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[ASL17] Ro24 Group F

Forum Index > Brood War Tournaments
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BLinD-RawR
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
ALLEYCAT BLUES50859 Posts
March 06 2024 08:44 GMT
#1

Afreeca Starleague Season 17


Wednesday, Mar 06 10:00am GMT (GMT+00:00)


Afreeca Starleague Season 17


Casters & Hosts


Tasteless | Artosis | Nyoken | eonzerg


Streams


Korean Afreeca Stream
StarCastTV(Gypsy and Nyoken)


Matchups and Maps



[image loading]      [image loading]
(T)Royal              (Z)beast
[image loading]      [image loading]
(P)Rain              (T)BarrackS






Results


+ Show Spoiler [Full results] +






CSS: FO-nTTaX
Banner: v1


Brood War EICWoo Jung Ho, never forget.| Twitter: @BLinDRawR
Sonic_md
Profile Joined March 2020
Moldova278 Posts
March 06 2024 09:37 GMT
#2
Rain - Road to the Final ^^
Subscribe to my YT channel: https://www.youtube.com/@Sonic_md...."SC:BW it is just game, but i love this game!" (c)Sonic_md.
inflection
Profile Joined June 2019
57 Posts
March 06 2024 09:51 GMT
#3
Gypsy you smack your lips almost every time you start talking, just in case you weren't aware.
prosatan
Profile Joined September 2009
Romania8677 Posts
March 06 2024 10:11 GMT
#4
Rain and Royal - let's go !!
Lee JaeDong Fighting! The only church that illuminates is the one that burns.
Terrorbladder
Profile Joined May 2014
2727 Posts
March 06 2024 10:27 GMT
#5
wtf is Royal doing?
My dream is to fertilize two females at a time.
HOLYBATS
Profile Joined August 2021
Turkey780 Posts
March 06 2024 10:28 GMT
#6
Beasted
EquilasH
Profile Joined April 2009
Denmark2142 Posts
March 06 2024 10:32 GMT
#7
That was actually such good prep from Beast. I wonder if he had different builds for the other spawns, or if he was always gonna get 3rd next to Royal's Nat.
wat
Zariel
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
Australia1304 Posts
March 06 2024 10:41 GMT
#8
Damn Barracks look alot older. He had a full baby face back in Kespa days
sup
Terrorbladder
Profile Joined May 2014
2727 Posts
March 06 2024 10:47 GMT
#9
On March 06 2024 19:41 Zariel wrote:
Damn Barracks look alot older. He had a full baby face back in Kespa days
Kespa days were over 10 years ago O_O
Barracks is a year older than Flash even
My dream is to fertilize two females at a time.
Terrorbladder
Profile Joined May 2014
2727 Posts
March 06 2024 10:48 GMT
#10
In today's episode of Killing Observers is Crucial...
My dream is to fertilize two females at a time.
Zariel
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
Australia1304 Posts
March 06 2024 10:57 GMT
#11
Speed shuttle and 2 reaver investment did not pay off. Tank production is unhindered.

Poor trade/engage by Rain losing his initial army just allowed Barrack to simply march to Rain's natural and that's all she wrote
sup
iPlaY.NettleS
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
Australia4410 Posts
March 06 2024 10:57 GMT
#12
I missed the first two games, worth watching later?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7PvoI6gvQs
M3t4PhYzX
Profile Joined March 2019
Poland4252 Posts
March 06 2024 11:01 GMT
#13
Well, fuck..

but I guess this was bound to happen, like in every ASL ro24 before. Only in the last group this time.
TMNT
Profile Joined January 2021
3150 Posts
March 06 2024 11:05 GMT
#14
Rain recently had a Terran all kill in major proleague, beating Rush Sharp and Light in 3 consecutive late game macro games. He's better than this. I guess the build order disadvantage in the early game made him force the issue too much which led to the 2 Reaver kill which is basically all Protoss has the stop the build from Terrn.
M3t4PhYzX
Profile Joined March 2019
Poland4252 Posts
March 06 2024 11:09 GMT
#15
they've done it. beast (Z) vs (T) BarrackS @ Citadel is easily the worst game in the history of ASL.

bravo

Xeln4g4
Profile Joined January 2005
Italy1209 Posts
March 06 2024 11:09 GMT
#16
gg already wtf what happened?!?!
M3t4PhYzX
Profile Joined March 2019
Poland4252 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-03-06 11:13:11
March 06 2024 11:12 GMT
#17
On March 06 2024 20:09 Xeln4g4 wrote:
gg already wtf what happened?!?!

terran made units, pushed into zerg main (who had zero units or static defense) and won

literally all that happened
RJBTVYOUTUBE
Profile Joined December 2023
Netherlands1211 Posts
March 06 2024 11:14 GMT
#18
people who followed starcast starleague know beast is mega underrated. he got 4th place in scsl season 1 by beating best 4-1.
JDON MY SOUL!
Terrorbladder
Profile Joined May 2014
2727 Posts
March 06 2024 11:21 GMT
#19
On March 06 2024 20:12 M3t4PhYzX wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 06 2024 20:09 Xeln4g4 wrote:
gg already wtf what happened?!?!

