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Newbie Student Mafia XIX

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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1 2 Next All
Tumblewood
Profile Joined January 2016
United States3709 Posts
January 18 2016 18:44 GMT
#6
/in
good times for all
Tumblewood
Profile Joined January 2016
United States3709 Posts
January 25 2016 15:26 GMT
#112
On January 25 2016 22:02 Half the Sky wrote:
Also newbies, regardless of alignment, I tell you one thing - USE YOUR COACHES, they are there for a reason


How do we use coaches? Via PM?
good times for all
Tumblewood
Profile Joined January 2016
United States3709 Posts
January 27 2016 02:30 GMT
#292
Read over the thread, and these are my reads so far:

Town: (none yet)
Leaning Town: Alur, Trfel
Null: PepperMintTea, nooniansong, Onegu
Leaning Scum: darthfoley, _MexicanAlien
Scum: Shapelog

My reasoning on Shapelog:

Shapelog has acted generally like a newbie scum player all game. He started the game off with about five jokes and no content. Given that this is day 1, that's not too important. I'm not sure how to feel on the weird read toward nooniansong, because it doesn't necessarily feel scummy or townie, just poorly informed. But the posts that really strike me are:
On January 27 2016 06:41 Shapelog wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 27 2016 06:39 Onegu wrote:
But serious Shape trying to meta read kush(nooninsong) before he even posts is weird as fuck.

I am not trying to read him lol.
I am just saying there is something he does and as the day(s) goes on I will look for it, if it is absent, I will comment on it. Unless your scum team kills me, in which case i can just use it later on .

and
On January 27 2016 07:55 Shapelog wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 27 2016 07:48 _MexicanAlien wrote:
So first shapelog suggests talking about blue roles, then he lists the reason for each blue role to not need help.
Very good reasons.

Yeah i was revising the logic on it after Deathfy posted about it.
Also I am always Sus. on my D1's, Both as Blue and Vt due to my reactive, blah blah blah trolling playstyle
Yet to roll mafia sadly, thought this would be the one =(.

In both of them, he mentions something about not being scum. Why would a townie ever do that? Why would anyone ever do that? "Unless your scum team kills me," and, "Yet to roll mafia sadly," are things normal townies don't just drop. It just screams to me, "Oh boy, what a shame I'm not mafia!" Also, "I am always Sus. on my D1's" doesn't make a whole lot of sense to me, but I haven't played with Shapelog before.
good times for all
Tumblewood
Profile Joined January 2016
United States3709 Posts
January 27 2016 03:13 GMT
#297
On January 27 2016 11:48 darthfoley wrote:
Tumblewood, can you explain why you're town reading Trfel? He has four one liners so far. Which of them makes him lean town for you?


I remember some slight town lean posts and nothing scummy, so that was enough to put him up there in my memory. Looking through his filter, though, there's not much to put him on one side or the other. If I had to redo that list, I'd swap Onegu and Trfel.
good times for all
Tumblewood
Profile Joined January 2016
United States3709 Posts
January 27 2016 03:50 GMT
#305
On January 27 2016 10:03 darthfoley wrote:
Kush, i'm pretty sure that this wording indicates that mafia does know the specific setup, given that every mafia setup is the same.

Show nested quote +
The mafia will be informed as to which setup is chosen, but the town will not!


Could be wrong, but that seems pretty explicit, no?


Show nested quote +
3. Slight mafiaread on Darthfoley
I would've expected him to be more excited about rolling town considering his previous game. His posting also feels a little casual and uninvested at times:


I am excited. To be fair, it's hard to be invested when only ~4 of 13 players have posted (when my quote you've used was written). I feel no pressure in terms of slip ups and stuff like that because i'm town, so I think it makes perfect sense that I come off as casual, especially on D1.

I like what Noon has thought up so far regarding PeppermintTea; I don't think it makes much sense to read someone's nervousness as a newbie town read. WIFOM but I was super stressed out and had no idea how to get my footing when I played mafia as my first game. If you're going to read someone as nervous, I think the right lean would naturally be scum.


and
On January 27 2016 07:06 darthfoley wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 27 2016 07:03 Eden1892 wrote:
On January 27 2016 06:39 Onegu wrote:
But serious Shape trying to meta read kush(nooninsong) before he even posts is weird as fuck.

What exactly is weird about anything Shapelog did? Specifics please.


The infamous Eden. Thankfully in this game I can answer your queries without having to worry about scum slipping

are the relevant posts. I noted these-- the reason for my slight scum read on him-- because of this too. Especially the second one: It's such a nothing post (says nothing of value) and directly alludes to himself being town. The wording is also really weird, too; it almost looks like breadcrumbing but it doesn't say anything. "I can answer your queries without having to worry about scum slipping" is such a weird and unhelpful thing to say that it sounds like an eight-year-old with a good vocabulary was saying it.
good times for all
Tumblewood
Profile Joined January 2016
United States3709 Posts
January 27 2016 16:31 GMT
#462
I had a big long post halfway written, but then I went to sleep and everything has changed. So, again, I'm going to make one big long post.

