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How I made $10,000 in 2 weeks betting on SC2 - Page 8

Blogs > droppanda
Post a Reply
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As with all forms of gambling, betting on progames will yield winners and losers. Don't forget that you could easily be that loser.
jsemmens
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
United States439 Posts
December 15 2011 23:44 GMT
#141
According to the TLPD data, I believe that it indicates that MMA would have a 59.7% chance of winning a Bo1 between the two. Based on that, plus my gut feeling, this series ought to at least go to a 6th game (I think it's a Bo7), but basically, you should only bet on DRG if you think that he will lose 4-3 or win.
Check out the Flash Fanclub! http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=336995
aderum
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Sweden1459 Posts
December 15 2011 23:44 GMT
#142
I noticed that many Americans are very against betting and see it as something really dangerous and addictive... Is gambling completely against the law everywhere except Vegas in US? Cause that might explain a lot.

I'm not making a judgment call i just find it so interesting that a lot of Americans don't have a problem with smoking weed, but have a problem with betting, and in Sweden its pretty much the exact opposite.

Cultural differences is pretty fascinating!
Crazy people dont sit around and wonder if they are insane
CP-Jun
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Australia278 Posts
December 15 2011 23:46 GMT
#143
On December 16 2011 08:38 m0ck wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 16 2011 08:31 CryingPoo wrote:
I don't get the handicap thing. This finals for an example.

MATCH HANDICAP MONEY LINE
Sat 12/17 2201 DongRaeGu +1.5 1.556 2.220
12:30 AM 2202 MMA -1.5 2.530 1.699
Sat 12/17 2201 DongRaeGu -1.5 2.930
12:30 AM 2202 MMA +1.5 1.435


How does handicap work? Can someone explain each handicap and pay out?

Explained very simply:

You're looking at the number of maps won. You wan't your player to end up with the most maps.

That means that DRG +1,5 only needs to win 2 maps to have more maps than his opponent can have at the end of the match (in a bo5).

At the most, MMA will get 3 maps.

DRG will have 2 maps +1,5 maps from the handicap = 3,5.

Conversely, if you bet -1,5, DRG can at the most get 3 maps -1,5 maps = 1,5 maps.

In other words, MMA can only win 1 map before DRG gets to 3 maps, or he will end up with more maps than DRG at the end of the match.

I hope that makes sense.


Would you mind explaining -1.5 part again? I thought the finals were BO7?
SlayerS_Min's Translator I Voluntary translator for the community I Commentator during Min's stream I Own channel coming soon
jsemmens
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
United States439 Posts
December 15 2011 23:46 GMT
#144
On December 16 2011 08:44 aderum wrote:
I noticed that many Americans are very against betting and see it as something really dangerous and addictive... Is gambling completely against the law everywhere except Vegas in US? Cause that might explain a lot.

I'm not making a judgment call i just find it so interesting that a lot of Americans don't have a problem with smoking weed, but have a problem with betting, and in Sweden its pretty much the exact opposite.

Cultural differences is pretty fascinating!

Generally, in the US, gambling is legal is 4 places (as far as I know):
1. Las Vegas
2. Atlantic City
3. On water (such as the Michigan Lake Casino boats)
4. On Indian Reservations
Check out the Flash Fanclub! http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=336995
Fugue
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
Australia253 Posts
December 15 2011 23:47 GMT
#145
All I know is my liquibet vote percentage is in the high 60% - low 70%, so I kinda like those odds.
IPA
Profile Joined August 2010
United States3206 Posts
December 15 2011 23:54 GMT
#146
On December 16 2011 08:44 aderum wrote:
I noticed that many Americans are very against betting and see it as something really dangerous and addictive... Is gambling completely against the law everywhere except Vegas in US? Cause that might explain a lot.

I'm not making a judgment call i just find it so interesting that a lot of Americans don't have a problem with smoking weed, but have a problem with betting, and in Sweden its pretty much the exact opposite.

Cultural differences is pretty fascinating!


Gambling is incredibly addicting to those cursed with addictive personalities. It has ruined a couple of my friends' lives and I have a family member who still struggles with it. Insensitive people with no knowledge of the nature of addiction would say "just stop gambling"; for these unfortunates, that's like telling a junkie "just stop using smack bro".