terran made units, pushed into zerg main (who had zero units or static defense) and won

literally all that happened
What did Zerg even build? 3h before pool?
My dream is to fertilize two females at a time.
Comedy
Profile Joined March 2016
469 Posts
March 06 2024 11:27 GMT
#20
best of 1 strikes again
BLinD-RawR
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
ALLEYCAT BLUES50859 Posts
March 06 2024 11:27 GMT
#21
lolrain
Brood War EICWoo Jung Ho, never forget.| Twitter: @BLinDRawR
FriedrichNietzsche
Profile Joined January 2024
92 Posts
March 06 2024 11:29 GMT
#22
Royal are u kidding me?

lol
Sonic_md
Profile Joined March 2020
Moldova278 Posts
March 06 2024 11:30 GMT
#23
One of the players looked much weaker today than I expected from him. Although maybe the opponents were, on the contrary, stronger than usual.
Subscribe to my YT channel: https://www.youtube.com/@Sonic_md...."SC:BW it is just game, but i love this game!" (c)Sonic_md.
BLinD-RawR
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
ALLEYCAT BLUES50859 Posts
March 06 2024 11:30 GMT
#24
how'd you fuck this up royal
Brood War EICWoo Jung Ho, never forget.| Twitter: @BLinDRawR
Terrorbladder
Profile Joined May 2014
2727 Posts
March 06 2024 11:30 GMT
#25
13 mins in, both are finally playing a normal game
My dream is to fertilize two females at a time.
Terrorbladder
Profile Joined May 2014
2727 Posts
March 06 2024 11:32 GMT
#26
lolwut? suddenly supplies are equal
My dream is to fertilize two females at a time.
Terrorbladder
Profile Joined May 2014
2727 Posts
March 06 2024 11:34 GMT
#27
What is Rain even doing anymore
My dream is to fertilize two females at a time.
FriedrichNietzsche
Profile Joined January 2024
92 Posts
March 06 2024 11:35 GMT
#28
Okey!?

I thought Royal wins then I thought Rain wins and eventually Royal wins. What a crazy ass weird game haha!
Xeln4g4
Profile Joined January 2005
Italy1209 Posts
March 06 2024 11:35 GMT
#29
why P expand in the direction of T base, in a narrow enviroment is beyond my understanding ... when they have all left side of map available....can someone tell me?
dr0pship
Profile Joined January 2011
Canada520 Posts
March 06 2024 11:36 GMT
#30
sick game
EquilasH
Profile Joined April 2009
Denmark2142 Posts
March 06 2024 11:36 GMT
#31
Did Rain not add gates after his 3rd or did he just bleed too many units trying to contain Royal? Anyway, what a wild game.
wat
True_Spike
Profile Joined July 2004
Poland3430 Posts
March 06 2024 11:37 GMT
#32
Crazy game and a little bit of a throw from Rain after that initial hold.
M3t4PhYzX
Profile Joined March 2019
Poland4252 Posts
March 06 2024 11:39 GMT
#33
. . .

no comment
RJBTVYOUTUBE
Profile Joined December 2023
Netherlands1211 Posts
March 06 2024 11:39 GMT
#34
Beast is goood in zvt. Beast has a good chance to advance over RoyaL. But I thi k RoyaL is going to bring something crazy.
JDON MY SOUL!
Zariel
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
Australia1304 Posts
March 06 2024 11:40 GMT
#35
Actually an entertaining game, 2fact vs 1gate expand into robo. Scrappy as hell

sup
TMNT
Profile Joined January 2021
3150 Posts
March 06 2024 11:44 GMT
#36
On March 06 2024 20:35 Xeln4g4 wrote:
why P expand in the direction of T base, in a narrow enviroment is beyond my understanding ... when they have all left side of map available....can someone tell me?

Clearly you haven't watched many games on that map. It's the normal expanding pattern for Protoss in PvT there. The expansions on the left side are either too far, too exposed, or not worth it (no gas).
Zariel
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
Australia1304 Posts
March 06 2024 11:45 GMT
#37
Who flew to Korea from the US that the camera panned to? Apparently his liquibet got rekt... as did mine
sup
Terrorbladder
Profile Joined May 2014
2727 Posts
March 06 2024 11:54 GMT
#38
lol, I think it's over. 2 bases and losing all natural drones?
My dream is to fertilize two females at a time.
prosatan
Profile Joined September 2009
Romania8677 Posts
March 06 2024 11:56 GMT
#39
Rip my LB too
Lee JaeDong Fighting! The only church that illuminates is the one that burns.
Terrorbladder
Profile Joined May 2014
2727 Posts
March 06 2024 11:56 GMT
#40
Is this the first time 50% of players in an ASL Ro16 are one race?
My dream is to fertilize two females at a time.
FriedrichNietzsche
Profile Joined January 2024
92 Posts
March 06 2024 11:57 GMT
#41
Royal so lucky to get through. Fittingly he brought toilette paper. He truly played like shit
RJBTVYOUTUBE
Profile Joined December 2023
Netherlands1211 Posts
March 06 2024 11:57 GMT
#42
Beast whyyy did you try ling to catch 2 rack timing. whyyyy!
JDON MY SOUL!
M3t4PhYzX
Profile Joined March 2019
Poland4252 Posts
March 06 2024 11:57 GMT
#43
clown fiesta
FriedrichNietzsche
Profile Joined January 2024
92 Posts
March 06 2024 11:59 GMT
#44
funnily enough my LB was right.. I was confident Rain wouldnt make it because he is currently super overrated and inactive and just medium..

