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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 4861

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United Kingdom13775 Posts
August 31 2016 05:26 GMT
#97201
Agreed. All of these results were very much expected.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
TheYango
Profile Joined September 2008
United States47024 Posts
August 31 2016 07:27 GMT
#97202
On August 31 2016 08:40 TheYango wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 31 2016 07:56 CannonsNCarriers wrote:
And this is why the attorney's fees point is a total red herring. You just shop for a district that doesn't give them when you lose. And in the case at hand (the O'Brien litigation), Trump didn't have to pay O'Brien's fees.

"In response to this report, Trump told CBS News in a statement: "Timothy O'Brien knows nothing about me. His book was a total failure. I haven't even heard his name in over a decade, but ultimately I had great success doing what I wanted to do -- costing this third rate reporter a lot of legal fees.""

http://www.cbsnews.com/news/elections-2016-donald-trump-worth-reveals-in-deposition-tim-obrien-lawsuit-2006/

Didn't the O'Brien later say that Trump in fact did have to pay his legal fees and that he was just blowing hot air when he said he didn't? Or am I thinking of something else?

FYI in case anyone still cares, I looked this up and misremembered. It was O'Brien's publisher and insurance that covered his legal fees, not Trump.
Moderator
Biff The Understudy
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
France7890 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-08-31 09:06:30
August 31 2016 09:04 GMT
#97203
EDIT: Nevermind it was too good to be true
The fellow who is out to burn things up is the counterpart of the fool who thinks he can save the world. The world needs neither to be burned up nor to be saved. The world is, we are. Transients, if we buck it; here to stay if we accept it. ~H.Miller
Biff The Understudy
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
France7890 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-08-31 09:28:14
August 31 2016 09:19 GMT
#97204
On August 31 2016 10:47 Sbrubbles wrote:
It's interesting to check this thread every once in a while to see these arguments in which both sides refuse to give in while at the same time assume attitudes that will most likely turn off bystanders not already invested into one side. It's a highpoint in the futility of internet arguments.

Political discussions are usually not very productive anyway.

Unless you talk to a truly remarkable person, you can be sure that most of what you say is lost when you talk politics. Either the person agrees and at best you just bond over a shared opinion or the person disagrees and won't listen to you.

There have been studies showing that presenting someone with facts that induce a cognitive dissonance most of the time strengthens the opinion of that person because our brain just hates contradictory information. That's how some people just won't ever stop believing that climate change is a hoax or that the earth is 6000 years old. The more you try the more they believe it.

Here is a really good article called "How politics makes us stupid"

Kahan calls this theory Identity-Protective Cognition: "As a way of avoiding dissonance and estrangement from valued groups, individuals subconsciously resist factual information that threatens their defining values." Elsewhere, he puts it even more pithily: "What we believe about the facts," he writes, "tells us who we are." And the most important psychological imperative most of us have in a given day is protecting our idea of who we are, and our relationships with the people we trust and love.
The fellow who is out to burn things up is the counterpart of the fool who thinks he can save the world. The world needs neither to be burned up nor to be saved. The world is, we are. Transients, if we buck it; here to stay if we accept it. ~H.Miller
Godwrath
Profile Joined August 2012
Spain10126 Posts
August 31 2016 09:43 GMT
#97205
Political discussions can be productive. But it's harder to see it because it is the bystanders and people who don't pick a side the ones which can be convinced, not the people doing the discussion themselves. It's just harder to see the value, but it is there.

Obviously if you turn it into a discussion about details and semantics, most sane people will take it for what it is, an epeen contest between a number of persons.
a_flayer
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Netherlands2826 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-08-31 10:25:09
August 31 2016 09:48 GMT
#97206
On August 31 2016 18:19 Biff The Understudy wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 31 2016 10:47 Sbrubbles wrote:
It's interesting to check this thread every once in a while to see these arguments in which both sides refuse to give in while at the same time assume attitudes that will most likely turn off bystanders not already invested into one side. It's a highpoint in the futility of internet arguments.

Political discussions are usually not very productive anyway.

Unless you talk to a truly remarkable person, you can be sure that most of what you say is lost when you talk politics. Either the person agrees and at best you just bond over a shared opinion or the person disagrees and won't listen to you.

There have been studies showing that presenting someone with facts that induce a cognitive dissonance most of the time strengthens the opinion of that person because our brain just hates contradictory information. That's how some people just won't ever stop believing that climate change is a hoax or that the earth is 6000 years old. The more you try the more they believe it.

