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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23515 Posts
February 25 2016 09:22 GMT
#60461
I suggest Hillary supporters start worrying about making Bernie's plans the best they can be. I don't think anyone is going to be trusting Hillary's camp after the spin they throw on this.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
strongwind
Profile Joined July 2007
United States862 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-02-25 09:41:03
February 25 2016 09:39 GMT
#60462
On February 25 2016 18:00 JW_DTLA wrote:
How about the real criticism against Bernie: even in theory his economic plans don't add up. He needs 5% real GDP growth and assumes 1999 levels of labor participation. And Bernie never levels with how much he will have to raise W2 income taxes to pay for moving the health insurance system into the IRS. For a guy running on a plan to help the 99%, Bernie should have done his homework and come up with a plan that would pass the wonk test. Clinton may not have pilloried him for running on Unicorn plans, but you better believe Republicans will call him out for failing to get even liberal professional economists on board.

"We are concerned to see the Sanders campaign citing extreme claims by Gerald Friedman about the effect of Senator Sanders’s economic plan—claims that cannot be supported by the economic evidence."

https://lettertosanders.wordpress.com/2016/02/17/open-letter-to-senator-sanders-and-professor-gerald-friedman-from-past-cea-chairs/

http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2016/02/17/what-has-the-wonks-worried/?module=BlogPost-Title&version=Blog Main&contentCollection=Opinion&action=Click&pgtype=Blogs&region=Body&_r=0

yes yes there's a debate among economists as to what will work

http://observer.com/2016/02/liberal-economists-defend-bernie-sanders-against-a-chorus-of-critics/

obviously it's not as clear-cut when it comes to large scale economic changes that we haven't seen before in this country

And again, it goes back to my original point. Why is Bernie the one so heavily scrutinized? Does anyone have economic policy specifics from Trump, other than "I'm a billionaire and I know how to fix things"? What does Hillary offer, other than status-quo?

It bothers me that when someone puts forth big ideas, it's almost more politically expedient to be wishy-washy with the details. If you actually put forward a detailed plan, people will scrutinize it to death. Sure, Bernie could spend all his time hashing out the details, but he has this thing called an election to win. And the vast majority of Americans really don't care about the specifics. They care that their candidate is smart, capable, and trustworthy enough to figure out the details once they're in office.

Sometimes I wonder if FDR could win an election in this day and age..
Taek Bang Fighting!
RvB
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
Netherlands6261 Posts
February 25 2016 10:06 GMT
#60463
When Republicans have proposed large tax cuts for the wealthy and asserted that those tax cuts would pay for themselves, for example, we have shown that the economic facts do not support these fantastical claims.


Calling Republican claims fantastical is not enough scrutiny? I think it's pretty clear that economists like Krugman and Krueger are hardly fans of the economic policy of the Republican candidates.

Anyway I agree with this part of the Galbraiths letter:
You write that you have applied rigor to your analyses of economic proposals by Democrats and
Republicans. On reading this sentence I looked to the bottom of the page, to find a reference or link to
your rigorous review of Professor Friedman's study. I found nothing there.

big.assets.huffingtonpost.com
I expected an analysis with the letter as well
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
February 25 2016 11:50 GMT
#60464
it is obviously far out though
We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18159 Posts
February 25 2016 12:02 GMT
#60465
On February 25 2016 16:03 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 25 2016 14:37 ticklishmusic wrote:
First, the idea he's running a clean campaign is basically bullshit. Initially, I thought he was someone really special to gloss over the emails. However, while Bernie hasn't directly said anything, he insinuates and uses syllogism to "artfully smear" Hillary. He has never directly said that Hillary is untrustworthy, but he's definitely intimated she is (disregard for the moment if it is fact or not). A: Wall Street is bad. B: Hillary is close to Wall Street. Never a C, but he's happy to let his supporters and others (hello Koch brothers) connect the dots. It's cowardly and pretty much standard politics. What makes it despicable to me is that he's pretending he's better.

