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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 5739

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
ticklishmusic
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States15977 Posts
October 22 2016 21:08 GMT
#114761
There are some problems with term limits - if you force out experienced legislators and replace them with newbs, then the power of the bureaucracy becomes proportionally greater and passing good legislation may also become more challenging. I think there's definitely steps that should/ could be taken to lower incumbency advantage which is the real issue.
(╯°□°)╯︵ ┻━┻
TheTenthDoc
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States9561 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-10-22 21:16:13
October 22 2016 21:13 GMT
#114762
On October 23 2016 06:07 a_flayer wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 23 2016 06:01 Howie_Dewitt wrote:
On October 23 2016 05:46 a_flayer wrote:
On October 23 2016 04:33 Logo wrote:
Man this is the transcript of the speech that's being put forth by Trump and Reddit. http://vesselnews.io/gettysburg-address-first-100-days-trump-administration/

Is this not the same Gettysburg speech everyone is talking about where he says he will sue his harassees and all sorts of other things we've come to expect?

Have his speeches been getting this sort of summary all along?

Not that the summary makes it any better. His policies are terrifying.

Maybe people can discuss these issues?

Trump says:
“Therefore, on the first day of my term of office, my administration will immediately pursue the following six measures to clean up the corruption and special interest collusion in Washington, DC:

FIRST, propose a Constitutional Amendment to impose term limits on all members of Congress;
SECOND, a hiring freeze on all federal employees to reduce federal workforce through attrition (exempting military, public safety, and public health);
THIRD, a requirement that for every new federal regulation, two existing regulations must be eliminated;
FOURTH, a 5 year-ban on White House and Congressional officials becoming lobbyists after they leave government service;
FIFTH, a lifetime ban on White House officials lobbying on behalf of a foreign government;
SIXTH, a complete ban on foreign lobbyists raising money for American elections

The third one is so arbitrary and dumb, how did something like this get into a presidential speech?
The bolded ones are better, but still weird.


Well, I do agree with what it tries to do to some extent. It is frustrating that there are so many regulations, no matter what they might be worth in the end. If a rule like this forces the government somehow to find a way to simplify the situation, that could be beneficial. But obviously the way it is put here is a bit in the absurd.


I can see arguments for simplifying the individual income tax code.

But simplifying regulations for the sake of simplifying regulations is shortsighted, nonsensical, and counterproductive-especially if you do it on a "number of regulations" basis. What, so if studies find out lead levels actually need to be lower, or some other chemical, we need to delete two other regulations for no reason whatsoever? It's gibberish.

Regulations are complicated because it turns out keeping people from dying and keeping business from abusing the trust of people is complicated.
plasmidghost
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
Belgium16168 Posts
October 22 2016 21:37 GMT
#114763
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/president/
Three polls released today have Trump ahead, on average, by 2/3 of a percent, compared to polls 1-2 weeks ago that had Clinton as far as 14 points ahead. I'm quite concerned to say the least
Yugoslavia will always live on in my heart
Yoav
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1874 Posts
October 22 2016 21:43 GMT
#114764
On October 23 2016 05:44 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 23 2016 05:37 Yoav wrote:
On October 23 2016 02:15 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
Heck, even in 2016, one of our two major political parties consistently makes God-related arguments to try and hinder social progress.


And the other major political party consistently makes God-related arguments to try to help social progress... just less so the white people in that party.


You really think pro-choice and gay marriage proponents invoke God as much as pro-life and traditional marriage advocates?


Not all of social progress is summed up in those two issues.
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
October 22 2016 21:47 GMT
#114765
On October 23 2016 05:46 a_flayer wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 23 2016 04:33 Logo wrote:
Man this is the transcript of the speech that's being put forth by Trump and Reddit. http://vesselnews.io/gettysburg-address-first-100-days-trump-administration/

Is this not the same Gettysburg speech everyone is talking about where he says he will sue his harassees and all sorts of other things we've come to expect?

Have his speeches been getting this sort of summary all along?

Not that the summary makes it any better. His policies are terrifying.


I'd say that's about true. Very often people zoom in on one specific part of the speech and repeat it endlessly.