Here is a really good article called "How politics makes us stupid"

Show nested quote +
Kahan calls this theory Identity-Protective Cognition: "As a way of avoiding dissonance and estrangement from valued groups, individuals subconsciously resist factual information that threatens their defining values." Elsewhere, he puts it even more pithily: "What we believe about the facts," he writes, "tells us who we are." And the most important psychological imperative most of us have in a given day is protecting our idea of who we are, and our relationships with the people we trust and love.

How can we fight this within ourselves? I often feel like I can see the point the other guys are making, but that doesn't deter me from arguing against it or even dismissing them in the argument itself. For example with the xDaunt argument I understand that Trump feels slighted by the media and can attempt legal recourse, but I don't think that should allow him to sue people into financial ruin or anything of the sort. In the EU thread I was arguing for Russia's views on Ukraine/Crimea, and I was beaten down by everyone who took the western side, and it's not like I couldn't see their (valid) points, but I couldn't stop from dismissing them in my arguments because I wanted to take the other side of the argument. And I would even find myself getting more extreme in my statements simply because I was being argued against. I didn't -want- to do that, what I wanted was for other people to get a more nuanced view of the whole situation. It makes me feel so stupid whenever I look back on it.
When you came along so righteous with a new national hate, so convincing is the ardor of war and of men, it's harder to breathe than to believe you're a friend. The wars at home, the wars abroad, all soaked in blood and lies and fraud.
nothingmuch
Profile Joined March 2015
448 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-08-31 11:44:40
August 31 2016 11:40 GMT
#97207
I have no idea- might as well ask why we're unable to abandon short term profits for long term gains/ prevent long term damage (see effect of humanity on global ecology/climate that has been known pretty much since the seventies).
Every parent would be able to throw themselves in front of their children to keep them from harm, but we fail to get of the metaphorical couch to prevent their harm in 30 (put in whatever number you like) years.
Humans evolved that way I guess, and while I personally think arguing/discussion should be a major school subject/ part of your first language education I'm not sure how much we're actually able to overcome such basic programming.
doc_biceps
Profile Joined March 2016
Germany43 Posts
August 31 2016 11:55 GMT
#97208
On August 31 2016 20:40 nothingmuch wrote:
I have no idea- might as well ask why we're unable to abandon short term profits for long term gains/ prevent long term damage (see effect of humanity on global ecology/climate that has been known pretty much since the seventies).
Every parent would be able to throw themselves in front of their children to keep them from harm, but we fail to get of the metaphorical couch to prevent their harm in 30 (put in whatever number you like) years.
Humans evolved that way I guess, and while I personally think arguing/discussion should be a major school subject/ part of your first language education I'm not sure how much we're actually able to overcome such basic programming.


The finiteness of human existence makes considering the future and the consequences of human behavior very difficult.

About the discussion class: We learned that in school, but you have to find topics on which people actually have different opinions or where people have enough insight to really discuss something.
Biff The Understudy
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
France7890 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-08-31 12:06:45
August 31 2016 12:05 GMT
#97209
On August 31 2016 18:48 a_flayer wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 31 2016 18:19 Biff The Understudy wrote:
On August 31 2016 10:47 Sbrubbles wrote:
It's interesting to check this thread every once in a while to see these arguments in which both sides refuse to give in while at the same time assume attitudes that will most likely turn off bystanders not already invested into one side. It's a highpoint in the futility of internet arguments.

Political discussions are usually not very productive anyway.

Unless you talk to a truly remarkable person, you can be sure that most of what you say is lost when you talk politics. Either the person agrees and at best you just bond over a shared opinion or the person disagrees and won't listen to you.

There have been studies showing that presenting someone with facts that induce a cognitive dissonance most of the time strengthens the opinion of that person because our brain just hates contradictory information. That's how some people just won't ever stop believing that climate change is a hoax or that the earth is 6000 years old. The more you try the more they believe it.

Here is a really good article called "How politics makes us stupid"

Kahan calls this theory Identity-Protective Cognition: "As a way of avoiding dissonance and estrangement from valued groups, individuals subconsciously resist factual information that threatens their defining values." Elsewhere, he puts it even more pithily: "What we believe about the facts," he writes, "tells us who we are." And the most important psychological imperative most of us have in a given day is protecting our idea of who we are, and our relationships with the people we trust and love.