Second, he's an ideologue first and foremost. He's been on the right side of history (though his record is rather more spotty once you look at it). He's had the luxury of a safe Senate seat to cast protest votes, give speeches but never really act. He talks the talk, but he has not walked the walk nearly enough for my liking. This is a guy who others found very hard to work with--- for example, Barney Frank calls him out for his holier-than-thou and smarter-than-thou and better-than-thou attitude. He's had something like 3 colleagues endorse him. Yes, Bernie has been an independent. That label alone means diddly squat to me. What matters to me is his ability to form relationships with people (on both sides of the aisle) and get things done. Sanders has done that occasionally, but he has rarely, if ever, been a true driver on issues he proclaims to care about as measured by results.

Third (this ties closely with the second) is that he's woefully unknowledgeable on a wide range of issues. I won't insult his intelligence because he's a very bright dude, almost guaranteed to be smarter than everyone on this forum. However, the fact that after so many years in public office he remains unversed in many fields is a massive turnoff. First, foreign policy-- it's clear that this is a weak point where he has only, belatedly, begun to shore up. Beyond that, things like his misunderstanding of fiscal policy and assorted mistakes (like saying he would save more on pharma than we actually spend on it) are signs to me he is not nearly ready to be president. I find the problems he points out to be real ones, but the way he goes about addressing many of them are at best naive and at worst laughable.

Fourth (this one isn't as big), his message is narrow and divisive. From hearing his speech, we're still deep in the recession and things are going to shit and it's the fault of the one percent. It's a very black and white picture, and by virtue of that incorrect. Sure we have a huge problem with a disproportionate amount of wealth and influence going to a small number of people and "people" (corporations). However, framing this minority as some sort of enemy that we have to destroy is plain harmful. Like, Bernie wants to kick anyone with any tie to the banks off the fed, which is ridiculous. That's the kind of rhetoric that leads to gridlock, bad feelings and a even more screwed up situation than we are now. Finally, dismissing groups like Planned Parenthood, economists like Krugman and the rest and other politicians who have definitely fought the good fight but disagree with him is terribly petty.

EDIT: Regardless, I still do like Sanders and appreciate what he's done with his message. That carries a lot of weight with me. Just not enough to put him over the top when I put him beside Hillary in my mind.

Well, you're not wrong about Bernie; a lot of the flaws that you mentioned are valid and legitimate criticisms of him. However, based on who you support, it seems you think that Hillary is a good candidate. I disagree, and I think that if there were another candidate with Sanders' ideas who was a bit better about being part of the party and about having a broader appeal, said candidate would easily exploit Hillary's weaknesses and defeat her.

Sure, he's not great at foreign policy - Hillary is god damn awful at it with a proven track record of doing badly. And I will agree that he is a little less-than-practical about ideas such as Wall Street, fiscal policy, etc., though he does bring up good points that could be implemented if done right. His big advantage is that people don't really trust Hillary very much. Right now she is like the Richard Nixon of the Democratic party, with more than a fair share of party support and connections but with a shady and checkered history that will come back to bite her in the ass.

If Hillary were a strong candidate then she would have been able to easily dismiss Sanders early on in the campaign. The fact that he is still around is a sign of her being a very weak and ineffective candidate.

This may be true, but you have a choice between two flawed candidates (either of which is a few miles ahead of whichever clown the Republicans end up with; don't forget that).

I'm not a big fan of this berning drive to create a schism in the party. Both candidates have their problems, and it's a matter of opinion which problems you think are more important (and whose strengthso you like better).
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
February 25 2016 12:33 GMT
#60466
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23515 Posts
February 25 2016 13:08 GMT
#60467
Seriously? You guys are sooo slow. Not a coincidence you haven't heard yet.

Did anyone know there was a Rep Town Hall last night?
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
jcarlsoniv
Profile Blog Joined January 2010
United States27922 Posts
February 25 2016 13:13 GMT
#60468
On February 25 2016 22:08 GreenHorizons wrote:
Seriously? You guys are sooo slow. Not a coincidence you haven't heard yet.

