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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
kwizach
Profile Joined June 2011
3658 Posts
March 14 2016 01:49 GMT
#66041
On March 14 2016 10:38 Klowney wrote:
Hillary just said that democratic candidates should not get money from private prisons and that they should get closed. Guess who is getting money from them.

You're a bit late on that, mate.
"Oedipus ruined a great sex life by asking too many questions." -- Stephen Colbert
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23947 Posts
March 14 2016 01:53 GMT
#66042
On March 14 2016 10:49 kwizach wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 14 2016 10:38 Klowney wrote:
Hillary just said that democratic candidates should not get money from private prisons and that they should get closed. Guess who is getting money from them.

You're a bit late on that, mate.


She's still taking money from bundlers who lobby for the private prison industry, pharmaceutical lobby, and so on.

Source

It's like she doesn't know how the internet works sometimes...
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
JW_DTLA
Profile Joined December 2015
242 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-03-14 01:54:52
March 14 2016 01:54 GMT
#66043
On March 14 2016 10:41 iPlaY.NettleS wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 14 2016 08:40 JW_DTLA wrote:
I am so done with these arguments over who was more liberal back in the 90s. A bunch of angels dancing on the head of a pin nonsense. What are you going to do now? How will it work? Who will you get to vote and/or pay for this crap? The Democratic debate is devolved into this idiotic purity contest about things that didn't quite happen 20 years ago while Trump is leading the right wing of this country straight into a vulgar fascism-lite. Trump's calls to violence and revenge are far more consequential than the liberal on liberal fights about who was the liberalist back in the day. I want to hear how Bernie/Hillary will address the rising tide of Trump hatred and violence. What are they going to do to address the illegitimate white feelings of loss**.

White feelings of loss = Barack Obama crushed the illusion of white supremacy in this country. Two times he was elected without the majority consent of whites in this country and put black people in charge of justice. Though illegitimate, that is a real feeling of loss for the aged and under-educated Trump supporters who had so little left to lose.

Nonsense.White people are better off now than when Obama was elected.Blacks are worse off.It's fact.


Why are you ignoring the great crash again? I mean seriously. It isn't hard to have a basic grasp of history. I can see through your dishonesty, so can everyone else. The Obama presidency started in 2009, the crash was in 2008 and petered out right around the time Obama signed the stimulus. The SubPrime crisis really hurt black wealth levels, but that was all Pre-Obama. Check out Pew research for a bit:

"Over the longer term, black adults sustained the largest increase in income status from 1971 to 2015 and were the only major racial or ethnic group to experience a decline in their lower-income share."
http://www.pewsocialtrends.org/2015/12/09/2-changes-in-income-status-vary-across-demographic-groups/


Some articles to back up my previous post about divergent white and black perspectives:

Discussing the white perspective (It’s not just anger over jobs and immigration. White voters hope Trump will restore the racial hierarchy upended by Barack Obama.):
http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/cover_story/2016/03/how_donald_trump_happened_racism_against_barack_obama.html

Discussing the black perspective (sadness over loss of a great President and fear for what comes next):
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/03/13/us/politics/proud-of-obamas-presidency-blacks-are-sad-to-see-him-go.html
Consider the actual black perspective.
kwizach
Profile Joined June 2011
3658 Posts
March 14 2016 01:56 GMT
#66044
Hillary's killing this townhall. Detailed and sincere responses to tough questions.
"Oedipus ruined a great sex life by asking too many questions." -- Stephen Colbert
oBlade
Profile Blog Joined December 2008
United States6121 Posts
March 14 2016 01:56 GMT
#66045
On March 14 2016 10:47 kwizach wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 14 2016 10:34 oBlade wrote:
On March 14 2016 09:53 kwizach wrote:
On March 14 2016 09:36 oBlade wrote:
On March 14 2016 09:05 ticklishmusic wrote:
On March 14 2016 08:30 Nebuchad wrote:
On March 14 2016 08:22 ticklishmusic wrote:
On March 14 2016 02:33 Nebuchad wrote:
On March 14 2016 01:45 ticklishmusic wrote:
On March 13 2016 22:15 GreenHorizons wrote:
[quote]

Just waiting for her to actually go full SNL skit.

