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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
ticklishmusic
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States15977 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-03-17 18:10:30
March 17 2016 18:06 GMT
#67561
I can say with some confidence that Sanders is going back to the Senate. He's just not qualified for any Secretary-level position. He better bring an olive branch when he goes back after crapping on basically everyone. There's a chance he plays a larger role there and that Clinton will look to him as an ally for progressive legislation, but that's the best-case scenario I see.
(╯°□°)╯︵ ┻━┻
wei2coolman
Profile Joined November 2010
United States60033 Posts
March 17 2016 18:06 GMT
#67562
http://www.timesofisrael.com/donald-trumps-the-israeli-media/

This is how amazing the Hitler comparisons are working for the establishment.
liftlift > tsm
Nebuchad
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Switzerland12472 Posts
March 17 2016 18:08 GMT
#67563
On March 18 2016 03:05 TheTenthDoc wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 18 2016 02:53 Nebuchad wrote:
On March 18 2016 02:26 Doodsmack wrote:
On March 18 2016 02:07 LegalLord wrote:
On March 18 2016 02:00 Doodsmack wrote:
On March 18 2016 00:25 LegalLord wrote:
On March 18 2016 00:17 KwarK wrote:
On March 17 2016 23:58 LegalLord wrote:
On March 17 2016 23:56 KwarK wrote:
On March 17 2016 23:54 LegalLord wrote:
[quote]
It is actually pretty unreasonable. Dems stay home if they don't like their own candidate. So them not voting for Hillary is very likely.

If Romney were the Republican candidate, maybe. You're really going to tell me there won't be a rally to vote against Trump though?

A rally against a candidate gets people to stay home, not vote for the opposition. They won't want Trump but they won't exactly rally behind Hillary either.

You don't need to rally behind Hillary. You need to rally behind "anyone but Trump" which will propel Hillary to the White House. There is absolutely no requirement to support Hillary, or to want her to be president, to vote against Trump. In a two party system if you're against one candidate you are by default for the other.

The strength of feeling against Trump can be greater than the strength of feeling for Hillary and people will still get out there and vote. For those people Hillary isn't campaigning under her own name, she's campaigning as "not Trump".

The "anyone but Hillary" train of thought is no weaker than the "anyone but Trump" one. If neither candidate is a good option, people will often choose simply not to vote. This happens a lot even when it isn't logical to do so.

"I suck but Trump sucks worse" doesn't exactly inspire people to "get out the vote." People actually have to like you. And Trump may just not be universally hated in the general, and Hillary will be shat on by most for being a genuinely sleazy and shitty politician.


Are you saying democrat turnout would be abnormally low with Hillary, just because Sanders supporters don't like her? You're talking about Sanders supporters that are activists. You don't think Bernie supporters hate trump? I struggle to think that Bernie supporters would not cast a vote to stop trump.

In 08 Clinton supporters said in polls they wouldn't vote for Obama if he was the nominee, but then they did.

Yes, I think that democrats that supported Bernie might stay home, not wanting to vote for the shitty candidate they see Hillary as. Abnormally low turnout, I don't think anyone can say - we don't even have our nominees chosen yet. But low enough to give it to Trump? Maybe.

Dems were pretty much guaranteed to win 08 after Bush. Now, it could go either way - Obama is neither particularly good or bad overall, as a general perception by the country. To assume Dems will tow the party line just to stop Trump is to ignore reality.


I think to make the argument Bernie supporters won't vote you have to assume dem turnout will be abnormally low.


A major characteristic of both frontrunners is that a large part of their own party dislikes and/or distrusts them very much. To expect a high turnout is incredibly wishful.

I assume Clinton is going to give an important post in her administration to Sanders, which may help.


Well, at least when it comes to people in the parties actually voting in the primaries, up until around two weeks ago more primary voters would have been satisfied with Clinton than would have been satisfied with Obama in 2008 (79% satisfied with 2012 Clinton vs Obama's 69% in '08). Clinton herself has risen from 71% in '08, interestingly enough. You might be able to argue Obama's numbers were brutally tanked by a couple states though.