Royal struggling that hard was scary and surprising
RJBTVYOUTUBE
Profile Joined December 2023
Netherlands1211 Posts
March 06 2024 12:12 GMT
#45
On March 06 2024 20:59 FriedrichNietzsche wrote:
funnily enough my LB was right.. I was confident Rain wouldnt make it because he is currently super overrated and inactive and just medium..

Royal struggling that hard was scary and surprising

Rain sandbagged his practice past two weeks... he suddenly was playing random ladder past two days...
JDON MY SOUL!
TMNT
Profile Joined January 2021
3150 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-03-06 12:23:37
March 06 2024 12:22 GMT
#46
Nah he just got build-ordered hard in both games. Would have beaten Barracks and Royal comfortably with a standard opening from both sides.

Rain's tournament luck kind of dried out the last two seasons. Got hydra busted twice last time to go out.
FriedrichNietzsche
Profile Joined January 2024
92 Posts
March 06 2024 12:26 GMT
#47
Yeah that too. However Rain could have won the game vs Royal. He was ahead for a certain period. He lost it with bad engagements (he got very unlucky with mines too ofc).


But I think Rain isn't really that comitted currently - and it shows.
ggsimida
Profile Joined August 2015
1156 Posts
March 06 2024 12:29 GMT
#48
8 terrans in ro16. rush group gonna be filled with terrans
RJBTVYOUTUBE
Profile Joined December 2023
Netherlands1211 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-03-06 12:59:34
March 06 2024 12:59 GMT
#49
On March 06 2024 21:29 ggsimida wrote:
8 terrans in ro16. rush group gonna be filled with terrans

Top 16 is SnOw's ultimate dream scenario.
JDON MY SOUL!
Lazyer
Profile Joined August 2011
United States370 Posts
March 06 2024 13:09 GMT
#50
On March 06 2024 20:45 Zariel wrote:
Who flew to Korea from the US that the camera panned to? Apparently his liquibet got rekt... as did mine


This was me! Still waiting on the previous season's LB result writeup... I was also in the crowd yesterday, such a fun experience (altho the games weren't the greatest).
HOLYBATS
Profile Joined August 2021
Turkey780 Posts
March 06 2024 13:30 GMT
#51
On March 06 2024 21:59 RJBTVYOUTUBE wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 06 2024 21:29 ggsimida wrote:
8 terrans in ro16. rush group gonna be filled with terrans

Top 16 is SnOw's ultimate dream scenario.

+BeSt's
Peeano
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
Netherlands5452 Posts
March 06 2024 14:02 GMT
#52
Talented League player 0-2 out. Unironically I was persuaded to LB him over Barracks, but I'm sure I'm just the only one when so many people still believe in and praise Rain.
FBH #1!
RJBTVYOUTUBE
Profile Joined December 2023
Netherlands1211 Posts
March 06 2024 14:11 GMT
#53
On March 06 2024 23:02 Peeano wrote:
Talented League player 0-2 out. Unironically I was persuaded to LB him over Barracks, but I'm sure I'm just the only one when so many people still believe in and praise Rain.


Rain got shrekt but I am positive Rain would win a best of set.
JDON MY SOUL!
Yaqoob
Profile Blog Joined March 2005
Canada3356 Posts
March 06 2024 17:06 GMT
#54
I don't understand why Rain didn't take the island base once he had a shuttle. Royal wasn't even close to getting a starport. It seems like a better decision than taking a 3rd in the same direction of the Terran.
김택용 Fighting!
Xeln4g4
Profile Joined January 2005
Italy1209 Posts
March 06 2024 17:11 GMT
#55
On March 07 2024 02:06 Yaqoob wrote:
I don't understand why Rain didn't take the island base once he had a shuttle. Royal wasn't even close to getting a starport. It seems like a better decision than taking a 3rd in the same direction of the Terran.


exactly what i said, T army has an hard time attacking cross position all tanks need to stay in move mode for a long time and are very vulnerable ....
TMNT
Profile Joined January 2021
3150 Posts
March 06 2024 17:56 GMT
#56
On March 07 2024 02:06 Yaqoob wrote:
I don't understand why Rain didn't take the island base once he had a shuttle. Royal wasn't even close to getting a starport. It seems like a better decision than taking a 3rd in the same direction of the Terran.

Actually this is an excellent idea, compared to taking one of the bases on the left side. I guess he didn't think about it at the time. It was a crazy game. But it was hindsight thought though. He couldn't be sure about the dropship thing and I guess both players didn't really know if they were ahead or behind after the rush.
TMNT
Profile Joined January 2021
3150 Posts
March 06 2024 18:49 GMT
#57
On March 06 2024 21:59 RJBTVYOUTUBE wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 06 2024 21:29 ggsimida wrote:
8 terrans in ro16. rush group gonna be filled with terrans

Top 16 is SnOw's ultimate dream scenario.

Problem is Bisu Snow Light would 99% be the last three picks. Then Soulkey would use his right to put Snow and Light in the same group, probably group C where Rush is the seed. And Rush's first pick would probably be Hero or Action since Shuttle and Barracks would probably be picked already.