First, about our three main suspects: Onegu, PepperMintTea and Shapelog

Onegu hasn't really done anything aside from his one big post and his arguments defending that post. Everything else is just Onegu being the Newbie Police. I won't quote that post since it's gigantic, but the read on Trfel is good and the rest doesn't say very much. It's hard to townread him for anything he's done this game, so he's a slight scumread.
PepperMintTea hasn't done anything to give me an opinion of him. It looks to me as if people saw one post with sort of flawed logic and then went entirely off of that.
Shapelog's early play (say, pre page 16) was scummy as hell. You guys are all townreading him for reasons that are mostly "Too scummy to be scum", like Eden's post (cropped)
On January 27 2016 16:11 Eden1892 wrote:
I skimmed the early stuff. It's a bit late and I don't really feel like reading the thread in a lot of depth right now, but I got a few early reads worth sharing.


- Shapelog is obviously town, and the first thing I want to do when I get the motivation to read this game in detail (which will be tomorrow, hold me to this and don't let me be lazy) is to read the sequence of people scumreading him early while it was the "in" read to give, because I'm almost positive scum were involved in that.

If I actually have to explain this (and if you need it explained, that's okay; newbie game and all), Shapelog's posting was very spontaneous and "error-prone" in the right way. As Onegu put it, "talking about someone's meta before they even post" is in fact a poor use of a townie's time, because you don't need to call attention to the idea that you have a way to read somebody based on meta. Just make the read in either direction when the trigger behavior you're waiting on manifests itself (or doesn't manifest itself when it should).

But a post like that is never going to come from mafia. Mafia players don't think to themselves: "You know, I should post that I have a meta read on kush before he says anything. That will make me look more townie and advance my agenda." Because it doesn't. It's empty words.

An excited townie, however, who is trying to get discussion started and generate meaningful data for themselves and other players to read, might be overeager and start talking about this tell before it manifests, because it's meaningful to them (even if it doesn't do anything yet). And if you read the rest of Shapelog's posts, eagerness and excitement are pretty reasonable descriptors of his emotional state as he plays.

So we can either assume that Shapelog is a bad noob scum player, who also doesn't have anybody on his team to tell him that his early posting isn't doing anything to help, and who also doesn't have a scum coach telling him the same thing... or we can just assume that he is an eager townie, as his posts read.

The bolded section, the main reason for townreading, makes no sense. It's basically, "It doesn't make him look like town, and scum wants to look like town, so he must not be scum." I'd appreciate if you'd explain that point to me.

Next, about the other consistently active players: darthfoley, _MexicanAlien, and Trfel

Onegu, regardless of whether he's scum, made a good point on Trfel. Trfel's been asking so many questions but hasn't said much of anything himself. That reads scum to me, because it allows him to advance mafia's agenda without doing anything himself, if that makes sense.
Anything I say on darthfoley will be a weak point. He hasn't done much of anything this game to give me a strong opinion on him, so I'm going to call this one a null read.
MexicanAlien looks like a complete townread if you ignore his first ten posts. He started the game off with things like, "We need to figure out a strategy" and "We need information", which would be a sure scumread if he weren't a complete newbie or if he continued like that. Those first few posts set off alarm bells in my head, but I think I was wrong on that one, because he's been a normal contributing member of the town since then.

And everyone else

I have nothing to say about Kuramari and Ikidomari because of how little they've posted and how little they've said. Opinions pending.
JesusIncarnate is weird to me because he was away for the first 15 hours of the game then came back and said half good points and half "sick meme". I'll give him the benefit of the doubt, but it's definitely suspicious in my mind if he doesn't do anything more for the next several hours.
Eden and Alur read town for me, because they seem to be the ones with the most desire to hunt scum in the town. Alur went quiet for a while, but my opinion on him hasn't changed yet. Eden is the more town-leaning of the two.
Nooniansoong (kush?) is a sliiiight scum read for me because he's gotten by doing very little so far. There's definitely not enough, though, there to base a lynch off of.

