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[Nationwars 2019] Semi Finals + Grand Final - Page 24

Forum Index > StarCraft 2 Tournaments
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Azhrak
Profile Joined January 2011
Finland1198 Posts
December 08 2019 22:53 GMT
#461
fi GG FINLAND! fi GG SUOMI! fi GG SERRAL! fi GG ZHUGELIANG! fi GG THEMUSZERO! fi

[image loading]
starcraft2.fi
sneakyfox
Profile Joined January 2017
8218 Posts
December 08 2019 22:57 GMT
#462
On December 09 2019 07:43 ZigguratOfUr wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 09 2019 07:40 sneakyfox wrote:
It will be interesting to see if Blizzard changes the style of the maps for next season, and if they think zerg lategame is in a good place now.


You might be able to fix TvZ with maps, but PvZ can't be fixed that way imo. You'd need to give all the maps in-base naturals, or have large swaths of uncreepable terrain to give Protoss a chance. And even then zerg has Nydus.

Besides all the maps for next map pool were made six months ago.


I think you're right, something else needs to happen with PvZ.

But overall I just don't get what they have done with Zerg the last year or so. Once creep really gets spread out it's extremely difficult for the opponent to contest. And then obviously becomes a massive advantage for the Zerg. This advantage used to be a matter of back and forth with the opponent, now it's basically just a part of Zerg macro.

Combine that with the other big mobility advantage that Zerg have gotten with the nydus. Wasn't the point that zerg had sick mobility but was somewhat confined to their base and their creep? Now they can just teleport.

These factors are what makes the ling/bane runbys even more difficult to deal with, almost impossibly so.

And on top of that the race has the best lategame with the best and extremely versatile casters. Which they have a much easier time reaching because of giant maps and a great defensive unit in the queen.
"I saw what sneakyfox wrote on TL.net and it made me furious" - PartinG
tigon_ridge
Profile Joined March 2019
482 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-12-08 23:02:20
December 08 2019 22:59 GMT
#463
Serral went 17-2 (89%) for the tournament. Against Reynor and the Koreans, he only dropped 1 map. The other was against goblin, which imo can be discounted. So, really, it was 17-1 (94%). His aligulac rating has broken the 3200 milestone. Since September, Serral has maintained a gap at least 150 points wide between himself and the #2, and the gap is currently >200 (rating not yet updated).

For context, a 200 points gap is as large as the gap between #2 (currently Dark 3049) and #8 (currently TY at 2855).
Xain0n
Profile Joined November 2018
Italy3963 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-12-08 23:01:35
December 08 2019 23:00 GMT
#464
On December 09 2019 07:59 tigon_ridge wrote:
Serral went 17-2 (89%) for the tournament. Against Reynor and the Koreans, he only dropped 1 map. The other was against goblin, which I think can be discounted. So, really, it was 17-1 (94%). His aligulac rating has broken the 3200 milestone. Since September, Serral has maintained a gap at least 150 points wide between himself and the #2, and the gap is currently >200 (rating not yet updated).


You mean 24-2? Serral was 17-1 before today and goblin's victory was legit.
Best performance ever at Nation Wars, he overtook Marinelord's insane 21-2.
tigon_ridge
Profile Joined March 2019
482 Posts
December 08 2019 23:04 GMT
#465
On December 09 2019 08:00 Xain0n wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 09 2019 07:59 tigon_ridge wrote:
Serral went 17-2 (89%) for the tournament. Against Reynor and the Koreans, he only dropped 1 map. The other was against goblin, which I think can be discounted. So, really, it was 17-1 (94%). His aligulac rating has broken the 3200 milestone. Since September, Serral has maintained a gap at least 150 points wide between himself and the #2, and the gap is currently >200 (rating not yet updated).


You mean 24-2? Serral was 17-1 before today and goblin's victory was legit.
Best performance ever at Nation Wars, he overtook Marinelord's insane 21-2.

Didn't say that goblin's map win wasn't legit. Just saying that we shouldn't weigh in obvious outlier data points.
Xain0n
Profile Joined November 2018
Italy3963 Posts
December 08 2019 23:07 GMT
#466
On December 09 2019 08:04 tigon_ridge wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 09 2019 08:00 Xain0n wrote:
On December 09 2019 07:59 tigon_ridge wrote:
Serral went 17-2 (89%) for the tournament. Against Reynor and the Koreans, he only dropped 1 map. The other was against goblin, which I think can be discounted. So, really, it was 17-1 (94%). His aligulac rating has broken the 3200 milestone. Since September, Serral has maintained a gap at least 150 points wide between himself and the #2, and the gap is currently >200 (rating not yet updated).


