iGrok's Good Clean Old-fashioned Mafia - Page 42
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Mr. Wiggles
Canada5894 Posts
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gonzaw
Uruguay4911 Posts
Anything can happen by that time, Palmar can come up with a case against someone, then cause more shitstorm, have people doubt their reads on him, and he may even survive. If we all agree to lynch him today I don't see why we shouldn't. Yes, if tonight SK shoots a townie (I don't see this happening either, but lets assume it will happen), we can argue tomorrow about who is scum, prp or BB or someone else. That's what's supposed to happen, we lynch one scum and then argue about who the other one is, but if the SK doesn't shoot tonight (most likely), then we could still lynch prplhz if we think he's either SK or scum. If prplhz is scum, the real SK won't shoot a townie tonight because he knows that if he does, we'll most likely avoid lynching prplhz tomorrow, while if he doesn't, we'd most likely do, so he'd not shoot a townie tonight, let us lynch prplhz, and then try to win solo. You are making too many assumptions, you just assume the SK will shoot a townie tonight if we lynch Palmar no matter what and be successful.. Like where the fuck does that come from? The SK could even shoot the other scum if he feels like it and try to survive 2 lynches, he could just not shoot, or he could try to shoot a townie but shoot the same one as scum or scum can shoot him or not shoot at all. You say your plan is better because "We lynch Palmar today"->"SK and mafia will shoot different townies, so we'll have a hard time trying to lynch the remaining scum":
You still haven't answered me the question about prplhz's behaviour. | ||
gonzaw
Uruguay4911 Posts
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Mr. Wiggles
Canada5894 Posts
On June 17 2012 09:50 gonzaw wrote: Right, so we don't lynch obvious scum Palmar to lynch him tomorrow right? Anything can happen by that time, Palmar can come up with a case against someone, then cause more shitstorm, have people doubt their reads on him, and he may even survive. If we all agree to lynch him today I don't see why we shouldn't. Yes, if tonight SK shoots a townie (I don't see this happening either, but lets assume it will happen), we can argue tomorrow about who is scum, prp or BB or someone else. That's what's supposed to happen, we lynch one scum and then argue about who the other one is, but if the SK doesn't shoot tonight (most likely), then we could still lynch prplhz if we think he's either SK or scum. If prplhz is scum, the real SK won't shoot a townie tonight because he knows that if he does, we'll most likely avoid lynching prplhz tomorrow, while if he doesn't, we'd most likely do, so he'd not shoot a townie tonight, let us lynch prplhz, and then try to win solo. You are making too many assumptions, you just assume the SK will shoot a townie tonight if we lynch Palmar no matter what and be successful.. Like where the fuck does that come from? The SK could even shoot the other scum if he feels like it and try to survive 2 lynches, he could just not shoot, or he could try to shoot a townie but shoot the same one as scum or scum can shoot him or not shoot at all. You say your plan is better because "We lynch Palmar today"->"SK and mafia will shoot different townies, so we'll have a hard time trying to lynch the remaining scum":
You still haven't answered me the question about prplhz's behaviour. I'm home now, but holy crap, I am making NO assumptions about the kills. that's the whole god damned point. Killing prplhz means that it DOESN'T MATTER what happens at night, because it makes no difference. Prplhz is not town, if you think he is town, then make a post defending him because otherwise you're taking out of your ass. I think he's mafia. He's mafia because he/chaoser are pushing the wrong people. They're not hunting for scum, they're hunting for mislynches and easy/bad cases. The SK is just going to float around with town and do enough to not get lynched, but not enough to get shot by scum. I'm astounded that so many people expressed that chaoser/prplhz were mafia, and now with how prplhz is still posting there's only my vote on him. My plan makes it so that it does not matter what happens tonight, because prpl is scum, and I think he's mafia, but even if he's the SK it doesn't make a difference. Palmar is more likely to be mafia than just an SK. So, if we lynch prpl and he flips scum, we just kill Palmar the next day, and we eliminate mafia KP. If he flips SK, there's no more SK KP, and we can lynch Palmar the next day and then find his ally in the next 144 hours. It doesn't matter if there's two lylo's, because I'd rather rely on my own analysis than on having to differentiate between mafia/sk and then having to argue and still potentially losing if we lynch the wrong kind of scum. | ||