Group C would end up being Rush Action/Hero Snow Light.
Muff2n
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United Kingdom251 Posts
March 06 2024 22:39 GMT
#58
why P expand in the direction of T base, in a narrow enviroment is beyond my understanding ... when they have all left side of map available....can someone tell me?


He was mining out in his main and needed another nexus to saturate ASAP. Didn't have time to be taking an island. Royal was slower to mine out his main, so he had that brief window for a 5 fact push. All Rain needed to do was to delay it and it would have been T on 1 mining base and P on 2. I don't think Rain made a bad decision, just

Rain could have won the game vs Royal. He was ahead for a certain period. He lost it with bad engagements (he got very unlucky with mines too ofc).


this
ruhtraeel
Profile Joined July 2010
Canada131 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-03-06 23:06:52
March 06 2024 23:04 GMT
#59
On March 06 2024 20:59 FriedrichNietzsche wrote:
funnily enough my LB was right.. I was confident Rain wouldnt make it because he is currently super overrated and inactive and just medium..

Royal struggling that hard was scary and surprising


I've been saying it for a long time, Rain being god at PvP overrates him as a player so much and overshadows his mediocre at best PvT. People keep saying he's the best Protoss and a championship contender when he plays, but he's lost so many PvTs to supposedly weaker players that at this point, he's just mini Bisu with better PvP and even worse PvT. I would rate him as the 5th-6th best Protoss right now, behind Snow, Mini, Best and Bisu, tied with Shuttle.

Royal struggling also isn't too much of a surprise for me. He literally played like a god against all Zergs the one season he won ASL, but he's always been super reliant on risky builds, and his fundamentals aren't as solid as someone like JyJ or Rush. I rarely see him win super standard longer grindfests.
TMNT
Profile Joined January 2021
3150 Posts
March 06 2024 23:53 GMT
#60
On March 07 2024 08:04 ruhtraeel wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 06 2024 20:59 FriedrichNietzsche wrote:
funnily enough my LB was right.. I was confident Rain wouldnt make it because he is currently super overrated and inactive and just medium..

Royal struggling that hard was scary and surprising


I've been saying it for a long time, Rain being god at PvP overrates him as a player so much and overshadows his mediocre at best PvT. People keep saying he's the best Protoss and a championship contender when he plays, but he's lost so many PvTs to supposedly weaker players that at this point, he's just mini Bisu with better PvP and even worse PvT. I would rate him as the 5th-6th best Protoss right now, behind Snow, Mini, Best and Bisu, tied with Shuttle.

Royal struggling also isn't too much of a surprise for me. He literally played like a god against all Zergs the one season he won ASL, but he's always been super reliant on risky builds, and his fundamentals aren't as solid as someone like JyJ or Rush. I rarely see him win super standard longer grindfests.

I do think Rain is a bit overrated but who are the supposedly weaker Terran players that he lost so many times to? If you check ASL history there are only Light and Flash that fit such description.

RogerChillingworth
Profile Joined March 2010
Chad3132 Posts
March 07 2024 00:22 GMT
#61
Actually very happy Barracks made it through

Rain got utterly clapped. He still looked good from a control perspective, but his decision making was off. Cheez'd
RJBTVYOUTUBE
Profile Joined December 2023
Netherlands1211 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-03-07 04:54:39
March 07 2024 04:49 GMT
#62
Rain does not have a bad pvt at all. If you think that then you have not been following any online pro v pro play at all. 99.9% of all pro matches are online. Rain does generally well in online.

Rain had a chain of good choices vs Royal, but then overstepped with bad engagements. the third was the best option because terran has to either push up from low onto highground or push through narrow pathway. RoyaL had amazing templar snipes with tanks and that allowed him to leverage map with tanks. Also it is not as if RoyaL isnt trying to outplay him. A lot happens and player skill levels are very close. Specifically Rain and Royal who are both Ro8 material.
JDON MY SOUL!
ruhtraeel
Profile Joined July 2010
Canada131 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-03-07 23:22:25
March 07 2024 23:01 GMT
#63
On March 07 2024 13:49 RJBTVYOUTUBE wrote:
Rain does not have a bad pvt at all. If you think that then you have not been following any online pro v pro play at all. 99.9% of all pro matches are online. Rain does generally well in online.

Rain had a chain of good choices vs Royal, but then overstepped with bad engagements. the third was the best option because terran has to either push up from low onto highground or push through narrow pathway. RoyaL had amazing templar snipes with tanks and that allowed him to leverage map with tanks. Also it is not as if RoyaL isnt trying to outplay him. A lot happens and player skill levels are very close. Specifically Rain and Royal who are both Ro8 material.



In a tournament setting, his PvT record is now 39% (significantly worse than Bisu's, who is already known as having weaker PvT).

In past seasons, aside from getting dominated by Flash, Last, and Light, he's also been knocked out by Sharp (KSL 2), Sea (ASL 2), Ssak (ASL 3), and has dropped games to Mong (ASL 4) as well. Rain has never won a PvT best of 3 or 5 series ever since ASL 1.

In fact, his tournament PvT winrate is worse than Snow, Best, Mini, Bisu and Shuttle. He's not bad at it from an objective point of view, just worse than those Protosses.

It can't even be chalked up to the sample size being too small as well; he gets praised as a PvP god with 19 PvP games played in the ASL, but his subpar PvT is shown in a total of 33 games.