You mean 24-2? Serral was 17-1 before today and goblin's victory was legit.
Best performance ever at Nation Wars, he overtook Marinelord's insane 21-2.

Didn't say that goblin's map win wasn't legit. Just saying that we shouldn't weigh in obvious outlier data points.


I don't agree at all. If you play a bo1 format, every map should count; also, 24-2 is better than 17-2
ZigguratOfUr
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Iraq16955 Posts
December 08 2019 23:09 GMT
#467
On December 09 2019 08:04 tigon_ridge wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 09 2019 08:00 Xain0n wrote:
On December 09 2019 07:59 tigon_ridge wrote:
Serral went 17-2 (89%) for the tournament. Against Reynor and the Koreans, he only dropped 1 map. The other was against goblin, which I think can be discounted. So, really, it was 17-1 (94%). His aligulac rating has broken the 3200 milestone. Since September, Serral has maintained a gap at least 150 points wide between himself and the #2, and the gap is currently >200 (rating not yet updated).


You mean 24-2? Serral was 17-1 before today and goblin's victory was legit.
Best performance ever at Nation Wars, he overtook Marinelord's insane 21-2.

Didn't say that goblin's map win wasn't legit. Just saying that we shouldn't weigh in obvious outlier data points.


Outlier data points? Every player has a non-zero chance of beating any other--you can't simply discount low probability events from your statistics simply because you don't like them.
tigon_ridge
Profile Joined March 2019
482 Posts
December 08 2019 23:13 GMT
#468
On December 09 2019 08:09 ZigguratOfUr wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 09 2019 08:04 tigon_ridge wrote:
On December 09 2019 08:00 Xain0n wrote:
On December 09 2019 07:59 tigon_ridge wrote:
Serral went 17-2 (89%) for the tournament. Against Reynor and the Koreans, he only dropped 1 map. The other was against goblin, which I think can be discounted. So, really, it was 17-1 (94%). His aligulac rating has broken the 3200 milestone. Since September, Serral has maintained a gap at least 150 points wide between himself and the #2, and the gap is currently >200 (rating not yet updated).


You mean 24-2? Serral was 17-1 before today and goblin's victory was legit.
Best performance ever at Nation Wars, he overtook Marinelord's insane 21-2.

Didn't say that goblin's map win wasn't legit. Just saying that we shouldn't weigh in obvious outlier data points.


Outlier data points? Every player has a non-zero chance of beating any other--you can't simply discount low probability events from your statistics simply because you don't like them.

Fair enough.
royalroadweed
Profile Joined April 2013
United States8301 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-12-08 23:20:05
December 08 2019 23:18 GMT
#469
On December 09 2019 07:51 ZigguratOfUr wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 09 2019 07:47 Elentos wrote:
On December 09 2019 07:43 ZigguratOfUr wrote:
On December 09 2019 07:40 sneakyfox wrote:
It will be interesting to see if Blizzard changes the style of the maps for next season, and if they think zerg lategame is in a good place now.


You might be able to fix TvZ with maps, but PvZ can't be fixed that way imo. You'd need to give all the maps in-base naturals, or have large swaths of uncreepable terrain to give Protoss a chance. And even then zerg has Nydus.

Besides all the maps for next map pool were made six months ago.

I think there's such a thing as maps that are fine for PvZ that don't involve the features you mentioned. But the fact of the matter remains that for every SC2 match both players have a say in what maps get played so Zerg will veto the good stuff for Protoss and Protoss has to settle with the least terrible options, which are still better for Zerg.


Not completely sure if that's true in the current meta. Last map pool for example zerg was favoured to some extent on every single map in PvZ. Maybe an incredibly droppable map would be good for Protoss, but then you run into problems in other match-ups.

