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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 4213

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
July 08 2016 15:41 GMT
#84241
So the gunman was ex-military.
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
NukeD
Profile Joined October 2010
Croatia1612 Posts
July 08 2016 15:42 GMT
#84242
On another note I agree with a poster who said that this problem wouldn't exist to this extent if you issued a gun ban, because police are having to deal with people who are far more likelly to have a gun on them than in other countries so it inherently makes them more edgy.
sorry for dem one liners
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15725 Posts
July 08 2016 15:42 GMT
#84243
On July 09 2016 00:41 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
So the gunman was ex-military.


Should be nice and disappointing to learn about his history of mental illness and how a functioning VA may have prevented this.
kapibara-san
Profile Joined July 2016
Japan415 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-07-08 15:43:07
July 08 2016 15:42 GMT
#84244
On July 09 2016 00:40 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 09 2016 00:34 Thieving Magpie wrote:
The police are problematic. But I do not think how "militarized" they are is the problem. They are armed people with authority and power over others. Should that authority be leveraged, should that power be used against citizens--it won't matter if they have bazookas or billy clubs. We can arm them to the teeth or we could force them to use plastic bags as their only allowed form of weapons--and they will find a way to use their tools to the maximum of advantage.

The only fix to the police problem is not about what weapons they have, but about what stake they have in the community they are in.


Consider the requirements of being a police officer. You can get some pretty low quality people as cops just because its a really easy job to get. We are giving these people a legal right to kill someone. That's a really, really, really big deal and should mean they are not only substantially more distinguished, but they should also be paid much more. It should be a very well paying, very exclusive job. I've always thought it should require a law degree and offer pay competitive for people with law degrees.

this would be a good solution to the issue of oversaturation and unemployment of people with non T14 law degrees lol
On July 09 2016 00:42 NukeD wrote:
On another note I agree with a poster who said that this problem wouldn't exist to this extent if you issued a gun ban, because police are having to deal with people who are far more likelly to have a gun on them than in other countries so it inherently makes them more edgy.

in america, this takes ending gun culture and the fetishization of the 2nd amendment, which by all indications, is never going to happen and is more unrealistic than my suggestions above and those of mohdoo above
tfw your posting style is obnoxious to everybody else but strangely compelling to you... like a fart...
zulu_nation8
Profile Blog Joined May 2005
China26351 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-07-08 15:47:19
July 08 2016 15:43 GMT
#84245
On July 09 2016 00:38 farvacola wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 09 2016 00:31 zulu_nation8 wrote:
On July 09 2016 00:21 farvacola wrote:
On July 09 2016 00:12 zulu_nation8 wrote:
I'm not greenhorizon so I'll actually link relevant numbers here:

http://www.dailywire.com/news/7264/5-statistics-you-need-know-about-cops-killing-aaron-bandler

1. Cops killed nearly twice as many whites as blacks in 2015. According to data compiled by The Washington Post, 50 percent of the victims of fatal police shootings were white, while 26 percent were black. The majority of these victims had a gun or "were armed or otherwise threatening the officer with potentially lethal force," according to MacDonald in a speech at Hillsdale College.

Some may argue that these statistics are evidence of racist treatment toward blacks, since whites consist of 62 percent of the population and blacks make up 12 percent of the population. But as MacDonald writes in The Wall Street Journal, 2009 statistics from the Bureau of Justice Statistics reveal that blacks were charged with 62 percent of robberies, 57 percent of murders and 45 percent of assaults in the 75 biggest counties in the country, despite only comprising roughly 15 percent of the population in these counties.

"Such a concentration of criminal violence in minority communities means that officers will be disproportionately confronting armed and often resisting suspects in those communities, raising officers’ own risk of using lethal force," writes MacDonald.

MacDonald also pointed out in her Hillsdale speech that blacks "commit 75 percent of all shootings, 70 percent of all robberies, and 66 percent of all violent crime" in New York City, even though they consist of 23 percent of the city's population.

"The black violent crime rate would actually predict that more than 26 percent of police victims would be black," MacDonald said. "Officer use of force will occur where the police interact most often with violent criminals, armed suspects, and those resisting arrest, and that is in black neighborhoods."


