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WCS Predictor 2014 - Page 42

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intotheheart
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Canada33091 Posts
October 04 2014 23:26 GMT
#821
Didn't Qualify:
Mvp -- arguably worst year in career
aLive -- fell flat this year
Maru -- one good run in GSL, two not-so-great ones
Naniwa -- retired
duckdeok -- retired
Dear -- no excuse, just bad year
Soulkey -- is on break/"retired?"
sOs -- not too familiar with him

It makes sense that these guys didn't make it back. Would've taken a miracle for any of them to win it this year, given their current forms.
kiss kiss fall in love
pure.Wasted
Profile Blog Joined December 2008
Canada4701 Posts
October 04 2014 23:30 GMT
#822
On October 05 2014 08:26 IntoTheheart wrote:
Didn't Qualify:
Mvp -- arguably worst year in career
aLive -- fell flat this year
Maru -- one good run in GSL, two not-so-great ones
Naniwa -- retired
duckdeok -- retired
Dear -- no excuse, just bad year
Soulkey -- is on break/"retired?"
sOs -- not too familiar with him

It makes sense that these guys didn't make it back. Would've taken a miracle for any of them to win it this year, given their current forms.


"They didn't make it back because they didn't win enough games to earn the required WCS points."

That's kind of a given, don't you think?
INna Maru-da-FanTa, Bbaby, TY Dream that I'm Flashing you
intotheheart
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Canada33091 Posts
October 04 2014 23:35 GMT
#823
On October 05 2014 08:30 pure.Wasted wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 05 2014 08:26 IntoTheheart wrote:
Didn't Qualify:
Mvp -- arguably worst year in career
aLive -- fell flat this year
Maru -- one good run in GSL, two not-so-great ones
Naniwa -- retired
duckdeok -- retired
Dear -- no excuse, just bad year
Soulkey -- is on break/"retired?"
sOs -- not too familiar with him

It makes sense that these guys didn't make it back. Would've taken a miracle for any of them to win it this year, given their current forms.


"They didn't make it back because they didn't win enough games to earn the required WCS points."

That's kind of a given, don't you think?


It is a given. But I feel like some of these guys just... collapsed in 2014.
kiss kiss fall in love
Xoronius
Profile Joined July 2011
Germany6362 Posts
October 04 2014 23:59 GMT
#824
Well, sOs isn't too far away, he is on rank 18 and only 350 points short of qualification.

Wouldn't Bomber technically count as a "KR heavy hitter" returning, since he made it from WCS Korea last year?
pure.Wasted
Profile Blog Joined December 2008
Canada4701 Posts
October 05 2014 00:04 GMT
#825
On October 05 2014 08:59 Xoronius wrote:
Well, sOs isn't too far away, he is on rank 18 and only 350 points short of qualification.

Wouldn't Bomber technically count as a "KR heavy hitter" returning, since he made it from WCS Korea last year?


Depends on the point of the categorization. If its just to see which established, KR-proven players are still doing well, yes. If (as I was thinking when I excluded him) its to demonstrate just how cutthroat KR is in practice, then no, since his triumph this year is outside of KR.

I should have been clearer with what I was getting at.
INna Maru-da-FanTa, Bbaby, TY Dream that I'm Flashing you
argonautdice
Profile Joined January 2013
Canada2722 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-10-05 00:08:40
October 05 2014 00:07 GMT
#826
On October 05 2014 08:19 pure.Wasted wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 05 2014 08:11 Torrefy wrote:
It's kind of interesting to look at the list of players from last year's blizzcon who either did or didn't qualify again this year.

Qualified:
MC
Polt
Taeja
Bomber
MMA
INnoVation

Might Qualify:
Jaedong
HerO

Didn't Qualify:
Mvp
aLive
Maru
Naniwa
duckdeok
Dear
Soulkey
sOs


Lots of the same Terrans are back, while Protoss and Zerg are rotating a lot more. Also, the KR heavy hitters (Maru, Dear, Soulkey, sOs) who all have a legit chance of winning got screwed by WCS. The only returning KR player is Inno, and that's by the skin of his teeth (4-2 in the last possible final of the year). MC, Polt, Taeja, Bomber, and MMA are all NA/EU WCS farmers.