I think one good change would be the removal of doodads where zerg players hide overlords. On a lot of maps like Simulacrum and World of Sleepers they seem to be intentionally placed in such a manner so that zerg can scout protoss gas timings on their natural with barely any effort or risk.
"Nerfing Toss can just make them stronger"
Xain0n
Profile Joined November 2018
Italy3963 Posts
December 08 2019 23:22 GMT
#470
Protoss will definitely need help by the way since not only it is the weakest race at the moment but half of the top korean Protoss is retiring soon(or already have like Classic and herO).
ZigguratOfUr
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Iraq16955 Posts
December 08 2019 23:29 GMT
#471
On December 09 2019 08:18 royalroadweed wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 09 2019 07:51 ZigguratOfUr wrote:
On December 09 2019 07:47 Elentos wrote:
On December 09 2019 07:43 ZigguratOfUr wrote:
On December 09 2019 07:40 sneakyfox wrote:
It will be interesting to see if Blizzard changes the style of the maps for next season, and if they think zerg lategame is in a good place now.


You might be able to fix TvZ with maps, but PvZ can't be fixed that way imo. You'd need to give all the maps in-base naturals, or have large swaths of uncreepable terrain to give Protoss a chance. And even then zerg has Nydus.

Besides all the maps for next map pool were made six months ago.

I think there's such a thing as maps that are fine for PvZ that don't involve the features you mentioned. But the fact of the matter remains that for every SC2 match both players have a say in what maps get played so Zerg will veto the good stuff for Protoss and Protoss has to settle with the least terrible options, which are still better for Zerg.


Not completely sure if that's true in the current meta. Last map pool for example zerg was favoured to some extent on every single map in PvZ. Maybe an incredibly droppable map would be good for Protoss, but then you run into problems in other match-ups.

I think one good change would be the removal of doodads where zerg players hide overlords. On a lot of maps like Simulacrum and World of Sleepers they seem to be intentionally placed in such a manner so that zerg can scout protoss gas timings on their natural with barely any effort or risk.


Well that's in Blizzard's hands right now. The maps have been made a long time ago: https://tl.net/forum/starcraft-2/549393-tlnet-map-contest-13-finalists, and they by and large have overlord pods (though ofc there's some variation--on Simulacrum as you say the overlord pod is right above the gases whereas on Nightshade for example the pod is some ways away from the gases).

Blizz can of course make any change they want including removing overlord pods. Making Protoss 2-base all-ins slightly harder to scout won't fix PvZ of course, but maybe it would be a step in the right direction.
tigon_ridge
Profile Joined March 2019
482 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-12-08 23:36:37
December 08 2019 23:32 GMT
#472
On December 09 2019 08:22 Xain0n wrote:
Protoss will definitely need help by the way since not only it is the weakest race at the moment but half of the top korean Protoss is retiring soon(or already have like Classic and herO).

I'm looking at the Korean ladder rankings, and there's a ton more protoss than terran or zerg, and not a single terran is in the top 13 currently (edit: there's one barcode terran). It's unreasonable to judge race strength on game results with Serral, or any of the other top 3 players.
ZigguratOfUr
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Iraq16955 Posts
December 08 2019 23:37 GMT
#473
On December 09 2019 08:32 tigon_ridge wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 09 2019 08:22 Xain0n wrote:
Protoss will definitely need help by the way since not only it is the weakest race at the moment but half of the top korean Protoss is retiring soon(or already have like Classic and herO).

I'm looking at the Korean ladder rankings, and there's a ton more protoss than terran or zerg, and not a single terran is in the top 13 currently. It's unreasonable to judge race strength on game results with Serral, or any of the other top 3 players.


Ladder rankings only matter so much when Protoss gets decimated in events like WESG.
Xain0n
Profile Joined November 2018
Italy3963 Posts
December 08 2019 23:38 GMT
#474
On December 09 2019 08:32 tigon_ridge wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 09 2019 08:22 Xain0n wrote:
Protoss will definitely need help by the way since not only it is the weakest race at the moment but half of the top korean Protoss is retiring soon(or already have like Classic and herO).

I'm looking at the Korean ladder rankings, and there's a ton more protoss than terran or zerg, and not a single terran is in the top 13 currently. It's unreasonable to judge race strength on game results with Serral, or any of the other top 3 players.


