[SPL] SK Telecom T1 vs CJ Entus - Page 6
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SuperArc
Austria7781 Posts
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DreaM)XeRO
Korea (South)4667 Posts
On July 05 2009 04:16 Zato-1 wrote: Given the map, SKT can expect EffOrt to come out for the ace game, so sending out anyone other than Bisu would be folly. Then again, I'm expecting 3-0 or 3-1 for SKT so I wouldn't worry much about the ace game yet. I'd make a good argument that Fantasy could beat Effort. Look at his record recently. He is currently on a 10 win streak against players such as Leta, Kal and Jangbi. His win over type-b in the OSL was impressive, and showcases his TvZ very well | ||
SuperArc
Austria7781 Posts
On July 05 2009 05:34 DreaM)XeRO wrote: I'd make a good argument that Fantasy could beat Effort. Look at his record recently. He is currently on a 10 win streak against players such as Leta, Kal and Jangbi. His win over type-b in the OSL was impressive, and showcases his TvZ very well You know why fantasy hasn't been sent out as ace for ages? Anyone can come out as their team's ace. Fantasy is only S-class if he can prepare against a single opponent. He isn't an all-round fighter like JD, Bisu, Flash, Effort, Leta. | ||
Djabanete
United States2786 Posts
CJ: Kwanro, Effort, Savior, Much, Movie, Skyhigh, Iris.....good (6+) STX: Calm, July, hero, Hwasin, Kal, Shuttle.......................good (6+) OZ: Jaedong, Hiya, Backho, Lomo....................................bad (4) KHAN: Stork, Jangbi, FBH, great.......................................bad (4) SKT: Bisu, Best, Canata, TheZerg, fantasy.......................OK (5) Hite: Leta, go.go, Yarnc, type-b, horang2...........................OK (5) KTF: Flash, ForGG, Lux, Hoejja, Tempest, Violet.......good (6+) Team matches depend on being able to send someone in every game. Upsets happen (Hoejja vs Bisu), people cheese, people choke, people suddenly step up to the plate and play amazingly (Skyhigh). Also, even slumping players tend to wake up a bit when their team's success in on the line in a big way --- people like Savior, Best, ForGG, and Lux all have the mental prowess to not suck completely when the big day comes. Obviously CJ and STX have the strongest all-around Bo7 lineups, but I think that if KT's guys play at their highest level they can take anyone. STX suffers from not having an S-class ace player, whereas OZ, SKT, KT, and CJ have an obvious choice for ace. edit: Also, people seem to forget that you only need 3 wins and a solid ace player to have a shot at winning. Even OZ can win a Bo7 if things go well for them: jaedong wins, 2 out backho/hiya/lomo win, jaedong takes ace. You can't count out a team with a strong ace just because they only have 4 halfway decent players, because 4 wins is all it takes. On July 05 2009 05:45 Avidkeystamper wrote: I'm tentative about Tempest because we haven't seen from him in so long. Same for July, though I'm sure he has some fight left. Tempest is definitely borderline. But as far as fillers go, he's a pretty good filler. Certainly better than someone like Spear or Miracle or Frozean, and about as good as Lomo or TheZerg (for example). July cannot be counted out under any circumstances, nor can you count on him for a win unless it's ZvP ![]() | ||
Avidkeystamper
United States8552 Posts
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SuperArc
Austria7781 Posts
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Mykill
Canada3402 Posts
![]() ![]() Ace match probable ![]() CJ ENTUSS!!!!! | ||
TwoToneTerran
United States8841 Posts
