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SC2 Ladder Analysis: Part 2 - Page 15

Forum Index > SC2 General
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Mendelfist
Profile Joined September 2010
Sweden356 Posts
October 08 2010 16:42 GMT
#281
It seems that the battle.net web pages in EU no longer show consumed bonus pool. Instead they show remaining bonus pool exacly as in the game. I think it was a bug that they now have fixed. :-(
Excalibur_Z
Profile Joined October 2002
United States12248 Posts
October 09 2010 00:42 GMT
#282
On October 09 2010 01:42 Mendelfist wrote:
It seems that the battle.net web pages in EU no longer show consumed bonus pool. Instead they show remaining bonus pool exacly as in the game. I think it was a bug that they now have fixed. :-(


At the time you posted this, I could still see consumed bonus pool on the NA server. They rolled out a fix and now I can't =( Boo!
Moderator
Matrim
Profile Joined October 2010
United Kingdom16 Posts
October 09 2010 12:57 GMT
#283
Oops, I will get the correct rank figure and say which is the dodgy column s when I get back to the office on Monday. In my full sheet there are lots of extra columns where I try to 'adjust' the figures with divisional weighting. Since most of that is exploratory I removed those though it looks like I must have got some columns transposed when entering..

Of the other figures I can attach a screenshot of the post promotion and the most recent pre promotion if that would help (again on Monday though). Whenever a line has red text I have a screenshot of the league board sitting in one note at work.

The figures are 1171 league points , consumed bonus pool 953 making 218 then post promotion 1026 league points with 73 consumed bonus making 953.

As you have noted the EU servers are also showing remaining bonus as opposed to consumed bonus. Since then I have played 5 games winning 4 losing 1 but will be tracking those figures separately to the above.

If you need any of those screen shots or more explanation of the figures please say.
But one also finds in the human heart a depraved taste for equality, which impels the weak to want to bring the strong down to their level, and which reduces men to preferring equality in servitude to inequality in freedom
noD
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
2230 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-10-09 14:10:07
October 09 2010 13:59 GMT
#284
HI,
I'm passing here just to drop a testimonial
Excalibur's theory is very consistent
yesterday I changed my adsl connection to a new isp, about 30% of my games were battle net drop, so I was on a point with 1500 points, about #100 in my region and didnt get promoted due random battle net drops, apparently they punish drops more than surrenders ....
But since I can play without having to worry, it took only about 8 hours and only 14 games (I dont mean it took 8 hours to play 14 games, I gave some breaks =P ) to get me promoted, since I was having bad bad bad battle net drops Started with very weak bronzes and in the last rounds pretty much soon to be promoted silvers to gold and golds ...
If it helps W L W W W L W W W L W L WP (win and promoted ... )
poc
Profile Joined October 2010
9 Posts
October 09 2010 14:06 GMT
#285
some stuff I noticed during my 8000+ matches in sc2:

The Server will try to start new matches every 15 seconds.Evertime it cant match you the max difference in skill allowed for your match will increase
-> if your searchtime is below 15s(->matched at first attempt) you will never face an enemy with a mmr thats really far away from yours.


If you play against the same player a LOT without getting matched against other players and keep a constant 50% win/loss ratio you will both lose more visible points than you gain -> you eventually drop to 0 points.(might take >100 matches)
At the same time your mmr seems to decrease so your points for wins decrease as well and will drop to 0 after about 300 matches in a row vs the same opponent.
bubblegumbo
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Taiwan1296 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-10-09 14:10:53
October 09 2010 14:09 GMT
#286
This is probably one of the best OP in TL in a while. Next time a friend asks why he hasn't been promoted to diamond yet just link him this thread and watch them shut up.
"I honestly think that whoever invented toilet paper is a genius. For man to survive, they need toilet paper!"- Nal_rA
Matrim
Profile Joined October 2010
United Kingdom16 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-10-11 08:11:22
October 11 2010 08:06 GMT
#287
K, correct figures for opponents post snake green are

Mandrake Silver Rank 27 Points 808 Consumed Bonus 348
Hita Silver Rank 14 Points 531 Consumed Bonus 655

Curiously had another game at the weekend that indicated the impact sigma can have against ranking. My opponent was ranked as slightly favoured and at the end of the game his stats were listed as Bronze 48 179 pts 461 bonus (remaining now as opposed to consumed) 6W 6L

Now earlier matches had flagged placement matches up as favoured. This guy was not long out of placement but in Bronze yet still flagged as slightly favoured with +14 for winning. This must have been the result of the sigma still showing high uncertainty considering the amount of games played..