He doesn't do any specific thing well in that matchup; he doesn't have the reaver control of Snow, he doesn't have the timing busts of Best, his army control is worse than Bisu's, he doesn't multitask as well as Mini, and can't split the map as well as Shuttle.
TMNT
Profile Joined January 2021
3150 Posts
March 08 2024 01:03 GMT
#64
On March 08 2024 08:01 ruhtraeel wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 07 2024 13:49 RJBTVYOUTUBE wrote:
Rain does not have a bad pvt at all. If you think that then you have not been following any online pro v pro play at all. 99.9% of all pro matches are online. Rain does generally well in online.

Rain had a chain of good choices vs Royal, but then overstepped with bad engagements. the third was the best option because terran has to either push up from low onto highground or push through narrow pathway. RoyaL had amazing templar snipes with tanks and that allowed him to leverage map with tanks. Also it is not as if RoyaL isnt trying to outplay him. A lot happens and player skill levels are very close. Specifically Rain and Royal who are both Ro8 material.



In a tournament setting, his PvT record is now 39% (significantly worse than Bisu's, who is already known as having weaker PvT).

In past seasons, aside from getting dominated by Flash, Last, and Light, he's also been knocked out by Sharp (KSL 2), Sea (ASL 2), Ssak (ASL 3), and has dropped games to Mong (ASL 4) as well. Rain has never won a PvT best of 3 or 5 series ever since ASL 1.

In fact, his tournament PvT winrate is worse than Snow, Best, Mini, Bisu and Shuttle. He's not bad at it from an objective point of view, just worse than those Protosses.

It can't even be chalked up to the sample size being too small as well; he gets praised as a PvP god with 19 PvP games played in the ASL, but his subpar PvT is shown in a total of 33 games.

He doesn't do any specific thing well in that matchup; he doesn't have the reaver control of Snow, he doesn't have the timing busts of Best, his army control is worse than Bisu's, he doesn't multitask as well as Mini, and can't split the map as well as Shuttle.

What kind of sources do you use for these stats? Because almost every single piece of information in your post is wrong.

Here are list of Rain's games: (Wiki)Rain/Matches
And here the stats of top 10 players each race for each matchup (ASL+KSL), before this season: https://jackyvso.github.io/Starcraft/ (go to section 3)

In a tournament setting, his PvT record is now 39% (significantly worse than Bisu's, who is already known as having weaker PvT).
It can't even be chalked up to the sample size being too small as well; he gets praised as a PvP god with 19 PvP games played in the ASL, but his subpar PvT is shown in a total of 33 games.

His PvT win rate is 52% from 54 games. And his PvP is 84% from 50 games.
And while his PvT win rate is lower than Mini (58%) and Bisu (53%), it gets skewed by him playing Light in two finals with a total score of 2-8. If we remove that then his win rate immediately jumps up to 59%. That's sample size being too small for you: just one or two extra series and the win rate of a player gets swinged. In general, the matchup win rates in ASL are not reliable at all because of (a) sample size, (b) different opponents and (c) players level change over time.

In past seasons, aside from getting dominated by Flash, Last, and Light

Flash and Light yeah, but who doesn't get dominated by them ?
Last you're wrong. Rain beat Last 3-1 in KSL3 and lost 2-3 in ASL7. You called that dominated?

he's also been knocked out by Sharp (KSL 2), Sea (ASL 2), Ssak (ASL 3), and has dropped games to Mong (ASL 4) as well.

So he lost some PvT games, just like... everyone else? And don't forget that Sea and Sharp in the early seasons are the equivalent of Light and Rush now.

But let's see which Terrans the other Protosses have lost to:
- Mini: Rush, sSak, Mong, Barracks, Last, Sharp
- Bisu: Ample (lol), Mind, Sharp, JYJ (back when JYJ was bang average), Leta, Sea
So in terms of losing to players they are "not supposed to", Bisu and Mini are even worse.

Rain has never won a PvT best of 3 or 5 series ever since ASL 1.

Come on man, it's not hard to google. He beat Light 3-1 and Leta 3-0 in KSL2, beat Sharp 3-1 and Last 3-1 in KSL3, and beat Light 2-1 in ASL13.

What an insult to Rain to say he's worse than Shuttle at PvT lol. At worst he's tied with Bisu and Mini at PvT.

RJBTVYOUTUBE
Profile Joined December 2023
Netherlands1211 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-03-08 04:20:02
March 08 2024 04:19 GMT
#65
On March 08 2024 10:03 TMNT wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 08 2024 08:01 ruhtraeel wrote:
On March 07 2024 13:49 RJBTVYOUTUBE wrote:
Rain does not have a bad pvt at all. If you think that then you have not been following any online pro v pro play at all. 99.9% of all pro matches are online. Rain does generally well in online.

Rain had a chain of good choices vs Royal, but then overstepped with bad engagements. the third was the best option because terran has to either push up from low onto highground or push through narrow pathway. RoyaL had amazing templar snipes with tanks and that allowed him to leverage map with tanks. Also it is not as if RoyaL isnt trying to outplay him. A lot happens and player skill levels are very close. Specifically Rain and Royal who are both Ro8 material.



In a tournament setting, his PvT record is now 39% (significantly worse than Bisu's, who is already known as having weaker PvT).