An interesting note on the 3 good depth teams (CJ, STX, and Hite to a degree) with their six man line up, they are all 3 half zerg (CJ is Kwanro, Effort, Savior, Hite is Hogil, Yarnc, Type-B, STX is Calm, July, Hero). That means that, once best of seven hits, I think the teams with the best overall vZ line up will be able to take down the 'depth' teams that look like shoe ins. With the exception to Khan, I think all the other teams are suspiciously good vs zerg. SKT has Bisu, Fantasy (With prep time ofc), and TheZerg (who's only reasonable match up is ZvZ, honestly). Oz? Jaedong is an autowin, Hiya fairs alright, and Lomo's specialty is Zerg -- Backho's also improved his PvZ immensely. And let's not forget the arguable best anti zerg team (I know I know I'm biased, but hear me out): KT. KT's got Lux, formerly second best ZvZer and still capable of taking those games, Flash who has no weak match ups (he's been performing poorly lately, I'll admit, but this is all in theory and Flash is the only player who's never had an honestly weak match up), ForGG still has a sickening TvZ rate, and if he steps up he's arguably the best TvZer around. Violet, while underperforming ultra recently against the likes of Jaedong and Effort, still has shown obscenely impressive PvZs before. The only suspect players are Hoejja, who's formerly painfully bad results vZ have drastically improved, and Tempest who only seems to be able to pull out big games against good zergs (Ousting both Zero and Jaedong from GOM before). I think if KT gets to a Bo7, and turns on even a little bit of their juice, they could absolutely trash the "depth" teams who seem to mostly rely on their Zerg line up (whereas KT's line up is 2 of each race, amusingly). Kind of sad that their Playoff future doesn't look bright. | ||
SuperArc
Austria7781 Posts
On July 05 2009 07:02 TwoToneTerran wrote: Hite also has Hogil, who's as good as Type-B at the very least. An interesting note on the 3 good depth teams (CJ, STX, and Hite to a degree) with their six man line up, they are all 3 half zerg (CJ is Kwanro, Effort, Savior, Hite is Hogil, Yarnc, Type-B, STX is Calm, July, Hero). That means that, once best of seven hits, I think the teams with the best overall vZ line up will be able to take down the 'depth' teams that look like shoe ins. With the exception to Khan, I think all the other teams are suspiciously good vs zerg. SKT has Bisu, Fantasy (With prep time ofc), and TheZerg (who's only reasonable match up is ZvZ, honestly). Oz? Jaedong is an autowin, Hiya fairs alright, and Lomo's specialty is Zerg -- Backho's also improved his PvZ immensely. And let's not forget the arguable best anti zerg team (I know I know I'm biased, but hear me out): KT. KT's got Lux, formerly second best ZvZer and still capable of taking those games, Flash who has no weak match ups (he's been performing poorly lately, I'll admit, but this is all in theory and Flash is the only player who's never had an honestly weak match up), ForGG still has a sickening TvZ rate, and if he steps up he's arguably the best TvZer around. Violet, while underperforming ultra recently against the likes of Jaedong and Effort, still has shown obscenely impressive PvZs before. The only suspect players are Hoejja, who's formerly painfully bad results vZ have drastically improved, and Tempest who only seems to be able to pull out big games against good zergs (Ousting both Zero and Jaedong from GOM before). I think if KT gets to a Bo7, and turns on even a little bit of their juice, they could absolutely trash the "depth" teams who seem to mostly rely on their Zerg line up (whereas KT's line up is 2 of each race, amusingly). Kind of sad that their Playoff future doesn't look bright. No one will say KT sucks if all their players would perform like they should be. Problem is we don't see them regaining their old self. | ||
TwoToneTerran
United States8841 Posts
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BanZu
United States3329 Posts
On July 05 2009 06:33 Mykill wrote: those predictions are a little bias. ![]() ![]() Ace match probable ![]() CJ ENTUSS!!!!! Isn't going auto-anti-SKT1 zerg biased in and of itself? It's not unreasonable to predict ![]() ![]() | ||
Rostam
United States2552 Posts