Source : http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/republican-voters-kind-of-hate-all-their-choices/

There is the looming spectre of people that just aren't voting in the primaries, though, which is a legitimate concern since they're not captured in the exit polls, but I can't help but think they'll just vote hard party lines.


No you're right that is a good sign, I didn't know that.
No will to live, no wish to die
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
March 17 2016 18:10 GMT
#67564
On March 18 2016 03:06 wei2coolman wrote:
http://www.timesofisrael.com/donald-trumps-the-israeli-media/

This is how amazing the Hitler comparisons are working for the establishment.

You didn't even read the article, did you?
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Nebuchad
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Switzerland12472 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-03-17 18:14:16
March 17 2016 18:13 GMT
#67565
On March 18 2016 03:06 wei2coolman wrote:
http://www.timesofisrael.com/donald-trumps-the-israeli-media/

This is how amazing the Hitler comparisons are working for the establishment.


"Perhaps it was a recent poll showing that Israelis favor Democratic front-runner Hillary Clinton to succeed US President Barack Obama that mobilized the editors of the right-leaning, neoconservative Israel Hayom to aggressively attempt to sway the citizens of the Jewish state in favor of the contentious front-runner. Or perhaps it is billionaire casino magnate, pro-Israel philanthropist Sheldon Adelson, Israel Hayom’s owner and, not incidentally, one of the GOP’s most prominent donors, who is pulling the strings from above and indicating through the pages of the Israeli tabloid that he is warming up to the idea of Trump as the Republican nominee."

bwahahah
No will to live, no wish to die
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
March 17 2016 18:14 GMT
#67566
muh guns to become the main argument against garland
We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
March 17 2016 18:16 GMT
#67567
On March 18 2016 03:14 oneofthem wrote:
muh guns to become the main argument against garland

Well they have to think up something to justify obstructionism.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Introvert
Profile Joined April 2011
United States4999 Posts
March 17 2016 18:23 GMT
#67568
Keeping the second amendment intact is an excellent reason to exercise their right to refuse.

In other news, Graham fundraising for Cruz. Wonder what the weather is like in hell today.
"But, as the conservative understands it, modification of the rules should always reflect, and never impose, a change in the activities and beliefs of those who are subject to them, and should never on any occasion be so great as to destroy the ensemble."
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22435 Posts
March 17 2016 18:25 GMT
#67569
On March 18 2016 03:16 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 18 2016 03:14 oneofthem wrote:
muh guns to become the main argument against garland

Well they have to think up something to justify obstructionism.

Why do they?
Its pointless anyway, all the Democrats need to do is link the statement made mere minutes after Scalia's death that shows they were never going to confirm.
At this point even if there were very legitimate reasons to deny a nomination it would not be accepted as anything other then pure obstructionism.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15743 Posts
March 17 2016 18:33 GMT
#67570
On March 18 2016 03:23 Introvert wrote:
Keeping the second amendment intact is an excellent reason to exercise their right to refuse.

In other news, Graham fundraising for Cruz. Wonder what the weather is like in hell today.


In what world is Cruz less divisive than Trump? I honestly don't understand how the establishment can think Cruz is a viable candidate. Maybe they want him to run so that he will lose so that they will finally be rid of him? Use ruining Cruz' career to sink Trump's ship?
Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
March 17 2016 18:36 GMT
#67571
Apparently dismantling the IRS is viable now. Why again would someone dismantle one of the best working tax agencies on the planet?
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18864 Posts
March 17 2016 18:38 GMT
#67572
Rick Snyder got fucking destroyed at today's hearing on the Flint water crisis. The head of the EPA a bit less so

Many of the committee members at the hearing have focused on one question: What did Governor Snyder know and when did he know it?

Time and again during the hearing, emails from his administration were cited showing awareness among members of his staff that something was dangerously wrong with the water in Flint. In one, raised by Representative Elijah E. Cummings, an aide described the Flint situation as “downright scary.”

Mr. Snyder acknowledged that there were numerous signs that things were not right with the water. But every inquiry was met with reassurances by “career bureaucrats,” he said, that the problems were not serious. He repeated that he was not aware that the reassurances were wrong until September 2015, when his staff briefed him on high lead levels in the Flint water supply.

