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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 8299

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
Nevuk
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States16280 Posts
August 04 2017 00:14 GMT
#165961
On August 04 2017 09:01 KwarK wrote:
Thing is, even if 25% gets chopped off the markets overnight they'll still be significantly above where they were when people started saying they were overvalued and in need of a correction. If you'd stayed out of the market because it was overvalued you'd be below where the nadir of the next crash will be.

It's not quite as ridiculous as in 2007-2008 when pretty much everyone knowledgeable was admitting real estate was ridiculously overinflated, but there seems to be widespread agreement that the markets are overdue for a correction. That's not a reason to not invest, but it is a reason to exercise slight caution, I'd say. (I don't think there's going to be a correction for at least a few more months though, maybe 1-2 years. There, I'm now throwing my hat in the economic ring based off of nothing but random subconscious instincts and the voices in my head. I think that may make me slightly better than the average CNBC commentator)
TheTenthDoc
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States9561 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-08-04 00:53:05
August 04 2017 00:14 GMT
#165962
Apparently Russian twitter botnets are now pushing #firemcmaster (whether because he is generally not a big Russia fan or because his investigations into the sinister evil unmasking Obama plot seems to have turned up nothing). And it even got picked up by Hannity, and Breitbart is now calling for his head.

On August 04 2017 08:24 FueledUpAndReadyToGo wrote:
The full transcripts of the calls with Mexico and Australia are amazing. As leaks go, I think this really goes too far and we shouldn't be able to get these. But it's very juicy to read.

Turnbull pretty much gives Trump an out to the consequences of the refugee deal on a silver platter, he can vet and deny any of the refugees but he just has to accept the process as agreed upon between the countries before. But Trump just loses it and thinks he's getting fucked, ragequits the call before discussing Syria and NK.


Personally, I kind of feel like these transcripts are actually the kinds of things governments should 100% release to their citizens in the interest of transparency (albeit with classified or sensitive information redacted). Knowing how an elected leader is speaking to/interacting with foreign dignitaries seems like something the people should know.

(of course, it becomes difficult when the elected leader gets to decide what's sensitive and you get a document full of black bars)
ChristianS
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States3277 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-08-04 01:00:23
August 04 2017 00:57 GMT
#165963
So I saw an interesting r/t_d list of campaign promises Trump has supposedly kept, apparently in an effort to combat the "incompetent" criticism. It's a weird read - obviously it hasn't made any effort to catalogue the promises he hasn't kept, but even for the ones it does list, the "proof" of having kept the promise is often "the WH has put out a proposal" or something similar. It also reads like a home-written persuasive pamphlet, with lines like
Trump has increased our military budget because we don't want to use our military, but want to be prepared to use it

I wondered what you guys think about it. How many of these promises do you think can reasonably be described as "kept?"

Edit: and what's your favorite one on their list? Mine's this one:
Campaign Promise 21: Trump could be the president that takes us to Mars!

      -Trump signed a Bill allowing NASA funding, including an exploration to Mars
"Never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by stupidity." -Robert J. Hanlon
Gahlo
Profile Joined February 2010
United States35165 Posts
August 04 2017 01:04 GMT
#165964
I'm glad I hold nothing in life as sacred as r/t_d does.
Leporello
Profile Joined January 2011
United States2845 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-08-04 01:11:48
August 04 2017 01:07 GMT
#165965


The day keeps on giving.
There is no 1-hour news program that could possibly even mention all the legitimate news stories of today.
Big water
Yurie
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
12004 Posts
August 04 2017 01:12 GMT
#165966
On August 04 2017 10:07 Leporello wrote:
https://twitter.com/thehill/status/893262754412347392

The day keeps on giving.


From the article it is standard procedure. Used by Democrats when Obama was president as well.
Leporello
Profile Joined January 2011
United States2845 Posts
August 04 2017 01:15 GMT
#165967
On August 04 2017 10:12 Yurie wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 04 2017 10:07 Leporello wrote:
https://twitter.com/thehill/status/893262754412347392

The day keeps on giving.


From the article it is standard procedure. Used by Democrats when Obama was president as well.