Dear didn't do well at all this WCS and that has nothing to do with the changes made this year. He didn't make Ro8 in any of the GSLs so the lack of season finals wouldn't have screwed him, and the only notable results this year was getting second at ASUS, which would not have been enough anyway.

Soulkey's performance was also pretty bad this year. Again, I don't see how it has to do with WCS. I mean he made Ro8 once, which may have led to him doing well in the season final if it had existed, but he would have to win that season final in order to qualify and that's a pretty slim chance.

sOs is in a similar situation with Soulkey, but he's much closer due to him winning the IEM championship. Personally I think he could've made Blizzcon but he really screwed up during the end because he only needed 375 points to guarantee a Blizzcon spot and he had quite a few chances: GSL Season 3 semi, IEM Toronto semi, Red Bull semi, and KeSPA Cup 1 game away from that spot (or a lower placement combination of those).

On the other hand, Maru, Solar, Rain, ForGG, Golden, Welmu, Vortix, Heart, and Alicia got pretty screwed by the new WCS system because they all made Ro8 or above at least twice and could have had the chance to prove themselves in the season finals and earn enough points for Blizzcon, but I guess we would only regret that Maru and Rain didn't make it.
very illegal and very uncool
Yakikorosu
Profile Joined March 2013
1203 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-10-05 01:12:14
October 05 2014 01:10 GMT
#827
Pretty amazing that Jaedong may very well make it in given how bad a year he's had. I'm kind of shocked he managed to scrape so many WCS points together--looking at the breakdown it's from that one win he had at Lone Star Clash and four top-4 finishes at IEMs/Dreamhacks. He kind of managed to amass points the way MC used to before his recent resurgence: by playing in every single tournament and doing at least pretty good in most of them.

The only players I'm sad didn't make it are sOs and Maru. sOs has so much personality in his play and Maru is definitely the best Terran in the world--too bad he had to play most of the year with Terran weakest race (no coincidence that all the Terrans in Blizzcon either play mostly outside of Korea or got in on the basis of their S3 post-Terran buff performance. Also he should have attended at least a FEW foreign tournaments... sOs's PvP really let him down at the end of the year, losing after being up 2-0 on Zest in KeSPA Cup, getting killed by Trap twice at Red Bull, etc.
Yakikorosu
Profile Joined March 2013
1203 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-10-05 01:17:50
October 05 2014 01:14 GMT
#828
On October 05 2014 08:26 IntoTheheart wrote:
Didn't Qualify:
Mvp -- arguably worst year in career


I don't think it's "arguable" at all--this is definitely the worst year of Mvp's career. He did better in the few months of 2010 than this year. Honestly, you can never count out a resurgence but with IM going away and him forced to play in GSL again next year I'm basically thinking of him as retired.

On October 05 2014 08:26 IntoTheheart wrote:
Dear -- no excuse, just bad year


Not much doubt what happened here: his "join a foreign team" expedition was an even bigger failure than Innovation's was. They were in the top 5 best players in the world in 2013 and went straight downhill this year (obviously Inno did make that great comeback right at the end). Given that (and the relatively little success others like YoDa and First have had), I'm a little surprised at the recent rush of KeSPA players wanting to join foreign teams. Not everyone can be MC or Bomber or TaeJa.
intotheheart
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Canada33091 Posts
October 05 2014 01:20 GMT
#829
On October 05 2014 10:14 Yakikorosu wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 05 2014 08:26 IntoTheheart wrote:
Didn't Qualify:
Mvp -- arguably worst year in career


I don't think it's "arguable" at all--this is definitely the worst year of Mvp's career. He did better in the few months of 2010 than this year. Honestly, you can never count out a resurgence but with IM going away and him forced to play in GSL again next year I'm basically thinking of him as retired.

Show nested quote +
On October 05 2014 08:26 IntoTheheart wrote:
Dear -- no excuse, just bad year


Not much doubt what happened here: his "join a foreign team" expedition was an even bigger failure than Innovation's was. They were in the top 5 best players in the world in 2013 and went straight downhill this year (obviously Inno did make that great comeback right at the end). Given that (and the relatively little success others like YoDa and First have had), I'm a little surprised at the recent rush of KeSPA players wanting to join foreign teams. Not everyone can be MC or Bomber or TaeJa.