BrownBear
United States6894 Posts
My resoning behind the Palmar lynch is basically what gonzaw and others have posted. He's not playing the way he normally does when he's town, but he was definitely trying to act like he was Day 1. He's switched his opinion on everyone all the time, without ever providing reasons, and hasn't been called on it until now. He's basically skated, and I don't really understand why we didn't call him on it sooner. He's definitely my target for today, unless something crazy happens, so I'm gonna look forward. One thing I was considering was the possibility of SK choosing to shoot tonight (and I think someone else mentioned that possibility). Given that the game is winding down, I thought it might be a possibility we'll have to account for. In the end though, I really think SK will not shoot tonight, because it's in his interest to shoot at the last possible moment (preferably when it will end the game). If we mislynch and Palmar is town, then SK will be forced to shoot red to keep the game alive (I think) but given the unlikelihood of that possibility, we're going to have SK KP to worry about. So I think we lynch Palmar today, then worry about who's SK starting today and tomorrow. My "group of scum" would be: Palmar Radfield prphlz Wiggles Palmar, case is proven. The other three I'm much less sure about. I'm certain the SK is one of them, though. All 3 have been trying very hard to play pro-town, but little things about their play have just thrown me off and made me question them. | ||
Radfield
Canada2720 Posts
There is also no reason to lynch prplhz now, when putting him on the block tomorrow gives us a TON more content to analyze, and a ton more time to make the right call on his alignment. | ||
gonzaw
Uruguay4911 Posts
like who you want to lncH?c ro sorry VV BB? On June 17 2012 11:59 BrownBear wrote: Alright, I'm back. My resoning behind the Palmar lynch is basically what gonzaw and others have posted. He's not playing the way he normally does when he's town, but he was definitely trying to act like he was Day 1. He's switched his opinion on everyone all the time, without ever providing reasons, and hasn't been called on it until now. He's basically skated, and I don't really understand why we didn't call him on it sooner. He's definitely my target for today, unless something crazy happens, so I'm gonna look forward. One thing I was considering was the possibility of SK choosing to shoot tonight (and I think someone else mentioned that possibility). Given that the game is winding down, I thought it might be a possibility we'll have to account for. In the end though, I really think SK will not shoot tonight, because it's in his interest to shoot at the last possible moment (preferably when it will end the game). If we mislynch and Palmar is town, then SK will be forced to shoot red to keep the game alive (I think) but given the unlikelihood of that possibility, we're going to have SK KP to worry about. So I think we lynch Palmar today, then worry about who's SK starting today and tomorrow. My "group of scum" would be: Palmar Radfield prphlz Wiggles Palmar, case is proven. The other three I'm much less sure about. I'm certain the SK is one of them, though. All 3 have been trying very hard to play pro-town, but little things about their play have just thrown me off and made me question them. lol why did you call yourslef scvum? lolololo | ||
gonzaw
Uruguay4911 Posts