Reading through the whole thing of his policies, there are only like 4 or 5 parts that really turn me off. I don't have a solid of a grasp to consider some of the others, but there's also a few that seem to hit the right spot regarding term limits and lobbyists. Not sure if it would have the desired effect, but it might be beneficial to the governing process. Add some reversing of citizens united and you could have a decent hotfix to the system. Maybe another way to reduce corporate influence...

Maybe people can discuss these issues?

Show nested quote +
Trump says:
“Therefore, on the first day of my term of office, my administration will immediately pursue the following six measures to clean up the corruption and special interest collusion in Washington, DC:

FIRST, propose a Constitutional Amendment to impose term limits on all members of Congress;
SECOND, a hiring freeze on all federal employees to reduce federal workforce through attrition (exempting military, public safety, and public health);
THIRD, a requirement that for every new federal regulation, two existing regulations must be eliminated;
FOURTH, a 5 year-ban on White House and Congressional officials becoming lobbyists after they leave government service;
FIFTH, a lifetime ban on White House officials lobbying on behalf of a foreign government;
SIXTH, a complete ban on foreign lobbyists raising money for American elections


I'm happy to discuss issues, though I'll probably be echoing the statements other people have already made.
1. term limits have been tried in some places, they mostly don't work out that well in practice.
2. dumb, shows ignorance of the topic. first reduce the amount of work they have to do, THEN cut down on how many of them there are.
3. dumb, a hard and fast rule which does nothing to identify which regulations are good and which are bad; has an end state of 0 regulation, and would just lead to paralysis, like the sequester.
4. has some merit, there are a lot of existing rules raound lobbyists, I wonder what they are.
5. lifetime seems a bit long, maybe 20-30 years would be sufficient. I wonder how much this actually happens (and from which gov'ts and lobbying for what, like our allies hiring lobbyists to help with their diplomatic efforts in our country doesn't seem like a problem)
6. pretty sure there's already some pretty strong limits on foreign money in us elections.

iirc he had some other proposals, but no need to do them all at once.
In general: having a list of things you'd like done is easy, most of the posters here could make up a list of 5+ good policies easily,
the hard part is getting them passed into law.
Also in some cases the devil's in the details that a vague and general position doesn't get into. having vague points that sound good is easy, having things that work when you've looked close at the actual implementation challenges, and the fineries of an issue, is much harder.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
Logo
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States7542 Posts
October 22 2016 21:51 GMT
#114766
On October 23 2016 05:46 a_flayer wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 23 2016 04:33 Logo wrote:
Man this is the transcript of the speech that's being put forth by Trump and Reddit. http://vesselnews.io/gettysburg-address-first-100-days-trump-administration/

Is this not the same Gettysburg speech everyone is talking about where he says he will sue his harassees and all sorts of other things we've come to expect?

Have his speeches been getting this sort of summary all along?

Not that the summary makes it any better. His policies are terrifying.


I'd say that's about true. Very often people zoom in on one specific part of the speech and repeat it endlessly.


Reading through the whole thing of his policies, there are only like 4 or 5 parts that really turn me off. I don't have a solid of a grasp to consider some of the others, but there's also a few that seem to hit the right spot regarding term limits and lobbyists. Not sure if it would have the desired effect, but it might be beneficial to the governing process. Add some reversing of citizens united and you could have a decent hotfix to the system. Maybe another way to reduce corporate influence...

Maybe people can discuss these issues?

Show nested quote +
Trump says:
“Therefore, on the first day of my term of office, my administration will immediately pursue the following six measures to clean up the corruption and special interest collusion in Washington, DC:

FIRST, propose a Constitutional Amendment to impose term limits on all members of Congress;
SECOND, a hiring freeze on all federal employees to reduce federal workforce through attrition (exempting military, public safety, and public health);
THIRD, a requirement that for every new federal regulation, two existing regulations must be eliminated;
FOURTH, a 5 year-ban on White House and Congressional officials becoming lobbyists after they leave government service;
FIFTH, a lifetime ban on White House officials lobbying on behalf of a foreign government;
SIXTH, a complete ban on foreign lobbyists raising money for American elections


This one also seemed disastrous.


