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On October 10 2016 11:50 Orome wrote: i remember being disgusted 8 years ago by how much of a shitshow the us presidential debates were
lol dude what? McCain vs Obama was pretty good, but lopsided. Romney vs Obama debates were like shakespeare vs this.
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On October 10 2016 11:51 Plansix wrote:Show nested quote +On October 10 2016 11:50 jalstar wrote:On October 10 2016 11:47 CorsairHero wrote:On October 10 2016 11:46 GoTuNk! wrote: I got the feeling Trump rolled over Hillary for the first part and won solidly the rest, but I'm too biased to judge.
He does seem to be back fully on the race though? hes a long long way away from 50% chance of winning the election He went from 19-20% to 23-24% on betting markets. Hillary had a 5-10 point spike after the first debate, don't remember exactly. So yeah he needed to win by more. Betting markets matter less than polling numbers. There are only so many undecided voters left. Plus the RNC isn't really supporting him, which means his ground game on election day could be terrible. These debates have diminishing returns as time goes on.
Betting markets are pretty smart, so it means something, but it also shows us that any win he had was, again, minor at best. Definitely not good enough.
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On October 10 2016 11:51 parkufarku wrote: Man. Both these choices are gross.
And to think, we had Bernie fuckin' Sanders available as a candidate. FDR of our generation. Thanks establishment for making that option unavailable and fucking that up.
But they would probably prefer Trump over Sanders. I think you overstate bernie's potential. I also wouldn't really blame the establishment for it.
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On October 10 2016 11:51 parkufarku wrote: Man. Both these choices are gross.
And to think, we had Bernie fuckin' Sanders available as a candidate. FDR of our generation. Thanks establishment for making that option unavailable and fucking that up.
Well, I think Bernie shares some of the blame too (even though I voted for him). There were some missed opportunities and had he switched to a [D] earlier and worked with the party more I think he could have done it (I can see him and Gravel getting along).
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On October 10 2016 11:51 Plansix wrote:Show nested quote +On October 10 2016 11:50 jalstar wrote:On October 10 2016 11:47 CorsairHero wrote:On October 10 2016 11:46 GoTuNk! wrote: I got the feeling Trump rolled over Hillary for the first part and won solidly the rest, but I'm too biased to judge.
He does seem to be back fully on the race though? hes a long long way away from 50% chance of winning the election He went from 19-20% to 23-24% on betting markets. Hillary had a 5-10 point spike after the first debate, don't remember exactly. So yeah he needed to win by more. Betting markets matter less than polling numbers. There are only so many undecided voters left. Plus the RNC isn't really supporting him, which means his ground game on election day could be terrible. These debates have diminishing returns as time goes on. His problem is that his ceiling in debates is 'not imploding', which is fine relative to expectations but not enough to recover as much ground as he needs to.
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On October 10 2016 11:53 TheTenthDoc wrote:Show nested quote +On October 10 2016 11:51 parkufarku wrote: Man. Both these choices are gross.
And to think, we had Bernie fuckin' Sanders available as a candidate. FDR of our generation. Thanks establishment for making that option unavailable and fucking that up. Well, I think Bernie shares some of the blame too (even though I voted for him). There were some missed opportunities and had he switched to a [D] earlier and worked with the party more I think he could have done it (I can see him and Gravel getting along).
Bernie planned to do what he eventually did. He wanted to have a great showing, then be in a position of strength to pressure Clinton into being more progressive.
At some point during the primary, he realized he could actually make it, and so he adapted and tried. But it was too late.
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On October 10 2016 11:52 Hexe wrote:Show nested quote +On October 10 2016 11:50 Orome wrote: i remember being disgusted 8 years ago by how much of a shitshow the us presidential debates were
lol dude what? McCain vs Obama was pretty good, but lopsided. Romney vs Obama debates were like shakespeare vs this.
Kenyan Muslim Socialist Obama and Sarah Palin was a pretty low bar dude. Whats pathetic is apparently the bar could actually fall to the center of the earth in 8 years time and we already thought we were at rock bottom.