Her attacks have gotten increasingly desperate and poorly researched.


Apparently the irony went whizzing past people's heads, though at this point in the game it's unsurprising. Let me lay it out to you: Hillary Clinton led the charge for healthcare reform back in '93, and Bernie Sanders was barely involved (this could be said for many things he professes to care about). This picture could be taken as further proof Bernie doesn't remember or that he is ignoring the fact that Hillary was doing healthcare things, or more symbolically that he was a follower or some sort of potted plant when it came to the issue.


Even if we grant you that version, which we don't, as it is bull, that version still has your candidate very openly lying on the stage in order to discredit her opponent. Does that bother you somewhat? Earlier you said it was disgusting that Bernie was so dishonest because he was pushing for things that you don't think he can actually do, now you have Hillary being dishonest because she's saying things that she knows are false, which is the actual definition of dishonesty. And you stand with that.


How is it bull? Are you unaware that during the Clinton administration Hillary led the charge on healthcare reform? It isn't dishonesty, it's simply your ability to detect the underlying subtext to the question "where was Bernie" is wholly lacking.


Kwizach posted the link earlier. http://www.politico.com/story/2015/06/bernie-sanders-hillary-clinton-119082

Let me stress once again that even if your version was true, it would still be dishonest, cause it's portraying a lack of support for an effort toward healthcare because it's not good enough as a lack of support for healthcare in general. It is in the same vein as the auto bail-out comment, in which the intent is to pretend the vote against wall street bailout, a widely popular position, is actually a vote against the auto bail-out, a perception that is certainly not bound to help you in Michigan.


No it's not. Bernie has a record of minimal impact on issues he professes to care about. He talks the talk, but rarely has he walked the walk. Sure he gets a certificate of participation for healthcare, but that's about it.

They both supported the initial version of the auto bailout, which failed. Later, a combined bill that provided funding for both the banks and the auto industry came around, and Bernie voted against it. That's pretty clear cut. Bernie chose his hatred of Wall Street over the people of Michigan.

Edit: Please answer my question or just move on, kwizach.

Please answer the arguments and data I've repeatedly presented you with to address your point about Trump not being a weaker primary candidate than previous frontrunners or just move on, oBlade.

That sounds a lot like what I just said to you.

My only argument has been that his popular vote numbers thus far are normal under the circumstances and therefore they're not evidence or a measure of the strength of his candidacy. If I was as liberal with underlining as you, maybe you'd have seen this earlier.

I know that's what you've been saying, which is why I have responded extensively to that argument by pointing out that there are other measures of the strength of his candidacy than only his popular vote numbers. One such measure is how happy with him as the nominee would Republican voters who did not vote for him in the primary would be, and how likely they (Republican voters still, not the non-Republican general electorate) would be to support him in a general election. In this respect, he fares considerably worse than Romney did in 2012. The facts therefore tell us that despite Trump's numbers in the popular vote, he has weaknesses that Romney did not have. It is mind-blowing that at this point in the discussion you are still not processing this simple information.

Yes, I'm saying his popular vote seems fine, and you've set out to disprove that by talking about things besides the popular vote.
"I read it. You know how to read, you ignorant fuck?" - Andy Dufresne
kwizach
Profile Joined June 2011
3658 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-03-14 02:05:09
March 14 2016 02:03 GMT
#66046
On March 14 2016 10:56 oBlade wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 14 2016 10:47 kwizach wrote:
On March 14 2016 10:34 oBlade wrote:
On March 14 2016 09:53 kwizach wrote:
On March 14 2016 09:36 oBlade wrote:
On March 14 2016 09:05 ticklishmusic wrote:
On March 14 2016 08:30 Nebuchad wrote:
On March 14 2016 08:22 ticklishmusic wrote:
On March 14 2016 02:33 Nebuchad wrote:
On March 14 2016 01:45 ticklishmusic wrote:
[quote]

Apparently the irony went whizzing past people's heads, though at this point in the game it's unsurprising. Let me lay it out to you: Hillary Clinton led the charge for healthcare reform back in '93, and Bernie Sanders was barely involved (this could be said for many things he professes to care about). This picture could be taken as further proof Bernie doesn't remember or that he is ignoring the fact that Hillary was doing healthcare things, or more symbolically that he was a follower or some sort of potted plant when it came to the issue.


