![[image loading]](http://www.teamliquid.net/staff/alffla/avalonMSLbanner_copy.jpg)
Banner by alffla
23 July 2009, 18:30 KST, 2:30 PST, 11:30 CET, Channel MBC
![[image loading]](http://www.teamliquid.net/tlpd/images/players/211.jpg)
![[image loading]](http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v493/MystLord/SC%20Map%20Pics/200_Outsider_thumbnail.jpg)
![[image loading]](http://www.teamliquid.net/tlpd/images/players/1.jpg)
![Zerg (Z)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Zicon_small.png)
![Terran (T)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Ticon_small.png)
![[image loading]](http://www.teamliquid.net/tlpd/images/players/581.jpg)
![[image loading]](http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v493/MystLord/SC%20Map%20Pics/200_Outsider_thumbnail.jpg)
![[image loading]](http://www.teamliquid.net/tlpd/images/players/76.jpg)
![Zerg (Z)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Zicon_small.png)
![Zerg (Z)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Zicon_small.png)
![[image loading]](http://www.teamliquid.net/tlpd/images/players/125.jpg)
![[image loading]](http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v493/MystLord/SC%20Map%20Pics/197_Byzantium3_thumbnail.jpg)
![[image loading]](http://www.teamliquid.net/tlpd/images/players/129.jpg)
![Protoss (P)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Picon_small.png)
![Terran (T)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Ticon_small.png)
![[image loading]](http://www.teamliquid.net/tlpd/images/players/174.jpg)
![[image loading]](http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v493/MystLord/SC%20Map%20Pics/199_HeartbreakRidge_thumbnail.jpg)
![[image loading]](http://www.teamliquid.net/tlpd/images/players/140.jpg)
![Zerg (Z)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Zicon_small.png)
![Zerg (Z)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Zicon_small.png)
Statistics
+ Show Spoiler +
The format is: (W-L for the last 5 matches in that Match Up of Player 1, Overall Win % in that Match Up), Map Statistics for the Match Up, (W-L for the last 5 matches in that Match Up of Player 2, Overall Win % in that Match Up)
Jaedong < Outsider >
Canata
(4-1, 64.83%) 30 - 25 (5-0, 54%)
Frankly, Outsider isn't the right map for Canata. Mech isn't really a good idea on it, and I don't think Canata's bionic play is good enough to beat Jaedong. The last few times he did Bio, it was basically a 5 tank timing push into Zerg's natural. I highly doubt that Jaedong is going to allow that to happen in this game. I'm actually wondering if Canata will be able to hold off the initial 2 Hatch Mutas that Jaedong is undoubtedly going to do since it's Outsider and all. A 1 week break is enough for Jaedong to rest up and absolutely demolish Canata on this map.
EffOrt < Outsider >
Calm
(4-1, 69.7%) 19 ZvZs (4-1, 51.06%)
I honestly think that over the past few weeks, we've seen enough of EffOrt's ZvZ to know he's damn good at that match up. He's beaten YellOw[ArnC], Jaedong, and even destroyed type-b for the kicks. All he's been doing this time is playing ZvZ. I'm still worried about Calm though. His recent ZvZ record is impressive, but his matches have been against TheZerg, ZerO, and Juni, not exactly the best ZvZ players out there. Remember that Calm got denied from the OSL 0-2 by HogiL who has a career record of 28% ZvZ, and he also got destroyed 0-2 by HoeJJa (36.36% ZvZ) in the GOM Classic.
Bisu < Byzantium 3 >
Iris
(4-1, 61.65%) 4 - 1 (3-2, 55.45%)
After his loss to go.go in the OSL, Bisu has stepped up his PvT and just taken out his rage on Terran players. He first destroyed Leta, then killed Hwasin, and finally took out fantasy 2-0 as vengeance for fantasy's earlier elimination of Bisu from the OSL last season. Now he's facing against the grizzled old veteran Iris, who, yeah has been doing okay recently against Protoss, but he hasn't faced an opponent like Bisu since his match with BeSt.