“They failed to inform you of a health crisis in your state?” asked Representative Brenda Lawrence of Michigan.

“It’s a tragedy that never should have happened,” Mr. Snyder answered.

Mr. Cummings has said that Dan Wyant, the former director of the Department of Environmental Quality in Michigan, told committee members that the issue of the Flint water was never raised during cabinet meetings with Mr. Snyder during Mr. Wyant’s time as director, according to The Detroit Free Press. Mr. Wyant resigned in December 2015.

In one of the final exchanges of the hearing, Mr. Cummings told Mr. Snyder, “It looks like almost everyone knew about this problem but you.

“You were missing in action. That’s not leadership.”


House Hearing on the Water Crisis in Flint
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
kwizach
Profile Joined June 2011
3658 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-03-17 18:40:35
March 17 2016 18:38 GMT
#67573
On March 18 2016 03:05 TheTenthDoc wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 18 2016 02:53 Nebuchad wrote:
On March 18 2016 02:26 Doodsmack wrote:
On March 18 2016 02:07 LegalLord wrote:
On March 18 2016 02:00 Doodsmack wrote:
On March 18 2016 00:25 LegalLord wrote:
On March 18 2016 00:17 KwarK wrote:
On March 17 2016 23:58 LegalLord wrote:
On March 17 2016 23:56 KwarK wrote:
On March 17 2016 23:54 LegalLord wrote:
[quote]
It is actually pretty unreasonable. Dems stay home if they don't like their own candidate. So them not voting for Hillary is very likely.

If Romney were the Republican candidate, maybe. You're really going to tell me there won't be a rally to vote against Trump though?

A rally against a candidate gets people to stay home, not vote for the opposition. They won't want Trump but they won't exactly rally behind Hillary either.

You don't need to rally behind Hillary. You need to rally behind "anyone but Trump" which will propel Hillary to the White House. There is absolutely no requirement to support Hillary, or to want her to be president, to vote against Trump. In a two party system if you're against one candidate you are by default for the other.

The strength of feeling against Trump can be greater than the strength of feeling for Hillary and people will still get out there and vote. For those people Hillary isn't campaigning under her own name, she's campaigning as "not Trump".

The "anyone but Hillary" train of thought is no weaker than the "anyone but Trump" one. If neither candidate is a good option, people will often choose simply not to vote. This happens a lot even when it isn't logical to do so.

"I suck but Trump sucks worse" doesn't exactly inspire people to "get out the vote." People actually have to like you. And Trump may just not be universally hated in the general, and Hillary will be shat on by most for being a genuinely sleazy and shitty politician.


Are you saying democrat turnout would be abnormally low with Hillary, just because Sanders supporters don't like her? You're talking about Sanders supporters that are activists. You don't think Bernie supporters hate trump? I struggle to think that Bernie supporters would not cast a vote to stop trump.

In 08 Clinton supporters said in polls they wouldn't vote for Obama if he was the nominee, but then they did.

Yes, I think that democrats that supported Bernie might stay home, not wanting to vote for the shitty candidate they see Hillary as. Abnormally low turnout, I don't think anyone can say - we don't even have our nominees chosen yet. But low enough to give it to Trump? Maybe.

Dems were pretty much guaranteed to win 08 after Bush. Now, it could go either way - Obama is neither particularly good or bad overall, as a general perception by the country. To assume Dems will tow the party line just to stop Trump is to ignore reality.


I think to make the argument Bernie supporters won't vote you have to assume dem turnout will be abnormally low.


A major characteristic of both frontrunners is that a large part of their own party dislikes and/or distrusts them very much. To expect a high turnout is incredibly wishful.

I assume Clinton is going to give an important post in her administration to Sanders, which may help.


Well, at least when it comes to people in the parties actually voting in the primaries, up until around two weeks ago more primary voters would have been satisfied with Clinton than would have been satisfied with Obama in 2008 (79% satisfied with 2012 Clinton vs Obama's 69% in '08). Clinton herself has risen from 71% in '08, interestingly enough. You might be able to argue Obama's numbers were brutally tanked by a couple states though.