TL;DR
I was gone for a while and now I'm trying to catch up. Shapelog still reads scum to me, Onegu and Trfel also look scum to me, Eden, Alur, MexicanAlien look town. I need to read through this again and see what everyone else did because it's sort of lame having null / very weak reads on 6/12 other players.
good times for all
Tumblewood
Profile Joined January 2016
United States3709 Posts
January 27 2016 17:43 GMT
#506
@darthfoley: Your opinion on Alur was scum lean
On January 28 2016 02:18 darthfoley wrote:
Going to post a few reads. I can get into them specifically if someone is interested

Town:
Eden
Shapelog
MexicanAlien

Scum/scum lean:
Alur - refer back to my filter interactions with him. I'm not a fan of his playstyle at all so far.
Tumblewood - his second meaningful post is a bunch of null reads, and a bunch of reads that scream "i'm just trying to look like i'm contributing"
JesusIncarnate - first meanginful post was lazy and very shallow

Need to reread filters on Peppermint, Trfel and Onegu

until just now, when you changed to liking him.
On January 28 2016 02:36 darthfoley wrote:
I'm also liking Alur's pressure on Trfel

When did that change?
good times for all
Tumblewood
Profile Joined January 2016
United States3709 Posts
January 27 2016 18:23 GMT
#516
On January 28 2016 03:18 _MexicanAlien wrote:
Could everyone, please, in their next post, even if they have done it already, simply state your top three mafia suspects?

Only if you are willing. I just want motives to be clearer.

Top three suspects in order.
If you want to include reasoning feel free.

Thank you

1. Shapelog
2. Trfel
3. Onegu
I need to log off for now, see you all in a couple hours.
good times for all
Tumblewood
Profile Joined January 2016
United States3709 Posts
January 27 2016 21:13 GMT
#562
On January 28 2016 05:59 PepperMintTea wrote:
@Tumblewood

I'm having a hard time following this train of thought

Show nested quote +
On January 27 2016 11:30 Tumblewood wrote:
Read over the thread, and these are my reads so far:

Town: (none yet)
Leaning Town: Alur, Trfel
Null: PepperMintTea, nooniansong, Onegu
Leaning Scum: darthfoley, _MexicanAlien
Scum: Shapelog


Trefl leans town and onegu is null

then

Show nested quote +
On January 27 2016 12:13 Tumblewood wrote:
On January 27 2016 11:48 darthfoley wrote:
Tumblewood, can you explain why you're town reading Trfel? He has four one liners so far. Which of them makes him lean town for you?


I remember some slight town lean posts and nothing scummy, so that was enough to put him up there in my memory. Looking through his filter, though, there's not much to put him on one side or the other. If I had to redo that list, I'd swap Onegu and Trfel.


So now trefl is neutral but Onegu is likely town

and then

Show nested quote +
On January 28 2016 01:31 Tumblewood wrote:
I had a big long post halfway written, but then I went to sleep and everything has changed. So, again, I'm going to make one big long post.

First, about our three main suspects: Onegu, PepperMintTea and Shapelog

Onegu hasn't really done anything aside from his one big post and his arguments defending that post. Everything else is just Onegu being the Newbie Police. I won't quote that post since it's gigantic, but the read on Trfel is good and the rest doesn't say very much. It's hard to townread him for anything he's done this game, so he's a slight scumread.
PepperMintTea hasn't done anything to give me an opinion of him. It looks to me as if people saw one post with sort of flawed logic and then went entirely off of that.
Shapelog's early play (say, pre page 16) was scummy as hell. You guys are all townreading him for reasons that are mostly "Too scummy to be scum", like Eden's post (cropped)


Onegu, regardless of whether he's scum, made a good point on Trfel. Trfel's been asking so many questions but hasn't said much of anything himself. That reads scum to me, because it allows him to advance mafia's agenda without doing anything himself, if that makes sense.



TL;DR
I was gone for a while and now I'm trying to catch up. Shapelog still reads scum to me, Onegu and Trfel also look scum to me,


Onegu and Trefl are both scum.

I guess I have the hardest time understanding how you came to the conclusion about onegu. You thought he was towny early on based on the above. Then he made a good case about trefl. Yet despite that you have him as scum..alongside trefl.

From my perspective, you have people who you read town for doing less towny things , than onegu has done yet you scumread him.

it seems strange.

It doesn't make sense to make a read on early D1 and then never change it. As information has come out, I've been getting more and more of a feel on people. By the first little tier post, Trfel had done nothing scummy and neither had Onegu. They even looked a little town for helping to get things started. Darthfoley and MexicanAlien appeared scummy to me for the first few pages, but their play has been solid since. The big turning point for me was when Onegu posted that giant stream-of-consciousness post. That was the only big thing he'd posted all game, and most of it lacked his own opinions. The only part where he said anything definitive himself was his read on Trfel (which I agree with, hence Trfel leaning scum in my mind). Onegu and Trfel both look like classic examples of players who are very active but not saying much. Onegu was also really confrontational toward accusations, which seemed odd to me.
Could you explain to me what you find town about Onegu's play?
good times for all
Tumblewood
Profile Joined January 2016
United States3709 Posts
January 27 2016 22:07 GMT
#581
On January 28 2016 06:26 PepperMintTea wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 28 2016 06:13 Tumblewood wrote:
On January 28 2016 05:59 PepperMintTea wrote:
@Tumblewood

I'm having a hard time following this train of thought

On January 27 2016 11:30 Tumblewood wrote:
Read over the thread, and these are my reads so far:

Town: (none yet)
Leaning Town: Alur, Trfel
Null: PepperMintTea, nooniansong, Onegu
Leaning Scum: darthfoley, _MexicanAlien
Scum: Shapelog


Trefl leans town and onegu is null

then

On January 27 2016 12:13 Tumblewood wrote:
On January 27 2016 11:48 darthfoley wrote:
Tumblewood, can you explain why you're town reading Trfel? He has four one liners so far. Which of them makes him lean town for you?