like who you want to lncH?c ro sorry VV BB? On June 17 2012 11:59 BrownBear wrote: Alright, I'm back. My resoning behind the Palmar lynch is basically what gonzaw and others have posted. He's not playing the way he normally does when he's town, but he was definitely trying to act like he was Day 1. He's switched his opinion on everyone all the time, without ever providing reasons, and hasn't been called on it until now. He's basically skated, and I don't really understand why we didn't call him on it sooner. He's definitely my target for today, unless something crazy happens, so I'm gonna look forward. One thing I was considering was the possibility of SK choosing to shoot tonight (and I think someone else mentioned that possibility). Given that the game is winding down, I thought it might be a possibility we'll have to account for. In the end though, I really think SK will not shoot tonight, because it's in his interest to shoot at the last possible moment (preferably when it will end the game). If we mislynch and Palmar is town, then SK will be forced to shoot red to keep the game alive (I think) but given the unlikelihood of that possibility, we're going to have SK KP to worry about. So I think we lynch Palmar today, then worry about who's SK starting today and tomorrow. My "group of scum" would be: Palmar Radfield prphlz Wiggles Palmar, case is proven. The other three I'm much less sure about. I'm certain the SK is one of them, though. All 3 have been trying very hard to play pro-town, but little things about their play have just thrown me off and made me question them. lol why did you call yourslef scvum? lolololo lol wait you are BB i though you we Rad hahaha hey BBw what od you thino of think of me thinking you are scm .. .. sum scum wot with Palmar? huh? LIke, I've read both filters of you and you botsem to planmned abuss ou you both seemed to plan a buse you bot hseemed to plan a bus. yea hthat's tight, it seems your "outbusrts" against pPLamarar was abus, because it was very werid I though yoiu were town becaues you backed off Palmar, but if palamr is scum that's not a town tell, because of the above what do you hintthink about it? | ||
gonzaw
Uruguay4911 Posts
I dunno why thers' something in the inside of my head that etlls me "Wiggles is cum with Palmar and aats watns to let him live a little longer, this seems like a distraction"; but on the other hand I could see a town willggglles pushignp prlhx lyn lych lynch him lynch lie lynch lie like he did if he was town and using "his plan" that he used /about prplhz being scum/Sk anmd ,e me thinking prplhz was Sk/ if wiggles though p pp prllhz was scum wiggles pirates ARGGHH!!! uyesh!!!! yes somethi gng like that? Do youa aggree? | ||
gonzaw
Uruguay4911 Posts
On June 17 2012 18:25 gonzaw wrote: lol yo who lycnch=? like who you want to lncH?c ro sorry VV BB? lol why did you call yourslef scvum? lolololo lol wait you are BB i though you we Rad hahaha hey BBw what od you thino of think of me thinking you are scm .. .. sum scum wot with Palmar? huh? LIke, I've read both filters of you and you botsem to planmned abuss ou you both seemed to plan a buse you bot hseemed to plan a bus. yea hthat's tight, it seems your "outbusrts" against pPLamarar was abus, because it was very werid I though yoiu were town becaues you backed off Palmar, but if palamr is scum that's not a town tell, because of the above what do you hintthink about it? It seemed werid Palmar backed of f you so fast and you bakced of f him so fast as well I ahve notes archived insidemy brain and PC but i'ts very diffucult to find the mso I'l possite them later. Tham amn Damn, okay I think I can ewrite okay now,...sort of, yeah that thing from above. | ||
gonzaw
Uruguay4911 Posts
Like, I don't know why Wigles nosw sodduenly wants to lync hprplhs with all his might even though eh things Palmar is scum. Like, he think s Palmar is uscm ,I think Palmar is sucm, everyitob0dy pthis Palmar is sucm....why not lynch Palmar? But dam,n,I if Palmar flips scum I have evidence BB is sucm, but Wiiggles could be as well (Uhe could be town by the above thing I've writtcen). ALso I'm not really sure if prllhz is town or not....nobody answer ed my wuestion/question from above. | ||
gonzaw
Uruguay4911 Posts
BEVHAIOUR BEHAVIOUR FROM NOW PUSH? | ||
gonzaw
Uruguay4911 Posts
gooby plz sorry for spam | ||
gonzaw
Uruguay4911 Posts
so I do't post afterward.s...look at his outburst with PAlamr and palmar's interacitons with him....I think it could be a planned bus..which is why I spout all that "oh yeah VE's kil made me change my midn" and what made me think Palmar was scum in the fist place Damn well I think I should have not told you guys thihs abd and waited t fo for BB's reaction more, perhaps? _ Well..:Grey Rad I think you are both town (if youre are scu sk then fuck well after scum are lyncehd they acn can deal with you)( ) what do you8 htink abotu a CC BB+Palmar scum team? H Here are my bnotes: Note: Notes: BrownBear: Hmm, his behaviour seems townie...but there's something about his interactions with Palmar that seem off. First of all, voting Palmar for the RNG deal is just