Really though, I think that the map itself will help Iris fail in this match. Byzantium 3 is 4-1 PvT, not exactly an encouraging statistic for Iris. This is the map that practically shut down fantasy's style of play. I don't see Iris getting out of this one except for cheese.
ZerO < Heartbreak Ridge >
Kwanro
(1-4, 49.18%) 12 ZvZs (2-3, 55.56%)
I so want to just say that ZerO sucks at ZvZ and just leave it at that, but unfortunately, that's only true sometimes. Sometimes, ZerO gets these brilliant flashes of insight in ZvZ and somehow is able to actually win a game. ZerO is actually 2-2 against Kwanro, who seems to share this trait with ZerO. Sometimes, Kwanro gets the match up, sometimes he doesn't. It's just a gamble tonight really.
![Zerg (Z)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Zicon_small.png)
![Terran (T)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Ticon_small.png)
(4-1, 64.83%) 30 - 25 (5-0, 54%)
Frankly, Outsider isn't the right map for Canata. Mech isn't really a good idea on it, and I don't think Canata's bionic play is good enough to beat Jaedong. The last few times he did Bio, it was basically a 5 tank timing push into Zerg's natural. I highly doubt that Jaedong is going to allow that to happen in this game. I'm actually wondering if Canata will be able to hold off the initial 2 Hatch Mutas that Jaedong is undoubtedly going to do since it's Outsider and all. A 1 week break is enough for Jaedong to rest up and absolutely demolish Canata on this map.
![Zerg (Z)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Zicon_small.png)
![Zerg (Z)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Zicon_small.png)
(4-1, 69.7%) 19 ZvZs (4-1, 51.06%)
I honestly think that over the past few weeks, we've seen enough of EffOrt's ZvZ to know he's damn good at that match up. He's beaten YellOw[ArnC], Jaedong, and even destroyed type-b for the kicks. All he's been doing this time is playing ZvZ. I'm still worried about Calm though. His recent ZvZ record is impressive, but his matches have been against TheZerg, ZerO, and Juni, not exactly the best ZvZ players out there. Remember that Calm got denied from the OSL 0-2 by HogiL who has a career record of 28% ZvZ, and he also got destroyed 0-2 by HoeJJa (36.36% ZvZ) in the GOM Classic.
![Protoss (P)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Picon_small.png)
![Terran (T)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Ticon_small.png)
(4-1, 61.65%) 4 - 1 (3-2, 55.45%)
After his loss to go.go in the OSL, Bisu has stepped up his PvT and just taken out his rage on Terran players. He first destroyed Leta, then killed Hwasin, and finally took out fantasy 2-0 as vengeance for fantasy's earlier elimination of Bisu from the OSL last season. Now he's facing against the grizzled old veteran Iris, who, yeah has been doing okay recently against Protoss, but he hasn't faced an opponent like Bisu since his match with BeSt.
Really though, I think that the map itself will help Iris fail in this match. Byzantium 3 is 4-1 PvT, not exactly an encouraging statistic for Iris. This is the map that practically shut down fantasy's style of play. I don't see Iris getting out of this one except for cheese.
![Zerg (Z)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Zicon_small.png)
![Zerg (Z)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Zicon_small.png)
(1-4, 49.18%) 12 ZvZs (2-3, 55.56%)
I so want to just say that ZerO sucks at ZvZ and just leave it at that, but unfortunately, that's only true sometimes. Sometimes, ZerO gets these brilliant flashes of insight in ZvZ and somehow is able to actually win a game. ZerO is actually 2-2 against Kwanro, who seems to share this trait with ZerO. Sometimes, Kwanro gets the match up, sometimes he doesn't. It's just a gamble tonight really.
My Predictions
+ Show Spoiler +
![Zerg (Z)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Zicon_small.png)
![Terran (T)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Ticon_small.png)
A week of rest for good old JD. He'll be fine. He was just tired! You know...
![Zerg (Z)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Zicon_small.png)
![Zerg (Z)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Zicon_small.png)
I love you Calm, but if you saw any of EffOrt's games in Proleague, you'll know that he will beat you.
