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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 4590

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
July 30 2016 19:57 GMT
#91781
On July 31 2016 04:36 TMagpie wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 31 2016 04:27 LegalLord wrote:
On July 31 2016 04:23 Nyxisto wrote:
Also in some cases it's simply the population forcing the flip-flopping. Like if you were openly defending gay rights 20 years ago you'd probably have alienated two thirds of the voter base so even if you'd want to do something for gay rights you'd have had to do it secretly.

Of course you can be super principled but if you're not going to get elected as a result that's not helping anybody either

Usually the way that's done is that you simply pretend to be wishy-washy on the issue and say stuff that doesn't really give a clear conclusion. Like, going from "gay marriage may or may not be a good thing, we'll have to look at it" to "yes, we should allow it" isn't much of a flip-flop, just either changing opinions or a change in statements based on the political environment. Going from "gay marriage is bad" to "gay marriage is good" is a flip-flop.


"I believed X when I was younger, but after contenplating on it for the past decade I've come to better conclusion" is not a flip flop either.

Depends on the frequency. Everyone gets a few but do too many and you are a flip flopper.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
CobaltBlu
Profile Blog Joined August 2009
United States919 Posts
July 30 2016 19:57 GMT
#91782
I find the commentary on Hillary Clinton changing her position on gay rights to be curious. Since the 90s the opinions of a great many Americans has undergone an extreme change towards acceptance of gay rights. If Clinton had held onto her 'conviction' in spite of living through the same experiences that changed the minds of so many fellow Americans it would only prove her to be a bigot rather than displaying some kind of virtue.
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15743 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-07-30 20:01:01
July 30 2016 19:59 GMT
#91783
Someone's positions not changing over time is a bad thing, not a good thing. Being principled or whatever is mostly a result of not properly considering new information or new trends, not a sign of integrity.
xAPOCALYPSEx
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
1418 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-07-30 20:11:28
July 30 2016 20:06 GMT
#91784
On July 31 2016 04:36 TMagpie wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 31 2016 04:27 LegalLord wrote:
On July 31 2016 04:23 Nyxisto wrote:
Also in some cases it's simply the population forcing the flip-flopping. Like if you were openly defending gay rights 20 years ago you'd probably have alienated two thirds of the voter base so even if you'd want to do something for gay rights you'd have had to do it secretly.

Of course you can be super principled but if you're not going to get elected as a result that's not helping anybody either

Usually the way that's done is that you simply pretend to be wishy-washy on the issue and say stuff that doesn't really give a clear conclusion. Like, going from "gay marriage may or may not be a good thing, we'll have to look at it" to "yes, we should allow it" isn't much of a flip-flop, just either changing opinions or a change in statements based on the political environment. Going from "gay marriage is bad" to "gay marriage is good" is a flip-flop.


"I believed X when I was younger, but after contenplating on it for the past decade I've come to better conclusion" is not a flip flop either.

Sure, but Hillary hasn't said that. In fact, she's said "I've been very consistent over the course of my entire life", and that's laughable. She's vehemently denied that she ever held anti-gay marriage positions.

She's not changing her mind, she's saying whatever the audience wants to hear, regardless of whether or not she's advocated the polar opposite at the previous rally. I don't know how people can trust her any more than they can trust Trump honestly. What an election
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
July 30 2016 20:27 GMT
#91785
On July 31 2016 05:06 xAPOCALYPSEx wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 31 2016 04:36 TMagpie wrote:
On July 31 2016 04:27 LegalLord wrote:
On July 31 2016 04:23 Nyxisto wrote:
Also in some cases it's simply the population forcing the flip-flopping. Like if you were openly defending gay rights 20 years ago you'd probably have alienated two thirds of the voter base so even if you'd want to do something for gay rights you'd have had to do it secretly.

Of course you can be super principled but if you're not going to get elected as a result that's not helping anybody either

Usually the way that's done is that you simply pretend to be wishy-washy on the issue and say stuff that doesn't really give a clear conclusion. Like, going from "gay marriage may or may not be a good thing, we'll have to look at it" to "yes, we should allow it" isn't much of a flip-flop, just either changing opinions or a change in statements based on the political environment. Going from "gay marriage is bad" to "gay marriage is good" is a flip-flop.


