EPTAlso means he will play Hyun first, which should be good for JD even though Hyun is 2-1 up in series.
WCS Predictor 2014 - Page 41
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Ovid
United Kingdom948 Posts
Also means he will play Hyun first, which should be good for JD even though Hyun is 2-1 up in series. | ||
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[PkF] Wire
France24192 Posts
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SNSeigifried
United States1640 Posts
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Die4Ever
United States17582 Posts
On October 05 2014 06:15 SNSeigifried wrote: No JD can play HyuN Bomber Polt or San and from what i see its prob gonna be bomber or polt since you need 1 of the 2 to make the finals so jd isn't out ~ 30.98 % chance to see Jaedong vs HyuN in the first round of the WCS Finals. ~ 20.15 % chance to see Jaedong vs Polt in the first round of the WCS Finals. ~ 11.87 % chance to see Jaedong vs Bomber in the first round of the WCS Finals. ~ 9.05 % chance to see Jaedong vs San in the first round of the WCS Finals. | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17582 Posts
Here's the current players with over 0% Blizzcon Chances.
Biggest Winners   INnoVation went up by ~ 48.16 %, going from ~ 51.84 % to ~ 100 %  Jaedong went up by ~ 3.27 %, going from ~ 68.79 % to ~ 72.05 %Biggest Losers ForGG went down by ~ 18.63 %, going from ~ 18.63 % to ~ 0 % Snute went down by ~ 13.55 %, going from ~ 13.55 % to ~ 0 % Bunny went down by ~ 10.22 %, going from ~ 10.22 % to ~ 0 % Golden went down by ~ 2.26 %, going from ~ 2.26 % to ~ 0 % Heart went down by ~ 2.22 %, going from ~ 2.22 % to ~ 0 % YoDa went down by ~ 2.01 %, going from ~ 2.01 % to ~ 0 %  Pigbaby went down by ~ 1.13 %, going from ~ 7.2 % to ~ 6.06 % HuK went down by ~ 1.04 %, going from ~ 1.04 % to ~ 0 % Scarlett went down by ~ 0.36 %, going from ~ 17.43 % to ~ 17.08 %WCS Point Cutoffs ~ 0 % of the time 3,175 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 72.05 % of the time 3,200 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon ~ 100 % of the time 3,225 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon Foreigner Hope Scarlett ~ 17.08 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 17.08 % chance overall. ~ 0 % chances for 2+ foreigners to qualify for Blizzcon! Likely Seeds StarDust has a ~ 100 % chance to get the #8 seed at Blizzcon. Life has a ~ 72.05 % chance to get the #14 seed at Blizzcon. INnoVation has a ~ 72.05 % chance to get the #15 seed at Blizzcon. Jaedong has a ~ 72.05 % chance to get the #16 seed at Blizzcon. Classic has a ~ 72.05 % chance to get the #13 seed at Blizzcon. + Show Spoiler [More] + TaeJa has a ~ 64.37 % chance to get the #7 seed at Blizzcon. Zest has a ~ 51.94 % chance to get the #3 seed at Blizzcon. HyuN has a ~ 51.04 % chance to get the #1 seed at Blizzcon. soO has a ~ 50.48 % chance to get the #10 seed at Blizzcon. jjakji has a ~ 50.04 % chance to get the #12 seed at Blizzcon. herO has a ~ 49.96 % chance to get the #12 seed at Blizzcon. MMA has a ~ 49.11 % chance to get the #9 seed at Blizzcon. MMA has a ~ 45.52 % chance to get the #10 seed at Blizzcon. herO has a ~ 44.6 % chance to get the #11 seed at Blizzcon. jjakji has a ~ 44.53 % chance to get the #11 seed at Blizzcon. soO has a ~ 44.01 % chance to get the #9 seed at Blizzcon. MC has a ~ 39.59 % chance to get the #5 seed at Blizzcon. MC has a ~ 38.85 % chance to get the #4 seed at Blizzcon. HyuN has a ~ 38.62 % chance to get the #2 seed at Blizzcon. Bomber has a ~ 35.63 % chance to get the #7 seed at Blizzcon. TaeJa has a ~ 35.63 % chance to get the #6 seed at Blizzcon. Zest has a ~ 32.73 % chance to get the #2 seed at Blizzcon. San has a ~ 31.73 % chance to get the #5 seed at Blizzcon. Life has a ~ 27.95 % chance to get the #15 seed at Blizzcon. INnoVation has a ~ 27.95 % chance to get the #16 seed at Blizzcon. Classic has a ~ 27.95 % chance to get the #14 seed at Blizzcon. Bomber has a ~ 27.94 % chance to get the #6 seed at Blizzcon. Polt has a ~ 23.27 % chance to get the #5 seed at Blizzcon. Polt has a ~ 20.13 % chance to get the #1 seed at Blizzcon. Polt has a ~ 