I remember some slight town lean posts and nothing scummy, so that was enough to put him up there in my memory. Looking through his filter, though, there's not much to put him on one side or the other. If I had to redo that list, I'd swap Onegu and Trfel.


So now trefl is neutral but Onegu is likely town

and then

On January 28 2016 01:31 Tumblewood wrote:
I had a big long post halfway written, but then I went to sleep and everything has changed. So, again, I'm going to make one big long post.

First, about our three main suspects: Onegu, PepperMintTea and Shapelog

Onegu hasn't really done anything aside from his one big post and his arguments defending that post. Everything else is just Onegu being the Newbie Police. I won't quote that post since it's gigantic, but the read on Trfel is good and the rest doesn't say very much. It's hard to townread him for anything he's done this game, so he's a slight scumread.
PepperMintTea hasn't done anything to give me an opinion of him. It looks to me as if people saw one post with sort of flawed logic and then went entirely off of that.
Shapelog's early play (say, pre page 16) was scummy as hell. You guys are all townreading him for reasons that are mostly "Too scummy to be scum", like Eden's post (cropped)


Onegu, regardless of whether he's scum, made a good point on Trfel. Trfel's been asking so many questions but hasn't said much of anything himself. That reads scum to me, because it allows him to advance mafia's agenda without doing anything himself, if that makes sense.



TL;DR
I was gone for a while and now I'm trying to catch up. Shapelog still reads scum to me, Onegu and Trfel also look scum to me,


Onegu and Trefl are both scum.

I guess I have the hardest time understanding how you came to the conclusion about onegu. You thought he was towny early on based on the above. Then he made a good case about trefl. Yet despite that you have him as scum..alongside trefl.

From my perspective, you have people who you read town for doing less towny things , than onegu has done yet you scumread him.

it seems strange.

It doesn't make sense to make a read on early D1 and then never change it. As information has come out, I've been getting more and more of a feel on people. By the first little tier post, Trfel had done nothing scummy and neither had Onegu. They even looked a little town for helping to get things started. Darthfoley and MexicanAlien appeared scummy to me for the first few pages, but their play has been solid since. The big turning point for me was when Onegu posted that giant stream-of-consciousness post. That was the only big thing he'd posted all game, and most of it lacked his own opinions. The only part where he said anything definitive himself was his read on Trfel (which I agree with, hence Trfel leaning scum in my mind). Onegu and Trfel both look like classic examples of players who are very active but not saying much. Onegu was also really confrontational toward accusations, which seemed odd to me.
Could you explain to me what you find town about Onegu's play?


I think it would help me out more if you could go into some more detail about your town reads and how you established them.

I'm still figuring out Onegu, pending his answer.

My main townreads are Eden1892 and Alur, with a side of darthfoley.
I townread Alur for being the most motivated to find scum. The first post I really liked was this:
On January 27 2016 10:01 Alur wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 27 2016 09:23 nooniansoong wrote:
On January 27 2016 08:49 Alur wrote:
2. Slight townread on _MexicanAlien.
He seems to have a genuine interest in solving the game. Didn't know that mafia knows the setup (could be WIFOM I guess, but whatevs).

What could be wifom and why is it wifom?
FYI mafia doesn't know the setup but they have a better idea of it because they know each other's roles.


3. Slight mafiaread on Darthfoley
I would've expected him to be more excited about rolling town considering his previous game. His posting also feels a little casual and uninvested at times:

Why is it scummy to be casual?



Going forward:

Talk about other players.

On January 27 2016 07:34 _MexicanAlien wrote:
Is anyone else here seeing a pattern?


Not sure what you're referring to, very curious to hear what you've noticed.

He already explained it I think.

Firstly #2 states: "The mafia will be informed as to which setup is chosen, but the town will not!"

So yes, the mafia does know the setup.

MexicanAlien posted:
Show nested quote +
On January 27 2016 07:23 _MexicanAlien wrote:
Yes why talk about blue roles? This could possibly give the scum information. This may or may not help them but we shouldn't unwittingly give them any more


To me, this post suggests that MexicanAlien was not aware of the fact that mafia knows the setup. If he was mafia, he would know that mafia knew the setup. I think, it's WIFOM because it could be a gambit to make himself seem town.