I just stay away from it period. I realize not everyone has a problem with it but it's not worth it to me.
Time held me green and dying though I sang in my chains like the sea.
Hider
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Denmark9433 Posts
December 15 2011 23:58 GMT
#147
On December 16 2011 08:44 aderum wrote:
I noticed that many Americans are very against betting and see it as something really dangerous and addictive... Is gambling completely against the law everywhere except Vegas in US? Cause that might explain a lot.

I'm not making a judgment call i just find it so interesting that a lot of Americans don't have a problem with smoking weed, but have a problem with betting, and in Sweden its pretty much the exact opposite.

Cultural differences is pretty fascinating!


Probably a cultural thing. I guess when you get brought up thinking god is reality, you will be religious when you get older. If you get brought up being constantly told gambling is bad and that you cant beat the bookmaker, you will probably keep believing.

jjhchsc2
Profile Joined December 2010
Korea (South)2393 Posts
December 15 2011 23:58 GMT
#148
too hard to predict imo.
DRG beat MMA like the last 3-4 times they have met inc GSTL begining and MLG providence.
Lee Ssang/ Lee Shin/ Kim Jung Woo/ Kim Min Chul/Jun Tae Yang/Park Soo Ho/Lee Jung Hoon/Choi Sung Hoon/ Moon Sung Won/Park Ji Soo/ Lee Ho Joon/ Jang Min Chul/ Kim Seung Chul/SaSe/IdrA/Ret Fighting! BW4Life
timmc
Profile Joined September 2011
Australia16 Posts
December 16 2011 00:02 GMT
#149
Man I hope you didn't put $1000 on Naniwa to beat Nestea!
Gheed
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States972 Posts
December 16 2011 00:03 GMT
#150
On December 16 2011 08:46 jsemmens wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 16 2011 08:44 aderum wrote:
I noticed that many Americans are very against betting and see it as something really dangerous and addictive... Is gambling completely against the law everywhere except Vegas in US? Cause that might explain a lot.

I'm not making a judgment call i just find it so interesting that a lot of Americans don't have a problem with smoking weed, but have a problem with betting, and in Sweden its pretty much the exact opposite.

Cultural differences is pretty fascinating!

Generally, in the US, gambling is legal is 4 places (as far as I know):
1. Las Vegas
2. Atlantic City
3. On water (such as the Michigan Lake Casino boats)
4. On Indian Reservations


Gambling is allowed throughout the entire state of Nevada. In other states, beyond the Indian casinos, there are some municipalities where gambling has been allowed by local ordinances; some "riverboat casinos" have moved on land. There's also racetracks, OTBs, sports betting, lotteries, etc.

Conservative states with anti-gambling laws eventually got tired of AC, Vegas, and the Indians getting all the tourist dollars, so now everyone wants in on taxing gambling revenue.
Rassy
Profile Joined August 2010
Netherlands2308 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-12-16 00:05:02
December 16 2011 00:04 GMT
#151
Can you realy make bets on sc matches?
That realy suprises me as it seems wide open to fraud, seeing how badly pro starcraft is regulated (look at naniwa probe rush for example)
Could think of manny possible ways pro players could profit from this in a big way.
Sadistx
Profile Blog Joined February 2009
Zimbabwe5568 Posts
December 16 2011 00:06 GMT
#152
Someone, somewhere is looking at this and is considering becoming the Ma Jae Yoon of SC2.
Medrea
Profile Joined May 2011
10003 Posts
December 16 2011 00:07 GMT
#153
People always talk about the $10,000 they won at Vegas.

What they never mention is the $50,000 they lost getting that $10,000.
twitch.tv/medrea
CP-Jun
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Australia278 Posts
December 16 2011 00:07 GMT
#154
So to sum it up..

+1.5 = you get money if a player wins at least 2 games
-1.5 = you get money if a player doesnt even win at least 2 games

Is this right for the handicap thing?
SlayerS_Min's Translator I Voluntary translator for the community I Commentator during Min's stream I Own channel coming soon
m0ck
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
4194 Posts
December 16 2011 00:07 GMT
#155
On December 16 2011 08:46 CryingPoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 16 2011 08:38 m0ck wrote:
On December 16 2011 08:31 CryingPoo wrote:
I don't get the handicap thing. This finals for an example.

MATCH HANDICAP MONEY LINE
Sat 12/17 2201 DongRaeGu +1.5 1.556 2.220
12:30 AM 2202 MMA -1.5 2.530 1.699
Sat 12/17 2201 DongRaeGu -1.5 2.930
12:30 AM 2202 MMA +1.5 1.435


How does handicap work? Can someone explain each handicap and pay out?

