trump and his supporters dodging the fact that actual bogus news websites got him elected by deflecting it to use the term on CNN or the NYT is quite virtuosic. It was a new phenomenon that questioned demicracy at the age of mass media, it has become another stinky populistic slogan used by the clown in chief to attack people who hold him accountable.

I also wonder if when Danglar and co use the term, they are simply insulting our intelligence or if they are too deep into their own bs to see what has happened there (i didn’t say stoopid).

I use the term accurately, and Trump does not. Hold your journalists and opinion columnists accountable, boys. Don’t give in to thinking one blowhard invalidates every questions in integrity ... it’s pretty obvious the CNN vs Trump war has plenty to dislike on both sides.


So if you were to classify fox and breitbart as A) fake news or B)news which would you pick, and why?

False dichotomy.


How so? Or do you just want to say that with no reason and hope for it to be the end of that?


I'm guessing because there are many tv shows that present opinion without being either news or fake news.


Yea this is a problem. Many people take everything from a journalistic source as "news" when a lot of them produce a lot of content that is opinions and commentary and not news itself.
Never Knows Best.
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-12-03 19:24:43
December 03 2017 19:23 GMT
#188023
On December 04 2017 03:00 Nevuk wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 04 2017 02:54 Danglars wrote:
On December 04 2017 02:25 NewSunshine wrote:
I have to assume they're using it at least half sarcastically, or perhaps from a "I don't use the term seriously, but this is how people who do think about it" kind of perspective. Because anyone who sincerely labels things as Fake News and thinks they have the makings of intelligent discussion before them are delusional.

Some of it is obviously tongue-in-cheek and humorous use. To claim it’s always a serious charge would be Fake News.

Show nested quote +
A new CBS News poll finds 71 percent of Alabama Republicans say the allegations against Roy Moore are false, and those who believe this also overwhelmingly believe Democrats and the media are behind those allegations.


www.cbsnews.com

Even though they're tongue in cheek it makes it easy for people to dismiss certain allegations like this

I won’t use it for that because the claims are credible. Like Trump, his ardent followers misuse it for political cover.
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
December 03 2017 19:28 GMT
#188024
On December 04 2017 03:21 Zambrah wrote:
I feel like the "its just a joke, guys!" is so obnoxious because so many dumb, dumb Americans don't know its a joke, they take it literally. They think major news networks just wholly fabricate stories out of nothing. Because they're too dumb to get tongue-in-cheek humor.

Not saying that plenty of major news networks always properly cite and source and do their homework before publishing, but thats still a step away from Pizzagate actual fabricated stories.

The term evolved to mean stories that twist the truth or tell complete falsehood. I still find it humorous that journos in Nov/Dec 2016 didn’t anticipate the lynchpin term of their narrative falling prey to counter-spin.
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
Nevuk
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States16280 Posts
December 03 2017 19:31 GMT
#188025
Trump Finds Loopholes in Chief of Staff’s New Regime

WASHINGTON—Chief of Staff John Kelly over the past five months has imposed discipline and rigorous protocols on a freewheeling White House. But President Donald Trump has found the loopholes.

The president on occasion has called White House aides to the private residence in the evening, where he makes assignments and asks them not tell Mr. Kelly about the plans, according to several people familiar with the matter. At least once, aides have declined to carry out the requested task so as not to run afoul of Mr. Kelly, one of these people said.

The president, who values counsel from an informal group of confidants outside the White House, also sometimes bypasses the normal scheduling for phone calls that give other White House staff, including Mr. Kelly, some control and influence over who the president talks to and when.

Instead, some of his friends have taken to calling Melania Trump and asking her to pass messages to her husband, according to two people familiar with the matter. They say that since she arrived in the White House from New York in the summer, the first lady has taken on a more central role as a political adviser to the president.

“If I don’t want to wait 24 hours for a call from the president, getting to Melania is much easier,” one person said.

A spokeswoman for Mrs. Trump said: “This is more fake news and these are more anonymous sources peddling things that just aren’t true. The First Lady is focused on her own work in the East Wing.” The White House declined to provide comment.

Mr. Kelly has frequently said that it is his job to control the White House below the president, rather than the president himself. The president’s penchant for what one confidant dubbed “workarounds” to the new White House protocols shows the limits of Mr. Kelly’s approach.