But one also finds in the human heart a depraved taste for equality, which impels the weak to want to bring the strong down to their level, and which reduces men to preferring equality in servitude to inequality in freedom
dejavue
Profile Joined September 2010
Germany47 Posts
October 11 2010 09:58 GMT
#288
Hey there, really great thread, and even though I am sure I did not understand all of the specifics completely, this actually helps a lot in understanding the matchmaking system.

I do have a question though:

http://sc2sig.com/profile/eu/782446/1/dejavue

If you look at the first chart, which depicts my Rank, Points and the league I am placed in, I am kind of stumped as to how precise this is. First of all: Where do these come from (except for league of course)? How can my rank be at diamond level? I thought it was only my rank within my division?

Also, am I correct in assuming that the Points (which are for me also in Platinum according to that graph) represent my MMR? I though this was hidden?
Can I in any way relay on that graph to tell me "Hey, I might be promoted some time soon", or is it somewhat detached from my actual skill?

Hope someone understands what I mean, I am confused to some extent about all this.



Maybe it's tech issues, maybe he's just exhausted, MAYBE, JUST MAYBE, he wanted to dress as spiderman and web the shit out of his girlfriend / boyfriend / donkeyfriend without having people watch. - wormintrude
Ch4rlesM
Profile Joined October 2010
France7 Posts
October 11 2010 14:49 GMT
#289
I think you misunderstood the graphics. As I see it, each colour correspond to something, that is to say in your case you are : Gold League (blue line), around 1000 pts (green line) and in the higher ranks (red line).
Hope your understand what I mean.
Esjihn
Profile Joined April 2010
United States164 Posts
October 11 2010 15:29 GMT
#290
Thanks for putting this together a very nice read.
Moar Tanks, Less Skanks!
dejavue
Profile Joined September 2010
Germany47 Posts
October 11 2010 18:47 GMT
#291
On October 11 2010 23:49 Ch4rlesM wrote:
I think you misunderstood the graphics. As I see it, each colour correspond to something, that is to say in your case you are : Gold League (blue line), around 1000 pts (green line) and in the higher ranks (red line).
Hope your understand what I mean.


Aaaah! Now I get it, see I knew I was wrong about something in that graph! :D
Because I feel in no way able to match up against diamonds at the moment :D

That makes way more sense than I thought about it, thank you very much!
Maybe it's tech issues, maybe he's just exhausted, MAYBE, JUST MAYBE, he wanted to dress as spiderman and web the shit out of his girlfriend / boyfriend / donkeyfriend without having people watch. - wormintrude
Ch4rlesM
Profile Joined October 2010
France7 Posts
October 12 2010 05:20 GMT
#292
I have a quick question regarding promotions. I am currently a 1300 pts Platinum player. Do I have, in order to get promoted, to beat people which MMR is around 1100-1200 Diamond? Or lower Diamonds will do the trick?

Thx for your answer!
GrazerRinge
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
999 Posts
October 13 2010 00:20 GMT
#293
he MUST get a star for quality post.

This is pure win, it is such a good thread about placement & matchmaking system.
"Successful people don't talk much. They listen and take action."
Phrencys
Profile Joined August 2010
Canada270 Posts
October 14 2010 14:57 GMT
#294
This thread depresses me.

Not because of its quality, but because I'm currently Platinum rank #1 with about 92-92 score (50% ratio) in 2v2 RT, and I guess my chances to get promoted are quasi null.

Next we need a thread for the RT matchmaking system. Because as it stands now, I feel like battle.net purposedly steps on my face to keep me at 50% by matching me every other game with a silver/bronze caliber player having 2 units at the 7minutes mark.