In past seasons, aside from getting dominated by Flash, Last, and Light, he's also been knocked out by Sharp (KSL 2), Sea (ASL 2), Ssak (ASL 3), and has dropped games to Mong (ASL 4) as well. Rain has never won a PvT best of 3 or 5 series ever since ASL 1.

In fact, his tournament PvT winrate is worse than Snow, Best, Mini, Bisu and Shuttle. He's not bad at it from an objective point of view, just worse than those Protosses.

It can't even be chalked up to the sample size being too small as well; he gets praised as a PvP god with 19 PvP games played in the ASL, but his subpar PvT is shown in a total of 33 games.

He doesn't do any specific thing well in that matchup; he doesn't have the reaver control of Snow, he doesn't have the timing busts of Best, his army control is worse than Bisu's, he doesn't multitask as well as Mini, and can't split the map as well as Shuttle.

What kind of sources do you use for these stats? Because almost every single piece of information in your post is wrong.

Here are list of Rain's games: (Wiki)Rain/Matches
And here the stats of top 10 players each race for each matchup (ASL+KSL), before this season: https://jackyvso.github.io/Starcraft/ (go to section 3)

Show nested quote +
In a tournament setting, his PvT record is now 39% (significantly worse than Bisu's, who is already known as having weaker PvT).
It can't even be chalked up to the sample size being too small as well; he gets praised as a PvP god with 19 PvP games played in the ASL, but his subpar PvT is shown in a total of 33 games.

His PvT win rate is 52% from 54 games. And his PvP is 84% from 50 games.
And while his PvT win rate is lower than Mini (58%) and Bisu (53%), it gets skewed by him playing Light in two finals with a total score of 2-8. If we remove that then his win rate immediately jumps up to 59%. That's sample size being too small for you: just one or two extra series and the win rate of a player gets swinged. In general, the matchup win rates in ASL are not reliable at all because of (a) sample size, (b) different opponents and (c) players level change over time.

Show nested quote +
In past seasons, aside from getting dominated by Flash, Last, and Light

Flash and Light yeah, but who doesn't get dominated by them ?
Last you're wrong. Rain beat Last 3-1 in KSL3 and lost 2-3 in ASL7. You called that dominated?

Show nested quote +
he's also been knocked out by Sharp (KSL 2), Sea (ASL 2), Ssak (ASL 3), and has dropped games to Mong (ASL 4) as well.

So he lost some PvT games, just like... everyone else? And don't forget that Sea and Sharp in the early seasons are the equivalent of Light and Rush now.

But let's see which Terrans the other Protosses have lost to:
- Mini: Rush, sSak, Mong, Barracks, Last, Sharp
- Bisu: Ample (lol), Mind, Sharp, JYJ (back when JYJ was bang average), Leta, Sea
So in terms of losing to players they are "not supposed to", Bisu and Mini are even worse.

Show nested quote +
Rain has never won a PvT best of 3 or 5 series ever since ASL 1.

Come on man, it's not hard to google. He beat Light 3-1 and Leta 3-0 in KSL2, beat Sharp 3-1 and Last 3-1 in KSL3, and beat Light 2-1 in ASL13.

What an insult to Rain to say he's worse than Shuttle at PvT lol. At worst he's tied with Bisu and Mini at PvT.



Thank you for presenting the facts.

Another thing that is also important to keep in mind in todays state of the game. The levels between players has become much much closer over the past few years. Early ASL people were just coming out of BW retirement and the game wasnt that well optimized compared to now. Players have found new ways of squeezing everything they can out of every seconds, every minerals and every movement. And unlike before asl or early asl, everyone is now maximally optimized. Sharp was known until like ASL 10 for having really poor optimization unlike all other terrans at that time. Things like manual mining boosting, horizontal mining and most optimal timings etc. Back then players could get away with that. Now you cant. any slight mistake no matter how small backfires. This can make realllly good players look bad compared to their opponent because the minimum requirement for losing has gone down. smaller and smaller things can now snowball games and make a player look helpless.
JDON MY SOUL!
HOLYBATS
Profile Joined August 2021
Turkey780 Posts
March 08 2024 05:17 GMT
#66
Old stats does not reflect current Rains performance as he did not trained enough.He choked two times this ASL first eliminated to Ssak on qualifiers day 1 and lost 2 BO1.
RJBTVYOUTUBE
Profile Joined December 2023
Netherlands1211 Posts
March 08 2024 11:03 GMT
#67
On March 08 2024 14:17 HOLYBATS wrote:
Old stats does not reflect current Rains performance as he did not trained enough.He choked two times this ASL first eliminated to Ssak on qualifiers day 1 and lost 2 BO1.

Losing vs ssak does not equate to choking at all. Ssak is currently a very well performing terran in online, specidically vs protoss. Losing does not mean someone by default played bad or that they choked.
Rain lost to Ssak, which is ok. He lost to RoyaL, who has won an ASL and generally does really well in tvp vs anyone not named sNow.
JDON MY SOUL!
TMNT
Profile Joined January 2021
3150 Posts
March 08 2024 12:01 GMT
#68
Protoss players tend to be branded as "chokers" the most. Best is the most prominent one. Bisu had that tag sometimes too and still has I think. Snow gets it more recently and now is known as an online performer, an old title of Best. Mini escapes that tag despite losing to "supposedly weaker" players to him all the time, just because he's more known as a "wild" player. Now it's Rain's turn?