Yeah... a solid chunk of SKT just decided to go on that expedition as well. Especially Rain, who I thought had amazing potential as an absolute monster in Korea. I'm scared for SKT next season.

I think that only a few players really had strong success after they left Korea. If you look at Dear, he's a guy who was incredible in 2013 and just dropped off completely. He joined Samsung KHAN, a 5th-place SPL team and the only original KeSPA team that wasn't in the playoffs. Not to sound like I dislike KHAN, (far from it) but they aren't the sort of team that an ex-Korean player would be excited to play in, especially one with as much starpower as Dear.
kiss kiss fall in love
LimeNade
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
United States2125 Posts
October 05 2014 01:45 GMT
#830
wow just 25 points can lose jaedong a chance at blizzcon crazy!
JD, need I say more? :D
LimeNade
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
United States2125 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-10-05 01:46:06
October 05 2014 01:45 GMT
#831
edit: dunno why but my post double posted
JD, need I say more? :D
intotheheart
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Canada33091 Posts
October 05 2014 01:49 GMT
#832
On October 05 2014 10:45 LimeNade wrote:
edit: dunno why but my post double posted

Lag. It happens.

To your actual response:

yeah, all or nothing. :O
kiss kiss fall in love
Scarlett`
Profile Joined April 2011
Korea (South)2446 Posts
October 05 2014 02:24 GMT
#833
On October 05 2014 06:31 IntoTheheart wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 05 2014 06:25 OdinnTV wrote:
Jaedong's odds are pretty good, at this point. Polt/Bomber/HyuN are all still in the Ro8, and respectively probably the three favourites to take S3 champion.

I wanna see Polt win. :D

traitor !
Progamer一条咸鱼
The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52798 Posts
October 05 2014 02:25 GMT
#834
On October 05 2014 11:24 Acer.Scarlett` wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 05 2014 06:31 IntoTheheart wrote:
On October 05 2014 06:25 OdinnTV wrote:
Jaedong's odds are pretty good, at this point. Polt/Bomber/HyuN are all still in the Ro8, and respectively probably the three favourites to take S3 champion.

I wanna see Polt win. :D

traitor !

I wouldn't worry about it, I'm sure there are still plenty of people that want you to win.
ModeratorI am still alive, somehow
TL+ Member
intotheheart
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Canada33091 Posts
October 05 2014 02:26 GMT
#835
On October 05 2014 11:24 Acer.Scarlett` wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 05 2014 06:31 IntoTheheart wrote:
On October 05 2014 06:25 OdinnTV wrote:
Jaedong's odds are pretty good, at this point. Polt/Bomber/HyuN are all still in the Ro8, and respectively probably the three favourites to take S3 champion.

I wanna see Polt win. :D

traitor !

I'm amazed that you bothered posting a reply at all.
kiss kiss fall in love
SetGuitarsToKill
Profile Blog Joined December 2013
Canada28396 Posts
October 05 2014 02:36 GMT
#836
On October 05 2014 11:25 The_Templar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 05 2014 11:24 Acer.Scarlett` wrote:
On October 05 2014 06:31 IntoTheheart wrote:
On October 05 2014 06:25 OdinnTV wrote:
Jaedong's odds are pretty good, at this point. Polt/Bomber/HyuN are all still in the Ro8, and respectively probably the three favourites to take S3 champion.

I wanna see Polt win. :D

traitor !

I wouldn't worry about it, I'm sure there are still plenty of people that want you to win.

Well she is the foreign hope now. That is gonna be a lot of disappointed people come next round.
Community News"As long as you have a warp prism you can't be bad at harassment" - Maru | @SetGuitars2Kill
orvinreyes
Profile Joined June 2007
577 Posts
October 05 2014 03:02 GMT
#837
On October 05 2014 10:20 IntoTheheart wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 05 2014 10:14 Yakikorosu wrote:
On October 05 2014 08:26 IntoTheheart wrote:
Didn't Qualify:
Mvp -- arguably worst year in career


I don't think it's "arguable" at all--this is definitely the worst year of Mvp's career. He did better in the few months of 2010 than this year. Honestly, you can never count out a resurgence but with IM going away and him forced to play in GSL again next year I'm basically thinking of him as retired.