![Protoss (P)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Picon_small.png)
![Terran (T)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Ticon_small.png)
MSL is like Bisu's playing ground. Iris is nobody. Sucks to be him to get matched up with Bisu.
![Zerg (Z)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Zicon_small.png)
![Zerg (Z)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Zicon_small.png)
I have no faith in ZerO if the match up is ZvZ.
Results
+ Show Spoiler +
Group A:
![Zerg (Z)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Zicon_small.png)
![Terran (T)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Ticon_small.png)
+ Show Spoiler [Game Summary] +
Canata goes for an 8 rax in his natural and sends one SCV with a few marines to bunker rush Jaedong. Jaedong went for the standard 12 hatch, but lost 4 drones to the 3 marines. Although he destroyed the bunker, his creep colony was denied by his own lings, so his sunken did not finish in time for Canata's vulture. Canata gets a 12 kill vulture and that's pretty much game.
Group B:
![Zerg (Z)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Zicon_small.png)
![Zerg (Z)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Zicon_small.png)
+ Show Spoiler [Game Summary] +
This one I got confused on since I didn't see the opening builds. However, what ended up happening was that EffOrt took his gas later than Calm, and thus he ended behind on gas count and Mutalisk count. EffOrt got around 8 pair of scourge and 3 Mutalisks and went in for an attack, but barely any scourge, if any, landed, and EffOrt's forces were overpowered. EffOrt tries to hold on and delay with Zerglings, but once Calm decides to attack with his Mutalisks, it was all over for EffOrt since he never got Zergling Speed.
Group C:
![Protoss (P)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Picon_small.png)
![Terran (T)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Ticon_small.png)
+ Show Spoiler [Game Summary] +
Very nice play by Iris here. Bisu opens standard 1 gate goon into Observer build, but what he doesn't know is that Iris is setting up for a devious ploy. Iris builds several marines and a tank. He makes it seem like he's going to just do a FD with a quick expansion. However, Iris pushes out with his second tank and maybe 3 or so vultures. Bisu is unprepared and didn't delay Iris's forces as they moved out, so he was stuck in his natural trying to defend against this 2 fac. His goons get pushed into a corner because of mines, and Iris sneaks a few vultures into Bisu's main that get 8 probe kills before Bisu takes it out. Iris destroys everything at Bisu's natural, including all of Bisu's goons. Bisu taps out soon after.
Group D:
![Zerg (Z)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Zicon_small.png)
![Zerg (Z)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Zicon_small.png)
+ Show Spoiler [Game Summary] +
ZvZ is usually too action packed for a game summary, but I'll give one anyway. Both players opt to go for the 12 pool into expansion, but the difference is that ZerO opts to go Zergling Speed first while Kwanro opts for Lair first. Kwanro doesn't let ZerO's initial lings get into his main base, so he uses his faster Mutalisks to snipe two Overlords of ZerO's. However, Kwanro goes to engage ZerO with no scourge and fewer Mutalisks, so he loses the majority of his Mutalisks. However, that was merely a distraction for about 4 lings to absolutely destroy all of ZerO's drones since all of ZerO's Zerglings had died. ZerO is left with 5 drones, and goes all in with his remaining Mutalisks. He kills all of Kwanro's Mutalisks, but Kwanro is able to get spore colonies up at his natural while ZerO's Lair, Spire, and drones were killed. A very nice game from Kwanro.
Recommended Games
+ Show Spoiler +
Bisu vs. Iris
+ Show Spoiler +
ZerO vs. Kwanro
+ Show Spoiler +
+ Show Spoiler +
A very nice 2 factory from Iris. Can Bisu fend it off?
ZerO vs. Kwanro
+ Show Spoiler +
A very exciting ZvZ played by both players. Just wow.
How to watch
- Daum Pot Player
- WfBrood - http://www.wfbrood.com/movie/mbclive-400k.html
Chinese Commentary
- Yaoyuan - http://yaoyuan.com/live.php
- http://live.plu.cn/hanguo/ - Requires UUSEE
User Streams - Post it here! For a 640x480 version, plug the livestream channel at the end of this link: http://640.zeroboy.net/ Example: http://640.zeroboy.net/topstarcraft