Even if we grant you that version, which we don't, as it is bull, that version still has your candidate very openly lying on the stage in order to discredit her opponent. Does that bother you somewhat? Earlier you said it was disgusting that Bernie was so dishonest because he was pushing for things that you don't think he can actually do, now you have Hillary being dishonest because she's saying things that she knows are false, which is the actual definition of dishonesty. And you stand with that.


How is it bull? Are you unaware that during the Clinton administration Hillary led the charge on healthcare reform? It isn't dishonesty, it's simply your ability to detect the underlying subtext to the question "where was Bernie" is wholly lacking.


Kwizach posted the link earlier. http://www.politico.com/story/2015/06/bernie-sanders-hillary-clinton-119082

Let me stress once again that even if your version was true, it would still be dishonest, cause it's portraying a lack of support for an effort toward healthcare because it's not good enough as a lack of support for healthcare in general. It is in the same vein as the auto bail-out comment, in which the intent is to pretend the vote against wall street bailout, a widely popular position, is actually a vote against the auto bail-out, a perception that is certainly not bound to help you in Michigan.


No it's not. Bernie has a record of minimal impact on issues he professes to care about. He talks the talk, but rarely has he walked the walk. Sure he gets a certificate of participation for healthcare, but that's about it.

They both supported the initial version of the auto bailout, which failed. Later, a combined bill that provided funding for both the banks and the auto industry came around, and Bernie voted against it. That's pretty clear cut. Bernie chose his hatred of Wall Street over the people of Michigan.

Edit: Please answer my question or just move on, kwizach.

Please answer the arguments and data I've repeatedly presented you with to address your point about Trump not being a weaker primary candidate than previous frontrunners or just move on, oBlade.

That sounds a lot like what I just said to you.

My only argument has been that his popular vote numbers thus far are normal under the circumstances and therefore they're not evidence or a measure of the strength of his candidacy. If I was as liberal with underlining as you, maybe you'd have seen this earlier.

I know that's what you've been saying, which is why I have responded extensively to that argument by pointing out that there are other measures of the strength of his candidacy than only his popular vote numbers. One such measure is how happy with him as the nominee would Republican voters who did not vote for him in the primary would be, and how likely they (Republican voters still, not the non-Republican general electorate) would be to support him in a general election. In this respect, he fares considerably worse than Romney did in 2012. The facts therefore tell us that despite Trump's numbers in the popular vote, he has weaknesses that Romney did not have. It is mind-blowing that at this point in the discussion you are still not processing this simple information.

Yes, I'm saying his popular vote seems fine, and you've set out to disprove that by talking about things besides the popular vote.

Now you're straight up lying, since you weren't only talking about the popular vote initially. In fact, you are the one who originally brought up favorability ratings, in your second post, the one I replied to. Nobody is disputing the fact that Trump is leading the field, and that his popular vote numbers are more or less in line with what can be expected of a frontrunner at this point. Yet the strength of a candidacy is not solely measured by the popular vote the frontrunner has received at a given point. You've essentially been confronted with evidence showing that Trump is a weaker frontrunner than Romney on several fronts, and you've retreated back to hiding behind his current popular vote numbers, when that's not the sole measure of the strength of a candidacy and when that's not the only thing that was originally being discussed.
"Oedipus ruined a great sex life by asking too many questions." -- Stephen Colbert
oBlade
Profile Blog Joined December 2008
United States6121 Posts
March 14 2016 02:12 GMT
#66047
Didn't you say you thought he would probably get the GOP nomination?
"I read it. You know how to read, you ignorant fuck?" - Andy Dufresne
kwizach
Profile Joined June 2011
3658 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-03-14 02:18:20
March 14 2016 02:12 GMT
#66048
Back to deflecting. Yes, I did. That is not what is being contended. The strength of one's candidacy does not only rest on one's ability to get the nomination.
"Oedipus ruined a great sex life by asking too many questions." -- Stephen Colbert
oBlade
Profile Blog Joined December 2008
United States6121 Posts
March 14 2016 02:25 GMT
#66049
There have been frontrunners who didn't get the nomination, are you aware of that? It would be a very interesting comparison if someone were to find an example of that which was applicable here. And I have told you before I would speak to the interesting subject of Trump's viability as the nominee if you would take a step back and realize I haven't been taking a position on that.
"I read it. You know how to read, you ignorant fuck?" - Andy Dufresne
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
March 14 2016 02:29 GMT
#66050
Can you two take it to PM? Or just make out and get it over with?
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
kwizach
Profile Joined June 2011
3658 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-03-14 02:39:07
March 14 2016 02:34 GMT
#66051
On March 14 2016 11:25 oBlade wrote:
There have been frontrunners who didn't get the nomination, are you aware of that? It would be a very interesting comparison if someone were to find an example of that which was applicable here. And I have told you before I would speak to the interesting subject of Trump's viability as the nominee if you would take a step back and realize I haven't been taking a position on that.