Which is what I wasted hours trying to get across yesterday but ran into idiots who couldn't math.

4. Black and Hispanic police officers are more likely to fire a gun at blacks than white officers. This is according to a Department of Justice report in 2015 about the Philadelphia Police Department, and is further confirmed that by a study conducted University of Pennsylvania criminologist Gary Ridgeway in 2015 that determined black cops were 3.3 times more likely to fire a gun than other cops at a crime scene.

So how does idiocy play into the fact that you're relying on data obtained in one of the few states where police willingly hand over information? One of the biggest problems with police violence here deals in precisely the thing you're obsessing over; US police departments are mostly extremely secretive with their data and most efforts to kickstart national data-sharing initiatives get shot down by both states rights folk and police unions.

So yeah, I hope the sense of superiority that comes with validating your viewpoint takes into account the extremely limited and incomplete nature of the information you managed to find.


Are you talking about the police killing data or crime data? Do you think the disproportion would change if there was official data?

Charging data is incredibly limited in usefulness because it fails to account for the differences in prosecutorial willingness to charge whites as opposed to blacks. Look up some information on Hillsdale and you'll see why that speech should be taken with a huge grain of salt.


Ok, I'm curious where that line of logic leads to, as to what you believe the limited data fails to account for, and how it skew the numbers in a way that would support/disprove what I cited.

And what about Hillsdale are you referring to?
zulu_nation8
Profile Blog Joined May 2005
China26351 Posts
July 08 2016 15:45 GMT
#84246
Another article/study, from a public university and not a conservative blog:

https://news.wsu.edu/2014/09/02/deadly-force-lab-finds-racial-disparities-in-shootings/

Still based on very limited data but it's something:

SPOKANE, Wash. – Participants in an innovative Washington State University study of deadly force were more likely to feel threatened in scenarios involving black people. But when it came time to shoot, participants were biased in favor of black suspects, taking longer to pull the trigger against them than against armed white or Hispanic suspects.

The findings, published in the recent Journal of Experimental Criminology, grow out of dozens of simulations aimed at explaining the disproportionate number of ethnic and racial minorities shot by police. The studies use the most advanced technology available, as participants with laser-equipped guns react to potentially threatening scenarios displayed in full-size, high-definition video.
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18839 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-07-08 15:49:04
July 08 2016 15:47 GMT
#84247
The logic is really quite simple: we need to force police departments to release data and we need to prioritize national collection of said data. Otherwise, we end up with little snippets of information almost certainly obfuscate the issue.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
zulu_nation8
Profile Blog Joined May 2005
China26351 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-07-08 15:54:54
July 08 2016 15:48 GMT
#84248
On July 09 2016 00:47 farvacola wrote:
The logic is really quite simple: we need to force police departments to release data and we need to prioritize national collection of said data.


I never disagreed but how does that relate to the points I posted? It uses best available data. I thought you were arguing that the numbers would be a lot different if we had official data.

I realize the condescending tone was off-putting. I don't usually post in this thread and became frustrated at trying to present some, what I thought, were interesting data that went against media narratives. But was repeatedly called ignorant.
kapibara-san
Profile Joined July 2016
Japan415 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-07-08 15:50:49
July 08 2016 15:48 GMT
#84249
On July 09 2016 00:47 farvacola wrote:
The logic is really quite simple: we need to force police departments to release data and we need to prioritize national collection of said data.

and/or create 3rd party organizations whose purpose is to scrutinize and evaluate controversial police actions and sanction them when then the police are UNJUSTIFIED MURDERERS
tfw your posting style is obnoxious to everybody else but strangely compelling to you... like a fart...
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18839 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-07-08 15:53:36
July 08 2016 15:53 GMT
#84250
On July 09 2016 00:48 zulu_nation8 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 09 2016 00:47 farvacola wrote:
The logic is really quite simple: we need to force police departments to release data and we need to prioritize national collection of said data.


I never disagreed but how does that relate to the points I posted? It uses best available data. I thought you were arguing that the numbers would be a lot different if we had official data.