Did anyone know there was a Rep Town Hall last night?


I assume you're talking about this?

+ Show Spoiler +


It certainly won't help, but idk how much it'll hurt. I'm not very good at gauging that type of thing, but it did get #WhichHillary trending.
Soniv ||| Soniv#1962 ||| @jcarlsoniv ||| The Big Golem ||| Join the Glorious Evolution. What's your favorite aminal, a bear? ||| Joe "Don't call me Daniel" "Soniv" "Daniel" Carlsberg LXIX ||| Paging Dr. John Shadow
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
February 25 2016 13:25 GMT
#60469
I don't see Hillary losing the black vote. They always tend to favor one party and candidate overwhelmingly and will almost never be convinced otherwise.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
jcarlsoniv
Profile Blog Joined January 2010
United States27922 Posts
February 25 2016 13:37 GMT
#60470
On February 25 2016 22:25 LegalLord wrote:
I don't see Hillary losing the black vote. They always tend to favor one party and candidate overwhelmingly and will almost never be convinced otherwise.


You're right, she won't ever lose it. The question is, then, can Sanders put enough of a dent in her support for it to matter?
Soniv ||| Soniv#1962 ||| @jcarlsoniv ||| The Big Golem ||| Join the Glorious Evolution. What's your favorite aminal, a bear? ||| Joe "Don't call me Daniel" "Soniv" "Daniel" Carlsberg LXIX ||| Paging Dr. John Shadow
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15725 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-02-25 13:39:46
February 25 2016 13:38 GMT
#60471
On February 25 2016 22:13 jcarlsoniv wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 25 2016 22:08 GreenHorizons wrote:
Seriously? You guys are sooo slow. Not a coincidence you haven't heard yet.

Did anyone know there was a Rep Town Hall last night?


I assume you're talking about this?

+ Show Spoiler +
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LqLfvQfuvsA


It certainly won't help, but idk how much it'll hurt. I'm not very good at gauging that type of thing, but it did get #WhichHillary trending.


Add this to the reasons people stopped taking BLM seriously.
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18843 Posts
February 25 2016 13:39 GMT
#60472
Given the variety of black groups/public figures already behind Sanders, I think he's definitely going to make some kind of dent.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23515 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-02-25 13:44:02
February 25 2016 13:43 GMT
#60473
Yea we got there! I know many people here are thinking "how rude of the protester" but that's not how black communities are going to see it. Plus if you've seen #WhichHillary it's like a crash course in all things fucked by Hillary. Might not change a lot of votes but it will depress her turnout.

As the resident black person, maybe she holds on in SC since it seems to be some sort of media black hole down there but she will probably lose the under 40 black vote even in SC which means it's just a matter of time before her last "firewall" falls.
On February 25 2016 22:38 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 25 2016 22:13 jcarlsoniv wrote:
On February 25 2016 22:08 GreenHorizons wrote:
Seriously? You guys are sooo slow. Not a coincidence you haven't heard yet.

Did anyone know there was a Rep Town Hall last night?


I assume you're talking about this?

+ Show Spoiler +
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LqLfvQfuvsA


It certainly won't help, but idk how much it'll hurt. I'm not very good at gauging that type of thing, but it did get #WhichHillary trending.


Add this to the reasons people stopped taking BLM seriously.


Yeah the responses like this is exactly what Hillary needs for black voters.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-02-25 14:04:10
February 25 2016 13:54 GMT
#60474
friedman claims he is using a dsge model but did not provide or specify the model. to get those results you'd need to tweak the govt multiplier very high as well as assume growth baseline from the 90's.

it is quite a mistake to say it is just a regular model


just talking the underlying economics, yes there is a demand problem, but when you boost demand the companies may not return to their previous level of hiring. the ratchet and and clank of reorganization and restructuring is going towards smaller staff and so on so it's just difficult to see those numbers from just government spending. the most effective spending (infrastructure, some childcare stuff) are not even the main part of sander's plan. the medical and college stuff don't have a high multiplier
We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15725 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-02-25 13:59:21
February 25 2016 13:56 GMT
#60475
On February 25 2016 22:43 GreenHorizons wrote:
Yeah the responses like this is exactly what Hillary needs for black voters.