SEVENTH, cancel billions in payments to U.N. climate change programs and use the money to fix America’s water and environmental infrastructure


Even if you don't care for action on climate change, the idea of canceling in progress payments and investments should be a huge red flag both for the economic impact it would have as those programs tank, and because of the damage it does to a country's reputation.
Logo
KOFgokuon
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
United States14900 Posts
October 22 2016 21:54 GMT
#114767
Pretty sure that la times poll has been rated really low by 538 and has had trump up by like 10 points at one point
Dan HH
Profile Joined July 2012
Romania9148 Posts
October 22 2016 21:58 GMT
#114768
On October 23 2016 06:37 plasmidghost wrote:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/president/
Three polls released today have Trump ahead, on average, by 2/3 of a percent, compared to polls 1-2 weeks ago that had Clinton as far as 14 points ahead. I'm quite concerned to say the least

That's a meaningless comparison, Clinton wasn't ahead a week ago in any of those three.
Nevuk
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States16280 Posts
October 22 2016 22:00 GMT
#114769
I thought the LA times look has flat out admitted they are about 5 points more Trump leaning on average by some interpretations.
a_flayer
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Netherlands2826 Posts
October 22 2016 22:02 GMT
#114770
On October 23 2016 06:51 Logo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 23 2016 05:46 a_flayer wrote:
On October 23 2016 04:33 Logo wrote:
Man this is the transcript of the speech that's being put forth by Trump and Reddit. http://vesselnews.io/gettysburg-address-first-100-days-trump-administration/

Is this not the same Gettysburg speech everyone is talking about where he says he will sue his harassees and all sorts of other things we've come to expect?

Have his speeches been getting this sort of summary all along?

Not that the summary makes it any better. His policies are terrifying.


I'd say that's about true. Very often people zoom in on one specific part of the speech and repeat it endlessly.


Reading through the whole thing of his policies, there are only like 4 or 5 parts that really turn me off. I don't have a solid of a grasp to consider some of the others, but there's also a few that seem to hit the right spot regarding term limits and lobbyists. Not sure if it would have the desired effect, but it might be beneficial to the governing process. Add some reversing of citizens united and you could have a decent hotfix to the system. Maybe another way to reduce corporate influence...

Maybe people can discuss these issues?

Trump says:
“Therefore, on the first day of my term of office, my administration will immediately pursue the following six measures to clean up the corruption and special interest collusion in Washington, DC:

FIRST, propose a Constitutional Amendment to impose term limits on all members of Congress;
SECOND, a hiring freeze on all federal employees to reduce federal workforce through attrition (exempting military, public safety, and public health);
THIRD, a requirement that for every new federal regulation, two existing regulations must be eliminated;
FOURTH, a 5 year-ban on White House and Congressional officials becoming lobbyists after they leave government service;
FIFTH, a lifetime ban on White House officials lobbying on behalf of a foreign government;
SIXTH, a complete ban on foreign lobbyists raising money for American elections


This one also seemed disastrous.

Show nested quote +

SEVENTH, cancel billions in payments to U.N. climate change programs and use the money to fix America’s water and environmental infrastructure


Even if you don't care for action on climate change, the idea of canceling in progress payments and investments should be a huge red flag both for the economic impact it would have as those programs tank, and because of the damage it does to a country's reputation.


Oh dear god I didn't see that one. But what does environmental infrastructure entail? I'm probably trying to read far too much into the scribbles of a 5 year old.
When you came along so righteous with a new national hate, so convincing is the ardor of war and of men, it's harder to breathe than to believe you're a friend. The wars at home, the wars abroad, all soaked in blood and lies and fraud.
TheTenthDoc
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States9561 Posts
October 22 2016 22:06 GMT
#114771
On October 23 2016 06:37 plasmidghost wrote:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/president/
Three polls released today have Trump ahead, on average, by 2/3 of a percent, compared to polls 1-2 weeks ago that had Clinton as far as 14 points ahead. I'm quite concerned to say the least


Latimes poll is constructed in such a way that it will have a systematic bias since they sample one population and re-poll them continuously. That's the least meaningful poll to look at raw numbers-wise, but should be examined trend-wise (and it's basically trending Clinton lately).