On July 05 2009 05:47 SuperArc wrote: Well Tempest is doing good in Gom, so he cant be horrible. He did "good" in Gom in season 2 as well and still sucked in proleague during that time. I wouldn't get my hopes up. Also, I think that list is pretty off because there's a lot of players as good or better than Tempest on other teams who weren't listed. | ||
TwoToneTerran
United States8841 Posts
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DreaM)XeRO
Korea (South)4667 Posts
On July 05 2009 05:42 Djabanete wrote: In terms of Bo7 depth.... (listing only players that have a realistic shot at winning against an A-class player): CJ: Kwanro, Effort, Savior, Much, Movie, Skyhigh, Iris.....good (6+) STX: Calm, July, hero, Hwasin, Kal, Shuttle.......................good (6+) OZ: Jaedong, Hiya, Backho, Lomo....................................bad (4) KHAN: Stork, Jangbi, FBH, great.......................................bad (4) SKT: Bisu, Best, Canata, TheZerg, fantasy.......................OK (5) Hite: Leta, go.go, Yarnc, type-b, horang2...........................OK (5) KTF: Flash, ForGG, Lux, Hoejja, Tempest, Violet.......good (6+) You are kidding right? As of now if you think that Much LET ALONE TEMPEST can take a game against an A class player, you are sorely mistaken. -Movie has been demoted to B team on the CJ team so he wont be played -Shuttle? Really? -Thezerg is wildly inconsistant -ForGG Lux Hoejja and Tempest are playing GODAWFUL. I dont even know the last time Tempest was played. Lux is playing like a kid with down syndrome and ForGG flat out plays like Tossgirl. | ||
DreaM)XeRO
Korea (South)4667 Posts
On July 05 2009 05:42 Djabanete wrote: In terms of Bo7 depth.... (listing only players that have a realistic shot at winning against an A-class player): CJ: Kwanro, Effort, Savior, Much, Movie***, Skyhigh, Iris.....good (6+) Kwanro in his last 10 = 5W 5L Savior in his last 10 = 3W 7L Much in his last 10 = 3W 7L ** Movie is on the B team as of now | ||
Avidkeystamper
United States8552 Posts
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DreaM)XeRO
Korea (South)4667 Posts
On July 05 2009 05:42 Djabanete wrote: In terms of Bo7 depth.... (listing only players that have a realistic shot at winning against an A-class player): KTF: Flash, ForGG, Lux, Hoejja, Tempest, Violet.......good (6+) ForGG in last 10 = 4W 6L Luxury in last 10 = 5W 5L Hojja in last 10 = 3 W 7 L Tempest in last 10 = 6 W 4 L ( suprised here ) ForGG and Lux have been slumping hard as of late, and Hoejja sucks in any matchup outside of ZvP and on the map Destination. tempest rarely gets any PL time b/c of Violet | ||
DoX.)
Singapore6164 Posts
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SuperArc
Austria7781 Posts
On July 05 2009 10:39 DreaM)XeRO wrote: You are kidding right? As of now if you think that Much LET ALONE TEMPEST can take a game against an A class player, you are sorely mistaken. -Movie has been demoted to B team on the CJ team so he wont be played -Shuttle? Really? -Thezerg is wildly inconsistant -ForGG Lux Hoejja and Tempest are playing GODAWFUL. I dont even know the last time Tempest was played. Lux is playing like a kid with down syndrome and ForGG flat out plays like Tossgirl. I am sure you were one of those SKT>all in WL. ![]() | ||
Djabanete
United States2786 Posts
On July 05 2009 10:46 DreaM)XeRO wrote: ForGG in last 10 = 4W 6L Luxury in last 10 = 5W 5L Hojja in last 10 = 3 W 7 L Tempest in last 10 = 6 W 4 L ( suprised here ) ForGG and Lux have been slumping hard as of late, and Hoejja sucks in any matchup outside of ZvP and on the map Destination. tempest rarely gets any PL time b/c of Violet I'm talking about players who "have a realistic shot", not who would be favored against, an A-class gamer. More to the point, I think I was fairly even-handed in my estimation of the various teams; although I included some weak players on KTF (nothing gets past you), I was generous to the other teams as well. For example, I gave SKT Best and TheZerg, who are both struggling to break even in recent games. Really, unless you think I'm being biased I don't know what you're trying to say. | ||
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