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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 7428

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
biology]major
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States2253 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-05-01 21:41:17
May 01 2017 21:41 GMT
#148541
Trump could have so much more power right now if he played his hand right, with the infrastructure bill, repeal healthcare, tax plan, not saying dumb things.. the list goes on. Lucky for him the democrats are in complete disarray. Do you guys see the dems retaking the house and/or senate?
Question.?
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
May 01 2017 21:43 GMT
#148542
On May 02 2017 06:41 biology]major wrote:
Trump could have so much more power right now if he played his hand right, with the infrastructure bill, repeal healthcare, tax plan, not saying dumb things.. the list goes on. Lucky for him the democrats are in complete disarray. Do you guys see the dems retaking the house and/or senate?

We are a long way from 2018 elections, but there is a good chance they could eat away the thin margins in both. The House is more likely.

But never put it past the DNC to be deeply stupid. These are the people who are still blaming Fox News for losing to Bush twice.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United Kingdom13775 Posts
May 01 2017 21:51 GMT
#148543
At this rate I am expecting the DNC to make sure none of the damn populists undermine the establishment consensus, even if it means a few seats must be sacrificed.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
May 01 2017 22:08 GMT
#148544
As Trump appointees take their new positions in the federal bureaucracy, a legal battle is escalating over alleged intimidation of the civil servants who make the government function.

The nonprofit United to Protect Democracy is suing the Departments of Energy and of Health and Human Services for records that would document or disprove such allegations. One of the group's lawyers, Ben Berwick, wrote in an online post that the goal is "protecting the civil service from purges, intimidation or politicization."

The DOE suit seeks documents concerning an attempt by the Trump transition team to get the names of civil servants and contractors who worked on climate change programs. The HHS case seeks similar documents that would have targeted employees who worked or expressed views on the Affordable Care Act or abortion rights.

United to Protect Democracy, which includes some lawyers from the Obama White House, earlier filed Freedom of Information Act requests for the documents. The law allows a FOIA requester to sue if an agency fails to act promptly; the group alleges that has happened.

The nonprofit wrote in the complaints that its mission "is to protect our democracy from descending into a more autocratic form of government."

DOE's press office declined to comment on pending litigation. The HHS press office has not responded to requests for comment.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Mercy13
Profile Joined January 2011
United States718 Posts
May 01 2017 22:10 GMT
#148545
On May 02 2017 06:41 biology]major wrote:
Trump could have so much more power right now if he played his hand right, with the infrastructure bill, repeal healthcare, tax plan, not saying dumb things.. the list goes on. Lucky for him the democrats are in complete disarray. Do you guys see the dems retaking the house and/or senate?


The Dems are in disarray with respect to their messaging for sure, but they seem to be doing a pretty good job resisting Trump's agenda (no doubt helped on by his incompetence).

The budget deal seems like a good example of this. Based on what I've read I think it's a pretty big win for Dems. I thought they would have to at least toss a few billion at the wall.
Nevuk
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States16280 Posts
May 01 2017 22:12 GMT
#148546
The issue with the wall is not even the house GOP thinks it's a good idea, let alone the senators there. Even if you agree with the premise of the wall (lower rates of immigration) building a giant middle finger on the border would probably be more effective at it.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
May 01 2017 22:13 GMT
#148547
On May 02 2017 07:10 Mercy13 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 02 2017 06:41 biology]major wrote:
Trump could have so much more power right now if he played his hand right, with the infrastructure bill, repeal healthcare, tax plan, not saying dumb things.. the list goes on. Lucky for him the democrats are in complete disarray. Do you guys see the dems retaking the house and/or senate?


The Dems are in disarray with respect to their messaging for sure, but they seem to be doing a pretty good job resisting Trump's agenda (no doubt helped on by his incompetence).

The budget deal seems like a good example of this. Based on what I've read I think it's a pretty big win for Dems. I thought they would have to at least toss a few billion at the wall.

The Democrats plan of just watching the dumpster fire burn and extracting concessions to keep the goverment functioning seems to be working in their favor. And just ignoring the undead thing that is the GOPs healthcare bill.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-05-01 22:30:46
May 01 2017 22:29 GMT
#148548
On May 02 2017 06:41 biology]major wrote:
Trump could have so much more power right now if he played his hand right, with the infrastructure bill, repeal healthcare, tax plan, not saying dumb things.. the list goes on. Lucky for him the democrats are in complete disarray. Do you guys see the dems retaking the house and/or senate?

2020 They could do the senate. 2018 is sketchy given how many red states Dems defend.
As for the House, it's anyone's guess in 2020. Trump's up for re-election. With no Obamacare repeal, wall, or tax plan, voters are going to wonder why they should vote Republican.
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
May 01 2017 22:44 GMT
#148549
On May 02 2017 06:10 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 02 2017 06:05 GreenHorizons wrote:
On May 02 2017 05:40 Plansix wrote:
On May 02 2017 05:32 GreenHorizons wrote:
On May 02 2017 04:27 Plansix wrote:
On May 02 2017 04:21 GreenHorizons wrote:
On May 02 2017 04:14 Plansix wrote:
It would be bad. Not sure about world ending for the party. The current leadership and charter for sure. I don’t know if the case will survive that long though. I would expect it to settle around the time mid terms ramp up.