You quoted data that was used in a speech that was given at one of the most conservative universities in the US. Do you think this affects its veracity and/or applicability?
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15725 Posts
July 08 2016 15:54 GMT
#84251
I can't believe we blew up one of Dallas the guys with a robot.

We just used a little Jihadi robot to take down a BLM extremist. This is the most politically relevant killing ever, lol.
zulu_nation8
Profile Blog Joined May 2005
China26351 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-07-08 15:59:26
July 08 2016 15:57 GMT
#84252
On July 09 2016 00:53 farvacola wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 09 2016 00:48 zulu_nation8 wrote:
On July 09 2016 00:47 farvacola wrote:
The logic is really quite simple: we need to force police departments to release data and we need to prioritize national collection of said data.


I never disagreed but how does that relate to the points I posted? It uses best available data. I thought you were arguing that the numbers would be a lot different if we had official data.

You quoted data that was used in a speech that was given at one of the most conservative universities in the US. Do you think this affects its veracity and/or applicability?


Not really? Unless the crime rate of blacks are being significantly misreported? I don't get what partisanship has to do with this except for your bring it in.

And you have to argue how real data would be different and skew the results. If you are unwilling to do that then I don't see much point in continuing this.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
July 08 2016 15:57 GMT
#84253
On July 09 2016 00:48 kapibara-san wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 09 2016 00:47 farvacola wrote:
The logic is really quite simple: we need to force police departments to release data and we need to prioritize national collection of said data.

and/or create 3rd party organizations whose purpose is to scrutinize and evaluate controversial police actions and sanction them when then the police are UNJUSTIFIED MURDERERS

NPR reported that many police departments are already abandoning internal investigations and handing these cases over to the FBI or other agencies. It sounds like that is going to be the future. It just needs to be a system people have faith in.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
July 08 2016 15:59 GMT
#84254
On July 09 2016 00:57 zulu_nation8 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 09 2016 00:53 farvacola wrote:
On July 09 2016 00:48 zulu_nation8 wrote:
On July 09 2016 00:47 farvacola wrote:
The logic is really quite simple: we need to force police departments to release data and we need to prioritize national collection of said data.


I never disagreed but how does that relate to the points I posted? It uses best available data. I thought you were arguing that the numbers would be a lot different if we had official data.

You quoted data that was used in a speech that was given at one of the most conservative universities in the US. Do you think this affects its veracity and/or applicability?


Not really? Unless the crime rate of blacks are being significantly misreported? I don't get what partisanship has to do with this except for your bring it in.

It bring into question the accuracy of the data and if it is biased or manipulated. It is easy to manipulate data. There is nothing neutral or unbiased about the source.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
zulu_nation8
Profile Blog Joined May 2005
China26351 Posts
July 08 2016 16:00 GMT
#84255
On July 09 2016 00:59 Plansix wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 09 2016 00:57 zulu_nation8 wrote:
On July 09 2016 00:53 farvacola wrote:
On July 09 2016 00:48 zulu_nation8 wrote:
On July 09 2016 00:47 farvacola wrote:
The logic is really quite simple: we need to force police departments to release data and we need to prioritize national collection of said data.


I never disagreed but how does that relate to the points I posted? It uses best available data. I thought you were arguing that the numbers would be a lot different if we had official data.

You quoted data that was used in a speech that was given at one of the most conservative universities in the US. Do you think this affects its veracity and/or applicability?


Not really? Unless the crime rate of blacks are being significantly misreported? I don't get what partisanship has to do with this except for your bring it in.

It bring into question the accuracy of the data and if it is biased or manipulated. It is easy to manipulate data. There is nothing neutral or unbiased about the source.


How are they manipulated? In which direction? How would they skew the results?
biology]major
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States2253 Posts
July 08 2016 16:00 GMT
#84256
On July 09 2016 00:40 kapibara-san wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 09 2016 00:34 Thieving Magpie wrote:
The police are problematic. But I do not think how "militarized" they are is the problem. They are armed people with authority and power over others. Should that authority be leveraged, should that power be used against citizens--it won't matter if they have bazookas or billy clubs. We can arm them to the teeth or we could force them to use plastic bags as their only allowed form of weapons--and they will find a way to use their tools to the maximum of advantage.