Yes, I am aware of that, and that is still not what was being discussed (it is also not logically connected to the point I was making -- it's pretty amazing how you manage to consistently dodge what is being said and reply with unrelated one-liners). Plansix never suggested that Trump would not get the nomination, he was talking about the fact that he is a weak frontrunner when it comes to how the electorate sees him, and I have indeed provided you with ample evidence to back up the point that Trump is a weaker frontrunner than Romney was with respect to how the Republican electorate participating in the primary views him. I'm not even talking about his general electorate favorability numbers.

You just got caught lying by pretending that you were only talking about his popular vote numbers, so please stop trying to pretend that you were misunderstood, accept the fact that the argument that you were disputing (that Trump is a weaker frontrunner than Romney) is supported by evidence, and move on.
"Oedipus ruined a great sex life by asking too many questions." -- Stephen Colbert
JW_DTLA
Profile Joined December 2015
242 Posts
March 14 2016 03:02 GMT
#66052
What are you two arguing about? Romney versus Trump primary electorate strength? They aren't really comparable because Romney dominated the field of people who wouldn't be Trumpkins, whereas Trumps dominance in low education low income Republicans is super strong. Overall, Romney had a lock solid hold on the deciding and thinking wings of the Republican party itself (the electeds, the apparatchiks, the media). I think that would give Romney the advantage. Also, Cruz is vastly more formidable than the comparatively sorry Not-Romneys.
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23947 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-03-14 03:04:16
March 14 2016 03:03 GMT
#66053
Without getting into details, there was a crap ton of calls made into the March 15th states by grassroots supporters for Bernie. Polls are going to be wrong again, the one's that are just this weekend through the 15th will be the closest, but they will still be wrong.

Still need more calls though. FL is going to be rough.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
kwizach
Profile Joined June 2011
3658 Posts
March 14 2016 03:08 GMT
#66054
On March 14 2016 12:02 JW_DTLA wrote:
What are you two arguing about? Romney versus Trump primary electorate strength? They aren't really comparable because Romney dominated the field of people who wouldn't be Trumpkins, whereas Trumps dominance in low education low income Republicans is super strong. Overall, Romney had a lock solid hold on the deciding and thinking wings of the Republican party itself (the electeds, the apparatchiks, the media). I think that would give Romney the advantage. Also, Cruz is vastly more formidable than the comparatively sorry Not-Romneys.

The point is that among the Republicans who did not vote for Romney for nominee in 2012, he was still a much more acceptable potential nominee than Trump is among the Republicans who did not vote for Trump for nominee in 2016. This article on 538 explains this pretty well. Also, Trump has the highest percentage of people who would either definitely (35%) or likely (13%) not support him in the general election as the Republican nominee among Republican voters who did not vote for him in the primary.
"Oedipus ruined a great sex life by asking too many questions." -- Stephen Colbert
Deleted User 137586
Profile Joined January 2011
7859 Posts
March 14 2016 03:14 GMT
#66055
I don't think anyone can make the case that Trump is seen favourably. Here's a poll from last week in California:

[image loading]

To break it down a bit more:

[image loading]

I especially like the fact that people who vote democrat are more likely to have heard of him
Cry 'havoc' and let slip the dogs of war
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
March 14 2016 03:28 GMT
#66056
On March 14 2016 12:02 JW_DTLA wrote:
What are you two arguing about? Romney versus Trump primary electorate strength? They aren't really comparable because Romney dominated the field of people who wouldn't be Trumpkins, whereas Trumps dominance in low education low income Republicans is super strong. Overall, Romney had a lock solid hold on the deciding and thinking wings of the Republican party itself (the electeds, the apparatchiks, the media). I think that would give Romney the advantage. Also, Cruz is vastly more formidable than the comparatively sorry Not-Romneys.