How can we fight this within ourselves? I often feel like I can see the point the other guys are making, but that doesn't deter me from arguing against it or even dismissing them in the argument itself. For example with the xDaunt argument I understand that Trump feels slighted by the media and can attempt legal recourse, but I don't think that should allow him to sue people into financial ruin or anything of the sort. In the EU thread I was arguing for Russia's views on Ukraine/Crimea, and I was beaten down by everyone who took the western side, and it's not like I couldn't see their (valid) points, but I couldn't stop from dismissing them in my arguments because I wanted to take the other side of the argument. And I would even find myself getting more extreme in my statements simply because I was being argued against. I didn't -want- to do that, what I wanted was for other people to get a more nuanced view of the whole situation. It makes me feel so stupid whenever I look back on it.

Well there is the beginning of an answer in the article:

But Kahan would never deny that identity-protective cognition afflicts him too. In fact, recognizing that is core to his strategy of avoiding it. "I’m positive that at any given moment some fraction of the things I believe, I believe for identity-protective purposes," he says. "That gives you a kind of humility."

Recognizing the problem is not the same as fixing it, though. I asked Kahan how he tries to guard against identity protection in his everyday life. The answer, he said, is to try to find disagreement that doesn’t threaten you and your social group — and one way to do that is to consciously seek it out in your group. "I try to find people who I actually think are like me — people I’d like to hang out with — but they don’t believe the things that everyone else like me believes," he says. "If I find some people I identify with, I don’t find them as threatening when they disagree with me." It’s good advice, but it requires, as a prerequisite, a desire to expose yourself to uncomfortable evidence — and a confidence that the knowledge won’t hurt you.

I'm absolutely certain that you could present xDaunt with all the evidence in the world (well people like Kwisatch have done it numerous times) and he wouldn't budge an inch from his hardcore right wing positions (he very clearly didn't and never will). And the idea that some bystander are reading those posts and it might have an impact on them are in my opinion very optimistic.

So why bother with this thread?

I personally see three benefits from contributing here:

1- I read very articulated people from the same side (more or less) than me and from who I learn a LOT. Kwisach is an example, but also Plansix, Darkplasma or Kwark are all people that I enjoy reading because they know a great deal that I don't.

2- You get confronted by people of the opposite side with data that you might reject at first but will maybe sink in and that you wouldn't find somewhere else. I don't think I'm especially open minded, but I know I am able to be disturbed, in a good way, by a compelling argument.

3- You get to rearticulate, rephrase and reorganize your own thought, which is one of the way to keep some plasticity in what you actually stand for, know or believe.
The fellow who is out to burn things up is the counterpart of the fool who thinks he can save the world. The world needs neither to be burned up nor to be saved. The world is, we are. Transients, if we buck it; here to stay if we accept it. ~H.Miller
Godwrath
Profile Joined August 2012
Spain10126 Posts
August 31 2016 12:24 GMT
#97210
And the idea that some bystander are reading those posts and it might have an impact on them are in my opinion very optimistic.


1- I read very articulated people from the same side (more or less) than me and from who I learn a LOT. Kwisach is an example, but also Plansix, Darkplasma or Kwark are all people that I enjoy reading because they know a great deal that I don't.


a_flayer
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Netherlands2826 Posts
August 31 2016 12:55 GMT
#97211
But Kahan would never deny that identity-protective cognition afflicts him too. In fact, recognizing that is core to his strategy of avoiding it. "I’m positive that at any given moment some fraction of the things I believe, I believe for identity-protective purposes," he says. "That gives you a kind of humility."

Recognizing the problem is not the same as fixing it, though. I asked Kahan how he tries to guard against identity protection in his everyday life. The answer, he said, is to try to find disagreement that doesn’t threaten you and your social group — and one way to do that is to consciously seek it out in your group. "I try to find people who I actually think are like me — people I’d like to hang out with — but they don’t believe the things that everyone else like me believes," he says. "If I find some people I identify with, I don’t find them as threatening when they disagree with me." It’s good advice, but it requires, as a prerequisite, a desire to expose yourself to uncomfortable evidence — and a confidence that the knowledge won’t hurt you.

That's funny, as I was making myself lunch I was thinking almost this exact same thing: "Maybe I should try to befriend at least 1 person from each religion, political orientation and so forth to get over this."
When you came along so righteous with a new national hate, so convincing is the ardor of war and of men, it's harder to breathe than to believe you're a friend. The wars at home, the wars abroad, all soaked in blood and lies and fraud.
Biff The Understudy
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
France7890 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-08-31 13:01:11
August 31 2016 12:56 GMT
#97212
On August 31 2016 21:24 Godwrath wrote:
Show nested quote +
And the idea that some bystander are reading those posts and it might have an impact on them are in my opinion very optimistic.


Show nested quote +
1- I read very articulated people from the same side (more or less) than me and from who I learn a LOT. Kwisach is an example, but also Plansix, Darkplasma or Kwark are all people that I enjoy reading because they know a great deal that I don't.