On October 05 2014 08:26 IntoTheheart wrote:
Dear -- no excuse, just bad year


Not much doubt what happened here: his "join a foreign team" expedition was an even bigger failure than Innovation's was. They were in the top 5 best players in the world in 2013 and went straight downhill this year (obviously Inno did make that great comeback right at the end). Given that (and the relatively little success others like YoDa and First have had), I'm a little surprised at the recent rush of KeSPA players wanting to join foreign teams. Not everyone can be MC or Bomber or TaeJa.


Yeah... a solid chunk of SKT just decided to go on that expedition as well. Especially Rain, who I thought had amazing potential as an absolute monster in Korea. I'm scared for SKT next season.

I think that only a few players really had strong success after they left Korea. If you look at Dear, he's a guy who was incredible in 2013 and just dropped off completely. He joined Samsung KHAN, a 5th-place SPL team and the only original KeSPA team that wasn't in the playoffs. Not to sound like I dislike KHAN, (far from it) but they aren't the sort of team that an ex-Korean player would be excited to play in, especially one with as much starpower as Dear.


Errr... Samsung is one of the most tenured teams alongside SKT, KT, and CJ, simply because it is backed by a stable conglomerate (electronics, telecoms, and industral). It's actually a desirable team for anyone concerned about their career as a pro gamer.
http://youtu.be/LfmrHTdXgK4
intotheheart
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Canada33091 Posts
October 05 2014 03:10 GMT
#838
On October 05 2014 12:02 orvinreyes wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 05 2014 10:20 IntoTheheart wrote:
On October 05 2014 10:14 Yakikorosu wrote:
On October 05 2014 08:26 IntoTheheart wrote:
Didn't Qualify:
Mvp -- arguably worst year in career


I don't think it's "arguable" at all--this is definitely the worst year of Mvp's career. He did better in the few months of 2010 than this year. Honestly, you can never count out a resurgence but with IM going away and him forced to play in GSL again next year I'm basically thinking of him as retired.

On October 05 2014 08:26 IntoTheheart wrote:
Dear -- no excuse, just bad year


Not much doubt what happened here: his "join a foreign team" expedition was an even bigger failure than Innovation's was. They were in the top 5 best players in the world in 2013 and went straight downhill this year (obviously Inno did make that great comeback right at the end). Given that (and the relatively little success others like YoDa and First have had), I'm a little surprised at the recent rush of KeSPA players wanting to join foreign teams. Not everyone can be MC or Bomber or TaeJa.


Yeah... a solid chunk of SKT just decided to go on that expedition as well. Especially Rain, who I thought had amazing potential as an absolute monster in Korea. I'm scared for SKT next season.

I think that only a few players really had strong success after they left Korea. If you look at Dear, he's a guy who was incredible in 2013 and just dropped off completely. He joined Samsung KHAN, a 5th-place SPL team and the only original KeSPA team that wasn't in the playoffs. Not to sound like I dislike KHAN, (far from it) but they aren't the sort of team that an ex-Korean player would be excited to play in, especially one with as much starpower as Dear.


Errr... Samsung is one of the most tenured teams alongside SKT, KT, and CJ, simply because it is backed by a stable conglomerate (electronics, telecoms, and industral). It's actually a desirable team for anyone concerned about their career as a pro gamer.

Wouldn't their historically lackluster performance in SPL put a bit of a damper, or do you think that it's not a factor given the stability? Because I would agree that Samsung has always been a stable team and isn't worrying about sponsors disappearing, unlike some foreign teams.
kiss kiss fall in love
digmouse
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
China6333 Posts
October 05 2014 05:13 GMT
#839
On October 05 2014 12:10 IntoTheheart wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 05 2014 12:02 orvinreyes wrote:
On October 05 2014 10:20 IntoTheheart wrote:
On October 05 2014 10:14 Yakikorosu wrote:
On October 05 2014 08:26 IntoTheheart wrote:
Didn't Qualify:
Mvp -- arguably worst year in career


I don't think it's "arguable" at all--this is definitely the worst year of Mvp's career. He did better in the few months of 2010 than this year. Honestly, you can never count out a resurgence but with IM going away and him forced to play in GSL again next year I'm basically thinking of him as retired.