19.57 % chance to get the #4 seed at Blizzcon. San has a ~ 17.42 % chance to get the #4 seed at Blizzcon. Scarlett has a ~ 17.08 % chance to get the #13 seed at Blizzcon. San has a ~ 16.95 % chance to get the #1 seed at Blizzcon. Polt has a ~ 15.7 % chance to get the #3 seed at Blizzcon. Zest has a ~ 15.33 % chance to get the #4 seed at Blizzcon. San has a ~ 14.97 % chance to get the #6 seed at Blizzcon. Bomber has a ~ 11.87 % chance to get the #1 seed at Blizzcon. San has a ~ 11.25 % chance to get the #2 seed at Blizzcon. MC has a ~ 11.22 % chance to get the #6 seed at Blizzcon. Polt has a ~ 11.08 % chance to get the #2 seed at Blizzcon. MC has a ~ 10.34 % chance to get the #3 seed at Blizzcon. HyuN has a ~ 10.33 % chance to get the #3 seed at Blizzcon. Polt has a ~ 10.24 % chance to get the #6 seed at Blizzcon. Bomber has a ~ 8.82 % chance to get the #4 seed at Blizzcon. San has a ~ 7.68 % chance to get the #3 seed at Blizzcon. Bomber has a ~ 6.32 % chance to get the #2 seed at Blizzcon. soO has a ~ 5.51 % chance to get the #11 seed at Blizzcon. herO has a ~ 5.44 % chance to get the #13 seed at Blizzcon. jjakji has a ~ 5.43 % chance to get the #13 seed at Blizzcon. Bomber has a ~ 5.42 % chance to get the #5 seed at Blizzcon. MMA has a ~ 5.36 % chance to get the #11 seed at Blizzcon. Pigbaby has a ~ 4.51 % chance to get the #9 seed at Blizzcon. Bomber has a ~ 4.01 % chance to get the #3 seed at Blizzcon. HerO has a ~ 2.44 % chance to get the #10 seed at Blizzcon. HerO has a ~ 2.37 % chance to get the #9 seed at Blizzcon. Pigbaby has a ~ 1.56 % chance to get the #10 seed at Blizzcon. Likely First Round Matches at WCS Finals ~ 58.21 % chance to see Life vs Zest in the first round of the WCS Finals. ~ 50.76 % chance to see HyuN vs INnoVation in the first round of the WCS Finals. ~ 49.11 % chance to see MMA vs StarDust in the first round of the WCS Finals. ~ 44.01 % chance to see soO vs StarDust in the first round of the WCS Finals. ~ 36.57 % chance to see TaeJa vs soO in the first round of the WCS Finals. + Show Spoiler [More] + ~ 34.29 % chance to see TaeJa vs MMA in the first round of the WCS Finals. ~ 32.9 % chance to see MC vs Classic in the first round of the WCS Finals. ~ 31.01 % chance to see HyuN vs Jaedong in the first round of the WCS Finals. ~ 28.11 % chance to see MC vs herO in the first round of the WCS Finals. ~ 28.1 % chance to see jjakji vs MC in the first round of the WCS Finals. ~ 27.48 % chance to see San vs herO in the first round of the WCS Finals. ~ 24.01 % chance to see Classic vs Zest in the first round of the WCS Finals. ~ 21.51 % chance to see jjakji vs San in the first round of the WCS Finals. ~ 21.37 % chance to see Polt vs jjakji in the first round of the WCS Finals. ~ 20.13 % chance to see Polt vs Jaedong in the first round of the WCS Finals. ~ 19.87 % chance to see Polt vs Classic in the first round of the WCS Finals. ~ 19.42 % chance to see Bomber vs soO in the first round of the WCS Finals. ~ 19.16 % chance to see INnoVation vs San in the first round of the WCS Finals. ~ 18.24 % chance to see Life vs HyuN in the first round of the WCS Finals. ~ 16.6 % chance to see Bomber vs MMA in the first round of the WCS Finals. ~ 16.34 % chance to see INnoVation vs Zest in the first round of the WCS Finals. ~ 16.33 % chance to see San vs Classic in the first round of the WCS Finals. ~ 15.32 % chance to see Polt vs herO in the first round of the WCS Finals. ~ 15.24 % chance to see Bomber vs herO in the first round of the WCS Finals. ~ 15.2 % chance to see Bomber vs jjakji in the first round of the WCS Finals. ~ 13.85 % chance to see TaeJa vs herO in the first round of the WCS Finals. ~ 13.82 % chance to see TaeJa vs jjakji in the first round of the WCS Finals. ~ 12.71 % chance to see Life vs Polt in the first round of the WCS Finals. ~ 11.87 % chance to see Bomber vs Jaedong in the first round of the WCS Finals. ~ 9.04 % chance to see San vs Jaedong in the first round of the WCS Finals. ~ 7.43 % chance to see Polt vs INnoVation in the first round of the WCS Finals. ~ 6.9 % chance to see Bomber vs Classic in the first round of the WCS Finals. ~ 6.65 % chance to see Scarlett vs