I'm not a bystander ; I write here wayyy too often
On August 31 2016 21:55 a_flayer wrote:
Show nested quote +
But Kahan would never deny that identity-protective cognition afflicts him too. In fact, recognizing that is core to his strategy of avoiding it. "I’m positive that at any given moment some fraction of the things I believe, I believe for identity-protective purposes," he says. "That gives you a kind of humility."

Recognizing the problem is not the same as fixing it, though. I asked Kahan how he tries to guard against identity protection in his everyday life. The answer, he said, is to try to find disagreement that doesn’t threaten you and your social group — and one way to do that is to consciously seek it out in your group. "I try to find people who I actually think are like me — people I’d like to hang out with — but they don’t believe the things that everyone else like me believes," he says. "If I find some people I identify with, I don’t find them as threatening when they disagree with me." It’s good advice, but it requires, as a prerequisite, a desire to expose yourself to uncomfortable evidence — and a confidence that the knowledge won’t hurt you.

That's funny, as I was making myself lunch I was thinking almost this exact same thing: "Maybe I should try to befriend at least 1 person from each religion, political orientation and so forth to get over this."

Ye. It's just you might discover (and that's the limit of Kahan's argument) that it's hard to find that neo-nazi guy who you can identify with or that is not threatening to you on the identity-protective cognitive level.

The disagreements of opinion and worldview you have with someone might also be related to major differences that make that identification impossible.
The fellow who is out to burn things up is the counterpart of the fool who thinks he can save the world. The world needs neither to be burned up nor to be saved. The world is, we are. Transients, if we buck it; here to stay if we accept it. ~H.Miller
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
August 31 2016 12:56 GMT
#97213
Awww, I didn't make the list of helpful posters *cry*

More bystanders (if there are any) putting in the occasional comment about things being helpful does a lot for keeping up the morale.

I suppose we could also use the techniques that are better for convincing people on the other side, but those are a pain to use, and I don't remember them much at all.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
RvB
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
Netherlands6209 Posts
August 31 2016 12:59 GMT
#97214
On August 31 2016 21:55 a_flayer wrote:
Show nested quote +
But Kahan would never deny that identity-protective cognition afflicts him too. In fact, recognizing that is core to his strategy of avoiding it. "I’m positive that at any given moment some fraction of the things I believe, I believe for identity-protective purposes," he says. "That gives you a kind of humility."

Recognizing the problem is not the same as fixing it, though. I asked Kahan how he tries to guard against identity protection in his everyday life. The answer, he said, is to try to find disagreement that doesn’t threaten you and your social group — and one way to do that is to consciously seek it out in your group. "I try to find people who I actually think are like me — people I’d like to hang out with — but they don’t believe the things that everyone else like me believes," he says. "If I find some people I identify with, I don’t find them as threatening when they disagree with me." It’s good advice, but it requires, as a prerequisite, a desire to expose yourself to uncomfortable evidence — and a confidence that the knowledge won’t hurt you.

That's funny, as I was making myself lunch I was thinking almost this exact same thing: "Maybe I should try to befriend at least 1 person from each religion, political orientation and so forth to get over this."

I'm already confronted with too much leftist bs on TL. I can't bear more in real life :p
Biff The Understudy
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
France7890 Posts
August 31 2016 13:02 GMT
#97215
On August 31 2016 21:56 zlefin wrote:
Awww, I didn't make the list of helpful posters *cry*

Your name is hard to remember :p

On a serious note, I'm not trying to give good and bad points, it's purely personal.
The fellow who is out to burn things up is the counterpart of the fool who thinks he can save the world. The world needs neither to be burned up nor to be saved. The world is, we are. Transients, if we buck it; here to stay if we accept it. ~H.Miller
Biff The Understudy
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
France7890 Posts
August 31 2016 13:05 GMT
#97216
On August 31 2016 21:59 RvB wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 31 2016 21:55 a_flayer wrote:
But Kahan would never deny that identity-protective cognition afflicts him too. In fact, recognizing that is core to his strategy of avoiding it. "I’m positive that at any given moment some fraction of the things I believe, I believe for identity-protective purposes," he says. "That gives you a kind of humility."

Recognizing the problem is not the same as fixing it, though. I asked Kahan how he tries to guard against identity protection in his everyday life. The answer, he said, is to try to find disagreement that doesn’t threaten you and your social group — and one way to do that is to consciously seek it out in your group. "I try to find people who I actually think are like me — people I’d like to hang out with — but they don’t believe the things that everyone else like me believes," he says. "If I find some people I identify with, I don’t find them as threatening when they disagree with me." It’s good advice, but it requires, as a prerequisite, a desire to expose yourself to uncomfortable evidence — and a confidence that the knowledge won’t hurt you.