"I believed X when I was younger, but after contenplating on it for the past decade I've come to better conclusion" is not a flip flop either.

Sure, but Hillary hasn't said that. In fact, she's said "I've been very consistent over the course of my entire life", and that's laughable. She's vehemently denied that she ever held anti-gay marriage positions.

She's not changing her mind, she's saying whatever the audience wants to hear, regardless of whether or not she's advocated the polar opposite at the previous rally. I don't know how people can trust her any more than they can trust Trump honestly. What an election

On trust; it's because people interpret the events differently than you, and/or they have a different recollection of events. Most people have different memories of how things went down, so that's really not surprising. (I'd also say it depends on which kind of "trust" you're talking about, trust them to what?).

I went through this article that concluded she flipped:
http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/statements/2015/jun/17/hillary-clinton/hillary-clinton-change-position-same-sex-marriage/
but I have to say, that to me it feels less like a flip, and more like a stance that consistently claims the most lgbt-friendly position that can be claimed while remaining mainstream. I note the long-term support for civil unions, which is marriage without the name.

Given that a mainstream politician would, by their nature, try to say things so as to stay within the mainstream, I wonder how different it would look if I was examining the record of someone who (by assumption for this case, regardless of what hillary believes in her case) always believed in the correctness of gay marriage. Especially since politics is all about words; and most people aren't precise and careful in their thinking; so a statement that's thorough and correct, but can be easily soundbited to sound bad, would cause trouble, so I'd imagine many politicians would avoid it.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
xDaunt
Profile Joined March 2010
United States17988 Posts
July 30 2016 20:44 GMT
#91786
[image loading]

Courtesy of our Aussie brethren.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
July 30 2016 20:53 GMT
#91787
Clip of the interview finally:

"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
July 30 2016 20:55 GMT
#91788
On July 31 2016 04:59 Mohdoo wrote:
Someone's positions not changing over time is a bad thing, not a good thing. Being principled or whatever is mostly a result of not properly considering new information or new trends, not a sign of integrity.

Do you change because your perspective changed, or because you want to switch to a position that is more in line with the shift in public opinion?
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-07-30 21:10:11
July 30 2016 21:08 GMT
#91789
I think the most relevant thing to judge law makers by is their law making record, and most politicians usually accused of 'flip-flopping' have a pretty strong record in either direction. I think it's a little problematic to judge individuals on "buzz-issues" so strongly. It's the laws that effect people in the end, not just some hot issue that is in the press for a week.

This isn't just limited to the right. Bernie's "I want to break up the banks" was another such thing. How is he going to break up the banks, which laws is he going to use, what does that actually mean is what people should have been asking. The vague language that is part of politics is not productive.
Thieving Magpie
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
United States6752 Posts
July 30 2016 21:16 GMT
#91790
On July 31 2016 05:55 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 31 2016 04:59 Mohdoo wrote:
Someone's positions not changing over time is a bad thing, not a good thing. Being principled or whatever is mostly a result of not properly considering new information or new trends, not a sign of integrity.

Do you change because your perspective changed, or because you want to switch to a position that is more in line with the shift in public opinion?


New data requires reassessment of one's views. If you never change your views its because you're not actually looking for new data.
Hark, what baseball through yonder window breaks?
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States24055 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-07-30 21:20:10
July 30 2016 21:17 GMT
#91791
The problem with Hillary's "changes" is she never gives any reasoning.

Gay marriage for example. She very assertively stated that marriage is between a man and a woman. When did she change that opinion and what changed it?

TPP was the "gold standard" then she claimed she was against it (even though Terry and others have been assuring folks she will support it, then walking it back when it makes headlines). What specific information changed that position?

The list goes on...

Hillary isn't trusted because she isn't trustworthy. Whether it was criminal or not she lied her ass off this whole campaign.

EDIT: For instance I thought gay marriage was gross and would probably send you to hell if there was one. Then I finished junior high and realized how childish those beliefs were. What's her story? In the absence of one it points to cynical political calculation, not a change of heart/belief.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
Godwrath
Profile Joined August 2012
Spain10152 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-07-30 22:55:07
July 30 2016 21:23 GMT
#91792
From the Hillary's "flip flopping" (using the expression because my english sucks too much to find a better) is not so much about being a flexible candidate, but the loss of trust in regards if she genuinely changed her views. It's clear that being able to change your point of view is fine, but it is also fine for people to be skeptic until she proves that she legitimately changed her views, and that takes time.