The only fix to the police problem is not about what weapons they have, but about what stake they have in the community they are in.

it's just the training

relevant reddit post i read yesterday on the topic:
[image loading]
https://www.reddit.com/r/news/comments/4rgu6p/alton_sterling_shot_killed_by_louisiana_cops/d515mhc


I definitely agree with this, Just from watching these videos I can see that these were just amateur level actions that weren't thought about logically but rather based on fear fed from a narrative of "us vs them". They have to learn how to de-escalate first and put their lives on the line doing so. The interesting thing is this will shift the balance of power to the side of the people, and will probably result in more cops being killed.

as of right now it is incompetence with a lack of accountability, similar to another big headline recently
Question.?
kapibara-san
Profile Joined July 2016
Japan415 Posts
July 08 2016 16:01 GMT
#84257
still questioning the value of statistically finding racial bias in extrajudicial killings when the overall rate of extrajudicial killings seems to be the main issue to me
tfw your posting style is obnoxious to everybody else but strangely compelling to you... like a fart...
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
July 08 2016 16:03 GMT
#84258
Well the Paul Ryan just did the moment of silence for the Dallas shooting, expect that to be it.
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18839 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-07-08 16:06:44
July 08 2016 16:04 GMT
#84259
On July 09 2016 00:57 zulu_nation8 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 09 2016 00:53 farvacola wrote:
On July 09 2016 00:48 zulu_nation8 wrote:
On July 09 2016 00:47 farvacola wrote:
The logic is really quite simple: we need to force police departments to release data and we need to prioritize national collection of said data.


I never disagreed but how does that relate to the points I posted? It uses best available data. I thought you were arguing that the numbers would be a lot different if we had official data.

You quoted data that was used in a speech that was given at one of the most conservative universities in the US. Do you think this affects its veracity and/or applicability?


Not really? Unless the crime rate of blacks are being significantly misreported? I don't get what partisanship has to do with this except for your bring it in.

You've already admitted that the data itself is very incomplete. Additionally, I've also introduced the notion that charging and crime data more generally suffer from very dramatic distortions related to the discretionary mechanisms by which they manifest. Accordingly, when you have an obviously partisan performance of "connect the dots" using said incomplete data, it would be well-advised to discount that performance's conclusions.

Furthermore, it ought to be troubling that the biggest opponents of widespread criminal/police data collection and sharing are precisely the same individuals mobilizing consequently handicapped criminal/police data in pursuit of establishing racially charged conclusions.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
zulu_nation8
Profile Blog Joined May 2005
China26351 Posts
July 08 2016 16:06 GMT
#84260
On July 09 2016 01:04 farvacola wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 09 2016 00:57 zulu_nation8 wrote:
On July 09 2016 00:53 farvacola wrote:
On July 09 2016 00:48 zulu_nation8 wrote:
On July 09 2016 00:47 farvacola wrote:
The logic is really quite simple: we need to force police departments to release data and we need to prioritize national collection of said data.


I never disagreed but how does that relate to the points I posted? It uses best available data. I thought you were arguing that the numbers would be a lot different if we had official data.

You quoted data that was used in a speech that was given at one of the most conservative universities in the US. Do you think this affects its veracity and/or applicability?


Not really? Unless the crime rate of blacks are being significantly misreported? I don't get what partisanship has to do with this except for your bring it in.

You've already admitted that the data itself is very incomplete. Additionally, I've also introduced the notion that charging and crime data more generally suffer from very dramatic distortions related to the discretionary mechanisms by which they manifest. Accordingly, when you have an obviously partisan performance of "connect the dots" using said incomplete data, it would be well-advised to discount that performance's conclusions.

Furthermore, it ought to be troubling that the biggest opponents to widespread criminal/police data collection and sharing are precisely the same individuals mobilizing consequently handicapped criminal/police data in pursuit of establishing racially charged conclusions.


Ok, what's the next step in that argument? Data is skewed, we should be cautious. In which direction are they skewed? How would it affect the analysis I linked?
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