MC in the first round of the WCS Finals. ~ 6.32 % chance to see Bomber vs INnoVation in the first round of the WCS Finals. ~ 4.51 % chance to see StarDust vs Pigbaby in the first round of the WCS Finals. ~ 4.25 % chance to see Life vs MC in the first round of the WCS Finals. ~ 3.74 % chance to see Life vs San in the first round of the WCS Finals. ~ 3.17 % chance to see Polt vs Scarlett in the first round of the WCS Finals. ~ 3.07 % chance to see Bomber vs Scarlett in the first round of the WCS Finals. ~ 2.85 % chance to see Life vs Bomber in the first round of the WCS Finals. ~ 2.74 % chance to see Scarlett vs San in the first round of the WCS Finals. ~ 2.37 % chance to see HerO vs StarDust in the first round of the WCS Finals. ~ 1.56 % chance to see Bomber vs Pigbaby in the first round of the WCS Finals. ~ 1.48 % chance to see TaeJa vs HerO in the first round of the WCS Finals. ~ 1.44 % chance to see Scarlett vs Zest in the first round of the WCS Finals. ~ 0.96 % chance to see HerO vs Bomber in the first round of the WCS Finals. WCS AM Winning Gains HerO would gain ~ 95.19 % if they win, with a ~ 4.81 % chance to win, going from ~ 4.81 % to ~ 100 % Pigbaby would gain ~ 93.94 % if they win, with a ~ 6.06 % chance to win, going from ~ 6.06 % to ~ 100 % Scarlett would gain ~ 82.94 % if they win, with a ~ 17.06 % chance to win, going from ~ 17.06 % to ~ 100 %These 3 players must win and will not make it with a 2nd place or lower. Any of these 3 players winning would knock Jaedong out. Innovation is secured. Remember to check the website for much more frequent updates! http://sc2.4ever.tv ----------------------- | ||
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OdinnTV
Canada14 Posts
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intotheheart
Canada33091 Posts
On October 05 2014 06:25 OdinnTV wrote: Jaedong's odds are pretty good, at this point. Polt/Bomber/HyuN are all still in the Ro8, and respectively probably the three favourites to take S3 champion. I wanna see Polt win. :D | ||
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Boucot
France15997 Posts
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intotheheart
Canada33091 Posts
On October 05 2014 06:32 Boucot wrote: As much as Jaedong's year has been pretty bad and he probably doesn't "deserve" to be at BlizzCon, a fourth Zerg wouldn't be the worst thing to happen. I agree. 2014 has not been the year of the Dong. | ||
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[PkF] Wire
France24192 Posts
On October 05 2014 06:32 Boucot wrote: As much as Jaedong's year has been pretty bad and he probably doesn't "deserve" to be at BlizzCon, a fourth Zerg wouldn't be the worst thing to happen. I agree. A 6-6-4 distribution would be extremely good given how bad the year began. So let's hope Pigbaby and HerO can't win WCS AM ^^ | ||
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Silvana
3713 Posts
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intotheheart
Canada33091 Posts
On October 05 2014 06:47 Silvana wrote: Pigbaby needs to win WCS pls I don't want to see Zest vs Inno on the first round! They need to meet in the finals (is that even possible bracket-like?) I don't think so, if we're assuming that it's 1 v 16, 2 v 15 ... because then Innovation would have to be in the top 8, and there aren't enough WCS points for that to actually happen. | ||
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movac
Canada494 Posts
On October 05 2014 06:47 Silvana wrote: Pigbaby needs to win WCS pls I don't want to see Zest vs Inno on the first round! They need to meet in the finals (is that even possible bracket-like?) I'd rather see Scarlett win WCS AM. But to do that she'll need to beat heart whom she admits that she's not favoured against. I would be a great story to have a foreigner come through at the last moment. Let's hope her old ZvT skills comes back to give her a chance against Heart, and like you said it would prevent Zest from matching up against Innovation in the ro16 | ||
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IndoKoreanMuslim
United States100 Posts