I think it's time we break that myth. There's no way that everyone who plays Protoss tends to be a "choker" more than anyone who plays other races. The thing is, Protoss is the race that has the worst ability to play out from a disadvantaged position (I don't think anyone can debate this). It's literally the same principle in SC2 too. So as RJBTV said with how optimizations are nowadays, a small mistake can snowball hard and it costs Protoss the most at this level, because Protoss can't come back when behind.
RJBTVYOUTUBE
Profile Joined December 2023
Netherlands1211 Posts
March 08 2024 12:09 GMT
#69
On March 08 2024 21:01 TMNT wrote:
Protoss players tend to be branded as "chokers" the most. Best is the most prominent one. Bisu had that tag sometimes too and still has I think. Snow gets it more recently and now is known as an online performer, an old title of Best. Mini escapes that tag despite losing to "supposedly weaker" players to him all the time, just because he's more known as a "wild" player. Now it's Rain's turn?

I think it's time we break that myth. There's no way that everyone who plays Protoss tends to be a "choker" more than anyone who plays other races. The thing is, Protoss is the race that has the worst ability to play out from a disadvantaged position (I don't think anyone can debate this). It's literally the same principle in SC2 too. So as RJBTV said with how optimizations are nowadays, a small mistake can snowball hard and it costs Protoss the most at this level, because Protoss can't come back when behind.


The fact Rain actually managed to fight himself out of an extremely bad situation against Royal was already a miracle.
JDON MY SOUL!
Soulforged
Profile Blog Joined February 2007
Latvia940 Posts
March 08 2024 12:19 GMT
#70
Protoss can come back from early game BO disadvantage just fine.

Coming back from things like losing HTs or reavers without dealing damage, however, can be a tall order.
Bonyth
Profile Joined August 2010
Poland598 Posts
March 08 2024 12:48 GMT
#71
disadvantage =/= early game BO disadvantage

the message was that protoss will most likely lose if he is in a disadvantageous position because of an error. Protoss relies on early / mid game the most vs other races (needs to force trades vs terran, needs to attack before hive tech vs zerg etc).
To put it in other words, if protoss camps and does nothing with 200 / 200, zerg will be happy, terran will be happy.

As for Rain, I think he is great with mechanics and decision making, which make him a great PvP player
kogeT
Profile Joined September 2013
Poland2042 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-03-08 13:10:00
March 08 2024 13:09 GMT
#72
On March 08 2024 21:48 Bonyth wrote:
disadvantage =/= early game BO disadvantage

the message was that protoss will most likely lose if he is in a disadvantageous position because of an error. Protoss relies on early / mid game the most vs other races (needs to force trades vs terran, needs to attack before hive tech vs zerg etc).
To put it in other words, if protoss camps and does nothing with 200 / 200, zerg will be happy, terran will be happy.

As for Rain, I think he is great with mechanics and decision making, which make him a great PvP player


What is more to SC than mechanics and decision making? Poker face and mental fortitude?
https://www.twitch.tv/kogetbw
Bonyth
Profile Joined August 2010
Poland598 Posts
March 08 2024 13:28 GMT
#73
the bluff got called out :/

let's fix the statement. He's got a very good skillset against Protoss!
Ideas
Profile Blog Joined April 2008
United States8168 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-03-08 15:14:51
March 08 2024 15:08 GMT
#74
Rain actually did a fantastic job breaking the contain and after his natural fell. I think he was actually ahead of Royal after the reset and he took his 3rd. Problem was that he made some terrible engagements when royal made his last push (terrible engagement when he went for that initial stormdrop against tanks, mistiming zealots so that he still lost most of his HTs for only 2 tanks, and then like 5-6 goons got drawn in also and got killed for free). After that royal knew he had an opening and pushed across the catwalk as fast as possible and managed to pull out a win.

I thought this map pool was anti-terran but really only troy is hard for TvP, looks like BlitzY and Citadel are actually pretty good for TvP. And seems like Citedel is actually not great for ZvT or ZvP either? Just no real room for flanks/controlling big armies etc, and no good high ground chokes for lurkers to guard bases from MnM. Haven't really played on it at all, just from spectating. BlitzY seems pretty terrible for ZvT also, with no easy to defend 3rd and so many pathways for terran to take around the map to different bases and natural.
Free Palestine
[sc1f]eonzerg
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
Belgium6868 Posts
March 08 2024 17:13 GMT
#75
How much Terrans players paying that guy 910 for the maps ? Maybe Artosis secretly funding that sh*t lol

I feel so strange to judge Rain . when everyone knows he is not taking ASL serious at all. Rain never been a guy known for mass playing. But he put a lot of time studying the game. He always been the kind of player that is able to map out his oponent and come with a perfect counter. He already won a lot in SC2 and BW and it is so clear he is not trying hard last seasons. It is true he failed hard vs FlaSh in that ASL final but honestly i will not call that choked or that protoss is weak and all that bs that protoss fan always crying. It is more like FlaSh is the kind of player that let you know what he is doing and is perfectly comfortable with it and smashing you. It is more like a hard counter to Rain tbh. Rain is an extremely talented and acomplished player but he is not trying hard anymore.
TMNT
Profile Joined January 2021
3150 Posts
March 08 2024 19:55 GMT
#76
On March 09 2024 00:08 Ideas wrote:
I thought this map pool was anti-terran but really only troy is hard for TvP, looks like BlitzY and Citadel are actually pretty good for TvP. And seems like Citedel is actually not great for ZvT or ZvP either? Just no real room for flanks/controlling big armies etc, and no good high ground chokes for lurkers to guard bases from MnM. Haven't really played on it at all, just from spectating. BlitzY seems pretty terrible for ZvT also, with no easy to defend 3rd and so many pathways for terran to take around the map to different bases and natural.