Yeah, and it is the day before recess. So it does make sense that today would be an influx of news.
Still worth noting, though. It isn't always used, and with the number of vacancies in this White House, and personnel changes...
Then again, Trump is going golfing for 17 days. Things are going to get nicely boring again.
Big water
ChristianS
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States3277 Posts
August 04 2017 01:16 GMT
#165968
Trump's latest weapon in his fight against the media: slow news cycles
"Never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by stupidity." -Robert J. Hanlon
Doodsmack
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States7224 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-08-04 01:20:12
August 04 2017 01:19 GMT
#165969
On August 04 2017 10:15 Leporello wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 04 2017 10:12 Yurie wrote:
On August 04 2017 10:07 Leporello wrote:
https://twitter.com/thehill/status/893262754412347392

The day keeps on giving.


From the article it is standard procedure. Used by Democrats when Obama was president as well.


Yeah, and it is the day before recess. So it does make sense that today would be an influx of news.
Still worth noting, though. It isn't always used, and with the number of vacancies in this White House, and personnel changes...
Then again, Trump is going golfing for 17 days. Things are going to get nicely boring again.


His vacation is most definitely ruined though. The guy can't handle Russia related news. They had to sequester him at Camp David to keep him from firing Mueller.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
August 04 2017 01:31 GMT
#165970
In the latest delay of a White House trade move, a planned Friday announcement of President Donald Trump's trade action against China has been postponed, two people familiar with the matter said.

Sources previously told POLITICO Trump was slated to hold an event at the White House on Friday in which he would direct U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer to open an investigation under Section 301 of the Trade Act of 1974 over what the administration views as Chinese violations of U.S. intellectual property rights and forced technology transfer.

The sources did not give an explanation for why the announcement was postponed, nor did they provide a date for when it would be rescheduled. A White House spokeswoman did not immediately comment.

The move would immediately ramp up tensions between Washington and Beijing — and could lead to steep tariffs on Chinese goods. Trump has expressed frustration in recent months over what he sees as China's unfair trade policies, and he's come up empty in his efforts to pressure Beijing to use its leverage over North Korea — as its main trading partner — to get Pyongyang to rein in its nuclear missile program.

Although Trump is still expected to instruct Lighthizer to carry out the investigation as early as next week, his administration has been marked by several delays on the trade front.

Two Commerce Department reports examining whether to restrict steel and aluminum imports on national security grounds were expected by the end of June but have been bottled up in an internal review. Trading partners raised threats of retaliation and domestic steel users complained of being hurt by price increases and restricted supply.

There also has been no sign of a third pending report, examining the causes of significant bilateral trade deficits, which was also due by the end of June.

Democrats, who are eager to prove to voters that they are tougher on trade than the tough-talking Trump, have accused the president of being all mouth and no action.

“There is a real cost to all the overhyped rhetoric, when the follow-through isn’t there,” Ron Wyden, the top Democrat on the Senate Finance Committee, said Thursday.

One result of the White House's delayed action has been a spike in steel imports over the last few months by foreign suppliers looking to avoid tariff increases that could result if Trump follows through on his threatened action.

“This episode demonstrates how tough talk without a real strategy hurts American workers,” Wyden said.

Any so-called Section 301 action by the administration against China would produce a lengthy investigation that could extend into all aspects of Chinese industrial policies. Unilateral U.S. trade sanctions could be the ultimate result.

Section 301 allows the U.S. to take unilateral action against countries that impose barriers to U.S. exports. That could take the form of increased import duties, but that would likely violate WTO rules. So the administration could look for some other form of retaliation, like restricting Chinese investment in the United States.

U.S. companies have complained they are often forced to share valuable technology with Chinese counterparts as a condition of doing business in the country.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
ShoCkeyy
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
7815 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-08-04 01:48:20
August 04 2017 01:47 GMT
#165971
http://m.huffpost.com/us/entry/us_598243cae4b06d4888741ea0?ncid=edlinkushpmg00000313

McMaster Fires Controversial Staffer From National Security Council Post

Ezra Cohen-Watnick’s ouster continues National Security Adviser H.R. McMaster’s purge of nationalistic viewpoints from the NSC.