If I had to judge looking at Serral's results I would have said Protoss is op since the two maps he lost were against Protoss; is korean ladder a reliable index?
What about Aligulac, instead?
royalroadweed
Profile Joined April 2013
United States8301 Posts
December 08 2019 23:42 GMT
#475
On December 09 2019 08:38 Xain0n wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 09 2019 08:32 tigon_ridge wrote:
On December 09 2019 08:22 Xain0n wrote:
Protoss will definitely need help by the way since not only it is the weakest race at the moment but half of the top korean Protoss is retiring soon(or already have like Classic and herO).

I'm looking at the Korean ladder rankings, and there's a ton more protoss than terran or zerg, and not a single terran is in the top 13 currently. It's unreasonable to judge race strength on game results with Serral, or any of the other top 3 players.


If I had to judge looking at Serral's results I would have said Protoss is op since the two maps he lost were against Protoss; is korean ladder a reliable index?
What about Aligulac, instead?

Aligulac would disprove your point though. Its does paint a grim picture about protoss's chances in PvZ. However, their current balance stats places terran as the worst by far.
"Nerfing Toss can just make them stronger"
Xain0n
Profile Joined November 2018
Italy3963 Posts
December 08 2019 23:50 GMT
#476
On December 09 2019 08:42 royalroadweed wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 09 2019 08:38 Xain0n wrote:
On December 09 2019 08:32 tigon_ridge wrote:
On December 09 2019 08:22 Xain0n wrote:
Protoss will definitely need help by the way since not only it is the weakest race at the moment but half of the top korean Protoss is retiring soon(or already have like Classic and herO).

I'm looking at the Korean ladder rankings, and there's a ton more protoss than terran or zerg, and not a single terran is in the top 13 currently. It's unreasonable to judge race strength on game results with Serral, or any of the other top 3 players.


If I had to judge looking at Serral's results I would have said Protoss is op since the two maps he lost were against Protoss; is korean ladder a reliable index?
What about Aligulac, instead?

Aligulac would disprove your point though. Its does paint a grim picture about protoss's chances in PvZ. However, their current balance stats places terran as the worst by far.


That's not my point, it's Tigon's.
Aligulac's current balance stats is four days old.
tigon_ridge
Profile Joined March 2019
482 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-12-08 23:53:49
December 08 2019 23:52 GMT
#477
On December 09 2019 08:38 Xain0n wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 09 2019 08:32 tigon_ridge wrote:
On December 09 2019 08:22 Xain0n wrote:
Protoss will definitely need help by the way since not only it is the weakest race at the moment but half of the top korean Protoss is retiring soon(or already have like Classic and herO).

I'm looking at the Korean ladder rankings, and there's a ton more protoss than terran or zerg, and not a single terran is in the top 13 currently. It's unreasonable to judge race strength on game results with Serral, or any of the other top 3 players.


If I had to judge looking at Serral's results I would have said Protoss is op since the two maps he lost were against Protoss; is korean ladder a reliable index?
What about Aligulac, instead?

Someone made a strong argument that Aligulac somewhat underrates protoss true rating, due to the way that the overall rating is algorithmically determined and pvp's volatility. Personally, I think the truth is somewhere in between; protoss is indeed underrated by aligulac, but also I just think the talent pool for zerg at the highest level is just much bigger than terran, and terran's slightly bigger than protoss. I think it has little to do with balance, at least for the current patch.
tigon_ridge
Profile Joined March 2019
482 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-12-09 00:08:56
December 09 2019 00:04 GMT
#478
By the way, I don't know how relevant this is, but a paper written about alphastar reported: "AlphaStar Final achieved ratings of 6,275 Match Making Rating (MMR) for Protoss, 6,048 for Terran and 5,835 for Zerg."

People have been saying for the longest time that zerg is the easiest race to learn, but it seems even during the supposedly zerg-favored meta (before this current patch) this AI strongly disagrees. But computer and humans think and act differently, so maybe's that's a counterargument.
Dave4
Profile Joined August 2018
494 Posts
December 09 2019 00:19 GMT
#479
On December 08 2019 19:29 Dave4 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 08 2019 18:33 Poopi wrote:
Predictions:
it Italy 3-4 fi Finland
fr France 4-2 kr South Korea

kr South Korea 4-2 it Italy

fr France 5-3 fi Finland

Bias haha but good luck.

I predict:

Italy 2-4 Finland
France 1-4 South Korea

Finland 5-2 South Korea

I was pretty close!
Dave4
Profile Joined August 2018
494 Posts
December 09 2019 00:23 GMT
#480
Serral, such a god.
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