When BLM started out, a lot of people on my FB, myself included, supported and reposted stuff pertaining to police brutality etc. But as time has gone on, with things like the video above, "safe zones" and the like, I saw the transition from support to cynicism to ignoring. I think it could have been great and could have done a lot regarding police brutality.

Edit: I really don't see how anyone can see this idiot girl as anything more than a joke.

"Can you please apologize to black people for mass incarceration?" LMAO. Yeah, get out.
kwizach
Profile Joined June 2011
3658 Posts
February 25 2016 14:12 GMT
#60476
What needs to happen to boost Democratic chances in the general election, imo:

1. After Clinton beats Sanders in a clear majority of the states voting in early March, Sanders should recognize (after March 15 at the latest) that he's not going to win the nomination, and he should go talk to Clinton to discuss his leaving the race.
2. This discussion between Sanders and Clinton should lead Hillary to amend some of her plans to include more input from Sanders (and possibly some promises to him with regards to the composition of her future administration). Sanders, meanwhile, should declare in his concession speech that he endorses Hillary as strongly as possible, and that he has confidence her plan to regulate Wall Street is solid (which it is). He should declare that his support of Clinton goes hand-in-hand with his continuous fighting for the 99%, and that he's going to stay active this election to keep fighting this fight.
3. For the rest of the campaign, Sanders should actively campaign for Hillary, and pounce on Republicans as hard as he can, targeting the youth in particular.
4. Hillary's message should be reworked to be more inspiring and highlight the huge challenges ahead (climate change, inequalities, infrastructure, financial regulations, terrorism, international tensions etc.), how she's going to tackle them ambitiously and inclusively, and how she's going to use them as opportunities to build a better future for all Americans (green energy, more social mobility and opportunities, modernization of infrastructure, etc.).

This will make sure that Hillary does not have to waste any more money to win the Democratic nomination that she's going to win anyway, and that Democrats can go back to building up her image that has largely been damaged by utterly dishonest and false Republican attacks over Benghazi. Meanwhile, if the clown show that is the Republican nomination continues without Trump emerging as the winner yet and with Marco looking to make gains, that bitter fight can boost the Democrats in the eyes of the electorate.
"Oedipus ruined a great sex life by asking too many questions." -- Stephen Colbert
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23515 Posts
February 25 2016 14:15 GMT
#60477
On February 25 2016 22:56 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 25 2016 22:43 GreenHorizons wrote:
Yeah the responses like this is exactly what Hillary needs for black voters.


When BLM started out, a lot of people on my FB, myself included, supported and reposted stuff pertaining to police brutality etc. But as time has gone on, with things like the video above, "safe zones" and the like, I saw the transition from support to cynicism to ignoring. I think it could have been great and could have done a lot regarding police brutality.

Edit: I really don't see how anyone can see this idiot girl as anything more than a joke.

"Can you please apologize to black people for mass incarceration?" LMAO. Yeah, get out.


Haha, I'm used to you all so this doesn't surprise me. Best of luck keeping the black vote with Hillary supporters going around calling BLM protesters "idiot girls" and "jokes"

I'm very familiar with how that goes.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
Deathstar
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
9150 Posts
February 25 2016 14:18 GMT
#60478
I would sympathize but monolithic voters are what they are.

Obama and Reid are currently vetting a former Republican governor who's anti-union for SCOTUS. I don't even...
rip passion
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
February 25 2016 14:19 GMT
#60479
how do you identify those strongly as hillary supporters? seems to require a bernistan writer somewhere in that process and then the question becomes, how wide of an audience does that have with blacks?

the regular black leaders are backing hillary and that seems to be the most direct way to communicate with that community
We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18843 Posts
February 25 2016 14:22 GMT
#60480
The difference between Sharpton Democrats and BLM supporting democrats seems fairly obvious.....
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
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