National Security Adviser H.R. McMaster has removed an ally of his predecessor from the National Security Council, the White House said Wednesday.

Ezra Cohen-Watnick, 31, senior director for intelligence programs at the NSC, was hired by Michael Flynn, Trump’s first national security adviser. Flynn was fired in February after it was revealed he discussed Russia sanctions with that country’s ambassador to the U.S. prior to President Donald Trump’s inauguration, then lied about it.
Life?
TheTenthDoc
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States9561 Posts
August 04 2017 02:41 GMT
#165972
On August 04 2017 10:15 Leporello wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 04 2017 10:12 Yurie wrote:
On August 04 2017 10:07 Leporello wrote:
https://twitter.com/thehill/status/893262754412347392

The day keeps on giving.


From the article it is standard procedure. Used by Democrats when Obama was president as well.


Yeah, and it is the day before recess. So it does make sense that today would be an influx of news.
Still worth noting, though. It isn't always used, and with the number of vacancies in this White House, and personnel changes...
Then again, Trump is going golfing for 17 days. Things are going to get nicely boring again.


That means he has even more time to tweet and even fewer politically capable people advising him about what to comment on and what not to comment on. Don't count on things getting boring.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
August 04 2017 02:51 GMT
#165973
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Tachion
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Canada8573 Posts
August 04 2017 02:54 GMT
#165974
On August 04 2017 10:47 ShoCkeyy wrote:
http://m.huffpost.com/us/entry/us_598243cae4b06d4888741ea0?ncid=edlinkushpmg00000313

Show nested quote +
McMaster Fires Controversial Staffer From National Security Council Post

Ezra Cohen-Watnick’s ouster continues National Security Adviser H.R. McMaster’s purge of nationalistic viewpoints from the NSC.

National Security Adviser H.R. McMaster has removed an ally of his predecessor from the National Security Council, the White House said Wednesday.

Ezra Cohen-Watnick, 31, senior director for intelligence programs at the NSC, was hired by Michael Flynn, Trump’s first national security adviser. Flynn was fired in February after it was revealed he discussed Russia sanctions with that country’s ambassador to the U.S. prior to President Donald Trump’s inauguration, then lied about it.

Not much is really known about Cohen, so I'm just left wondering what changed between now and a few months ago when McMaster tried to have Cohen removed and Trump intervened at the request of Bannon and Kushner and said no.
i was driving down the road this november eve and spotted a hitchhiker walking down the street. i pulled over and saw that it was only a tree. i uprooted it and put it in my trunk. do trees like marshmallow peeps? cause that's all i have and will have.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
August 04 2017 03:07 GMT
#165975
So once again I wonder which FP official is currently the dominant one for leading policy. Tillerson is starting to come into his own, Mattis is being himself. Kushner has a track record of decision making no better than Clinton. McMaster looks like he has his hands full with internal stupid.

Guess it depends how tolerant Trump is of failure.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Wulfey_LA
Profile Joined April 2017
932 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-08-04 03:48:37
August 04 2017 03:45 GMT
#165976
On August 04 2017 12:07 LegalLord wrote:
So once again I wonder which FP official is currently the dominant one for leading policy. Tillerson is starting to come into his own, Mattis is being himself. Kushner has a track record of decision making no better than Clinton. McMaster looks like he has his hands full with internal stupid.

Guess it depends how tolerant Trump is of failure.


The Generals are winning decisively. Gen Kelly tossed Mooch and is screening info that goes to DJT for factual content. Gen Mattis ignores Trump's tweets (see NK snafu and transgender stuff). Gen McMaster is purging Trumpkins and running intel without having to talk to DJT (DJT can't read a whole piece of paper so he can't participate). Whatever the Generals want, will be happening in a few months.
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States14075 Posts
August 04 2017 03:51 GMT
#165977
On August 04 2017 12:45 Wulfey_LA wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 04 2017 12:07 LegalLord wrote:
So once again I wonder which FP official is currently the dominant one for leading policy. Tillerson is starting to come into his own, Mattis is being himself. Kushner has a track record of decision making no better than Clinton. McMaster looks like he has his hands full with internal stupid.