Regarding being casual:
Not necessarily scummy, especially early on day 1. But when I look through his filter he seems too content on just making casual conversation (for my taste), but it's only as strong as any day 1 read can be, which is a caveat that I don't feel the need to post with my every read. I was also hoping for him to defend himself.

Regarding the pattern:
I don't think he explained it. He talks about a bunch of stuff after #235, but I can't tell if the observations he makes are different/unrelated to the pattern he claims to have seen in #235.

After my initial post, I saw this:
On January 27 2016 23:26 Alur wrote:
One thing before I go afk.

I disagree with people townreading Kuragari, if you look at his filter (which is short, so this is easy to verify), notice how his posts are based on reading into if people have referenced their alignment. Which is not terrible in and of itself, but it was something that Tumblewood introduced originally.

It seems improbable, that a town player who reads up on the entire thread, ends up not really giving any meaningful original reads or opinions, and just piggybacks on Tumblewoods "allignment refence" tool.

On that note, I'll be back this evening.

which reaffirms Alur as town. He's the only one I see in this game making a concerted effort to find scum, besides my other two townreads. I'll be gone for about an hour, stay tuned for my explanation on Eden and darthfoley as town.
good times for all
Tumblewood
Profile Joined January 2016
United States3709 Posts
January 28 2016 00:10 GMT
#612
On January 28 2016 08:07 Trfel wrote:
EBWOP: Why is Eden1892 scum? I don't care about why I'm town.

Also, I really do think that Tumblewood is town, but I would really appreciate him answering my question, since I could be wrong.

I'm going to assume you meant this question:
On January 28 2016 06:26 Trfel wrote:
Tumblewood, can you share why you are scumreading Shapelog at this point, please? I don't believe you've mentioned this in a while, correct me if I'm wrong.

I'm scumreading Shapelog because he's acted exactly how I would expect a newbie mafia player to act. First, he made direct, offhand allusions to his alignment ("Unless your scum team kills me") that were worded in a way that is very unnatural for a comment like that.
More recently, he posted a comment that I found to be odd.
On January 27 2016 16:34 Shapelog wrote:
Like sure his above posts are good. But they are 2 posts. And one of them is about set up (which thank you btw Eden for taking the time to explain) I don't think that warrants a strong TR.
Idk you have played with Eden b/4. But to me it sounds like your trying to buddy/pocket him.

Shapelog is just throwing an accusation out (trying to buddy) without much support at all. You can have a town read with few posts, and saying someone's trying to buddy in that situation is really off-putting.
He also said many times that he wanted to filter dive certain people or that he wanted to revisit my case on him and never followed up.
On January 27 2016 17:04 Shapelog wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 27 2016 17:01 Eden1892 wrote:
Look right now even. He has nothing to say except to call people bad. He's in the thread while real, meaningful reads are being given, and he's pointedly not doing anything constructive. And we're supposed to believe this is tryhard town Onegu? Please.

Eh i let you guys duel. It is 3 am. I am done.
For shapelog in da future:
Catch up
Filter Drive:
Onegu
Deathfy
Kush
TW - I want to vist that scum case on me again.
Low active people.

It seems like he wants to act like he's suspicious of people without actually caring about the cases for or against them.

It's been a little separated / disorganized, but he's said a lot of scummy things that people are overlooking.
good times for all
Tumblewood
Profile Joined January 2016
United States3709 Posts
January 28 2016 00:39 GMT
#625
"Logically, Tumblewood cannot be scum. [...] I think that he is scum."
What
good times for all
Tumblewood
Profile Joined January 2016
United States3709 Posts
January 28 2016 03:51 GMT
#659
Okay, I'm back, and here's my explanation for my reads on Eden and darth.
Darthfoley:
I originally scumread him for reasons similar to Shapelog early on, but as the game progressed his play got stronger / more town-like, unlike Shapelog's. He seems very willing to consider the opposite perspective on things. (example) He's less focused on promoting an agenda and more on finding scum; I suppose I could say I find his reads more organic, and he's responding instead of leading. (exam ples)
Eden
His first real post felt very solidly townie to me. The reasoning is in-depth, and it seems like he started with the facts and drew from that conclusions (ex: "So we can either assume that Shapelog is a bad noob scum player, who also doesn't have anybody on his team to tell him that his early posting isn't doing anything to help, and who also doesn't have a scum coach telling him the same thing... or we can just assume that he is an eager townie, as his posts read." instead of "So we can assume that Shapelog is an eager townie."). He's also trying to work with his suspects instead of calling them scum right out. (example) Both of those feel very townie and not agenda-motivated.
good times for all
Tumblewood
Profile Joined January 2016
United States3709 Posts
January 28 2016 05:50 GMT
#674
@Ikidomari: That was not the reasoning behind my changes of opinion. I read too much into the early, early posts and found myself having to backtrack to have opinions that made sense later in the game.
I agree for the most part on your other reads, but I'm not quite following what you said on Trfel; it seems like you're saying he both jumped on and started the lynch bandwagon. Could you clarify?