Explained very simply:

You're looking at the number of maps won. You wan't your player to end up with the most maps.

That means that DRG +1,5 only needs to win 2 maps to have more maps than his opponent can have at the end of the match (in a bo5).

At the most, MMA will get 3 maps.

DRG will have 2 maps +1,5 maps from the handicap = 3,5.

Conversely, if you bet -1,5, DRG can at the most get 3 maps -1,5 maps = 1,5 maps.

In other words, MMA can only win 1 map before DRG gets to 3 maps, or he will end up with more maps than DRG at the end of the match.

I hope that makes sense.


Would you mind explaining -1.5 part again? I thought the finals were BO7?

Ah ok, I didn't know it was bo7. In that case, you wanna be counting to 4 maps, which is what player needs to win.

If you decide to to play -1,5 on DRG, what you are saying is, that you think he will get the four maps (and thus win the maych) before MMA gets more than 2 maps.

In other words, you think DRG is a strong favorite.

The way to check it is this:

With -1,5 DRG can at the max get:

4 maps (if he wins the match) - 1,5 map (from the handicap) = 2,5 maps.

Remember, you want your player to have the most maps at the end of the match.

That means, that MMA can at the most get 2 maps before DRG gets 4 maps.

If MMA gets 3 or more maps, he will necessarily end up with a higher map-score than DRG:

3-4 maps (MMA) > 2,5 maps (DRG with handicap).

It can be a bit tricky to wrap your head around at first, but after a short while it comes naturally.
aderum
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Sweden1459 Posts
December 16 2011 00:10 GMT
#156
On December 16 2011 08:54 IPA wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 16 2011 08:44 aderum wrote:
I noticed that many Americans are very against betting and see it as something really dangerous and addictive... Is gambling completely against the law everywhere except Vegas in US? Cause that might explain a lot.

I'm not making a judgment call i just find it so interesting that a lot of Americans don't have a problem with smoking weed, but have a problem with betting, and in Sweden its pretty much the exact opposite.

Cultural differences is pretty fascinating!


Gambling is incredibly addicting to those cursed with addictive personalities. It has ruined a couple of my friends' lives and I have a family member who still struggles with it. Insensitive people with no knowledge of the nature of addiction would say "just stop gambling"; for these unfortunates, that's like telling a junkie "just stop using smack bro".

I just stay away from it period. I realize not everyone has a problem with it but it's not worth it to me.



This is very true, but this is also true about drugs(weed).. I dont now what your stance is one the matter but its pretty much the same thing. But this is off-topic so nvm.

I have had a family member in deep dept to bad people b/c of gambling so i know just how bad it can go, but i still dont mind it being legal here.. It usually works out just fine.
Crazy people dont sit around and wonder if they are insane
CP-Jun
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Australia278 Posts
December 16 2011 00:13 GMT
#157
On December 16 2011 09:07 m0ck wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 16 2011 08:46 CryingPoo wrote:
On December 16 2011 08:38 m0ck wrote:
On December 16 2011 08:31 CryingPoo wrote:
I don't get the handicap thing. This finals for an example.

MATCH HANDICAP MONEY LINE
Sat 12/17 2201 DongRaeGu +1.5 1.556 2.220
12:30 AM 2202 MMA -1.5 2.530 1.699
Sat 12/17 2201 DongRaeGu -1.5 2.930
12:30 AM 2202 MMA +1.5 1.435


How does handicap work? Can someone explain each handicap and pay out?

Explained very simply:

You're looking at the number of maps won. You wan't your player to end up with the most maps.

That means that DRG +1,5 only needs to win 2 maps to have more maps than his opponent can have at the end of the match (in a bo5).

At the most, MMA will get 3 maps.

DRG will have 2 maps +1,5 maps from the handicap = 3,5.

Conversely, if you bet -1,5, DRG can at the most get 3 maps -1,5 maps = 1,5 maps.

In other words, MMA can only win 1 map before DRG gets to 3 maps, or he will end up with more maps than DRG at the end of the match.

I hope that makes sense.


Would you mind explaining -1.5 part again? I thought the finals were BO7?

Ah ok, I didn't know it was bo7. In that case, you wanna be counting to 4 maps, which is what player needs to win.