Guess it depends how tolerant Trump is of failure.


The Generals are winning decisively. Gen Kelly tossed Mooch and is screening info that goes to DJT for factual content. Gen Mattis ignores Trump's tweets (see NK snafu and transgender stuff). Gen McMaster is purging Trumpkins and running intel without having to talk to DJT (DJT can't read a whole piece of paper so he can't participate). Whatever the Generals want, will be happening in a few months.

Should we be happy or scared that Generals are now basically controlling anything important in the executive?
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
Nevuk
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States16280 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-08-04 03:59:01
August 04 2017 03:58 GMT
#165978
On August 04 2017 12:51 Sermokala wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 04 2017 12:45 Wulfey_LA wrote:
On August 04 2017 12:07 LegalLord wrote:
So once again I wonder which FP official is currently the dominant one for leading policy. Tillerson is starting to come into his own, Mattis is being himself. Kushner has a track record of decision making no better than Clinton. McMaster looks like he has his hands full with internal stupid.

Guess it depends how tolerant Trump is of failure.


The Generals are winning decisively. Gen Kelly tossed Mooch and is screening info that goes to DJT for factual content. Gen Mattis ignores Trump's tweets (see NK snafu and transgender stuff). Gen McMaster is purging Trumpkins and running intel without having to talk to DJT (DJT can't read a whole piece of paper so he can't participate). Whatever the Generals want, will be happening in a few months.

Should we be happy or scared that Generals are now basically controlling anything important in the executive?

Both. It's a terrible sign, and would be completely awful if only the alternative wasn't somehow worse - Trump's collection of refuse of the GOP from decades past combined deciding policy with nationalistic fervor and a book of Hitler's speeches on the bedside table.

There's a reason Congress has, at every time in the past, blasted the shit out of the executive branch when they tapped a military member for a cabinet position.
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
August 04 2017 04:04 GMT
#165979
On August 04 2017 08:24 FueledUpAndReadyToGo wrote:
The full transcripts of the calls with Mexico and Australia are amazing. As leaks go, I think this really goes too far and we shouldn't be able to get these. But it's very juicy to read.

I'm glad to find you have a limit to what leaks go too far. It's kind of sad to see the 'anything goes' attitudes around here.

On August 04 2017 12:07 LegalLord wrote:
So once again I wonder which FP official is currently the dominant one for leading policy. Tillerson is starting to come into his own, Mattis is being himself. Kushner has a track record of decision making no better than Clinton. McMaster looks like he has his hands full with internal stupid.

Guess it depends how tolerant Trump is of failure.

Kushner & Co have got to go. Sadly, they're about the least likely of that bunch because Trump prized loyalty above all else and they're family.
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
ZerOCoolSC2
Profile Blog Joined February 2015
9021 Posts
August 04 2017 04:09 GMT
#165980
On August 04 2017 13:04 Danglars wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 04 2017 08:24 FueledUpAndReadyToGo wrote:
The full transcripts of the calls with Mexico and Australia are amazing. As leaks go, I think this really goes too far and we shouldn't be able to get these. But it's very juicy to read.

I'm glad to find you have a limit to what leaks go too far. It's kind of sad to see the 'anything goes' attitudes around here.

Show nested quote +
On August 04 2017 12:07 LegalLord wrote:
So once again I wonder which FP official is currently the dominant one for leading policy. Tillerson is starting to come into his own, Mattis is being himself. Kushner has a track record of decision making no better than Clinton. McMaster looks like he has his hands full with internal stupid.

Guess it depends how tolerant Trump is of failure.

Kushner & Co have got to go. Sadly, they're about the least likely of that bunch because Trump prized loyalty above all else and they're family.

Anything goes because this is the least qualified administration in recent decades. The more information we get about just how inept this group is, the better voters will be wary with how to spend that vote in the future. Remember we didn't have nearly as much to talk about with Obama except actual policy. Boring.
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