Source : http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/republican-voters-kind-of-hate-all-their-choices/

There is the looming spectre of people that just aren't voting in the primaries, though, which is a legitimate concern since they're not captured in the exit polls, but I can't help but think they'll just vote hard party lines.

Thanks, I was about to post that to respond to LegalLord. The idea that most liberals who did not support Clinton in the primary will not vote for her in the general election is not rooted in evidence at this point. The polls show the opposite is true.
"Oedipus ruined a great sex life by asking too many questions." -- Stephen Colbert
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
March 17 2016 18:39 GMT
#67574
On March 18 2016 03:36 Nyxisto wrote:
Apparently dismantling the IRS is viable now. Why again would someone dismantle one of the best working tax agencies on the planet?

Republicans believe that the federal government is bad and that everything should be done by the states.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
March 17 2016 18:39 GMT
#67575
On March 18 2016 03:36 Nyxisto wrote:
Apparently dismantling the IRS is viable now. Why again would someone dismantle one of the best working tax agencies on the planet?

People don't like taxes? I like the IRS personally. My property taxes, however. Fuck those.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22435 Posts
March 17 2016 18:40 GMT
#67576
On March 18 2016 03:36 Nyxisto wrote:
Apparently dismantling the IRS is viable now. Why again would someone dismantle one of the best working tax agencies on the planet?

because they think all taxes are evil while forgetting what it does for them?
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States44128 Posts
March 17 2016 18:42 GMT
#67577
On March 18 2016 03:36 Nyxisto wrote:
Apparently dismantling the IRS is viable now. Why again would someone dismantle one of the best working tax agencies on the planet?

In fairness the American tax system in which individuals cock up their tax forms, overpay in tax all year and then pay a third party a lot of money to file routine documents in order to get the tax overpayment refunded is fucking retarded and a product mostly of lobbying by those third parties.

I have a theory that it exists mostly to deceive low income America into thinking that they are big tax payers who are being robbed by foreign aid/the homeless/black people. After all, they pay taxes all year and what do they have to show for it (other than a check once a year giving all the money back). Nothing! (other than public services of which they are a net beneficiary)

But that's a case for reforming the system. Abolishing the IRS is a very strange idea.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
ZasZ.
Profile Joined May 2010
United States2911 Posts
March 17 2016 18:42 GMT
#67578
On March 18 2016 03:06 wei2coolman wrote:
http://www.timesofisrael.com/donald-trumps-the-israeli-media/

This is how amazing the Hitler comparisons are working for the establishment.


Yeah a politician receiving unequivocal and universal support from a media publication without context or nuance, what could be less Hitler than that?
Introvert
Profile Joined April 2011
United States4999 Posts
March 17 2016 18:43 GMT
#67579
On March 18 2016 03:33 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 18 2016 03:23 Introvert wrote:
Keeping the second amendment intact is an excellent reason to exercise their right to refuse.

In other news, Graham fundraising for Cruz. Wonder what the weather is like in hell today.


In what world is Cruz less divisive than Trump? I honestly don't understand how the establishment can think Cruz is a viable candidate. Maybe they want him to run so that he will lose so that they will finally be rid of him? Use ruining Cruz' career to sink Trump's ship?


Losing a general wouldn't ruin his career.

I think they figure that

A) they know what they get with Cruz. This seems similar to Graham's reasoning.

B) they don't think losing with Cruz is bad for the party.

C) while Cruz is not the easiest candidate to elect in a general, they figure odds are better than Trump. They look at the Trump numbers, see the riots, etc and go "no thanks."
"But, as the conservative understands it, modification of the rules should always reflect, and never impose, a change in the activities and beliefs of those who are subject to them, and should never on any occasion be so great as to destroy the ensemble."
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15743 Posts
March 17 2016 18:43 GMT
#67580
On March 18 2016 03:40 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 18 2016 03:36 Nyxisto wrote:
Apparently dismantling the IRS is viable now. Why again would someone dismantle one of the best working tax agencies on the planet?

because they think all taxes are evil while forgetting what it does for them?

Shouldn't be long now until someone in this thread argues why taxes are equivalent to being robbed at gunpoint.
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