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StarCraft 2 Balance - Premier Cupresults in 2012 - Page 8

Forum Index > SC2 General
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iEchoic
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States1776 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-12-19 18:21:43
December 19 2012 18:19 GMT
#141
If the point of this thread is not to say that the game is balanced, but instead to say that balance isn't as bad as people make it seem, then I don't think that's any more valid. Terran has completely fallen off the face of the earth over the last several months. It's commonplace to see team lineups, tournament finals, etc. composed entirely of Zerg and Protoss players. Terran players have pretty much stopped winning major events, and there's no indication that this will change, in fact, it seems to be getting worse. The top winrates in the GSL (and most events) are essentially all Zerg players.

On the contrary, I'd actually say balance is much worse than people make it seem. I haven't seen the game this imbalanced since release. I also haven't seen the community this angry and disinterested since release. The constant ZvZs, PvPs, and PvZs are wearing people down. Pro players are screaming IMBA IMBA IMBA IMBA IMBA in televised games.

Burying your head in the sand won't fix this.
vileEchoic -- clanvile.com
Natalya
Profile Joined December 2011
Belgium287 Posts
December 19 2012 18:21 GMT
#142
On December 19 2012 16:50 UniversalSnip wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 19 2012 16:42 opterown wrote:
as i mentioned over there too, premier tournament wins are not exactly the best way to determine balance.


maybe I'm searching this wrong but you don't appear to have any posts in the lings of liberty thread? ( http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/search.php?q=lings&t=ct&f=-1&u=opterown&gb=date&d= )



In case you guys didnt know, Ver didnt actually meant what he wrote here. It's halfway between a satire and a troll. (Source : Monk, who helped Ver wrote this thread)
JKM
Profile Joined November 2011
Denmark419 Posts
December 19 2012 19:23 GMT
#143
Someone who's really in to statistics should find parameters/method to weigh to properly measure balance instead of this useless bullshit.

poor statistics makes for a poor conclusions (however vague it may be).
1338, one upping 1337
PaperPrinter
Profile Joined December 2012
33 Posts
December 19 2012 19:47 GMT
#144
TvZ is sitting at around a 40% win rate for T, that seems terrible enough to justify an outcry and hell, I'm surprised there isn't even more bitching than there currently is.
crbox
Profile Joined August 2010
Canada1181 Posts
December 19 2012 19:52 GMT
#145
On December 20 2012 04:23 JKM wrote:
Someone who's really in to statistics should find parameters/method to weigh to properly measure balance instead of this useless bullshit.

poor statistics makes for a poor conclusions (however vague it may be).


Khaldor (like stated a few times in the comments) is NOT trying to say that means the game is balanced.
He rather means that every race can win tournaments, and so far the winning have been fairly equal.
Does that mean the game is balance? Not necessary but it means it's not as bad as many people try to make it look like.
iEchoic
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States1776 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-12-19 20:01:41
December 19 2012 19:55 GMT
#146
On December 20 2012 04:52 crbox wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 20 2012 04:23 JKM wrote:
Someone who's really in to statistics should find parameters/method to weigh to properly measure balance instead of this useless bullshit.

poor statistics makes for a poor conclusions (however vague it may be).


Khaldor (like stated a few times in the comments) is NOT trying to say that means the game is balanced.
He rather means that every race can win tournaments, and so far the winning have been fairly equal.
Does that mean the game is balance? Not necessary but it means it's not as bad as many people try to make it look like.


And the Cleveland Cavaliers have made the playoffs 80% of the time in the last 5 years. They're not as bad as people make them out to be.

As demonstrated above, when you take an aggregate statistic over a period of changes, it gives you no information about the current state. Nobody is arguing that the game is imbalanced in aggregate over the last year, they're arguing that it's imbalanced now. The argument Khaldor is making makes little sense.

P.S. I love your casting Khaldor, no disrespect intended.
vileEchoic -- clanvile.com
HwangjaeTerran
Profile Blog Joined October 2009
Finland5967 Posts
December 19 2012 20:03 GMT
#147
Tournament results should not even be mentioned in the same sentence with game balance.
https://steamcommunity.com/id/*tlusernamehere*/
Daumen
Profile Joined July 2011
Germany1073 Posts
December 19 2012 20:21 GMT
#148
On December 19 2012 17:03 Rowrin wrote:
You can spin statistics to say anything, you really have to dive into how the statistics were taken before you make assumptions, kinda like what opterown said.


Thats true, but every statistics has to say something. The Graphs on the Lings of Liberty thread for example say very strongly that Korean Terrans do something better than Foreign Terrans, also it says that Foreigner Zerg & Protoss had more success against Korean Terrans than Foreign Terrans, and/or it said that out of the 3 races in Korea, Terran lost the most against Foreign Zerg & Protoss. It was designed to show this in a probably Biased way but if those graphs are true and not falsified it does raise some questions.
President of the ReaL Fan Club.
nottapro
Profile Joined August 2012
202 Posts
December 19 2012 20:27 GMT
#149
Blizzard had 3 balance updates in 2012. The statistics reflect a constantly altered game state.
tskarzyn
Profile Joined July 2010
United States516 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-12-19 20:29:52
December 19 2012 20:29 GMT
#150
At what point do tournament results cease to matter? Extreme example, but say that MVP is responsible for 8 out of 8 terran tournament wins but the zerg and toss wins are spread across many players. If only a small pct of one race are successful (no foreigners and handful of koreans) while several foreigners and a number of koreans are winning with other races, I would think that should affect how you interpret said tournament results...
Laryleprakon
Profile Joined May 2011
New Zealand9496 Posts
December 19 2012 20:35 GMT
#151
Even if the game is perfectly balanced (which I don't think it is even close to atm) I think a lot of people 'whine' about how the games play out, terran/zerg have to get way ahead/win before zerg gets there super army and normally wins (not always)