It's fascinating that IBD/TPP is showing such a close race, though, because that's almost incompatible with the batch of state polls released today.
Adreme
Profile Joined June 2011
United States5574 Posts
October 22 2016 22:25 GMT
#114772
On October 23 2016 07:06 TheTenthDoc wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 23 2016 06:37 plasmidghost wrote:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/president/
Three polls released today have Trump ahead, on average, by 2/3 of a percent, compared to polls 1-2 weeks ago that had Clinton as far as 14 points ahead. I'm quite concerned to say the least


Latimes poll is constructed in such a way that it will have a systematic bias since they sample one population and re-poll them continuously. That's the least meaningful poll to look at raw numbers-wise, but should be examined trend-wise (and it's basically trending Clinton lately).

It's fascinating that IBD/TPP is showing such a close race, though, because that's almost incompatible with the batch of state polls released today.


Just as important as polling(possibly moreso) is trends on the early voting in the key states and except for Iowa and Ohio all of those are looking really good for the Clinton campaign (like blowout territory good)
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15727 Posts
October 22 2016 22:36 GMT
#114773
On October 23 2016 07:25 Adreme wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 23 2016 07:06 TheTenthDoc wrote:
On October 23 2016 06:37 plasmidghost wrote:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/president/
Three polls released today have Trump ahead, on average, by 2/3 of a percent, compared to polls 1-2 weeks ago that had Clinton as far as 14 points ahead. I'm quite concerned to say the least


Latimes poll is constructed in such a way that it will have a systematic bias since they sample one population and re-poll them continuously. That's the least meaningful poll to look at raw numbers-wise, but should be examined trend-wise (and it's basically trending Clinton lately).

It's fascinating that IBD/TPP is showing such a close race, though, because that's almost incompatible with the batch of state polls released today.


Just as important as polling(possibly moreso) is trends on the early voting in the key states and except for Iowa and Ohio all of those are looking really good for the Clinton campaign (like blowout territory good)



Where are you seeing these blowout numbers?
iPlaY.NettleS
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
Australia4376 Posts
October 22 2016 23:29 GMT
#114774
On October 23 2016 07:00 Nevuk wrote:
I thought the LA times look has flat out admitted they are about 5 points more Trump leaning on average by some interpretations.

538 poll analysis has them at +2 Trump.
What really matters though is turnout.I'm not seeing anywhere near the enthusiasm for Clinton that Obama had in 08 or even 12.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7PvoI6gvQs
iPlaY.NettleS
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
Australia4376 Posts
October 22 2016 23:33 GMT
#114775
On that topic here's Oprah "You don't have to like Clinton to vote for her".Desperation much?

http://theweek.com/speedreads/656889/oprah-reminds-people-dont-have-like-clinton-vote-not-coming-over-house
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7PvoI6gvQs
PassiveAce
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States18076 Posts
October 22 2016 23:38 GMT
#114776
"You don't have to like -insert candidate- to vote for them" is literally the entire theme of this election
Call me Marge Simpson cuz I love you homie
Randomaccount#77123
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States5003 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-10-22 23:44:03
October 22 2016 23:43 GMT
#114777
--- Nuked ---
RoomOfMush
Profile Joined March 2015
1296 Posts
October 22 2016 23:46 GMT
#114778
I generally love last week tonight, but that particular segment about johnson and stein seemed off for some reason. LWT usually goes into much greater detail when explaining something. In that segment they were surprisingly shallow and only produced a few quotes of johnson and stein saying stupid things. I am not questioning whether johnson and stein are actually stupid, they might very well be, its just that I was kinda disappointed by the job they did there.
mahrgell
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
Germany3943 Posts
October 22 2016 23:52 GMT
#114779
On October 23 2016 08:43 Barrin wrote:
Maybe this has already been posted, but on the note of not needing to like candidates to vote for them:



I've voted third party last two elections, but both Gary Johnson and Jill Stein are just too damn clueless, as John Oliver displays above. #lesserof4evils /sigh

It is just the fourth time it is posted. Or 5th?
BallinWitStalin
Profile Joined July 2008
1177 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-12-11 19:19:55
October 22 2016 23:52 GMT
#114780
I await the reminiscent nerd chills I will get when I hear a Korean broadcaster yell "WEEAAAAVVVVVUUUHHH" while watching Dota
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