If you decide to to play -1,5 on DRG, what you are saying is, that you think he will get the four maps (and thus win the maych) before MMA gets more than 2 maps.

In other words, you think DRG is a strong favorite.

The way to check it is this:

With -1,5 DRG can at the max get:

4 maps (if he wins the match) - 1,5 map (from the handicap) = 2,5 maps.

Remember, you want your player to have the most maps at the end of the match.

That means, that MMA can at the most get 2 maps before DRG gets 4 maps.

If MMA gets 3 or more maps, he will necessarily end up with a higher map-score than DRG:

3-4 maps (MMA) > 2,5 maps (DRG with handicap).

It can be a bit tricky to wrap your head around at first, but after a short while it comes naturally.


So to sum it up..

+1.5 = You bet on a player if you think a player is capable of winning 2 games out of 7. (If this is the case what about BO3 and BO5?)

-1.5 = You bet on a player if you think that the opponent of the player you put money on cannot take 2 games out of 7. (The same question, how will this change if it's BO3 and BO5?)

And why is it? 1.5 not 2?

Sorry I am a noob at this betting thing and am just very curious before making a bet for the first time.

Thank you

SlayerS_Min's Translator I Voluntary translator for the community I Commentator during Min's stream I Own channel coming soon
fuzzy_panda
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
New Zealand1681 Posts
December 16 2011 00:15 GMT
#158
i find gambling to be quite fun when done in moderation. really spices up the events. it's really unfortunate that some people have those addicting personalities coz they really are missing out on the fun side. I've been to bars where they have those slot machines and these old women who just spends endless amounts of coins on it and poking at a button all day long. it's really quite tragic
Ryuu314
Profile Joined October 2009
United States12679 Posts
December 16 2011 00:20 GMT
#159
On December 16 2011 09:03 Gheed wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 16 2011 08:46 jsemmens wrote:
On December 16 2011 08:44 aderum wrote:
I noticed that many Americans are very against betting and see it as something really dangerous and addictive... Is gambling completely against the law everywhere except Vegas in US? Cause that might explain a lot.

I'm not making a judgment call i just find it so interesting that a lot of Americans don't have a problem with smoking weed, but have a problem with betting, and in Sweden its pretty much the exact opposite.

Cultural differences is pretty fascinating!

Generally, in the US, gambling is legal is 4 places (as far as I know):
1. Las Vegas
2. Atlantic City
3. On water (such as the Michigan Lake Casino boats)
4. On Indian Reservations


Gambling is allowed throughout the entire state of Nevada. In other states, beyond the Indian casinos, there are some municipalities where gambling has been allowed by local ordinances; some "riverboat casinos" have moved on land. There's also racetracks, OTBs, sports betting, lotteries, etc.

Conservative states with anti-gambling laws eventually got tired of AC, Vegas, and the Indians getting all the tourist dollars, so now everyone wants in on taxing gambling revenue.

I think it's also kinda allowed in the privacy of your own home. At least in CA, if only because the government can't really prove/monitor it unless they have a warrant.

Gambling is like any other vice. If you can maintain self-control it's no worse than drinking, smoking, etc... If you can't then you need to stay away from it. Personally, I really only play poker with friends cause it's fun and I really don't mind losing couple bucks to good friends.
Rassy
Profile Joined August 2010
Netherlands2308 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-12-16 00:28:39
December 16 2011 00:24 GMT
#160
aderum Sweden. December 16 2011 09:10. Posts 823

PM Profile Blog Report Quote #

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Gambling is incredibly addicting to those cursed with addictive personalities. It has ruined a couple of my friends' lives and I have a family member who still struggles with it. Insensitive people with no knowledge of the nature of addiction would say "just stop gambling"; for these unfortunates, that's like telling a junkie "just stop using smack bro".

I just stay away from it period. I realize not everyone has a problem with it but it's not worth it to me.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


This is very true, but this is also true about drugs(weed).. I dont now what your stance is one the matter but its pretty much the same thing. But this is off-topic so nvm.



Sports betting is not realy gambling, the people making the bets actually think they have an edge (and some actually do),
This is one of the factors that makes sports betting verry attractive for manny people who wont bet in casinos because they dont like bad odds
It is also a reason why sportsbetting (and also future trading/spread betting) can be verry adictive,
the feeling you have an edge, (like some hard core gamblers wrongly have with slot machines, that they can "read" when its going to pay out)
People can justify even huge losses for themselves based on "variance"
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