“John has been successful at putting in place a stronger chain of command in the White House, requiring people to go through him to get to the Oval Office,” said Leon Panetta, a White House chief of staff under President Bill Clinton who worked with Mr. Kelly, a four-star Marine general, in the Department of Defense. “The problem has always been whether or not the president is going to accept better discipline in the way he operates. He’s been less successful at that.”

Still, White House staffers say that Mr. Trump’s working relationship with Mr. Kelly remains strong and that the two men appear to have found an equilibrium that suggests Mr. Kelly could be in place for a long time, with the chief of staff focusing on running White House operations while the president takes a freer hand with his own agenda and communications, even if that at times leaves the chief of staff out of the loop.

“This is all just inevitable,” said one person close to Mr. Trump. “It’s not that Mr. Kelly is wrong—we all know he’s terribly competent.”

Presidents have long made a point of staying in contact with friends and outside advisers; former President Barack Obama successfully argued with handlers to keep his BlackBerry to remain in touch with the world beyond the White House. What’s striking about Mr. Trump’s actions is that he is circumventing protocols that advisers say are intended to help him.

Since arriving in July, Mr. Kelly has clamped down on a number of practices that aides say made the White House’s internal operations chaotic in the first several months of the Trump presidency. He has told staff there will be no more patching through calls from Trump friends outside the White House who wanted to weigh in on the news; instead they would need appointments. And he stopped aides from wandering into the Oval Office to try to get time with the president.

Mr. Kelly has never aspired to control the president’s Twitter feed, however, which continues to create news, promote the president’s agenda and draw criticism. Just last week, Mr. Trump’s tweets prompted top congressional Democrats to cancel a meeting to discuss the looming deadline for a deal to avoid a government shutdown. He also​ drew a rebuke from British Prime Minister Theresa May for retweeting videos posted by a far-right British nationalist group that purported to show violence committed by Muslims.

On Nov. 12, with many of Mr. Trump’s senior military and diplomatic advisers arguing for diplomacy with North Korea, the president tweeted that the country’s leader, Kim Jong Un, was “short and fat.” Asked about the tweet, posted during the president’s trip to Asia, Mr. Kelly shrugged.

“Believe it or not—I don’t follow the tweets,” he said, adding that he urges White House policy staff not to be influenced by the missives and does not himself use Twitter. “We develop policy in the normal traditional staff way.”

Those who have watched the two men interact said their personalities are too different to ever be very close. “Kelly is too much of a general, and Trump is too much Trump,” one White House official said. But Mr. Trump continues to hold Mr. Kelly in high regard, these people say. He frequently calls out Mr. Kelly during his public appearances.

At a briefing on Hurricane Maria relief efforts in Puerto Rico earlier in the fall, Mr. Trump noted Mr. Kelly’s presence in the back of the room.

“He likes to keep a low profile; Look at him sitting in the back,” Mr. Trump continued. “But, boy, is he watching—you have no idea.”
www.wsj.com
Slydie
Profile Joined August 2013
1929 Posts
December 03 2017 19:44 GMT
#188026
On December 04 2017 04:28 Danglars wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 04 2017 03:21 Zambrah wrote:
I feel like the "its just a joke, guys!" is so obnoxious because so many dumb, dumb Americans don't know its a joke, they take it literally. They think major news networks just wholly fabricate stories out of nothing. Because they're too dumb to get tongue-in-cheek humor.

Not saying that plenty of major news networks always properly cite and source and do their homework before publishing, but thats still a step away from Pizzagate actual fabricated stories.

The term evolved to mean stories that twist the truth or tell complete falsehood. I still find it humorous that journos in Nov/Dec 2016 didn’t anticipate the lynchpin term of their narrative falling prey to counter-spin.


Yup, it was one of the Trump team's best moves! "Accuse your opponent of what you are guilty of."
Buff the siegetank
mozoku
Profile Joined September 2012
United States708 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-12-03 20:03:42
December 03 2017 19:45 GMT
#188027
On December 03 2017 20:49 Gahlo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 03 2017 17:29 mozoku wrote:
Meh, I don't see how the status quo with Uber and Amazon is bad for the consumer. Retail and ridesharing are industries where the consumer is always going to be chasing the lowest price so rent-seeking is going to be challenging for both of them if they want to pursue that path. Google and Facebook are much more worrisome imo for a number of reasons--larger market share, no notable competition, more difficult for consumers to simply leave the platform, overall too much control over the internet, etc.