The sexual tension of the entire argument is really killing the thread. I wish they would just pull the trigger, rather than flirt all through the thread.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States14123 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-03-14 03:36:11
March 14 2016 03:35 GMT
#66057
+ Show Spoiler +


Did everyone just miss JW saying romney was nominated by communists?
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
IgnE
Profile Joined November 2010
United States7681 Posts
March 14 2016 03:49 GMT
#66058
On March 14 2016 12:08 kwizach wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 14 2016 12:02 JW_DTLA wrote:
What are you two arguing about? Romney versus Trump primary electorate strength? They aren't really comparable because Romney dominated the field of people who wouldn't be Trumpkins, whereas Trumps dominance in low education low income Republicans is super strong. Overall, Romney had a lock solid hold on the deciding and thinking wings of the Republican party itself (the electeds, the apparatchiks, the media). I think that would give Romney the advantage. Also, Cruz is vastly more formidable than the comparatively sorry Not-Romneys.

The point is that among the Republicans who did not vote for Romney for nominee in 2012, he was still a much more acceptable potential nominee than Trump is among the Republicans who did not vote for Trump for nominee in 2016. This article on 538 explains this pretty well. Also, Trump has the highest percentage of people who would either definitely (35%) or likely (13%) not support him in the general election as the Republican nominee among Republican voters who did not vote for him in the primary.


So who is in a better position than Trump to be the nominee?
The unrealistic sound of these propositions is indicative, not of their utopian character, but of the strength of the forces which prevent their realization.
kwizach
Profile Joined June 2011
3658 Posts
March 14 2016 03:54 GMT
#66059
On March 14 2016 12:49 IgnE wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 14 2016 12:08 kwizach wrote:
On March 14 2016 12:02 JW_DTLA wrote:
What are you two arguing about? Romney versus Trump primary electorate strength? They aren't really comparable because Romney dominated the field of people who wouldn't be Trumpkins, whereas Trumps dominance in low education low income Republicans is super strong. Overall, Romney had a lock solid hold on the deciding and thinking wings of the Republican party itself (the electeds, the apparatchiks, the media). I think that would give Romney the advantage. Also, Cruz is vastly more formidable than the comparatively sorry Not-Romneys.

The point is that among the Republicans who did not vote for Romney for nominee in 2012, he was still a much more acceptable potential nominee than Trump is among the Republicans who did not vote for Trump for nominee in 2016. This article on 538 explains this pretty well. Also, Trump has the highest percentage of people who would either definitely (35%) or likely (13%) not support him in the general election as the Republican nominee among Republican voters who did not vote for him in the primary.

So who is in a better position than Trump to be the nominee?

I am not arguing that someone else in the current Republican primary is better positioned than Trump to be the nominee, as I just repeated on this very page.
"Oedipus ruined a great sex life by asking too many questions." -- Stephen Colbert
oBlade
Profile Blog Joined December 2008
United States6121 Posts
March 14 2016 03:55 GMT
#66060
On March 14 2016 12:02 JW_DTLA wrote:
What are you two arguing about? Romney versus Trump primary electorate strength? They aren't really comparable because Romney dominated the field of people who wouldn't be Trumpkins, whereas Trumps dominance in low education low income Republicans is super strong. Overall, Romney had a lock solid hold on the deciding and thinking wings of the Republican party itself (the electeds, the apparatchiks, the media). I think that would give Romney the advantage. Also, Cruz is vastly more formidable than the comparatively sorry Not-Romneys.

What's basically going on is I'm talking about the race for the GOP nomination and he's talking about the general election. I'm saying Trump is in shape for the former and he's saying Trump is weak when it comes to the latter.
"I read it. You know how to read, you ignorant fuck?" - Andy Dufresne
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