stupid, and if he was scum he'd know it'd be stupid and wouldn't convince anybody to vote for Palmar. Second, he goes against Palmar pretty heavily...but doesn't actually call him scum. He just calls him a "cancer to town", votes him and just argues and argues and says "we need to cut it or ignore it", never says he wants to lynch him because he thinks Palmar is scum or anything. Even so, his 1st vote on him was a "preliminary vote", again, there was no strong accusation or anything. That seems fishy. He does seem VERY upset against Palmar...but to be honest I can't see BB being actually frustrated like that regarding Palmar's play. Like, if he had been arguing for 10 pages with Palmar, with Palmar ignoring him or something, then yes I'd think it was justified; but like, he votes Palmar for disrupting town and the RNG bit, and IMMEDIATELY gets frustrated and annoyed by him, for instance these posts: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=341558¤tpage=18#359 http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=341558¤tpage=18#360 Like, getting so worked up because Palmar called him "useless" seems weird to me. He keeps saying that he's "annoyed right now"...hmm. In N1, he immediately starts to think Palmar is "just BM-style town - annoying, misleading, and should be ignored." So...he starts to think Palmar is town now...when he spent 100% of his effort on D1 trying to get Palmar lynched for that specific behaviour he mentioned. Like I said, I guess he "could" have acted like this as town, realize his mistake and then ignore Palmar. It's also possible it's a planned bus to increase BB's credibility. I'll try to find out and see how BB responds to my vote on Palmar. I guess he is willing to bus him though, so I'll have to be careful with what he does. Of course, I already have a "case" made against him...so I don't need to point those things out again He's wishy washy about Radfield, casting doubt on him as soon as N1. He finds him suspicious but says he doesn't want to "tunnel" so he'll look around some more. He then goes against Palmar for voting me, asks him if he has a case. I think he ignores that later and doesn't follow up on it He changes his vote on Hesmyrr and doesn't even consider voting Palmar for instance. Yesh this seems fishy Not only that, he took Palmar's joke "seriously" and as a reason to go against Palmar as well....but still doesn't vote Palmar and never mentions him again later at all. The fact he took his "joke" seriously is weird as well (although chaoser and Grey thought I was being legit with my "joke vote" on VE >_> ) He's been absent throughout all N2, avoiding any discussion whatsoever, even though he was active on N1 and D2. To be honest, his behaviour from N1 and D2 hasn't been as good as I thought, he does seem "nice" and all with some smileys and stuff, but he just wagons on the Hesmyrr vote (for not that GREAT of reasons), and somehow manages to completely ignore Palmar yet still go against him. If Palmar flips scum then I'd find this VERY fishy, enough to warrant a lynch on him. However, if Palmar flips town....for one we lost, but at least BB is town as well. The more I read their interactions the more suspicious I get. BB also seems to ignore Palmar accusing BB of being scum...but never doing anything about it. Every time Palmar accuses BB, he just throws a hissy fit against Palmar...and then goes on with his usual business. He never mentions why Palmar would cast suspicion on him without any reason and not pushing it, etc. Palmar: Interaction with BB: His first interaction with BB is mentioning there isn't a case on him and calling him "fucking useless", just like he called Ace. When BB calls him out, he seems to act casually regarding it, however later he says he thinks BB is scum (in one of those one-liners of his). His response here: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=341558¤tpage=18#349 That doesn't seem the tone of someone that thinks the guy he's responding to is mafia. However he then says he'd like to lynch BB...but says he prefers a MZ lynch (and lo and behold his vote stays on MZ). He later says that he'd be willing to make a BB lynch happen...but doesn't do anything. VE said he'd like that as well, but he just ignores it and later says he thinks Hes is town...nothing else, until the day ends and MZ is lynched. That kind of interaction is fishy as fuck, because it's Palmar appearing to push a lynch on someone but not actually taking the effort to do