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On October 10 2016 11:54 Dan HH wrote:Show nested quote +On October 10 2016 11:51 Plansix wrote:On October 10 2016 11:50 jalstar wrote:On October 10 2016 11:47 CorsairHero wrote:On October 10 2016 11:46 GoTuNk! wrote: I got the feeling Trump rolled over Hillary for the first part and won solidly the rest, but I'm too biased to judge.
He does seem to be back fully on the race though? hes a long long way away from 50% chance of winning the election He went from 19-20% to 23-24% on betting markets. Hillary had a 5-10 point spike after the first debate, don't remember exactly. So yeah he needed to win by more. Betting markets matter less than polling numbers. There are only so many undecided voters left. Plus the RNC isn't really supporting him, which means his ground game on election day could be terrible. These debates have diminishing returns as time goes on. His problem is that his ceiling in debates is 'not imploding', which is fine relative to expectations but not enough to recover as much ground as he needs to.
Out of curiosity, what do you think Clinton's ceiling in the debate is?
I.e. If Trump needs to not implode, what does Clinton need to do?
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Do non-GOP or Democrat candidates get media coverage? Or are they fucked from the start?
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On October 10 2016 11:54 OuchyDathurts wrote:Show nested quote +On October 10 2016 11:52 Hexe wrote:On October 10 2016 11:50 Orome wrote: i remember being disgusted 8 years ago by how much of a shitshow the us presidential debates were
lol dude what? McCain vs Obama was pretty good, but lopsided. Romney vs Obama debates were like shakespeare vs this. Kenyan Muslim Socialist Obama and Sarah Palin was a pretty low bar dude. Whats pathetic is apparently the bar could actually fall to the center of the earth in 8 years time and we already thought we were at rock bottom.
Well, luckily none of those things came up at the Presidential debates. Biden did make Palin look pretty bad though (not nearly as bad as Paul Ryan).
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On October 10 2016 11:55 Monochromatic wrote:Show nested quote +On October 10 2016 11:54 Dan HH wrote:On October 10 2016 11:51 Plansix wrote:On October 10 2016 11:50 jalstar wrote:On October 10 2016 11:47 CorsairHero wrote:On October 10 2016 11:46 GoTuNk! wrote: I got the feeling Trump rolled over Hillary for the first part and won solidly the rest, but I'm too biased to judge.
He does seem to be back fully on the race though? hes a long long way away from 50% chance of winning the election He went from 19-20% to 23-24% on betting markets. Hillary had a 5-10 point spike after the first debate, don't remember exactly. So yeah he needed to win by more. Betting markets matter less than polling numbers. There are only so many undecided voters left. Plus the RNC isn't really supporting him, which means his ground game on election day could be terrible. These debates have diminishing returns as time goes on. His problem is that his ceiling in debates is 'not imploding', which is fine relative to expectations but not enough to recover as much ground as he needs to. Out of curiosity, what do you think Clinton's ceiling in the debate is? I.e. If Trump needs to not implode, what does Clinton need to do?
Come off as being real and not a politician-bot
On October 10 2016 11:56 FueledUpAndReadyToGo wrote: Do non-GOP or Democrat candidates get media coverage? Or are they fucked from the start?
They're completely fucked
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On October 10 2016 11:51 Stratos_speAr wrote:Show nested quote +On October 10 2016 11:47 Netscape9 wrote: Ultimately I think Trump won, he came out looking better. Clinton didn't look particular bad though, she was more neutral. All Trump really had to do in this was stop the surge of people abandoning him. He needs to make up huge ground in the polls. At best, all his performance did was stem the gushing wound that his recording made. He definitely didn't make up any ground in the polls, which look horrendous for him.
Even then the only reason Trump seemed to have won is because the expectations were so low. His ability to talk about anything concrete or any specific policies is still non-existent. Sure he can still make Clinton look bad on a few issues, but when they're trading almost evenly it doesn't really seem like enough.