Wow, really, you think they'll settle? I mean, I know they are legal arguments, but it doesn't seem the DNC has a problem with making it clear that they are not a (d)emocratic party and have never presumed themselves one despite repeated assertions otherwise.

I know Hillary diehards are on board for that, but most of the country thinks that sounds ridiculous. Which is probably why you see 0 reports on it in corporate media.

The vast majority of litigation settles rather than go to trial. I don’t see why this case is going to be an exception.


I just presumed the thought was it was going to get thrown out. That the Democratic party is going to settle a suit that claims they aren't democratic (despite their and many others assertions otherwise) seems like it would be worthy of some coverage. Why do you think the corporate media has completely ignored it?

Court cases are boring and you don’t know much until they go to trial. Documents produced in discovery are rarely filed with the court. Attorneys for both sides refuse to talk to the media and people involved with the case are instructed to do the same.

And the case was always going to survive a motion to dismiss, which means it goes into the protracted stage known as discovery and procedural motions. Also deeply boring.


I mean, I find it hard to imagine how they can run a primary after this. Maybe court cases are boring (hasn't stopped every bit of minutiae being covered in some), but they are trying to suggest that they both ran an impartial and fair process, but they are under no obligation to do so and they don't know what one would or wouldn't look like.

The DNC is getting called out for the Primary being a farce and their defense is, "It's Legal for it to be a farce". You have to be a complete idiot (or find it personally beneficial) to continue participating in a process like that, (which whatever it is, isn't democracy).

Would they pitch the primary as the best non-democratic event you can "vote" in?

They should be at least mentioning this on all major news outlets, even if it's just a status update.


If our primary still has super delegates in 2020, I think we're getting another 4 years of Trump. Not that I think super delegates are hugely important on their own. But I do think super delegates are a great representation of all the ridiculous bullshit present in the party. Eliminating super delegates would be a signal that the party is modernizing and adapting to a different society.

Out of curiosity, do we have any democrats who still support super delegates? By all indication, super delegates prevented us from having a populist in the year of populism. That's a bummer.

citation needed. all the actual indications and serious statistical analyses i've seen say super delegates did not do that. the rest is some guys speculating that maybe this had some huge effect, but without any real substantiation to it, just a hypothesis thrown out there for people who choose to believe in it.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
May 01 2017 22:50 GMT
#148550
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
biology]major
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States2253 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-05-01 22:58:48
May 01 2017 22:58 GMT
#148551
On May 02 2017 07:29 Danglars wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 02 2017 06:41 biology]major wrote:
Trump could have so much more power right now if he played his hand right, with the infrastructure bill, repeal healthcare, tax plan, not saying dumb things.. the list goes on. Lucky for him the democrats are in complete disarray. Do you guys see the dems retaking the house and/or senate?

2020 They could do the senate. 2018 is sketchy given how many red states Dems defend.
As for the House, it's anyone's guess in 2020. Trump's up for re-election. With no Obamacare repeal, wall, or tax plan, voters are going to wonder why they should vote Republican.


Yeah, the republicans who voted trump are gonna stick with him regardless of what happens(unless nuclear catastrophe). The dems who voted for obama who flipped to trump however, their patience w/ him is going to be purely based on results. So I think trump is on path to be a 1 term president unless hrc or her equivalent in charisma and suspect comes to bat for the dems.
Question.?
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States42867 Posts
May 01 2017 23:08 GMT
#148552
On May 02 2017 06:34 Plansix wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 02 2017 06:32 Mohdoo wrote:
On May 02 2017 06:30 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
On May 02 2017 06:21 Mohdoo wrote:
On May 02 2017 06:19 warding wrote:
If both parties go the populist route in 2020 you might end up with a Macron effect - an independent coming in at the middle (Bloomberg? Cuban? I have to assume it'd be a billionaire) coming across as the only grownup at the race. It'd depend on how much of his base Trumo maintains and how polarized tge Democratic party will be.


Bloomberg is 75 right now. So no on him. I don't think Cuban has a chance. The only billionaires I think have a legit chance at a political career are Zuckerberg, Musk and Gates.


Zuckerberg is actually a legit possibility especially considering his visits to certain battleground states and so on.


Yeah, his particularly peaceful and out of the way method of dealing with his Hawaii property deal also speaks to political aspirations. And he could totally do it. I really think any of the three people I listed would be heavily favor to win in 2020.

As along as he runs for state office first. A straight run for President would be some sort of nightmare. I am also not sure how Facebook deals with him in politics.