If you change your stance in plenty things (not saying Hillary had), it is only natural to be wary.
ticklishmusic
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States15977 Posts
July 30 2016 21:33 GMT
#91793
On July 31 2016 05:27 zlefin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 31 2016 05:06 xAPOCALYPSEx wrote:
On July 31 2016 04:36 TMagpie wrote:
On July 31 2016 04:27 LegalLord wrote:
On July 31 2016 04:23 Nyxisto wrote:
Also in some cases it's simply the population forcing the flip-flopping. Like if you were openly defending gay rights 20 years ago you'd probably have alienated two thirds of the voter base so even if you'd want to do something for gay rights you'd have had to do it secretly.

Of course you can be super principled but if you're not going to get elected as a result that's not helping anybody either

Usually the way that's done is that you simply pretend to be wishy-washy on the issue and say stuff that doesn't really give a clear conclusion. Like, going from "gay marriage may or may not be a good thing, we'll have to look at it" to "yes, we should allow it" isn't much of a flip-flop, just either changing opinions or a change in statements based on the political environment. Going from "gay marriage is bad" to "gay marriage is good" is a flip-flop.


"I believed X when I was younger, but after contenplating on it for the past decade I've come to better conclusion" is not a flip flop either.

Sure, but Hillary hasn't said that. In fact, she's said "I've been very consistent over the course of my entire life", and that's laughable. She's vehemently denied that she ever held anti-gay marriage positions.

She's not changing her mind, she's saying whatever the audience wants to hear, regardless of whether or not she's advocated the polar opposite at the previous rally. I don't know how people can trust her any more than they can trust Trump honestly. What an election

On trust; it's because people interpret the events differently than you, and/or they have a different recollection of events. Most people have different memories of how things went down, so that's really not surprising. (I'd also say it depends on which kind of "trust" you're talking about, trust them to what?).

I went through this article that concluded she flipped:
http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/statements/2015/jun/17/hillary-clinton/hillary-clinton-change-position-same-sex-marriage/
but I have to say, that to me it feels less like a flip, and more like a stance that consistently claims the most lgbt-friendly position that can be claimed while remaining mainstream. I note the long-term support for civil unions, which is marriage without the name.

Given that a mainstream politician would, by their nature, try to say things so as to stay within the mainstream, I wonder how different it would look if I was examining the record of someone who (by assumption for this case, regardless of what hillary believes in her case) always believed in the correctness of gay marriage. Especially since politics is all about words; and most people aren't precise and careful in their thinking; so a statement that's thorough and correct, but can be easily soundbited to sound bad, would cause trouble, so I'd imagine many politicians would avoid it.


That's how I felt on that too. She's been left of center, and as the country has shifted leftwards she has moved to maintain approximately the same relative position.

Though there's Hillarycare, which was pretty out there.
(╯°□°)╯︵ ┻━┻
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
July 30 2016 21:43 GMT
#91794
A deadly blaze near California’s Big Sur coast could widen to more than five times its current size and has destroyed some 60 homes, threatened hundreds of others and spurred mass evacuations, authorities said on Saturday.

The so-called Soberanes Fire, which started on July 22 and is burning just south of the oceanside town of Carmel-by-the-Sea, has roared through nearly 32,000 acres (13,000 hectares) of drought-parched chaparral, grass and timber in the Los Padres National Forest.

The blaze is estimated to have a final size of 170,000 acres (265 square miles), according to California Interagency Incident Management Team 1, which is comprised of federal, state and local authorities. The cost of fighting the fire is now at about $6 million a day, it said on its Twitter feed.

The estimated final size of the blaze is roughly equivalent to the size of Singapore.

More than 5,000 personnel were fighting the blaze that has so far destroyed 57 homes and 11 outbuildings, with at least five other structures damaged, officials said on Friday evening. Some 2,000 other structures were threatened, officials added.

More than 500 fire trucks along with 14 helicopters and six air tankers have been deployed to fight the blaze. Containment stood at 15 percent on Friday, up from 10 percent in the previous few days.