Trump's performance was just enough to keep him limping along at best.
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People who voted "Trump and I supported Hillary": why do you think Hillary lost?
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It's funny because while I think Trump did a lot better than his first debate, the "I disagree with my VP on that policy because we haven't spoken" and "I will appoint a prosecutor to put you in jail" will be the biggest headlines. And they aren't good for him.
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On October 10 2016 11:56 FueledUpAndReadyToGo wrote: Do non-GOP or Democrat candidates get media coverage? Or are they fucked from the start? depends on how high they're polling. they do get some coverage, usually not a lot. But it does depend alot on how interesting they are (some people sell well). They're always kinda screwed from the start; of course most aren't that good anyways. They'll also get decent coverage if they can poll above 10% or so
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United States42817 Posts
On October 10 2016 11:45 GGTeMpLaR wrote: You think Farage's debate coaching made a difference in this one? Farage has never been in a serious debate. He's not a politician in the UK. He's like Gary Johnson.
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On October 10 2016 11:58 Doodsmack wrote: It's funny because while I think Trump did a lot better than his first debate, the "I disagree with my VP on that policy because we haven't spoken" and "I will appoint a prosecutor to put you in jail" will be the biggest headlines. And they aren't good for him.
What about his admission of not paying personal income taxes or "Not knowing anything about Russia"?
Those seem likely to come back up too.
On October 10 2016 11:58 zlefin wrote:Show nested quote +On October 10 2016 11:56 FueledUpAndReadyToGo wrote: Do non-GOP or Democrat candidates get media coverage? Or are they fucked from the start? depends on how high they're polling. they do get some coverage, usually not a lot. But it does depend alot on how interesting they are (some people sell well). They're always kinda screwed from the start; of course most aren't that good anyways. They'll also get decent coverage if they can poll above 10% or so
Take this cycle. Johnson had some chances to get increasingly large coverage and then totally shot himself in the foot and became a huge joke.
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On October 10 2016 11:57 Sent. wrote: People who voted "Trump and I supported Hillary": why do you think Hillary lost?
I voted tie, but too many Trump zingers found their mark. I only listened to the audio, but she still sounded Rubio-esque at times.
Just saying "he's lying" and directing people to hillaryclinton.com unfortunately doesn't do enough.
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On October 10 2016 11:56 TheTenthDoc wrote:Show nested quote +On October 10 2016 11:54 OuchyDathurts wrote:On October 10 2016 11:52 Hexe wrote:On October 10 2016 11:50 Orome wrote: i remember being disgusted 8 years ago by how much of a shitshow the us presidential debates were
lol dude what? McCain vs Obama was pretty good, but lopsided. Romney vs Obama debates were like shakespeare vs this. Kenyan Muslim Socialist Obama and Sarah Palin was a pretty low bar dude. Whats pathetic is apparently the bar could actually fall to the center of the earth in 8 years time and we already thought we were at rock bottom. Well, luckily none of those things came up at the Presidential debates. Biden did make Palin look pretty bad though (not nearly as bad as Paul Ryan).
Thats true they might not have come up in the debate at the time, I don't specifically recall the debates anymore. Was more referring to the level of discourse overall. Everyone thought that was rock bottom and boy were they wrong.
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United States42817 Posts
On October 10 2016 11:47 oBlade wrote:Show nested quote +On October 10 2016 11:44 Nebuchad wrote:On October 10 2016 11:41 oBlade wrote:On October 10 2016 11:41 KwarK wrote:On October 10 2016 11:40 oBlade wrote: Not a great poll, assumes you support someone. Does anyone watch the debates while having no stance on the election at this point? Probably many Euros and such. Euros are laughing at you even having Trump as a candidate. He has a pew poll with single digit support amongst Europeans. Does Europe still have countries by the way? No, it was destroyed by immigrants. Did you not hear? It has literally been destroyed. It's gone now.
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