He'd just have his wife run Facebook. That's what a blind trust is, right?
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Yurie
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
11865 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-05-01 23:11:14
May 01 2017 23:10 GMT
#148553
On May 02 2017 08:08 KwarK wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 02 2017 06:34 Plansix wrote:
On May 02 2017 06:32 Mohdoo wrote:
On May 02 2017 06:30 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
On May 02 2017 06:21 Mohdoo wrote:
On May 02 2017 06:19 warding wrote:
If both parties go the populist route in 2020 you might end up with a Macron effect - an independent coming in at the middle (Bloomberg? Cuban? I have to assume it'd be a billionaire) coming across as the only grownup at the race. It'd depend on how much of his base Trumo maintains and how polarized tge Democratic party will be.


Bloomberg is 75 right now. So no on him. I don't think Cuban has a chance. The only billionaires I think have a legit chance at a political career are Zuckerberg, Musk and Gates.


Zuckerberg is actually a legit possibility especially considering his visits to certain battleground states and so on.


Yeah, his particularly peaceful and out of the way method of dealing with his Hawaii property deal also speaks to political aspirations. And he could totally do it. I really think any of the three people I listed would be heavily favor to win in 2020.

As along as he runs for state office first. A straight run for President would be some sort of nightmare. I am also not sure how Facebook deals with him in politics.

He'd just have his wife run Facebook. That's what a blind trust is, right?


No he would run a campaign with no donations and no money from the major parties to show how clean he is. Yet strangely be on all facebook ad networks and posts about him would show up in feeds a bit more than they should...
On_Slaught
Profile Joined August 2008
United States12190 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-05-01 23:30:00
May 01 2017 23:29 GMT
#148554
On May 02 2017 07:50 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
https://twitter.com/retrocampaigns/status/859153288389771265


Fuck those people with type 1 diabetes, amirite guys? They didn't live right!
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
May 01 2017 23:32 GMT
#148555
On May 02 2017 08:29 On_Slaught wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 02 2017 07:50 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
https://twitter.com/retrocampaigns/status/859153288389771265


Fuck those people with type 1 diabetes, amirite guys? They didn't live right!

Prosperity gospel is a hell of a drug.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Nevuk
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States16280 Posts
May 01 2017 23:33 GMT
#148556
If they get rid of pre existing conditions coverage they're forfeiting the house in 2018. They still might think it's worth it though.
JimmyJRaynor
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Canada16720 Posts
May 01 2017 23:40 GMT
#148557
some Canadians appreciate the US of A..

20,000 Canadians sing the US Anthem after speaker system breaks down.

Ray Kassar To David Crane : "you're no more important to Atari than the factory workers assembling the cartridges"
biology]major
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States2253 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-05-02 00:00:09
May 01 2017 23:59 GMT
#148558
On May 02 2017 08:33 Nevuk wrote:
If they get rid of pre existing conditions coverage they're forfeiting the house in 2018. They still might think it's worth it though.


This is such a farce, the media has essentially set up pre existing condition coverage as a non negotiable. There can definitely be an adequate insurance system that doesn't cover for pre existing conditions but politically it's basically suicide rn.
Question.?
Nevuk
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States16280 Posts
May 02 2017 00:09 GMT
#148559
On May 02 2017 08:59 biology]major wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 02 2017 08:33 Nevuk wrote:
If they get rid of pre existing conditions coverage they're forfeiting the house in 2018. They still might think it's worth it though.


This is such a farce, the media has essentially set up pre existing condition coverage as a non negotiable. There can definitely be an adequate insurance system that doesn't cover for pre existing conditions but politically it's basically suicide rn.

The ads write themselves - roll out sick children kicked off health insurance by the GOP, talk about how it could have easily been "Your child". Play tone deaf clips of Jason Chaffetz telling people to skip buying an iphone instead of health insurance, depict outraged parent of a 6 year old with brain cancer whose hospital fees amounted to 90 "iphones", say in an ominous tone "It's pretty clear that republicans think phones are more important than children".

Also, there was the time an infant newborn baby got denied coverage for being overweight. That didn't play well.
TheTenthDoc
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States9561 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-05-02 00:13:46
May 02 2017 00:10 GMT
#148560
On May 02 2017 08:59 biology]major wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 02 2017 08:33 Nevuk wrote:
If they get rid of pre existing conditions coverage they're forfeiting the house in 2018. They still might think it's worth it though.


This is such a farce, the media has essentially set up pre existing condition coverage as a non negotiable. There can definitely be an adequate insurance system that doesn't cover for pre existing conditions but politically it's basically suicide rn.


I don't think it can be really laid at the media's feet. For whatever reason the one thing Trump has said over and over on healthcare was that pre-existing condition coverage will be a part of his healthcare bill. Wasn't just him either-it seems like it was part and parcel of every political conservatives "we'll keep the good parts of Obamacare like _____" for the past 4 years.

People told them over and over "that's magical thinking, and your plan won't function or be coherent if you do it." But they shoved it deep deep into their platform.
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