This seems like a pretty pointless way to look at balance tho, a year in sc2 is to long to look at (3-6months max imo)
Risljaninasim
Profile Joined July 2011
Netherlands228 Posts
December 19 2012 20:45 GMT
#152
Try posting what the top4 in most tournamenst consist of.
;;
snively
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States1159 Posts
December 19 2012 21:16 GMT
#153
On December 20 2012 05:03 HwangjaeTerran wrote:
Tournament results should not even be mentioned in the same sentence with game balance.


i dont know... you cant say that tournament results are completely separate from game balance. they may not be as directly related as some people may think, but they're definitely not separate.
i would say your only chance is to look at as much as you can before deciding wether the game is balanced or not, and besides, balance arguments suck no matter what you do
My religion is Starcraft
Lorch
Profile Joined June 2011
Germany3702 Posts
December 19 2012 21:29 GMT
#154
On December 19 2012 16:46 Insoleet wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 19 2012 16:42 opterown wrote:
as i mentioned over there too, premier tournament wins are not exactly the best way to determine balance.

why?


Because 2 individuals making it to the final does not mean that the one race who looses is worse than the one who wins and the other way around, it also doesn't mean that the 1 race that didn't make it to the finals is worse than the others.
If you'd have a tournament with say very even race distribution initially of 128 players (getting tvx finals out of a tournament with >50% terran does not make terran imba) and get a round of 16 with 7 terran, 7 toss and 2 zerg you could still end up with say tvz finals. If you only look at the finals p is underpowered, and if zerg wins they are actually imba. 2 out of 128/3 is not op.

When you take tournament results as an indicator of balance you need to be very careful, and atleast look at round 8. Finals don't really say anything. Also it's very important to take the initial racial distribution of the tournament into account. What you should look into is winrates for matchups across all pro level games, that says a lot more imo.
oxxo
Profile Joined February 2010
988 Posts
December 19 2012 21:38 GMT
#155
Who cares what the numbers say? The point is every ZvT/P being hive rush vs all-in is boring as crap and makes it seem worse than it is since the X is playing vs the clock and the Z is just turtling. Blizzard should make the game fun first and worry about balance later. 50% win ratios don't matter if no one is playing or watching because the game is boring to play.
SC2ShoWTimE
Profile Joined April 2011
Germany722 Posts
December 19 2012 22:03 GMT
#156
like some said before, you cant just look at the first 2 places and say anything about the balance of the game. you have to consider racial distribution and you also have to take a look at the players that participate in the tournament.

for example when the racial distribution is like 50% zerg 30% protoss and 20% terran it most of the times means that there are a lot of mediocre zerg players and mostly top protoss/terran players, what will falsify the winrates/results.
Progamer
hellokittySC2
Profile Joined September 2009
United States395 Posts
December 20 2012 00:02 GMT
#157
i agree, it's also not just not the TOP TOP tier of gamers that matters, a lot of masters/low gm's across all servers are complaining about zerg being the "retard/broken" race. you have to stop look so optimistic on these *balance vs win rate* things.

Also, I hate to say it, but a caster's opinion on balance shouldn't be taken as important as all pro gamers across this game.
twitter.com/hellokittyhots facebook.com/hellokittysc2 hellokitty.278, http://twitch.tv/noobeater5 为中国人在星际上争气!
lemonbone
Profile Joined August 2009
Hong Kong154 Posts
December 20 2012 07:29 GMT
#158
Khaldor simply do not understand statistic. Anyway, the main problem is the game is getting more boring to watch everyday. Jaedong is one of the few zergs that is enjoyable to watch :D
BW:1a2a3a4a5a Wol:1a2ffttttttttttt
Insomni7
Profile Joined June 2011
667 Posts
December 20 2012 07:51 GMT
#159
Premier tournament results are not a good measure of balance because in these tournaments, you have a very few top top players competing for the first place prize. In other words, you have willfully reduced your sample to a very small and therefore more likely inaccurate one. In this situation it is much more likely that a race will appear to be imbalanced simply because there are more better players of that race. The argument which has been made correctly in several threads is that the best way to determine balance is to wait for winrates to flatten to 50% as they always will in a qualifier based system (I'm referring to GSL here) and then checking the distribution of races among those who qualify. In last season's code S there were still far more terrans than any other race, but I do not believe that the winrates have fully equalized yet. Only then will we really be able to get a good read on balance.
Never Forget.
NeutralDepot
Profile Joined December 2012
80 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-12-20 12:33:16
December 20 2012 12:28 GMT
#160
Khaldor has to be a pretty ignorant person if he doesn't realize that the tournament he currently casts (GSL Blizzard Cup) is composed of the winners of the recent most important major tournaments. How many of them are terran? 1. Which means that this tournament has a ten percent terran portion. And the lone terran who is there is not there because of recent achievement but because of his stellar performance in the past.
Oh btw he totally bopped his group by winning a single game out of 4 bo3s. Anbody who fails to see that terrans is on the ropes at the moment is completely ignorant. Maybe Khaldor should actually follow the SC2 scene. The balance is horrible for Terran right now and it makes my heart bleed to watch another tournament with terrans getting eliminated this early.

It's funny how people like Khaldor or Day9 as well (mocking the term patchzerg) try to pour oil on troubled water instead of actually critising Blizzard for its inaction and indecisiveness.

http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft2/2012_GSL_Blizzard_Cup
All of these premier events were played under 1.5.3. but I see none of them won by terran. Where are all the terran winners of premier events post queen patch?
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