On October 05 2014 06:51 IntoTheheart wrote: I don't think so, if we're assuming that it's 1 v 16, 2 v 15 ... because then Innovation would have to be in the top 8, and there aren't enough WCS points for that to actually happen. If Pigbaby does win, it moves INno into 16th and hopefully Zest stays at second. Then they will be on opposite sides of the bracket for sure, making it a possibility. | ||
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intotheheart
Canada33091 Posts
On October 05 2014 06:52 movac wrote: I'd rather see Scarlett win WCS AM. But to do that she'll need to beat heart whom she admits that she's not favoured against. I would be a great story to have a foreigner come through at the last moment. Let's hope her old ZvT skills comes back to give her a chance against Heart. Sadly, she'd then have to beat her way through the rest of the bracket. Just beating Heart doesn't make you a champion. For testimony, ask Bomber.  | ||
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movac
Canada494 Posts
On October 05 2014 06:54 IntoTheheart wrote: Sadly, she'd then have to beat her way through the rest of the bracket. Just beating Heart doesn't make you a champion. For testimony, ask Bomber. well if she brushes up her ZvT, and then can beat both Heart and Hyun, and then on the other side of the bracket it's either Bomber or Polt that comes up, it's possible since she's beaten the both of them in the past. | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17582 Posts
On October 05 2014 06:54 IndoKoreanMuslim wrote: If Pigbaby does win, it moves INno into 16th and hopefully Zest stays at second. Then they will be on opposite sides of the bracket for sure, making it a possibility. Innovation's possible first round matches ~ 50.76 % chance to see INnoVation vs HyuN in the first round of the WCS Finals. ~ 19.16 % chance to see INnoVation vs San in the first round of the WCS Finals. ~ 16.34 % chance to see INnoVation vs Zest in the first round of the WCS Finals. ~ 7.42 % chance to see INnoVation vs Polt in the first round of the WCS Finals. ~ 6.32 % chance to see INnoVation vs Bomber in the first round of the WCS Finals. from here http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=player&player_id=48 | ||
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Koerage
Netherlands1220 Posts
On October 05 2014 06:54 IndoKoreanMuslim wrote: If Pigbaby does win, it moves INno into 16th and hopefully Zest stays at second. Then they will be on opposite sides of the bracket for sure, making it a possibility. if polt or bomber wins Zest falls to 3rd; probably means a semifinals Zest-Inno is possible. Not sure if both can overtake Zest as i didnt check brackets and stuff, but assuming they can Zest goes down to 4th which should setup for a finals Zest-Inno (assuming here that semi's is 1vs4 2vs3) edit: Zest has ~52% chance to get the nr3 seed and 33% for 2nd, the remainder is 4th. Inno can only get 15th or 16th so unless Zest is 2nd AND inno is 15th (which means JD got 16th) they shall not meet untill semi's/final. Probably can work out when Zest isn't the 2nd seed but i'm tired so i'd probably make mistakes | ||
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Torrefy
41 Posts
Qualified: MC Polt Taeja Bomber MMA INnoVation Might Qualify: Jaedong HerO Didn't Qualify: Mvp aLive Maru Naniwa duckdeok Dear Soulkey sOs | ||
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pure.Wasted
Canada4701 Posts
On October 05 2014 08:11 Torrefy wrote: It's kind of interesting to look at the list of players from last year's blizzcon who either did or didn't qualify again this year. Qualified: MC Polt Taeja Bomber MMA INnoVation Might Qualify: Jaedong HerO Didn't Qualify: Mvp aLive Maru Naniwa duckdeok Dear Soulkey sOs Lots of the same Terrans are back, while Protoss and Zerg are rotating a lot more. Also, the KR heavy hitters (Maru, Dear, Soulkey, sOs) who all have a legit chance of winning got screwed by WCS. The only returning KR player is Inno, and that's by the skin of his teeth (4-2 in the last possible final of the year). MC, Polt, Taeja, Bomber, and MMA are all NA/EU WCS farmers. | ||
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