##Vote JesusIncarnate unless I see something that convinces me he's town.
good times for all
Tumblewood
Profile Joined January 2016
United States3709 Posts
January 28 2016 06:19 GMT
#686
On January 28 2016 14:51 darthfoley wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 28 2016 03:23 Tumblewood wrote:
On January 28 2016 03:18 _MexicanAlien wrote:
Could everyone, please, in their next post, even if they have done it already, simply state your top three mafia suspects?

Only if you are willing. I just want motives to be clearer.

Top three suspects in order.
If you want to include reasoning feel free.

Thank you

1. Shapelog
2. Trfel
3. Onegu
I need to log off for now, see you all in a couple hours.


Tumble I'd like to know if these are still your scum reads? If they've changed, I want to know why. Also, you have both Trfel and Onegu in your scum pile. They've been pretty accusatory against each other; same question I posed to Aussie friend: do you believe they could be on the same team? If one flips scum, does it change your opinion on the other?

My reads on Onegu and Trfel haven't changed, but you can add JesusIncarnate and Ikidomari to that list. JesusIncarnate is scummy IMO for being inactive and unhelpful. Ikidomari... I would have probably townread, but Eden has scumreading powers I am not yet blessed with, and I can't help but agree with her.
On the subject of Onegu and Trfel, I think it would still make sense if they were scum together, but it's getting hard to picture Onegu as scum now (even without him saying anything) when there are four players I believe are acting scummier.
This is a weird game.
good times for all
Tumblewood
Profile Joined January 2016
United States3709 Posts
January 28 2016 15:18 GMT
#772
Just woke up... I have about ten minutes, maybe twenty to answer questions
good times for all
Tumblewood
Profile Joined January 2016
United States3709 Posts
January 28 2016 15:34 GMT
#777
On phone so I can't quote, but
Q: What don't you like about Onegu's big post?
A: It was a huge post that would appear to be helping, but most of it was just "I'd sheep kush on that" and "Bad newbie, bad," so it was a huge nothing post.
Q: You said Onegu was scummy but then said he wasn't.
A: He's just as scummy, but there are four people I see as scummier, so I would suspect Onegu less anyway.
Q: Why did you add JesusIncarnate and Ikidomari to your scum list when town did?
A: Because I am an easily convinced man. For real, Ikidomari had only just posted, and JesusIncarnate I'd half forgotten about and half expected to post. If he doesn't post before EOD I think he's the scummiest.
good times for all
Tumblewood
Profile Joined January 2016
United States3709 Posts
January 29 2016 05:10 GMT
#1097
Protip: Don't sign up for a mafia game that happens during finals week.
I'm finally back after voting this morning, here are my thoughts as I skim through the thread:
Why are we seeing kush post reads with zero explanation and then saying, "Yeah, that's townie right there, looks good." Are they just weather vane posts? My gut says townie (especially since the other posts are solid), but I'm a little confused by these reads, since they're just a list of people.
On January 29 2016 04:04 Shapelog wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 29 2016 03:59 Alur wrote:
While I read up on the Tumblewood case.

Why wouldn't you be happy with Ikidomari?

Me?
Because he had so many escape paths,
Practically had a "Poor me, I fucked up and i should die" attitude
And Gave up instead of really trying to explain reads or push his scum reads. (Though, as a newbie, he might overprotect himself because he is being scum read as town. I did it my first game, but i was blue)

Agree on all fronts, I don't know why we got so big on Ikidomari and then got cold feet so quickly. I'm seeing scum in the "I'm sorry can you please get me another chance" attitude, but also a lot of plain newbie.
Townread on MexicanAlien for sticking with the vote on me even as the Kuragari wagon picks up speed.
Strong townread on darthfoley for calling out people on their reads that don't make sense.
Why are Kura's scumreads all "slight" or "lean"?
Kura, stop, you're backing yourself into a corner with "I'm a null." You're practically begging to be lynched at this point.
"I'm actually starting to get cold feet..." Why? "Meh, maybe I'm not." Not sure if this is scummy or NAI. I'm thinking NAI, but that's still weirdly unreasoned.
Aaaand a mislynch. Not sure what to look for yet in VCA (am I using that right?) except that I'm not suspicious of the early voters (Alur, darth, kush... not that I was in the first place).
Trfel, what's with these reads without reasons?
On January 29 2016 07:00 nooniansoong wrote:
I like how jesus promised to do stuff and never did.