Mountainous terrain combined with extremely hot, dry weather has hampered efforts by firefighters to hack buffer lines through dense vegetation around the perimeter of the blaze, officials said.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15743 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-07-30 22:00:14
July 30 2016 21:59 GMT
#91795
On July 31 2016 05:55 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 31 2016 04:59 Mohdoo wrote:
Someone's positions not changing over time is a bad thing, not a good thing. Being principled or whatever is mostly a result of not properly considering new information or new trends, not a sign of integrity.

Do you change because your perspective changed, or because you want to switch to a position that is more in line with the shift in public opinion?

Doesn't matter. People are elected to represent their constituency. So long as they actually vote or do things in line with whatever belief, it doesn't matter if they believe it themselves. I don't tjink Clinton gives a shit about gays or religious people. I don't want her to. I just want her to do what makes sense.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
July 30 2016 22:09 GMT
#91796
On July 31 2016 06:59 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 31 2016 05:55 LegalLord wrote:
On July 31 2016 04:59 Mohdoo wrote:
Someone's positions not changing over time is a bad thing, not a good thing. Being principled or whatever is mostly a result of not properly considering new information or new trends, not a sign of integrity.

Do you change because your perspective changed, or because you want to switch to a position that is more in line with the shift in public opinion?

Doesn't matter. People are elected to represent their constituency. So long as they actually vote or do things in line with whatever belief, it doesn't matter if they believe it themselves. I don't tjink Clinton gives a shit about gays or religious people. I don't want her to. I just want her to do what makes sense.

Of course, if social policy is all you care about then sure, being passably progressive is acceptable. The problem comes with other issues, like economics and foreign policy, where solid, effective judgment is necessary and wishy washy flip flopping is going to fuck everyone over. Hillary has had a bad record on that front.

Not to mention trust issues, and whether or not you could even trust her to make choices in the nation's best interest in the first place.

On another note: conventions over. Hillary and Trump are currently tied by most poll aggregators.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
zf
Profile Joined April 2011
231 Posts
July 30 2016 22:09 GMT
#91797
On July 31 2016 06:59 Mohdoo wrote:I don't tjink Clinton gives a shit about gays or religious people. I don't want her to. I just want her to do what makes sense.

I think she does (about gays). Given her education, career, and colleagues, it would be very strange if she weren't privately well ahead of the country in shifting on gay marriage. Of course, she also made a political calculation that she wouldn't support gay marriage until it was safe. Make of that what you will.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-07-30 22:44:19
July 30 2016 22:43 GMT
#91798
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Luolis
Profile Blog Joined May 2012
Finland7179 Posts
July 30 2016 22:51 GMT
#91799
On July 31 2016 07:43 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
https://twitter.com/brianstelter/status/759503958029266944

Surprise surprise, Crooked Trump lying again ))
pro cheese woman / Its never Sunny in Finland. Perkele / FinnishStarcraftTrivia
Wegandi
Profile Joined March 2011
United States2455 Posts
July 30 2016 23:12 GMT
#91800
On July 31 2016 07:09 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 31 2016 06:59 Mohdoo wrote:
On July 31 2016 05:55 LegalLord wrote:
On July 31 2016 04:59 Mohdoo wrote:
Someone's positions not changing over time is a bad thing, not a good thing. Being principled or whatever is mostly a result of not properly considering new information or new trends, not a sign of integrity.

Do you change because your perspective changed, or because you want to switch to a position that is more in line with the shift in public opinion?

Doesn't matter. People are elected to represent their constituency. So long as they actually vote or do things in line with whatever belief, it doesn't matter if they believe it themselves. I don't tjink Clinton gives a shit about gays or religious people. I don't want her to. I just want her to do what makes sense.

Of course, if social policy is all you care about then sure, being passably progressive is acceptable. The problem comes with other issues, like economics and foreign policy, where solid, effective judgment is necessary and wishy washy flip flopping is going to fuck everyone over. Hillary has had a bad record on that front.

Not to mention trust issues, and whether or not you could even trust her to make choices in the nation's best interest in the first place.

On another note: conventions over. Hillary and Trump are currently tied by most poll aggregators.


If all you care about is social issues, then you should vote for Gary Johnson.
Thank you bureaucrats for all your hard work, your commitment to public service and public good is essential to the lives of so many. Also, for Pete's sake can we please get some gun control already, no need for hand guns and assault rifles for the public
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