Amazon employs far less people than the businesses that it replaces. Plus Amazon is shit to its workers. If you wipe out retail outside of Amazon there will be mass unemployment. Amazon is basically online Walmart.

What, are you a luddite or something? Isn't that the point? Better output with less manhours? Businesses don't exist to provide people with unneeded jobs. What do you think happens when productivity increases? This is how the economy has worked since forever.

Also I have a little inside info on this one and can assure you that the NYT article on corporate working conditions isn't really accurate at all, at least in 2017.
Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
December 03 2017 19:53 GMT
#188028
yep have to agree with that. People wasting away their lives in retail jobs isn't exactly something we need to keep doing.
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43402 Posts
December 03 2017 20:00 GMT
#188029
But we still value humans according to the value of their labour. If we're going to make human service labour increasing obsolete then we're also going to need to decide what the resulting society should look like.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
December 03 2017 20:11 GMT
#188030
But we still value humans according to the value of their labour.


I think that idea will need to go in the near future, or at least become less important. But increase in productivity is essentially 'free stuff'. If we allow the replacement by more productive machines and just send you a check we'd still win. And I don't think it's really preventable either way, technology is pretty much the only thing you can't roll back.
mozoku
Profile Joined September 2012
United States708 Posts
December 03 2017 20:12 GMT
#188031
Sure, but we're not even sure human labor is becoming increasingly obsolete yet. Historically, technology has created more jobs than it has destroyed.
Gahlo
Profile Joined February 2010
United States35165 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-12-03 20:15:36
December 03 2017 20:14 GMT
#188032
On December 04 2017 04:45 mozoku wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 03 2017 20:49 Gahlo wrote:
On December 03 2017 17:29 mozoku wrote:
Meh, I don't see how the status quo with Uber and Amazon is bad for the consumer. Retail and ridesharing are industries where the consumer is always going to be chasing the lowest price so rent-seeking is going to be challenging for both of them if they want to pursue that path. Google and Facebook are much more worrisome imo for a number of reasons--larger market share, no notable competition, more difficult for consumers to simply leave the platform, overall too much control over the internet, etc.

Amazon employs far less people than the businesses that it replaces. Plus Amazon is shit to its workers. If you wipe out retail outside of Amazon there will be mass unemployment. Amazon is basically online Walmart.

What, are you a luddite or something? Isn't that the point? Better output with less manhours? Businesses don't exist to provide people with unneeded jobs. What do you think happens when productivity increases? This is how the economy has worked since forever.

Also I have a little inside info on this one and can assure you that the NYT article on corporate working conditions isn't really accurate at all, at least in 2017.

Does the company need to employ more people? No, but society needs those people to be employed. What do you think the consumer base is?

I worked at Amazon in late 2016. I have a friend that still works there. Shit sucks.
Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-12-03 20:14:47
December 03 2017 20:14 GMT
#188033
On December 04 2017 05:12 mozoku wrote:
Sure, but we're not even sure human labor is becoming increasingly obsolete yet. Historically, technology has created more jobs than it has destroyed.


The rate of the change is a problem. We never had to seriously retrain people before and the outcomes so far are really bad. 50 years ago if you worked a job that was going to go away you needed to get your kids into higher education, nowadays people might find themselves replaced in ten or twenty years.
xDaunt
Profile Joined March 2010
United States17988 Posts
December 03 2017 20:16 GMT
#188034
We have always found ways to reallocate human capital in light of technological changes. There is no reason to believe that won’t continue. Just think of all of the types of jobs that exist today that were unimaginable just a generation ago.
Gahlo
Profile Joined February 2010
United States35165 Posts
December 03 2017 20:17 GMT
#188035
On December 04 2017 05:16 xDaunt wrote:
We have always found ways to reallocate human capital in light of technological changes. There is no reason to believe that won’t continue. Just think of all of the types of jobs that exist today that were unimaginable just a generation ago.