Seriously, where is Jesus this game. If he doesn't show up in the next eight hours, I don't think there's any way around lynching him. Someone can't just stay quiet, be unhelpful when they speak, and not be scummy for it. Unless we wait for a modkill?
+ Show Spoiler +
On January 29 2016 08:12 Alur wrote:
VCA is hard. How could you do yours so fast Darth.

If we assume mafia helped push the wagon, it would've happened at a point where it wasn't obvious that the lynch would go through, so were talking the first 4 ish votes. Which would be me, Darth, PMT and Trfel. Trfel coming in as the fourth looks pretty suspicious, considering I was leaning towards him being scum.

But then theres this, thing (this is how Trfel acts on the Kura vote)

Show nested quote +
On January 29 2016 03:06 Trfel wrote:
I mean, mechanically speaking:

The best play is to simply not talk about this any more and just not lynch Kuragari42.

The reason for this is that time will make this more clear than any amount of analysis, since in time more information about power roles is revealed. Further, talking about this more only gives mafia additional information.

Unless I'm misunderstanding the situation, which is also possible, I suppose.


Followed by:

Show nested quote +
On January 29 2016 03:15 Trfel wrote:
I guess I was misinterpreting the situation.

##unvote
##vote Kuragari42


There is no mafia motivation for saying the bolded part, but when you just "jk" it, it could appear like he's just trying to gain some sort of deniability, especially when combined with the "I think I'm getting cold feet".

But PMT and Darth (who could potentially be pocketing me) aren't clear of suspicion either. I just don't have much to hinge that suspicion on currently.

Also I'm not sure I understand Edens motivation for joining the wagon last minute. He didn't actually need to vote for it to happen. It seems like it could be a ploy to gain some towncred, because mafia don't need to touch the wagon anymore at that point. He also tried to discredit Kuragari's reads (who scumread him).

I think noon actually looks kind of spooky now, in the world where he has too much information his play makes a lot of sense. He was quick to disagree with it being a scumslip (which he was right on), he made a big point of forcing Kuragari to claim (which looks towny, but it's sort of an obvious move). All while his vote was parked on a player (albeit a reasonable lynchtarget) who is one of the biggest lynchbaits. Without really pushing that specific lynch.

I think I kind of like mexican for sticking with his lynch. He presented which players he would be able to lynch, and didn't back down on his reads to join the Kura bandwagon. This also coincides with the fact that he's a townread of mine.

Some of this might be tinfoily, but that's because there aren't any conclusions that are staring me in the face.

Strong townread for Alur on this. He's actively scumhunting, and his points are strong.
+ Show Spoiler +
On January 29 2016 08:41 darthfoley wrote:
Kuragari Wagon History

Alur #573 - 1st vote Kura

darthfoley #574 - 2nd vote Kura; reasoning explained

PMT #761 - 3rd vote Kura
-immediately unvote

PMT #762 - vote Onegu (Onegu only had 1 other vote at this time, from Shapelog I believe)

PMT #868 hops back on Kura train - still 3rd vote
- no explanation

Trfefl #869 - 4th Kura vote
-Previous post claims that Kura lynch is stupid
-Defending Ikido from wagon
-Switches off Tumblewood
-No reasoning given

VC AT TIME OF PMT/Trfel Votes

4 Kuragari (Alur, darthfoley, PMT, Trfel)
3 JesusIncarnate (Noon, Tumblewood, Ikidomari)
1 Tumblewood (MexicanAlien)
1 Ikidomari (Eden)

Not voted: Shapelog, Kuragari, Onegu, Jesus

Shapelog #871 - vote Ikido (now 4 Kura, 3 Jesus, 2 Ikido, 1 Tumblewood)

Shapelog #872 - unvote Ikido (4 Kura, 3 Jesus, 1 Tumble, 1 Ikido)

Shapelog #878 - vote Ikido, "going with gut" (4 Kura, 3 Jesus, 2 Ikido, 1 Tumblewood)

Shapelog #894 - vote Kura (5 Kura, 3 Jesus, 1 Ikido, 1 Tumblewood)
-Gut feeling = Ikido
-Later blames going with gut on Kura vote

Kuragari #935 - vote Tumblewood (5 Kura, 3 Jesus, 2 Tumblewood, 1 Ikido)

Eden #958 - vote Kura (6 Kura, 3 Jesus, 2 Tumblewood, 1 Ikido)


How many times did people vote?
Shapelog: 4 (PMT, Onegu, Ikido, Kura)
Eden: 4 (Onegu, Trfel, Ikido x2, Kura)
darthfoley: 3 (Tumblewood, Jesus, Kura)
Trfel: 3 (Onegu, Tumblewood, Kura)
PMT: 2 (Onegu, Kura)
Alur: 1 (Kuragari)

This VCA is not a masterpiece, but I think it clearly throws suspicion on two people specifically: Trfel and Shapelog.

Trfel #866:
Show nested quote +
The best play is to simply not talk about this any more and just not lynch Kuragari42.