it, which is classic scum bus. In this post he mentions BB as his "greatest scumread" (implicitly): http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=341558¤tpage=24#467 But...? He does nothing about it. If he was town he'd push that read...if he was scum and BB town he'd push that read even more (like he did with MZ). However in D2 he NEVER AT ALL pushes the BB lynch...only "votes" him as a joke. More proof: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=341558¤tpage=27#535 He basically tells BB he's scum...and again does nothing to push that lynch. He still has his retarded vote on me. Then however, he just blatantly says that now he thinks BB is town for reconsidering his reads and because "historically scum oppose RL" or some shit. Like, it seems convenient that now both of them "reconciliated" and think each other is town...after both were going full against each other without actually doing it. Hmm, he seems to "know" Ace, VE and Hes are town, or subtly imply it. His read on BB later is this: "I don't think BB is scum anymore, mostly by virtue of almost everyone else looking worse than him." That's wishy-washy as hell, and very fishy as well. Palmar doesn't care about anything, not even on D1. He FoSes MZ but never even mentions him again or cares about the discussions about him. He FoSes BB but doesn't care about pushing him or anything. He just goes around throwing useless one-liners and stuff. On D2 his behaviour is a joke. He only appears to: -Say he thinks I'm scum -Talk about Radfield -Say he now thinks BB is town He doesn't care about the Hes lynch or case, he doesn't even care about pushing me, he doesn't even care about Radfield either since he changes his stance on him based on Rad thinking VE was scum and nothing else, just disregards everything he said about Radfield before. He's acting like in Liar Game where after D1 he just disappears and shows up just to post and blend in. | ||
gonzaw
Uruguay4911 Posts
fuck oh well...Wiggles that's why I think BB is scum now f go try on convince me prplhz is sucm. | ||
Radfield
Canada2720 Posts
They've had a lot of interaction, and I didn't really find much of it contrived. This exchange in particular seemed legit(open the quotes for the full convo). On June 12 2012 05:40 BrownBear wrote: What part of this did you not understand? Also, you can argue I've been less active and less helpful than others in the game, but there are ways to say it without using the words "pretty fucking useless". That's just needless flaming, hurts my feelings, and is unwelcome. I do agree that if Palmar flips scum, it casts Wiggles in a worse light. But looking at Wiggles actions and arguments from a scum perspective doesn't seem to fit. If Wiggles and Palmar are scum, then Wiggles is playing completely wrong. Consider: Palmar has basically gone MIA, everyone thinks he is scum and he's almost surely going to get lynched.... What's the proper scum play? You bus obviously. You certainly don't try to play for the immediate win with an ally who isn't even around. You just bus, and then push the mislynch on whomever defended your teammate. Trying to defend Palmar right now just risks throwing the whole game away. That's my gut thought anyways, but I'm going to do some reading. | ||
Radfield
Canada2720 Posts
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Radfield
Canada2720 Posts
However, I can't shake that I think Palmar is a better lynch, and that I don't think Palmar and BB share the same alignment. I DO find it extremely odd that Palmar randomly slots in Wiggles as one of his top scumreads, but if Palmar knows he's getting lynched then it's all WIFOM anyways. Wiggles could be scum that he's trying to look good, or just a hope that the lynch will swing to Wiggles. The combo of Palmar's suspicion and Wiggles driving a prplhz lynch is strange though. | ||
BrownBear
United States6894 Posts
Also gonzaw, don't try to play when you're drunk. Bad things happen. I'll wait for you to come back when sober and clarify what you meant by all of that. | ||
GreYMisT
United States6736 Posts
On June 18 2012 00:57 BrownBear wrote: I think Greymist is town because I haven't really been able to read through his filter, and don't have much of a read on him. I will do that. Also gonzaw, don't try to play when you're drunk. Bad things happen. I'll wait for you to come back when sober and clarify what you meant by all of that. No no, don't stop him | ||
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