The worst part is that, more often than not, it's like the matchmaking system assumes I'm supposed to carry such players vs a diamond and a platinum player, even putting me "Slightly Favored". So when I lose, I lose a lot of points, and I can only /facepalm when I look at the score screen and then check my teammates and opponents profiles.

Why can't the MM system put players of equivalent skill together? It would make for much better games than somehow try to do an average of player skills.
futachimaru
Profile Joined October 2010
Indonesia1 Post
October 14 2010 18:24 GMT
#295
If i am a Diamond player who has played over 100 games with over 60% win rate ratio. To be demoted all the way into bronze, how many games do you think i need to lose ? Sorry for blatantly asking such a question, i don't request complex mathematical questions, i just want to know the rough estimates, whether it be 1000 games or 500 games or 100 games. Any input will be highly appreciated. (I do understand that there's a lot of random factors out there as I won't get to know who i will lost to and the MMR values of these players)
Matrim
Profile Joined October 2010
United Kingdom16 Posts
October 15 2010 07:42 GMT
#296
Why bother? If you want to get to Bronze that much then buy the game again, set up another account and lose your placement matches. It would be a lot faster.
But one also finds in the human heart a depraved taste for equality, which impels the weak to want to bring the strong down to their level, and which reduces men to preferring equality in servitude to inequality in freedom
Lightspeed
Profile Joined August 2010
130 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-10-15 09:48:32
October 15 2010 09:15 GMT
#297
Did anyone notice that for every league there are usually very few players above a certain bonus pool adjusted rating? For Bronze that number seems to be 500, for Silver, Gold and Platinum that number seems to be 300. Players above that number seem to get promoted pretty much asap and end up in the higher league with ~0 adjusted points. So if I assume that leagues start at 0 and that by now displayed rating pretty much equals MMR, the point/rating to league distribution would be (adjusted points only):

0- 500 Points: Bronze
500 - 800 Points: Silver
800 - 1100 Points: Gold
1100 - 1400 Points: Platinum
1400 + Points: Diamond

These might of course be arbitrarily scaled on Blizzards side. but I doubt they would go such great lenghts to obfuscate their stuff

Edit: I see this has been brought up and discussed before, ignore as you see fit
We have one cup here, but really only two girls
Matrim
Profile Joined October 2010
United Kingdom16 Posts
October 15 2010 09:25 GMT
#298
Difficult to tell now that the utilised bonus pool has been 'corrected' to show bonus pool remaining and not bonus pool utilised.

I am probably mis-understanding but in my case my 'adjusted' rating was around 200 when I was promoted to Silver and was at 1016 (league adjusted after promoted but at 270 by carrying on tracking the bronze figure) when I started matching against Golds.

If you look at my screen shots on page 14 you can see the figures as they moved..
But one also finds in the human heart a depraved taste for equality, which impels the weak to want to bring the strong down to their level, and which reduces men to preferring equality in servitude to inequality in freedom
ashaman771
Profile Joined April 2010
Canada114 Posts
October 15 2010 14:34 GMT
#299
Great OP. But at some point, which you learn after university, you have to be able to digest the information to present it to people in a clear way. Essentially, can you take the information you have and explain it to someone in high school.

Again, great OP, but I suspect it's from someone green in university.
The Dead Room Podcast, check it out!
Mendelfist
Profile Joined September 2010
Sweden356 Posts
October 15 2010 15:13 GMT
#300
On October 15 2010 18:25 Matrim wrote:
Difficult to tell now that the utilised bonus pool has been 'corrected' to show bonus pool remaining and not bonus pool utilised.


When I post this total available bonus points are exactly 1120 (for EU, I don't know if other regions are in sync with this). Those interested can keep track of it either by looking at how your own bonus pool increases and add it to this number, or by just counting hours from this moment (1 point per 2 hours).

Utilised bonus pool is then of course total available bonus pool minus remaining bonus pool.

As far as I know this works even after promotions/demotions. Correct me if I'm wrong.
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