On October 05 2014 08:26 IntoTheheart wrote:
Dear -- no excuse, just bad year


Not much doubt what happened here: his "join a foreign team" expedition was an even bigger failure than Innovation's was. They were in the top 5 best players in the world in 2013 and went straight downhill this year (obviously Inno did make that great comeback right at the end). Given that (and the relatively little success others like YoDa and First have had), I'm a little surprised at the recent rush of KeSPA players wanting to join foreign teams. Not everyone can be MC or Bomber or TaeJa.


Yeah... a solid chunk of SKT just decided to go on that expedition as well. Especially Rain, who I thought had amazing potential as an absolute monster in Korea. I'm scared for SKT next season.

I think that only a few players really had strong success after they left Korea. If you look at Dear, he's a guy who was incredible in 2013 and just dropped off completely. He joined Samsung KHAN, a 5th-place SPL team and the only original KeSPA team that wasn't in the playoffs. Not to sound like I dislike KHAN, (far from it) but they aren't the sort of team that an ex-Korean player would be excited to play in, especially one with as much starpower as Dear.


Errr... Samsung is one of the most tenured teams alongside SKT, KT, and CJ, simply because it is backed by a stable conglomerate (electronics, telecoms, and industral). It's actually a desirable team for anyone concerned about their career as a pro gamer.

Wouldn't their historically lackluster performance in SPL put a bit of a damper, or do you think that it's not a factor given the stability? Because I would agree that Samsung has always been a stable team and isn't worrying about sponsors disappearing, unlike some foreign teams.

From a career perspective, longevity is way more important, think about why Stork denied free transfer twice.
TranslatorIf you want to ask anything about Chinese esports, send me a PM or follow me @nerddigmouse.
Yakikorosu
Profile Joined March 2013
1203 Posts
October 05 2014 05:52 GMT
#840
On October 05 2014 12:10 IntoTheheart wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 05 2014 12:02 orvinreyes wrote:
On October 05 2014 10:20 IntoTheheart wrote:
On October 05 2014 10:14 Yakikorosu wrote:
On October 05 2014 08:26 IntoTheheart wrote:
Didn't Qualify:
Mvp -- arguably worst year in career


I don't think it's "arguable" at all--this is definitely the worst year of Mvp's career. He did better in the few months of 2010 than this year. Honestly, you can never count out a resurgence but with IM going away and him forced to play in GSL again next year I'm basically thinking of him as retired.

On October 05 2014 08:26 IntoTheheart wrote:
Dear -- no excuse, just bad year


Not much doubt what happened here: his "join a foreign team" expedition was an even bigger failure than Innovation's was. They were in the top 5 best players in the world in 2013 and went straight downhill this year (obviously Inno did make that great comeback right at the end). Given that (and the relatively little success others like YoDa and First have had), I'm a little surprised at the recent rush of KeSPA players wanting to join foreign teams. Not everyone can be MC or Bomber or TaeJa.


Yeah... a solid chunk of SKT just decided to go on that expedition as well. Especially Rain, who I thought had amazing potential as an absolute monster in Korea. I'm scared for SKT next season.

I think that only a few players really had strong success after they left Korea. If you look at Dear, he's a guy who was incredible in 2013 and just dropped off completely. He joined Samsung KHAN, a 5th-place SPL team and the only original KeSPA team that wasn't in the playoffs. Not to sound like I dislike KHAN, (far from it) but they aren't the sort of team that an ex-Korean player would be excited to play in, especially one with as much starpower as Dear.


Errr... Samsung is one of the most tenured teams alongside SKT, KT, and CJ, simply because it is backed by a stable conglomerate (electronics, telecoms, and industral). It's actually a desirable team for anyone concerned about their career as a pro gamer.

Wouldn't their historically lackluster performance in SPL put a bit of a damper, or do you think that it's not a factor given the stability? Because I would agree that Samsung has always been a stable team and isn't worrying about sponsors disappearing, unlike some foreign teams.


Also from what I've heard, the Samsung team house is known for having the best food of all the team houses.
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