The reason for this is that time will make this more clear than any amount of analysis, since in time more information about power roles is revealed. Further, talking about this more only gives mafia additional information.


Trfel #869:

Show nested quote +
I guess I was misinterpreting the situation.

##unvote
##vote Kuragari42


Notice that he votes literally the post after PMT comes back to the Kuragari wagon, making it 4-3 Kura > Jesus, without giving any explanation why.

Also don't like posts that start like this:

Show nested quote +
On January 28 2016 18:07 Trfel wrote:
I mean, I may be lousy at interacting with people, but believe it or not I do have some analysis ability, enough to talk about reads


Similarly, Shapelog has been on every wagon in existence: Onegu, Jesus, Ikido, and Kuragari. Gets his gut feeling mixed up (first says his gut is Ikido, later complains how his gut told him to vote Kura).

There is something off about this post. I would've been okay with it perhaps early D1, but this whole "i'm so torn thing!" comes off as fake to me, especially because he only cites other people's reasons... and hasn't made one good case all game.

Show nested quote +
God dammit I am so Torn right now. If only I could vote two people... I am half tempting to try to find a loophole to where i can vote both my top scum reads for todays lynch. But considering how i like the Shining (CoHost) and Prince Lonemeow (host) I will not.

I think I going to vote with my gut and ##Vote: Ikidomari Though IMO both him and Kuga are up for it. Also Jesus considering the points made against him.


To me, votes #4 and #5 are the votes that should be analyzed, because at 5-3 Kura > Jesus, no one was going to counter push Jesus. ESPECIALLY with Kuragari voting Tumblewood. Eden voting to make it 6-3 is NAI or maybe even slightly town, because that was the only wagon with momentum at that point. If he had hopped on and Kura had been mafia, it's a different story.

In conclusion, i'm scum reading both Shapelog and Trfel

I like this VCA. I agree on Shapelog and Trfel being scummy (not because of the wagoning, but it certainly puts them farther up my list), and this post voices it better than I can. Darth, Alur, and MexicanAlien are definitely on my town list right now.
I like MexicanAlien's read on Trfel, but he also had a similarly confident read on PepperMintTea, who is not a suspect of mine. I think my judgment is clouded by my perception of Trfel as scummy already, but his voting / reads / questions are really odd to me.
I am not going to trust kush's reads until there is a justification for them.
On January 29 2016 11:19 Trfel wrote:
Onegu is mafia because:
  • Lots of commenting, but the comments have no purpose
  • Most of his filter has no direction

You the first half of your filter is all random questions. I don't see much desire from you to advance the game, either. [you meaning Trfel]
On January 29 2016 11:52 Shapelog wrote:
Things to do tomorrow that i prob. won't end up doing:
Close read Tumble filter,
Look at Eden (like someone said we let him be lazy)
Investagte trofl scum
Post reasons why i think Ikido is mafia (or town if by a miracle he convinces me)

"Hey, guys, this is what I say, but I'm going to give myself a wide open backdoor of just saying I'm not going to do it."
My top townreads right now are Alur, darthfoley, and MexicanAlien. Kush and Eden as town leans.
My top scumreads right now are JesusIncarnate, Shapelog, and Trfel. Ikidomari and Onegu as scum leans.
I'm not sure on PepperMintTea. I'll be back after a filter dive.
good times for all
Tumblewood
Profile Joined January 2016
United States3709 Posts
January 29 2016 05:14 GMT
#1098
On January 28 2016 23:31 PepperMintTea wrote:
Decided I don't want to lynch ikodomari or trefl

Leaves me

Onegu, Tumblewood, JesusIncarnate or Kuragari


Onegu has really done nothing since Eden made his case, just confirmed what he was talking about with Shapelog and then replied weakly to my question. I'm not sure I could gather the votes to get this through

JesusIncarnate and Kuragari just haven't engaged the game at all.

Tumblewood has engaged a little bit but I he has questions outstanding he needs to answer


This is from a while ago, so only half-relevant now, but I don't see the reasoning for backing out of Onegu and Ikidomari. Would like an answer from PMT.

Not that I've been any better, but I can't say much about PMT's EOD behavior because there's not very much of it. Apologies for the eyesore that is my previous post.
good times for all
Tumblewood
Profile Joined January 2016
United States3709 Posts
January 30 2016 05:52 GMT
#1339
On January 30 2016 08:00 Shapelog wrote:
So if he knew/guess/predicted that darth was bread crumbing.......
Would he, as scum, not rb/nk darth? I mean maybe he got talked out of it but idk. it is weird that he saw it as a bread crumb in the first place, but it is even weirder that it turned out true AND darth has been unscaved.

idk tbh what to think about it

I didn't predict that darth was breadcrumbing, it was just my best explanation for a really off-putting post.
good times for all
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