How many of those new jobs are low skill jobs? How many people do those employ compared to the industries that will be heavily impacted?
kollin
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United Kingdom8380 Posts
December 03 2017 20:18 GMT
#188036
When automation starts removing jobs faster than they can be replaced, and assuming the welfare state does not adjust to accommodate this, do we enter a cycle of boom and bust in which companies end up rehiring people when business dries up because of mass unemployment? Or is that a dumb question
Nebuchad
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Switzerland12379 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-12-03 20:22:28
December 03 2017 20:22 GMT
#188037
On December 04 2017 04:28 Danglars wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 04 2017 03:21 Zambrah wrote:
I feel like the "its just a joke, guys!" is so obnoxious because so many dumb, dumb Americans don't know its a joke, they take it literally. They think major news networks just wholly fabricate stories out of nothing. Because they're too dumb to get tongue-in-cheek humor.

Not saying that plenty of major news networks always properly cite and source and do their homework before publishing, but thats still a step away from Pizzagate actual fabricated stories.

The term evolved to mean stories that twist the truth or tell complete falsehood. I still find it humorous that journos in Nov/Dec 2016 didn’t anticipate the lynchpin term of their narrative falling prey to counter-spin.


It was hard to anticipate because it wasn't their narrative or their spin, it was just the truth. Predicting that no one cares about the truth doesn't come easy to most people.
No will to live, no wish to die
Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
December 03 2017 20:26 GMT
#188038
On December 04 2017 05:16 xDaunt wrote:
We have always found ways to reallocate human capital in light of technological changes. There is no reason to believe that won’t continue. Just think of all of the types of jobs that exist today that were unimaginable just a generation ago.


I'm not in pessimist camp myself but that the rate of change itself has accelerated has to be acknowledged. The general promise of dynamic economies is that they rise living standards and employment opportunities for vast amounts of people. There's already been a disconnected since the 'internet revolution', and we also need to pay attention to the fact that highly individualistic jobs might not be for everyone.

If you've worked a unionised manufacturing job with steady times at the same workplace it's not that easy to turn you into a freewheeling knowledge worker. I'm pretty sure it can be done but it's not going to happen by itself or by cutting important transitional programs.
Ciaus_Dronu
Profile Joined June 2017
South Africa1848 Posts
December 03 2017 20:30 GMT
#188039
On December 04 2017 05:16 xDaunt wrote:
We have always found ways to reallocate human capital in light of technological changes. There is no reason to believe that won’t continue. Just think of all of the types of jobs that exist today that were unimaginable just a generation ago.


There's plenty of reason.
None of the prior technological advancements allowed one person to run an entire damn factor.
Further, technological change is an accelerating process, especially in light of AI coming onto the scene. The kind of job turnover we are going to see in the next decade is going to happen very very fast and be widespread.
Further, let's say there will be your proposed openings in new types of job. Very high chance these jobs are not going to be all that unskilled (by virtue of the fact that now technology will easily make such a job obsolete as it emerges), so it will take training and money (likely that of the workers, by their own unemployed pockets) and time to adapt to these positions opening up. Transitioning into basic factory work required decidedly less so, to look at history for a moment.

Also, by the way AI research is going, it's not just manual labour that's going to go out the window. A frightening amount of accounting, law and administration is beginning to look like it could be automated.


zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
December 03 2017 20:34 GMT
#188040
On December 04 2017 05:30 Ciaus_Dronu wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 04 2017 05:16 xDaunt wrote:
We have always found ways to reallocate human capital in light of technological changes. There is no reason to believe that won’t continue. Just think of all of the types of jobs that exist today that were unimaginable just a generation ago.


There's plenty of reason.
None of the prior technological advancements allowed one person to run an entire damn factor.
Further, technological change is an accelerating process, especially in light of AI coming onto the scene. The kind of job turnover we are going to see in the next decade is going to happen very very fast and be widespread.
Further, let's say there will be your proposed openings in new types of job. Very high chance these jobs are not going to be all that unskilled (by virtue of the fact that now technology will easily make such a job obsolete as it emerges), so it will take training and money (likely that of the workers, by their own unemployed pockets) and time to adapt to these positions opening up. Transitioning into basic factory work required decidedly less so, to look at history for a moment.

Also, by the way AI research is going, it's not just manual labour that's going to go out the window. A frightening amount of accounting, law and administration is beginning to look like it could be automated.



accounting has already been automated massively; it's FAR easier to automate than manual labor, at leas tmany parts of it are.
the same is true of a fair number of other administrative tasks.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
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