Nah BlitzY is hard for TvP, just like any 2p maps. You have the early game shenanigans from Protoss as usual. But it's even harder than the average 2p maps because there is no good place for a 3rd base for Terran. PvT win rate in BlitzY currently sits at 59.1% (all games) and 66.7% (Proleague only). That's why in the 2 TvP games in ASL this season you saw Terrans going for weird strategies (JYJ with stim rush and Royal with 2 Fac). T will lose more TvPs in standard games in BlitzY, but I think over time they will figure it out and improve the win rate, just like theys always do.

For Citadel, the PvT win rate is currently 47% (all games) and 50% (Proleague only) so I guess PvT is somewhat balanced. But for TvZ it's like what you said. It's 58% (all games) and 62% (Proleague only) for Terrans as of now.
Ideas
Profile Blog Joined April 2008
United States8168 Posts
March 08 2024 21:12 GMT
#77
On March 09 2024 04:55 TMNT wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 09 2024 00:08 Ideas wrote:
I thought this map pool was anti-terran but really only troy is hard for TvP, looks like BlitzY and Citadel are actually pretty good for TvP. And seems like Citedel is actually not great for ZvT or ZvP either? Just no real room for flanks/controlling big armies etc, and no good high ground chokes for lurkers to guard bases from MnM. Haven't really played on it at all, just from spectating. BlitzY seems pretty terrible for ZvT also, with no easy to defend 3rd and so many pathways for terran to take around the map to different bases and natural.

Nah BlitzY is hard for TvP, just like any 2p maps. You have the early game shenanigans from Protoss as usual. But it's even harder than the average 2p maps because there is no good place for a 3rd base for Terran. PvT win rate in BlitzY currently sits at 59.1% (all games) and 66.7% (Proleague only). That's why in the 2 TvP games in ASL this season you saw Terrans going for weird strategies (JYJ with stim rush and Royal with 2 Fac). T will lose more TvPs in standard games in BlitzY, but I think over time they will figure it out and improve the win rate, just like theys always do.

For Citadel, the PvT win rate is currently 47% (all games) and 50% (Proleague only) so I guess PvT is somewhat balanced. But for TvZ it's like what you said. It's 58% (all games) and 62% (Proleague only) for Terrans as of now.


Interesting, thanks for the info!
Free Palestine
ShowTheLights
Profile Blog Joined June 2012
Korea (South)1709 Posts
March 10 2024 02:23 GMT
#78
FUCK BEST OF ONE

WHY BEST OF ONE In 2024

Rain deserves so much better fucksakes
•••Acer.MMA••• <> KT_Puzzle <> JinAir•GreenWings_CoCa <> CJ_herO <> Axiom CranK & Ryung <> IM_Seed <> IM_Squirtle <> le' ToD <> Innovation <> ROOT_CatZ <> inuh! <> Chobra <> SKT1_Fantasy
M3t4PhYzX
Profile Joined March 2019
Poland4252 Posts
March 10 2024 09:07 GMT
#79
On March 10 2024 11:23 ShowTheLights wrote:
FUCK BEST OF ONE

WHY BEST OF ONE In 2024

Rain deserves so much better fucksakes

hear, hear
Peeano
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
Netherlands5452 Posts
March 10 2024 13:05 GMT
#80
Talent + hard work > hard work > talent

Rain's 2nd day's qualifier group was arguably easy (he failed to win the 1st day's in the final vs sSak) and in Rain's Ro24 group RoyaL was his only real threat imo and Rain still drops out 0-2.

If we get hand picked groups again next season, I hope Rain will be put into the same qualifier group as Calm, Sea, Horang2, Guemchi, etc. so we only get to see the most serious (or talented) variety streamer in the Ro24.

I also would like to see the final match in Ro24 be a Bo3 just to combat luck a little bit. That should make for a higher quality Ro16.
FBH #1!
Turbovolver
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
Australia2398 Posts
March 11 2024 00:18 GMT
#81
lmao, I've been trying to tell people on these boards that Rain doesn't know how to take engagements PvT for literal years at this point. His victories PvT have generally consisted of taking a bunch of bases and macroing like a demon, then wearing people down slowly with inefficient trades. Or there were some zealot pressure versus fast CC wins I remember being salty about lol

I can't say I've seen what he plays like in online pro vs pro stuff, though.

I also gotta admit, that DT ramp block was amazing heads-up play. Even a hater like me can admit he's got a bunch of talents, and you can't argue with his PvZ or especially his PvP.
The original Bogus fan.
thedeadhaji *
Profile Blog Joined January 2006
39489 Posts
March 18 2024 06:03 GMT
#82
Loved Nyoken + Eonzerg last season and Nyoken + Gypsy have been fantastic this season as well. Thanks for putting in the time guys!
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