That's funny, as I was making myself lunch I was thinking almost this exact same thing: "Maybe I should try to befriend at least 1 person from each religion, political orientation and so forth to get over this."

I'm already confronted with too much leftist bs on TL. I can't bear more in real life :p

TL is pretty right wing in general I think. At least by european standards. You find VERY few really left wing posters, more centre left/right, or liberals in the american sense.

That being said, I have way more patience with right wingers in real life than on TL. Probably because I avoid talking politics with them altogether. And the internet gets the worst out of us.
The fellow who is out to burn things up is the counterpart of the fool who thinks he can save the world. The world needs neither to be burned up nor to be saved. The world is, we are. Transients, if we buck it; here to stay if we accept it. ~H.Miller
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-08-31 13:15:08
August 31 2016 13:08 GMT
#97217
Personally, I try to remember that the people I discuss things with online are:

A: Real humans
B: Sometimes not on their A game and have bad days.
C: Have reasons for believing what they believe
D: Are not likely to completely change their view on the world due to one random discussion on the internet.

The thread is useful to at minimum learn small details about the world, at least at a surface level. I know more about how the UK government works due to these threads. And finance thanks to Kwark. I learned some stuff about GMOs. Though it didn’t truly alter my opinion GMO labeling, it did move my understanding on which GMOs should be labeled.

But the thread is useful the same way a documentary is useful. It’s nice to get a surface level view on a subject and see a few things. But if you are not going to emerge an expert after reading the thread.

Edit: I think TL is pretty has a thread of center/right leaning people. Especially on the subject of religion, which isn’t uncommon on a game forum. I know of plenty of left leaning posters too. We have a good spread, but it depends on the day and who is posting.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Godwrath
Profile Joined August 2012
Spain10126 Posts
August 31 2016 13:12 GMT
#97218
On August 31 2016 21:56 zlefin wrote:
Awww, I didn't make the list of helpful posters *cry*

More bystanders (if there are any) putting in the occasional comment about things being helpful does a lot for keeping up the morale.

I suppose we could also use the techniques that are better for convincing people on the other side, but those are a pain to use, and I don't remember them much at all.

Well, if it helps, you are on my personal list, since i have a hard time remembering the last time you got genuinely defensive when discussing something, and you actually try to talk, instead of just posting a rebuttal and be done with it.
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
August 31 2016 13:18 GMT
#97219
On August 31 2016 22:12 Godwrath wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 31 2016 21:56 zlefin wrote:
Awww, I didn't make the list of helpful posters *cry*

More bystanders (if there are any) putting in the occasional comment about things being helpful does a lot for keeping up the morale.

I suppose we could also use the techniques that are better for convincing people on the other side, but those are a pain to use, and I don't remember them much at all.

Well, if it helps, you are on my personal list, since i have a hard time remembering the last time you got genuinely defensive when discussing something, and you actually try to talk, instead of just posting a rebuttal and be done with it.


it does help, ty.
and I didn't really mind, I should've indicated I was being somewhat, uh, facetious I think would be the right word, or close to it. Basically not serious and humorous.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
Biff The Understudy
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
France7890 Posts
August 31 2016 13:20 GMT
#97220
On August 31 2016 22:08 Plansix wrote:
Personally, I try to remember that the people I discuss things with online are:

A: Real humans
B: Sometimes not on their A game and have bad days.
C: Have reasons for believing what they believe
D: Are not likely to completely change their view on the world due to one random discussion on the internet.

The thread is useful to at minimum learn small details about the world, at least at a surface level. I know more about how the UK government works due to these threads. And finance thanks to Kwark. I learned some stuff about GMOs. Though it didn’t truly alter my opinion GMO labeling, it did move my understanding on which GMOs should be labeled.

But the thread is useful the same way a documentary is useful. It’s nice to get a surface level view on a subject and see a few things. But if you are not going to emerge an expert after reading the thread.

There is also a virtue in discussing, even vehemently, with people you might not meet in real life. I have never had a real life conversation with anyone who supported Trump, I simply don't know anyone who does. And I'm sure it's the same for a lot of people here, on both side of the argument. That can only be a good thing.
The fellow who is out to burn things up is the counterpart of the fool who thinks he can save the world. The world needs neither to be burned up nor to be saved. The world is, we are. Transients, if we buck it; here to stay if we accept it. ~H.Miller
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